Get started

Technical Analysis

This Is a Distribution Trap Below ResistanceBITCOIN (BTCUSD) — H1 MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure BTC is still trading within a short-term bearish structure. Despite the recent bounce from the support zone, the market continues to form lower highs under a well-defined resistance band. The recovery leg is corrective, not impulsive a key sign that sellers remain in control. Price behavior shows: Strong sell-off → weak rebound No higher high formed Structure remains capped below resistance 2. Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone: 88,800 – 89,600 This is a major supply area aligned with previous breakdown structure and EMA resistance. Support Zone: 84,800 – 85,400 A critical liquidity pool where buyers previously defended, but still vulnerable to another sweep. 3. Moving Averages & Momentum EMA 34 (blue): Acting as dynamic resistance during the rebound. EMA 89 (red): Still trending downward and clearly above price → confirms bearish market bias. Momentum lacks follow-through; bullish candles are short-lived and overlap heavily. 4. Market Psychology & Liquidity The current consolidation is distribution, not accumulation: - Buyers are chasing rebounds after a sharp drop. - Smart money is selling into strength below resistance. - The market is building liquidity for a second downside expansion. This sideways-up movement is designed to: - Trap late buyers - Create exit liquidity for sellers - Prepare for continuation lower 5. Scenario Outlook 🔽 Primary Scenario (High Probability): Bearish Continuation Price fails at resistance Sideways consolidation completes Breakdown toward: - First target: 85,800 - Main target: 84,500 - Extension: 83,800 – 84,000 🔼 Invalidation Scenario Only if BTC breaks and holds above 89,600 with strong volume, the bearish structure is invalidated and a deeper recovery becomes possible. 6. Trading Bias Main Bias: Bearish Market Phase: Distribution → Liquidity Setup Strategy: Sell rallies near resistance, avoid long positions inside corrective moves. Conclusion BTC is not showing strength it is recycling liquidity below resistance. Until the resistance zone is decisively broken, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Patience is key; the real move comes after distribution is complete.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Just Defended the FloorETHUSD (H1) — MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure Ethereum has successfully defended the key support zone around 2,900 – 2,920, forming a strong rejection candle after the recent sell-off. This confirms that the prior drop was a liquidity sweep, not a trend reversal. The structure now shows a higher low, signaling a short-term bullish shift. 2. Key Zones Support Zone: 2,900 – 2,920 This level has been tested and defended decisively, indicating active demand. Target 1: ~3,060 First upside objective aligned with previous intraday resistance. Target 2: ~3,160 Higher liquidity target and next major resistance zone. 3. Price Action & Momentum Strong impulsive bullish candle from support → clear sign of buyer aggression. Pullback structure remains shallow, showing no strong selling pressure. Price acceptance above support suggests continuation rather than retracement. 4. Market Psychology This move reflects smart money re-entry after forcing weak hands out below support. Late sellers are now trapped, and any consolidation above the support zone increases the probability of a trend continuation push upward. 5. Scenario Outlook 🔼 Primary Scenario (High Probability): Hold above 2,900 – 2,920 Minor consolidation / pullback Expansion toward: TP1: 3,060 TP2: 3,160 🔽 Invalidation Scenario: Strong breakdown and close below 2,880 → would open room for a deeper correction. Conclusion ETH is showing clean bullish re-accumulation behavior after a liquidity grab. As long as price holds above the support zone, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, with buyers firmly back in control.
OANDA:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Two Forces Cancel Each Other Out, EURUSD Tilts BearishAlthough the USD is weakening due to expectations that the Fed will continue its monetary easing , EURUSD has failed to break higher as the euro’s internal strength shows clear signs of weakness . With these two fundamental forces offsetting each other , the market is gradually leaning toward a short-term corrective decline. On the fundamental side, disappointing Eurozone PMI data highlights a sharper-than-expected slowdown in economic growth , particularly in manufacturing and services. This has weighed on the euro, preventing EURUSD from capitalizing on USD weakness and increasing the likelihood of a pullback as buying momentum fades. From a technical perspective, price is currently pulling back to retest the rising trendline and the Ichimoku cloud, signaling that selling pressure is building. The preferred technical scenario is a pullback toward the 1.1700 area, where dynamic support and structural support converge. At this stage, it is more appropriate to observe price reaction at key support levels rather than expect a strong upside move. The market is testing patience—and it is often during these corrective phases that the clearest opportunities begin to emerge.
Short
by Paradise_Noir
2
USDJPY Still Hot – 157.00 Is CallingHello traders, USDJPY is currently showing a short-term bullish bias , as the narrative of a weak JPY despite the BOJ’s rate hike has not yet shifted overall market sentiment. Although the BOJ raised rates to 0.75%, the yen remains soft, indicating that much of the move was already priced in, and markets are still skeptical about the pace of further tightening. At the same time, the USD continues to hold relative strength across the currency basket, providing a solid foundation for USDJPY to stay supported. From a technical perspective, price action reflects a “slow but steady” uptrend : higher lows are being formed, and the 155.50 area is acting as a key support and pivot zone . The consolidation around 155.5–156.0 suggests accumulation, and as long as this base holds, the probability favors a move higher to retest the upper resistance. The preferred scenario is to look for BUY opportunities on pullbacks : if price holds above 155.50 and shows a rebound, the near-term target is 157.00. Only a clear H4 close below 155.50 would weaken the short-term bullish outlook and warrant a reassessment. Thank you for listening, and wishing you successful trading ahead.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
8
EURUSD Finds Its Rhythm: Buyers Remain in ControlIn the current trading phase, EURUSD is presenting a clean and easy-to-read bullish structure , especially when viewed against a news backdrop that has recently tilted slightly in favor of the euro . Following the ECB’s more stable and optimistic tone , the market has shown less appetite for aggressive USD buying, creating room for EUR to maintain its short-term advantage . Looking at the chart, the price structure remains clearly constructive : the uptrend is intact with higher highs and higher lows. Recent pullbacks appear to be nothing more than a healthy pause, as price continues to find solid support around the 1.1700 zone — a well-defined technical level where buying interest repeatedly steps in. This behavior confirms that buyers are still in control, rather than stepping aside. Under a favorable scenario, EURUSD has room to extend higher and test the 1.1800 area , which stands as the nearest resistance and a logical upside target for the current move. As long as price holds above 1.1700, the bullish bias remains dominant, and any pullback should be viewed as opportunity rather than risk. In summary, EURUSD is advancing in an orderly bullish manner — not rushing into a breakout, yet showing no signs of meaningful weakness . If market sentiment remains steady, the upside path stays open for traders willing to stay patient and follow the trend.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
Ethereum Isn’t Weak — It’s Being AbsorbedETH/USD – H1 Technical Breakdown Ethereum is currently trading inside a well-defined sideways range, bounded by a firm support zone near the lower box and a clearly defended resistance band above. This is not random consolidation it is structured balance, where liquidity is being built rather than released. On the price action side, ETH has repeatedly swept liquidity near the support zone and responded with sharp rebounds, indicating aggressive absorption by buyers. Each sell-off into the lower boundary has failed to extend, suggesting that downside momentum is being capped. Meanwhile, upside attempts are still capped by the resistance zone, keeping price compressed inside the range. From a trend and moving average perspective, price is now attempting to reclaim the short-term EMA, while the longer EMA still acts as a dynamic ceiling. This creates a classic compression environment: volatility contracts, fake moves appear, and impatient traders are forced out. Market Logic Going Forward - As long as ETH holds above the support zone, downside remains corrective, not trend-defining. - A clean acceptance above the resistance zone would signal range resolution, opening room for expansion toward the upper targets. - Until that happens, ETH is in a positioning phase, not a trending phase — chasing candles inside the box remains low probability. Key Takeaway This is not a market choosing direction yet. It is a market testing commitment. The real move begins when price leaves the range with acceptance, not when it reacts inside it.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
NQ (Nasdaq 100 Futures) - Technical Short SetupMarket Context & Thesis Price action on the NQ is approaching a significant technical confluence, suggesting a potential reversal zone favorable for short positioning. The setup is defined by two key Fibonacci retracement levels aligning closely, indicating strengthened resistance. Technical Rationale Primary Resistance Confluence: Price is nearing the convergence of two distinct .382 Fibonacci retracement levels. A longer-term .382 retracement measured from the late-October high to the November low. A more recent .382 retracement from the December 10th high. Volume Analysis: The rally to the longer-term .382 level in November was accompanied by strong volume (~11M), potentially representing a prior distribution zone. The subsequent advance to the current zone has occurred on notably lower volume (~3M), indicating weakening bullish momentum and lack of broad participation, which supports the reversal premise. Conclusion The confluence of dual Fibonacci resistance, corroborated by divergent volume profiles, presents a high-probability short entry opportunity. The trade structure offers a disciplined, quantified approach with a positive expected value based on 3:1 risk-reward framework.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by 618SurfClub
Fast Bounce Setup | Price: 63.33 → Target: 66.49 (+5%)Fundamentals 📊 HALO continues to show strong revenue and profit forecasts, with steady growth expectations. The fundamental outlook remains supportive for short-term upside. Repeated Behavior 🔍 This stock has a repeated pattern of delivering at least a 5% bounce from similar oversold or congested zones. The current structure matches previous cycles. Price Action 📉➡️📈 Price action at this level is reacting to a resistance zone, which historically leads to a quick 5% reaction move before continuation or pullback.
NASDAQ:HALOLong
by ali-lavin
2
NZDUSD Update: Kiwi Is Looking For More Upside After CorrectionWe talked about the Kiwi(NZDUSD) back in October, where we mentioned and highlighted a bottom formation within an ending diagonal / wedge pattern for wave C of an ABC corrective decline. As you can see today, Kiwi is nicely bouncing and recovering after RBNZ cut interest rates in November, and forecasts suggest the broader committee believes the nadir has been hit for the easing cycle. So the Kiwi is coming up as no room for cuts, for now. Notice it can be now bottom after the wedge pattern into wave C, due to an impulsive recovery, which we see it as a wave 1 of a new five-wave bullish cycle. So seems like more upside is coming within wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, but ideally after the current corrective setback in wave 2 with supports at 0.5750 – 0.5700. The reason Kiwi could see more upside into late 2025 and early 2026 is due to a bullish stock market, which still has room for gains. S&P 500 and NZD/USD (Kiwi) have been in a tight positive correlation since the November lows. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is set to resume its bullish trend, the Kiwi could easily follow.
Long
by ew-forecast
XRP – Daily OutlookXRP Army, Price is still trading inside a descending channel, keeping the short-term structure bearish. We recently saw a reaction from daily support, but this move alone is not enough to confirm a reversal. In the past, this support level has shown clean deviations, where price dipped below and quickly reclaimed the level. A similar scenario could play out again, but confirmation is required. Key observation: For any bullish continuation, XRP needs to reclaim the broken support level and hold above it. Without a reclaim, this move remains a relief bounce within a downtrend. I’ll be watching lower timeframes for a potential deviation and reclaim before considering longs. Until then, caution is warranted. Levels to watch: Resistance: reclaimed support + upper channel Support: current daily support zone MrC
by Mrctradinglab
9
JTO – Weekly OutlookPrice broke below the previous support and confirmed an S/R flip, turning that level into resistance. Last wick from October 6th is now fully filled, which means that inefficiency has been resolved. We are currently trading below key weekly support, and price is consolidating at lows. At this point, there is no clear confirmation of a reversal yet. Key observation: If price creates a deviation below current support, I’ll be watching for long opportunities on lower timeframes, targeting a move back into the range. If not, this level may act as acceptance and continuation to the downside. Patience is key here — let the market show its hand. Levels to watch: Resistance: previous weekly support (now S/R flip) Support: current lows after wick fill What do you think — deviation reclaim incoming or further downside first?
by Mrctradinglab
2
DAX Rebound Signals Potential Upside After Key Support HoldGerman DAX was very non-directional, basically since June of 2025 and what I see is some very nasty moves on both sides of the market, but what got our attention recently is that the price has stopped at key support levels around 23k to 23300 area, from where we can see a very interesting and strong rebound. What is most important is that this rebound is coming after only three waves down from all-time highs, so it can be part of a WXY complex correction here in a fourth wave on a daily chart. Of course there can be some other labelings as well, but with any approach you will probably come out with the same idea that this whole price action in this five to six month range is corrective, and whenever we see a correction we know that sooner or later it should be fully retraced, meaning the price could already be headed back toward the highs from current levels. Bounce looks impulsive, and it may have formed a bullish setup formation with waves 1 and 2, so we think that more gains are coming within wave 3, especially if breaks back above 24500 bullish confirmation level.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by ew-forecast
This Pullback Is Not a Sell SignalEUR/USD is still bullish inside a clear ascending channel. Price is consolidating near the upper half of the structure this is pause, not reversal. Key Points Structure: Higher highs & higher lows remain intact Support: EMA 34 & EMA 89 + channel support holding Current move = supply absorption, not distribution Scenarios Main: Hold above channel → continuation toward 1.176 → 1.180 → 1.184 Risk: Only a clean break below channel invalidates the bullish setup Bias: Buy pullbacks, don’t chase Strong trends pause before they move again.
Long
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2
EURUSD Lost Momentum — And the Pullback Is Not Finished YetHello Guys EURUSD on H1 has shifted from impulsive upside into a clear corrective phase after failing to hold above the prior structure high. The sharp rejection from the top was followed by strong bearish candles that broke back below the key intraday support around 1.1710, signaling that buyers have stepped aside and short-term control has rotated to sellers. Current price action shows weak rebounds and lower highs, consistent with a corrective unwind rather than consolidation for continuation. Structurally, price is now retesting broken support from below, which is acting as resistance. As long as EURUSD remains capped under the 1.1710–1.1720 zone, the path of least resistance stays to the downside. The projected sequence favors a brief corrective bounce, followed by continuation lower toward the next demand zone around 1.1680–1.1690, where stronger buying interest may reappear. From a macro perspective, this technical pullback aligns with a short-term USD bid driven by cautious risk sentiment and relative strength in U.S. data. With the Fed maintaining a restrictive stance longer than the ECB and rate differentials still favoring the dollar, EUR upside lacks strong macro support in the near term. This environment reinforces the idea that EURUSD rallies are corrective unless macro conditions shift meaningfully. In summary, EURUSD is in a short-term corrective decline. Below reclaimed resistance, downside continuation toward lower support remains favored. This is not a trend-reversal setup yet, but a momentum reset — patience is required until price reaches demand or macro conditions change enough to justify renewed euro strength.
Short
by RexTraderSignal
1
USDJPY Bullish Structure Approaches High-Risk Supply AreaUSDJPY (30-Minute) – Bullish Continuation Into a Critical Reversal Zone This USDJPY 30-minute chart clearly shows strong bullish momentum after a clean breakout from a symmetrical consolidation structure. Price action respects structure, volume behavior, and key zones, making this setup ideal for short-term and intraday traders who wait for confirmation rather than chasing price. Market Structure & Price Action USDJPY was previously trading inside a tight consolidation / wedge-like structure, showing indecision and compression. This phase acted like a spring — storing energy before the move. Once price broke above the upper trendline, buyers stepped in aggressively, confirming a valid bullish breakout. After the breakout, price formed higher highs and higher lows, which confirms that the market is now in a short-term bullish trend. The impulsive candles following the breakout show strong buyer conviction, not a weak or false move. Breakout Confirmation & Momentum The breakout was not random. It occurred after multiple rejections inside the structure, indicating that sellers were getting weaker. Once resistance was broken, price did not immediately pull back deeply — a classic sign of trend strength. Momentum remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout level. However, price is now approaching a pre-marked supply / reversal zone, which increases the probability of a reaction. Key Resistance & Reversal Zone The highlighted green area represents a high-probability reversal zone, where: Previous selling pressure exists Liquidity is likely resting above highs Smart money may look to take profits The chart specifically highlights a “Volume Burst” zone, meaning if price enters this area with increasing volume, it could signal either: A final push (liquidity grab), or Exhaustion leading to a reversal At this level, blind buying is risky. The note “Pattern Needed” is very important — traders should wait for clear confirmation before taking any position. Trading Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and closes above the reversal zone with strong volume and structure continuation, it would indicate buyers are still in control, opening the door for further upside continuation. Bearish / Pullback Scenario: If price forms a rejection pattern (such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wick, or lower high) inside this zone, it may signal a short-term correction or deeper pullback, targeting previous breakout levels. Trading Psychology & Execution This chart is a perfect example of why patience matters. The move is already extended, and chasing price here carries poor risk-to-reward. The smart approach is: Let price come into the zone Watch how it reacts Enter only after confirmation This is how professional traders protect capital and trade probabilities, not emotions. Summary USDJPY remains bullish overall, but price is now testing a critical decision-making area. The next move will depend on price behavior and volume reaction inside the reversal zone. Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and let the market show its hand before committing to a trade.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSDT 30M Analysis – Liquidity, Reversal & Retest AnalysisBTCUSDT (Bitcoin Perpetual) – 30M Liquidity, Reversal & Retest Analysis This 30-minute BTCUSDT perpetual chart presents a clean smart-money narrative, showing how price reacted from a discount reversal zone and is now approaching a major supply / decision area where the next directional move will be defined. Strong Sell-Off & Liquidity Flush On the left side of the chart, Bitcoin experiences a sharp bearish impulse, breaking market structure and accelerating to the downside. This move is aggressive, emotional, and volume-driven — a classic liquidity flush designed to trigger panic selling and stop-losses from late buyers. This impulsive drop sets the stage for a potential mean reversion rather than continuation. Discount Reversal Zone Reaction Price taps into a clearly marked Reversal Zone near the lows. This area aligns with: Discount pricing Prior demand Sell-side liquidity being fully taken The reaction is immediate and strong, confirming institutional buying interest. Long wicks and strong bullish candles indicate absorption of selling pressure and the beginning of a controlled recovery. Shift in Market Structure (Internal BOS) Following the bounce, BTC prints a clean bullish impulse, breaking internal lower highs. This suggests a short-term shift in structure, transitioning from bearish continuation to bullish corrective or reversal mode. This move is not random — it is technically supported by liquidity and structure alignment. Approach Into Supply / Premium Zone Price is now rallying directly into a previous supply / resistance zone, highlighted in green. This area previously caused strong selling pressure and is considered a premium zone where smart money typically looks for shorts, not fresh longs. The chart clearly notes: Volume Burst expected on first touch Retesting phase inside the zone Need for a bearish confirmation pattern This means buyers are likely pushing price up to distribute positions, while sellers wait for confirmation to enter. Key Scenario Expectations At current levels, BTC is at a make-or-break zone: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): If price forms rejection wicks, bearish engulfing, or lower timeframe structure breaks, this zone can act as a distribution area, leading to a pullback or deeper correction. Bullish Continuation Scenario: A strong 30M close above the supply zone with sustained volume would invalidate the short idea and open the path toward higher liquidity targets. Until confirmation appears, patience is critical. Trading Psychology Insight This chart reflects a common trap: Retail traders chase the bullish move after a strong bounce, while smart money waits at premium levels to fade the rally. The note “Need Any Bearish Pattern” reinforces the importance of confirmation over prediction. Overall Bias Short-term: Bullish correction Current zone: High-risk longs / potential short setup Best strategy: Wait for bearish confirmation inside supply Market behavior: Liquidity-driven, not trend-driven Final Thought This BTCUSDT setup is a textbook example of buying fear at discount and selling strength at premium. The next move will not come from guessing — it will come from reaction and confirmation at this key zone. ⚠️ Always manage risk and wait for confirmation. This is a technical perspective, not financial advice.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – 2H Market Structure & Liquidity AnalysisXAUUSD (Gold Spot) – 2H Market Structure & Liquidity Analysis This 2-hour XAUUSD chart clearly highlights a liquidity-driven market, where price is reacting precisely around key supply, demand, and liquidity levels. The structure shows how smart money manipulation plays out before the next directional move. Higher Timeframe Liquidity Sweep & Rejection At the top of the chart, price sweeps the previous 1D high, labeled as “1D Sweep / Rejection”. This is a classic liquidity grab, where buy-side liquidity above the highs is taken, followed by an aggressive rejection. The long upper wick confirms strong selling pressure from premium levels, signaling that institutions used this area to distribute positions rather than continue higher. This rejection shifts market bias from bullish continuation to range or corrective behavior. Cold Squeeze & Compression Phase On the left side, price consolidates inside a tight range marked as “Cold Squeeze”. This area represents low volatility and order accumulation, where both buyers and sellers are trapped. Such zones often precede strong impulsive moves, and in this case, price eventually expands out of the range with increased volatility. Supply Used & Rising Wedge Formation As price moves lower, we see a labeled “Supply Used” zone, meaning sellers previously active here have already been absorbed. Following that, price forms a rising wedge / ascending channel, which is a bearish corrective structure rather than true bullish strength. This wedge acts as a pullback within a broader bearish context, allowing smart money to reload sell positions while retail traders chase longs. QFL Reaction & Weak Highs Near the mid-section of the chart, price reacts around a QFL (Quasimodo / Failed Low-High concept) area. The highs formed here are weak and overlapping, showing lack of momentum. This confirms that buyers are struggling to push price higher sustainably. Indecision Zone & Any-Side Break On the right side, price enters a tight consolidation marked as “Any-side Break”. This zone represents market indecision, where liquidity is building on both sides. A strong candle close above or below this range will likely trigger a sharp impulsive move as stop orders get activated. Until that break happens, the market remains neutral and reactive, favoring short-term scalps rather than aggressive directional trades. Key Reversal Zone Below Below current price, a clearly marked Reversal Zone sits around the discount area. This zone aligns with: Previous demand Liquidity resting below equal lows A potential mitigation area for bullish reaction If price breaks down from the current range, this zone becomes a high-probability bounce or reversal area, especially if bullish confirmation appears on lower timeframes. Overall Market Bias Short-term bias: Neutral → Waiting for range breakout Above range: Possible stop-hunt but expect selling pressure again Below range: High probability move toward the reversal / demand zone Smart money behavior: Liquidity sweeps, false breakouts, and controlled distribution Trading Insight This chart is a textbook example of liquidity engineering. Instead of chasing direction, the smarter approach is to wait for confirmation after the any-side break, then align entries with liquidity targets and higher timeframe context. Patience here is key — the market is loading fuel, not yet revealing direction. ⚠️ Note: Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly. This analysis is based on price action and liquidity concepts, not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
2
Gold Is Quiet — But Pressure Is BuildingGold is maintaining a bullish continuation structure, not showing signs of distribution. - Trend: Price is moving inside a rising channel with higher lows intact. - Structure: Pullbacks are corrective and shallow, showing buyers defending each dip. - Dynamic Support: Price is holding above EMA 34 & EMA 89 → bullish control remains. Key Levels: - Target 1: 4,348 - Target 2 (Old ATH): 4,379 Outlook Primary scenario: Consolidation → push to Target 1 → extension toward Old ATH. Alternative: Short-term pullback to channel support to reload before continuation. Focus: As long as price holds above the rising channel and EMAs, bias stays bullish. Patience here is part of the trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2