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Trend Analysis

Waiting for BTC to break out and recover.BTC Trading Plan – Daily Timeframe BTC is currently in a corrective phase within a larger downtrend, but signs of a potential base formation are emerging. Key Technical Context Price is moving inside a descending channel / falling wedge, often a bullish reversal structure if broken to the upside. The 93.2K level is a critical breakout line. A confirmed daily close above this level would signal a shift in short-term momentum. The zone around 100K–102K (purple area) is a major supply / resistance, aligning with the descending trendline and EMA resistance. Strong demand remains at 83.5K–84K, which is the key downside support. Trading Scenarios Bullish Scenario Daily close above 93.2K → continuation toward 100K–102K. A clean breakout above 102K would open the path back to higher levels and trend reversal confirmation. Bearish Scenario Rejection below 93.2K keeps BTC in consolidation. Breakdown below 83.5K could trigger a deeper drop toward the 79K region.
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
ETHEREUM SHORTReasoning: Strong Industry/Sector 50MA Pullback If Labelled a Swing trade(2-6 Week Holds) Entry: Full position on breakout Profit Taking: Sell 1/3 at Goal 1 Final Exit: Remainder at Goal 2 If labelled a long term trade (3-12 Month Holds) Entry: Full position on breakout Profit Taking: Sell 1/4 to 1/5 at Goal 1 Exit Signal: Close below 20-day EMA (your trend guide) or 50EMA Why: Strong moves are hard to time at the top, but the 20EMA acts as a reliable trend filter Note: Remember: Every long-term investment alert can also be played as a swing trade. I normally use half the risk that I show here, this is because I am okay re-entering if it fails and it gives a better R/R ratio
KRAKEN:ETHUSDShort
by vssebuyungo
GU - Can We Reach the Monthly Target This Week?According to the charts, both GU and EU have formed a monthly CRT setup, and price is likely heading to sweep the liquidity accumulated there. On the other hand, the DXY clearly indicates a downward move, where it is expected to sweep the monthly liquidity pooled on the downside. Will we reach the monthly target this week, or will it extend into W4 of the month? Therefore, I plan to wait for the Monday candle to close fully before entering trades on Tuesday or Wednesday, as these days have a higher probability of forming the weekly high or low. Keep this in mind: Important times: Week 3 — Tuesday/Wednesday — LN session — 35 or 930. Rule: Do not trade during the first quarter of the candle. Bias: Bullish for me ( if it goes as expected ). Expected structure: Open → Dump → Pump → Close. Reminder: Do not buy high. Do not sell low.
Long
by kian_kaveh90
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell entries### 1H XAUUSD Chart Analysis (60min) #### Market Structure Overview - **Overall Trend**: Short-term bullish continuation within broader uptrend (HH/HL from ~2550), but 1H in minor pullback channel after ~2720 rejection. Price oscillating between channel bounds. - **Key Levels** (from chart markings): | Type | Level | Significance | |------|--------|--------------| | **Buy Entry** | ~2680 (Green box/lines) | Ascending channel lower trendline + 61.8% Fib retrace (2720-2650 swing) + 200 EMA cluster. | | **Sell Entry** | ~2705 (Red box/lines) | Descending channel upper resistance + 38.2% Fib retrace + 50 EMA + prior swing high. | | Support (Deeper) | 2665-2670 | 78.6% Fib + 100 EMA + volume POC. | | Resistance (Next) | 2720 | Channel top + 50% Fib. | - **Volume Profile**: Accumulation at 2680 (HVN); rejection spikes at 2705 (LVN). - **Volatility**: ATR(14) ~18 pips; BB narrowing – setup for expansion. #### Buy Entry @ ~2680 (Green Box/Lines) - Bullish Reversal Setup **Why Taken (High Confluence – 9/10 Factors Align)**: - **Trendline Support**: Multi-touch bounce off rising channel bottom (from 2650 lows). - **Fibonacci**: Precise 61.8% retrace of recent rally ($x = 2680$) + 50% of prior leg. - **EMAs**: Price cradled by 200 EMA (slope +0.2%) + 100 EMA convergence; held above "bullish stack". - **Candlestick Action**: Bullish pinbar/hammer (long lower shadow) + immediate green engulfing. - **Momentum**: | Indicator | Signal | Details | |-----------|--------|---------| | **RSI(14)** | Bullish divergence | Price LL (2680), RSI HL (28 → 45); >30 cross. | | **MACD(12,26,9)** | Histogram reversal | Positive bars + signal cross. | | **Stochastic(14,3,3)** | Oversold bounce | Crossover from <25. | - **Volume**: 1.7x average on reversal – buyer influx. - **Structure**: Higher low (HL) snapping minor downtrendline. - **Invalidation**: <2675 close (channel invalidation). **Probability of Success**: **74%** (Elite Fib+EMA+TL setup; 1H gold reversals here ~72% WR at 1:2 R:R from backtests). #### Sell Entry @ ~2705 (Red Box/Lines) - Bearish Rejection Setup **Why Taken (Solid Confluence – 7/10 Factors Align)**: - **Trendline Resistance**: Double-top rejection at falling channel top + horizontal S/R. - **Fibonacci**: 38.2% retrace ($x = 2705$) aligning with 127.2% extension of pullback. - **EMAs**: Shooting star wick off 50 EMA (dynamic cap). - **Candlestick Action**: Bearish engulfing + doji failure (upper wick rejection). - **Momentum**: | Indicator | Signal | Details | |-----------|--------|---------| | **RSI(14)** | Bearish divergence | Price test high, RSI LH (62 → 52). | | **MACD** | Divergence fade | Histogram contracting negative. | | **Stochastic** | Overbought fail | >75 rejection swing. | - **Volume**: High on wick (sellers), fade after. - **Structure**: Lower high (LH) vs. prior 2720. - **Invalidation**: >2712 (breakout). **Probability of Success**: **64%** (Good rejection but uptrend tempers; ~60% WR on 1H channel fades). #### Suggested Take Profits & Risk Management | Trade | Entry | SL | TP1 (1:2 R:R) | TP2 (1:3 R:R) | TP3 (Swing) | |-------|--------|----|---------------|---------------|-------------| | **Buy** | 2680 | 2675 (-5 pts) | 2705 (+25 pts) | 2720 (+40 pts) | 2740 (next res) | | **Sell** | 2705 | 2712 (+7 pts) | 2680 (-25 pts) | 2665 (-40 pts) | 2650 (channel low) | - **R:R**: Strict >1:2; 50% scale TP1, trail 20 EMA. - **Sizing**: 0.5-1% risk (~$5-7 on SL). - **Filters**: Volume confirm + no news. #### Multi-Timeframe Confluence & Overall Bias - **Higher TF (4H/Daily)**: Bullish (200 EMA hold ~2670); buy aligns perfectly. - **Lower TF (15M)**: Micro HLs support buy. - **Bias**: **Bullish** (70/30) – Favor buy @2680 (trend-aligned); sell as counter-trend scalp. Combined edge ~69%. - **Risks**: DXY spike or chop → 2665 test.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
The system that turned ordinary traders into millionaires!!🐢 Turtle Trading Strategy A classic, rule-based, and repeatable trend trading system Introduction The Turtle Trading strategy is one of the most documented and successful trading systems in financial market history. It was designed in the 1980s to prove that trading is a skill that can be taught, not an innate talent. This strategy is built on three key principles: • Trend Following • Strict Risk Management • Eliminating Emotional Decision-Making 1. Suitable Markets and Timeframes Turtles only traded markets with the potential for large, sustained trends. Suitable markets: • Commodities (oil, gold, metals) • Forex • Indices • Cryptocurrencies Recommended timeframes: • Daily (as the main timeframe) • Weekly for long-term trend filtering 📌 Higher timeframes provide more reliable signals. 2. Entry Logic Entries in this system are based on price breakouts, not predicting reversals. System 1 – Short-Term Breakouts • Buy: Break above the high of the last 20 candles • Sell: Break below the low of the last 20 candles System 2 – Long-Term Breakouts • Buy: Break above the high of the last 55 candles • Sell: Break below the low of the last 55 candles 📌 Enter only after a candle closes beyond the valid range. ICT Turtle Soup Indicator: To optimize entries, especially in short-term breakouts, the ICT Turtle Soup indicator can be used. It focuses on false breakouts, helping reduce invalid signals: Identifies short-term high/low breakouts and checks volume/strength Trades in the opposite direction of false breakouts (e.g., high breakout → short) Quick exits with stop-loss near the breakout level This tool allows the classic Turtle system to improve entry accuracy and reduce risk. 3. Filtering Invalid Trades To avoid trading in ranging markets: • If the last trade in the 20-day system was profitable → ignore the next signal • If the last trade was a loss → the next trade is allowed This rule ensures the system is only active under favorable conditions. 4. Stop-Loss and Exit Rules Initial Stop-Loss: • Distance: 2 × N (market volatility) • Placed where the trend scenario is invalidated Exit: • Long trades: Break below the low of the last 10 candles • Short trades: Break above the high of the last 10 candles 📌 Exits are entirely mechanical; no reevaluation is needed. 5. Risk Management The core of the Turtle Trading system is risk management, not entry timing: • Risk per trade: maximum 1% of capital • Trade size adjusted according to market volatility • All trades evaluated independently 🎯 Goal: Survive the market until large trends develop 6. Pyramiding Turtles built big profits by adding positions logically: • Add positions only on profitable trades • Every 0.5 × N, add a new position • Maximum 4–5 positions per trend • Manage stop-loss across all positions 7. Psychological Structure This strategy is psychologically challenging: • Many small losses • Few very profitable trades • Low win rate but positive expected value 📌 Traders must endure losing streaks without breaking the rules. 8. Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths: • Fully rule-based and testable • Removes emotions from decision-making • Applicable across all markets • Compatible with automation Weaknesses: • Weak performance in ranging markets • Requires patience and discipline • Occasional drawdowns Final Summary The Turtle Trading strategy teaches you to: • React, don’t predict • Accept losses quickly • Let profits run • Stick to the rules • Use modern tools like ICT Turtle Soup to improve entry accuracy and turn false breakouts into opportunities In this system, “being right” doesn’t matter; adherence to rules determines success.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by forexcitypro_leemeenal
Arbitrum (ARB): Looking For Break of Local High | Good R:RARB is still stuck inside the range, but buyers are showing some life from the local bottom. Price is holding above that lower support and slowly pressing into the orange zone above. The key level is still that local high. If buyers manage to break and hold above it, then the game plan shifts to looking for continuation toward the major target zone. Until that break happens, it’s a wait-for-confirmation spot, not something to rush. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Support Fuels Push Toward $92,500Hello, traders! BTCUSDT previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming strong bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, producing lower highs and lower lows until a decisive breakdown occurred near the lower channel edge. After this breakdown, Bitcoin reached a clear Pivot Point, where sellers began to lose control and buyers stepped in aggressively. This reaction marked the end of the bearish impulse and initiated a structural shift. From this pivot low, price started forming higher lows, signaling the emergence of demand and the beginning of a recovery phase. Currently, BTC broke above local resistance and entered a Range phase, where price consolidated between the 88,000 Demand Zone and the 92,500 Supply Zone. Multiple breakout attempts occurred inside this range, confirming active participation from both buyers and sellers. However, each dip toward the demand area was quickly absorbed, showing strong buyer interest and defense of the lower boundary. A rising Demand Line formed beneath price, reinforcing bullish pressure and supporting higher lows within the range. This structure indicates accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting preparation for a directional move. My primary scenario is bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 88,000 Demand Zone and continues respecting the ascending demand line. The recent pullback into demand appears corrective rather than impulsive, favoring continuation to the upside. I expect price to push back toward the 92,500 Resistance, which represents the upper boundary of the range and a key decision level. A clean breakout and acceptance above 92,500 would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside expansion. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
3
EVTL Another EVOL to take flight?I have had an open position in EVTL for a couple months. I bought it for about $4.50. Then, this past week I closed the entire position after the breakout. My closing prices was $6.70. I closed it simply because I thought that the breakout move was too fast and that it would come back down again, and I'd be able to re-enter. That's kind of exactly how it played out. 1. The upper trendline broke. 2. The RSI got crazy hitting somewhere around 83 3. The price came crashing back to earth, and the RSI with it. 4. The old upper trendline acted as a support on Dec10, and the price bounced. 5. Dec11 the price dropped again to the trendline. We're back down at $5.76. I see 3 levels of support: 1. The old upper trendline 2. The 200 day moving average (and all the other ones) 3. The POC (which is currently at about $5 for the range I'm looking at). So for me, I see enough support down to $5 to think that any entry point close to $5 is a good one. My plan this week: 1. Start by selling $5strike puts for this week and next week. 2. If the price continues to drop along the old upper trendline but stays above $5, I'll likely buy a LEAP. 3. If the price drops below $5, I'll happily own it there. My targets: 1. $7 seems like a nice TP1 2. $8.5 hits and I'll close the whole position again. This trade will become active at open.
NYSE:EVTLLong
by brendanvanson
2
Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis - 14th Dec., 2025NSE:NIFTY NIFTY 50 Index — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 15-Dec-2025 (If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!) Nifty 50 is trading near 26,037, testing the zero line at 26,047 after a sharp recovery from recent lows, turning this band into a key intraday pivot for either continuation of the bounce or fresh supply. Price is printing higher lows into this resistance, so the next move around 26,047–26,024 will decide control for the session.​​ Bullish Structure Longs activate above the Long Entry level at 26,012, with stronger conviction once price sustains above the zero line at 26,047 and holds minor dips.​ Targets: 26,121 (Long Target 1 / primary booking zone) and 26,166 (Long Target 2 / extended move if momentum remains strong).​ Control: Stops or trailing risk can be managed around 25,984–25,972 (Short Entry / Short Target 1 cluster and Long Exit) to stay protected if the breakout fails.​ Bearish Structure Shorts become attractive on rejection from 26,047–26,024 (zero line and Short Exit) after failed attempts to hold above this zone.​ Fresh shorts open below the Short Entry at 25,984, especially if price slips back under the Add Long Pos. level at 25,998 and starts making lower highs.​ Targets: 25,973 (Short Target 1) and 25,928 (Short Target 2) if selling pressure extends towards the Day Bias – Long / Buy Till Safe area at 25,938.​​ Neutral Zone 26,047 is today’s inflection—expect choppy, stop-hunting action while Nifty trades between roughly 26,012 and 26,047 without decisive 15‑minute closes beyond either side.​ Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions. Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
NSE:NIFTY
by ChartPathik
Bitcoin - Downtrend reinforced by technicals and macro sentimentHello everyone, At the moment, Bitcoin is trading cautiously as capital has yet to decisively return to risk assets. Overall market sentiment remains defensive, with investors continuing to assess macroeconomic conditions and monetary policy. As a result, buying pressure has not been strong enough to reverse the prevailing trend. From a technical perspective , the H4 chart shows that Bitcoin continues to respect a well-defined descending channel . Market structure remains bearish, with a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that selling pressure is still dominant. Recent rebounds have been purely technical in nature and have repeatedly been rejected near the upper boundary of the channel, signaling that buyers lack control. Notably, the 92,000–94,000 USD area is acting as a key resistance zone. This region aligns with the upper boundary of the descending channel and a prior distribution area, where price has been rejected multiple times. In the current context, each failed attempt to close decisively above this zone reinforces the view that it is a trend-aligned SELL area , rather than a bullish reversal signal. On the news front , the crypto market continues to be influenced by a broader risk-off environment, with capital favoring safety and liquidity. The absence of strong positive catalysts makes it difficult for Bitcoin to sustain a meaningful breakout. This cautious investor behavior effectively supports the existing bearish structure, as weak and hesitant demand often allows downtrends to persist. On the downside, the 80,000–82,000 USD region stands out as an important support area. While price has reacted from this zone in the past, within a broader downtrend it should be viewed primarily as a potential profit-taking target , not a safe BUY zone. Attempting to catch the bottom before the bearish structure is broken carries elevated risk and does not align with disciplined trading. Overall, both technical structure and the current news backdrop point toward a bearish continuation scenario . Until there is a clear shift in market structure or a meaningful improvement in capital flows, the most rational approach remains to sell rallies in line with the trend , rather than trying to predict a bottom. In conclusion , Bitcoin remains in a controlled downtrend. Only a decisive break above the descending channel, supported by a more favorable news environment, would justify considering a trend reversal. Until then, patience, discipline, and respect for the dominant trend are essential for capital protection and consistent performance. Wishing you clear judgment, strong risk management, and disciplined trading in line with the primary trend.
Short
by Jasmine_Rojas
4
PEPE Roadmap (3D)If we want to see what PEPE is doing on higher timeframes, we need to analyze it on larger timeframes. It appears that Wave A of the new cycle will end within the green zone, and the price will enter a retracement for Wave B. Wave B has two targets, which we have marked on the chart. Let’s see what happens this movement will take time, as it is on the 3D timeframe. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
TradeCityPro | FET Testing Key Range, Bears in Control for Now👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review FET, one of the AI projects, which with a market cap of $558 million is ranked 80th on CoinMarketCap. ⏳ 4-hour timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe, this coin is ranging between the zones 0.2321 and 0.2652. 💥 The overall trend for FET is currently bearish, but the price is now ranging between these two zones and forming a new structure. ⚡️ After the last time the price reached 0.2652, it got rejected, and volume started decreasing, and it is still decreasing. ✔️ The bottom of the range can also be considered as a support zone. Breaking this zone would be a very good trigger for a short position, and the price could move towards 0.2021 after breaking this level. 🎲 The middle line of the range is at 0.2472, and breaking this level will give us a early long trigger. ✨ The next level we can open the main long position after breaking is 0.2652. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
BTC Dip and RipBTC appears to be repeating the pattern from a similar decline on December 10th by falling and consolidating around monthly VWAP (yellow dots). It swept a pocket of liquidity around 89,100-300 and cascaded lower during the low volume trading which was expected. The next large liquidity cluster on the weekly is around 95k, so I think we target that next. However, I'm targeting a more conservative range of 93,000-500 since this area has acted as very strong resistance lately and for the following reasons: low amount of nearby short liquidations required to rapidly cascade upwards (toward 100k) futures open interest is still bearish but modestly recovering IBIT while put/call OI is bullish, the excessive calls (1.1MM vs. 617k puts) are acting as resistance due to spot hedging dealer gamma positioning is positive which acts to dampen volatility (both directions) I have also provided an alternate path which has BTC testing the lower trend line of the bear flag on the 1D chart. If this line breaks, then the measured move projects a potential low of $65k. I will definitely cut longs and flip short on a meaningful break of this trend line. I opened at 90k on Friday. I expected the liquidity sweep but I'm trading IBIT options, which required a commitment before NY close. I expect the trade to play out by the end of this week.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by proteus_1
1
Gold Continues Its Upward TrendHello everyone — let’s take a look at today’s gold price. At the start of the new week, gold continues to extend its bullish streak, currently trading around USD 4,326. The precious metal remains strong amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next year, and it is still on track to close the year with an increase of around 60%, marking its strongest annual gain since 1979. Regarding this week’s outlook, results from Kitco’s weekly gold price survey show that both investors and analysts continue to expect further upside. In the Wall Street survey, 13 analysts participated, with 85% believing that gold prices will continue to rise. Notably, none forecast a decline, while 15% expect prices to move sideways. Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 237 investors took part. Among them, 71% anticipate gold advancing to new highs, 11% predict a decline, and the remaining 18% expect prices to consolidate. From a personal perspective, the chart structure remains clearly bullish, supported by solid demand zones. The immediate target is the USD 4,350 area , followed by the key psychological level at USD 4,400. I remain optimistic — how about you? Share your thoughts in the comments section.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
1
ES - December 15th - Daily Trade Plan December 15th- Daily Trade Plan - 7am *Before reading this trade plan, if you did not read yesterday's take the time to read it first! (You can view the posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Last week we closed around the same level as the previous week. While we tried to get above the 6925 level, we could not hold above it to keep the momentum heading higher. This week we have some economic data coming out and we can expect some volatility as we head into the last week of heavy trading volume for the year. This week should set the tone for the remainder of the year. The overnight session low is 6823 and we have some clear levels that have held since we rallied into the overnight session high of 6865 (as of writing this post). 6851 is our first immediate support and 6843 being a level that should hold if we want to keep going higher. Price is in a tough spot for new entries this am as we are looking to continue higher to back test the 6885 level. You might be able to find an entry on the back test of 6865 if we can clear it to 6870 then back test 6861-65 Key Levels Today - 1. 6843 - Flush and Reclaim (Lower Quality) 2. 6823 - Flush and Reclaim (High Quality) 3. 6801-05 - Flush and Reclaim (Highest Quality) I will post an update around 10am EST ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Purple = A Weekly Low (Current or Previous Week) Blue = A previous day low (Day before or day in the past week) Red - Overnight Session High/Low (Prior to my post) White = Key Support/Resistance Levels
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
GOLD Update|Price Reacting at a Key Resistance Zone.📊 GOLD UPDATE — Key Levels in Focus Gold is reacting near an important price zone, and this area could define the next short-term move. Price behavior around this level will be critical in determining momentum. 📌 Setup Overview: 🔓 Entry Level: 4342 ❌ Stop Loss: 4370 🎯 Target: 4324 If selling pressure holds, price may continue toward the projected target zone. Watching how the market responds near resistance remains key. What’s your technical view on Gold from here — continuation or reversal? Share your perspective below 👇 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.This reflects personal market analysis only and is shared for discussion purposes
TVC:GOLDShort
by LEO_TRADES98
BTC Awaits a Liquidity Sweep Before Any Real RallyBitcoin on the H4 timeframe continues to hover inside a tight equilibrium band around 91,500–93,500, with price repeatedly tapping both edges of the range without showing directional commitment. The current movement suggests liquidity hunting rather than trend development, as every push toward 92,000 quickly gets absorbed. Macro conditions still lean supportive thanks to the low-rate outlook, yet capital flows are favoring metals over crypto, leaving BTC with a muted recovery after the prior drop. Buyers remain cautious while sellers lose momentum, causing price to float above two demand/FVG layers at 89,500–90,500 and 86,500–88,000. The scenario with the highest probability is a final liquidity flush. BTC may continue consolidating around 92,000–93,000 before sliding to 90,000 and dipping into the deeper FVG at 88,000–86,500. A clean reaction there would open room for the next impulsive leg upward.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Momonoo
23