USDCHF H4 | Bullish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to our buy entry level at 0.7693, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 0.7608, which is a swing low support.
Our take profit is set at 0.7861, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Trend Analysis
TSLA (Tesla) - Value BUY Areas! The bull case for TSLA:
1) The balance sheet gives TSLA “staying power”
Tesla ended Q4 2025 with ~$44.1B in cash/cash equivalents & investments. That’s a real cushion in volatile markets.
2) They still generate meaningful cash (even in a tougher pricing environment)
For 2025, Tesla reported:
Operating cash flow: $14.7B
Free cash flow: $6.2B
That matters because in drawdowns, cash-flow businesses survive and keep investing while weaker companies tap out.
3) Energy is becoming a bigger, real revenue engine
Q4 2025 energy generation & storage revenue was $3.84B, up year-over-year.
Tesla also reported record energy storage deployments and 14.2 GWh deployed in Q4 2025.
Energy is important because it diversifies Tesla beyond “just a car company” and can help smooth cycles over time. 🔋
4) Margins improved in Q4 (trend matters)
Tesla’s total GAAP gross margin was 20.1% in Q4 2025 (up YoY).
In a market that’s questioning profitability, improving margin direction is a key signal.
How I’m thinking about entries (discipline > hype)
If price drops into my marked value areas, I’m not “all-in.”
My plan is:
Scale in (starter → add on confirmation)
Keep risk defined (invalidations based on structure)
Treat it like a position build, not a lottery ticket 🎯
Example approach: starter buy at the first zone, add if it bases/holds, add again if it reclaims a key moving average / structure level.
Counterexample: price free-falls through the zone with no base and market continues heavy risk-off — then I wait. No hero trades.
Risks to respect (and how I handle them)
Macro risk / rates / risk-off waves → smaller size, wider patience, scale-in only.
EV demand + pricing pressure → focus on cash-flow + margin trend, not headlines.
Execution risk (new products/robotics/autonomy timelines) → I don’t “pay today” for far-future hype; I buy levels with risk defined. 🧱
Question for you:
If TSLA taps my zones: are you a DCA investor, a swing trader, or a wait-for-confirmation person?
Follow if you want more chart + discipline breakdowns like this (wins and losses) 🤝
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. It’s my opinion and my analysis for educational purposes only. You must do your own due diligence, review the chart yourself, and assess your own risk tolerance before taking any position. ✅
GBPCAD: Deep Trap?! 🇬🇧🇨🇦
It looks like we have a deep false violation of an intraday support on GBPCAD.
We see a strong bullish price action during the London session opening today.
I expect a rise at least to 1.862 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH: Same Cycle, New Year?CRYPTOCAP:ETH based on historical price action and market structure, ETH appears to be following a similar pattern seen in previous bear market cycles.
In past bear markets, ETH has declined 70%–85% from the cycle top. If a comparable drawdown plays out from the recent highs, price could revisit the $1,000–$1,100 zone, which aligns with a major historical demand area and prior accumulation range.
This region could act as a potential bottom.
DYOR, NFA
#etherum
Bitcoin Structure Update (Daily)Bitcoin remains in a bearish structural regime on the daily timeframe.
Price continues to trade below the 200 EMA, with the 10, 20, and 50 EMAs all positioned beneath it. Shorter-term EMAs (10 & 20) maintain downward curvature, indicating that downside pressure remains unresolved and trend structure has not yet repaired.
Momentum & Participation
RSI: Downside pressure remains elevated, but momentum is beginning to decelerate following the most recent daily close. RSI is still deeply stretched and remains below key recovery thresholds, signaling early stabilization rather than confirmation.
Rate of Change (ROC): The pace of the decline is slowing, suggesting downside momentum is no longer accelerating. However, ROC remains negative, indicating that pressure has eased but has not yet transitioned into a positive regime.
Summary
Structure remains bearish. Momentum is showing early signs of deceleration, but no confirmed reversal or structural reclaim is present at this time. This remains a structural assessment of current conditions, not a prediction.
GBPUSD— FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY Q1 | D6 | W5 | Y26📅 Q1 | D6 | W5 | Y26
📊 GBPUSD— FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
💡 My Motto
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ On Losses
Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed.
We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp 🧠
Stay consistent 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
FX:GBPUSD
XAGUSD Rebound from Demand Zone.....Nice setup 👍 This XAGUSD (Silver) 2H chart shows a strong bearish move into support, followed by a reaction from the lower demand area. If you’re planning a **pullback / mean-reversion target**, here are the clean levels:
### 🎯 Upside Targets (from current bounce)
* **Primary Target (TP1): ~90.0 – 92.0**
👉 This matches your marked **range high / target point** and the underside of the Ichimoku cloud (strong resistance zone).
* **Extended Target (TP2, aggressive): ~95.0**
👉 Upper boundary of the previous range + cloud resistance. Only likely if momentum flips bullish and price reclaims the trendline.
### 🔄 Invalidation (keep it simple)
* If price **fails to hold above ~70–72**, the bounce is weak and downside continuation risk increases.
WULF | DailyNASDAQ:WULF — Quantum Model Projection
Bullish Alternative 📈
As outlined in the previous update(Feb. 3 Daily), the triangle’s final subdivision—Minor Wave E, marked by an approximately 14% decline—may have concluded the consolidation phase within Intermediate Wave (4) that has been in place since late October.
With this potentially bullish structural base now complete, the advance of Intermediate Wave (5) is expected to follow shortly.
#CryptoStocks #CryptoMining #QuantumModels
CRML: Looking Good.After all this nasty overall market crash we are presented with lots of good cheap candidates for a quick trade and CRML is one of them.
CRML is about to complete its 4hrs Bearish TIME Cycle and it just enter the buying Zone.
We are looking for target above the $13.50 mark for a quick buck.
Bearish momentum to continue?CAD/CHF has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.57101
1st Support: 0.56044
1st Resistance: 0.57579
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Gold’s Bounce Looks Corrective – Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) bounced from two days ago mainly due to oversold conditions and margin-unwind dynamics, and touched the targets of my previous idea .
But the fundamental short case is still valid: the U.S. Dollar has near-term support, and if DXY( TVC:DXY ) firms up again it usually caps Gold’s upside—especially with the US 10Y yield around 4.29% ( TVC:US10Y ).
At the same time, the partial U.S. government shutdown and delayed key releases add uncertainty, which typically supports safe-haven demand.
My bias: look for shorts on failed follow-through (weak bounce) while Dollar/yields stay bid.
If DXY rallies again, can Gold reclaim today’s highs?
Let’s dive into a technical analysis of gold on the 1-hour timeframe.
Currently, gold is moving within the resistance zone($4,991-$4,878) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent +10% rise in gold over the last two days is likely a corrective structure, most likely a zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5).
I expect that AFTER breaking the support lines, gold will decline at least to $4,707 and fill the lower gap($4,695-$4,661).
First Target: $4,707
Second Target: $4,569
Stop Loss(SL): $5,079
Points may shift as the market evolves
Can gold resume its bullish trend, or should we expect deeper corrections?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 16.1268
1st Support: 16.01453
1st Resistance: 16.33042
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Stop!Loss|Market View: BRENT🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the BRENT ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 70.18
💰TP: 72.97
⛔️SL: 68.96
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Technically, the situation is favorable for oil buyers. This is confirmed by the price movement within the ascending channel, as well as a likely retest of the 70-degree area, with a subsequent likely upward breakout. Furthermore, we shouldn't forget the geopolitical factor to which oil is very sensitive: the situation in the Middle East, which will likely push the price higher once again.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Micron Technology (MU) – Pullback Within a Primary UptrendMU is currently finding near-term demand around its 20-day moving average following a pullback within a well-established uptrend. While the broader trend remains constructive, additional buying interest would help confirm continuation. Some caution is warranted, however, as the S&P 500 recently closed below its 50-day moving average, which could introduce short-term market volatility.
Micron Technology, Inc. is a $430.90bn market-cap company that provides innovative memory and storage solutions. The company operates across four business segments: Compute and Networking (CNBU), Mobile (MBU), Embedded (EBU), and Storage (SBU). The CNBU segment supplies memory products and solutions to client, cloud server, enterprise, graphics, and networking end markets, positioning Micron at the center of data-centric demand trends.
From a fundamental standpoint, MU is best described as a narrow-moat business. The company has delivered strong revenue and EPS growth over the past five quarters, supported by improving industry conditions. Profitability has been robust, with ROIC above 17% and ROE above 13% over the last three quarters, alongside net margins exceeding 28% during the same period. The balance sheet remains a key strength, underpinned by solid liquidity with a current ratio of 2.5x and a conservative capital structure, reflected in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.2x. NASDAQ:MU
GBPUSD – 4H Chart Targets... GBPUSD – 4H Chart Targets 📉
Based on the chart me shared (descending trendline + price below resistance):
Bias: Bearish (Sell on pullbacks)
Sell Zone:
1.3560 – 1.3600 (trendline / resistance area)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: 1.3500
🎯 TP2: 1.3420
🎯 TP3 (Final): 1.3350 ✅ (me marked target zone)
Stop Loss:
🛑 Above 1.3650 (trendline break & structure invalidation)
Notes:
Price is respecting the descending trendline
Bearish momentum remains strong
Ichimoku cloud resistance above price supports downside continuation
⚠️ Always manage risk properly and wait for confirmation on entry.
Simple Structure Trading-NBISIn this video, I walk step-by-step through the NBIS chart using a simple top-down process designed for beginners and developing traders.
We start by clearing the chart to remove noise, then move through the higher timeframes — monthly, weekly, and daily, to identify real support and resistance levels that matter.
Finally, we drop to the 4-hour chart to focus on timing and potential entry.
This is not hype, signals, or predictions.
It’s a calm walkthrough of how to read structure, think through a trade, and build confidence in your own decision-making.
If you’re new to trading, you can follow this entire process using the free version of TradingView.
The goal is simple: less confusion, more clarity, and a repeatable method you can practice on any chart.
Method used: Top-Down Trading Method
Focus: Market structure → support & resistance → entry timing
This channel is about learning to think clearly in the market, one chart at a time.
Selling pressure on gold is following the trend line.⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to around $4,680 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the decline as traders cover losses from equities and adjust positions. The preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report for February is due later on Friday.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME), the world's leading derivatives marketplace, has raised initial margin requirements for Gold and Silver futures contracts again, increasing the amount of collateral traders must post to open and maintain positions. Additionally, falling technology stocks have forced some traders to liquidate gold positions to meet margin requirements, exerting some selling pressure on the yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are consolidating and moving downwards along a trend line, below 5000. Gold prices are consolidating and moving downwards along a trend line, below 5000.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4940 - 4942 SL 4947
TP1: $4925
TP2: $4910
TP3: $4880
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4653- 4655 SL 4648
TP1: $4670
TP2: $4690
TP3: $4715
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC - My highest conviction tradeBTCUSD (1D) — Bear flag breakdown + void magnets (volume profile)
Same story, cleaner setup: structure says lower until proven otherwise.
What’s on the chart:
Big sell impulse (flag pole) → sideways grind (bear flag) → breakdown
The volume profile is showing clear low-volume “voids” below price. These zones tend to act like magnets until they’re “filled” / price finds acceptance.
________________________________________
The map
Breakdown zone = line in the sand
If BTC stays below the bear-flag breakdown / retest area, sellers control the tape.
Bulls need a reclaim + hold to kill the breakdown thesis.
Void target #1: ~74.4k
Next major low-volume pocket.
MUST HAVE CAPITULATION VOLUME TO CONFIRM PIVOT
Expect a fast move into it, then either:
bounce + chop (acceptance work), or
slice through if risk-off momentum stays strong.
“If it wants to really scare everyone” zone: ~53.3k
Macro horizontal support + rising trendline confluence
That’s the generational / long-term add area on this map.
________________________________________
Scenarios
Bear base-case:
Breakdown holds → 74.4k void fill → if no quick reclaim, continuation risk toward 53.3k confluence.
Bull invalidation:
Reclaim the flag / breakdown level and start closing back above resistance → breakdown becomes a bear trap.
________________________________________
Not financial advice. Just sharing structure + VP logic.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #PriceAction #VolumeProfile #BearFlag #TradingView #Liquidity
Tesla - Electric Car Rolling LowerWe continue the downside move described in several previous posts.
We are drawing a corrective wave of the larger move.
Inside the corrective wave, four impulse sub-waves have already formed, and we are now forming the fifth sub-wave.
Key levels:
408
393
368
The most probable completion zone appears to be between 393-368 , which corresponds to roughly 50-60% of the primary move.
The downside potential from current levels is estimated at 2-12% .
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