XAU/USD Strong Rally: Will Gold Continue Its Upward Trend?XAU/USD has experienced a strong recovery , bouncing back from the key support zone around 3,950,000. This short-term rebound is driven by a combination of factors, especially the positive market sentiment following expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates. Hopes for economic stimulus measures have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly in the context of economic and geopolitical instability .
Looking at the chart, we can see that the price of gold is respecting an upward trendline, creating higher lows. This indicates that the bullish momentum remains intact after recent pullbacks. The price is currently hovering around 4,018,210, near a short-term resistance zone.
Support Zone: The most recent low near 3,950,000 has held strong, acting as a key support level.
Resistance Zone: The short-term resistance lies around 4,080,000, which is a critical level to watch if the upward momentum continues. A break above this level could lead to further upward movement.
The next market move will depend on whether the price can maintain the 4,000,000 level. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels to confirm a breakout or a correction.
Technical Analysis
AUDUSD – corrective math in motion.Price retraces into the prior order block that broke structure, completing a textbook ABC correction inside a premium zone. Liquidity pools just above IDM hint at a sweep before continuation toward 0.63.
Strengths :
Confluence between wave symmetry, premium retracement, and liquidity structure. Clear invalidation point above IDM keeps risk defined.
Weaknesses :
AUD fundamentals (RBA policy shifts, USD softness) could disrupt structure-based setups. No confirmed momentum shift yet on lower timeframes — patience required.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos .
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Consolidation Ahead of FOMC
Dollar Index weakens ahead of FED rate decision today.
The market formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on a daily.
A breakout of one of its boundaries after an interest rate decision
announcement will accurately indicate a future direction of the market.
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Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview
After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, reflecting cautious sentiment as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid fading U.S.–China trade tensions.
Currently, price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating under the psychological $4,000 zone.
💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15)
Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel, forming a corrective recovery inside a broader downtrend.
Immediate Support Zones:
• 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone
• 3,918 → Structural invalidation area
Resistance & Key Reaction Levels:
• 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term key resistance
• 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence)
📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085 – 4,102, where strong selling pressure may reappear.
📍If the price rejects at 4,094 – 4,102, expect a corrective move back toward 3,961 – 3,937, aligning with the channel base and trendline retest.
🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead
Markets expect the Fed to cut rates by another 25bps, following September’s “risk management” cut.
However, if Powell’s tone turns hawkish, Gold could face renewed downside pressure as rate-cut expectations fade, particularly for December.
Conversely, a cautious or dovish tone emphasizing inflation risks and slower growth could boost Gold above $4,100 in the short term.
Meanwhile, easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the ongoing equity rally may continue to limit safe-haven demand.
🧭 Summary
Gold is holding a short-term recovery bias, yet the medium-term trend remains fragile ahead of the FOMC.
Expect volatility around the 4,000–4,100 zone, with the Fed statement likely to set the next major direction.
🛡️ Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity, and key reactions around $4,094–4,102 will reveal the next macro impulse.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the $4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: $3,985 – $4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near $3,925–$3,930
• Extended target sits around $3,880–$3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above $4,020–$4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken $4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward $3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below $3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near $3,920–$3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
IFL Finance Limited BUY Setup Entry: ₹506-508 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹516-520
Target 2: ₹525-530
Stop Loss: ₹495
Technical Rationale:
Stock trading above EMA (469.90), showing bullish momentum
RSI at 68.69 indicating strength but not yet overbought
Price consolidating in a rectangular pattern between 490-507
Recent breakout with strong volume (2.38M)
Support from rising trendline visible
+4.43% gain today shows buying interest
Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:2+ ratio
VST Tillers: Explosive Volume Breakout! Target 5,900+BUY Setup 🚜
Entry: ₹5,703-5,720 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹5,779-5,800
Target 2: ₹5,887-5,900
Target 3: ₹6,000+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹5,620
Technical Rationale:
Massive volume spike (8.71K) - highest in recent period, highlighted with blue arrow
Strong bullish momentum with +5.23% surge today
Breaking out from consolidation range (5,460-5,700)
Price moving above resistance zone marked at 5,700
Rounding bottom formation visible - classic bullish reversal
RSI around 65, showing strength with room for upside
Volume confirmation is exceptional - institutional buying evident
Agricultural/tractor sector showing renewed interest
Two major resistance levels clearly marked at 5,779 and 5,887
Support established at breakout zone (5,650-5,680)
Risk-Reward: Strong 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Rounding bottom breakout with exceptional volume - highly reliable bullish signal
Strategy: Short to medium-term swing - Book 30% at T1 (5,790), 30% at T2 (5,890), trail remaining with SL at 5,720 after T1
Key Catalysts:
Volume explosion indicating smart money accumulation
Agricultural sector tailwinds
Festive season demand
Key Levels:
Strong Resistance: 5,779, 5,887
Support: 5,650, 5,620, 5,600
education purpose only
SBI Life Insurance: Breaking 420-Day Consolidation BUY Setup 🛡️
Entry: ₹1,936-1,945 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹1,984-1,990
Target 2: ₹2,019-2,030
Target 3: ₹2,056-2,075 (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹1,910
Technical Rationale:
MAJOR BREAKOUT after 420 days of consolidation (highlighted in cyan)
Breaking above long-term resistance at 1,930 level with strong momentum
Weekly chart showing powerful +5.27% surge
Volume buildup visible (highlighted) - institutional accumulation
Price breaking above descending trendline from 2024 highs
Trading above both EMAs indicating strong bullish trend
Rounding bottom formation on weekly - classic bullish reversal
High volume (5.03M) confirming breakout authenticity
RSI trending upward with room for further upside
Insurance sector showing relative strength
Clear support base at 1,876-1,910 zone
Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:4+ ratio
Pattern: Multi-month base breakout + Rounding bottom - extremely reliable bullish setup on weekly timeframe
Strategy: Positional/long-term - Book 25% at T1 (1,990), 25% at T2 (2,025), trail remaining 50% with SL at 1,950 after T1 achieved
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 1,930-1,945 (critical resistance broken)
Strong Resistance: 1,984, 2,019, 2,056
Major Support: 1,910, 1,876
Major Catalyst:
420-day consolidation breakout = huge pent-up energy
Volume accumulation phase complete
Financial sector strength
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. 420-day base breakout is significant - these typically lead to sustained moves. Weekly chart for medium to long-term position. Manage risk appropriately and conduct thorough research before investing.
GBPUSD – Weak Rebound Before Returning to the Downtrend?After a brief technical recovery, the British pound is losing momentum as recent data shows inflationary pressure in the UK continues to cool. The UK Shop Price Index fell for the first time since March, while food prices recorded their sharpest decline in nearly five years — clear signs that inflation is easing faster than expected.
This increases the likelihood that the Bank of England (BoE) will soon loosen its monetary policy, leading to a slight weakening of GBP against the USD.
On the H4 chart, GBPUSD is trading within a descending channel that has extended since early October. The recent swing highs continue to form lower, reflecting strong control by the bears.
Currently, price is retracing toward the 1.3400 zone, where the descending trendline, the EMA34, and a previous static resistance converge. This area is seen as a key barrier — if the price fails to break above it, GBPUSD is likely to turn lower toward 1.3300, possibly retesting 1.3250 in the short term.
Overall, the main trend remains mildly bearish , with the USD maintaining strength while the GBP remains weighed down by rate-cut expectations.
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure After Historical HighsGold prices continue to experience significant downward pressure as profit-taking surges after a strong rally. From the historical peak of nearly 4,400 USD/ounce, gold has lost nearly 12 million VND per tael , and is at risk of falling further if the 4,000 USD/ounce level cannot hold.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is forming a bearish trend with a clear price structure. Gold is facing a downward trendline , and each recovery from the lows encounters strong selling pressure . Currently, the price is hovering around 3,935 USD, near the support zone at 3,990 USD, and could drop further to 3,750 USD if this level fails to hold.
Key factors affecting the price:
USD recovery: The strengthening of the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields have reduced gold's appeal, as it does not yield interest.
Increased risk appetite: Progress in US-China trade talks is drawing funds towards equities and industrial commodities.
Trading Strategy: Sell gold around 4,000 USD, with a target of 3,750 USD, and stop loss above 4,050 USD.
Conclusion: XAUUSD remains in a mild bearish trend, with further downside potential if the 4,000 USD level is broken.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bearish Reversal and Potential ContinuationPrior Uptrend: The chart clearly illustrates a strong, sustained uptrend from late September to mid-October, where the price rose consistently, making higher highs and higher lows.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Around October 21-23, the price broke decisively below a significant previous low (the swing low marked by the MSS line, near $4,040). This event signals a likely change in market character or a Market Structure Shift, suggesting the uptrend is over and a downtrend has begun.
Impulsive Down move: Following the MSS, the price fell sharply.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The chart highlights a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is an area of price inefficiency created during the sharp move down. This gap acts as a potential magnet or resistance zone. The price is currently near the bottom of this FVG area (around $3,930 - $3,960).
Current Price Action and Bias: The overall sentiment is bearish following the MSS. The analysis suggests the price may retrace higher into the FVG (the dashed arrow indicates a possible move into the FVG) before continuing its move lower.
Target: The TARGET is marked by a dashed horizontal line around $3,870 - $3,880. This suggests a specific price level the analyst expects the price to reach if the bearish continuation plays out.
Interpretation
This chart suggests a bearish trading opportunity based on the recent change in trend. The immediate plan seems to be to watch for a reaction within the FVG for a potential entry to short Gold, aiming for the $3,870-$3,880 target.
UX2! Uranium Futures Daily OutlookDaily update on the previously posted weekly outlook on COMEX:UX2! Uranium futures. Price is potentially making a i, ii, (i), (ii) with a bullish outbreak looming. Nice moves today on LSE:YCA and TSX:U.UN which i have covered recently, but need to update. The miners have moved more, haven't checked the news, but if Spot breaks out as the chart suggests then not going to hurt the upside is it!! More comments on the chart.
DOW THEORY PLAY - INTC CONFIRMS BREAKOUT FROM ACCUMULATION PHASEINTC - CURRENT PRICE : 29.58
Key Technical Highlights:
1. Breakout from Accumulation Phase with Strong Volume
Intel has successfully broken out of a prolonged sideways accumulation zone. The breakout is accompanied by significantly higher-than-average volume , indicating strong buying interest and institutional participation.
2. New 52-Week High Achieved
Price has breached the previous 52-week high, signaling bullish momentum and the potential start of a new price discovery phase. Historically, such breakouts often attract trend-following traders.
3. Golden Cross Formation (look at the red circle)
A Golden Cross has formed for the first time in a long period, where the 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA — a classic long-term bullish confirmation. Notably, the last occurrence of this pattern was in July 2023 , making this the first reappearance in over two years, further reinforcing its significance as a potential turning point in market sentiment.
4. Dow Theory Alignment – Public Participation Phase
According to Dow Theory, this marks the second phase of a major uptrend — the Public Participation Phase — where broader market participants begin to enter following early accumulation by smart money. This phase typically sees strong price advances.
ENTRY PRICE : 28.00 - 30.00
FIRST TARGET : 35.00
SECOND TARGET : 42.00
SUPPORT : 25.00 (CUTLOSS below 25.00 on closing basis)
Note : This is related to point no 1. Markets have a tendency to "fall of their own weight." At bottoms, however, markets require a significant increase in buying pressure, reflected in greater volume, to launch a new bull market. A more technical way of looking at this difference is that a market can fall just from inertia. Lack of demand or buying interest on the part of traders is often enough to push a market lower; but a market does not go up on inertia. Prices only rise when demand exceeds supply and buyers are more aggressive than sellers.
AVAX/USDT – Watching for a Major Support Retest Before ReversalAVAX has been pulling back from recent highs, and we’re now eyeing the $15.00 – $16.50 zone as a critical support area. This level has acted as a strong demand zone historically, and a clean retest here could signal a potential reversal on higher time frames. We are waiting for confirmation before considering any long positions.
📍 Trade Setup (Spot)
Entry Zone: $15.00 – $16.50 (only after support confirmation)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $27.00 – $31.50
TP2: $36.00 – $41.00
Stop Loss: Below $13.80
CADJPY: Another Trap?! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
One of the setups that we discussed on a live stream today is on CADJPY.
It looks like we have a confirmed bearish trap here,
and the price is steadily recovering after a false violation of a key support.
I expect a rise at least to 109.08 level now.
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DXY Approaching 98.900 — Weak Labor Market Could Push Fed DovishHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.900 zone.
The index continues to trade within a descending channel and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance.
Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar.
Next move: Watching for bearish confirmations around the 98.900 zone — rejection here could resume the broader downtrend.
💬 What’s your outlook on the Fed’s next move? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
ASTER — OB Tap → WCL Retrace → Macro DownASTER is forming a clean ABC correction within a larger bearish structure. Price hasn’t yet tapped the order block — I expect a final dip to complete the C-leg before retracing toward the WCL zone. From there, the broader bearish wave should resume.
However, if Bitcoin continues its upward expansion, correlations could invalidate this structure and pull ASTER higher, overriding the current wave bias.
High-timeframe trend stays bearish, but intent always belongs to the present.
Strengths:
• Fractal alignment between macro and micro waves.
• Logical liquidity flow between OB and WCL.
• Flexible bias — corrective long, then macro short continuation.
Weaknesses:
• Requires precise OB tap and strong reaction.
• Bitcoin-driven expansion could neutralize bearish context.
• LTF volatility may distort confirmation signals.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos
EURAUD: Time to Grow? 🇪🇺🇦🇺
EURAUD is going to fill a gap down opening soon.
I see a strong bullish confirmation with a breakout
of an intraday resistance on a 4H time frame.
Expect a rise at least to 1.482 level.
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LAURUSLABS: 4H Chart Reversal | Target 980-1,000BUY Setup 💊
Entry: ₹924-930 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹963-970
Target 2: ₹980-990
Target 3: ₹1,000+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹902
Technical Rationale:
Breaking above key resistance at 925 level with momentum
Strong recovery from recent dip with +0.24% gain
4-hour chart showing bullish reversal pattern
Price reclaiming position above both EMAs
W-pattern (double bottom) formation visible - bullish reversal
RSI trending upward around 70, showing momentum
Volume at 1.35M supporting the breakout
Clear support established at 902 level
Multiple resistance levels: 950, 963, 980, 1,000
Pharma sector showing resilience
Breaking above previous high at 950 zone
Risk-Reward: Good 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Double bottom/W-pattern breakout - classic bullish reversal on 4H timeframe
Strategy: Intraday to short-term swing - Book 35% at T1 (965), 35% at T2 (985), trail remaining with SL at 930 after T1
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 925 (now support)
Strong Resistance: 950, 963, 980, 1,000
Critical Support: 902, 875
For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. 4H chart analysis for short-term trades. Watch 902 support closely. Conduct your own research before investing.
EURGBP Is Looking For A Larger RecoveryEURGBP Is Looking For A Larger Recovery with a complex correction from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
EURGBP has turned around strongly this year and even broke above the downward channel connected from the 2023 highs. This suggests that wave C has ended at the lower side of a very big triangle, and the pair could still be recovering within subwave D. It may eventually reach the upper side of the pattern around 0.89 within W-X-Y formation, where wave Y can now be in play; ideally it will reach higher prices soon with break out from current triangle.
EURAUD – structure breathes in waves.Price retraces toward a clean order block within a discount zone after a strong impulsive leg. Correction is forming a precise ABC pattern, likely to complete near 1.767 before the next wave resumes toward 1.835.
Strengths:
Wave symmetry, confluence with order block, and IDM liquidity structure all align. Setup maintains bullish context from higher timeframe while defining risk clearly below C.
Weaknesses:
Momentum confirmation pending; daily RSI could signal exhaustion if recovery stalls. EUR fundamentals remain sensitive to data shocks that can distort technical structure.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos.
UPS 1W - delivery of a trend reversal is on the way?On the weekly chart, UPS is holding strong around the $82–90 support zone - a key level where buyers historically step in. The structure suggests the end of the long corrective channel and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
Technically, a confirmed breakout above the channel could trigger momentum toward $158, $176, and $202 - attractive targets for mid-term traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, UPS continues to streamline operations, improve automation, and prepare for peak season shipping. Growing e-commerce volumes and steady fuel costs may support stronger margins ahead. If earnings start to reflect these improvements, the stock could easily shift gears into a sustainable uptrend.
* UPS announced that it will report its Q3 results on October 28, 2025.
* The company is introducing increased seasonal charges and shipping rates starting October 26 ahead of the holiday season, which may temporarily reduce demand.
* UPS also announced plans to equip 5,000 of its trucks with air conditioning in the hottest regions of the US, a step to improve working conditions but at a cost.
* The high dividend yield (~7.5%) raises questions about sustainability, as the payout is almost equal to free cash flow.
Tactical play: as long as $82–90 holds, bulls have the initiative. Once the breakout is confirmed - the next big delivery might just be profits.
Gold Compresses Before the Fed Storm– Sideways or a Sudden Drop?Good day, fellow traders,
Looking at the current XAUUSD chart, this is truly a highly sensitive phase. After last week’s sharp decline, gold has been narrowing its range within a contracting triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, with lower highs and higher lows — a clear sign that the market is “building pressure” before a potential breakout.
At the moment, price is hovering around 4,070 USD/oz, just below the EMA34 and EMA89 lines — indicating that sellers still hold a slight upper hand. The key support zone lies around 4,040, while the strong resistance level sits near 4,220, where a bearish reaction could occur if price retests that zone.
Combining this with the latest news — the USD continues to strengthen while the market awaits the upcoming FOMC meeting — I lean toward a sideways-to-slightly-bearish scenario over the next 24 hours. Price could fluctuate between 4,060–4,100, then drift lower to retest 4,040 or even 3,950, unless the Fed delivers an unexpectedly dovish tone.
In summary, XAUUSD is in a compression phase , awaiting a major catalyst. Without fresh bullish factors, the short-term trend remains sideways-bearish, with mild downside risk before any potential technical rebound.






















