Last night, the DXY went below the PCZ of the Bullish Alt-Bat and bottomed out at the Demand Line of the channel it has been trading within, and at the same time, it formed a Bullish Butterfly with double PPO confirmation. Now it is back above the Moving Averages and on the rise. Meanwhile, the yields have seemingly bottomed out at the 200 SMA at the PCZ of a...
- XBI IWM ARKK FXI these sectors may play lagger bull catch up soon if market continues to run - PYPL BABA and other growth stock names may as well.
The 3x Bearish Return ETF for the IWM is currently showing Hidden Bearish Divergence on the weekly at the 55-week EMA, and it looks like if this Hidden Bearish Divergence plays out we will see the ETF fall below the B point and begin to accelerate its Bearish Wave Structure which would complete between the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. This would mean...
- Very notable drop in the last 3 days for all sectors. Most important factor to remember is always following the trend and dont try to fight against it. Even though today there was a lot of opportunity in both direction it was quite a choppy day. - I mentioned yesterday any pop bullish on premarket data will be a good short for all sectors and i will be getting...
- QQQ double topped with Tuesday top, had a 15m bull flag during consolidation with no red flags until mid morning. - XLF increasing bear volume with zero bounce and very notable big money exiting. Fear creeped into the market - VIX up 20% - QQQ went from lead bull to bear when all sectors starting to drop at the same time after XLFs huge drop. dragging SPY...
RSI has fallen back under 70 & ADX is rising. Selling could become a STRONG TREND as the dollar rebounds with rising yields. Expecting a $VIX spike to occur if $DXY continues upward. Staying HEDGED for the DEBT BUBBLE implosion with $UVIX $UVXY $HDGE $TZA
Daily RSI bounced back just above 30 with a rising ADX indicator. Most everything seems to be at overbought conditions as Fed policy is still tightening. Yields up, Dollar up, speculative assets DOWN. Small caps don't stand a very good chance of profiting in a deflationary environment. Expecting more bankruptcies, layoffs, & defaults. Indexes could fall hard...
Despite being tempted to exit this trade during the extended hours activity but i'm now seeing a bullish variables during the regular session such as a Bearish 3 Line Strike at the 88.6% retrace and it's coming off of oversold conditions on the RSI so im adding to my UVXY and TZA puts and shorts and staying long the SPY.
I have higher targets for the dow and spx but as for the russel i'll be going for the minimum 0.618 target and will be bearishly positioned against the TZA Bearish russel ETF. If the Russel can get above the 61.8% retrace then i think it will make ATHs.
Today We can say a Rectangular Top pattern has been confirmed and small-cap will experience another 10-15% decline! This is the lowest level since Jan 29th, 2021. This could happen very fast in the next 2-6 weeks! TZA (Small-cap 3x inverse ETF) volume doubled in volume in the past 3 months, and could go up to 37-42 levels! You can see the most important...
The Yearly Bull Flag continues as The Russell 2000 consolidated back to test the wedge pattern. Guided down today by the 2 hour 8 EMA, the Bollinger Bands have opened up and fallen away. Support was found at the Daily MBB.
The Russell confirmed an H&S with quick support after the break. Russell 2000 on watch in concert with NAS and the 10 Year Note.
This is nearing the end of the bull run. The coinciding successive bollinger band breaches to the upside on the monthly right at long term channel resistance spells one major leg down coming up shortly.
Once the RTY wedge breaks, it's going to take out all equity markets. RTY has been inflating insanely, google it. It's the key to the entire picture, that and the yields.
M2K futures are looking weaker than I have seen in almost 12 years. Crash is definitely on the table right now. TZA is a great instrument to capture a huge leveraged move with low risk. The entry in this scenario would be a buy at around $5.60 and to sell around $6.85 with a stop at $5.10. Ultra rare setup here with a huge gain potential in possibly a few...
$IWM RTY would be in trouble below 2100 This week is a good week to play short if the momentum on the small cap index sells to the downside.
$RTY Below 1965 is 1877 in the short term