ZEC 1W Update: Zooming out to learn moreZEC remains in a corrective phase on the weekly timeframe following the blow-off top toward the 700 region and the sharp rejection that followed. The key structural shift occurred with the loss of 300, which had acted as a major breakout and acceptance level. Since losing that pivot, price has continued to bleed lower and is now consolidating in the mid-200s, showing no strong impulsive bounce yet.
Momentum has clearly cooled, and the market is transitioning from expansion into redistribution or deeper correction. The current 220–240 area is attempting to act as a short-term stabilization zone, but structurally the chart does not regain strength unless ZEC can reclaim 300 on a weekly closing basis. Without that reclaim, rallies are likely to be corrective in nature.
On the downside, continued acceptance below 230 opens the door for a move into prior consolidation zones from before the breakout, which would imply a more prolonged digestion phase. That said, the larger cycle context still suggests this could be a volatile retracement following an extreme vertical move rather than a full macro reversal. The next few weekly closes are critical in determining whether ZEC builds a higher low here or continues unwinding the parabolic advance.
Trend Analysis
XAUUSD Buyers Holding Above 5090 LevelRight now, 5090 looks like a strong support area for buyers. As long as the price stays above this level, buying pressure can continue. Market structure is positive, and buyers seem to be defending small dips around this zone.
If the price sustains above 5090 with good momentum, gold may move towards the 5200 level, possibly today or tomorrow. But this will depend on continuous buying strength and no strong rejection from higher levels.
However, if the market breaks clearly below 5090, then a short-term pullback can happen before any fresh upside move. For now, the bias remains bullish while price is trading above this important level.
This analysis is based on price action and shared only for educational purpose.
Live Trade on Cisco Systems (CSCO)The price has reached the bottom of its channel and has shown a very strong reaction. In addition, based on one of our trading systems, a buy signal has been issued. It appears that the price may move toward the specified levels.
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
Follow me on TradingView for more analyses and live stock trades.
NASDAQ:CSCO
XAUUSD Intraday Bias | Channel Resistance Reaction (30M)Gold is currently trading within a rising channel structure on the 30-minute timeframe. Price has recently reacted near the upper boundary of the channel, where supply pressure appears to be emerging. This area is being treated as a potential reaction zone rather than confirmed breakout continuation.
Execution Reference: 5021
Structure Invalidation Level: 5031
Projected Liquidity Zone: 4971
As long as price remains below the defined invalidation level, the short-term expectation favors a corrective rotation toward the lower channel liquidity near 4971.
A sustained move and acceptance above 5031 would weaken the immediate corrective outlook and may indicate structural continuation instead.
Position management should remain aligned with predefined risk parameters and disciplined capital control.
This analysis reflects a technical interpretation of current price structure and is shared strictly for educational and discussion purposes. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions may change without notice, and all trade decisions remain the responsibility of the individual trader.
$QQQ WEEKLY BREAKDOWN: BELOW 20WMA w/200DMA TARGET - Critical🚨 MARKET ALERT: The Weekly Breakdown Is Here - Critical Week and Critical Levels to Watch 🚨
NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AAPL
Good Morning ☀️
The Weekly chart is screaming danger and multiple timeframes are confirming bearish momentum. Here’s the complete technical breakdown and what you need to know going into next week.
CRITICAL LEVELS BREAKING DOWN:
NASDAQ:QQQ has closed BELOW the 20WMA - a rare and significant signal that typically precedes further downside. We’re already under the 100D SMA for the second time in 10 days, and my proprietary 10SMA/10EMA cross just flipped BEARISH (black line crossed pink from the underside). The 50WMA sits at $562, which represents approximately -6.5% downside from current levels. If we don’t bounce next week and close above my support Ribbon, significant downside remains on the table.
TODAY’S SETUP - FRIDAY DECISION POINT:
Bottom could form TODAY if market makers decide to bounce it - but it’s Friday, so there’s only ONE session left to work with. If bulls want to save this market structure, they need to show up immediately. However, last week’s close under the 20SMA is continuing into this week, and momentum remains decisively DOWN across multiple timeframes.
MY CURRENT DIRECTIONAL BIAS:
I’m staying BEARISH until we tap the 200D SMA below us (~$573 area on the daily timeframe). I believe we’ll crack down to test it, but here’s the critical distinction: if we simply TAG the 200D SMA and bounce, that’s a potential bottoming structure. BUT - if we LOSE the 200D SMA with conviction and start closing below it, that’s when a legitimate bear market begins. At that point, AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , and AMEX:IWM would all be in serious structural trouble.
A RISK BEARS AREN’T DISCUSSING:
I’m a bear based on the technical evidence, but I’m genuinely concerned about being in bounce territory. You can lose MASSIVE capital fighting relief rallies in oversold conditions. This is the danger zone where conviction needs to be balanced with discipline. Dead cat bounces can be vicious, and shorts can get squeezed hard when positioning gets too one-sided. This is where risk management matters MORE than directional conviction.
NEXT WEEK’S TRADING STRATEGY:
My plan is simple: PATIENCE, HEDGE POSITIONS, and LET THE MARKET SHOW ITS HAND. No heroics. No FOMO. No emotional revenge trading. I’m waiting for clear confirmation before loading either shorts OR calls. The worst trades happen when you force a position before the setup is truly there. Next week is about preservation and positioning - not speculation.
HISTORICAL ANALOG - 2008 PATTERN:
I’m tracking a 2008 market analog that’s eerily similar to our current structure:
• Sharp dive into the 200D SMA
• Sideways consolidation for approximately one month• THEN the real directional move reveals itself
We’re potentially in the “dive” phase right now. The question is whether we get the sideways chop or if this breakdown accelerates. The 200D SMA will be the ultimate truth-teller.
THE TECHNICAL VERDICT:
📉 Weekly Timeframe = BROKEN (closed below 20WMA)
📉 Daily Timeframe = BROKEN (under 100D SMA)
📉 My Custom Indicators = BEARISH (10SMA/10EMA cross confirmed)
However, I’m not chasing this breakdown. Risk/reward doesn’t justify aggressive short positioning until we see how price reacts at the 200D SMA. That’s the line in the sand that determines whether this is a healthy correction or the beginning of something more serious.
BOTTOM LINE:
Stay nimble, stay disciplined, and respect the price action. Let the market tell you where it wants to go - don’t impose your bias on it. The best traders wait for their pitch. This might be a wait-and-see week.
Related Tickers: NASDAQ:SQQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ TVC:VIX AMEX:GLD NASDAQ:TLT AMEX:DIA AMEX:IWM
What levels are you watching? Drop your analysis in the comments below.
30Y Bonds - Lowering Of Interest RatesWhen Looking At The Bond Market, The Higher Timeframe Perspective Are Important For Studying Price Dynamics; How Price Moves From Premium To Discount.
Looking Out For A Bullish Draw To Weekly Buyside @ 119.20 With Target 1 Being Daily Buystops @ 118.14 Going Into Next Week
US30 | Inflation Report Could Trigger VolatilityUS30 | CPI Data Set to Drive Next Major Move
The Dow pulled back from the all-time high near 50,470, in line with the previous outlook. Markets are now waiting for the U.S. CPI release, expected at 2.5%, which could trigger strong volatility.
Technical Outlook
The broader structure currently leans bearish, with price trading near the 49240 pivot.
📊 CPI Scenario
• Below 2.5% → bullish recovery toward 49,680 and 49,990
• Above 2.5% → bearish continuation toward 48,840 and 48,400
The market currently shows a bearish bias, with expectations leaning toward a higher CPI reading.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 49,240
• Support: 48,840 – 48,400
• Resistance: 49,680 – 49,990
GOLD #2– Ascending Triangle & HTF Pivot Confluence H2🟡 Market Structure :
Gold is trading within a medium-term bullish structure, currently compressing below a major resistance.
On the 2H timeframe, we clearly see an ascending triangle forming:
• Rising dynamic trendline support
• Horizontal resistance ceiling
The thicker pivot lines (Yearly > Monthly > Weekly > Daily) indicate higher-timeframe importance.
The thickest levels represent institutional zones.
➡️ Compression below HTF resistance = potential breakout setup.
🟡 Key Zones – HTF Pivots & Structure :
Major Resistance Zone : 5,100 – 5,120
Confluence of:
• Monthly Pivot
• Horizontal resistance
• Triangle upper boundary
Monthly Resistance / OB Target : ~5,550 – 5,600
Triangle Dynamic Support : 4,980 – 4,950
The thicker the pivot line, the stronger the level —
Yearly and Monthly pivots dominate the bias.
📝 Trading Plan :
🟡 Strategy 1 – Bullish Breakout
🟡 Entry : confirmed break and hold above 5,120
🟢 TP1 : 5,270 – 5,300
🟢 TP2 : 5,550 – 5,600 (Monthly resistance)
🔴 SL / Invalidation : below 5,040
Structure logic → compression leads to expansion.
🟡 Strategy 2 – Pullback Buy
🟡 Entry : retracement into 4,980 – 4,950 (triangle support)
🟢 TP : return to 5,100 zone
🔴 SL : below 4,900
Buy support, not resistance.
🧠 Core Logic In a bullish compression market :
Do not short directly into major HTF resistance without structural breakdown.
Thicker pivots = institutional liquidity levels.
Ascending triangle + Monthly/Yearly confluence =
Potential accumulation before expansion.
🎯 Summary :
2H Ascending Triangle + HTF Pivot Confluence =
Compression → Breakout potential → Expansion toward 5,500+
Bias remains bullish as long as 4,950 holds.
Breaking: Moolec Science SA (MLEC) Spike Over 124% The shares of Moolec Science SA (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MLEC ) Spike Over 124% today amidst bullish fundamentals. With RSI at 72, NASDAQ:MLEC shares has more room to capitalize eyeing the $20 resistant.
Moolec Science Limited, (NASDAQ:MLEC) today announced positive results from the crushing process of its U.S. GLASO1 safflower platform, confirming gamma-linolenic acid ("GLA") concentrations of approximately 45%.
The results follow the successful completion of Moolec's 2025 U.S. GLASO1 safflower campaign and represent a major operational milestone, validating the Company's ability to deliver commercial-scale agricultural and industrial performance through its plant-engineered molecular farming platform.
Crushing Results Confirm Commercial-Scale Performance
Following harvest, safflower produced under the GLASO1 program was processed through standard U.S. crushing operations. Analysis confirmed:
~45% GLA concentration
Compatibility with existing U.S. agricultural and industrial infrastructure
These results confirm that the GLASO1 platform performs reliably through the crushing stage at commercial scale, a critical validation step for scalable ingredient production.
About MLEC
Moolec Science SA, a science-based ingredient company, engages in the development of ingredients for food, pet food, animal feed, and dietary supplements using molecular farming technology and precision fermentation platforms in Cayman Islands and internationally.
FactSet Research Systems (Revised) | FDS | Long at $192.00This is a revised analysis of FactSet Research Systems NYSE:FDS found here:
***Full disclosure: I am still a holder at $284.10.***
While my general analysis found above hasn't changed (excluding targets), I tripled my position at $192.00 now that the price has entered my "major crash" historical simple moving average zone. My average holding is near $205. I plan to sell the original $284.10 entry when the price rises and keep these "historical" lows until targets are reached.
A personal concern I have is that there are no open price gaps above $245. If $245 is hit, the RSI moves faster than it should, and then the stock starts to plummet, I plan to set a stop at $192.00 and walk away. The algos may destroy this since there are no targets to close above $245, yet there are plenty open below that. Simply staying cautious here.
Fundamentals still look good for NYSE:FDS , but they are not the only factor controlling price.
Revised targets into 2028
$245 (+27.6%)
$300 (+56.3%)
ADAUSD remains under bearish pressure below 3044 levelThe ADAUSD pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a oversold bounce back, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 3044
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 3044 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
2280 – Initial support
2150 – Intermediate support
2024 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 3044):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 3044 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
3174 – First resistance
3340 – Further upside target
Conclusion
ADAUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 3044 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTCUSD: Bearish Logscale Butterfly with Bearish RSI DivergenceJul 18, 2025:
Bitcoin has been setting up at the log adjusted 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly for the last few months but recently pushed a bit above it and appears to be settling at the linear 1.902 HOP of the local price around the $118,000 area. Between $104,000 and $118,000 is a zone of linear of logscale Fibonacci confluence pointing towards the being the area to look for a more major downside reaction than we got off the initial Type 1 Reaction 1.618 PCZ reversal in 2021.
The most recent push to the linear 1.902 seems to have allowed the structure of the RSI to develop a more Bearishly Distributive and Divergent curve, while the MACD is in the process of developing a 2nd layer of Bearish Divergence. Ultimately at these highs we'd like to see the RSI weaken further as price begins to settle back within the 1.902 bearish zone of confluence before being more sure of downside.
Additionally, during the push higher, longer dated bearish call interest came in around the 123-125k levels which to me signals a newly formed hard resistance that will be hard to gap over and will make failure here more likely. I think if we do see failure we can of course fill the CME gap down at 91.8k, but ultimately the true first target is down at 30k with max targets down near the 0.886 around $4.8k and the 100 percent retrace down at around $3,123.51 over the coming quarters.
Taking into account the wide range in downside exposure I think the best and safest way to speculate on this downside would be through the buying of the March, 27th, 2026 Puts at the $95,000 strike or the closest IBIT equivalent March, 20th, 2026 Puts at the 58 strike this will give plenty of time, as well as plenty of range for the puts to appreciate 10's of thousands of dollars in value as BTC trades down into the targeted zones below it.
02/05/2026
Trade closed manually
Closed for now; details here:
www.tradingview.com
This is a Repost: because the original post from Jul 18, 2025, got taken down by a TradingView moderator for having a custom moving average indicator that was not made public. Despite the moving averages only just being simply and exponential moving averages anyone could add to their charts. In light of this issue I have published the multi-moving average indicator so hopefully that should stop mods from taking down past and future posts.
For the time being I will keep this post in neutral status as we've already moved down significantly, are in the oversold zones in the RSI, and are likely due for a retrace back up which I will go into details about on my next post which will be a repost from last week's idea which was also taken down by a moderator.
QQQ Structure Points to a Higher‑Degree Pullback from April 2025The Nasdaq‑100 Index ETF (QQQ) has completed the cycle that began from the April 7, 2025 low, and the instrument is now entering a larger‑degree corrective phase. The decline from the October 29, 2025 high is unfolding as a double‑three Elliott Wave structure, which reflects a more complex form of correction. From the October 29 peak, wave W ended at $580.74, followed by a recovery in wave X that reached $637.56. After this rebound, the ETF turned lower again and began wave Y.
The internal structure of wave Y is developing as a zigzag, which is consistent with the broader corrective theme. From the wave X high, wave ((a)) declined to $587.44, while wave ((b)) retraced to $617.52. This sequence sets the stage for the next leg lower within wave Y. In the near term, the bearish outlook remains valid as long as the pivot at $637.56 stays intact.
If the pivot holds, QQQ is expected to extend lower toward the typical Fibonacci targets associated with a double‑three structure. The 100% to 161.8% extension of wave W projects a potential downside area between $545 and $579. This zone represents the next logical region where buyers may attempt to stabilize the decline and where the correction could reach completion.
Just bought some more CoreWeave $CRWV as we’ve broken out of a Just bought some more CoreWeave NASDAQ:CRWV as we’ve broken out of a 4-day consolidation range.
The broader context remains constructive:
- We’ve now formed a triple bottom, reinforcing short-term support.
- Price is still consolidating within a larger bull flag, keeping the higher-timeframe structure intact.
XAU/USDT — Overextension Risk After Parabolic YearGold has delivered nearly 2× in a year, following an additional +35% move before that.
For an asset traditionally viewed as a store of value, this is exceptional. Historically, gold is not highly volatile.
However, it is now actively traded on crypto exchanges — not only via tokenized gold (XAUT), but also through futures and derivatives.
Recently, it has behaved more like a high-beta asset, with corrections of 20%+ in just a few days.
This may be the first signal of a global correction.
The main argument is historical RSI overbought conditions.
In previous cycles, overbought readings alone were not enough for a full reversal — a monthly bearish divergence typically formed before major tops.
That process can take months or even a year. It’s not mandatory, but statistically more common.
Two scenarios remain on the table:
1️⃣ A final push to new highs, followed by divergence formation.
2️⃣ A reversal starting from current levels.
On the weekly timeframe, a bearish candle structure has formed.
Confirmation requires a sustained break and hold below 4800.
AUDCAD | Uptrend Pullback Into Key Support – Structure MattersAUDCAD has been in a clear uptrend since mid-December and is now making a solid pullback into a strong support zone that has been tested twice previously.
Last Monday, we passed on a setup on this pair because the level had only one prior touch (then acting as resistance). The structure was not strong enough, so we stayed patient. That decision proved correct, as that setup would have resulted in a loss.
Now, we are seeing a different setup altogether.
Price delivered a clean break higher with strong candle structure, followed by a pullback into what is now validated support. Momentum is currently deeply negative (-69) and still pressing lower, keeping this in a wait state.
What we are watching for:
Clear rejection from the support zone
Momentum hooking back up with the higher-timeframe trend
Strong volume confirmation across multiple timeframes
This is a good example of why structure and patience matter. Same market—very different context.
No trade yet. We wait for alignment.
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.






















