Trend Lines
BTC looks like it could crack any minuteI'm no stranger to seeing insane volatility around BTC and the macros. Following the technicals a bit closer and knowing full well that many are in for the profit taking, BTC appears like it will come down any minute. Saylor may buy at the top, but also remember that he is doing that with other people's money and notoriously lost $6B in one day! I'd be very careful making any long traders here. Best of luck! CBOE:MSTZ could be a nice play :)
XAUUSD: Rally will Continue inside Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the market for Gold has been in a complex but strong uptrend. We've seen the price break out of an initial consolidation and push through multiple support levels, like the one at 3700, establishing a clear bullish market structure defined by an Upward Channel.
Currently, after a strong rally, the price has entered a corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the price down towards the major ascending trend line, which has acted as the backbone for this entire upward move. This is a critical area to watch for a potential reaction.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this correction is a healthy pullback within a larger uptrend. The major ascending trend line is a significant structural level, and I expect it to act as strong dynamic support, providing a logical place for buyers to re-enter the market.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the next impulsive wave higher is 3945, which aligns with the resistance line of the upward channel.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
USNAS100 – Bullish Above 24,900, Fed Easing Hopes Drive MomentumUSNAS100 – Overview
Global markets climbed higher as speculation of further Fed easing supported risk sentiment, with European stocks hitting records.
Despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, optimism over AI, trade themes, and expectations of up to 50bps in Fed cuts by year-end continue to drive indices higher.
Technical Outlook
Price has already reached and stabilized above the 24,900 pivot, confirming bullish continuation.
As long as price holds above this zone, upside targets are 25,040 → 25,180.
A further push above 25,040 would strengthen the bullish trend toward 25,180.
On the downside, a confirmed 1H close below 24,810 would shift momentum bearish, exposing 24,580 as the next key support.
Pivot: 24,900
Resistance: 25,045 – 25,180
Support: 24,810 – 24,580
previous idea:
BTC breakout trading setupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently consolidating within the 112,828–114,798 sideway range.
Earlier, the market broke out from a smaller accumulation inside the larger range, generating an IRB (Inside Range Break) signal, pushing price back toward the upper boundary.
Price is now forming a momentum consolidation, indicating potential for another breakout.
2 Possible Scenarios
1. RB (Range Break)
Price compresses further with EMA pressing tightly.
A strong breakout directly above the range top may occur with momentum.
2. ARB (Advance Range Break)
After breaking above the range, instead of continuing higher immediately, price may stall.
A new consolidation forms just above the broken range, with EMA pressing upward.
This setup may signal a continuation of the previous breakout move.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
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Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
SUI 03.10R1 reacted yesterday at 10 PM, without any bearish divergences, even on LTF. We're moving in a strictly bullish direction, with the closest strong resistance already at 3.8. Locally, in theory, we could drop to S2, which we wouldn't want to lose for further growth.
Support zones:
3.465-3.47
3.403-3.372
3.343-3.362
Resistance zones:
3.78-3.8
4.05-4.1
GOLD → Consolidation before continued growth. Trigger 3863FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3837.8 - 3863.7, preparing for its seventh consecutive week in positive territory. Despite a correction from a record high of $3897, the metal remains supported by a combination of the Fed's dovish policy and geopolitical risks.
Key supporting factors: Expectations of Fed easing: Dovish sentiment continues to fuel interest in gold. Geopolitical tensions and tougher G7 sanctions against Russia. The ongoing shutdown is delaying the release of US data, increasing uncertainty.
Important: If markets ignore the shutdown, gold may face a correction.
US services data (ISM Services PMI) and Fed speeches: May adjust rate expectations.
Resistance levels: 3863.7, 3900
Support levels: 3853, 3837, 3825
Focus on the current consolidation range of 3863 - 3837. Before attempting a breakout, a retest of support may form within the consolidation. The trend remains bullish, as does the sentiment at the moment.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOL 03.10At 3 AM (when else, only when we're sleeping) R1 reacted, with weakness in beardivs + mfd divs 1-3-6-12-24m, and corrected by 3%.
BUT
1) they left almost equivalent positions,
2) the daily session closed almost without a shadow above,
3) there are no diversifiers on the indicator, and there are fat mfds on mfd 1h and higher.
I think we'll go to 240, but there's a slight correction right now. At 240, it will be possible to part-take profit from the main long from 192. But how and when we'll get there is unclear. If Bitcoin starts to move into the 117-115 zones today within the console, Salt could even move from the current levels to the key support zone around 210, but for now, it needs to lose another 220 and 216 to do so.
Support zones:
221-221.5
219-219.6
215-215.9
207-210.7
Resistance zones:
238.4-240
255-256.4
$VFY just pumped 34% after breaking out of the wedge pattern.ASX:VFY just pumped 34% after breaking out of the wedge pattern. Strong move above resistance confirms the breakout. Price is now holding above 0.13, with support around 0.11. If momentum continues, next target zone is 0.16–0.18. Volume also rising chart remains bullish ✅
GBPCADSix full months price is trading above a monthly zone. If it was to push lower it would have but looks like bulls have more control. Price is now back again above daily resistance of 1.87000. There's an H4 resistance around 1.87400 and a resistance trendline, if price breaks above both of them will be looking for buys to next monthly resistance but with 1st target around 1.92000.
ETH 03.10#ETH
Ether reacted in no-man's lands. Apart from the ndPOC at 4536, I had no zones there, and there are also no specific signs of weakness to reverse from the current ones. There's nothing to short from yet; I'll wait for the 4700 zone, and I'll only go long from the nearest S-zones if I have confirmation.
Support zones:
4391-4403
4272-4300
4196-4230
Resistance zones:
4660-4724
4768-4780
BTC 03.10Bitcoin is reacting from an important zone, but I don't see any confirmation for a short position from the current levels. I expect a rally in the local range of 121-117-115. Alta might shoot up around that time, but I hope it doesn't hit my knees. There are no significant resistance levels above that, and there are important local supports – zones S1 and S2. The long setups are from yesterday, and I'll be assessing shorts based on the situation. I don't see any options other than the nearest 130,000.
Support zones:
116770-117410
115390-115890
113.9-114
XAUUSD H4 – WAITING FOR NFP, TRADING WITHIN THE PRICE CHANNEL
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to hold within the H4 ascending price channel, but buying power has noticeably weakened after yesterday's sharp drop. The price reaction at the lower trendline indicates that selling pressure is not yet strong enough to break the structure, yet the market's hesitation reflects a wait-and-see attitude for the NFP data and a series of important US news tonight.
During the European session, prices may move slowly and frustratingly – typical for a Friday – before exploding in the US session. Therefore, the sensible strategy now is short-term trading within the channel, flexibly following each small wave on M5–M15 frames.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 3,874 – 3,876 (Sell entry)
Near support: 3,794 – 3,795 (Buy scalping zone)
Deep support: 3,760 (Important buy zone)
⚖️ Trading Scenarios
🔴 Short-term Sell Scenario:
Entry: 3,874 – 3,876
SL: 3,885
TP: Expect to break the lower trendline → 3,79x – 3,76x
🟢 Buy Scalping Scenario:
Entry: 3,794
SL: 3,785
TP: 3,820 → 3,835 → 3,855 → 3,876 → 3,890
🟢 Deep Buy Zone Scenario:
Entry: 3,760
SL: 3,750
TP: 3,782 → 3,795 → 3,810 → 3,825
📊 General Outlook
Main trend: Gold maintains an upward channel, but buying power is weakening and the risk of a breakdown is present.
European Session: Slow fluctuations, prone to “whipsaw” → prioritize short-term scalping.
US Session: NFP news may create strong waves, breaking the price channel → traders need to closely monitor reactions around 3,794 and 3,760 to decide the next buy or sell.
📌 Conclusion: Before NFP, gold remains in an upward channel but technical factors indicate a potential correction. Sensible strategy: Short sell at 3,874–3,876, or buy around support 3,794 – 3,760 depending on price action. Manage capital tightly, as the US session will determine the next major direction.
Follow my footsteps on the journey of sharing trading experiences.
Ethereum: Bulls in Control, But Time for a BreatherIn my previous ETH analysis, I pointed out the high probability of a false breakdown under the 4100 technical support and the 4000 psychological level.
The reasoning was simple: during the strong bull leg from 1350 to 4900 (since April), ETH had already shown this type of price action twice.
That call proved correct. ETH reversed higher, hit my 4400 target, and even pushed further, printing highs close to 4600.
Now, after a nearly 15% rise since last Friday, the market may be due for a pause — a chance to consolidate or correct part of the gains.
________________________________________
Technical View
• Support: 4300 is the key level. As long as this holds, bulls remain in control.
• Resistance: Immediate pressure sits near 4600, the recent top.
• Structure: The trend remains strong and healthy, but after such a rapid move, short-term cooling is normal.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
The strategy remains simple: buy dips against 4300.
As long as that support is intact, ETH’s bull case stays firmly alive. 🚀
LiamTrading – Gold Plan: Wide Range + US Politics Exert Pressure
Gold continues to fluctuate within a wide range as market sentiment is heavily influenced by news from the United States. On October 3rd, the US Senate is expected to vote again on the temporary budget bill. If it fails, the federal government could shut down, extending into the following week. This will undoubtedly have a strong impact on safe-haven flows, making gold increasingly sensitive to key technical resistance levels.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a wide sideways structure, oscillating around strong resistance – support zones.
Fibonacci Resistance + Psychological level around 3878–3881 → suitable for short-term Sell scalping.
Confluence Support (Retest + Volume) around 3828–3830 → ideal zone to watch for Buy, expecting a recovery wave.
The major trend still leans towards an increase, however, in the short term, the market will experience many liquidity sweeps.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Sell (short-term – prioritize on M15):
Entry: 3878–3881
SL: 3886
TP: 3860 – 3855 – 3840 – 3822 – 3810
Buy (retest support + volume):
Entry: 3828–3830
SL: 3822
TP: 3845 – 3860 – 3877 – 3890
📌 Conclusion
Today's range is quite wide, suitable for scalping according to psychological resistance zones.
Short-term Sell at Fibonacci resistance levels.
Buy when price retests confluence support with volume.
Political news from the US will be a catalyst causing significant gold volatility, so maintaining disciplined capital management is essential.
👉 Stay closely tuned to the scenarios, I will update frequently as the market experiences new fluctuations.
XAUUSD – Prioritize Sell After Breaking Trendline
Hello Traders,
Gold has experienced a strong upward movement for several consecutive days, but now the market is showing significant reversal signals. The upward trendline on H4 has been broken, confirming a weakening buying momentum. In the medium term, the preferred scenario will be selling rather than continuing to chase buys.
Basic Context
The U.S. Treasury has just repurchased an additional $2 billion in bonds, bringing the total repurchase this week to $4.9 billion. This move indicates efforts to stabilize the bond market, but also reflects significant pressure on the USD and the U.S. financial situation.
In the short term, the injection of additional bond liquidity makes gold more unpredictable, and the trendline break at this time is an important warning signal.
Technical Perspective
Breaking the upward trendline → confirms a structural change.
MACD signals weakening, with buyers losing clear momentum.
The 3865 – 3868 zone is a beautiful resistance retest point to Sell.
If the price falls deeply, the support areas around 3830 – 3810 – 3790 will be the next targets.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell (main priority):
Entry: 3865 – 3868
SL: 3875
TP: 3855 – 3832 – 3810 – 3790
Buy Scalping (counter-trend – high risk):
Entry: 3803 – 3805
SL: 3795
TP: 3822 – 3835 – 3850
Conclusion
Gold has broken the trendline, prioritizing Sell in the short and medium term.
News from the U.S. bond market further emphasizes instability risks, making counter-trend Buy moves only suitable for short-term Scalping.
Follow me for the earliest updates on scenarios as price paths change.
NZDUSD: Sell Stop in Planned DowntrendThis is not an active entry but a planned sell stop entry.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crossed above HTL but quickly formed a doji to indicate weakness
EMA20 is below EMA60 and price is below EMA20 so there's an overall weak downtrend
H1 Timeframe:
Strong ATL is in the process of weakening as price recently failed to make a higher high
When price crossed below ATL, EMA20 should show confluence by crossing below EMA60 and the EMA band should continue expanding
If price makes a clean break lower, there's strong indication that there will be confluence with the daily downtrend