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Trend Analysis

Bitcoin Bottom 2026We expect a cyclical market correction from 06th October 2025 to Q4 2026, driven by stress in the US financial system. Within institutional asset allocation frameworks, Bitcoin continues to be classified as a high beta risk asset. In an environment of liquidity tightening, such positions are typically reduced first. This dynamic can result in market driven price declines, independent of the long term structural growth narrative for digital assets. The core assumptions are: 1. Heightened risk aversion will lead to capital outflows from crypto assets. 2. Correlation to high growth technology equity markets is expected to remain elevated. 3. A pricing corridor for Bitcoin in the range of approximately USD 55,000 to 65,000 is a plausible outcome under these conditions. Once the Federal Reserve transitions into an easing cycle with lower policy rates and potentially renewed balance sheet expansion, risk appetite historically re-emerges. Capital rotation then moves back into higher volatility segments, positioning Bitcoin and related digital assets at the forefront of the next upward market phase.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by NXAnalyse
Ethereum Flashes Rebound Signal After Holding the $3,053 LineCOINBASE:ETHUSD is showing early signs of recovery after nearly a month of steady decline. On the 12-hour chart, the price has held above the key support level of $3,053, which marked the most recent low. Since that point, COINBASE:ETHUSD has rebounded about 9%, suggesting that short-term selling pressure may be easing. The RSI shows a clear bullish divergence, where price made lower lows but RSI formed higher lows between September 25 and November 4. This pattern often signals fading bearish momentum and a potential reversal. COINBASE:ETHUSD still trades within a falling channel, keeping the broader trend bearish, but a confirmed 12-hour close above $3,338 would validate a rebound setup. The next resistance sits at $3,799, followed by a potential breakout target of $4,000–$4,260. From a derivatives view, nearly $1.2 billion in short positions are clustered between $3,320 and $3,740, compared to just $330 million in long exposure. A move above $3,338 could trigger short covering, accelerating price gains. On-chain data adds mild support: large holders have modestly increased their positions, and the NUPL ratio near 0.27 shows most weak hands have already exited. A daily close below $3,053 would invalidate the rebound case, but holding above it keeps COINBASE:ETHUSD ’s path open toward the mid-$3,000 range.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by BeInCrypto
NZDCAD: Downtrend Continues 🇳🇿🇨🇦 NZDCAD set a new lower low lower close on a daily, breaking below a significant horizontal support. It confirms a highly probable bearish trend continuation. We can expect that the market will continue falling at least to 0.79 level. For safe entries, I suggest waiting for a pullback first. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D5| Y25 | 📊 GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD Support breakdown strong down trend📉 GBP/USD Technical Outlook (4H Timeframe) The pair continues to show strong bearish momentum, confirming a clear downtrend after breaking the key support level at 1.3300. Currently, price action is moving in a consolidation zone, and a breakdown below 1.3120 could open the way for further downside movement. 🎯 Technical Targets: 1️⃣ 1.3010 2️⃣ 1.2870 3️⃣ 1.2720 💡 Key Notes: Trend: Bearish Setup: Breakdown continuation Timeframe: 4H Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout below consolidation before entry. ⚠️ Always use proper risk management. Trading involves risk—plan your trades and trade your plan! 📊 Like • 💬 Comment • 🔁 Share #GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #FXTrading #Downtrend #RiskManagement
Short
by ExpertTraderASK
USD/JPY Bullish breakout buying strong nowUSD/JPY Bullish Breakout Alert! 💹 Pair has broken out strongly and is now in a retest phase — perfect zone for buyers around 153.000 support ✅ 🎯 Technical Targets: Resistance 1️⃣: 153.700 Resistance 2️⃣: 154.500 🕓 Timeframe: 4H Chart 💼 Bias: Bullish ⚠️ Always use proper risk management and stick to your trading plan — discipline is key! 💪 💬 Like | 🔁 Share | 📈 Comment your views below 👇
Long
by ExpertTraderASK
1
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,965.68. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,993.60 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
UB Analysis (4H)It seems this asset is forming either a triangle or a diametric pattern, and wave C appears to be completed. If a pullback occurs to the red zone, it could provide an opportunity to open a sell/short position. The targets are marked on the chart. Let’s wait and see how it plays out. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Short
by behdark
Today's gold trading strategyThe divergence in expectations for rate cuts has intensified: Although the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of a rate cut in December remains around 70%, recent statements from Fed officials have become more cautious, emphasizing the need to observe the persistence of inflation. Market doubts about the pace of easing have risen, and the logic of rate cuts that previously supported gold has weakened marginally. Stable US Treasury yields support the dollar: The 10-year US Treasury yield has stabilized at 4.074%, with a slight decrease of 0.016 basis points compared to yesterday. The stabilization of yields has reduced the attractiveness of gold for allocation; at the same time, the 10-year Treasury yield spread between the US and Japan remains at a high level of 233.8 basis points, supporting the resilience of the US dollar index and indirectly suppressing the rebound space of gold. Inflation expectations carry hidden risks: The market expects that the year-on-year CPI in the US in September may rise to 3.1%, a new high since May 2024. Coupled with the recent increase in oil price volatility, the risk of inflation stickiness may further constrain the space for the Fed to ease, providing fundamental support to the bears. Today's gold trading strategy sell：3970-3980 tp:3955-3940 sl:3910
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_Lewis1
DXY Institutional Pullback Setup – Smart Money Buying the Dip!💰 DXY: The Dollar Flexing Hard - Institutional Swing Play! 🎯 📊 Market Overview The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing serious institutional strength! After a clean pullback to the 786 Triangular Moving Average, we're locked and loaded for a bullish continuation play. This setup screams "smart money accumulation" and we're positioning for the ride up! 💪 🎯 The Setup: Bullish Confirmation ✅ Asset: DXY (U.S. Dollar Index CFD) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH - Confirmed on institutional timeframes Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid 📈 Technical Confluence: ✅ 786 TMA Pullback - Textbook institutional support zone ✅ Price action holding above key structure ✅ Volume profile showing accumulation ✅ Smart money footprint evident 🎲 The "Layered Entry" Gameplan (Thief Style 😎) Instead of going all-in at one price, we're using multiple limit orders (layering strategy) to build our position like the institutions do: 💵 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders): Layer 1: 98.400 Layer 2: 98.600 Layer 3: 98.800 Note: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size! The beauty of layering? You average into the move without FOMO-ing at the worst price. 🧠 Current Price Entry: Yes, you can enter at market if you're confident in the setup, but layering gives you better risk management. 🛡️ Risk Management (Thief OG Edition) 🚨 Stop Loss: 98.100 This is MY stop loss based on my risk tolerance. IMPORTANT: I'm NOT telling you to blindly copy this. Set your SL based on YOUR account size, risk percentage, and comfort level. Trade your plan, not mine! 🎰 🎯 Profit Target: 100.000 (The Big Round Number!) 🧲 Why 100.000? Simple Moving Average acting as strong resistance Psychological round number = liquidity magnet 🧲 Overbought conditions likely near this zone Trap potential for late longs - we want to exit before the crowd panics! Exit Strategy: Take profits in stages! Don't be greedy. 💰 Consider taking 50% off at 99.500 and letting the rest ride to 100.000 with a trailing stop. DISCLAIMER: This target is MY analysis. You decide when to take profits based on your strategy. If you see your account glowing green, TAKE THE MONEY! 💸 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Game 🕹️) The DXY doesn't move in isolation! Here are the correlated plays: 📉 Inverse Correlations (These typically move OPPOSITE to DXY): FX:EURUSD - Strong negative correlation (~-95%). DXY up = EUR/USD down FX:GBPUSD - Cable follows Euro's lead, watch for breakdown OANDA:AUDUSD & OANDA:NZDUSD - Commodity currencies get crushed when DXY rips Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Dollar strength = gold weakness (classic inverse) 📈 Positive Correlations (These move WITH DXY): FX:USDJPY - Yen pairs amplify dollar moves OANDA:USDCHF - Swissy follows dollar strength OANDA:USDCAD - Loonie weakens on DXY strength (unless oil goes parabolic) Pro Tip: If DXY is pumping but EUR/USD isn't dumping proportionally, something's off - be careful! 🚩 🧠 Key Points & Edge: Institutional Level Confirmed - The 786 TMA is a proven reversal/continuation zone used by big money Swing Trading Sweet Spot - This isn't a scalp; give it room to breathe Layer Like a Pro - Don't blow your load on one entry; scale in strategically Risk First, Profits Second - Protect your capital like it's your only child 👶 Watch Correlations - DXY strength impacts EVERYTHING in Forex ⚠️ Risk Disclosure & "Thief Style" Disclaimer THIS IS THE "THIEF STYLE" TRADING STRATEGY - JUST FOR FUN AND EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES! 🎲 This analysis represents MY personal trading plan and bias. I am NOT a financial advisor, and this is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss, and you could lose more than your initial investment. ✅ Do your own research (DYOR) ✅ Never risk more than you can afford to lose ✅ Past performance ≠ future results ✅ Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent Trade at your own risk! I'm sharing my playbook, but YOU are responsible for your account. If you make money, congrats! 🎉 If you lose money, that's on you, not me. Manage your risk like a pro! 💪 🚀 Let's Catch This Move Together! The setup is ripe, the levels are clear, and the plan is locked in. Now we wait for the market to come to us - patience pays in this game! ⏰ ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #DXY #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ForexSignals #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #RiskManagement #EURUSD #ForexCorrelation #SmartMoney #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #ForexLife #ThiefStyle #LayeredEntry #DollarBull Happy Trading, Thief OGs! 💎🙌
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
BTCUSD BUY SETUP🎯 Entry Plan Step 1 – Wait for Retracement Be patient and wait for price to come back into the demand zone (around 100,000–99,500). Do not enter while price is still retracing — you want confirmation inside the zone. Step 2 – Confirmation Entry On a lower timeframe (5M or 1M): Watch for: Liquidity sweep (price takes out a recent low inside the demand zone). Change of Character (ChoCH) to the upside. Bullish engulfing or strong momentum candle confirming buyers are active. Step 3 – Entry Trigger Enter long (buy) on the candle after the ChoCH confirmation. This helps ensure you’re catching the start of the bullish leg. Step 4 – Stop Loss and Take Profit Parameter Placement Stop Loss (SL) Below the demand zone (below 99,000) Take Profit 1 (TP1) 103,000 (mid supply area) Take Profit 2 (TP2) 104,500–105,000 (main supply area) A typical risk-to-reward ratio here would be 1:3 or better.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ntulilwageophrey
UPST Remains Bullish! $145 Next!At the beginning of the trend reversal, UPST created a flagpole surge of ~53 points (400%) from capitulation lows. This was followed by a classic bull flag consolidation, which, upon breakout, carried price another 53 points higher before stopping precisely at the $90 resistance zone. This symmetry validated the flagpole measurement and marked the first major leg of recovery. Currently, the chart is forming a textbook inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern: Left Shoulder near the $50 zone Head at the $35 capitulation low Right Shoulder again defended in the $50s Neckline at $87–90 resistance The measured move of this structure projects a 55-point breakout, targeting $145. This aligns perfectly with the geometry of the earlier flagpole, adding confluence and strengthening the reliability of the setup. The most probable path forward: Breakout through $90 neckline with volume confirmation Impulse toward $145, fulfilling the inverse H&S projection Consolidation phase, where price digests gains and retests demand Continuation leg ultimately targeting the full 172% extension, bringing price into the $240 heavy resistance zone This structure represents a high-probability trend continuation and reversal sequence: first confirmed by the flagpole symmetry, now reinforced by the inverse head and shoulders base. The thesis remains intact as long as price holds above the $35 head low, with the $50 zone acting as critical near-term support.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by HernandezCapital
1
XAUUSD (Gold) 3H Analysis & SMT Divergence with XAGUSD🪙 XAUUSD (Gold) 3H Analysis & SMT Divergence with XAGUSD 🕵️‍♂️ The 3-hour chart for XAUUSD shows a strong bearish expansion, creating a potential opportunity at the current lows. Current XAUUSD Price: Trading around $3,936.55. Key High (CRTH): The high at approximately $3,979.27 is the primary "Buy Side Liquidity" zone. A push above this would invalidate the current bearish structure. Key Low (CRTL): The low at $3,931.01 is the current "Sell Side Liquidity" target. SMT Divergence Alert (XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD) We are observing a potential Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence at these lows: XAUUSD (Gold): Has successfully taken out the recent internal low (sweeping liquidity at $3,931.01 or below). XAGUSD (Silver): Silver appears NOT to have made a lower low, or has only made a shallow sweep, compared to Gold. This bullish SMT divergence suggests that the overall pressure on the precious metals sector might be weakening, and Gold's latest dip could be a liquidity grab (Liquidity Sweep) before a strong move up. Scenario Watch (SMT-Driven): Bullish Reversal: A sharp volume-driven rejection of the current low, confirming the SMT. Price would likely reclaim the internal structure and aim for the CRTH at $3,979.27 as a primary target. Bearish Continuation (SMT Failure): If XAGUSD now follows XAUUSD and makes a sharp lower low, the SMT would fail. Both metals would then likely push lower toward key support near $3,917.50 for Gold and its corresponding low for Silver. What is Silver showing on its low, and does this SMT confirm a potential accumulation phase for XAUUSD? Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by MrYounity
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 4, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 4, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴 A textbook triple-distribution day where bears dominated the expiry setup. 🗞 Nifty Summary Nifty started flat to negative and instantly marked the day high at 25,787.40 in the very first minute. A sharp 82-point drop followed, taking the index to the crucial 25,706 zone. From there, Nifty got trapped within a narrow 35-point range (25,720–25,685) before slipping into another similar micro-range (25,685–25,650). The entire day was a grind dominated by bears while bulls fought to defend supports — often leading to both-side fakeouts that punished intraday traders, particularly option buyers during weekly expiry volatility. Around 2 PM, a breakdown from the second range breached both the PDL and the 25,635–25,615 support zone with strong momentum and volatility. The index eventually closed at 25,597.65, right at support and near the day’s low — confirming a triple-distribution day structure and a decisive bearish tone. The engulfing move of yesterday’s bullish candle indicates that bears still have control, and short-term retracement toward 25,400 remains likely. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,744.75 High: 25,787.40 Low: 25,578.40 Close: 25,597.65 Change: −165.70 (−0.64%) 🏗️ Structure Breakdown Type: Large bearish candle with a long body and small upper wick. Range (High–Low): 209 points → high volatility session. Body: ≈ 147 points → strong bearish control throughout. Upper Wick: ≈ 42.65 points → rejection from 25,780 resistance. Lower Wick: ≈ 19.25 points → weak late-session buying attempt. 📚 Interpretation Nifty opened weak and failed to sustain above 25,780, triggering heavy selling below 25,650. This breakdown invalidated short-term bullish attempts, with bears pressing the index below major supports. Despite minor pullbacks, the structure clearly confirms downtrend continuation with momentum building toward 25,400. 🕯Candle Type A strong bearish continuation candle, confirming that yesterday’s spinning-top pattern was merely a pause before another leg lower. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 202.64 IB Range: 102.30 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trade Highlights: 10:17 – Short Trade → SL Hit 11:25 – Long Trade → Trailing SL Hit 14:10 – Short Trade → Trailing SL Hit 📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction Trend : Bearish Continuation If this momentum persists, short-term retracement toward 25,400 seems likely. Immediate supports lie at 25,550 and 25,460–25,440 zones. 📌 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 25,715 25,790 25,865 ~ 25,880 Support Zones: 25,585 25,550 25,510 25,460 ~ 25,440 💡 Final Thoughts A clean triple-distribution expiry session often defines trend continuation phases rather than reversals. As long as Nifty remains below 25,700, sellers will dominate. A break below 25,550 could extend the fall to 25,400 — while any sustained move above 25,715 may only bring temporary relief. “The market rewards patience when chaos tests conviction.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
WTI(20251106)Today's AnalysisMarket News: US ADP employment rose by 42,000 in October, the largest increase since July 2025, exceeding market expectations of 28,000. The US ISM non-manufacturing PMI for October came in at 52.4, a new high since February 2025. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 60.27 Support and Resistance Levels: 61.30 60.91 60.66 59.87 59.62 59.23 Trading Strategy: Consider buying if the price breaks above 60.27, with a first target price of 60.66. Consider selling if the price breaks below 59.87, with a first target price of 59.62.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldenSpaceship