CRISPR: Downside BiasCRISPR extended its correction over the past few weeks, although the downside momentum has eased somewhat more recently. For now, we primarily expect a sell-off below the support at $30.02. Once a low is established there, the stock should move higher again. Alternatively, the shares could post another temporary rebound first. In that case, price would briefly break above the resistance at $61.76 to establish a new corrective high (probability: 34%).
Techstock
Lumen Technologies: Where Is the Downside Pressure?In our primary scenario, we still allow for some additional downside in the current move of the Lumen Technologies shares. We therefore expect price to continue heading south and break below the recent low at $6.09. Only after that should the stock move higher and push above the resistance at $9.72. The alternative scenario could activate if price breaks directly and decisively above the resistance at $9.72 in the near term. In that case, the mentioned low would have already been established in early February (probability: 36%).
XYZ: Buying Block’s Post‑Earnings Breakout From Weekly DemandBlock, Inc. (XYZ) has just exploded higher on the back of a blowout Q4 2025 print, upgraded 2026 guidance, and a major cost‑cut plan, with shares jumping more than 20% this week.
Management raised its 2026 outlook to around 18% gross profit growth and a projected 26% adjusted operating margin, while announcing roughly 40% workforce reductions and heavy AI‑driven efficiency initiatives, which together have sharply improved sentiment around profitability
On the chart, price is pulling back into my marked weekly buy zone inside a broader descending structure, where I’m looking to accumulate against the recent swing low with the expectation that this new fundamental backdrop can fuel a move back toward the upper channel and prior supply.
If price fails and we get a deeper flush back through the zone, I’ll invalidate the idea on a weekly close below my stop area and reassess whether the post‑earnings enthusiasm is fading or simply resetting for a later leg.
If you’d like to study the methodology behind this idea, you can read more about my process and background in the profile bio.
Axon Enterprise: The Future of Cognitive Public SafetyAxon Enterprise recently delivered a staggering Q4 performance, reporting $797 million in revenue. This 39% year-over-year increase shattered analyst expectations and triggered a pre-market stock surge of 16%. Strong 2026 guidance suggests that the company’s transition into an AI-driven software powerhouse is accelerating.
The Patent Fortress and Technological Moat
Axon’s true valuation lies within its aggressive patent strategy and proprietary hardware-software integration. The company consistently secures intellectual property related to high-tech non-lethal de-escalation and automated evidence management. Patent analysis reveals a pivot toward "cognitive" law enforcement tools that minimize human error. These innovations create a high barrier to entry for any potential competitors.
AI Innovation: Beyond Body Cameras
The launch of Axon’s latest AI software suites redefines the public safety business model. These tools automatically transcribe body-worn camera footage into finalized police reports in seconds. This high-tech automation addresses the critical industry trend of officer burnout and staffing shortages. By shifting from a hardware vendor to a SaaS provider, Axon secures high-margin, recurring revenue.
Geostrategy and Global Expansion
Axon is rapidly scaling its international footprint, recently highlighted by expansion efforts in the UK and Australia. Geopolitical instability increases the global demand for modernized, transparent policing infrastructure. Axon’s technology offers a "sovereign-grade" security ecosystem that appeals to democratic nations seeking accountability. This geostrategy effectively diversifies the company’s revenue away from domestic municipal budgets.
Cybersecurity and Data Integrity
Managing petabytes of sensitive evidence requires world-class cybersecurity and cloud architecture. Axon Evidence serves as the central nervous system for thousands of global agencies. The company’s investment in secure, encrypted cloud storage provides a formidable competitive advantage. Leadership prioritizes data integrity, ensuring that evidence remains tamper-proof from the field to the courtroom.
Management, Leadership, and Culture
CEO Rick Smith fosters a culture centered on the "Moonshot" goal of making a bullet redundant. This mission-driven leadership attracts top-tier engineering talent from Silicon Valley. The company’s management style emphasizes rapid iteration and ethical AI development. This disciplined approach ensures that innovation remains aligned with public trust and regulatory standards.
Conclusion: The Strategic Apex of Public Safety
Axon Enterprise is no longer just a Taser manufacturer; it is a vital technology conglomerate. The company successfully bridges the gap between hardware science and high-speed digital intelligence. While macroeconomic fluctuations persist, Axon’s essential nature to public infrastructure provides a unique protective layer. Strategic investors will continue to value Axon as the indispensable architect of modern justice.
Shopify: Bearish EffortsShopify has recently continued its bearish efforts but only managed to establish a slightly lower low. In our primary scenario, we ascribe more downside potential to the regular turquoise wave B, which should, however, culminate above the support at $88.16. In the subsequent wave C, we anticipate rises above the resistance at $182.18, towards the high of the larger magenta wave (Z). Meanwhile, there's a 30% probability that SHOP may directly exceed the $182.18 level, confirming an already completed wave alt.B .
eBay: Progress!Recently, eBay has shifted upward and has achieved consistent gains since. We now consider waves C in green and b in orange as completed and expect an imminent arrival at our red Short Target Zone between $92.40 and $98.54. There, the orange three-part move is projected to complete blue wave (ii), after which we anticipate significant sell-offs in the following wave (iii) below the support at $75.29.
Uptrend Started After Liberation Day - All Has Broken BelowThe US markets have been described as “on a rally” for quite some time. I would not agree if it is meant to describe the overall US market, but would agree if it refers specifically to AI or tech stocks. Why?
Among the four major US indices, the Russell—representing a much broader base of US-listed companies—continues to struggle to break above its high from last year, even though the others have far surpassed it. In fact, it has since corrected by 9.5% since its all-time high just last month.
After that, the other indices are also following suit only in the past few days, breaking below this uptrend that started in April.
Russell has taken the lead and has broken below this trend in late October.
The earliest clue came from the Russell Index, where many suppliers of the Magnificent 7 companies are also part of Russell 2000 components. When the Russell—or smaller-cap companies—starts to weaken, it often reflects broader market pressures that may eventually spill over to the rest of the indices or vice versa.
Video version on the process of how I monitor the four indices and then narrow it down to the individual index.
Micro E-mini Russell 2000 Index
Ticker: M2K
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Analysis for What’s Coming - AI Bubble Sentiment The US markets have been described as “on a rally” for quite some time. I would not agree if it is meant to describe the overall US market, but would agree if it refers specifically to AI or tech stocks. Why?
Among the four major US indices, the Russell—representing a much broader base of US-listed companies—continues to struggle to break above its high from last year, even though the others have far surpassed it. In fact, it has since corrected by 9.5% since its all-time high just last month.
After that, the other indices are also following suit only in the past few days, breaking below this uptrend that started in April.
Micro E-mini Russell 2000 Index
Ticker: M2K
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
eBay: Set for Further DeclineseBay has recently made another move higher, briefly reclaiming the $86.36 level. However, the stock has since resumed its downward trajectory as anticipated and is expected to continue selling off soon as part of magenta wave . Overall, this magenta downward impulse should push price closer to support at $55.96, completing turquoise wave 1.
Palo Alto Networks: Pullback Follows New All-Time HighPalo Alto initially climbed to a new all-time high, but the upward momentum soon faded, leading to a notable pullback. However, we expect the stock to recover soon and, as part of the magenta wave (3), break through resistance at $232.29. The following waves (4) and (5) are also projected to develop above this level, further fueling the ongoing upward trend. That said, we still see a 37% chance that PANW will instead complete (or has recently completed) turquoise wave alt.B below the $232.29 mark. In that scenario, wave alt.C could trigger sell-offs to a new low for magenta wave alt.(2) , though support at $139.18 should remain intact.
eBay: Confirming Wave [ii] Top Right on ScheduleeBay rallied once again to test resistance at $101.15, but quickly reversed with sharp sell-offs, confirming the top of magenta wave in a timely manner. Since then, the stock has moved as anticipated below the $86.36 level and now appears poised for further declines as part of wave . The subsequent wave- corrective move higher should remain capped below $86.36, allowing wave to complete turquoise wave 1 at a lower level—though still above $55.96.
Booking: Persistent Counter PressureBooking has continued to face persistent counter pressure to the upside, which resulted in only limited downward movement. We still primarily expect that, within the current magenta downward impulse, price will move closer to—and eventually fall below—the support level at $4,093. However, if stronger upward momentum emerges and pushes price above the $6,101 resistance, we will then have to consider the stock as remaining in a broader uptrend, with the potential for a new high in blue wave alt.(I) (probability: 37%).
QQQ Resistance - Big pullback or breakout comingAs you can see from the trend lines, we are about to touch resistance. The last two times this happened we got a sizable pullback. During COVID, it was a breakout. QQQ just keeps pushing higher on the AI trade as the bubble just continues to grow. The AI trade is still strong. Right now companies are making massive "deals" (okay, promises) and stocks just keep exploding. It will be interesting to see how this plays out in the next few weeks.
NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead 🚀 NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead 📊
Current Price: 24,507.1 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰
📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days)
🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 24,480 - 24,520 📍
Stop Loss: 24,420 🛑
Target 1: 24,650 🎯
Target 2: 24,800 🚀
🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 24,550 - 24,580 📍
Stop Loss: 24,630 🛑
Target 1: 24,300 🎯
Target 2: 24,150 📉
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS:
RSI (14): 58.3 ⚡ *Neutral Zone - Room to Move*
Bollinger Bands: Mid-band Squeeze 🔥
VWAP: 24,465 - Dynamic Support Holding 💪
EMA 50: 24,380 ✅ *Bullish Above Key Level*
Volume: Declining 📊 *Awaiting Catalyst*
🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 Correction Complete 🌊
Next Target: Wave 5 Extension to 25,200+ 🎯
🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS:
Bullish Bat Pattern Active at 24,450 ✨
ABCD Completion targeting 24,750 🔄
⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)
🚀 BULLISH TARGETS:
Weekly Resistance: 24,850 🏆
Monthly Target: 25,200 🌙
Gann Square of 9: 25,000 ⭐
📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION:
Weekly Support: 24,200 ⚠️
Critical Level: 24,000 🚨
🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE:
Trend: Consolidating Bullish 💪
Momentum: Building Energy 🔥
Wyckoff Phase: Re-accumulation 📈
Ichimoku: Neutral Cloud 🟡
🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS TO WATCH:
Resistance: 24,600 | 24,750 | 25,000 🚧
Support: 24,350 | 24,200 | 24,000 🛡️
Breakout Trigger: 24,580 confirmed close 💥
⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk per Trade: 1.5% 🛡️
R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:3 ⚖️
Position Size: Conservative in Range 📏
🌍 MARKET CATALYSTS:
Tech Earnings Season Approaching 💼
Fed Policy Impact on Growth Stocks 🏛️
AI/Tech Momentum Driving Index 🤖
🎯 FINAL VERDICT:
NAS100 coiling for EXPLOSIVE MOVE! 🚀
25K psychological level in sight! 💥
Watch for volume spike above 24,580 👀
Trade Management: Scale in on pullbacks to VWAP 📈
Key Decision Zone: 24,500-24,600 battle crucial ⚔️
---
*⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Use proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only.*
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
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Qualcomm: Target Zone Active!QCOM is still trading outside our blue Target Zone, which spans from $159.57 to $121.52. While the stock has fulfilled the technical minimum requirement for the blue wave (IV) by reaching this range, we primarily expect further sell-offs and lower lows before the correction is complete. A premature breakout will only be confirmed if the price sustainably surpasses the $182.08 mark (37% likely).
Cloudflare: ResistanceBy expanding the green wave 3, NET recently stretched above the resistance at $117.70. However, the stock only briefly surpassed this level before encountering selling pressure, which pushed it back to its early December levels. Primarily, we expect the price to overcome this resistance to complete the green five-wave structure and, thus, the orange wave iii. A still ongoing wave alt.ii correction remains a possibility in the context of our 30% likely alternative scenario.
Qualcomm: Target Zone Ahead!While many tech-sector stocks are aiming for new highs, QCOM remains locked in a narrow range around the $170 level. Last week, the stock initially reacted to the 23.60% retracement and now hovers near the edge of our blue Target Zone (coordinates: $159.57 to $121.52). Our primary expectation is for the blue wave (IV) to extend further below the support at $151.39, where we anticipate its low point. Technically, a direct breakout to the upside is also possible, as our Target Zone – and thus the minimum correction threshold – has already been reached. If the price decisively breaks above the resistance levels at $193.84, an overarching alternative wave count will come into play (probability: 33%).
Apple - A Correction Is Actually Inevitable!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is preparing for a minor cycle correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating five consecutive bullish breaks and retests of the previous all time high, it seems like Apple is one of these stocks which is perfectly following technical analysis. Considering that and the current rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that we will now see a short term correction.
Levels to watch: $190, $240
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Zscaler: Wave (2) Correction! After a rapid rise in early September, the ZS stock managed to reach the highs from August, but there was no significant acceptance at this level. Structurally, the upward movement isn't sufficient for us to consider wave (2) as completed. So far, the bullish signals lack a clear impulsive character, and we expect new lows during the magenta wave (2), which should primarily end above the support at $84.93. Once a trend reversal has been initiated, the subsequent wave (3) should push through the resistance at $251.45. According to our 33% likely alternative scenario, this could also happen directly.
IBKR: BUY THE TECHY BROKERNASDAQ:IBKR reported strong results for Q3 2024, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.75, reflecting a 12.9% increase from the prior year, albeit slightly below the consensus estimate of $1.78. The company has shown significant growth in customer accounts and daily average revenue trades (DARTs), key drivers behind its performance.
After an initially negative reaction to the earnings report due to the slight miss and overall market trends, shares are stabilizing today. This creates a brief window for a long trade, allowing for a tight stop level to establish a very favorable risk-reward scenario.
Key Highlights Supporting Further Gains:
Total Revenue: $1.37 billion, up 19.2% year-over-year.
Customer Accounts: Grew 28.3% to 3,120,000 accounts.
DARTs: Increased 41.7% to 2.7 million, aligning with expectations.
Strong Capital Position: Cash and equivalents total $69.9 billion, with total assets of $148.5 billion.
Daily Technical Analysis Overview:
Oscillators:
RSI (14): 66.07 (Neutral)
Momentum (10): 4.72 (Buy)
Bull Bear Power: 2.08 (Buy)
Moving Averages:
EMA (10, 20, 50, 100, 200): All in "Buy."
SMA (10, 20, 50, 100, 200): All in "Buy."
Conclusion:
The robust capital position of Interactive Brokers, along with growth in accounts and DARTs, supports a positive outlook for the stock. Despite a slight increase in expenses, the fundamentals remain strong, justifying a buy recommendation. This is a great opportunity to capitalize on the current trend pause. If you'd like to discuss stop levels or have any questions, feel free to reach out!
🚀 Don’t miss this opportunity and follow me for more trading ideas!
Disclaimer: This analysis and recommendation are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in stocks involves risks, including the loss of principal.
Fiserv: Trading Opportunities!Recently, the FI stock surged directly into our green Target Zone (coordinates: $186.40 – $207.40). This year alone, it has gained over 40%. With the recent arrival in our Zone, the time is now ripe for an overarching trend reversal. Because: by hitting our Zone, the price has reached the absolute minimum target for the green wave . From a technical perspective, an immediate trend reversal and a transition into wave II are now possible. At the moment, we place Fiserv in the turquoise wave 3, which should be followed by another dip below our Target Zone. Ultimately, the entire turquoise upward impulse should complete the overarching uptrend of the beige wave I. Thus, our Zone can be used to take profits from existing long positions or to initiate new short trades. Such potential short positions can be hedged with a stop 1% above the 78.60% retracement level (at $207.40).
F
NDX Mega Rally Will Continue..Don't let the "fundamentals" mess with your head.. NDX has another 36% climb ahead of it, before it's next serious correction...
I called the bottom of this correction quite accurately (In fact, I called it but 4 days in advance to my predicted date it bottomed...
This is a text book bull flag with a measured move to the 161.8
Perfect technical structure..
Time to be long is now..
QE is coming back, rates are going to ease off, money will flow out of bonds and T-bills and back in risk assets, elections are coming up soon, war is raging and is sadly a cash machine for defence stocks, CPI lags and the market is going to pump in expectation of further inflationary pressures down the road..
AI is booming and is inherently deflationary..
The most upside I believe will be in any crypto related stock plays, as it's tech category + highest asymmetry..






















