NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook.
Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control.
Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards.
Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market:
1. What is the trend?
2. Support and resistance, which is it?
You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart.
The Trend
Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end.
Support & resistance
Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag.
The Put / Call ratio
Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal.
Why 26000?
The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity.
Previous years:
Conclusion
Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation.
A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different.
If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000.
Ww
Trend Analysis
" Consolidation Before Fall : A Bearish Whispers in EUR/USD!In the timeless dance of the Euro and US Dollar, the 1-hour chart captures a moment of transition—a shift from strength to uncertainty. The pair once climbed with conviction, riding a bullish wave from a demand zone below. This ascent, marked as “Bullish Trend Progress,” carried the price steadily upward, until it met resistance at 1.17789—a supply zone where the bulls lost their breath.
From that height, the story turned. Sellers stepped in, and the momentum slowly reversed. The decline wasn't abrupt, but deliberate—each candle suggesting the bears are now holding the pen. The chart hints at a pause, perhaps a brief consolidation, but the tone is set: a bearish continuation may lie ahead.
The analyst’s note confirms this mood: “Trend paved the way for it. May consolidate little before becoming more bearish.” It's a warning whispered between the lines of price action.
Below, three levels await the falling price:
1.16697 – the first signpost in the descent, a place for reflection.
1.16522 – more grounded, a likely pull from old demand.
1.16322 – the deepest target, where buyers may once again awaken.
Each of these targets is a chapter not yet written, but already outlined in the structure of the chart.
As the price hovers near 1.17051, traders wait, watching for the next move in this unfolding narrative—one that seems poised to turn another page in favor of the bears.
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.28
Target Level: 61.46
Stop Loss: 64.49
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Shiba Inu Sees Heavy Selling at 3-Week Price PeakShiba Inu is up 6.69% in the past week, with the token trading at $0.00001291. The meme coin is attempting to establish $0.00001285 as a support level, holding near its recent peak.
However, maintaining this momentum appears difficult without strong investor conviction. If selling continues, SHIB could drop toward $0.00001252 or even lower to $0.00001182, erasing recent gains.
On the flip side, if Shiba Inu price successfully defends the $0.00001285 support, a rebound may follow. In that case, SHIB could push toward $0.00001391, which would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal renewed strength.
BITCOIN vs GOLD Is something like that inevitable?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been often described as the digital Gold, mainly due to its scarcity (fixed supply), compared to Gold's value as a safe haven asset. So what's the deal with this comparison chart?
If you follow us for long, you should know that we are strong believers of BTC's 4-year Cycle theory, which has served us so well and helped us buy and sell near cyclical bottoms and tops respectively.
However, as the market matures (remember Bitcoin is 'only' 16 years old), it could/ should eventually break this pattern upwards into aggressively higher valuations, which could be the shift to a new paradigm as mass adoption kicks in.
As a result, could it make a vicious bullish break-out above this Triangle in a similar way as Gold past 2024? Essentially, can we argue that Gold is leading the way as the traditional asset? Or the 4-year Cycle will go on for much longer than many think?
We are very interested in your thoughts. Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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S&P500 reactsd to US Inflation dataUS CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in August (vs. 2.7%), showing inflation is re-accelerating.
Markets still expect a 25bp Fed cut next week, but scope for deeper easing is reduced.
For equities, this means headwinds for tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks, while defensives and commodity-linked sectors may hold up better.
Overall, the print adds to volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, with equities likely to trade cautiously.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6590
Resistance Level 2: 6610
Resistance Level 3: 6630
Support Level 1: 6440
Support Level 2: 6410
Support Level 3: 6380
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUD/USD Trades to 2025 High After U.S. Jobs Revisions, Soft PPIAUD/USD is advancing on Wednesday, nudging above 0.6610 amid a softer U.S. dollar driven by growing optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts. Investors are betting the Fed will deliver a 25-bps reduction next week, with growing expectations of a 50-bps move. Weaker than expected U.S. jobs revisions yesterday and a PPI reading that went into negative territory month-over-month is keeping pressure on the greenback. Rebounding metals and energy prices are likewise propping up AUD/USD rates.
The above chart shows that, technically, AUD/USD rates have traded into key resistance, the 2025 high carved out in July at 0.6625. Bullish momentum is firming up, with Slow Stochastics extending into overbought territory and daily MACD rising to its highest levels since early-July. A move into new highs could increase the possibility of a retest of the November 2024 swing high at 0.6788.
1INCH Long Idea1INCH appears to have bottomed out. Informal "M" - Shape with a Type II return. Now, more recently, it appears there has been a trend reversal as well with consecutive higher highs higher lows since the bottom was put in at the PCZ of the informal "M" - shape. And now price appears to be backtesting a spring successfully --> ~.26 cents and is also breaking a downsloping supply line. Good upside if this is real. Kangs.
Excellent Profits of current Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: My position: I am constantly using my dip Buying strategy and will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points (excellent Profits by now) Buying Gold from #3,630.80 many times throughout yesterday's session. #3,645.80 is keeping Gold away from touching #3,652.80 benchmark.
I have firstly waited for #3,645.80 and Bought Gold aggressively (#7 orders with #50 Volume) closed all on #3,651.80 and waited for second chance to re-Buy Gold on #3,627.80 reversal which delivered excellent Profits.
My position: As advised many times, do not Sell Gold at all costs as wherever you Buy Gold on this market, you won't be wrong. I have Bought Gold on #3,652.80 and #3,654.80 minutes ago and closed all on #3,657.80 extension. Keep Buying Gold on each dip is my practical suggestion.
EMA200 Reject on M15 + RSI ReboundPrice was going down but reacted hard off of the EMA200. RSI was coming up from a very low c.14% on M5. 3 down liquidity spikes in a row on M5. As soon as I got into the trade momentum got behind it. Great trade so far. Also once in, MACD crossed over bullish on M5.
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 18😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
🔭 On the 4-hour timeframe of Ethereum we can see that ETH is clearly in a very strong consolidation, and for several days even the oscillator has been ranging around the 50 zone. This time-based range will eventually come to an end. Ethereum now has two important levels ahead with the upcoming news: the top of the box midline at $4373, where breaking this zone could trigger a strong pump, and the bottom zone, which is a maker-buyer area at $4252, considered a very strong and important support for Ethereum.
⛏ The key RSI levels for Ethereum are at 57 and 40. If the range of oscillation crosses these levels, ETH could gain more volatility and even move toward its overbought or oversold regions. Usually, this type of short-term consolidation ends with a good price move once the compression is broken.
💰 The size, volume, and number of green candles have really decreased, and multiple candles inside the range have formed, creating a decision-making phase for ETH. With today’s PPI news, it is likely that one of these zones will either be touched or broken, and after this news, candles are expected to come with stronger volume.
🪙 On the 4-hour timeframe of the ETHBTC trading pair we can see that it is in a descending continuation channel. Each time the price has reached the top or bottom of this channel, it has reacted with a reversal and then moved in the opposite direction. Currently, ETHBTC is above its midline and has shown a positive reaction to it. The volatility of this pair has significantly decreased in recent days and is now ranging under its 50 zone. A breakout above the channel top and the 0.03893 level could start a bullish move.
💡 The zones we are considering for Ethereum’s top and bottom are $4493 and $4252. Breaking either of these levels after this multi-day consolidation could start a strong trend and even a sharp directional move! Keep in mind that war and economic news have created interconnections for risky markets—trade with low risk.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
SOL Parabolic Run Despite the recent chop, when you zoom out to the 1D timeframe there is a clear pattern being followed since the April crash.
From the sub $100 low Solana has posted progressively higher lows in a parabolic fashion. The highs on the other hand are in more of a linear fashion as shown by the diagonal S/R level, at first it provided support and now since March it has been resistance.
So for me there are two possible actionable trades:
- Continuation of the parabolic move, this would include flipping the Diagonal S/R level, currently at time of writing this resistance level is being tested, a close above gives a better possibility of the rally continuing.
- The rally becomes exhausted and fails to flip the Diagonal S/R and loses the parabolic support level. Should this support break $185 is the first target (light green zone), $160 as the second target (dark green zone).
Important to remember we have CPI & FOMC rapidly approaching that could provide the volatility to trigger either of these moves, lets see what happens next.
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – September 10, 2025 (H1 Chart)Gold has been in a strong bullish channel since late August, but the current rally is facing a heavy resistance zone at 3,665 – 3,675 USD/oz, where signs of a corrective move are emerging.
1. Technical Outlook
Trendline & Channel: Price has been respecting the ascending channel but is now testing resistance and showing weakness.
Fibonacci Retracement (from 3,395 → 3,675):
0.382 ~ 3,565
0.5 ~ 3,535
0.618 ~ 3,505
RSI (H1): Overbought (>70) and turning down, suggesting short-term correction.
Elliott Wave: A corrective ABC structure is in play. Wave A has started, with Wave C possibly targeting 3,545 – 3,505.
2. Key Levels
Resistance: 3,665 – 3,675
Short-term Support: 3,625 – 3,585
Major Support: 3,545 – 3,505 (confluence with Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618)
3. Trading Strategies
Short-term Sell Setup:
Entry: 3,655 – 3,665 (resistance zone)
TP1: 3,585
TP2: 3,545 – 3,505
SL: 3,685
Medium-term Buy Setup (Buy Limit Strategy):
Entry: 3,545 – 3,505 (support & Fibo cluster)
TP: 3,625 – 3,665
SL: below 3,485
4. Conclusion
Gold is likely entering a corrective phase after testing the strong resistance zone. Traders may consider shorting near resistance and buying back at deeper support levels.
- Keep these resistance–support levels on your chart for today’s trading plan, and follow along for more updated strategies.
Good Closing By Nifty On Hourly ChartNifty has finally closed above the Mother and Father resistance line on the hourly chart. We have tried to draw the Fibonacci retracement based on recent movements of Nifty which can be seen in the chart. We can clearly see the places from where Nifty found resistance recently where Fibonacci lines and places where Nifty took support where also Fibonacci lines.
To know more about Fibonacci retracement and use them for trading/investing you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. In this book you can also know more about Trend lines, Supports, Resistances, Mother line and Father line and to draw the same on your chart and for learning Techo-Funda analysis read my Book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. Heart of the book is my Mother, Father and Small child theory which makes investment easy for those who understand it an use it in their analysis. The book is available on Amazon and will help you in your investing journey whether you are a seasoned investor or a new beginner. The chapters in the book are mostly standalone. The book is rated 4.8/5 on Amazon. It is a value for money book priced at Rs.349/- (Delivery charges extra as charged by Amazon).
Now the next Fibonacci level resistances for Nifty will be at: 24994(Tough Trend line resistnace and Fibonacci resistance, 25152, 25378 and 25669. Above 25669 closing the major Bull run can begin which can take Nifty towards 26K+ levels indicated in the chart.
Mother line and Father line are both supports as of now these are at 24760 and 24783. So the zone between 24760 and 24783 becomes a very strong support zone.
Fibonacci supports for Nifty will be at: 24645 and 24337. A closing below 24337 will create a bear grip on the market which can drag if further downwards.
As of now the shadow of the candles is looking positive and green in colour.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/09/2025Nifty is expected to witness a gap up opening, continuing its momentum within the broader consolidation zone. The index has been trading in a tight range, and today’s levels will be crucial to determine the intraday direction.
On the upside, if Nifty sustains above 24,700–24,750, buying momentum could push it towards 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+. A breakout above 25,050 would signal strong bullish sentiment, opening the way for further targets at 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+.
On the downside, weakness may come into play if Nifty slips below 24,950–24,900. This could trigger a reversal towards 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750 levels. A break below 24,700 may extend the fall with deeper downside possibilities.
Overall, Nifty remains in a consolidation phase, and traders should focus on the breakout levels for clear intraday opportunities. A disciplined approach with strict stop-losses will be key in managing volatility around these zones.
ETHUSDT in Strong Uptrend: What's Next?Hey everyone, what do you think about ETHUSDT?
ETHUSDT is currently moving in a strong upward channel, hovering around 4427 USD, with a 1.85% increase on the day. This rally is driven by strong institutional inflows, favorable monetary policies, and the continuous development of the Ethereum ecosystem. Technical indicators such as the EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to support the uptrend, especially as ETH breaks through short-term resistance levels.
With the current momentum, ETH could aim for a target of 5400 USD in the near future, if the buying pressure remains steady. If you're watching ETH, this is an ideal time to consider potential trading opportunities.
What do you think about ETHUSDT? Is this upward trend sustainable? Feel free to share your thoughts and join the discussion on ETH's potential moving forward!
GBP/JPY Analysis (H4)📊 GBP/JPY Analysis (H4)
Pair: GBP/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
🔎 Structure & Setup
Entry Price: 199.403
Stop Loss: 199.303 (risk ±10 pips)
Target Profit: 200.395 (reward ±99 pips, RR ≈ 9.9:1)
Risk: 25 (based on account size 1000 & lot size 1).
🗂 Key Zones
Demand Zone: 199.300 – 199.400 → key validation area for buy entry.
Liquidity Zone (LQ area): potential rejection zone before price pushes higher.
Projection: price expected to move upward step by step (TP1 → TP10) towards the 200.395 target.
📈 Outlook
Setup is a Long Position (Buy) validated at the demand zone.
Market bias is bullish after rejection from the support area.
Strong RR (9.9:1) provides attractive reward potential as long as demand zone holds.
📝 Conclusion
Bias: Bullish (as long as price stays above 199.300).
Ideal Entry: around 199.40
Stop Loss: 199.30
Take Profit: 200.39
Note: Entry is only valid with bullish confirmation candle at demand zone. If price breaks below 199.300, setup becomes invalid.
TRUMP Possible breakoutBINANCE:TRUMPUSDT Current Status
The overall trend is bearish, but there's a strong and solid support zone between $8 and $8.50. On the daily timeframe, this support is still valid and has not been broken yet.
Right now, we have a descending trendline that the price is trying to break for the umpteenth time, and we're seeing another attempt today.
There's a chance the descending trendline could break, or it could fail and lead to a drop. In either case, the price of $8.45 could be a good spot for a long position with a 1:3.5 risk-to-reward ratio.
Personally, I never enter a position the moment a trendline breaks. I always wait for the price to come back to my desired entry point, which happens most of the time.
⛔ Disclaimer: This is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy. Please do your own research.
Impending bearish pushBear: looking at the adx indicator, we are very low on trend strength on the daily and 4h timeframe of AMEX:SPY . There is room for some more upside to possibly test ath around 652. I believe it will go up to test before it has a pullback again but that being said, adx is low, there are many touches of bearish divergence (lower rsi peaks : higher price points), and we have not seen much drastic big candles in a while. Its important to note that rate cuts are ALREADY priced in. We are forward looking ALREADY. I do not think it impossible that we see a pullback around rate decision or sooner. The current immediate 4h and 1h trend is steep (showing possible exhaustion incoming) especially with all the indicators showing momentum consolidating or slowing down - which could be a possible reversal signal. WATCH ath and the immediate reaction in the days coming.
Bull: Fib extension gives upward price points at 653.52 and even up at 659.09. I think its more possible to combine bearish with bullish thesis and say we will hit the 653.52 then drop- we might just bounce after the drop (which may not be very big). We are in a unique environment with policy and an administration that favors the biggest players in our market. It's silly to expect any SIGNIFICANT downside unless something fundamental *global or political happens. I see pullbacks but nothing like April.
simply put, we are going up there's no stopping that the market is A-symmetrical. However, there are points where I can predict high probability exhaustion and reversals in the coming days and week. aka pullback incoming. Watch all time highs and the adx once it starts to curve up.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD broke the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● GBP/USD has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 1.3390 support, confirming a bullish reversal.
● Price action shows momentum building toward 1.3590, and a sustained break above this level could open the way to 1.3770.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sterling is supported by hawkish BoE commentary signaling concern over persistent inflation, while softer US wage data weighed on dollar strength.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 1.3390; targets 1.3590 → 1.3770. Invalidation on a close below 1.3390.
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