United Airlines: Long-Term Channel Is Still BullishUnited Airlines remains in a strong long-term monthly uptrend, and the chart is still behaving like a constructive continuation structure rather than a broken trend.
The move off the 2020 base has expanded into a rising channel, and the current pullback is still sitting inside that larger bullish framework.
Price is now working around the upper part of the structure, which means this is still a trend-following setup, not a bottom-fishing trade. As long as the monthly support shelves hold, the path of least resistance stays higher.
Technically, your chart shows a clean continuation plan with a current entry at 74.30 dollars, a stop at 69.40 dollars, and a target at 143.14 dollars.
That gives the idea a wide upside runway if the monthly structure continues to expand.
🟢 Buy Zone 1 – Monthly Continuation Buy
This is the primary setup for traders who want to stay with the trend while the monthly structure is still intact. The pullback has not damaged the broader base, and price is still respecting the rising channel.
Entry: 74.30 dollars
Stop: 69.40 dollars
Target: 143.14 dollars
Risk/Reward: very strong, given the distance to the upper expansion target
Key Levels:
🔑 Buy Price: 74.30 dollars
🔑 Stop: 69.40 dollars
🔑 Target: 143.14 dollars
🔑 Trend Context: monthly rising channel and long-term breakout continuation
🔑 Setup Type: continuation buy
This setup stays valid only while price continues to hold above 69.40 dollars on a closing basis. A break below that level would weaken the clean monthly continuation structure.
🟢 Buy Zone 2 – Deeper Monthly Pullback Buy
If price dips further into the lower part of the long-term structure, that creates a second opportunity for patient swing buyers. This is the deeper-discount version of the same bullish thesis.
Entry: lower pullback zone inside the monthly channel
Stop: 48.29 dollars
Target: 143.14 dollars
Risk/Reward: excellent if the stock gives that deeper retracement
Key Levels:
🔑 Deeper Buy Zone: lower monthly support area
🔑 Stop: 48.29 dollars
🔑 Target: 143.14 dollars
🔑 Structure: rising monthly channel and long-term accumulation base
🔑 Setup Type: deep value continuation buy
This setup only works if the larger monthly base remains intact. If price loses 48.29 dollars, the long-term bullish structure would be in much worse shape.
🎯 Primary Thesis & Trade Logic
The core idea on UAL is simple: the stock has already completed a major long-term base and is now trading inside a rising monthly continuation structure.
The current setup favours buying support, not fading strength, because the broader trend is still constructive.
Your corrected levels make the plan much clearer: 74.30 entry with 69.40 stop for the active continuation setup, and 48.29 stop for the deeper swing entry.
That is the clean monthly risk framework traders need when they are looking for a multi-month trend play.
UAL
Short AirlinesThis is an Oil-Iran play.
I am holding positions currently on Oil, United, and Southwest.
Bulls are in control of Oil on the daily chart.
Bears are now in control of UAL.
UAL has the highest exposure to the middle east as they run the most flights in and out, and tend to cancel flights frequently when middle east conflict occurs.
Have we peaked at $UAL?A snippet from ForexTraderPaul's YT Channel Monday Market Update #211: Greenland is cold whilst Defence Stocks are hot.
We have undergone some wild swings in UAL over the last few year due to geo-political events, and domestic changes of government and policy. This last swing took us to recent highs. Can the move higher continue? UAL has its Q4 earnings today. Will those numbers take us higher? Or will we fall back to the recent support? I think its more likely the latter due to geopolitical events and overall sentiment this week.
UAL Points to note:
- Post-pandemic recovery phase largely complete; focus shifts to margin control.
- Fuel and labour costs remain the dominant swing factors.
- Demand stable but no longer accelerating.
What traders should be aware of: airlines are highly macro-sensitive — growth scares and oil volatility dominate price action.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t exited UAL before the recent selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 92.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $5.12.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
OptionsMastery: Inverse head and shoulders on UAL! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
United Airlines Holdings, IncKey arguments in support of the idea.
International routes continue to experience high demand. While the U.S. domestic market is in a less favorable position, especially the low-cost carrier (LCC) segment, the company is benefiting from foreign tourists. However, it's worth noting that the U.S. Travel Association (USTA) reports the opposite: demand from U.S. citizens for domestic tourism remains strong. We expect the situation in domestic flights to improve by summer 2025. During the reporting period, United emphasized that its premium offerings continue to drive revenue growth, with demand from American tourists for international flights remaining stable.
Our 12-month forecast maintains the possibility of a positive surprise for the company. UAL’s pricing power is generally stronger than that of competitors, allowing the company to maintain a high level of revenue per passenger mile and profit margins.
Progress in tariff negotiations has given a strong boost to the stock. Currently, UAL shares are trading above their 200-day moving average with an RSI near overbought levels. However, if political progress continues, this momentum could persist. The 2-month target price for UAL is $97, and we recommend setting a stop loss at $72.8.
The 2-month target price for UAL is $97. We recommend setting a stop loss at $72.
JETS 7 Year ResistanceThis is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline.
Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts.
Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally.
Oil has not helped their situation.
We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly helps the major airlines as the industry cleanses.
A lot of talk of mergers and buyouts. For example, Frontier wants to merge with Spirit, Jetblue & United, and Southwest Pilot union seeking merger attorneys. Streamlining is always a good thing which is why JETS has risen as much as it has.
However, this may be it according to the chart. The next move could be down from here. Airlines are very economically sensitive and a recession would hit them hard.
United Airlines Holdings, (NASDAQ: $UAL) Surge 6% on Strong Q1Shares of United Airlines Holdings, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:UAL ) saw a noteworthy uptick of 6% on Wednesday's premarket session after the industry leaders reported it swung to a profit in the first quarter as revenue hit a record high, sending shares surging in extended trading Tuesday, further extending gains to premarket session.
The Chicago-based carrier posted first-quarter revenue of $13.2 billion, up 5% year-over-year and above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha.1 Adjusted net income of $302 million, or 91 cents per share, compared to a loss of $50 million, or 15 cents per share, a year earlier, and also topped Wall Street’s estimates.
United Says It Expects 'Resilient' Earnings in Q2
The results come amid an uncertain economic environment for airlines. Last week, Visual Approach Analytics warned that air travel could face "demand destruction" as a result of the Trump administration's tariff policies, and rival carrier Delta (DAL) withdrew its full-year outlook, citing “current uncertainty."
Looking ahead, United said it expects "resilient earnings" in the second quarter and full fiscal year, despite macroeconomic challenges. The airline said it plans to reduce off-peak flying on lower-demand days.
Technical Outlook
United shares jumped nearly 7% in after-hours trading, extending gains to Wednesday premarket session. The stock has lost nearly a third of its value so far in 2025 through Tuesday’s close. The daily price chart depicts a bullish flag pattern with the asset gearing to break the ceiling of the flag - a move that will cement the bullish campaign for NASDAQ:UAL shares.
Further more, with the RSI at 44.97, NASDAQ:UAL shares are well ready for a bullish campaign capitalizing on the moderate momentum of the market.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-24,
for a premium of approximately $4.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$UAL. New meme stock. To the moonUnited airlines, nothing short of unprecedented move. In four months quadrupling shareholders value. Nothing short of spectacular. However, according to Simply Wall Street fair value is at $17.62. Fundamentally nothing changed in the last 4 months, at least not to cause this kind of move. Technically both the decline from Dec 2019 and the moonshot from August 2024 have moved at exactly same angle. And if this happens again one can expect the next downturn to be quick. Might consolidate before heading down like in the last cycle. Time will tell. I see it going to $114, Blow off maybe $120 ish, then down.
Time will tell
DAL... We have take offGood morning traders,
If you have been following my predictions on DAL and UAL, well... WE HAVE TAKE OFF! OB has been tested, we could see a pullback testing the previous red candle but should be a decent flight from there on out. Some turbulence along the way, but shouldn't be big enough to knock this plane down.
All previous areas have been tested and structurally it looks great. Hang on tight a bit more we are almost there. Keep UAL on your sights, this has much more traveling to do which means bigger profits as well.
Hope you enjoy the rest of your day, and don't forget to follow for all my other predictions. Have a great rest of your week, happy trading & God Bless!
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 62.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
American Airlines AAL approaching an important level AAL is on a 30 minute chart. It had a big downtrend for the first week of the month and then
consolidated in a tight range and then a retracment trend up. Price has reached the top
of the high volume area of the volme profile. It is near to the standard Fibonacci retracement
zone tooled onto the chart. This zone from above rejected price on March 7 and 8.
AAL has had news of late about baggage problems but then came the news about an agreement
about expansion and remodeling at O'Hare in Chicago. I will watch AAL here, it make
break through the zone and then rise as much as 5%. However, it could be rejected and
5% into its support based out during the consolidation.
UAL Falling Wedge Pattern SHORT from the Resistance TrendlineUAL is looking to fall 10% from the upper resistance trendline as the summer travel season
comes to a close. Shorting UAL with a put option in the money expiring in one month. Current
trend shows traders are not impressed by earnings without corresponding revenue support.
Analysts will likely soon proclaim a downgrade.
Can SAVE reverse from a lower low LONGSAVE missed out on a merger into Jet Blue. No other suitors have come along. It has sunk
in a falling wedge with episodic trends up in the wedge. At present price is at the longer
support trendline of that wedge. Relative strength reflects an oversold and undervalued
condition. The Fisher transform shows a curling up suggestive of the reversal. I will take a
long trade here as SAVE's trend down may be overdue for a correction. I am looking for a
swing trade of 20&% overall with the targets on the chart.
SLong
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 43usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.36.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
United Airlines Soars 14.63% Above Boeing TurbulenceIn the face of Boeing's safety crisis and production woes, United Airlines (NYSE: NASDAQ:UAL ) has defied expectations with a stellar first-quarter performance, propelling its shares skyward. Despite absorbing a significant blow from the grounding of Boeing's 737 MAX-9 aircraft, United's robust earnings and bullish outlook for the second quarter signal resilience and a promising trajectory. Let's delve into the factors driving United's ascent and its implications for investors and the aviation industry at large.
1. Earnings Triumph Over Boeing's Impact: United Airlines' first-quarter results have surpassed expectations, showcasing the company's ability to navigate challenges posed by Boeing's ongoing safety crisis. Despite absorbing a $200 million hit from the Boeing grounding, United's strong financial performance underscores effective management and strategic resilience in turbulent times.
2. Optimistic Profit Forecast: United's upbeat profit forecast for the second quarter reflects a bullish outlook on travel demand, fueled by improving corporate spending. The airline's optimistic projection signals confidence in the recovery of the aviation sector and positions United as a frontrunner in capitalizing on renewed travel momentum.
3. Capacity Constraints and Boeing Fallout: Boeing's production and certification delays have created aircraft shortages, constraining capacity for major airlines like United. While grappling with reduced delivery estimates and operational challenges, United ( NASDAQ:UAL ) remains steadfast in its commitment to maintaining service quality and meeting passenger demand amid industry headwinds.
4. CEO Assurance Amid Safety Concerns: United's CEO, Scott Kirby, has expressed confidence in the safety of Boeing's 787 Dreamliner amidst ongoing investigations into the planemaker's manufacturing practices. Kirby's reassurance underscores United's commitment to passenger safety and transparency, mitigating concerns raised by recent whistleblower allegations.
Technical Outlook
United Airlines ( NASDAQ:UAL ) stock is on a bullish trend with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 62 indicating strong buying momentum from the bulls. A strong Bullish Harami candle stick pattern indicated on the 4-month price chart further accentuates the bullish thesis of the stock
Conclusion:
United Airlines' impressive first-quarter results and optimistic outlook amid Boeing's challenges demonstrate the company's resilience in navigating turbulent skies. As the aviation industry gradually rebounds from the impact of the pandemic and Boeing's crisis, United ( NASDAQ:UAL ) stands out as a beacon of stability and growth potential.
LUV and Attendants love the Settlement LONGLUV on a 120 minute chart fell heavily on news of a looming strike by flight attendants 18 %
into a bear flag and support followed by a narrow range consolidation and a volatility
squeeze which broke on news of the settlement. I LUV Sowthwest and its travel mileage perks
and open seating. The NR7 indicator on watch was firing continuously. I am taking a long trade
here and now with adds at any dips found moving foward. It is hard to pass by an 18% sale.
This will be profitable and will subsidize travel on LUV.
RCL may set up a fall from a rising wedge SHORTRCL took a bit of time to recover from COVID but has now done well. The dialy chart reflects
this. Last year price rose in the winder and spring then fell when the summer ended and
reversed upside in November. Ir is now in a rising wedge and price is at the upper trendline.
It is confluent with the second upper VWAP band line suggesting not much room upside as
that line is providing dynamic resistance. The predictive algorithm from Lux Algo designed
to forward forecast from a lookback of the regression line to the left predicts a fall from
the ascending resistance trendline and the underside of that VWAP line. I will short
RCL here and entertain a hedged options trade to insure the short trade. I have shown a
peer stock NCLH from the cruise industry. It has not done as well as RCL. If RCL starts
falling significantly some traders may move their capital to NCLH and help it rise. I will put
NCLH on my watch list along with UAL, AAL, LUV, DAL and LUV as the summer travel
season will be underway in another sixty days and trader interest may rise with accumulation
and price action to follow.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL calls before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
United Airlines in a bear flag.United Airlines Holdings - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 48.38 (stop at 50.38)
Prices have reacted from 58.23.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Price action is forming a bearish flag which has a bias to break to the downside.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
The trend of higher intraday lows has also been broken.
Our profit targets will be 43.38 and 41.38
Resistance: 50.66 / 52.00 / 54.90
Support: 48.55 / 47.00 / 46.00
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Hawaiian Airlines HA Reversal LongHA is on a 30 minute- chart. A Head and Shoulder pattern is drawn. It is assymetrical with
an ascending neckline extension. An anchored VWAP is added. Price is currently in the
deeply oversold zone near to the -2 standard aWVAP line. I see buyers and money flow
coming in at this level. The stop loss is 9. The first target is at 10.7 and so about 15% upside
in the area of the mean VWAP. The second target is the confluence of the July 10 pivot ,
the ascending neckline of the pattern and 2 deviations above aVWAP ( the thinnest red
line) at the area 12.5. This is about 35% upside. I will take this swing long trade and
investigate a suitable call option as well.
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