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Trend Analysis

US100 1H – Bullish Recovery After Deep Pullback (0.5–0.618)US100 is showing a potential bullish recovery setup on the 1-hour timeframe. After a strong sell-off, price formed a clear impulsive bounce from the lows and retraced into the Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 zone, which aligns with a prior support/demand area. This zone is acting as a key decision point where buyers may step back in. Price is currently consolidating above the retracement support, suggesting acceptance and strength. A bullish continuation is favored as long as price holds above the 0.618 level, with upside potential toward the next liquidity and resistance zone. Trade idea: - Bias: Bullish - Entry: Pullback into the Fib support zone or confirmation breakout - Invalidation: Strong breakdown below the 0.618 retracement Target: Previous highs / upper resistance area
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by ankhbayarerkhes
$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Tuesday Feb 10, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Tuesday Feb 10, 2026 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 🧠 Capex Winners vs Losers Meta spending fears weigh on platforms while Nvidia and infrastructure names absorb AI investment flows 🛍️ Consumer Stress Signals Pepsi revenue miss raises concern that pricing power is breaking across staples and retail 🛒 E-Commerce Speculation Shopify volatility builds ahead of earnings following Amazon’s cloud and retail strength ₿ Crypto Confidence Damage Bitcoin remains rangebound as regulatory scrutiny freezes institutional participation 📊 Data Compression Risk Markets remain cautious ahead of Wednesday’s delayed labor data release 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data & Fed Events — Tuesday Feb 10 ET 6:00 AM NFIB optimism index Jan: 99.5 8:30 AM Employment cost index Q4: 0.8% Import price index Dec delayed: 0.0% U.S. retail sales Dec delayed: 0.4% Retail sales ex autos Dec: 0.3% 10:00 AM Business inventories Nov delayed: 0.2% 12:00 PM Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack speaks 1:00 PM Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan speaks ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #RetailSales #AI #Macro #Markets #Stocks #Earnings
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Gold Buyers Defending 4,990 – Upside Expansion AheadWe had a strong impulsive move up from the February low → clear bullish momentum. Price created a higher low and is now pushing toward previous resistance. The current structure looks like a bullish continuation within an ascending channel. 🟢 Support Zone Key support: 4,988 – 4,940 This zone aligns with: Previous resistance turned support Structure retest area Bullish demand block As long as price holds above this zone, buyers remain in control. 🎯 Targets First target: 5,116 – 5,120 (recent liquidity / minor resistance) Second target: 5,200 – 5,204 (major resistance & psychological level) A clean breakout above 5,120 with strong volume could accelerate price toward 5,200+. 🛑 Invalidation Below 4,907, bullish structure weakens. A strong close below support would shift bias back to neutral or short-term bearish. Overall Bias Right now, this looks like a bullish continuation setup, not a reversal. Dips into support are buy opportunities — chasing at resistance is risky unless there's a confirmed breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Market_Mind
Silver XAGUSD directional bias for todaySilver top layer ascending trendline is giving 140.321-141.87 ,if buyers come to that zone look for sell on 15min. the probability that silver price will retest the current all time high in the zone of 121k-120k-119k is 80%,if price comes to this zone look for sell on 15min and 3min chart. the trade impetus will be on the double confluence where a horizontal trendline meets ascending trendline breakout on 4hr chart. If you apply the break and retest rule you are right on technical but could be wrong on market sentiment and fundamental shift. key supply roof will be on 103.761-105.044 key supply roof will be 92.375-91.5739 key supply roof will be 84.0378-86.642 note that since the time frame is 4hr break and close is a buy floor with confirmation on 15min and 3min. what is silver xagusd ?? Silver is a chemical element with the symbol Ag and atomic number 47. It's a soft, white, lustrous transition metal prized for its exceptional electrical and thermal conductivity. Physical Properties Silver boasts the highest electrical conductivity, thermal conductivity, and reflectivity among metals, making it highly malleable and ductile. It forms a face-centered cubic crystal structure and appears in nature as native silver or in minerals like argentite. Occurrence and Production Found in Earth's crust at low concentrations, silver occurs as a free element, alloyed with gold, or in ores; most is mined as a byproduct of copper, gold, lead, and zinc refining in countries like Peru, Mexico, and Canada. Recycling from electronics and jewelry also contributes significantly. Key Uses Silver's properties drive its applications in jewelry, coins, electronics (e.g., circuits and contacts), mirrors, and as an antimicrobial agent. It's alloyed for durability in solders, bearings, and tableware. Banks are increasingly accumulating silver as a strategic asset amid rising prices and market dynamics. Central banks and major institutions like JP Morgan are leading this trend due to diversification needs and supply constraints. Central Bank Motivations Emerging market central banks, such as those in Russia, India, and others, are buying silver to diversify reserves, reduce dollar dependency, and hedge against sanctions or financial restrictions. This marks a shift after decades of negligible silver holdings, treating it as both a monetary and industrial asset. Commercial Bank Strategies JP Morgan has amassed massive physical silver stockpiles (estimates up to 750 million ounces) at low prices through long-term accumulation programs since 2018, profiting from price suppression via shorts while positioning for supply shortages. This exploits deficits from industrial demand in solar, EVs, AI, and nuclear energy. Market Drivers Persistent silver supply deficits, de-dollarization, Chinese buying/export restrictions, and safe-haven demand amid dollar weakness fuel accumulation, with prices surging past 115$/oz in early 2026. Banks anticipate structural tightness, potentially rewiring silver's valuation from commodity to reserve asset. silver xagusd relationship with US10Y DOLLAR index Silver (XAGUSD) exhibits strong inverse relationships with both the US 10-Year Treasury yield (US10Y) and the Dollar Index (DXY). Falling yields and a weaker dollar typically boost silver prices as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. XAGUSD Versus US10Y Yield Silver prices move inversely to US10Y yields due to opportunity cost: higher yields make interest-bearing assets like bonds more attractive than non-yielding silver. Correlation coefficients often exceed -0.85, with silver rallying during yield declines (e.g., Fed easing expectations). XAGUSD Versus DXY XAGUSD and DXY share an inverse correlation, as a stronger dollar raises silver's price for non-US buyers by curbing demand. Weaker DXY (e.g., from rate cuts) enhances affordability and silver's appeal amid inflation or de-dollarization. Interconnections US10Y and DXY often align positively—rising yields support dollar strength via higher rates—but both pressure silver downward. Real yields (nominal minus inflation) amplify this; falling real yields since 2025 have propelled silver surges #silver #xagusd
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
BTCUSD — Structure FirstAfter the recent liquidation-driven sell-off, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has entered a very different phase. Momentum is gone, volatility has compressed, and price is no longer behaving like it did during the impulsive advance that preceded the correction. From a structural point of view, this move looks less like the start of a new bearish trend and more like a reset within a broader cycle. Higher-timeframe supports are still holding, and instead of continuation to the downside, price has stabilized and begun to balance. This type of behavior usually appears between phases, not at the beginning of a strong directional move. From a fundamental perspective, the picture is equally mixed. Liquidity conditions remain tight, rate expectations are still uncertain, and risk assets are highly sensitive to macro data and policy communication. At the same time, Bitcoin is no longer trading in isolation — ETF flows, institutional positioning, and broader market correlation are now part of the equation. In this environment, extremes tend to be punished. Price needs time to absorb information, reposition participants, and rebuild structure. That is why, at this stage, structure matters more than narrative. Key Levels Major structural support: 65,000 – 68,000 This is the area that separates consolidation from continuation. As long as it holds, the broader structure remains constructive. Current acceptance zone: ~70,000 Price is stabilizing here. Acceptance or rejection around this level will define the next leg. First meaningful resistance: 78,000 – 80,000 A clear supply zone where reactions are likely. Higher-timeframe supply: 90,000+ A reference level if the market successfully rebuilds bullish structure. Trade Framework Base case (balance / recovery): Acceptance between 70k–72k favors a rotation toward 78k → 80k → 85k. This scenario assumes continuation of consolidation and gradual structure rebuild. Recovery continuation: Sustained acceptance above 74k–75k opens the path toward 85k → 90k, suggesting renewed confidence and participation. Bearish continuation: A daily close below 68k would invalidate the balance and shift the focus toward 62k and 58k as next downside areas. Bitcoin is not in a momentum phase right now. It is in a decision-making phase, shaped by both technical structure and a complex macro backdrop. The reaction around 68k, 70k, and 78k will be far more important than short-term headlines. Until structure resolves, patience and level-based execution remain the edge. Illyrian Finance — Trading structure, not predictions.
Long
by IllyrianTrader
USDCAD My Opinion! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USDCAD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3568 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.3619 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Apple Pullback to TrendlineApple is currently pulling back toward its ascending trendline, which has been a key structural support throughout the recent uptrend. Price is also hovering near the horizontal support zone around $260–268, making this area a high-confluence demand zone (trendline + horizontal support). The moving average has started to flatten, suggesting short-term indecision, but the overall trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the trendline. Bullish Scenario • Holding above $260–268 and the ascending trendline • Upside targets: • $285–290 (previous high) • $300 (major psychological resistance) • A clean bounce from the trendline confirms trend continuation. Bearish Scenario • Daily close below the trendline and $260 • Downside targets: • $245 • $230 🛑 Stop Loss (English) • Long positions: below $258 • Short positions: above $275 after confirmed breakdown
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by isahebdadi
RDDT Bearish: Breakdown Watch Toward $130 SupportRDDT is a textbook example of “good news, bad reaction.” Q4 2025 prints were strong (EPS $1.24 vs. $0.96, revenue $725.61M +69.7% YoY), paired with a $1B buyback and upbeat Q1 2026 guidance—yet price is still unwinding hard after the run-up, suggesting a sell-the-news reset rather than a fundamental collapse. Technically, the dominant pressure remains bearish across the 1D and 1W. The daily “waterfall” has pushed price to ~$141.32, well under MA20 ($199.24) and MA60 ($214.40), with the 1D SuperTrend capping rallies near $169.54. The double top near ~$270 is already confirmed (neckline ~ $230), so until structure improves, rallies are still suspect. The key inflection is the 4W SuperTrend at $130.21. A daily close below $130 turns this into a continuation breakdown setup, with the next magnet being psychological $100 (and an intermediate risk zone around $118–$120). If buyers defend $130 and price can reclaim $145 on a daily close, the higher-probability “relief” path opens toward $155–$160 first, then potentially $169.54 and $180 if momentum flips
NYSE:RDDTShort
by bbqgio
monday XAGUSD Analysis: Technical Rejection at Supply ZoneMarket Overview: Silver is currently navigating a complex structural phase on the 15-minute timeframe. After experiencing significant selling pressure from higher levels, the price is attempting to establish a firm base within a major horizontal demand zone. Technical Breakdown: Structural Analysis: The chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a prevailing bearish trend. However, the price is now testing the resilience of the 72.000 - 74.000 support cluster. Trendline Interaction: We are closely monitoring the interaction with the primary ascending trendline (blue). A decisive reclaim and sustained hold above this line are necessary to shift the momentum back to the bulls. Supply Zone Rejection: Earlier price action confirmed a strong rejection from the overhead supply zone near 92.000, leading to the current corrective phase. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: 72.000 – 74.000 Key Resistance: 84.000 (Mid-range liquidity) Primary Target: 92.000 (Major supply cluster) Trading Strategy: The current bias is cautiously optimistic as long as the demand zone holds. We are anticipating a "liquidity hunt" followed by a structural shift toward the upside. A confirmed break above the local resistance at 80.000 would be a strong signal for a move toward the primary target.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by FX_CAM
Dow's Pirce Action Drops Back Below the 50,000 Threshold From a monthly perspective, Dow Jones price action is attempting to break beyond the bounds of a diagonal consolidation originating from the 2020 lows. Markets are repricing long-term risk exposure across AI-focused sectors amid capex and revenue concerns; however, the steep nature of recent price action warrants caution, in line with the declining market greed index highlighted by the CNN Fear and Greed indicator. This divergence is creating an imbalanced environment, keeping key levels in focus to confirm potential shifts within these primary uptrends. This extended consolidation structure raises the risk of a sharp drawdown before a bullish continuation. A move back below the 50,000 mark would extend retracement risks toward 49,600, a level that could realign price action back into the 50,000 zone. Failing that, a deeper drawdown may unfold toward 48,800 and 48,500, followed by a further 1,000-point extension to 47,500 and 47,000, before exposing the 45,000 threshold. This level aligns with the lower bound of the consolidation range and a key resistance zone from 2024 and February 2025. On the upside, holding above the 50,200 mark is expected to extend gains further toward levels 51,200 and 53,000 respectively. The distribution observed between December 2024 and February 2025 risks repeating into the end of Q1 2025, potentially serving as a reset phase to recharge momentum and realign with the broader uptrend. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREX.com
USDCHF downtrend continuation capped at 0.7870The USDCHF currency pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds. Key Level: 0.7870 This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level. Bearish Scenario (rejection at 0.7870): A failed test and rejection at 0.7870 would likely resume the bearish momentum. Downside targets include: 0.7600 – Initial support 0.7550 – Intermediate support 0.7480 – Longer-term support level Bullish Scenario (breakout above 0.7870): A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.7870 would invalidate the bearish setup. In that case, potential upside resistance levels are: 0.7890 – First resistance 0.7910 – Further upside target Conclusion USDCHF remains under bearish pressure, with the 0.7870 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favors further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
Aether Holdings( ATHR) Positions for Bullish Reversal Aether Holdings (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ATHR ) is approaching an inflection point that doesn’t come around often. After a measured pullback, shares are now pressing into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone. This is the area where momentum typically shifts before price expansion begins. What stands out right now is the divergence between price and momentum. With RSI sitting near 43, ATHR is not extended, not overheated, and not crowded. Instead, it’s resetting while price tightens beneath resistance, a structure that often precedes sharp upside moves. The $7 zone remains the obvious ceiling, and a decisive push through that level would signal that buyers are back in control. February 09, 2026: Press Release: Aether Holdings Launches SentimenTracker, Expanding Institutional-Grade Trading Toolset for Retail Investor Chief Executive Officer of Aether Holdings Nicolas Lin, said that: “Retail investors often lack the same real-time context available to institutional market participants. SentimenTracker changes that, it brings institutional-grade sentiment analysis to retail investors with tools that are powerful, intuitive, and transparent, helping them understand market behavior in real time and make better decisions across equities and digital assets." Mr. Lin added that the launch strengthens Aether Grid and supports Aether’s strategy to convert its newsletter audience into subscribers of proprietary tools—creating a seamless path from content and education to analytics and execution, and driving engagement and retention across the Company’s ecosystem.
NASDAQ:ATHRLong
by DEXWireNews
ETH Options & Derivatives Market Overview New options cycle begins in a weak negative GEX zone, expect choppy, erratic price action, but without real force behind the moves. GEX Flip zone sits at $2,086 this acts as resistance, though not a particularly strong one. From $2,008 to $2,108 we're inside a dense dealer hedging zone. Since we're in negative GEX territory, dealers hedge pro-cyclically — meaning their hedging activity amplifies moves in the direction of the market rather than dampening them. Open Interest dynamics over the next 3 days remain unclear. However, looking at this Friday's expiration, the picture is more telling: there's a massive OI buildup at the $2,600 strike, but also a huge influx of options at $1,750. If volatility picks up, we could see ETH make a move from the $2,600 level down to $1,750 by end of week. Futures open interest over the past week sits roughly in the middle, no extreme positioning yet. Bottom line for today: the market looks broadly neutral. Price is likely to range between $2,008 and $2,069-$2,124.
by jolonzzz
Aggression First, Patience Second: Asian Killzone ExecutionWe opened the week with immediate aggression, breaking above last week’s high without hesitation. That told me early this wasn’t a slow grind environment — this was initiative buying. Coming into the Asian Killzone, I wasn’t interested in chasing price. After a move like that, I expect some form of pullback or value delivery into the area price launched from. Before the killzone, price stalled and started to rotate, which kept me patient. I marked the origin of the displacement and waited to see if price would retrace into that zone to offer a cleaner entry. Once we started trading back into that area, I began executing. Not every entry was perfect — a few attempts failed — but the higher-timeframe narrative stayed intact. Weekly high reclaimed, structure holding, and pullbacks getting defended. Once my daily objective was hit, I stopped trading. In an environment this volatile, protecting gains is just as important as finding entries. Some days are about precision. Some days are about discipline. Today required both.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz