Get started

Trend Analysis

EURJPY Breaks the Flag! Bullish Continuation in PlayEURJPY Breaks the Flag! Bullish Continuation in Play EURJPY continues its bullish momentum after breaking out of the Flag channel. The breakout shows strong buyer pressure, and as long as the price holds above the channel’s upper boundary, the bullish structure remains intact. With momentum building, EURJPY may head toward the next resistance levels, where short-term profit-taking could occur. Targets: 183.13 183.50 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
4
EURUSD August fractal calls for 1.16100The EURUSD pair broke upwards aggressively following Wednesday's Fed Rate Decision and is most likely going for a market Top test before a 2026 Bear Cycle. Until then, similarities within the 5-month Channel Up between the current price action and August's fractal, suggest that we may have entered a consolidation phase before the final Leg upwards. As a result, we are targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 0.786 Fibonacci Support Zone at 1.16100. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
4
AUDNZD: Tight Consolidation_Preparing for the Next Upward LegAUDNZD is entering a phase where the market looks “mature enough” to continue its uptrend , as AUD maintains a stronger base than NZD thanks to diverging policy expectations . While the RBA remains cautious about inflation, the market is increasingly less confident about the RBNZ outlook , causing short-term capital flows to lean toward AUD. This divergence forms a key foundation supporting a bullish bias for AUDNZD. On the 4H chart, the price structure remains clean and well-defined. After rebounding from the lows, the market is now consolidating within a tight range with higher lows forming. Price is holding firmly above the 1.1450 support zone, signaling that selling pressure is not strong enough to break the structure . The current setup favors a pullback → consolidation → continuation scenario rather than a trend reversal. In this context, 1.1450 acts as a critical anchor point for buyers. As long as price continues to hold above this level, AUDNZD has a solid basis to advance toward 1.1500 in the short term. The preferred strategy is to prioritize BUY setups on pullbacks , while avoiding chasing price near resistance . In summary , AUDNZD is displaying a move that is “calm yet decisive.” As long as the trend structure remains intact and capital continues to favor buyers, patience in waiting for the right entry zone will be the key to staying aligned with the market in a disciplined and sustainable way.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
4
Lingrid | USDJPY Potential Continuation Trade Following PullbackFX:USDJPY perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price may be stabilizing after the sharp pullback from the supply zone, with price now reacting positively from the support. The latest dip appears to have formed a higher low at trend support, suggesting selling pressure could be losing intensity rather than accelerating. Price behavior hints that the recent decline might represent a corrective phase within a broader bullish sequence. If demand continues to absorb supply above 155.40 and price reclaims the short-term range highs, it could rotate higher toward 156.40. A sustained push through that ceiling may invite another volatility expansion. ➡️ Primary scenario: support holds at 155.40 → recovery toward 156.40. ⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below 155.4 may expose 154.00 as the next downside magnet. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
4
The alt-token Santa rally is here! - December 2025But it’ll be short lived. Many will mistakingly recognise this as “alt token” season, it’s not. It’ll be a relief rally on steroids for long suffering alt token holders. Use it as your exit from this awful asset class. This idea expires by the end of January 2026 at the latest, unless a development occurs that changes that outlook from the data available today. The above 3 day chart of Bitcoin dominance forecasts a Death Cross print circa December 15th. Technically speaking, it is the 3rd three day Death cross to print on Bitcoin dominance. The others happened on May 2016: At the time the OTHERS Total (first 100 alt tokens minus the top 10 generally speaking) rallied from $100m to $66billion over 590 days, when many made fortunes and watched them melt away in 2018. Today XRP has a market capital almost twice the size of the 2017 alt token bubble at $123billion. Aye. The 2nd three day death cross was in August 2020, Bitcoin dominance rallied almost 30% on the cross and the OTHERS Total rallied 1000% over the following 255 days. The take away, every 3 day death cross print is followed by a strong alt token performance. “Wait wait you said until January 2026 and you present evidence for previous death cross resulting in alt token rallies that lasted multiple months, I’m confused!” Why I know it won’t last long A few of the long term followers among you may remember this idea “I mminent 2-day death cross - Is Bitcoin about to crash 30-40% ?? ” from 2022. The idea discusses the relevance of the 2 day death cross (not a 3 day as discussed above). That is when: The 2 day 50 Simple Moving average (blue) crosses down the 2 day 200 SMA (Red) with price action under the 200 SMA. If you look left you’ll notice every Bitcoin bear market is confirmed with this event. A 2 day death cross is forecast to print around the end of the month. It does not mean price action will drop like a vegan at a BBQ, but rather complain at first before being overcome by the stench of gravity. Bitcoin 2 day death cross forecast, December 31st, 2026 Will not bore you with past crosses, you can do look them up yourself. What is clear, if not factual, a 2 day death cross is the start of a minimum year long bear market. Conclusions So yes, the alt token Santa rally is here, jingling its little bells and waving shiny green candles in your face like some bloke at a Christmas market trying to sell you socks you don’t need. And like all Christmas magic, it’ll vanish the moment the lights go off. Not an “alt-season,” not a new paradigm, not “the big rotation we’ve been waiting for.” It’s one last sugar rush before the dentist arrives. The real Grinch is waiting at the end of the month: the 2-day Bitcoin death cross, the one that actually matters. The one that says, “Right, fun’s over, pack it up, winter’s here.” If you’re still clinging to low-cap jungle rubbish by February, that’s no longer optimism, that’s performance art. Use the rally. Exit the nonsense. Save yourself before the lights go out and the floor collapses faster than a crypto influencer’s moral compass. Ww Disclaimer ========================================== This is not financial advice, obviously. If you read this and think, “Right, I’m putting the house, the kids, and the dog into ShibaBonk Inu because Santa said alt season!” that’s on you, mate. If the market pumps, you’ll claim you’re a genius. If it dumps, you’ll blame me. Either way, I’ll still sleep like a baby. Do your own research.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by without_worries
29
AMD CARCKSSSSAMD has multiple cracks in the uptrend A big, subtle but powerful void in its last attempt to high the upper trendline. Which is more telling of weaness. A BIG ARS gap below it. AMD has already lost -22% from its all-time highs. Likely to lose a lot more. As I have been warning (GTFO & STFO) here for a while, about the entire market. CAUTION to the permabulls "Buy The Dip" who have no exit strategy. Remember, no matter where the price goes, it's always 100% from zero! You can't "buy the DIP" unless you "SELL the RIP! That's just simple counting. Nothing Fancy! THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥 Let’s keep climbing. If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by RealMacro
4
The Real Bitcoin Bottom: It’s in the Power BillThe Cost of Mining 1 BTC – Autumn 2025 Deep Dive First of all, I want to say that I already made a similar publication in 2020 about the cost of Bitcoin, and we reached these levels (the chart is below). Introduction: The Bitcoin mining industry in Autumn 2025 stands at a crossroads. Network difficulty has soared to all-time highs, squeezing miner profit margins as hashpower races ahead of price. The hashprice – the daily revenue per unit of hashing power – has slumped to record lows around $54 per PH/s-day (down from ~$70 a year ago). Analysts expect this metric to languish between $50 and $32 until the next halving in 2028, underscoring how challenging the economics have become. In this environment, understanding the cost to mine 1 Bitcoin is more crucial than ever. Below, we present a detailed comparison of popular ASIC miners and analyze which rigs remain profitable (or not) at current prices. We’ll also explore how the cost of production acts like a magnetic price level for BTC – often drawing the market down to this “floor” before a rebound – and what that means for investors now. Cost to Mine 1 BTC by ASIC Miner Model (at $0.03–$0.10/kWh) To quantify Bitcoin’s production cost, we compare leading ASIC miners from Bitmain, MicroBT, Canaan, Bitdeer, and Block. Table 1 below shows key specs and the estimated cost to mine one BTC under different electricity prices (from very cheap $0.03/kWh to pricey $0.10/kWh): Key Takeaways: Electricity price is the dominant factor in mining cost. At an ultra-cheap $0.03/kWh (possible in regions with subsidized power or stranded energy), even older-generation miners can produce BTC for well under $30k per coin. In our table, all models have a cost per BTC between ~$21k and $27k at $0.03/kWh – a fraction of Bitcoin’s current ~$90k–$95k market price. At a mid-tier rate of $0.05/kWh (typical for industrial miners in energy-rich areas), the top machines still show healthy margins. Bitmain’s flagship S21 XP leads with roughly $36k cost per BTC, while other new-gen rigs fall in the ~$39k–$45k range. These figures imply profit margins of 50–60% for efficient miners at $0.05 power. At a pricey $0.10/kWh (common for retail electricity or high-tariff regions), mining costs skyrocket. Only the very latest ASIC (S21 XP) stays comfortably below the current BTC price, at around $72k per coin. Most other models hover in the $78k–$90k range, meaning their operators are earning little to no profit at spot prices. In fact, at $0.10/kWh, a miner like the Avalon A15 Pro would spend about $89k to generate one BTC – essentially breakeven with Bitcoin at ~$90k. This illustrates why high-power-cost miners struggle or shut off during downturns. Profitable vs. Unprofitable: Current Market Reality Which miners are still profitable at today’s rates? Given Bitcoin’s price in the low $90,000s and typical industrial electricity around $0.05–$0.07/kWh, the newest generation ASICs remain comfortably profitable, while older, less efficient models are on the edge. For example: Latest-gen winners: The Bitmain S21 XP – with industry-best ~13.5 J/TH efficiency – can mine a coin for roughly $36k at $0.05/kWh, leaving a huge cushion against price. Even at $0.07/kWh (a common hosting rate), its cost per BTC would be on the order of ~$50k, still well below market price. Other 2024–2025 flagship units (Whatsminer M60S++, Bitdeer A2 Pro, Block’s Proto) likewise have breakeven power costs around $0.12–0.13/kWh; they remain viable in most regions except the very expensive ones. Older-gen on the brink: By contrast, an earlier-gen workhorse like the Antminer S19 XP ( ~21.5 J/TH) or similarly efficient rigs from 2021–2022 generation become marginal at moderate power rates. An S19 XP mining at $0.08/kWh sees its cost per BTC climb to roughly ~$94k (near current price), and at $0.10 it exceeds $110k (mining at a loss). Many such units are only profitable in locales with <$0.05 power. This is why we’ve seen miners with older fleets either upgrade or retire hardware as the margin for profitability narrows. The efficiency gap: The spread between best-in-class and older miners translates directly into survivability. A miner burning 30–40 J/TH can only stay online if they have extremely cheap electricity or if BTC’s price is far above average production cost. As of Q4 2025, Bitcoin’s price is indeed high, but so is the network difficulty – meaning inefficient gear yields so little BTC that electricity costs outweigh revenue in many cases. According to one industry report, the cost of mining 1 BTC varies widely across companies – from as low as ~$14.4k for those with exceptional power contracts (e.g. TeraWulf’s U.S. facilities) to as high as ~$65.9k for others like Riot Platforms, even before accounting for overhead. (Riot’s effective cost was brought down to ~$49.5k after cost-cutting measures.) This huge range shows how electricity pricing and efficiency determine which miners thrive. In early 2025, the situation became so extreme that CoinShares analysts found the average all-in production cost for public mining companies spiked to ~$82,000 per coin – nearly double the prior quarter (post-halving impact) – and up to $137,000 for smaller operators ixbt.com . At that time Bitcoin was trading around $94k, meaning many miners, especially smaller ones, were underwater and operating at a loss. In high-cost regions like Germany, the breakeven cost even hit an absurd ~$200k per BTC, making mining there utterly unviable. Bottom line: At current prices, only miners with efficient rigs and reasonably cheap power are making money. Those with older equipment or expensive electricity have minimal margins or are already in the red. This dynamic naturally leads to miners shutting off machines that don’t profit, which in turn caps the network hashrate growth until either price rises or difficulty drops. It’s a self-correcting mechanism – one that ties directly into Bitcoin’s production cost acting as a market floor. Production Cost as Bitcoin’s “Magnetic” Price Level There’s a saying in the mining community: “Bitcoin’s price gravitates toward its cost of production.” In practice, the production cost often behaves like a magnet and a floor for the market. When the spot price climbs far above the cost to mine, it invites more hashing power (and new investment in miners) until rising difficulty pulls costs up. Conversely, if price falls below the average production cost, miners start to capitulate – selling coins and shutting rigs – until the difficulty eases and the market finds a bottom. This push-pull keeps price and cost loosely tethered over the long run. Notably, JPMorgan’s research this cycle highlighted that Bitcoin’s all-in production cost (now around ~$94,000) has “empirically acted as a floor for Bitcoin” in past cycles. In other words, the market has rarely traded for long below the prevailing cost to mine, because at that point fundamental supply dynamics kick in. As of late 2025, they estimate the spot price is hovering just barely above 1.0 times the cost (~1.03x) – near the lowest end of its historical range. This implies miners’ operating margins are razor-thin right now, and any extended move significantly below ~$94k would likely trigger miner capitulation and supply contraction. In plainer terms: downside from here is naturally limited – not by hope or hype, but by the economics of mining. If BTC dropped well under the cost floor, many miners would simply turn off machines rather than mine at a loss, removing sell pressure and helping put in a price bottom. History supports this magnetic pull. In previous bear markets, Bitcoin has tended to retest its production cost during the worst of capitulations. For example, during the late-2018 crash and again in the 2022 downturn, BTC prices plunged to levels that put numerous miners out of business. But those phases were short-lived. Prices found support once enough miners quit and difficulty adjusted downward, allowing the survivors to breathe. The market “wants” to stay near the cost of production, as that is a sustainable equilibrium where miners neither drop like flies nor earn excessive profits. Whenever price strays too high above cost, it usually invites a surge in competition (hashrate) that raises the cost floor; when price sinks too low, hashpower falls until cost drops to meet price. It’s an elegant economic dance built into Bitcoin’s design. Why Price Often Meets Cost Before Rebounding If Bitcoin production cost is a de facto floor, why do we often see price fall all the way down to it (or even briefly below it) before the next big rally? The answer lies in miner psychology and market cyclicality: Miner Capitulation & Shakeouts: Markets are cruel to the over-leveraged and inefficient. During bull runs, miners expand operations, often taking on debt or high operating costs under the assumption of continually high prices. When the cycle turns, Bitcoin’s price can free-fall toward the cost of production, erasing margins. The weakest miners (highest costs or debt loads) capitulate first – selling off their BTC reserves and unplugging hardware. This wave of forced selling can push price right to (or slightly under) the cost floor, marking a final “shakeout” of excess. Only when the weakest hands are flushed does the market rebound. It’s no coincidence that major bottoms often align with news of miner bankruptcies or mass liquidations. The Iron Law of Hashrate: Miners are competitive and will run at breakeven or even slight loss for some time, hoping for recovery, rather than quit immediately. This means the network can temporarily operate above sustainable difficulty levels. Eventually, however, reality sets in. When enough miners can’t pay the bills, hashrate plateaus or drops, halting difficulty growth or causing it to decline. At that inflection point, the cost of mining stabilizes (or falls), giving relief to the remaining miners. The stage is set for price to rebound off the now-lower equilibrium. In essence, Bitcoin often has to tag its production cost to force a network reset and purge imprudent operators. Only after that cleansing can a fresh uptrend begin with a healthier foundation. Investor Sentiment at the Floor: From a contrarian market perspective, a convergence of price and production cost typically corresponds with maximum pessimism. If Bitcoin is trading at or below what it “should” cost to make, it signals extreme undervaluation to savvy investors. In late 2022, for instance, estimates of BTC’s cost basis in the $18k–$20k range coincided with the market trading in the mid-$15k’s – a level where miners were going bankrupt and sentiment was in the gutter. Yet those willing to be greedy when miners were fearful reaped the rewards when price recovered. The same pattern could be unfolding now in late 2025: the public is fearful of Bitcoin’s recent pullback, but its cost floor (~$94k) suggests fundamental value support. Smart money knows that when price meets cost, downside is limited and upside potential grows. Conclusion – Steeling Ourselves at the Cost Floor In EXCAVO’s signature fashion, let’s cut through the noise: Bitcoin’s production cost is the line in the sand – the magnetized level where price and reality meet. As of Autumn 2025, that line hovers in the mid-$90,000s, and Bitcoin has indeed been gravitating here. The data shows miners barely breaking even on average. This is a make-or-break moment. If you’re bullish because everyone else is, check your thesis – the real reason to be bullish is that BTC is scraping its cost floor, a level from which it has historically sprung back with vengeance. Conversely, if you’re panicking out of positions now, remember that you’re selling into the teeth of fundamental support. The market loves to punish latecomers who buy high and sell low. Yes, the mining industry is under stress; yes, the headlines scream fear. But those very pressures are what forge the next bull run. Every miner that shuts off today is one less source of sell pressure tomorrow. Every uptick in efficiency raises the floor that much higher, like a coiled spring tightening. Bitcoin has been here before – when production cost and price locked jaws in late 2022, and again in early 2025 post-halving. Each time, the doom and gloom was followed by a dramatic recovery as the imbalances corrected. Our contrarian take: The cost of mining 1 BTC isn’t just a number on a spreadsheet – it’s the secret pulse of the market. Right now it’s telling us that the bottom is in or very near. Prices might chop around this magnet a bit longer, even dip slightly below in a final fake-out, but odds of a deep crash under the ~$94k cost basis are slim. The longer Bitcoin grinds at or below miners’ breakeven, the more hashpower will fall off, quietly tightening supply. When the spring releases, the next upward leg could be explosive (as even mainstream analysts like JPMorgan are eyeing ~$170k targets). In summary, Bitcoin tends to revisit its production cost for one last test – and when it holds, it launches. Autumn 2025 appears to be giving us that test. The savvy, data-driven operator will view this not with panic, but with patience and resolve. After all, if you can accumulate Bitcoin near its intrinsic mining value while the herd is fearful, you position yourself on the right side of the trade once the inevitable rebound kicks in. As the saying goes, bears win, bulls win, but miners (and hodlers) who understand the cost dynamics win big in the end. Brace yourself, stay analytical, and remember: Bitcoin’s true floor is built in watts and hashes, and it’s solid as steel. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
6
This Bitcoin Pattern Usually Ends One Way₿ BTC/USD – Bearish Continuation After Breakdown Bitcoin remains in a clear downtrend, trading inside a well-defined descending channel. The market structure continues to print lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers are still in control. ⸻ 🔹 Descending Channel • Price has been respecting the upper and lower bounds of the channel very cleanly. • Multiple rejections from the channel top confirm strong overhead resistance. • As long as BTC stays inside this channel, the trend bias remains bearish. ⸻ 🔹 Triangle Consolidation • BTC is now forming a triangle inside the downtrend, indicating consolidation, not reversal. • This type of triangle is typically a bearish continuation pattern. • A breakdown below the triangle support would likely trigger the next impulsive leg down. ⸻ 🔹 Moving Averages • Price is trading below the 50, 100, and 200 SMAs, reinforcing bearish pressure. • The 200 SMA (~108.6K) remains far above price and acts as major resistance. • Any bounce into these averages is likely to be sold into. ⸻ 🔹 RSI Confirmation • RSI is below 50, showing weak momentum and lack of bullish strength. • No bullish divergence is present, supporting the continuation downside scenario. ⸻ 🔹 Key Levels • Resistance: 96K → 105K → 108K • Support: 88K → 84K → 80K → low-70Ks (channel extension) A confirmed breakdown could open the door toward the mid- to low-70K area. ⸻ 🔹 Conclusion This looks like bearish consolidation before continuation, not accumulation. Until BTC breaks above the channel and key moving averages, the path of least resistance remains down. ⸻ 🧠 “In a downtrend, consolidation is usually a pause — not a bottom.” 📜 Disclaimer : This is general information only and not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Amer_Shouaeb
1
GOLD UPDATE📉 SELL SETUP ACTIVE — Levels on Watch! Price is reacting around an important zone, and this setup could get interesting 👀🔥 🔓 Entry Levels: 4239 / 4242 ❌ Stop: 4378 🎯 Target: 4286 What’s your take on this move? Bullish or bearish from here? Share your thoughts below — let’s get a discussion going! ⬇️💬🔥 Your like/support helps this reach more traders 👍 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LEO_TRADES98
3
Bitcoin Compresses Near FVG, Pullback Likely Before BreakOn the H4 chart, Bitcoin is clearly entering a compression phase: volatility is shrinking, volume is fading, and price is tightly squeezed between overhead supply and underlying demand. This type of structure typically reflects a “hidden energy” phase before a decisive expansion. At the moment, BTC is ranging between 90,000 and 92,000, gravitating around the 91,500–92,500 FVG where price is repeatedly rejected. On the downside, the Ichimoku cloud aligns with the 89,500–90,000 FVG and continues to hold firm, signalling equilibrium rather than aggressive selling. Sellers are unable to push price lower, while buyers are not yet committing enough capital to force a breakout. Two Fair Value Gaps define the battlefield. The 91,500–92,500 zone acts as a strong supply pocket; only a clean H4 close above 92,500 would confirm a bullish continuation. Conversely, the 88,500–89,500 FVG represents the key demand area — a break below it would reintroduce short-term bearish structure. Given the current compression and the fact that the lower FVG remains partially unfilled, I continue to favour a final liquidity sweep to the downside before a stronger upside move. If clear buying pressure emerges from the lower FVG, the subsequent breakout is far more likely to be decisive and sustainable.
Short
by Momonoo
1
GOLD Consolidation bullish testing the upper momentumGold market has been moving within a broad ascending trend channel, recently break the resistance and could move to upside if the price maintain that range we could expect price growth further. Recently, price broke out strongly to the upside, creating a bullish momentum shift. After clearing the upper trendline, gold pushed into a higher resistance zone highlighted on the chart. The candles show a steep upward move, followed by a projected pullback and continuation pattern illustrated with white arrows. Gold has been in consolidation, but the recent breakout signals bullish continuation. If price holds above the 4,305–4,332 region, further growth is possible. However, a drop below 4,260 test the support then again price growth to upside. Overall, the chart illustrates a bullish breakout, a potential retest of the trendline, and an anticipated continuation toward upper resistance targets. You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
8
EURUSD Pauses at 1.1600 as Traders Await FED SignalsHello everyone, EURUSD remains in a delicate consolidation around 1.1600, with the market awaiting the outcome of the upcoming FED meeting. The Volume Profile highlights 1.1650 as a key resistance due to concentrated sell orders, while 1.1550 provides immediate support with increased buyer activity. Fair Value Gaps around 1.1580–1.1650 suggest potential retests before a clear direction emerges. Despite hovering above the Ichimoku cloud, the thin red cloud ahead signals weak bullish momentum. Fundamentally, USD pressure persists following weaker US labor data and slowing PMI, while ECB hesitance supports EUR moderately. Short-term sentiment swings are limited by macro uncertainties, keeping the pair trapped in the current range. The most plausible scenario is a minor retracement towards 1.1570–1.1590 before buyers push EURUSD toward 1.1650–1.1670. A break below 1.1550 could see a deeper correction, yet as long as higher lows hold, the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Long
by Momonoo
3
XAUUSD ExpansionMarket Outlook: Bullish / Long Analysis: Gold has confirmed a classic Market Maker Buy Model (MMBM) on the H1/H4 timeframe. We have successfully completed the Sellside Curve, swept the lows at 4180, and confirmed a Smart Money Reversal via a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS). The Setup: Price is currently in the "Buy Side Curve" expansion phase. I am monitoring the retest of the Bullish Order Block & Rejection Block (-RB/+OB) zone between 4280 - 4300. Confluence: The entry zone aligns with the 50% OTE and fills the recent Balanced Price Range (BPR). Validation: The market has reclaimed the Original Consolidation zone (4211 - 4245), turning it from resistance into support. Targets: TP1: 4350 (Internal Range Liquidity) TP2: 4375 (1D HTF Buyside Liquidity / Key Level 4H) Invalidation: A 4H candle close below the 4270 Order Block invalidates the immediate bullish continuation.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KharratAdnan
1
Super Analysis of ETHEREUM Elliot Wave Count Macro and MicroFirst a macro view Ethereum currently in its final phase of corrective wave 4 as depicted. For the overall macro structure a super massive leading diagonal fits the fifth wave perfectly. A 8-10k ethereum in late 2026 followed by a big crash ( a wave 2 retracement off the ath) matches my approximate timeline with the inevitable recession. Wave 4 is an abc corrective followed by an expanding triangle in teal colour (or can be just a bunch of three waves) followed by another abc - which seems to be a triple zig zag that i will detail in the following lower timeframe micro view. I also have highlighted the fib extension of the triple zig zag Y and leads us with an ~1850 Ethereum wave Z finish. More explained below. I will also validate this with a number of approaches and confluence. So heres a closer loook. We have the first impulse wave of the low 1384 in april 2025 and it finishing at a peak of 4957. We are now in corrective wave 2 which is mainly the triple zig zag i have outlined as the wxyxz. (the distributive ethereum top has some three waves connecting the wxyxz) Now heres a bunch of validation. 1) The wave 2 retracement is on target for the 0.754 - 0.886 fib target where you can see with the smiley face on the left. 2) This is a perfect finish as it also fills in a fair value gap from an eth pump may 2025. Left Smiley face. 3) Triple zig zags wave Z can be 100 or 127.2 or 161.8 of wave Y. In this case it is the most common occurring 100% and leads us to a ~1840 ether. 4) This stays and lands in the parallel channel nicely 5) This value also lands on the huge multi year ascending trendline bottom support for ether as well 6) So as you can see by the smiley face on the right side there is huge confluence. fibonacci retrace of wave 2 pf 1. the fair value gap. the size of wave z compared to y fitting nicely. the landing of the trendline and parallel channel match. also note validation of the connector WX and YZZ being approx durations of 17 and 19 days well within the elliot wave rules/standards. I have highlighted a rectangular box for a nice buy in the 1800-2200 range for ether. In addion you can further find extra confluence with bitcoin technical analysis and eth/btc charts. Now the above is heavily dependent on eth/btc ratio breaking down or not.. If eth / btc breaks down (yes that seems to be a fakeout to the upside recently) and sweeps out the price action at july 2025 it is a perfect golden fib retrace at around 0.027 and 0.03 Hence, for example say bitcoin breaks down and filling the fvg of the TRUMP pump Nov 2024, that leaves us a nice round simple figure of 70k. match it with my expectred 0.028 eth/btc and you get 1960. Perfectly sitting in my highlighted rectangular box (1800-2200). So yes when doing technical analysis its good to relate as many things as possible. Many ppl dont look at the eth/btc ratio but it another branch or avenue to help and assist with confirmations.
KRAKEN:ETHUSD
by kevintamkei
2
Why Bitcoin Hits Your Stop Loss Before the Real MoveWhy Bitcoin Hits Your Stop Loss Before the Real Move Have you ever placed a Bitcoin trade and noticed this? 🤔 Your stop loss 😭💸 gets hit… just a few pips from your entry… then the price suddenly rockets 🚀💎 in the direction you were expecting! This is not bad luck. It’s a Stop Loss Hunt 💥, used by smart money 🏦💰 to collect liquidity before the real trend begins. 1️⃣ Liquidity Pools Above Highs & Below Lows 📊💎 Retail traders place stop losses at obvious highs/lows 📈📉 These stops create liquidity zones 💧, which smart money targets 🔍 Price moves to these zones to collect liquidity → fuels the next trend 🚀 Example: BTC trending upward 📈 Traders place buy stops above the previous high ⬆️ Smart money pushes price to trigger stops 💥 → collects liquidity 💎 → then moves the price in the real trend direction 🚀 2️⃣ Stop Loss Sweep 💥⚡ Price triggers retail stop losses 🛑 Retail traders get stopped out 😭💸 Institutions enter large positions with minimal resistance 💹 Key Insight: Price needs liquidity 💧 to move strongly. Without collecting stops, smart money cannot drive momentum efficiently ⚡ 3️⃣ Fake Breakouts & Wicks 🌪️🔥 Watch for wick spikes or sudden breakouts 🕵️‍♂️ These are stop loss hunts Many traders panic 😱 and exit positions Smart money uses this to trap retail traders and continue the trend 🚀 4️⃣ The Real Move Begins 🚀🔥 After liquidity is collected 💎💧 The true trend resumes 📈 Traders who waited can enter safely 🧘‍♂️💹 Often, the move is stronger and faster ⚡ because institutions now control the market 5️⃣ Market Psychology Behind Stop Hunts 🧠💭 Retail traders panic when stops are triggered 😅💸 Fear is used to manipulate sentiment 🧲 Recognizing this psychological trap helps you stay calm 🧘‍♂️ and trade strategically 🏆 6️⃣ How to Trade Stop Loss Hunts 💡🧠 ✅ Avoid stops at obvious highs/lows 🚫 ✅ Wait for liquidity sweep ⏳💧 ✅ Watch for wick spikes 🌟 — early signs of stop hunts ✅ Follow market structure 📊 (BOS/CHoCH) ✅ Trade after confirmation ⏱️ ✅ Patience + discipline = profits 💎💹 7️⃣ Examples in Bitcoin Trading 🔍 Double top wicks above high → triggers stops 💥 → continues trend 🚀 Price dips below support → triggers stops 😭 → rebounds ⬆️ 💡 Observation: Every wick tells a story 🌟 — learn to read it! 💬 Key Takeaways Stop Loss Hunts = institutional footprints 👣 Price hunts liquidity 💧 — that’s why your SL is hit 💥 Understanding this helps you: Trade smarter 💎 Avoid losses 😅💸 Spot trends before they happen 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
4
LRCUSDT Forming Falling WedgeLRCUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 90% to 100% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance. This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching LRCUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal. Investors’ growing interest in LRCUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is your opinion about this Coin?) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
Why Central Banks Buy Gold — The Ultimate Asset of PowerWhen a central bank decides to buy gold, it is not simply adding another metal to its reserves. It is reinforcing the foundation of national financial power — a form of strength that does not rely on promises, carries no debt obligation, and cannot be manipulated by any superpower. In a modern financial system where nearly every asset represents someone else’s liability — from U.S. Treasuries to fiat currencies like USD or EUR — gold stands apart. It is not anyone’s debt, is immune to political influence, and cannot be printed. This absolute independence makes gold the ultimate anchor of national trust. Gold carries a dual nature: it is both a durable financial asset and a geopolitical instrument. It protects national wealth in ways fiat currencies cannot. A country with substantial gold reserves possesses a shield for its currency, reducing vulnerability to exchange-rate shocks and enhancing stability during global cycles of volatility. History has repeatedly confirmed this pattern: during major inflationary periods — from 2008–2011, through the 2020 pandemic peak, to the inflation surge of 2022 — gold followed the same rule. When money lost value, gold rose. When central banks expanded money supply, gold became the final line of defense. On the geopolitical level, gold’s role is even more pronounced. It does not depend on the U.S. dollar system, does not require SWIFT for settlement, and—most importantly—cannot be frozen like foreign exchange reserves. In an increasingly polarized world, gold has become the safest asset a nation can hold: silent power, yet profoundly real. Central banks do not buy gold like retail investors. They accumulate it gradually and strategically over long periods, quietly, without disturbing prices or signaling intentions. Within reserve structures, gold sits alongside USD and U.S. Treasuries as a three-pillar framework: gold for systemic risk protection, USD for liquidity, and bonds for yield. In times of crisis, gold becomes an “activation asset” — sold to obtain USD, defend the exchange rate, stabilize confidence, and prevent currency collapse. This logic also explains the accelerating trend of de-dollarization across Asia, the Middle East, and especially the BRICS bloc. Real-world examples reinforce gold’s role. China has consistently increased gold reserves from 2019 to 2025, according to PBoC disclosures, aiming to reduce USD dependence and strengthen the renminbi amid rising trade tensions. Russia provides the clearest case: after sanctions in 2022 froze most USD and EUR assets, gold remained untouched — serving as Russia’s financial immune system. In Turkey, when inflation surged to 60–80% between 2021 and 2023, the central bank expanded gold reserves to stabilize confidence in the lira — a strategy acknowledged in IMF surveillance reports. The 2023–2025 period has revealed an undeniable truth: in a world marked by high inflation, a strong dollar, geopolitical conflict, and global recession risks, countries with large gold reserves — such as China, Russia, and India — maintained relative stability, while nations with weaker reserves struggled with currency crises, external debt, and inflation. When everything else depends on trust, gold depends on nature — and that is why it remains a pillar of national power even in the 21st century.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Momonoo
1
PIPPIN USDT SHORT SIGNAL📢 Official Trade Signal – PIPPIN/USDT 📉 Position Type: SHORT 💰 Entry Price: 0.31266 🎯 Take-Profit Targets (Partial Exits) • TP1: 0.29911 • TP2: 0.27687 • TP3: 0.25235 • TP4: 0.21886 • TP5: — • TP6: — 🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.34031 📊 Timeframe: 15m ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: — 💥 Suggested Leverage: 3× – 5× 🧠 Technical Analysis Summary PIPPIN is under strong selling pressure after rejection from the 0.33–0.34 supply zone. On the 15m timeframe, price structure has shifted bearish with a clear lower-high formation and breakdown of short-term support. Liquidity zones below current price align with our TP levels: 0.29911 → initial liquidity sweep 0.27687 → continuation level 0.25235 → major downside liquidity 0.21886 → extended bearish target A confirmed break below 0.3000 (TP1) can accelerate momentum toward deeper downside targets. ⚙️ Trade Management Rules ✔️ Take partial profit at TP1 ✔️ Move SL to Break-Even once TP1 is reached ✔️ Trail SL as price approaches TP2–TP4 ✔️ Do not re-enter if SL (0.34031) is hit ✔️ Always confirm bearish structure before entry ⚠️ Risk-Management Note After TP1 → SL must be moved to Break-Even. If price hits TP1 and then reverses to BE, it is not a losing trade — capital protection comes first. 📌 TradingView Hashtags #PIPPINUSDT #PIPPIN #CryptoSignal #ShortSetup #TradingView #FuturesTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
by mastercrypto2020
2
Gold Trading Strategy for December 15th: I. Core Market Overview and Driving Factors Sharp Price Volatility: Spot gold experienced a "plunge from highs" on Friday, hitting a seven-week high of $4,353 before sharply dropping nearly $96 to a low of $4,257. It ultimately closed near the key $4,300 level., reflecting intense market competition between bulls and bears. Primary Bullish Factors: Macro Policy: The sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar index (at a two-month low) and market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are the core drivers of the rally. Economic Data: U.S. initial jobless claims recorded their largest increase in nearly four and a half years, reinforcing expectations of an economic slowdown and supporting gold prices. Safe-Haven Sentiment: Ongoing geopolitical tensions provide solid safe-haven demand for gold. Intermarket Dynamics: Silver prices hit a new all-time high, with its strong rally bolstering gold sentiment. However, caution is warranted as silver shows signs of being overbought. Medium- to Long-Term Outlook (Through 2026): Bullish Tone Remains: Supported by core factors such as central bank gold purchases and global expectations for monetary easing, gold prices have the potential to rise further in the long term, with a possibility of challenging the $5,000 level. Key Risk Warnings: Late-Stage Bullish Signals: The technical "parabolic rise" suggests the bull market may be nearing its end, warranting vigilance against a potential trend reversal. Risks of price increases in gold and silver: The current rare pattern of "silver leading gold" could break if silver experiences a significant correction, potentially dragging gold down simultaneously. II. Key Technical Analysis Trend Structure: Overall Pattern: The daily chart shows consecutive bullish candles, with moving averages in a bullish alignment. The MACD and KDJ indicators remain in a bullish crossover, confirming that the primary trend is still upward. Key Levels Reassessed: Resistance Zone: $4,340–$4,350 (recent highs and psychological resistance). Core Support Zone: $4,260–$4,270 (a key area of support conversion and Friday’s pullback low). Strong support/bull/bear dividing line: $4,250 (A break below this price level could disrupt the short-term bullish structure.). Short-Term Outlook: Friday's sharp fluctuations released some of the overbought pressure., suggesting that Monday (December 15) may see consolidation within the range. Close attention must be paid to the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report on December 16, which could trigger short-term market volatility. However, within the context of expected rate cut cycles, any significant pullback could be viewed as an opportunity for medium-term long positions. III. Specific Trading Strategy for Monday (December 15) Core Strategy: Focus on buying on dips, with short-term selling opportunities at key resistance levels as supplementary trades. Strategy 1: Buy on Dips (Primary Strategy) Entry Zone: $4,260–$4,270 Stop Loss: Below $4,250 Targets: $4,300 → $4,320 → $4,340 (progressive upward) Logic: Position based on the core support area of the trend, betting on its continuation. Strategy 2: Sell on Rallies (Supplementary Strategy) Entry Zone: $4,340–$4,350 Stop Loss: Above $4,360 Targets: $4,320 → $4,300 → $4,280 (progressive downward) Logic: Bet on a technical pullback at key resistance levels, entering and exiting quickly. IV. Risk Management and Key Focus Areas Position Sizing and Discipline: Always trade with light positions and in batches, Always maintain a light position and trade in batches. It is recommended to keep the risk exposure of a single trade within 2% of the total capital.. Strictly adhere to stop-loss orders and never hold losing positions against the trend. In the current high-volatility market, discipline is the foremost rule for survival. Key Events to Monitor: Economic Data: U.S. December New York Fed Manufacturing Index released on Monday evening, with particular attention to Tuesday’s U.S. November Non-Farm Payrolls report. Intermarket Dynamics: Closely track silver price movements, as its correction intensity will directly impact gold sentiment. Policy Developments: Any speeches or market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. Mindset Reminders: The current market is in a high-volatility phase within a bull market. "Buying on dips" is the core strategy, but this does not mean blindly chasing rallies.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by The_Golden_Perspective
1