USDCAD Faces Pressure as DXY Correction Nears Key Resistance!!Hey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.40200 zone.
The pair remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the trendline and resistance area at 1.40200.
From a macro perspective, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing its 98.900 channel resistance, where upside momentum may fade amid a weakening U.S. labour market and rising expectations for a dovish shift from the Fed.
A potential DXY rejection from that level could amplify downside pressure on USDCAD, especially if oil continues to find demand and supports the Canadian Dollar.
Next move: Watching for bearish confirmation near 1.40200 for potential continuation of the broader downtrend.
💬 What’s your view on USDCAD and the Dollar outlook this week? Share your thoughts below!
Trend Analysis
GBPJPY – Building Momentum for a Breakout👋Hello smart and wealthy traders! Let’s take a look at OANDA:GBPJPY today.
The pair continues its accumulation phase with a slight upward move, currently trading around 203.80, approaching the key resistance zone near 204.00.
We can clearly see a solid bullish structure, supported by a strong ascending trendline. Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 are trending upward, confirming that the bullish momentum remains dominant. Each pullback toward support has been quickly absorbed by strong buying pressure — a sign that the market is building energy for the next breakout.
If price decisively breaks above the marked resistance zone, GBPJPY could accelerate toward the 205.00 and above levels in the coming sessions.
From a fundamental perspective, the interest rate differential between the U.K. and Japan remains the main driver of this uptrend. The British pound continues to be supported by expectations that the BoE will maintain a cautious policy stance, while the Japanese yen stays weak due to the BoJ’s ultra-loose policy.
What about you — do you believe GBPJPY is about to break its highs and continue its bullish journey? 💬
NZDCAD continues to move inside a large patternNZDCAD continues to move inside a large pattern
NZDCAD continues to move inside a large pattern, where both resistance and support levels are clearly respected.
Currently, the price tested teh support zone and bounced in a clear way.
Given that this week is going to be very volatile a possible bearish movment to 0.8040 could happen as correction before NZDCAD goes up again.
Key Targets:
0.8110
0.8150
0.8250
Tomorrow the BOC is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points from 2.5% to 2.25%. Comments regarding the future of the Canadian economy and the challenges it may face related to US tariffs could create temporary weakness for the CAD.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
GBPUSD: Sterling Finds Its Feet After Testing Key SupportGBPUSD, Cable has been under steady pressure, but buyers are showing signs of life as the pair bounces from a well-defined support zone. With the dollar losing some steam and the pound finding relief from stabilizing UK data, the setup suggests room for a corrective leg higher into the 1.3440–1.3520 region.
Current Bias
Bullish – GBPUSD is attempting a rebound from the lower boundary, with upward momentum aiming at nearby resistance zones.
Key Fundamental Drivers
GBP: The Bank of England has turned more cautious, but wage growth and services inflation remain sticky, limiting the scope for aggressive cuts.
USD: The greenback is weighed down by softening macro data and rising bets on Fed rate cuts into 2026.
Relative Rates: With both the BoE and Fed cautious, short-term momentum depends on US inflation and UK CPI outcomes.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed easing expectations continue to build, while the BoE may be slower to cut given persistent domestic inflation.
Economic Growth: UK growth remains sluggish but resilient, while US growth shows clearer signs of slowdown.
Geopolitical Themes: Dollar safe-haven demand could still spike on trade-war rhetoric and political uncertainty.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A hawkish surprise from the Fed or stronger US jobs/inflation data could halt GBPUSD’s recovery and push the pair back below recent support.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
UK GDP and CPI releases.
US PCE inflation and NFP.
Bank of England and Federal Reserve commentary.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBPUSD is often a leader in risk-driven FX flows, especially during periods of heightened USD volatility. Its movements tend to influence GBP crosses like GBPNZD, GBPCAD, and GBPJPY.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 1.3340, 1.3285, 1.3247
Resistance Levels: 1.3442, 1.3526
Stop Loss (SL): 1.3247
Take Profit (TP): 1.3442 (first), 1.3526 (extended)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBPUSD is currently biased to the upside, with the bounce from 1.3340 suggesting buyers are targeting 1.3442 and potentially 1.3526. The recommended stop loss sits at 1.3247 to protect against downside risk if the dollar strengthens again. The critical watchpoints are US inflation and UK CPI, as these will determine whether sterling can extend its recovery or remain capped within its broader downtrend. For now, the bias leans bullish, but caution remains key with high-impact data ahead.
MAJOR BEARISH WAVE STRUCTURE CYCLES TOPPINGThe chart posted is the etf SPY ,I am now as bearish and if not more that my work 11/29/12/6 2024 . I am of The view that the bull market that started on march 23 2020 is at the END That low was 2191 and we are now almost equal to the rally from AUGUST 11 1987 to the August 25th 1987 high on a PCT basis . and the shiller p/e model work I keep is only a few ticks aways from the 1920 to 1929 peak on an equal basis as well that was 41.36 print . My cycles are RATHER BEARISH in Liquidity from now and into mid oct 2026 into the 4 year cycle . I am now 110 % short . Best of trades WAVETIMER
Sell in NasdaqUpdated Nasdaq Market Analysis (as of October 28, 2025 – Current Price: 25,809)
Current Price: Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) at 25,809
Intraday Change: Up +1,605 points (+6.63%) from prior close (~24,204)
Context: This marks an explosive breakout, shattering all-time highs with the strongest single-day surge in over a year. The move is driven by blowout earnings from Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Meta (META), reigniting AI frenzy, alongside dovish Fed signals and U.S.-China trade thaw rumors.
Despite the euphoria, this is a textbook “sell the news” top — and 25,809 is an ideal short entry. Here’s why:
Why It’s a Strong Sell at 25,809
1. Extreme Overbought Conditions (Technical Exhaustion)
• RSI (14-day): 92+ → Highest since March 2000 (dot-com peak).
Anything above 80 is extreme; 90+ is a screaming reversal signal.
• Distance from 200-day MA: Now +22% above — the most extended in 25 years.
• Bollinger Bands: Price 3+ standard deviations above the 20-day mean — a classic “blow-off top” pattern.
• Volume Spike + Distribution: Today’s volume is 2.5x average, but declining stocks outnumber advancers 1.8:1 beneath the surface — institutional selling into strength.
Verdict: This is not sustainable momentum — it’s FOMO capitulation.
2. Valuations at Absurd Levels
Metric
Current
Historical Avg
Implication
Nasdaq Forward P/E
42.1x
25x
Priced for perfection
Price-to-Sales (NDX)
9.8x
4.5x
AI hype detached from revenue
Nvidia P/E
78x FY26
35x (growth stocks)
One miss = 30% drop
Even if AI growth continues, the market has already priced in 5+ years of flawless execution.
3. Earnings “Sell the News” Setup
• Nvidia: Beat estimates by 12%, but guidance only in-line — no upside surprise.
• Microsoft/Azure: Growth slowed from 33% → 29% YoY — first deceleration in 2 years.
• Options Flow: Massive call unwinds post-earnings → smart money taking profits.
History: 8 of the last 10 times Nasdaq surged >5% in a day on earnings, it corrected 7–15% within 2 weeks.
4. Macro & Event Risks Clustering
Event
Date
Risk
U.S. Elections
Nov 5
Policy uncertainty (tariffs, regulation)
Fed Meeting
Oct 29–30
Dovish cut already priced in — hawkish surprise risk
CPI (Oct)
Nov 13
Sticky inflation → rate cut delay
China Stimulus Fade
Q4
Early 2025 growth slowdown
Risk-on sentiment is at peak — any disappointment triggers rotation out of tech.
5. Sentiment & Positioning Extremes
• CFTC Data: Speculative net longs at all-time highs.
• AAII Bull-Bear Spread: +48% (top 5% historically).
• X (Twitter) Sentiment: “Nasdaq to 30,000” trending — contrarian sell signal.
Everyone is in → No one left to buy.
Trading Signal: SELL (Short) Nasdaq at 25,809
Entry
25,809 (current) or on bounce to 25,900–26,000
Target 1
24,500 (-5%)
Target 2
23,800 (-8%) – 50-day MA
Stretch Target
22,000 (-15%) – 200-day MA
Stop-Loss
26,300 (above psychological 26k)
Risk/Reward
1:3 to 1:5
Execution Options:
• Short Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) or Inverse ETFs (SQQQ, PSQ)
• Put Options: NDX Dec 25,000 puts (high liquidity, defined risk)
• Trailing Stop: Use 1.5% ATR (~400 pts) or previous day’s low
Why Now Is the Perfect Sell
• Parabolic move complete — check
• Earnings catalyst exhausted — check
• Valuations unsustainable — check
• Everyone bullish — check
• Major events ahead — check
This is the top of the AI bubble Phase 1.
The next 5–10% down will be fast and violent — sell strength, don’t chase.
Final Note: Long-term, AI and tech remain dominant. But 25,809 is a generational shorting opportunity. Lock in gains, raise cash, and prepare to buy the dip at 22,000–23,000.
Position sizing: Max 2–3% risk per trade. Use stops religiously.
Monitor: Fed statement (Oct 30), U.S. election polls, China PMI (Oct 31).
Low Risk, Newbie Swing TradeJetBlue Airways (JBLU) Trade Plan
Ticker: JBLU
Exchange: NASDAQ
Current Price: ~$4.72
Chart Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Upcoming Catalyst: Earnings – October 28, 2025
Resistance Zones:
$5.55 – Strong resistance from past highs.
$5.07 – Near-term resistance where price has repeatedly rejected.
Support Zones:
$4.50 – 4.40 – Strong demand zone; price has bounced here multiple times.
$3.84 – Secondary support.
$3.34 – Deeper downside target if support fails.
Things to Note
Earnings (10/28): Expect volatility. Results could push price sharply in either direction.
Government Shutdown Risk: Could negatively affect airline earnings (lower travel demand, higher costs).
Slow Burn Trade: This is not a quick scalp! it may take days or 2-3 weeks to play out. Choose an expiration with enough time (e.g., 2–4 weeks or more).
Options Liquidity: Always check bid/ask spreads. Look for tight spreads (difference less than $0.05 ideally).
Contracts: More contracts can help average out price moves if liquidity allows.
The more contracts the better. The more time on your expiration, the better.
SOLUSDT – Bullish Trend Supported by Technical Structure and NewAfter a brief correction, SOLUSDT is showing strong signs of a continued upward movement. The ascending triangle pattern on the H4 chart indicates that SOL is building a solid base, with higher lows and testing the resistance at 200.00 USD. The price is currently above the EMA34, signaling strong buying momentum.
Notably, the price has recently broken through the important 200.00 USD resistance and is now approaching 216.00 USD. If SOL continues to hold above the 200 USD mark and confirms further upward movement, the next target would be 216 USD.
With positive news surrounding Solana and increased investment interest, SOL is likely to maintain its bullish momentum in the short term.
Strategy: Buy around 200.00 USD, target 216.00 USD, stop loss below 195.00 USD.
Summary: The short-term bullish trend remains strong, and SOLUSDT may reach the 216 USD target if it holds above the 200 USD support level.
Ethereum at a Crossroads: Accumulation vs. Profit-Taking DynamicHello everyone,
ETH is currently in an intriguing trading phase as technical factors and market capital flows are creating a clear conflict. Recent on-chain data shows that large wallets (whales) holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH are accumulating again – a sign that “smart money” is positioning ahead of a medium-term uptrend. However, in contrast, traditional institutional investors are reducing exposure or taking short-term profits, leaving the market without consensus and susceptible to strong liquidity sweeps in both directions.
On the macro front, the primary support for ETH comes from expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates by around 25 basis points at the next meeting. This would ease liquidity and drive capital back into risk assets like crypto. Simultaneously, ETH is no longer viewed merely as an altcoin – it is increasingly being positioned as a store of value and a core platform for tokenized assets, drawing serious attention from long-term investment funds.
On the 4H chart, ETH is trading around $4,214 after a strong rebound from the $3,900–$4,000 support zone. While the recovery is solid, price is approaching the technical resistance range of $4,220–$4,400, where unfilled liquidity gaps (FVGs) exist. This implies that profit-taking pressure is real, and rejection risks at this level are high without sufficiently strong news catalysts.
Personally, I lean towards the scenario where ETH may reach ~$4,270–$4,300 to test the upper resistance/liquidity zone, before potentially retracing to ~$4,000–$4,050 to retest buying strength. If support holds amid positive news (rate cuts, capital inflows), I believe ETH could pave the way for a more robust rally towards ~$4,500 or higher.
Which scenario do you favour – ETH preparing to “gather momentum” or merely a technical rebound before stronger selling pressure?
BTCUSD – Multi-Timeframe Breakout Setup (Daily Confirmation + 4H🧠 Analysis:
BTC has confirmed a clear breakout on the Daily timeframe after multiple rejections within the descending channel.
The structure has shifted from lower highs to higher highs, indicating that bullish momentum is returning to the market.
This daily breakout is supported by strong momentum and a clean structure, suggesting that the move could extend into a larger swing setup.
On the 4H chart, BTC has formed a double bottom and successfully broken above the previous daily supply zone.
This provides a powerful confirmation of strength and marks the beginning of a potential continuation phase.
The 4H structure also shows a possible retest forming — which aligns perfectly with the daily breakout scenario.
On the 1H timeframe, we are currently observing the retest area in real time.
A 1H candle close above the 113.9K–114K zone would confirm continuation to the upside.
Momentum remains bullish, and there’s strong confluence between all three timeframes (D1, 4H, 1H).
🎯 Setup:
Entry: Waiting for 1H candle close above 113.9K–114.0K
Stop Loss: 112.8K (below structure)
Take Profit 1: 117K – 117.5K
Take Profit 2: 124K (or continuation if momentum remains strong)
📌 Notes:
The first target aligns with the next major resistance zone on 4H, while the second target corresponds to the higher-timeframe liquidity zone from previous swing highs.
As long as BTC holds above 113.8K, the bullish bias remains valid.
If price dips below 113.5K with strong bearish volume, the setup becomes invalidated and will require reassessment.
BTC/USDT: Symmetrical Breakout and Channel ContinuationHi guys!
Bitcoin has successfully broken out of a symmetrical triangle, confirming a bullish continuation pattern after several days of consolidation. The breakout was followed by a clean retest of the triangle’s upper boundary, which now acts as support.
Currently, the price is moving inside a rising parallel channel, showing a healthy bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. As long as BTC maintains above the midline of this channel, the short-term trend remains upward.
In the coming sessions, price may continue oscillating within this ascending channel, forming a series of higher lows before reaching the next key resistance around $118,682 , and potentially extending toward the triangle’s measured target at $122,56 7.
On the downside, a confirmed close below the channel’s lower line would be the first sign of weakening momentum and could lead to a deeper pullback toward $112,000–$113,000.
Important levels:
Support: $114,000 / $112,500
Resistance: $118,682 / $122,567
Trend: Bullish above $114,000
EURUSD - Reversal, But Still Many Risks👋Hello everyone, what do you think about FX:EURUSD ?
Since the beginning of the week, EURUSD has shown a relatively positive reversal as the US dollar weakened from last week's highs.
At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1655, approaching the fib retracement zone, which also serves as an important resistance level.
This area could create a clear breakout. If buying momentum is strong enough to break through, a solid candle close above this level could push EURUSD to test the area above 1.1700. On the other hand, this is also a level that bears are watching closely, so make sure to monitor the price action carefully before making any trading decisions.
From your perspective, do you think EURUSD will follow scenario 1 or 2 ? 💬 Share your thoughts in the comments!
USD/JPY 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversals TriggeredStatus: Active Reversal Protocol
🆚Symbol: USDJPY
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Sell reversal : 152.200
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
🚀 Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction.
🚀 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
Goal: Controlled Both Sides with minimal drawdown
★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, here’s the analysis based on what’s visible:
My drawn a rising trendline that has been broken to the downside — suggesting a bearish breakout.
The price is currently trading around $4,035, below the Ichimoku cloud (which adds to bearish confirmation).
I have two target points already marked on the chart, showing potential downside levels.
Based on my chart markings:
🎯 Target 1: Around $3,960
🎯 Target 2: Around $3,780 – $3,800
These targets match the measured move from the range of the consolidation (roughly $150–$200) projected downward from the breakout level.
✅ Summary:
Current price: ~$4,035
First target: ~$3,960
Second target: ~$3,780
Bearish bias remains valid while price stays below ~$4,150–$4,200 (the resistance and cloud zone).
Gold Elliott Wave– Potential Wave (4) Completion ZoneGold (XAU/USD) on the daily chart appears to be completing a classic Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse structure. After a strong rally into the wave (3) high, price is currently retracing toward the projected wave (4) correction zone.
The highlighted support area aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.5 retracement: around $3,845
0.618 retracement: around $3,718
This region also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, adding confluence for potential bullish reversal.
If wave (4) finds support within this zone and maintains structure, a new impulsive rally toward wave (5) could begin — targeting the upper trendline resistance near $4,500–$4,600.
AMD Is it approaching a multi-year top and turning into a Sell ?Almost 8 months ago (March 07, see chart below) we made a bold call (for the time) on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), expecting it to bottom on its 1M MA100 (red trend-line) and then rebound, targeting $320:
Well the Bullish Leg of its 6-year Channel Up had been even more aggressive than we expected and is already approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line), much earlier than we expected.
This is technically the right time to book the amazing +240% profits from the April 07 bottom, as the 1W RSI just hit its 6-year Resistance, which has marked the Channel's two Tops.
Even though the Bullish Leg can technically extend as high as +287% on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (like the previous did), the focus of a long-term investor should now be to buy (much) lower, preferably as close to the 1M MA100 as possible.
The last two Higher Lows of the Channel Up have been priced just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our fair long-term Target is currently at $110.00.
So do you also think AMD is approaching the end of the (long-term) road and is gradually turning into a Sell?
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GBP/JPY 1-hour timeframe ...GBP/JPY 1-hour timeframe — and based on my setup with Ichimoku and the trendline break:
Current price: around 202.96
The pair has broken below the ascending trendline and the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bearish move is expected.
I have two “Target Points” marked below current price.
From what’s visible:
First Target Point: around 202.05 – 202.10
Second Target Point: around 201.20 – 201.30
So my potential targets are:
🎯 Target 1: 202.05 – 202.10
🎯 Target 2: 201.20 – 201.30
This setup aligns with a short continuation pattern after a trendline and cloud break, with likely retest confirmation near the broken trendline (around 203.40).
Gold Preparing to Continue Its Bullish Move After ConsolidationHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Gold has maintained a strong bullish structure over the recent period, forming a clear ascending channel that has been respected multiple times. Each correction has been followed by strong bullish impulses, confirming that buyers remain in control of the long-term direction. After reaching the 4,368 Resistance Level — which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel — the market entered a range phase, signaling consolidation after an extended rally. The current price action has formed a secondary support zone near 4,050 – 4,080, also aligned with the ascending support line of the broader channel. Currently, the price is moving inside a range structure (Buyer Zone to Seller Zone), consolidating just above the main ascending support line. In my opinion, this area represents a critical accumulation zone, where buyers are likely preparing for another upward push. I expect that after testing the Buyer Zone, the price will find strong support and initiate a new bullish wave toward the Seller Zone and the Resistance Level at 4,368. A confirmed breakout above the resistance line of the local descending structure would validate this bullish continuation scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
ADA Breakout Analysis: Bulls Target 0.7280, 0.8000, and 0.8750ADA Breakout Analysis: Bulls Target 0.7280, 0.8000, and 0.8750
Cardano (ADA) has recently broken above a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential bullish continuation after a period of accumulation.
This breakout suggests renewed buyer interest and the potential for price expansion toward higher resistance levels.
The next key targets identified are:
0.7280 (first resistance zone and breakout confirmation area)
0.8000 (psychological and structural resistance)
0.8750 (extended target in line with the projected triangle breakout move)
As long as ADA holds above the breakout zone near 0.6500, the bullish bias remains valid.
A pullback toward the breakout zone could serve as a retest opportunity before another leg higher.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
SOL/USD Strong Bullish Trend Bullish from key support 199.30📈 SOLUSD Technical Update (30-Min Time Frame) 💰
🚀 Bullish Trend in play — Buyers holding strong around the 198.30 zone!
If momentum continues, we’re eyeing the following
target levels:
🎯 1st Target: 201.60
🎯 2nd Target: 202.50
🎯 3rd Target: 205.20
Stay alert, traders! Watch for confirmations and manage your risk wisely. ⚡
#SOLUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #Solana #PriceAction
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