NVDA Fell Back To 220.21 - The Trend Line.NVDA Fell Back To 220.21 - The Trend Line.
NVDA dropped from its 227.49 high all the way back to 220.21 - the breakout level and trend line that has defined the advance - and is trading 220.94 right on it. Monday's read named 220.21 as the level that keeps the trend, and here it is being tested. The hourly conviction has turned back up in defense of the level, but the pullback has been sharp. This is the make-or-break: hold 220.21 and the uptrend survives, lose it and the trend breaks. Earnings land August 26. Neutral.
Resistance: 222.43 - first level to reclaim
Key resistance: 224.00 - then the 227.49 high
Current price: 220.94
Support: 220.21 - the trend line, the make-or-break
Key support: 217.73 - first shelf below
Structural floor: 214.58 - deeper support
Two paths from here:
It holds 220.21 and bounces. A defense of the trend line with conviction turning up keeps the uptrend intact and sets up a reclaim of 222.43. The level has held the advance before.
It loses 220.21 and the trend breaks. A close below 220.21 ends the uptrend from the August low and opens 217.73 and the prior range. The sharp drop into the level is the warning.
NVDA gave back its highs and is testing 220.21 - the line the whole trend rests on. Hold it and the uptrend survives into earnings; lose it and the trend is broken. The 26th is the event ahead either way.
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Study, not financial advice.
Test
NVDA Is Back At 207.59 - The Level That Rejected Twice.NVDA Is Back At 207.59 - The Level That Rejected Twice.
This is the one that matters. After two defenses of the 202.20 base, NVDA has climbed back to 207.59 - the exact level that rejected the last two attempts and the line that has defined the whole recovery. Price is 205.11, pressing up into it, up nearly two percent from the base. The daily conviction is constructive but the old bear print is still standing overhead. Third approach to a level that has turned price back twice. Whether it clears is the entire question. Neutral.
Resistance: 207.59 - the twice-rejected level, the decider
Key resistance: 210.71-213.43 - the supply zone above
Current price: 205.11
Support: 204.82 - first level to hold
Key support: 202.20 - the twice-defended base
Structural floor: 199.89 - first shelf below
Two paths from here:
207.59 finally clears and the recovery completes. Third tests of a level often break it, because each attempt absorbs the sellers stacked there. A close above 207.59 resolves the two-week base as a shakeout and opens the 210-213 supply zone. The base has done its work; this is the last gate.
207.59 rejects a third time. A level that holds three times is real resistance, and the bear print overhead is still standing. A third rejection sends price back toward 204.82 and keeps NVDA trapped in the 202-207 range it has been stuck in for a week.
Two defenses of the base got NVDA back to the level that matters. 207.59 is where the recovery is either confirmed or capped - and it has said no twice already.
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Study, not financial advice.
NVDA Defended 202.20 A Second Time.NVDA Defended 202.20 A Second Time.
The base held again. NVDA came back to 202.20 for the second test flagged yesterday and defended it, bouncing to 205.95 and reclaiming 204.82 for the second time in three sessions. The daily has turned constructive - a long thesis with top-quartile conviction and an entry forming - though the old daily bear print is still standing and the daily is reading panic. Two successful defenses of the same level is what a floor looks like. The level that decides the recovery is still 207.59. Neutral.
Resistance: 207.59 - the lost breakout level, still the decider
Key resistance: 213.43-213.81 - the prior high
Current price: 205.95
Support: 204.82 - reclaimed again
Key support: 202.20 - the twice-defended base
Structural floor: 199.89 - first shelf below
Two paths from here:
The second defense leads to a real reclaim of 207.59. A base that holds twice, with the daily turning long and conviction top-quartile, is a genuine floor. Take 207.59 and the entire drop resolves as a two-week shakeout with 213 back in view.
It stalls under 207.59 for a third time. NVDA has already failed at that level twice. A third rejection with a bear print still standing overhead makes 202.20 a third test - and third tests of a level usually break it.
Two defenses of 202.20 have made it a real floor. But the recovery does not exist until 207.59 goes, and that level has rejected twice already.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice.
NVDA Is Back At 202.20 - The Line That Decides The Base.NVDA Is Back At 202.20 - The Line That Decides The Base.
The euphoria cap kept working. NVDA has fallen from the 213.81 high all the way back to 202.20 over three sessions, losing 207.59 and 204.82 on the way, and is now testing the base itself at 202.49. It swept a low right at the line. This is the level that has held the entire base - hold it and the structure is intact, lose it and the base fails. Short pressure is maxed on the higher timeframe and the daily is still in euphoria. Momentum is down, but price is sitting on the one level that matters. Neutral.
Resistance: 204.82 - first level to reclaim
Key resistance: 207.59 - the lost breakout level
Current price: 202.49
Support: 202.20 - the base, the make-or-break line
Key support: 199.89 - first shelf below the base
Structural floor: 197.13 - deeper support
Two paths from here:
The base holds 202.20 and the swept low bounces. Three days down into the exact base level with a low swept is a reversal setup. If 202.20 holds and NVDA reclaims 204.82, the drop was a shakeout and the base survives. The line does its job until it does not.
The base fails on a close. Maxed short pressure and euphoria unwinding can drive right through support. A close below 202.20 breaks the base that has held for weeks and opens 199.89, then 197. Below the base, the trend changes.
NVDA gave the entire run back and is now standing on 202.20. Everything hinges here - a hold and a reclaim of 204.82 says shakeout, a close below 202.20 says the base is gone.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice.
Why Most Backtests Fail in Live MarketsBacktests often look convincing because they operate in a world that does not exist in live trading. Historical data is clean, fills are perfect, and execution is assumed to be instant. In reality, markets are driven by liquidity, friction, and uncertainty, none of which show up properly in hindsight testing.
The first failure point is liquidity. Backtests assume you can enter and exit at any price shown on the chart. Live markets do not work that way. At key levels, price accelerates, spreads widen, and partial fills occur. What looks like a precise entry in a backtest often becomes slippage or a missed fill in real time, especially during news, session opens, or liquidity sweeps.
The second issue is spread and fees. Many strategies survive on thin margins. A few ticks of spread expansion or commissions per trade are enough to flip a positive expectancy into a losing one. Backtests that ignore realistic costs create false confidence and encourage overtrading systems that cannot survive friction.
Execution timing is the third blind spot. In hindsight, confirmation is obvious. Live, confirmation unfolds candle by candle. Strategies that rely on exact closes, perfect retests, or instant reactions break down when hesitation, latency, or human execution enters the process.
To stress-test ideas realistically, remove precision. Add slippage assumptions, widen stops slightly, delay entries by one candle, and test during different market regimes. If a strategy only works under ideal conditions, it is not robust. Robust strategies survive imperfection.
Backtests are not useless, but they are incomplete. They should test logic, not profitability. Live viability comes from understanding how liquidity, cost, and execution pressure reshape every idea once real money is involved.
BEducation
TestRight now, Bitcoin (BTC) is in a consolidation phase after recently hitting a new all-time high above $125,000. The price has since pulled back and is trading between $107,000 and $115,000. This range has become an important support zone — if Bitcoin holds here, the uptrend could continue, but if it breaks down, the next major target could be around $100,000.
Market sentiment is mixed. On one hand, institutional demand remains strong, driven by the success of Bitcoin ETFs and the broader perception of BTC as a reliable store of value in an uncertain economy. On the other hand, technical indicators like trading volume and momentum have weakened, suggesting that buyers may be losing strength.
Macroeconomic conditions are playing a big role, too. Softer U.S. inflation data has fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve might begin cutting interest rates later this year, which is generally bullish for risk assets like crypto. However, global geopolitical tensions and signs of financial stress in certain banking sectors are creating uncertainty and limiting Bitcoin’s upside momentum.
Perfect Setup AnatomyPERFECT SETUP ANATOMY: Sept 17, 2025
OBVIOUS LIQUIDITY SWEEP(SSL) AREA, OF COURSE PRICE WILL TAKE IT OUT LOL.
i THOUGHT ABOUT PUTTING AN ENTRY HERE JUST IN CASE MY INITIAL FVA RESPECT
ENTRY WAS TAKEN OUT, BUT I WAS OFF THE PC BY THAT TIME SO I DIDN'T.
WELL, THERE WAS A BULLISH DIV + SWEEP + FVA RESPECT AT THIS POINT,
SO I DID WHAT ANY SANE PERSON WOULD DO, RE-ENTER.
Price moved as follows:
1.) TRENDLINE LIQUIDITY GATHERING
2.) ACCUMULATION BEFORE TRENDLINE BREAKOUT. This is where sweep+div+cisd+fvg+fva happened. "PDA accumulation"
3.) FVA RESPECT/RE-TEST
4.) PRICE HITS ORIGINAL DAY EQH TARGET
5.) I SHOULD HAVE PUT THIS ON 1:3RR,
BUT I'M GOING TO TRY 1:1RR FIRST
(TO INCREASE WINRATE = INCREASE CONFIDENCE IN THE STRATEGY),
WITH A TRAILING STOP THAT STARTS AT 1.5RR USING MT5.
LOGIC IS, SO IT FULL TPs AT 1RR MINIMUM,
AND RIDE THE TREND IF THE PRICE RUNS FARTHER.
-
so, here's what's required again for a trade to start being considered:
0. HTF Target (EQH/EQL) + HTF OF Alignment
1. Previous Orderflow Liquidity Sweep
2. Accumulation of BUY/SELL Arguments (Trendline Liquidity & FVA = recent sweep+div+CISD+FVG) / PDA ACCUMULATION
3. Respect of FVA
4. Entry
Bias - uptrend, day eqh
Narrative - sting into htf fvg = ltf ssl
Context - ssl to eqh
Entry - fva respect & retest
Test Coin TST Token Price Prediction and Technical AnalysisTST/USDT has broken out with a sharp rally from the 0.0229 demand base, clearing the 0.0338 resistance zone and extending toward 0.0521 before facing rejection. Price is now pulling back, and as long as it holds above 0.0338, the bullish structure remains intact. A healthy retest of this support could provide momentum for another leg higher, while failure to defend it risks a return to the 0.0229 demand zone before any recovery attempt.
📈 Key Levels:
Buy trigger: Retest/hold above 0.0338 support
Buy zone: 0.023 – 0.034 region
Target 1: 0.0521 resistance (recent high)
Target 2: Extension toward 0.06 if momentum continues
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.0229 (would negate bullish setup)
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Dummy ideaFastest Way to Create an Idea on TradingView
Here’s a step-by-step guide to quickly publish an idea (analysis, chart, or setup) on TradingView:
1. Prepare Your Chart
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2. Open the Publish Idea Window
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3. Fill Out the Required Fields
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Bullish behaviour on NEM stockThe price of Newmont Corporation shares retraced to the areas where professional buying took place in the past (blue rectangles). The volume during that move down is decreasing, which, according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), is bullish behaviour.
Also, given that today's bar penetrates the recent demand zone and the professionals were buying there again, this stock looks very strong and has a high chance of reversal.
Closing above the $43.72 level followed by its testing on daily or lower (1H, 15 minutes) timeframes might start the rally towards $55.13 - $55.89 with resistance around $49.27 - $50.12.
If today's bar is tested and supply reappears during this process, we may expect an extension of the ongoing correction to the $37.53 - $38.37 area and another surge of buying there.
BTC to $72k-$73k to test major supportWe tried to break out of this long term channel and we were rejected like a nerd on prom day. We were tracking a short/medium term descending channel and now we have broken out of that and fast heading for bottom of overarching ascending channel. another really bit of ominous sign is we lost our 200 day moving average, this also puts us at threat of a death cross over the next month or so. Also note the rest of the crypto market for the most part, looks worse than BTC, many are at multi year lows, many have broken their multi-year ascension, few charts look appealing in crypto right now... But we are still inside that long term ascending channel and therefore, still in a bullish trend overall but a lot of things are piling up against it.
So we will look to catch support at around $72- FWB:73K and then hopefully climb back up this channel. If we break the bottom of this two year ascending channel the lows could be a lot lower. The only thing that makes this a little shaky right now is that Ethereum just broke its two year ascending pattern, could it be a sign of whats to come for BTC?
Stay vigilant, personally I would not consider a long before we test that bottom of channel, and even there I would urge tight stop losses for those trying to take advantage of the situation. That also stands for any crypto, never trade any alts and such without also watching BTC, when BTC is unhappy, generally the rest of the market is even more unhappy.
As always, my posts are informational, DYOR.
test widget dashboardtesting building a widget dashboard. I want to build a dashboard with many charts and am trying to figure out how to embed them in a local file. It keeps making me write more information before I publish, so I'm just going to ramble. Buy low and sell high, but if you're high stay high.
Dr Lal Pathlabs Ltd can it double in one year?Dr Lal Pathlabs one of the largest players of healthcare industry in India has a beaten down stock price currently. It is approximately 53.29% down from it's lifetime high. There is not a single reason for such stock price. The company is posting good results and is consistently showing profits. But the stock is highly undervalued. It is a good time to buy it as the current levels make it a precious deal to make.
Hope you like my analysis.
Please do your own study before investing.
Do like and follow and share among your family and friends.
Thank you.
follow-up of a descending triangle formation on an index In NSE:BANKNIFTY there is failure of descending triangle pattern. When a descending triangle fails, it often leads to a sudden reversal or consolidation rather than a continuation of the prior downtrend. This reversal could result in a period of sideways movement or even a bullish breakout if buying pressure persists. A sustained rally above the upper trendline of the triangle could indicate a shift in momentum and potential bullish continuation.
On the other hand, if the index fails to maintain upward momentum and returns to test the lower boundary of the triangle, it might indicate renewed selling pressure and a potential breakdown.
Traders should always employ proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders, to mitigate losses in case of pattern failures or unexpected market movements.
I Think the General Principles Work
These are the principles I have gained due to the reading materials.
1. Wait for Extreme Premium/Discount
2. Wait for Price to Exhaust Pressure
3. Wait for Any Chart Patterns Indicating Reversal
4. Wait for Trendline Break with Momentum
5. Wait for HARSI/WAE Above Explosion Line + Reversal Engulfing Candle Close
6. Entry on Trendline or Pivot Re-Test.
NO DISCOUNT/PREMIUM, NO PRESSURE, NO RE-TEST, NO ENTRY.






















