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Bullish Setup for XAU/USDHello traders , the gold market is currently in a sensitive phase, still influenced by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole, signaling that monetary tightening could ease if the labor market weakens. This has pushed U.S. bond yields lower and weakened the dollar, allowing gold to remain elevated. Adding to this , rising geopolitical tensions are fueling bullish momentum for gold, providing a solid foundation for recovery if global risks persist. On the chart , gold is trading around $3,370, after bouncing strongly from the $3,321 support. This zone is becoming a “launchpad” for the next leg higher, especially as gold holds above key EMA levels. The price structure outlines a bullish scenario with resistance targets: $3,400 (psychological level – short-term take profit zone) $3,433 (extended target – next strong resistance) If the Fed maintains its dovish tone and the dollar stays weak , gold could sustain its upward momentum in the short term, opening the door to higher levels into September.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
7
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Aug 28, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🏔️ Jackson Hole aftershocks: Markets still digest Powell’s stance; cut odds for September in focus. 📉 GDP revision risk: Growth momentum under the microscope with Q2 update. 🛠️ Labor market cooling? Jobless claims set the tone into Friday’s PCE. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly). ⏰ 8:30 AM — GDP (Q2, 2nd Estimate). ⏰ 11:00 AM — Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug). ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #GDP #joblessclaims #JacksonHole #bonds #economy
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
BTCUSD -SUPPORT ZONE 110000 READ CAPTIONhi trade's. BTC is currently approaching a major support area at 110000. If buyers defend this zone, price may attempt a recovery toward the 117000 target zone. A secondary support is seen near 10500 that could provide another reaction level. A breakdown below 104000 risk level would invalidate the bullish view and open room for deeper downside. Support Zone: 110000 Second Support: 10500 Risk Level: 104000 Target Zone: 117000 👉 I share daily chart updates and setups on my TradingView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by haleh120
The Power of Mathematics & Statistics in BTC/USDT PredictionWhen comparing the previous analysis with the latest chart, we can clearly see how mathematical and statistical models helped anticipate Bitcoin’s movements with remarkable accuracy using Fibonacci retracements. 🔹 In the earlier analysis, we highlighted the 61.8% level at $111,743 as a decisive pivot. The new chart shows that the price indeed rallied into this zone, even pushing slightly higher towards the 78.6% level at $112,669 before facing strong selling pressure. This demonstrates the precision of mathematical models in mapping potential turning points before they happen. 📈 🔹 Support levels projected previously — such as $110,442 and $109,637 — remain intact as strong defensive zones, perfectly aligned with historical rebound areas. ⚖️ The Comparison Mathematics and statistics are not just theoretical tools; they provide a real-time roadmap for traders: Upside: Price climbed to the 78.6% Fibonacci extension as projected. 🚀 Downside: Key supports held firm, validating the statistical forecasts. 🛡️ 🔍 Momentum indicators (RSI) also confirmed this move: rising from the neutral 52–54 range in the earlier chart to above 62 in the latest one, reinforcing the bullish swing towards mathematically calculated targets. ✅ Conclusion From one chart to the next, it becomes clear: mathematical and statistical models are not only explanatory but predictive. Fibonacci levels acted as precise guideposts, allowing us to foresee both potential highs and lows. Their reflection on actual market action proves the strength of these models — a must-have tool for any professional trader seeking accuracy and confidence. 💡📊
by MMTRADING-BNB
BTC 111,965 pivot battle: bearish bias until a clean reclaim!__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is consolidating below a critical weekly pivot after rejections in the 116–124k area, with rallies sold. The 1D/12H structure remains broadly constructive, but intraday and weekly pressure is still bearish. Momentum: Bearish 📉 below 111,965.5 (W Pivot High) — rebounds are faded until this pivot is reclaimed. Key levels: - Resistances (HTF): 111,965.5 (W), 116,400–116,900 (12H/6H supply), 117,495.9 (720 PH). - Supports (HTF): 110,400–110,600 (intraday shelf), 108,757.9 (240 PL), 100,000–98,530.3 (W PL zone). Volumes: Normal on HTF; moderate-to-normal on 6H/4H; very high 30m spikes on red bars (seller-driven). Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H = Up, 1W + LTF (2H/1H/30m/15m) = Down → net “sell-on-rips” bias below 111,965.5; bullish flip only above toward 116.4–116.9k then 117,495.9. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Neutral Sell — confirms a slight risk-off posture, aligned with the bearish momentum under the pivot. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: while below the weekly pivot 111,965.5, favor a cautious sell-on-rallies approach; only flip long on a clear, confirmed reclaim. Global bias: Tactical bearish bias below 111,965.5; key invalidation on 4H/12H close > 111,965.5 (strong neutralization > 116.9k). Opportunities: - Fade 111.8–112.0k rallies toward 110.5k then 108.8k. - Breakout buy only > 111,965.5 with a held pullback , aiming 116.4–116.9k then 117,495.9. - Defensive dip buy at 108,757.9 with a tight stop. Risk zones / invalidations: - A break below 108,757.9 opens 100k–98,530.3 → invalidates dip-buys. - A reclaim/close > 116.9k invalidates rebound shorts (squeeze risk). Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - Political pressure on the Fed and independence debate → rate-path volatility, direct risk appetite impact. - Trade/tariff tensions (record collections, 200% threats) + choppy oil → inflation uncertainty, jumpy curves. - Hedge funds extremely short VIX → September vol spike risk across risk assets. Action plan: - Plan A (dominant, sell-on-rips): Entry 111.8–112.0k / Stop 112.3k / TP1 110.5k, TP2 108.8k, TP3 100k–98.53k / R/R ~1.5–3R. - Plan B (bullish flip): Entry on held retest > 111,965.5 / Stop 111.6k / TP1 116.4k, TP2 116.9k, TP3 117,495.9 / R/R ~2–3R. - Plan C (defensive dip-buy): Entry 108.8–108.76k / Stop < 108,757.9 / TP1 110.5k, TP2 111,965.5, TP3 116.4–116.9k / R/R ~1.5–2.5R. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Top-down view: HTF (1D/12H) is still constructive, but LTF and 1W remain in control — the 111,965.5 pivot is the market’s hinge. 1D/12H: Under 111,965.5 cap; a clean close above unlocks 116.4–116.9k then 117,495.9. 6H/4H: Tech rebound from 108.8–109k; 4H shows ISPD = BUY (contrarian) — relief rally possible as long as 108,757.9 holds. 2H/1H/30m/15m: Descending structures; seller-led 30m volume spikes; dominant tactic = fade rallies below 111,965.5. Key confluences/divergences: Singular hinge at 111,965.5 across TFs; 4H contrarian BUY vs LTF SELL → bounce risk, but not durable without a pivot reclaim. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro remains binary (rates/inflation/tariffs), feeding flow volatility that maps directly to BTC’s HTF levels. Macro events: - Political pressure on the Fed (talk of firing Lisa Cook) and “SBR” debate → USD/UST swings, less certain rate path. - Record tariff collections, 200% threats, choppy oil → persistent inflation noise. - HFs very short VIX → heightened September vol risk, fewer “clean” breaks. Bitcoin analysis: - Technical: ~111k; 113k highlighted as reclaim level; below the Kumo → failure risks drift, reclaim suggests range re-entry. - Flows: +$88.1M net spot-ETF inflow (Aug 26) after heavy outflows → mixed, headline-sensitive. - Institutions: selective buyers (e.g., Metaplanet); US debate on a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve → sentiment driven by headlines. On-chain data: - Derivatives-led, high OI with recent flush; notable USDC/USDT mints/transfers; exchange outflows → potential fuel, price must confirm. Expected impact: - This macro/on-chain mix supports a “Neutral Sell” bias while below 111,965.5; above it, room for a squeeze toward 116.4–116.9k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC sits below a decisive weekly pivot with intraday selling pressure and only a tentative HTF bid. - Overall trend: bearish/neutral while under 111,965.5; constructive again only after a confirmed reclaim. - Most relevant setup: sell-on-rips 111.8–112.0k toward 110.5k/108.8k; flip long only after a 111,965.5 close + pullback. - One key macro factor: Fed-policy uncertainty and tariffs keep volatility elevated and cap breakouts. Stay disciplined: trade HTF levels, respect invalidations, and watch the volume spikes. ⚠️ __________________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
AUDUSD: Uptrend SupportedCurrently, AUDUSD is showing a steady uptrend, with the price staying above important support levels and gradually moving towards the next resistance levels. The chart shows a break of the 0.64700 resistance, which opens up further growth potential. The nearest target for this pair is 0.65600, and if the trend continues, AUDUSD may push further upwards. Fundamental Analysis: After Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks, the weakening of the USD has given more strength to the AUD. If the core PCE index on August 29 comes in lower than expected, this could result in a less aggressive rate hike, weakening the USD, while both gold and AUD continue to rise. Trading Strategy: If the price of AUDUSD breaks through the 0.64700 resistance zone, consider opening a buy position with a target at 0.65600. To protect the trade, set a stop-loss below the 0.64700 support level. In case of a price correction, the 0.64700 level remains an important point to monitor for a continuation of the uptrend. With supporting technical and fundamental factors, the uptrend of AUDUSD is likely to continue in the near future. Keep an eye on economic news and adjust strategies accordingly to take advantage of this upward momentum.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
7
Gold Continues Strong Rise – Will the PCE Decide the Trend?XAUUSD is currently in a strong uptrend, breaking through key resistance levels and staying above the EMA (34) and EMA (89), with support at 3,363 USD. The next resistance levels for gold are at 3,400 USD , with TP1 at 3,408 USD and TP2 at 3,435 USD. If gold stays above these support levels and breaks through 3,400 USD, the uptrend will continue, targeting higher levels. From a fundamental perspective, a few days ago, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks indicated expectations to maintain a tightening policy if economic data continues to support it. The core PCE index on August 29 will be the deciding factor for gold's trend. If the PCE index is higher than expected (0.3%), the USD could strengthen, putting downward pressure on gold. On the other hand, if the index is lower than expected, the USD will weaken, and gold could continue its strong uptrend. In conclusion, if gold stays above 3,361 USD and breaks through the 3,400 USD resistance level, the uptrend will continue, with targets of 3,408 USD (TP1) and 3,435 USD (TP2). However, the upcoming PCE index results will be the deciding factor for whether gold can continue its rise. Stay tuned and keep an eye on the market!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
8
Gold Plan – Captain Vincent ( 27/08 )XAU/USD – Trump strengthens power at the FED, gold ranging around Storm Breaker 1. News Waves 🌍 Trump: “We will soon hold the majority at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” U.S. Senate: preparing hearings next week for Trump’s FED nominee, S. Miran. 👉 This signals Trump is consolidating power at the FED. Markets fear the FED could lose independence → USD volatility rises, gold benefits from safe-haven flows. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → high chance of profit-taking sell pressure. On H1, multiple unfilled FVGs remain around 3355 and 3330, suggesting gold may retrace to test these support zones before deciding direction. Intraday trend: range-bound movement → Sell at resistance, short-term Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Storm Breaker 🌊): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 Supports: 3372 ( Minor Shield 🛡️ ) 3355 ( Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone ) 3344 ( Intermediate Shield 🛡️ ) 3330 ( Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone ) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (priority setup) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (major support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ “Today gold stands before the Storm Breaker 🌊 , but below lie multiple shields of support. Smart traders may take a quick ride at Quick Boarding 🚤 , or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🇺🇸➡️🇮🇳 U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Indian goods (textiles, gems, leather, machinery) starting today — inflation & trade ripple risk. 💻 Earnings spotlight: Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, Alibaba reporting this week → tech volatility in focus. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ All Day — U.S. Treasury Auctions (10-year note, 5-year note + FRN). ⏰ 11:45 AM — Richmond Fed Pres. Tom Barkin speaks. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #tariffs #India #Treasury #earnings #tech #Nvidia
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
USD/JPY: Downtrend Continues with Weak SupportCurrent Situation: USD/JPY is trading around 147.60, down from its recent high of 148.700. The pair has broken through the key support level at 147.800, opening the possibility for further downside. Downward Target: If USD/JPY maintains below 147.800, the downtrend could continue, with the next support levels at 146.800 and 146.300. Trading Strategy: Prioritize selling on any bounce towards 147.500–147.800. Set the target at 146.800 and 146.300, with a stop loss above 148.00 for risk management. Supporting News: Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at Jackson Hole, signaled that the Fed may ease tightening sooner if the labor market weakens. This has led to a decline in U.S. bond yields and a weaker USD, providing favorable conditions for JPY to strengthen.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Bitcoin: Is the Uptrend Gaining Strength?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $110,280, after a drop from a recent peak of $116,700. Despite the correction, BTC remains above important support levels, consolidating its uptrend. Supporting News: Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at Jackson Hole signal that the Fed may ease tightening measures if the labor market weakens. This has led to a decline in U.S. bond yields and a weaker USD, providing favorable conditions for BTC to maintain its upward momentum. Technical Analysis: BTC has broken through the resistance at $116,700 and is now consolidating above support at $108,900. If it stays above this level, BTC could continue targeting $116,700 and possibly even $120,000. Conclusion: With the support of Fed policies and a positive market trend, BTC has strong potential for further short-term gains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
Gold Watching 3,360 Support as Powell Dovish Tone Weighs on USDHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring Gold for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold (XAUUSD) recently broke above the 3,360 resistance, turning it into an important support level to watch on any pullback. A retracement into this zone could help determine whether the breakout has strength to extend toward higher levels. On the fundamental side, Fed Chair Powell struck a dovish tone, signaling support for a potential September rate cut, citing lower inflation pressures and risks in the labor market. This backdrop keeps USD under pressure and maintains a bullish bias for Gold in the near term. Monitoring price action around 3,360 to assess whether buyers defend this level or if deeper consolidation unfolds. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
26
AMD Pullback Opportunity After 70%+ Rally – Watching $111–$120 📈 AMD Update – Strategic Re-Entry Plan From our original buys at $108, AMD has delivered an impressive 70%+ rally. This strong momentum reflects continued bullish sentiment and growth potential in the semiconductor sector. We’re now looking to add on a pullback into a confluence support zone between $111 and $120. This level aligns with the: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement 99-day TRAMA Horizontal support at $120 📍 Entry Zone: $111–$120 🎯 Take Profit Targets: $160 / $220 / $300 ❌ Stop Loss: Weekly close below $100 #AMD #NASDAQ #SwingTrade #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingIdeas
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
Gold and the Calm Before the Breakout StormGold Technical Outlook: Trend: Gold has been in a sustained uptrend since late 2024, holding well above the 200-day SMA (3,062) and stabilizing around the 50-day SMA (3,346). Resistance: The top of the consolidation range sits near 3,430–3,450, a key barrier that has rejected multiple breakout attempts. Support: On the downside, the base of the range is marked around 3,245, which aligns with a prior swing low. The rising 50-day SMA provides additional dynamic support. Momentum: RSI is steady at 55, showing room for upside but not yet overbought. MACD is modestly positive, hinting at a gradual recovery in bullish momentum. Structure: Price is currently oscillating in a horizontal range (3,245–3,450) after its sharp rally, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than trend reversal. What this means: Gold remains in consolidation but within a strong broader uptrend. The 3,430–3,450 resistance zone is the key breakout level to watch — a close above it could re-ignite bullish momentum and open the door for fresh highs. On the flip side, failure to hold the 3,245 floor would signal deeper corrective risk. For now, this looks like a bullish continuation pattern with traders awaiting a decisive breakout from the range to confirm the next leg. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
USD/MXN Downtrend Probing Support AgainTechnical outlook: Trend: The pair remains locked in a downward channel since late April, with price respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. This confirms a well-defined bearish structure. Resistance: The upper channel line and the 50-day SMA (18.75) converge as a strong cap. Above that, the 19.07–19.49 zone is the next resistance cluster. Support: Immediate support lies near 18.58, followed by the lower channel boundary toward the 18.20–18.00 area if pressure persists. Momentum: RSI sits just below neutral (47), not showing strong conviction yet. MACD remains in negative territory, keeping bearish momentum intact. Moving averages: Price is still well below the 200-day SMA (19.74), reinforcing the dominant downside bias. What this means: USD/MXN remains under selling pressure, with rallies repeatedly capped by the channel top. Unless price breaks above the 18.75/19.00 area, the path of least resistance points lower toward 18.20. A confirmed breakout above the descending channel, however, would suggest the start of a corrective rebound. This remains a bearish channel play, but traders should watch the interaction with the channel top closely, as a breakout could shift short-term momentum. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Coiling - When Will We See a Breakout?EUR/USD Technical outlook: Resistance: Price is capped by a descending trendline from the July highs, aligning near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement around 1.1745, which is the key ceiling to watch. Support: The horizontal structure at 1.1580 is repeatedly tested but holding firm, making it a crucial pivot. Below this, the 50-day SMA (1.1656) has also been acting as dynamic support. Momentum: RSI sits near neutral (51), showing no strong directional bias yet. MACD is flat, indicating consolidation rather than trend continuation. Moving averages: Price remains above the 200-day SMA (1.1018), confirming the broader bullish trend is intact despite the current pause. What this means: EUR/USD is stuck in a tightening range between 1.1580 support and the descending trendline/Fibonacci resistance. A breakout above the trendline could reopen the path toward the 1.18 region, while a breakdown under 1.1580 may trigger a deeper retracement toward 1.14–1.13. This consolidation looks like a classic “pressure build-up” phase. Traders may want to watch for a decisive daily close outside of this compression zone to gauge the next major move. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD – Is the Uptrend Coming Back?EUR/USD is trading around 1.162–1.163, after a slight rebound from the support zone near 1.16100. The uptrend is reinforced as the pair holds above key EMAs and maintains a clear technical structure. The nearest upside target is the resistance area around 1.16500, followed by the July high near 1.17000 if momentum remains strong. Suggested strategy: Favor Buy on dip around 1.1600–1.1610. Target 1.1650 first, then 1.1700+. Stop-loss below 1.1580. Supporting news: At Jackson Hole, Powell signaled that the Fed could ease policy if the labor market weakens, pushing the USD lower and boosting EUR/USD. The pair sustains its recovery as key support holds, aiming for a breakout above higher resistance.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
11
EURGBP Watching 0.86200 Support with 0.87100 in FocusIn today's session, EURGBP is trading within a broader uptrend, but price action is currently undergoing a correction phase. The pair is approaching the 0.86200 support zone, which aligns with the ascending trend structure that has been respected over recent weeks. This level has previously acted as both support and resistance, making it an area worth close attention. Should price stabilize around 0.86200, the 0.87100 region becomes a logical area of interest. This zone is notable because it coincides with both a horizontal resistance level and the partial trend intersection, which often acts as a technical magnet for price. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
2
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, SILVER Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 The pair is now consolidating within a wide horizontal range. We see a test of its support now. Probabilities will be high, that a bullish movement will follow from that. 2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦 The pair is positioned strongly bullish, respecting a solid rising trend line after a pullback. With a high probability, growth will continue. 3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇯🇵🇺🇸 Similarly to EURUSD, the pair is consolidating. The price is trading in the middle of the horizontal parallel channel. With a high probability, it will start growing soon and reach the resistance of the range. 4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙 The price has recently updated a local high, breaking a significant horizontal resistance cluster. We see its retest now. There is a great chance that the market will cotinue rising soon. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
5