BTC Macro Outlook - Next CycleSince BTC price broke down and confirmed the bearish macro trend, following historical patterns I see a potential bear market playing out with a low point in early July and/or late September then a rally to May 27 followed by the first impulsive move up to early feb/mar 28.
This then plays out to a top in September 29 somewhere around 180 and/or 208/210.
Another significant fib time presents itself in early September 30 but I'd lean towards this being the low of the market rather than another peak.
Trend Analysis
BTC zones I'm not a bitcoin enthusiast but here's my 2 cents on it
those are the prices i believe would be best entry points
the pullback isn't over yet.
it was up almost 10% yesterday, Feb 6 2026
i see that to be nothing more than "dead cat bounce"
around 40k is where i would but some for a hope for another run and 250k target
KSE 100: REST IS DUE IF LONG HAUL IS THE CHALLENGEOct. 2025 was the month when the KSE 100 took the rest and from the Nov. 2025 it staged another Bull rally in which market hit the land mark of 191000 points. But we see in this process the market added 10k points in the month of January 2026, albeit it was the good start for new year but it also revealed the early signs of Bulls getting fatigued, as shown in RSI bearish divergence.
Further we see the market lost 6k points in a single day, 29th Jan. But it took four days to regain these lost point and these four green candles were also not very convincing. Particularly if you examin the candle made on 4th of Feb you will notice even the volume breakout could not make a convincing green candle. Whereas the candle formed on friday is backed by the big volume candle thus reminding us the master technician W.D. Wykoff. ( The TV chart is not showing volume so i have to resort to some other source for Volumes)
To figure out what possible course of action market can adopt we resort to Fib. Retracement tool. This tool enable us to identify the Golden Zone, where market can find support. We also mark the price action support levels named Support 1, Support 2 and Support 3. Another possible support, though febal, can be the trend line.
If we keep in mind the length and quality of recent bull rally we realize that bulls ran short of breath a bit early, therefore, the retracement can go down to the level of Support 2 level and it may have a quick dash to the Support 3.
If it does so it shall not only suffice the need of Daily timeframe but also a necessary breather for Monthly timeframe.
Conclusion: Market may take a healthy retracement. For some novice traders it may appear as davastating whereas the experienced one shall find it an opportunity to rebalance their portfolio and take fresh positions on their way to new Highs.
To encourage me to put more effort in Technical analysis for you do share this with others on social media.
You may also suggest the assets for analysis.
Wishing you profitable trading.
BITCOIN 1HR PRICEACTION BITCOIN COULD TEST 70K-72K SUPPLY ROOF OF THE 1HE CHART ON THE DESCENDING TRENDLINE
THE WARNING WAS SENT ON MY LAST POST,I SAID WEEKLY BREAK OF WEEKLY LINE CHART CLOSE SUPPORT FLOOR WILL BE A BEARISH CONTINUATION AND 48K-47K ZONE WILL BE THE NEXT DESCENDING TRENDLINE RETEST DEMANDFLOOR .
Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous person or group using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network without central banks or governments, using blockchain technology—a public ledger recording all transactions cryptographically across thousands of computers worldwide.
Key Features:
Decentralized: No single entity controls Bitcoin; miners validate transactions via proof-of-work.
Limited Supply: Capped at 21 million coins (94% mined by 2026), creating scarcity like digital gold.
Transactions: Users send/receive BTC via digital wallets; irreversible once confirmed (10-60 minutes).
Security: Cryptographic keys ensure ownership; blockchain prevents double-spending.
Uses:
Store of Value: "Digital gold" hedge against inflation/currency devaluation.
Payments: Accepted by merchants (e.g., Tesla briefly, El Salvador legal tender).
Bitcoin hit ATH amid institutional adoption (ETFs, corporate treasuries), Trump pro-crypto policies, and halving cycle (April 2024 reduced rewards). Highly volatile; correlates with risk assets but increasingly viewed as macro hedge alongside your gold/silver interests.
#BITCOIN #BTCUSD
Gold Rebounds, Bullish Hopes ReturnThe recent recovery has erased gold’s sell-off, reigniting optimism that the current bullish cycle may be beginning—or at least taking shape in the short term.
From a technical perspective, gold is sending constructive signals after breaking above the trendline and forming a bullish flag pattern. If this structure continues to hold, the path higher appears to face relatively limited resistance.
On the other hand, despite heightened short-term volatility, the key drivers that have defined gold’s outlook into 2025 remain firmly in place. In particular, ongoing global geopolitical uncertainty continues to support safe-haven demand. In addition, the broader weakening trend in the US dollar is seen as an important tailwind that could help gold maintain elevated price levels in the period ahead.
I remain optimistic—what about you?
Share your thoughts in the comments below!
BTC- weekly Analysis BTC – Weekly Outlook | Still Buy Bias After 200 EMA Retrace
Market Structure (Weekly):
BTC has already retraced to the Weekly 200 EMA, which still supports a higher-timeframe buy bias.
The 60K zone is acting as a strong support for now.
Previous Higher Low (HL) stop hunt is already completed (as discussed earlier).
Bearish Risk Scenario:
If price breaks and sustains below 60K, downside targets open:
🎯 1st target: 55K
🎯 2nd target: 45K
🎯 3rd target: 40K
In case of major unfavorable news or strong market rumors, a move toward 40K or even below is possible.
Current Structure Status:
Price is retracing from 60K toward 70K, but Weekly BOS is still not completed.
Before a strong bullish continuation, we can still expect:
Liquidity taps near 66K
Deeper retrace toward 62K
Additionally, 56K liquidity zone may be swept on the weekly timeframe before the next major upside.
Trade Plan:
⚡ Aggressive Entry:
Buy around 66K or 62K
Tight stop-loss (intra-week management)
🛡 Conservative Entry (Swing Traders):
Buy near 56K zone
Stop-loss: 1% below entry
Bias:
Short-term: Volatile / liquidity-driven
Weekly: Still bullish unless 60K breaks decisively
Possible Drop that may be a buying opportunitySilver has been ranging in the support area of $72. While there are geopolitical issues such as Iran and domestic social issues the Comex debacle of last weeks drawdown continues to affect metals. Notwithstanding, movement of metals from storage is causing shortages that may prove to be a momentum catalyst in March 20th. I intend to load should the price drop to Novembers low of $54. If silver rises to previous high of $103 I may sell and wait for another retrace opportunity to buy at the support level of $72.
AUDNZD | Multi-Year Range Break AttemptPrice spent nearly a decade rotating inside a defined range.
No trend. No edge. Just time being absorbed.
Now we’re seeing:
• Rising structure from the lows
• Compression into range high
• First clean push above long-term resistance
This is the part of the chart where outcomes expand.
Above this level = acceptance → higher-timeframe trend shift
Failure here = rejection → rotation back into value
No rush. No bias.
Let price confirm whether this is a true regime change or a liquidity probe.
Reminder:
The higher the timeframe, the fewer trades — but the bigger the consequences.
📌 Levels > indicators
📌 Structure > opinions
📌 Time > everything
Watching how price behaves around range high.
OANDA:AUDNZD
XAUUSD | Gold – Structural Pause, Not a Trend Reve | 07 Feb 2026Gold remains bullish in primary structure, but price behaviour has shifted into a corrective / digestion phase.
The recent rally expressed momentum into the upper channel, followed by late-stage volatility — a sign of trend maturity, not reversal.
Structure remains constructive above the 4,750–5,000 holding zone.
Pullbacks toward corrective support remain part of normal trend digestion.
Focus on structure, not prediction.
Volatility ≠ trend change.
#XAUUSD #Gold #MarketStructure #TrendAnalysis #ElliottWave #MarketOmorph
A Note to the One Still ReadingIf these stories have found you, then you’re walking a path most people never notice.
A path that rises and falls, twists and snaps, steadies and shakes — just like the worlds inside these tales.
In this age where the digital storms roar louder than the real wind, it’s easy to lose your footing. Easy to forget that the screen is a tool, not a home. Easy to let the noise drown out your own voice.
So hear this:
Find your path.
Chart your path.
But don’t let the chart become your life.
This world — the real one — is still yours to shape.
These stories are reminders, not instructions.
Guides, not chains.
If you survived the last move life threw at you, then learn from it.
If you’re still standing after the chaos, then you’re earning every win.
If you’re still here — still reading — then you’re growing, learning, and sharing in ways you may not even see yet.
The Terryverse isn’t just a place.
It’s a mirror.
And it’s telling you this:
You’re not done.
You’re not lost.
You’re becoming.
Keep going.
XRPUSD- ReversalXRPUSD -- Ripple in Reversal......Completed 90%
A. Major Head and Shoulder pattern in D1. Neck formation completed. Right shoulder formation in progress.
B. R eversal pattern in head part . Start of right shoulder....
1.Prior Down trend.. Represented by slanting trendline
2. Reversal Pattern - Inverted Head and shoulders at major support ( Zoom the chart)...Horizontal red line.
3. Change of character.. Higher highs.
4. Head retracing to golden Fibonacci ratio (F6)
Next Steps: Waiting for targets to reach marked around Fibonacci levels ..
Entry: around 2.19
Initial targets : 3.055 and 3.438
stop loss: 2.02
Oil Fails to Reach the $66 LevelAs the second week of January comes to a close, oil price action has remained contained, with fluctuations of less than 2% over recent sessions. This lack of movement highlights the market’s inability to establish a clear short-term directional bias. For now, the sense of indecision has been reinforced by recent OPEC+ announcements, following the group’s meeting on February 1, which did not signal any additional increase in production levels in the near term. At the same time, confidence in demand has yet to recover, as global risk concerns have taken center stage throughout the week. Until a clearer path emerges regarding demand or production, this neutral tone is likely to continue dominating short-term price action.
The bearish trend remains in control
For several months, a downward trendline has continued to dominate average oil price movements. So far, there has been no buying pressure strong enough to challenge this structure, keeping it as the most relevant technical formation to monitor. If indecision persists and price fails to consolidate a sustained recovery, selling pressure may remain dominant in the coming sessions—particularly if oil is unable to break convincingly above the $66 per barrel area.
Technical indicators
RSI:
Although the RSI has posted readings above the neutral 50 level, the indicator has recently begun to flatten, suggesting that bullish momentum is losing strength. If this behavior continues, it could lead to a more prolonged phase of indecision in the short term.
MACD:
Meanwhile, the MACD histogram has moved closer to the zero line, indicating that the average strength of moving averages remains in balance. As long as this condition persists, price indecision is likely to remain a key feature over the next few sessions.
Key levels to watch
$66 – Key resistance:
This level aligns with recent highs and represents the main upside barrier. A sustained move above this zone, supported by bullish momentum, could challenge the longer-term bearish structure and pave the way for a renewed dominant buying phase.
$62 – Nearby barrier:
An area aligned with the 200-period simple moving average, acting as the primary neutral reference zone. Prolonged price action around this level could reinforce the current indecisive environment and favor the formation of a short-term sideways range.
$59 – Key support:
A level aligned with the 50-period simple moving average, acting as a critical downside barrier. Sustained moves below this area could reignite selling pressure and extend the prevailing downtrend in the sessions ahead.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
XAUUSD Ideas for next weekXAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (Based on H1 / H4 Structure)
Gold has shown a shift in market structure after reacting strongly from the H4 demand zone, where buyers stepped in and protected the lows. Price has since broken the short-term bearish structure and pushed higher, confirming bullish intent on the lower timeframe.
Following the structure break, price consolidated and then broke above the descending trendline, signaling a potential continuation move to the upside. Current price is holding above the breakout area, suggesting acceptance rather than a false break.
Bias: Bullish continuation
As long as price holds above the prior structure and demand support, bullish setups remain valid.
The marked zone acts as a key pullback / mitigation area for continuation entries.
Targets:
1st Target: Prior internal high / resistance zone (marked on chart)
2nd Target (Swing Target): Previous swing high, which aligns with higher-timeframe liquidity
Invalidation:
A strong close back below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and shift focus back to downside continuation.
Overall, gold is showing structure recovery and momentum shift, with buyers in control unless price reclaims below demand. Patience on pullbacks is key for cleaner risk-to-reward setups going into next week.
Smart Money Is Accumulating Bitcoin — Massive Move IncomingHi Traders ! BTCUSD was in a clear short-term downtrend but has now formed a strong reversal structure after bouncing from a key support zone around 64K–66K. Price is reclaiming momentum and pushing above minor resistance, signaling fresh bullish pressure.
A continuation move toward the next major resistance area is highly probable, marked as the TAKE PROFIT zone at 76,355.
📈 Long Setup
Entry: 70,035
Stop Loss: 64,165
Take Profit: 76,355
Momentum is shifting bullish — buyers are stepping back into the market. Time to go LONG on BTCUSD.
⚠️ This content is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and manage your capital wisely.
nifty strategy for next weekNifty opened on Sunday of last week around 25400 levels after that it touched nearly 24722 levels in intraday on the occasion of budget day but it recovery slightly on same day and closing at lower levels from opening. on the next day Nifty bounce back based on expectations on the U.S trade deal rumours hovers around the dalal street. coming tuesday Trump had announced big relief news for Indian exporters i.e Tariff reduced on our exports based on this Nifty jumped nearly 800 points than previous days closing and touched life time high around 26350 levels but it can't sustain on the same day it closed around 25800 levels and formed Inverse Flag pattern which is indicated market still in the bearish hands grip.coming to the next week nifty may consolidated between 25900 to 25300 levels until upto breakout occured either upside nor downside. so I suggested to traders accumulated position when touched suport and resistance levels and keep stoploss those levels on closing basis
Nifty support Levels : 25300,24750
Resistance Levels : 25900,26350
Why I'm Selling the S&P 500: It’s Not Economics, It’s Leverage.The S&P 500 is facing a mechanical "forced liquidation" event triggered by the historic 30% collapse in silver, which is compelling funds to sell liquid equities to meet margin calls. This selling pressure, compounded by uncertainty surrounding the Warsh Fed nomination, has shattered key support at 6,940. Fade intraday rallies as the market reprices this sudden liquidity drain, with a target break below 6,900.
DAX Index – GER30 Analysis🕓 Timeframe: 4‑hour chart
🔹 Recent Price Action
• Price has recently bounced from the key support zone around 24,250
• The rebound aligns with the lower boundary of the main ascending channel
📊 Smaller Structure
• Price has broken above the minor descending channel with strong bullish momentum
• This breakout suggests a continuation of the upward movement
🎯 Expected Targets
1️⃣ 24,935
2️⃣ 25,580
✅ Bullish Outlook
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price stays above the level:
→ (add your key support level here, e.g., 24,250 or the nearest higher support)
EURUSD -- Bullish ScenarioThis pair is in very strong consolidation. if price breaks 1.196 which is key psychological level,, targets mentioned can be reached soon... hence making dollar weak... obviously gold will increase in future.. may not be next week but soon.
This break also indicates break of Head and Shoulder pattern in D1 Time frame...
Entry - 1.19666
Stop loss - 1.16786
Target1 - 1.21841
Target2-- 1.24135






















