Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) rebounded from the Support Zone ($3,929–$3,938), aligning with the ascending trendline drawn from late October lows. The price is attempting to recover toward the Resistance Zone ($3,985–$3,994) but remains within a broader corrective structure.
The bullish momentum looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that unless gold breaks above $3,995 convincingly, sellers may re-emerge near resistance. The rising trendline remains a short-term guide; holding above $3,940 keeps the rebound bias valid.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,929 – $3,938
Stop Loss: $3,925
Take Profit 1: $3,985
Take Profit 2: $3,994
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.95
🌐 Macro Background
Gold is stabilizing near $3,950 after a sharp 1.8% sell-off on Tuesday, following renewed USD strength. As FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta notes, “Gold is licking its wounds near $3,950... but downside risks remain intact ahead of U.S. data.” 【FXStreet】
USD Dynamics: The Dollar entered a bullish consolidation phase after the risk-off rally, with traders reducing bets on further Fed cuts this year. The CME FedWatch Tool shows less than a 70% chance of a December rate reduction.
Market Sentiment: The global tech-led equity sell-off drove risk aversion, causing investors to cover equity losses by selling gold positions.
Upcoming Data: Traders now focus on U.S. ADP employment and ISM Services PMI, both of which could reshape expectations for Fed policy. Strong readings could strengthen the USD and weigh on gold; weak figures might lift gold on renewed rate-cut bets.
Overall, gold’s short-term recovery remains fragile. A rebound toward $3,985–$3,995 could face resistance unless U.S. data disappoints.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,985 – $3,994
Support: $3,929 – $3,938
Trendline Support: $3,940
Psychological Level: $3,950
📌 Trade Summary
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a corrective bounce after finding support near $3,930. While the setup allows for a short-term long trade toward $3,985–$3,994, traders should remain cautious as the broader sentiment stays bearish. A break below $3,925 would invalidate the rebound and reopen the path toward $3,900.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Trend Analysis
The BTC Impulse Endgame: Retest Triumph or 82K Bloodbath?Loss of 102-106k support (and 12M POC) technically opens up the floor to the next support cluster at 97-93k (most likely place for this impulse to eventually find support/bottom out).
But the real tell will be the next retest of the 103-104k area, which is now flipped resistance. If PA can reclaim the 106k lows with conviction, then I think it is game on for another run at ATHs. Otherwise, we could see a push lower towards the annual lows of 82-85k, which would confirm a breakdown in structure/trend shift.
Also, there's always the chance that price continues to chop between 95 and 104k.
Let's see how this plays out.
The Quantum Discount Is Here — IonQ Setting Up for a Major BOOMFundamental View
IonQ is gaining strong momentum through new partnerships and acquisitions:
- Acquired Oxford Ionics in a $1.08B all-stock deal to expand its quantum tech reach.
- Signed an MoU with the U.S. Department of Energy to advance quantum computing in space.
- Partnered with KISTI (South Korea) and Einride (Sweden) for HPC and logistics applications.
These partnerships strengthen IonQ’s position in the global quantum computing ecosystem, signaling real long-term potential.
Technical View
Price tapping into a high-probability FVG that overlaps the golden OTE zone — a strong confluence area.
The $43–$55 range looks ideal for a discount-zone entry. If price reacts bullishly here, it sets up a solid continuation move toward liquidity targets.
Outlook
IonQ’s fundamentals support the bullish structure, but the best play is patience — wait for confirmation in the $43–$55 zone before entering.
If structure holds, this could offer a high-probability continuation setup into 2026.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice — always DYOR (do your own research) before investing or trading.
AUD/JPY - Bullish Flag (03.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview:
AUD/JPY is forming a Bullish Flag Pattern on the 30-minute chart — a continuation setup suggesting potential upside momentum after consolidation. The price has respected the flag support zone and is attempting a breakout above the descending channel, signaling renewed bullish pressure.
💡 Technical Plan: Pattern: Bullish Flag Pattern
Bias: Buy after confirmation breakout and retest
Support Zone: 100.650 – 100.700
Entry Zone: Near 100.850 – 100.900 (after breakout confirmation)
Targets:
🎯 1st Resistance: 101.460
🎯 2nd Resistance: 101.753
Invalidation: Close below 100.600 negates the bullish bias
🌏 Fundamental Insight (Today – 3 Nov 2025)
The AUD finds strength as China’s manufacturing PMI beats expectations, improving sentiment for commodity-linked currencies.
Meanwhile, the JPY remains under pressure due to continued Bank of Japan dovishness and yield differentials favoring risk assets.
Market tone is risk-on, further supporting bullish momentum in AUD/JPY.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before trading any setup.
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Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.52153
1st Support: 0.51830
1st Resistance: 0.52996
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US Dollar Index (DXY)- Ready for shorts?I have been waiting for sell confirmations on this since market open this week. Momentum to the upside is really slowing down. We can expect possible shorts from current levels. I am waiting for a break to the downside followed by a correction to enter sells on this. Do not jump in blindly. Manage Risk!
-TD
Usdjpy Asian session longsToday price respected daily buyside (BISI) imbalance and made low during Asian session and rallied higher,
I will look for long when price will retrace to fibo 50% of the current dally range , where are also 4H FVG and 4H order block ,
if I see low time frame market structure break to the up I will long and will target previous weekly high and volume imbalance.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?AUD/CAD is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.91593
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.91265
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take profit: 0.92093
Why we like it:
There is a swing resistance level.
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UPDATE : BTC ON DAILY CHARTBINANCE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin has reacted positively from a major demand zone, showing a clear rejection of further downside pressure. While the selling momentum has weakened, bullish conviction remains limited as buying volume has not yet expanded significantly.
A sustained hold above $103,000 may allow price to progress toward the $104,000 resistance—considered a key inflection level for the next directional move.
A confirmed breakout above $104,000, supported by strong volume and clear positive momentum, would likely trigger a continuation toward the following upside targets:
•$107,000
•$109,000
•$111,000
Such a breakout could also relieve pressure on altcoins, potentially marking the beginning of a new bullish leg and paving the way for Bitcoin to print a final cycle high.
On the other hand:
•Failure to maintain levels above $104,000 would signal weakness and increase the probability of a retracement back toward $101,000–$98,000.
•A breakdown below $98,000 exposes the market to $94,000–$92,000, a strong confluence zone formed by:
✅ extension of a previous corrective wave
✅ significant historical demand
✅ alignment with the ascending trendline originating from the $15,000 low
This region is expected to provide a strong bullish reaction, as long as price does not consolidate below it or print weekly closes in that area—an outcome that remains unlikely at this stage.
For now, price action within the current levels will determine whether momentum shifts toward continuation or deeper correction.
We wait for confirmation. ⏳
AB=CD (5 WAVES)Hello traders — hope you’re all gathering some pips!
Quick ETH update on the 1D chart: we’ve just completed a clean AB=CD (1:1) after a five-wave drop into the PCZ, and price rejected the zone with a bounce from D ≈ 3,057. Bias turns bullish while we hold above the PCZ.
Symbol: ETHUSDT (1D)
Key Levels
A–B–C–D: A ≈ 4,756 → B ≈ 3,392 → C ≈ 4,254 → D ≈ 3,057
PCZ: 3,182 – 2,889 (D printed inside, strong reaction)
TP1: 3,735 – 3,919
TP2: 4,154 – 4,452
TP3: 5,016 – 5,314
Invalidation: daily close < 2,889
Plan
Long on a retest/hold of 3,18x–3,05x or on continuation above last bounce high.
Scale out 30% / 40% / 30% at TP1/TP2/TP3; trail under rising swing lows.
Risk
Risk ≤1%. Initial SL just below 2,889 (beyond PCZ). Move to BE after ~1R.
Notes
Structure respects Equal Length (AB=CD) and fib confluence; staying above the PCZ keeps the path open toward TP1 → TP2 → TP3.
US Employment Data Positive for GOLD Prices. Can GOLD reverse?GOLD is declining in falling channel pattern however seems to be taking support at the marked trendline.
US Employment data came just in where number of jobs added was better than expectations which would mean a stronger labour market and inflation might stay elevated which is good for GOLD/SILVER due to safe haven demand in the long term.
Keep an eye on GOLD prices.
technical analysis of your XAU/USD (Gold) chartTimeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Current Price: $3,977
🔍 Chart Overview
The chart shows a downward channel (yellow lines) that Gold has recently broken to the upside, indicating potential bullish momentum.
There’s a support zone around $3,955 – $3,965, labeled as “SUPPORT LEVEL”.
A short-term corrective move is expected before the next upward push.
📊 Key Levels
Support Zone: $3,955 – $3,965
Immediate Resistance: $3,985 – $3,990
Major Target (Resistance): $4,031
🧭 Price Projection
After testing or retesting the support level, price is expected to bounce upward toward the $4,031 target.
The purple projection curve indicates a potential retracement followed by a bullish continuation.
💡 Trading Bias
Short-Term: Bullish above $3,960
Invalidation: Break below $3,950 could signal renewed bearish pressure.
LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:NI1! LME:SC1! LME:LH1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:CB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:HN1! LME:MD1!
Target: $4,031 (upside target based on resistance and breakout structure).
⚠️ Summary
Gold shows a reversal from a descending channel, now forming a support base near $3,960. If the price sustains above this zone, buyers may push it toward $4,031 in the short term.
USD/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) – Bullish Continuation Setup
Timeframe: 1H (IC Markets)
Concepts: Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Order Block (OB), Fibonacci Retracement, EMA Confluence
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Market Structure Overview
The market is currently in a bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A retracement phase is underway after the last impulse leg upward.
Price is expected to tap into the order block (OB) and discount zone for liquidity before resuming the uptrend.
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Key Technical Areas
Discount/FVG Zone (Buy Area):
Fibonacci retracement zone 0.5 – 0.79, overlapping with a bullish OB and liquidity pool.
Zone between 152.700 – 152.300 highlighted as a potential long entry area (blue box).
EMA Confluence:
EMA-50 ≈ 153.84
EMA-200 ≈ 153.17
Both EMAs are near the retracement zone — adding dynamic support confirmation.
Trendline Support:
Diagonal trendline aligns with the OB, strengthening the buy reaction zone setup.
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Targets
First Objective: Reclaim previous high around 154.300
Final Target Point: 155.509, completing the projected bullish leg
Mr SMC Trading point
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Scenario Plan
1. Expect price to dip into OB zone (152.7–152.3).
2. Look for bullish confirmation (structure shift or bullish engulfing).
3. Target 155.509 as the main upside objective.
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Bias:
> Bullish – Retracement to demand/OB zone likely before continuation toward new highs.
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AMD I Retracement and more upside potential Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AMD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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CADJPY: Two Key Scenarios for the Next Pro-Trend LongAfter breaking out of the global range, the instrument has started a correction on the 4H structure, which could potentially transition to the daily structure.
If the corrective decline continues, there will be two potential reversal levels on the price's path inside the Daily Order Block for a continuation of the uptrend. The minimum target is an update of the January 6 high.
The first scenario involves a reversal from the Daily 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level . Upon reaching it, the price must find acceptance above it.
If this level is broken, the next opportunity to consider a long position will be upon reaching the 78.6% Fib level . The condition for the long setup to form will also be the price finding acceptance above this level upon its arrival.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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PLTR eyes on $212.12: Golden Genesis fib could mark a TOP PLTR has been slowing its ascent before earnings.
About to test a Golden Genesis fib at $212.12
Reaction here will give clues about its strength.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE a Break-n-Retest continues uptrend.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we have topped for a while.
.
See "Related Publications" for previous plots such as this BOTTOM CALL:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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Is BTC currently in a bull or bear market?Personally, I don't believe the four-year cycle for COINBASE:BTCUSD will remain valid indefinitely. There are many reasons, which I'll discuss later. However, this doesn't mean next year won't be a bear market. What influences bull and bear markets is the future macroeconomic environment, not halvings, miners, or OGs.
Whether COINBASE:BTCUSD is currently in a bull or bear market depends on several factors. Technically, a break below the yearly moving average would indicate a bear market, while holding above it would signal a turning point for the next upward trend. We are currently at a crucial starting point between a bull market turning into a bear market or a new bull market.
But this doesn't seem that important. The macroeconomic environment is unpredictable, and the present and future will not be as predictable as in ancient times. Why cling to outdated methods?
Structural markets are the future trend.
Small support levels warrant small positions, large support levels warrant large positions, and a break below warrants a stop-loss. These are simple trading rules, yet they often prove ineffective in the face of human nature.
GBPJPY⬆️ Buy Entry: 199.800
⏹️ Stop Loss: 198.800
*️⃣ Take Profit-1: 200.580
*️⃣ Take Profit-2: 201.500
🔠 The signal for an expected rise in the pair is formed by a test of the trendline on the relative strength indicator (RSI). The initial price increase will be accompanied by a rebound from the lower boundary of the local descending channel toward values above 201.000 and consolidation above this level.
XAUUSD : 4H Elliott wave at correction stageNow Correction stage
Short-term pattern :
Long to zone 4045 - 4193
Invalid if drops below 3884
Buy entry zone 3945-3975 if it breaks the yellow trendline
, will double confirm to C and end of X
Stop loss 3884
(If it can meet that green arrow zone, we wait and see a rejection candle for short again)
PS.
Medium-term pattern: Gold should drop below 3885, and wait for its reversal to get the bullish Long-term trend again






















