TON/USDT | TON Holds the Line After Sharp Dump,Bulls Coming BackBy analyzing the LSE:TON chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after the strong bearish move toward the $1.11 level, price reacted to demand and has now recovered to the $1.34 area. This rebound shows that buyers are still present, but confirmation is still required.
The key condition for further upside is price stabilization above the $1.245 level. Only if TON manages to hold and consolidate above this zone can we expect a stronger mid-term bullish continuation. Below this level, price remains vulnerable to further volatility and consolidation.
📈 Potential Upside Targets
• Target 1: $1.55
• Target 2: $1.78
• Target 3: $2.05
As always, this chart will be updated step by step as price reacts to key levels.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Trend Analysis
BTCUSD: Bearish Logscale Butterfly with Bearish RSI DivergenceJul 18, 2025:
Bitcoin has been setting up at the log adjusted 1.902 HOP for a Type 2 retest of the Logscale Bearish Butterfly for the last few months but recently pushed a bit above it and appears to be settling at the linear 1.902 HOP of the local price around the $118,000 area. Between $104,000 and $118,000 is a zone of linear of logscale Fibonacci confluence pointing towards the being the area to look for a more major downside reaction than we got off the initial Type 1 Reaction 1.618 PCZ reversal in 2021.
The most recent push to the linear 1.902 seems to have allowed the structure of the RSI to develop a more Bearishly Distributive and Divergent curve, while the MACD is in the process of developing a 2nd layer of Bearish Divergence. Ultimately at these highs we'd like to see the RSI weaken further as price begins to settle back within the 1.902 bearish zone of confluence before being more sure of downside.
Additionally, during the push higher, longer dated bearish call interest came in around the 123-125k levels which to me signals a newly formed hard resistance that will be hard to gap over and will make failure here more likely. I think if we do see failure we can of course fill the CME gap down at 91.8k, but ultimately the true first target is down at 30k with max targets down near the 0.886 around $4.8k and the 100 percent retrace down at around $3,123.51 over the coming quarters.
Taking into account the wide range in downside exposure I think the best and safest way to speculate on this downside would be through the buying of the March, 27th, 2026 Puts at the $95,000 strike or the closest IBIT equivalent March, 20th, 2026 Puts at the 58 strike this will give plenty of time, as well as plenty of range for the puts to appreciate 10's of thousands of dollars in value as BTC trades down into the targeted zones below it.
02/05/2026
Trade closed manually
Closed for now; details here:
www.tradingview.com
This is a Repost: because the original post from Jul 18, 2025, got taken down by a TradingView moderator for having a custom moving average indicator that was not made public. Despite the moving averages only just being simply and exponential moving averages anyone could add to their charts. In light of this issue I have published the multi-moving average indicator so hopefully that should stop mods from taking down past and future posts.
For the time being I will keep this post in neutral status as we've already moved down significantly, are in the oversold zones in the RSI, and are likely due for a retrace back up which I will go into details about on my next post which will be a repost from last week's idea which was also taken down by a moderator.
BTC - Dip Buy SetupThe bull trap shakeout (yellow arrow) can signal significant downside, but the longer it holds the more it actually switches to signal the opposite: bear trap, exhaustion.
This area is under all local supports (white arrow) so it is the area of highest liquidity and most likely to see a reversal (relative to consideration of liquidity).
Could be some significant upside from here if it holds and could reach an eventual $87K as covered in my recent video (linked on this page).
That target is made by looking back historically to see that Bitcoin historically bounces to log 0.5 retracement as a dead cat bounce.
Good luck.
Boost, comment.
Not advice.
A sneak peak in commodities, ahead of Core Inflation dataTwo Major economic events on line.
1. Core Inflation Rate YoY
2. Inflation Rate MoM
_Core Inflation Rate YoY_ measures annual price increases excluding volatile food and energy, reveals underlying inflation trends.
Higher-than-expected reading pressures Fed to keep rates high, weighing on global stocks, strengthening USD, and hitting commodities like gold/oil; Indian indices (Nifty) and metals fall on FII selling.
_Inflation Rate MoM_ tracks monthly change in overall consumer prices, capturing short-term shifts.
Higher (Hot print) rate triggers risk-off: global equities dip, rupee weakens, Sensex drags (FMCG/auto sensitive);
Lower prices (softer data) boosts markets worldwide.
Ahead of the announcement, sharing the projections of important levels and possible impacts on the major commodities, specially metals.
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout Setup | Buy Above 5021Gold (XAUUSD) is showing strong bullish structure on the 15M timeframe. After a sharp sell-off, price formed higher lows and is now approaching key resistance at 5021.
🔹 Major Resistance: 5021
🔹 Next Target: 5080
🔹 Final Target: 5160
🔹 Strong Support: 4886
If price breaks and holds above 5021, we can expect continuation toward 5080 and possibly 5160.
Market structure is forming higher highs & higher lows, indicating bullish momentum.
📌 Wait for confirmation before entry.
⚠️ Always use proper risk management.
S IS ABOUT TO COLLAPSE — ARE YOU NEXT LIQUIDITY?Yello Paradisers! Are you watching what smart money is doing on #S right now, or are you about to get trapped in the next downside flush? At first glance, this move may look harmless. Many inexperienced traders see “just a pullback.” But when we read the structure correctly, the chart is telling a completely different story and this is definitely not the place to trade emotionally.
💎#S formed a buying climax followed by climactic action bar, strongly suggesting that institutional players are offloading and preparing for more downside move according to volume spread analysis (VSA).
💎#S breaks the lower trigger line of buying climax for the second time, which confirmed the weakness, if momentum holds, the next major target sits around 3800 that could be tested soon.
💎#S price has respected the descending resistance and failed to break above it. That rejection confirms ongoing structural weakness. Momentum has clearly shifted to the downside. As long as price remains inside the order block and supply zone, the probability favours continuation lower toward the minor support around 4060.
💎If #S manages to break above the key resistance at 5250 with a strong momentum candle, this whole bearish probability would be invalidated, and we could instead see a bullish continuation. As always, we let price confirm our bias.
Discipline is key, Paradisers! The charts may look volatile, but this is where professionals thrive and amateurs panic. Don’t let emotions guide your trades. Wait for clear confirmation and manage risk like a pro. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
USNAS100 | CPI Data in Focus After Sharp DropUSNAS100 | CPI Data in Focus After 650-Point Drop
The Nasdaq dropped around 650 points, keeping the broader structure bearish as markets now shift attention to the U.S. CPI release, a key catalyst that could drive volatility across equities.
Technical Outlook
The index remains bearish while trading below 24785.
As long as price remains below this level, downside pressure is expected toward 24370, followed by 24180 and 23940.
Macro Trigger:
• CPI above 2.5% → bearish for indices
• CPI below 2.5% → bullish recovery scenario
Key Levels
• Pivot: 24780
• Support: 24370 – 24180 – 23940
• Resistance: 24960 – 25200
XAUUSD — $5,000 Is the Key LevelGold’s price action over the past couple of weeks has been very interesting.
We saw a sharp sell-off followed by nearly a 50% recovery, and now price is in a decision phase.
The $5,000 level remains the most critical resistance for gold. If price breaks above it with strength and proper confirmation, it could open the path toward $6,000. It may be early to talk about $6,000, but once $5,000 is decisively broken, that target becomes realistic.
As long as price remains below this resistance, I don’t see a valid trade opportunity.
Short positions are off the table for now.
For longs, we must wait for a confirmed breakout. If stronger early signals appear, we may consider positioning ahead of the breakout — but at the moment, there is no clear signal.
#Pouyanfa
Longs & Shorts Explained | Market Analysis + Key Levels to WatchIn this video, I break down why I took specific long and short positions, the technical and market structure reasons behind each trade, and the key levels I’m watching to anticipate where the market may move next. My goal is not just to show entries and exits, but to help you understand the logic, strategy, and mindset behind each decision.
Always remember to trade with proper risk management. Protecting your capital is more important than chasing profits. Every trade carries risk, and no setup is guaranteed. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and market conditions can change at any time.
This content is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always do your own analysis, manage your risk carefully, and trade responsibly.
FTSE100 corrective pullback support at 10336The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 10336 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 10336 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
10560 – initial resistance
10610 – psychological and structural level
10700 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 10336 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
10295 – minor support
10250 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 10336. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SELL EURAUD now for bullish trend Continuation .....SELL EURAUD now for bullish trend Continuation ..........
STOP LOSS: 1.68099
This sell trade setup is based on divergence for trend continuation trading pattern on the 4h time frame ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend , so whenever you can get a signal that the trend is about to come to continue is good for you to be part of it...
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with...
AUDNZD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.175.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.170 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SPX500 | Futures Subdued Ahead of Jobs DataSPX500 | Futures Subdued Ahead of Delayed Jobs Report
U.S. stock futures were subdued as investors awaited key labor market data, delayed by the partial government shutdown, while also monitoring ongoing earnings releases.
Markets continue to price in a potential June rate cut, with attention on Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s Fed Chair nominee, pending Senate approval.
Technical Outlook
The index has shifted bearish after stabilizing below 6988.
As long as price remains below 6988, downside pressure is expected toward 6918, followed by 6900 and 6858.
A recovery above 6988 would be needed to neutralize the bearish bias.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 6964
• Support: 6920 – 6900 – 6858
• Resistance: 6988 – 7020 – 7050
GBPJPY Sell CallPair is Bearish with a heatmap value of -2.55, confirming Bear strength. The bias is fully aligned: Alligator = Sell, 4H Alligator mouth open to the downside, 1H trend = Sell.
The trade is a sell at CMP (current market price) in line with the trend. The stop loss is placed above the (Alligator Jaw + 1xATR) on the 1H timeframe, ensuring protection beyond dynamic resistance.
The take profit is set at an equal distance to the stop loss, maintaining a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio. Trade management is defined: the stop loss will be moved to breakeven once price reaches the 0.20 Fibonacci level in profit.
BTC: another Drop??????Hi everyone!
After a strong rally, BTC formed a rising wedge pattern and has now broken to the downside. Price is currently sitting at a very important support zone, which could be difficult to break.
🔴For now, it’s better to stay patient and wait for a clear breakdown below the $74,400 support level, or a breakdown followed by a retest/retracement, before considering any short positions.
🎯If this support fails, the potential downside target would be around $63,500.
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 4,989.15.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 4,868.42 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Expecting today drop on GOLD and bearish close on WeeklyLooking at W/Daily on XAUUSD expecting ~60% drop probability with today's USD Core CPI release.
Setup:
Was alerted by FXDN app this morning about CPI High Impact news
Weekly chart looks manipulated, heavy fakeout above 2650
Trading plan:
Short bias CPI
Target: 2610 → 2590 support zone
Stop: 2665 (above manipulated weekly high)
R:R 1:3 minimum
Key levels:
CPI beat → Gold drop under 4877
CPI miss → Fake bounce and liquidation at 4877 and push above 5000
No inflation surprise expected based on recent data.
Gold May Correct Below the 5000 Level📊 Market Overview:
Gold is under corrective pressure after breaking below the psychological 5000 USD/oz level, as the USD remains strong and US bond yields stay elevated. Market sentiment is cautious ahead of upcoming US economic data and Fed policy expectations, leading to short-term profit-taking in gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 5005 – 5015 / 5050 – 5060
• Nearest Support: 4920 / 4980
• EMA: Price is trading below EMA 09 → short-term bearish bias.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Selling pressure increased after the breakdown below 5000. Decreasing volume suggests a potential technical pullback before the main trend continues. RSI is moving down from overbought territory, and bearish momentum still dominates.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may decline in the short term if it fails to reclaim the 5000 level, but a technical rebound toward resistance zones is still possible before a deeper correction.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 5057 – 5060
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 5064
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4920 – 4917
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 4913






















