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Technical Analysis

Gold Just Confirmed the Breakout...........1. Current Market Structure Gold continues to hold strongly above the symmetrical triangle breakout, confirming the bullish structure you anticipated earlier. Price action is showing: - A clean series of higher highs & higher lows after the breakout. - Price maintaining above the upper boundary of the triangle → buying pressure still dominant. - EMA 34 acting as dynamic intraday support. - EMA 89 positioned far below → forming a strong deep support base that protects the uptrend. - Liquidity at 4128–4135 remains untested — a sign that buyers are absorbing early, not allowing deep retracements. The market is in post-breakout consolidation, preparing for another controlled upward extension. 2. Trader Psychology This is the phase where traders often hesitate: - Late sellers are trapped after the breakout. - Impatient buyers chase the move at the top. - Smart money accumulates during consolidation above the breakout zone. Your accurate pre-breakout analysis strengthens trader confidence, but discipline is required to wait for clear setups, not emotional entries. 3. Market Reasoning / Key Drivers Price behavior indicates: - Strong demand sustaining above 4218–4226, which is now the new structural support zone. - Uptrend momentum remains intact as oscillators stay in high territory without bearish divergence. - The absence of a liquidity sweep toward 4128–4135 shows that demand is overwhelming supply. - Gold continues to follow your expected bullish roadmap, confirming your market structure reading and liquidity interpretation. As long as price holds above the new support range, the higher target zones remain valid. 4. Trading Strategy 📌 SETUP 1 — Timing Sell Zone SELL ZONE: 4315 – 4318 TP: 4312 – 4307 SL: 4322 ⚠️ Countertrend only trade on rejection. Manage risk carefully. 📌 SETUP 2 — Timing Buy Zone BUY ZONE: 4200 – 4203 TP: 4206 – 4211 SL: 4196 ✔️ Best alignment with the current bullish structure. 5. Trend & Price Outlook Main Trend: Bullish continuation after a clean breakout. Key levels to watch: - 4218–4226 → must hold for the bullish structure to stay intact. - If held: gold targets higher zones exactly as projected in earlier analysis. - Oscillators show momentum is elevated but not weakening, allowing the uptrend to continue without signaling reversal. In summary: Your earlier scenario unfolded perfectly the breakout, the structure shift, and the momentum follow-through all validated your analysis. The market continues to move in line with your roadmap, reinforcing your credibility and mastery of price behavior and liquidity flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Gold Breaks the Triangle - Liquidity Targets Now in Sight📌 MACRO ANALYSIS REPORT — GOLD BREAKS THE TRIANGLE, BULLISH MOMENTUM ACCELERATES 1. Global Macro Environment - Gold is navigating a highly supportive macro landscape as global financial conditions continue shifting toward lower yields, softer inflation, and rising risk-hedging flows. The U.S. economy has shown signs of gradual cooling most recently reflected in moderating labor data and softer inflation prints reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain restrictive policy. These developments keep real yields capped, which historically strengthens gold’s demand profile. - In addition, rising geopolitical uncertainty and fragile sovereign debt dynamics in multiple regions (Europe, Middle East, parts of Asia) are reinforcing the global bid for safe-haven assets. Central banks especially in emerging markets have continued accumulating physical gold as part of long-term reserve diversification strategies. These macro forces combine to create a structural floor beneath gold prices. 2. U.S. Dollar & Treasury Dynamics - The dollar has struggled to maintain upside momentum as markets increasingly price in the likelihood of policy normalization in 2025. Although the USD remains broadly resilient, the loss of bullish follow-through has weakened its pressure on commodities, especially gold. - U.S. Treasury yields also remain near key cycle lows after a sharper than expected deceleration in inflation indicators. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non yielding assets like gold, generating a more favorable environment for sustained upside movement. Combined with slowing global growth expectations, gold benefits from these yield/dollar dynamics aligning simultaneously. 3. Liquidity Conditions & Risk Sentiment - Global liquidity conditions have improved subtly as several major central banks shift from tightening to neutral stances. China continues to inject targeted liquidity to stabilize domestic financial markets and support manufacturing. The Bank of Japan maintains accommodative conditions, while the ECB signals caution amid slowing Eurozone demand. - Improved liquidity typically increases investors’ willingness to allocate capital toward alternative stores of value and inflation hedges—gold remains a primary beneficiary. Risk sentiment across global equities is stable but not euphoric, leaving investors open to diversifying into metals as a defensive balance. 4. Gold’s Structural Demand Beyond short-term macro drivers, the long-term structural demand for gold continues to intensify. - Central bank purchases remain near multi-year highs. - Retail demand is being reinforced by inflation concerns, currency instability in several emerging markets, and elevated geopolitical risk. - Institutional allocation into commodity baskets is increasing after years of underweight positioning. This sustained structural demand provides a strong macro foundation supporting gold’s technical breakout. 5. Technical Confirmation Backed by Macro - The chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle consolidation, a pattern typically appearing during periods of macro uncertainty. The strong breakout confirms that institutional flows are aligned with the broader macro narrative of falling yields and rising demand for safe haven exposure. The current ascending leg reflects: - Strong trend continuation - Aggressive dip buying - Absence of major supply zones until 4365–4370 liquidity This aligns perfectly with the global macro backdrop favoring further upside movement. 6. Forward-Looking Macro Risks While the outlook is constructive, a few key risks warrant monitoring: - A surprise rebound in U.S. inflation could revive dollar strength - Any aggressive Fed communication could temporarily suppress gold’s momentum - Rapid easing in geopolitical tensions could reduce haven flows However, none of these risks have materialized convincingly, allowing gold to maintain its bullish structure. 📈 Final Outlook Gold’s breakout is supported not only by technical strength but also by a robust macro foundation: softening yields, a stalling dollar, central bank buying, improving liquidity, and persistent geopolitical risk. As long as price maintains its higher-low structure and remains above channel support, the path toward the next major liquidity cluster at 4365–4370 remains firmly intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
8
This Gold Drop Is a Trap — Smart Money Is Waiting Right HereMARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: Gold is in a controlled corrective phase after failing to hold above the recent high. Price is now compressing toward a key demand zone, with momentum slowing rather than accelerating lower. This is not panic selling it’s positioning ahead of a macro catalyst. Structure Read: – Clear lower highs under a descending trendline → short-term bearish pressure – Price is approaching a major reaction level (~4,205 – 4,215) – This zone aligns with previous structure + demand, making it a decision point, not an automatic breakdown Key Levels: – Resistance: ~4,315 – 4,320 – Current Price Area: ~4,280 – Demand / Reaction Zone: 4,205 – 4,215 Macro Context – Why Non-Farm Matters Here – NFP is the next major volatility trigger for USD and yields – Market is currently flat positioning, waiting for labor data confirmation – A weaker NFP → USD softens → Gold likely reacts sharply from demand – A strong NFP → brief downside liquidity sweep possible, but still into major demand This explains the compression and hesitation on the chart — institutions are waiting, not exiting. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario – Reaction then Expansion (Post-NFP): – Price sweeps liquidity into 4,205 – 4,215 – Holds structure – Sharp reaction higher toward 4,315 – 4,320 – Break above opens room for trend continuation Alternative Scenario – Deeper Shakeout: – Only a clean acceptance below 4,200 – Would delay bullish continuation, not invalidate the larger structure Gold is not breaking it’s waiting. The market is pausing ahead of Non-Farm, letting liquidity build before direction is revealed. Wait for Non-Farm. Let the data move price not emotion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
EUR/USD Is Coiling — The Next Push Is Being PreparedMARKET BRIEFING – EUR/USD (1H) Market State: – EUR/USD is holding a constructive bullish structure, transitioning into a controlled consolidation after the impulsive leg higher. Price continues to respect higher lows, indicating buyers remain engaged. Key Levels: – Range Support: 1.1730 – 1.1740 – Mid-Range Balance: ~1.1750 – 1.1755 – Range Resistance / Target: 1.1765 – 1.1770 – Breakout Acceptance: Above 1.1770 Price Action: – Pullbacks are shallow and quickly absorbed, suggesting demand is defending the range. – The current structure resembles re-accumulation, not distribution, with energy building below resistance. Next Move: – Continued sideways rotation within the range is likely before expansion. – A clean break and acceptance above 1.1770 opens the path toward higher highs. – Failure to hold 1.1730 would delay the bullish scenario and force deeper consolidation. Bottom Line: EUR/USD is not stalling it’s compressing with intent. As long as structure holds, upside continuation remains favored.
Long
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Just Flushed — Now the Market Is Being ResetMARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD (1H) Market State: – Ethereum just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking previous structure and entering a range-building phase. – The drop was aggressive, but follow-through selling has stalled price is now compressing inside a sideways box, signaling digestion, not trend continuation. Key Levels: – Demand / Base Zone: 2,900 – 2,920 – Range High: ~2,970 – 2,980 – Reclaim Level: ~3,040 – 3,050 – Major Resistance: ~3,100 – 3,120 Price Action Read: – The sell-off swept liquidity below prior lows, then immediately slowed — a sell-side exhaustion move. – Current candles show failed downside expansion and repeated rejections from the range low, typical of sideways accumulation after impulse. Next Move: – Expect continued sideways rotation between 2,900 – 2,980 while the market rebalances. – A clean reclaim and acceptance above 3,040 opens room for a recovery push toward 3,100+. – A decisive break below 2,900 would invalidate the base and reopen downside risk. Bottom Line: ETH is not trending it’s resetting after the flush. Until price escapes the range with acceptance, patience and range logic dominate. What do you think about ETH at this level?
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
2
Bitcoin Is Pausing at Demand — The Market Needs TimeMARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Bitcoin has completed a sharp impulsive drop into a well-defined demand zone, followed by immediate stabilization. – Price is now transitioning into a sideways consolidation phase, signaling absorption rather than continuation lower. Key Levels: – Demand Zone: 85,100 – 85,300 – Range Mid / Balance: ~85,800 – 86,000 – Upper Range Resistance: 87,000 – 87,200 – Major Resistance / Breakdown Point: ~87,700 – 88,000 Price Action Read: – The sell-off flushed liquidity below prior structure, then stalled a classic sell-side exhaustion signal. – Short-term candles show compression and failed downside follow-through, consistent with range-building behavior. Next Move: – Expect continued sideways rotation inside the demand zone. – A clean reclaim of 87,000 opens room for a recovery push toward 87,700–88,000. – Failure to hold 85,100 would invalidate the base and reopen downside risk. Bottom Line: Bitcoin is not breaking it’s digesting the move. Until price exits the range with acceptance, patience beats prediction in this phase. What do you think about BITCOIN at this level?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Gold Is Coiling for Impact — Compression CompleteXAU/USD (M30) — Market Update Gold is currently compressing inside a rising wedge / symmetrical compression, exactly as illustrated on the chart. After the strong impulsive rally earlier, price has transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase, forming higher lows against a slightly descending cap a classic pre-breakout structure. Key Levels From the Chart Current Price: ~4,286 Ascending Support (Compression Base): 4,270 – 4,280 → Buyers continue to defend this zone aggressively. Descending Resistance (Range Cap): 4,340 – 4,350 → Multiple rejections confirm supply is present but weakening. Upside Liquidity Target: 4,380 – 4,385 → This is the next major liquidity cluster once a bullish breakout occurs. Bearish Alternative (Fake Break Scenario): A failure to hold above 4,270 could trigger a liquidity sweep toward 4,220 – 4,230 before any meaningful reversal. Structure & Expectation Price action inside the wedge shows volatility compression, not distribution. Each dip is being bought at higher levels → bullish pressure building. The longer price coils inside this structure, the stronger the eventual breakout. The primary bias remains bullish breakout, with the downside path acting as a secondary liquidity trap scenario.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Very light macro day: No major inflation, labor, or growth data scheduled. • Post-data digestion: Markets continue to digest Tuesday’s delayed jobs, retail sales, and PMI releases. • Fed speakers are secondary: With CPI and employment already out, commentary matters only if tone shifts meaningfully. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) • No top-tier economic data scheduled ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #markets #trading #macro #stocks
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Hello traders, let’s break down the CADUSD pair today!Canada’s CPI came in below expectations , yet CAD is still holding near its three-month highs , showing that the market views the Canadian dollar as stable and not under strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada keeping interest rates at 2.25% helps clarify policy expectations. As long as BoC does not signal further easing , CAD has a solid foundation to maintain relative strength against the USD. On the U.S. side, the spotlight remains on NFP, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings . If these figures come in weaker than expected, the USD is likely to face pressure, creating a favorable scenario for CADUSD to extend higher. Conversely, very strong U.S. data may only trigger short-term volatility, not enough to break the current trend. From a technical perspective, CADUSD is moving within a clear rising wedge , with price respecting the trendline and being supported from below by the Ichimoku cloud. The 0.7260 area is acting as near-term support, where price is consolidating firmly. The pattern of higher lows confirms that buyers remain in control. As long as 0.7260 holds, the probability is high that price will continue its upward momentum toward 0.7310, a key psychological resistance . Current pullbacks should therefore be seen as “pauses to build momentum”, rather than signals of a trend reversal.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
2
GBPUSD Is Climbing — Is a BUY Opportunity Opening Up?Hello traders, if you’re looking for a trade that is trend-aligned, clean, and easy to execute, GBPUSD is currently presenting a very solid bullish picture , even though short-term news may still cause some minor volatility. From a macro perspective, weak UK data (soft GDP) can put pressure on GBP. However, on the other side, the USD is not particularly strong , as the market remains cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data . As a result, GBPUSD is more likely to move in a “slow but steady” bullish manner — pushing higher step by step, pausing, and then continuing. On the chart, the uptrend remains clearly intact : price is holding above the rising trendline and is well supported by Ichimoku, with the cloud below acting as a strong support base. The 1.3350 zone is a key level — a confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand. As long as this level holds, the bullish structure remains healthy. The preferred scenario is a pullback toward 1.3350, some consolidation, and then a push higher toward 1.3430. In summary , the preferred strategy remains buying on pullbacks , staying aligned with the prevailing uptrend. And the most important question right now is not “Will it go up?” — but rather: do you have the patience to wait for the 1.3350 zone to execute the cleanest possible entry?
Long
by Paradise_Noir
Buy Signal on HoneywellTrading Fam, Got two more buy signals recently from my indicator. Waited till today for confirmation on entry. So here are the technicals: 1) My indicator gave us a buy on the 25th of Nov. The signal was confirmed by volume. 2) We've broken to the top side of the VRVP PoC 3) We've broken to the top side of that descending trendline Resistance will be both that 350/200 SMA above. After that, I'm shooting for the 24Jul gap for a moderate 11% profit. The risk is a low 2.2%. I don't want to see us drop back below that PoC/50 SMA or I'm out. ✌️Stew
NASDAQ:HONLong
by stewdamus
USD/CAD Nears Support at 1.3720The USD/CAD chart shows price action consolidating between a well-defined support zone near 1.3200 and resistance around 1.4000. Currently, the 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA, suggesting a lingering bearish bias, but the gap between them is narrowing, hinting at potential trend exhaustion. Key Observations: Moving Averages (MAs): The crossover has not yet occurred, but the flattening slope of both MAs indicates reduced directional momentum. MACD: The MACD lines are converging near the zero line, signaling indecision and a possible transition phase. No strong bullish or bearish momentum is evident. RSI: The RSI sits in the mid-range, avoiding overbought or oversold extremes, which aligns with the current consolidation pattern. Overall, USD/CAD appears to be in a neutral zone, awaiting a breakout from this range. A decisive move beyond either 1.3200 or 1.4000 could set the tone for the next directional trend. -MW
by FOREX.com
USD/CHF Trades Below Key Moving Averages Amid Bearish BiasThe chart for USD/CHF highlights a persistent bearish structure, with price action currently below both the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (red) moving averages. This alignment suggests a dominant downtrend, reinforced by the following observations: Moving Averages: The 50-day MA remains well below the 200-day MA, confirming a long-term bearish crossover. Price trading beneath both averages adds weight to the downside bias. MACD: The MACD histogram shows subdued momentum, and the signal lines are positioned below the zero line, indicating continued bearish pressure. However, the histogram narrowing hints at potential weakening of the current trend. RSI: The RSI hovers near the midline, suggesting neutral momentum rather than oversold conditions. This could imply consolidation before the next directional move. Key Levels: Support: 0.87461 Resistance: 0.94600 The pair remains in a range but under structural bearish pressure. A sustained break below support could extend the downtrend, while a recovery above the 50-day MA would be an early sign of trend reversal. -MW
by FOREX.com
WTI Crude Oil Consolidates at Key Support, Ukraine in FocusWTI Crude Oil is trading near a significant horizontal support level around $55 amidst hopes of a Ukraine peace deal. Price action is currently consolidating, and several technical indicators provide insight into the market’s tone: Moving Averages: The shorter-term moving average (blue) remains below the longer-term moving average (red), reflecting a broader bearish bias. However, recent candles suggest sideways movement, hinting at potential stabilization. MACD: The MACD lines are converging, and the histogram is shrinking, signaling that bearish momentum is weakening. This could precede a trend shift if confirmed by price action. RSI: The RSI sits near the neutral zone around 50, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This reinforces the consolidation narrative rather than a strong directional trend. Key Observation: Holding above the support zone is critical for WTI. A decisive break below could extend the bearish structure, while a rebound supported by improving MACD signals might suggest the start of a recovery phase. -MW
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
Fast Reversal Setup | Price: 62.68 → Target: 65.81 (+5%) After the recent lawsuit-related news, LRN dropped sharply from $155 → $62 and is now deep in the oversold area 📉🔥 Volume Signal 📊 This week’s traded volume is higher than anything since its IPO, which often marks a reversal zone. Repeated Patterns 🔍 Across the daily, weekly, and monthly intervals, the stock is showing its typical reversal pattern, matching previous bounce cycles. Entry: 62.68 Target: 65.81 Profit: +5% 💰⚡
NYSE:LRNLong
by ali-lavin
2
LTC/USDT | LTC Drops Hard but the Real Opportunity Might Be AheaCRYPTOCAP:LTC rallied all the way to $113 before getting slammed with a heavy correction, dropping more than 34% down to $75. Right now Litecoin is trading near $81 and the momentum is still clearly bearish. As long as this pressure continues, I expect a deeper correction toward the $63 to $70 demand zone. This is the area that really matters for the next major move. If Litecoin reaches this zone and shows a clean bullish reaction, it becomes a high-interest region for a strong mid-term reversal. A proper reaction here can easily trigger a 100%+ upside move in the coming weeks or months. For now I’m watching to see how price behaves as it approaches $63 to $70 because that’s where the next big opportunity is likely to form. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
Gold Reload Zone at 4,245 as USD Weakens!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,245 zone. Gold remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective phase, pulling back toward the 4,245 support area, which aligns with the broader trend structure. Technical context: The bullish structure remains intact, with price respecting higher highs and higher lows. This retracement toward trend support offers a potential continuation setup within the prevailing uptrend. Macro & Dollar backdrop: The US Dollar remains under pressure following the recent 25bps Fed rate cut, alongside signs of cooling US labor market data. With balance sheet expansion resuming and markets increasingly sensitive to incoming employment figures, the risk remains skewed toward further USD weakness. Any additional deterioration in labor data could accelerate expectations for another rate cut, reinforcing the bearish Dollar narrative. Gold correlation: A softer USD environment continues to support Gold via its negative correlation with the Dollar, keeping the upside bias intact as long as trend support holds. Watching price behavior closely around 4,245 for confirmation of renewed buying interest. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
9
AUDUSD Breakout Retest as Dollar Weakens!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.66000 zone. The pair previously traded within a downtrend but has successfully broken out, signaling a shift in market structure. Price is now in a healthy corrective phase, retracing toward the 0.66000 support zone, which aligns with prior resistance turned support — a classic breakout–retest setup. Fundamental backdrop: The US Dollar remains under pressure following softer macro conditions and fading expectations of sustained Fed hawkishness. Recent data continues to point toward a cooling US labor market, reinforcing a weaker USD environment and improving the risk-reward profile for AUDUSD on pullbacks. Focus: Watching price behavior around 0.66000 for confirmation of bullish continuation. Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
4
USDCAD at Critical Trend ResistanceHey Traders, In tomorrow’s trading session, we are monitoring USDCAD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.38000 zone. Technical structure: USDCAD remains in a clear downtrend and is currently in a corrective phase, with price retracing toward the 1.38000 area — a key zone of trend resistance and prior supply. This level represents a technically significant area where sellers may look to reassert control in line with the broader bearish structure. What to watch: Price behavior around 1.38000 will be critical. A clear rejection or loss of bullish momentum here could signal trend continuation to the downside. Trade safe, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
25
AUDUSD at Decision Point — Trend or Trap?Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.66200 zone. Structure: AUDUSD remains in a well-defined uptrend, and price is currently undergoing a healthy pullback toward the rising trend structure. The 0.66200 area stands out as a key zone of confluence, acting as both dynamic trend support and a prior reaction level. Context: As long as price holds above this level, the broader bullish structure remains intact, keeping the path open for a continuation toward recent highs. Plan: Watching for bullish reaction and confirmation around 0.66200 before considering continuation setups. Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
19
ALCHUSDT – 4H trade ideaPrice is currently forming a bullish falling wedge, with liquidity resting at the 4H FVG below. Based on the Total Market Cap context, I’m expecting a potential AMD scenario: Possible wick down into the 4H FVG Followed by a bullish breakout from the falling wedge Price is consolidating above the Monthly VWAP, which supports the bullish bias. If we see confirmation after the sweep, continuation towards higher levels becomes likely. ➡️ Check the weekly analysis for higher timeframe context.
Long
by Mrctradinglab