$TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing WYCKOFF$TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. completed a clear as day WYCKOFF distribution TOP.
Currently it is sitting on major support. Losing this $76 area would be bearish to $60 because there isn't much support below $76 to hold it up.
$TSM is GAP city (Gaps are marked in Red), big gap below Support and many gaps above.
So far, this stock has not shown any signs of reversal, however $TSM is a giant in chip manufacturing. TSM makes $aapl chips and with ongoing shortages they are well positioned for advantage as these tech giants add autonomous driving to their business plans. Financially they are well positioned for growth in the years to come.
Tsmc
TSM - New Growth Cycle with 100% Potential?Is the world leading chip maker TSMC about to start a new growth cycle?
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - exponential growth
Profit margin - is at circa 37%, impressive figure considering the growth levels
P/E - reasonable at 23x
Liabilities - no problems there
Risks:
Recession - is not likely to have a big impact on TSMC as demand on its products keeps growing, but it may impact share prices when the market starts correcting
China tensions - this is the highest risk to stability and future of this business which is difficult to assess but it certainly needs to be taken into account
Technically:
Following correction of 2020 there was an explosive growth in the share price of TSMC which indicates that it was wave 3 using Elliott Wave analysis
And looking at the structure of the correction that has developed since the peak - the impulse like movement at the end suggests it is an Extended Flat
At the lower time timeframe it is visible that the fifth wave of this impulse is quite choppy which indicates that ending diagonal is developing and soon there will be a reversal
Given the depth of the forming wave 4 is 50% (using Fibonacci level) the fifth wave maybe not as explosive and may reach $150 to $190, which is impressive 100% jump from the current price level
Alternative scenario - there is a possibility that wave 4 has not completed yet and it may drop further, however, at the moment it looks unlikely
Do you think that TSMC is going to start another impressive bull cycle?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
All the relevant levels on TSMTSM is the most significant and more relevant chip manufacturer in the world. Probably you have one of these chips in the computer you are using right now or maybe in your car. With all that said, let's take a look at the most important levels on the current chart.
* Yesterday (13/01/2021), TSM made a new all-time high (ATH) after 307 days of corrections inside a flag pattern and a decline of 24.33%
* Flag patterns are continuation structures; this means that after the breakouts, we tend to observe new impulsive movements in the same direction as the previous one.
What we will do now is explain possible bullish and bearish resolutions based on the levels we have:
BULLISH SCENARIO: The price has 3 levels we can use to consider closing positions: First fibo extension, cloned channel, second fibo extension (useful for swing and position traders). Assuming the price replicates the previous impulse that started in April 2020 and finished in February 2021, we should expect a movement of 330 days towards 204 (where the 2nd fibo extension and the cloned channel converge). Remember that when you are looking for big and extended movements you need to be open to corrections during your trade or investment (for example, on key levels)
BEARISH SCENARIO: The price is not able to surpass the resistance zone created by the previous ATH, and from here we observe a bearish movement towards the next target we have, "The ascending trendline) at around 119
Thanks for reading! feel free to add your ideas on the comments ;) Have a great weekend.
1/9/22 TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company ( NYSE:TSM )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Semiconductors)
Market Capitalization: 593.364B
Current Price: $123.50
Breakout price: $128.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $125.00-$120.25
Price Target: $134.50-$136.00 (1st), $142.00-$144.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 66-70d (1st), 118-122d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $TSM 3/18/22 130c, $TSM 5/20/22 140c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.30/contract, $4.90/contract
TSMC To Produce Chips In Japan By 2024 In Deal With SonyThe deal worth USD 7 bn establishes joint venture company Japan Advanced Semiconductor Manufacturing.
TSMC's board of directors officially approved plans to build a chip factory in Kumamoto Prefecture, its first-ever Japanese plant. Sony is set to invest USD 500 million and will hold no more than a 20% stake in the joint company, according to a statement released on Tuesday. The project will be Japan’s largest financially supported endeavor for a foreign-controlled company with billions of Japanese Yen in subsidies. It will create 1,500 high-tech professional jobs in Japan with the construction of the chip plant scheduled to begin in 2022 and production slated to begin in 2024. TSMC already has a plant in Nanjing and is currently constructing a plant in Arizona in the U.S. with considerations to build a new chip facility in Germany.
The semiconductor industry has been a top priority for many nations grappling with recent supply chain shortages. Japan’s response to the crunch is a framework for subsidies that allows companies to build chip factories in the nation. The conditionality is that firms must respond to requests for increased production and prioritize supply to domestic companies should supplies of semiconductors become tight. Sony specifically is TSMC’s biggest client in Japan making the deal quite worthwhile for both ends. The plant will produce state-of-the-art 7-nanometer chips as well as less advanced but versatile 22- to 28-nanometer chips.
TSMC was founded in February 1987 by Zhang Zhongmou and is headquartered in Taiwan. It is a professional integrated circuit manufacturing server with the world's most advanced semiconductor technology.
$TSM Trade the ChannelTSMC is a nice Iron Condor Setup looking back :)
I like credit spreads here or can try naked calls to ride the channel up . Earnings upcoming so a better idea may be to sell puts and capture the IV crush after.
Regardless, TSM has been in the 107-125 range since March and you can trade it as such until we see a bigger box breakout either up or down.
I took the 11/19 110/105P for 1.88 avg
#TSM mid term AnalysisAs we all know TSM has amazing fundamentals, incredible advantages in their business model and benefitial political terms inside their country, right now their competitors are not close enough to compete with them at full scale. So we are not going to argue about value for this company. Not all day we have infront of us a company that represents value for half of the world chips manufacturer market.
since the July spike the price of #TSM has been trading at a side chanel from 108 usd to 125 usd, in case of a breaking of the 125 resistance at the edge of the accumulation channel, we can expect the price to travel smoothly to a) level target and so on, but in case of breaking the 108 support level we may see bears will take control to the oranges mark supports.
As expected due the economic enviroment right now, lets expect a lot of volatility but thats ok, dont forget you are sitting on a value stock, the stop loss is stretched due volatility.
$TSM watch for break of channelTSM on the weekly has recently formed a triple bottom, trading the channel. MACD looks ready to cross and a close above AVWAP, watch for a breakout here.
10/15 $125c or 130/125 debit spreads as an idea to play the breakout.
Rejection of top of channels invalidates trade.
TSMC looks like its found a bottomTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is a stock that i would want in my portfolio for the next 5 years.
The semiconductor industry looks like a really exciting growth theme with TSMC as one of the leaders in the industry. The stock has done really well over the last year, so the question becomes, the entry point at which one can buy and hold for the next 5 years.
The trading signals suggest that the stock is oversold. The DeMarker signal is extremely bullish, supported by the Stochastic Momentum Index.
Hopefully we will see a bounce over the next week or so, although it should happen within the next few days.
Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
TSMC Breakout: Powering the AI MegatrendAfter consolidating for 2 months, this semiconductor powerhouse finally broke out to new all-time-highs from its rectangle yesterday. With most tech stocks still recovering from the correction of the last 2 weeks, such a move signals strong underlying momentum.
TSMC counts the world’s biggest tech companies as its customers - Apple, Intel, AMD, Nvidia, Qualcomm, etc - and arguably underpins much of the world’s tech boom and AI megatrend.
Part of the fuel for the breakout came from Apple’s new iPad Air announcement yesterday, utilizing their latest A14 Bionic, the first consumer chipset to run on TSMC’s most advanced mass production 5nm process.
This is one stock you’ll want to own for the long haul.
INTC : Unpopular opinion, Intel only go up.Unpopular opinion : Intel only go up.
You are not going to short at a mega-monthly support ,are you ?
This is where those bald-headed suits ,hedge funds managers ,and bankers steal your money.
Don't believe what their low IQ analysts says in their un-watchable media .
Intel is here and will remain here for a while .
Bullish Cup & Handle formation on $AMDIt is very clear that AMD is going to be a few node sizes ahead of Intel for the next few years. On top of that, they will be dominating the console and commercial server market. AMD is highly undervalued here and wouldn't be surprised to see a full 100% extension of the cup by the end of this year.
TSMC: Trading at top of a +/- 20% rangeTSMC has been trading in a +/- 20% range since Jan 2018 and this is the 3rd time the stock has hit the top of the range. Be it more tariffs, smartphone saturation or the fact that Chinese crypto mines are being shut down, the demand picture for chips are just not that great.





















