#SOL/USDT bullish structure formed at the chart#SOL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 233, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 236
First target: 238
Second target: 241
Third target: 244
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Trend Analysis
GBPCHF: Bearish After News 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support yesterday.
Retesting a broken structure today, the price violated a support line
of a bearish flag pattern after a release of UK CPI this morning.
With a high probability, the price will drop to 1.0726 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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FR40: Bulls Reclaim Control at VAH - Bears Trapped🎯 FR40: Bulls Reclaim Control at VAH - Bears Trapped
The Market Participant Battle:
Bears who aggressively sold the index from point 3 (7,920) down to point 0 (7,650) have been systematically trapped as institutional buyers defended the Value Area High (VAH) at the 7,750 zone (point 2). With price now closing above the initial breakdown level (point 1 at 7,808), these trapped sellers at point 2 have become proven buyers, setting up a powerful reversal structure. The market is poised to return to these trapped sellers' entry zones above 7,900, with momentum building for a test of the recent highs at 7,950+.
Confluences:
Confluence 1: Volume Profile VAH Defense
The Volume Profile analysis from the 0→3 swing reveals the Value Area High sitting precisely at the pivot 2 turning point (7,750-7,760). The lack of volume below this level indicates seller exhaustion and disinterest in pushing prices lower. This VAH acts as a magnetic force pulling price back toward the high-volume nodes above, confirming institutional accumulation at these levels.
Confluence 2: Anchored VWAP Triple Rejection Pattern
The anchored VWAP from point "a" shows price has returned to test the 1st deviation three times, with each test resulting in higher highs. This repetitive pattern of support at the VWAP deviation demonstrates consistent institutional buying pressure. The current rejection from this level marks the third successful defense, historically a powerful bullish signal.
Confluence 3: Bullish Divergence Across Momentum Indicators
While price made a lower low from point 2 to 4, both RSI and MFI printed higher lows, creating classic bullish divergence. RSI sits oversold at 47, while MFI shows extreme oversold conditions at 8.04. This divergence suggests sellers are exhausted despite price attempts to move lower, confirming accumulation by smart money.
Confluence 4: Volume Trend Breakouts
OBV (On-Balance Volume) has broken its downtrend line, signaling increasing buying interest despite the price consolidation. The CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) shows a weakening downtrend with each touch becoming less impactful, then breaking to the upside through two potential trendlines. CVD Candles confirm this with a clear upside break, validating genuine buying pressure entering the market.
Web Research Findings:
- Technical Analysis: CAC 40 trading at 7,845 EUR, within a horizontal channel between 7,740-7,800 support and resistance. Analysts note the index is technically neutral short-term but positioned for a breakout.
- Recent News/Earnings: September quarterly review completed with Euronext joining CAC 40, replacing Teleperformance. Index shows resilience with 1.07% year-over-year gains despite global uncertainties.
- Analyst Sentiment: Technical analysts targeting 7,830-7,965 resistance zones, with strong support confirmed at 7,554. Market participants await ECB policy decisions and luxury sector recovery signals.
Machine Derived Information:
- Image 1: Bollinger Bands with numbered reference points showing price consolidation at VAH - Significance: Confirms squeeze setup with bands contracting - AGREES ✓
- Image 2: Volume Profile overlay displaying high-volume node at point 2 with price/volume histogram - Significance: Validates institutional accumulation zone - AGREES ✓
- Image 3: Clean price action with V-shaped reversal from point 0 to current levels - Significance: Shows clear rejection of lower prices - AGREES ✓
- Image 4: Multiple momentum indicators (OBV, RSI, MFI, CVD) with trend breaks - Significance: Confirms broad-based momentum shift to bulls - AGREES ✓
Conclusion:
Trade Prediction: SUCCESS
Confidence: High
The confluence of technical factors overwhelmingly supports a bullish reversal. Bears who sold aggressively have been systematically trapped at the VAH, creating forced buying pressure as they cover positions. With volume profiles, VWAP support, momentum divergences, and volume trend breaks all aligning bullishly, the FR40 is primed for a significant move higher. Initial targets sit at 7,900-7,920 (point 1 high), with extension potential toward 7,950-8,000 as trapped shorts capitulate.
GBPCHF a Correction Move expected in NewsGBPCHF have give a nice move in sell side and believe that it will go further downside but after a small pullback or retest.
We can capture a buy side move if news comes positive for GBP CPI, More or equal to 3.8%.
Keep a tight SL for Buys and can Plan Sell side for Swing.
XRP Monthly – Watching an 8-Year BaseXRP is testing major resistance from prior cycle highs (2018 & 2021).
Structure: ~8-year accumulation base
Behavior: High & tight consolidation on the right side of the base (often bullish continuation)
Confirmation: Sustained monthly closes above $3.30 = breakout confirmation
Projection: Potential measured move points toward ~$6.50 (educational framework only, not a guarantee)
Key takeaway: This is one of the most significant long-term structures XRP has ever formed. Traders should watch closely for confirmation in the coming months.
USDJPY | Short Setup from Daily Resistance Zone.USDJPY Analysis with research:
"Thermo: U.S. Dollar Weakness Boosts Bearish USDJPY Bias".
Dovish Fed expectations, driven by signs of a softening U.S. labor market, are weighing on the dollar. Market sentiment now prices in a 97% chance of a rate cut this month. (Source: Reuters)
Technical Summary (Daily/4H Timeframes):
Resistance Zone: 148.300 – 148.600 — clearly defined from recent price congestion, offering a setup for shorts.
Bearish Confirmation:
Several sources, like; MarketPulse
cmsprime.com highlighted USDJPY weakness—notably around 148.0—reinforcing resistance.
Support Structure: My target zone at 143.00 aligns closely with daily-range lows and previously tested support levels.
Trend Line Check: A descending trendline exists near 147.000. A confirmed break below this would strengthen bearish conviction toward the 143.00 support area.
Trade Plan Overview:
Entry (Short): 148.300 – 148.600
Stop Loss: Above the zone (e.g., 148.700 / 149.000, depending on your timeframe or timeframe confirmation)
Target: 143.00 (daily support zone)
Risk Management:
Remember: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Always use a stop-loss and trade with proper risk control.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#USDJPY #Forex #DollarYen #TechnicalAnalysis #Resistance #Trendline #Bearish #RiskManagement
$TSLA: Let The Rally Speak For Itself - 9/16/2025Based on the analysis, it’s confirmed that NASDAQ:TSLA has initiated a new rally following the completion of a lengthy and complex corrective structure at $288.
The stock bounced twice off the 50-week moving average, signaling strong support as the correction neared its end.
Due to the depth and complexity of the structure, Wave 3 is expected to unfold with high momentum, potentially delivering an explosive rally. Key upside targets are displayed in the chart — we’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts at those levels.
📚 Note: The internal structure and labeling were intentionally left visible in the chart for educational purposes. This is especially useful for traders interested in Modern Trading Algorithms and their structural variations.
Happy Trading, and let the rally speak for itself. 🚀
USDCAD Analysis: Bearish Reversal Signal ? 👋Hello everyone, it's great to see you again! Let’s take a look at OANDA:USDCAD !
Here’s my perspective:
USDCAD has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The price recently tested the 1.386 level and is now heading lower. The next target is approaching an important trendline support.
What do you think about this currency pair? Feel free to share your thoughts, and let’s discuss it!
FOMC ANTI CLIMAXThe long-awaited rate cut is finally here — but instead of a huge pump in crypto, the market gave us an anti-climax.
Bitcoin (BTC) barely moved higher after the news, leaving traders questioning what’s next.
In this video I break down:
- Why BTC didn’t rally after the rate cut
- What this means for the total crypto market
- The levels I’m watching next using ICT concepts
- A potential long setup I see forming on XRP
This is a reminder that the market doesn’t always follow the news — price action tells the real story.
👉 Were you surprised by the market’s reaction to the rate cut? Drop your thoughts in the comments.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #XRP #ICTTrading #CryptoAnalysis #RateCut #fomc
Stay tuned — this is NOT financial advice, just my analysis. Always do your own research before trading.
TTD could return 200% in the next yearsThe Trade Desk is this big American tech company that basically helps advertisers buy digital ads in a super smart, automated way. They run a platform (called a DSP, or Demand Side Platform) where brands and agencies can set up, manage, and optimize their ad campaigns across tons of channels—like websites, mobile apps, streaming TV, audio, you name it. They’re pretty much the biggest independent player in this space, competing with giants like Google and Amazon.
Now, about the stock crash ,things have been rough lately. Their share price tanked, and here’s why:
First off, their latest financial results were kind of a letdown. For the first time in over eight years , they didn’t hit their own revenue targets. Investors hate surprises like that, so the stock dropped hard, almost 30% in a single day.
On top of that, they’ve been rolling out a new AI-powered platform called Kokai, but apparently, there were some hiccups with the launch. The company admitted they messed up a bit on execution, which didn’t help investor confidence.
Another thing: their stock had gone up a ton last year, it more than doubled at one point. So when the results disappointed, people freaked out and started selling. The valuation was super high, and the market just corrected itself, wiping out a huge chunk of their market cap.
There’s also some bigger-picture stuff going on.
The ad industry is getting more competitive, with Google and Amazon pushing hard, and there are worries about the economy slowing down. Plus, new privacy rules and regulations are making things trickier for digital ad companies in general.
All this led to a bit of a panic, with people selling off their shares and the price dropping even more because of technical trading stuff.
Fortunately, the price stopped near the previous lows where there is a major support and this could be a masive opportunity for mid to long term investors seeking a low risk entry with a +200% returns opportunity. A Stop Loss under the supports would be fine to keep your money safe.
In short, The Trade Desk is still a major player in digital ads, but they hit a rough patch because of disappointing results, some mistakes with their new tech, and a reality check on their sky-high stock price. Some people still think they’ll bounce back if they fix these issues, but for now, it’s been a wild ride!
EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout to 1.20 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hype EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout to 1.20 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hype and #Fed Trends Buzz? 1.1920 Target in Sight?
EUR/USD is trading at 1.1878 today, up 0.3% amid surging to a fresh four-year high as markets brace for the Fed's interest rate decision later, with expectations of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% fueling dollar weakness. This comes as South Africa's Treasury eyes new Eurobonds post-$2B redemption, potentially bolstering Euro demand amid broader EM inflows.
Just as #Fed racks up 12K mentions on X with rate cut speculation exploding, and #business trends highlight global bond stability (e.g., SA's move), EUR/USD's rally ties into ECB hawkishness versus Fed easing—positioning it as a high-conviction pair for September volatility. But with RSI overbought, is EUR/USD poised for a breakout to 1.20, or will a hawkish Fed surprise trigger a pullback? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD's strength stems from diverging monetary policies, with the ECB holding rates steady at 3.50% while Fed cut bets hit 65% for 50bps today, pressuring the dollar index to 98.50 lows. Analysts forecast a potential climb to 1.1920 if cuts confirm, with 2025 averages eyed at 1.15 amid Eurozone recovery data like 0.3% Q2 GDP growth. With #Fed trends going viral on X, the pair's sensitivity to dot plot signals undervalues its upside if projections show three more cuts by year-end; however, sticky US inflation (core PCE at 2.6%) could cap gains if the Fed pauses.
- **Positive:**
- Fed easing expectations weaken USD, amplified by #Fed hype and SA Eurobond plans signaling global Euro appetite.
- Eurozone resilience with PMI at 51.2 supports hawkish ECB, projecting 1.5% 2025 GDP growth versus US slowdown risks.
- Broader trends in #business (e.g., EM bond inflows) position EUR/USD for 2%+ monthly gains if cuts deliver.
- **Negative:**
- Overbought conditions risk correction to 1.1762 if Fed signals fewer cuts, clashing with #Fed optimism.
- Geopolitical tensions and US election uncertainty could strengthen USD as safe-haven if volatility spikes.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Policy divergence favors Euro with ECB's steady rates versus Fed cuts, amplified by #Fed relevance in weakening USD sentiment.
**Weaknesses:** High sensitivity to US data; overbought momentum vulnerable in a #business-shifting market post-Fed.
**Opportunities:** SA Eurobond tap boosts Euro liquidity; #Fed cut confirmation could narrow discount, with undervalued upside at current levels amid 1.5% projected 2025 appreciation.
**Threats:** Hawkish Fed pivot eroding gains; competition from yen or pound if global easing synchronizes amid viral #Fed discussions.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, EUR/USD shows a bullish ascending channel breakout to four-year highs at 1.1878, with volume surging on Fed anticipation and mirroring #Fed volatility. The weekly confirms an inverse head-and-shoulders from summer lows, now extending higher. Current price: 1.1878, with VWAP at 1.1850 as intraday pivot.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 72, overbought but holding bullish—potential bounce signal amid #Fed surge. 📈
- **MACD:** Positive histogram expanding, crossover intact for upside momentum.
- **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.1750) and 50-day SMA (1.1650), golden cross supporting bull trend.
Support/Resistance: Key support at 1.1810 (recent low), resistance at 1.1920 (Fib target) and 1.2000 (psychological). Patterns/Momentum: Channel extension targets 1.1920; fueled by #Fed momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher highs on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: RSI divergence could prompt drop to 1.1690.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.1920 on dovish Fed targets 1.2000; go long on pullbacks to 1.1810, especially if #Fed goes mainstream with cuts.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.1810 eyes 1.1762; watch for death cross amid #Fed fade if hikes signal.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.1810–1.1920 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools.
Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.1790. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like USD/JPY.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if EUR/USD holds 1.1810, supercharged by today's #Fed and #business trends, with 1%+ upside to 1.20 on rate cut confirmation. But watch the Fed decision for confirmation—this fits September's policy divergence theme, but SA Eurobonds add supportive Euro tailwinds. What’s your take? Bullish on EUR/USD amid #Fed cuts or hedging the dip? Share in the comments!
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping the historic $3,700 level. Price briefly tapped 3,702 before retreating into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs both sides. With the Fed policy decision due at 1 AM VN time, volatility is expected to spike. Market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tension, but short-term positioning suggests possible liquidity grabs before a directional move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,685
TP2: 3,695
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,680+
👉 High R:R setup if stops hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but Fed decision risk means smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay nimble: fade extremes at 3,696–3,694 for shorts, and defend demand at 3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638 for longs. Trade lighter size until post-Fed clarity.
SOL/USDT – Daily OutlookSolana continues to trade within a bullish structure after breaking above key resistance. Momentum indicators suggest short-term exhaustion, opening room for a potential retracement.
The nearest demand zone lies between $216 – $202, which could serve as a re-entry area if price corrects lower. As long as this zone holds, the medium-term outlook remains bullish.
Fibonacci projections point towards $280 – $300 (1.236 – 1.618 extension) as the next upside targets, aligning with a potential strong resistance area.
In summary, while a short-term pullback is possible, the broader trend remains bullish with clear demand support below and Fibonacci targets above.
Broken out angular trendline resistance after an yearafter sideways an year it may give target for 5th wave impulse
resistance broken out
also closed above 50 ema weekly
with minimum SL
weekly made a healthy higher low as weekly and daily macd is still up
may good for equity investments
Just shared my study
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast -
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
Will Fed rate cuts provide further upside for US500?
On the eve of the FOMC meeting, US indices traded cautiously as stronger August retail sales reignited concerns over inflation risks. Retail sales rose 0.6% MoM, beating the 0.3% consensus. Charles Schwab noted that despite weak August jobs data, consumer spending remains resilient, supporting Q3 growth.
Industrial production also surprised to the upside at 0.1% (cons. -0.1%), with manufacturing output—the largest component—up 0.2% on a rebound in autos.
US500 remains within the ascending channel, maintaining a steady uptrend. The widening gap between both EMAs suggests the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If US500 holds above both EMAs, the index may gain upward momentum toward the psychological resistance at 6700. Conversely, if US500 breaks below the 6530 support, the index could retreat toward 6340.
Lets Start a RIOT (part 2)Gooood old RIOT.
So back in late September, and early October 2024 I began positioning myself in RIOT and set a target of 6-12 month at around 45$. Although i am up 79% and will soon be able to take advantage of long-term capital gains tax. RIOT has not performed as well as I thought it would.
The miner leveraged BTC strategy from last cycle has not worked out, difficult business model, and macroeconomic issues plus competition from ETFs has made it difficult for miners overall. Other miners have been able to capitalize on AI and data centers, and it seems like RIOT along with MARA have been left behind but i think things can quickly turn around here.
Despite the pessimism RIOT looks like its in a really good spot as we are seeing a technical breakout along with optimism in 2-3 rate cuts for the remained of the year. I also don't believe the BTC top is in yet and think a final leg can help push RIOT up.
Ill be planning to offload my position little by little sometime within these last 3 moths of 2025 depending on how things go. At a market cap of only 6.50 B a 2x from here is certainly NOT unreasonable. Therefore, I'm readjusting my target from 45$ to around 35$ by EOY.
Good luck
GBPJY Daily Forecast - Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|
📊 GBPJY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPJPY