BRENT OIL Forecast: Technical Weakness Meets Key Support🛢️💰 BRENT CRUDE OIL (UKOIL / ICE:BRN1!) — Energy Market Wealth Strategy Map
📅 Day Trade | Swing Trade Setup
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⚠️ THIEF TRADER INTEL BRIEF — READ BEFORE YOU TRADE ⚠️
"The market is a crime scene — follow the liquidity, not the noise."
— Thief Trader 🎭
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🔴 TRADE DIRECTION: BEARISH — SHORT SIDE
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📍 CURRENT LIVE MARKET PRICE (London Time — 10 June 2026):
• 🛢️ Brent Crude Oil (ICE:BRN1!): ~$92.00/bbl | Intraday Range: $89.61 – $94.43
• ⛽ WTI Crude Oil (NYMEX:CL1!): ~$88.80/bbl | Open: $91.41
• 52-Week Range (Brent): $58.72 – $126.41
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🎯 THE HEIST PLAN — ENTRY & TARGETS
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🔫 ENTRY ZONE:
• You can enter at ANY price level that suits your risk profile
• Use pullbacks, retests, or momentum breaks to your advantage
• Multi-timeframe confirmation is your best entry weapon 🔍
🎯 TARGET 1 (Day Traders — Quick Heist):
• 💵 TP1 → $89.000 — Intraday liquidity pocket & momentum exhaust zone
🎯 FINAL TARGET (Swing Traders — Full Loot):
• 💵 TP2 → $88.000 — Strong institutional support confluence:
➤ Police Force Support Level (Major demand floor)
➤ Oversold momentum signature on higher timeframes
➤ Trapped long positions below market structure
➤ Potential trend reversal zone — the escape point for maximum profit extraction 🏃♂️💨
🛑 THIEF STOP LOSS:
• 🔒 SL → $92.000 — Above current structure resistance & geopolitical spike zone
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📝 THIEF OG'S RISK DISCLAIMER
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Dear Ladies & Gentlemen — Thief OG's 🎩🥷
• TP and SL levels shown above are NOT mandatory recommendations
• These are reference zones only — your trade, your rules, your money
• Take profits when the market gives them to you — don't get greedy with the loot
• Always manage your own position sizing and risk per trade
• If you make money → take money. Stay sharp. Stay alive in the market. 💎
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🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD-Denominated)
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These instruments move in sync with Brent — watch them for confluence confirmation:
🇺🇸⛽ WTI Crude Oil (NYMEX:CL1!) ~ $88.80/bbl
➤ Direct Brent sibling — nearly identical correlation (0.95+)
➤ WTI weakness confirms Brent bearish thesis across the Atlantic spread
🇺🇸💵 US Dollar Index (DXY) ~ monitoring zone
➤ Inverse correlation to oil — a stronger DXY adds downside pressure to crude
➤ Dollar weakness on June 9 temporarily supported crude — watch for reversal
➤ DXY recovery = headwind for oil bulls
🇨🇦 USD/CAD (FX:USDCAD)
➤ Canada is a major oil exporter — CAD tracks crude closely
➤ Bearish Brent = CAD weakening = USD/CAD rising
➤ Use USD/CAD rally as a confirmation signal for continued oil downside
🇳🇴 USD/NOK (FX:USDNOK)
➤ Norwegian Krone is the most oil-correlated G10 currency
➤ Brent falls → NOK weakens → USD/NOK rises
➤ Key confirmation pair for European energy traders
🇦🇺 AUD/USD (FX:AUDUSD)
➤ Risk-sensitive commodity currency — moves with global energy sentiment
➤ Oil sell-off + risk-off = AUD/USD bearish pressure
➤ Watch for correlated weakness as oil trends lower
🔥 Natural Gas (NYMEX:NG1!)
➤ Strait of Hormuz closure has disrupted ~20% of global LNG supply
➤ Natural gas prices remain elevated on supply chain disruption
➤ Watch NG as a geopolitical risk gauge — elevated NG = elevated oil risk premium
📊 XLE — Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLE)
➤ US energy sector equity benchmark — tracks oil company profitability
➤ Brent decline → XLE downside pressure
➤ Use as a macro energy sentiment gauge
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📰 FUNDAMENTAL & MACRO INTELLIGENCE FEED
(Live Data — London Time, 10 June 2026)
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🌍 GEOPOLITICAL BATTLEFIELD (Middle East):
• 🔴 Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed under a dual US-Iran blockade — disruptions now exceeding 3 months since February 28 conflict outbreak
• 🔴 Fresh US military strikes against Iran reported overnight — geopolitical risk premium spiking intraday
• 🟡 Iran and Israel exchanged strikes over the weekend, breaching a fragile ceasefire — peace talks ongoing but fragile
• 🟡 US President Trump urging de-escalation; Iran-US talks described as progressing but unresolved
• 🟢 Both Iran and Israel signalled temporary ceasefire intent — easing of war premium visible in Tuesday's price pullback from $94+ to below $93
🏭 SUPPLY DISRUPTION DATA (EIA / IEA June 2026):
• 🔴 Middle Eastern oil producers collectively cut output by over 11 million b/d from pre-conflict levels
• 🔴 Cumulative Gulf supply losses exceed 1 billion barrels since conflict began
• 🔴 OECD inventories at lowest level since 2003 — global inventory draws averaging 6.3 million b/d in Q2 2026
• 🔴 Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline operating at ~2 mb/d vs. 7 mb/d design capacity — limited bypass capability
• 🔴 Global LNG flows disrupted — approximately 20% of world LNG supply previously transited Hormuz
🏦 OPEC+ PRODUCTION POLICY:
• 🟡 OPEC+ approved another July production increase of 188,000 b/d — fourth consecutive monthly hike
• 🟡 OPEC+ now operating without UAE (shock departure) — first meeting in this new format
• 🟡 Previous May hike was 206,000 b/d — July increase is slightly lower
• 🟡 Despite hikes, actual Gulf export flows remain choked — paper barrels vs. deliverable barrels divergence active
🌏 DEMAND DESTRUCTION SIGNALS:
• 🔴 EIA June STEO: Global oil demand expected to fall 1.1 million b/d in 2026 vs. 2025 — demand destruction confirmed
• 🔴 China aggressively pulling back on overseas crude imports — drawing from strategic reserves instead (1,541 million barrels stockpile)
• 🔴 China was Hormuz's largest oil buyer at 5.35 mb/d pre-conflict — now managing on inventory buffer
• 🔴 Japan and South Korea demand each fell ~290,000 b/d year-on-year in April — petrochemical sector heavily hit
• 🔴 OECD Asia demand declining by ~440,000 b/d year-on-year through Q2 2026
💹 PRICE ACTION CONTEXT (Verified Levels):
• Brent hit $138/bbl on April 7 at peak conflict panic — since retraced significantly
• Brent averaged $107/bbl in May — down $10 from April average
• Brent fell 12.57% over the past month — still 36.26% above year-ago levels
• Current price ~$92/bbl reflects easing war premium + demand destruction + ceasefire hopes
📅 HIGH-IMPACT UPCOMING EVENTS TO MONITOR:
• 🗓️ OPEC+ next output adjustment meeting — July schedule
• 🗓️ EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventory Report — every Wednesday (London 15:30)
• 🗓️ Brent Futures Settlement Date — 30 June 2026
• 🗓️ US-Iran Peace Negotiation developments — ongoing & market-sensitive
• 🗓️ EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook next release — 7 July 2026
• 🗓️ Federal Reserve policy posture — USD direction impact on crude pricing
• 🗓️ IEA Monthly Oil Market Report — mid-July
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🧠 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE SUMMARY
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🔻 Investing.com Daily Signal: STRONG SELL
🔻 Multi-timeframe moving average alignment: Bearish (Hourly / 5H / Daily)
🔻 Price pulled back sharply from April peak at $138 — structural downtrend intact on macro view
🔻 Current price re-testing former resistance-turned-support — breakdown risk elevated
🔻 Volume on sell side expanding as ceasefire optimism builds
🔻 Demand destruction narrative accelerating = fundamental weight on price
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🎭 THIEF TRADER MOTIVATION — FROM THE VAULT
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"Every candle tells a story. Every level hides a trap.
The Thief doesn't chase the market — the Thief waits for the market to come to them." 🕵️♂️
"Discipline is the weapon. Patience is the strategy.
Profits are the reward." 💰🔐
"In a world of noise, the smart money moves in silence.
Be the shadow. Be the Thief." 🌑🏆
Stay locked in, Thief OG's. This is not just a trade — it's a calculated heist.
Execute with precision. Exit with profits. 🚀💎
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⚠️ STANDARD RISK DISCLAIMER
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Trading involves substantial risk of loss. TP and SL levels published here are not
financial advice or mandatory recommendations. All trades carry risk. Manage your
capital responsibly. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade
at your own risk and always apply your own due diligence. 🛡️
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🙌 If this idea adds value to your trading game — Drop a LIKE 👍 | Leave a COMMENT 💬
BOOST this post so more Thief OG's can find the loot! 🚀
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Ukoilanalysis
UKOIL H4 | Buyers Building MomentumBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to our buy entry level at 107.57, which is an overlap support.
Our stop loss is set at 103.04, which is an overlap support.
Our take profit is set at 114.08, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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UK OIL (UKOIL) 1-Hour Timeframe Analysis — 01 MAY 2026BRENT OIL (UKOIL) is currently showing structured price action on the 1-hour timeframe, with clear reactions from key levels.
The market is moving within a defined range, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. However, the overall direction will be determined by how price behaves around important support and resistance zones.
If the price breaks above resistance with strong momentum and holds after a retest, we can expect a continuation towards higher liquidity areas. Conversely, if the market fails to maintain its position and breaks below support, it may initiate a downside move targeting lower zones.
From a smart money perspective, the market often collects liquidity before making a decisive move. Any false breakout or manipulation should be observed carefully before confirming the actual direction.
Conclusion:
The market is currently at a decision point. A confirmed breakout or breakdown will define the next directional move, so patience and confirmation are key.
UK OIL (UKOIL) 1-Hour Timeframe Analysis — 01 MAY 2026
BRENT CRUDE (UKOIL) is currently showing structured price action on the 1-hour timeframe, with clear reactions from key levels.
The market is moving within a defined range, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. However, the overall direction will be determined by how price behaves around important support and resistance zones.
If the price breaks above resistance with strong momentum and holds after a retest, we can expect a continuation towards higher liquidity areas. Conversely, if the market fails to maintain its position and breaks below support, it may initiate a downside move targeting lower zones.
From a smart money perspective, the market often collects liquidity before making a decisive move. Any false breakout or manipulation should be observed carefully before confirming the actual direction.
Conclusion:
The market is currently at a decision point. A confirmed breakout or breakdown will define the next directional move, so patience and confirmation are key.
Oil Markets at Turning Point – Breakdown Risk Intensifies!🛢️ BRENT CRUDE OIL (UKOIL) – Energy Market Capital Flow Blueprint 🔥
"The Thief's Guide to Stealing Pips at $90 Breakdown" 💎
📊 TECHNICAL SETUP – BEARISH BIAS (Swing / Day Trade)
Direction: 🔴 BEARISH – Gravity doesn't lie, and neither does price action rejecting from highs.
Trigger: ⚡ Clean break and close below the MA cluster at $90.00 – moving averages represent herd mentality. When the herd panics, we profit.
Entry Zone: Any price level post-breakout confirmation. Patience pays; FOMO slays. Wait for the retest, don't chase the first candle.
Target 🎯: $85.00 – This is where police force buying meets oversold conditions, where trapped bulls capitulate, and where smart money starts accumulating. Take your profits here and escape clean.
Stop Loss 🛑: $98.00 – A thief knows when to cut losses. Above this level, the bearish thesis is invalidated. Live to steal another day.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.6R – Math favors the disciplined thief who respects their stops.
🧠 THE TECHNICAL THESIS – Why $90 Is The Alamo
Markets don't care about your opinion. They only respect levels. Multiple moving averages are converging near the $90-92 psychological zone – this is gravitational territory. A clean break below this area opens the trapdoor straight to $85, where heavy volume profile nodes sit waiting to absorb selling pressure.
Structure shift confirmed: Recent rejection from $95+ highs signals distribution, not accumulation. Bulls are exhausted after failing to hold gains; bears are just warming up. Thin liquidity exists above $95, while heavy volume clusters at $85-87. The market always flows toward liquidity like water flowing downhill.
Market psychology plays a crucial role here. Every trader on the planet is watching the same $90 level – this creates a self-fulfilling prophecy. Break it, and stops cascade. Cascade of stops equals our payday. 💸
Key Support Stack: $87.00 (minor support) → $85.00 (MAJOR target zone) → $82.00 (extended target if momentum continues)
Key Resistance Stack: $90.00 (immediate barrier) → $92.00 (secondary resistance) → $95.00 (major invalidation level)
📰 LIVE FUNDAMENTAL DASHBOARD – What The Market Is Actually Digesting 🗞️
US-Iran Ceasefire Talks: 🟡 Fragile negotiations are scheduled to resume this weekend in Pakistan. White House officials express "optimism" but skepticism remains high after previous breakdowns. Any deal progress would apply bearish pressure to oil prices.
Strait of Hormuz Flows: 🔴 Current traffic remains constrained with only approximately 3.8 million barrels per day flowing versus normal levels near 20 million. Supply risk premium is still baked into prices despite ceasefire hopes.
IEA April Report: 🟢 BEARISH – The International Energy Agency forecasts a 2026 demand contraction of approximately 1.5 million barrels per day year-over-year. This represents the largest demand destruction since COVID lockdowns. High prices are actively killing consumption.
EIA Crude Inventories: 🟡 Draw of 913,000 barrels reported – supportive of prices in isolation, but product inventories show mixed signals suggesting demand uncertainty.
API Crude Inventories: 🔴 Massive surge of 6.1 million barrels reported – this is bearish for WTI and typically drags Brent lower in sympathy.
OPEC Supply Drop: 🔴 Production losses reached 7.5 to 7.9 million barrels per day in March due to various disruptions. This maintains an elevated price floor despite demand concerns.
US Export Records: 🟢 Total US exports hit record 12.74 million barrels per day. Global oil flows are completely rerouting as buyers adjust to new supply realities.
Brent-Dubai Spread: 🟡 Dated Brent physical barrels trading near $117 per barrel versus futures around $95. The paper market and physical reality remain significantly divorced – this is a warning sign of potential volatility.
MARKET CONSENSUS: Range-bound volatility with a developing bearish tilt. The IEA demand downgrade combined with ceasefire hopes creates downward pressure on prices. However, the Strait of Hormuz remains the ultimate wildcard. Any breakdown in talks would instantly send prices retesting $100+ territory.
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Your Radar Screen) 👀
OANDA:WTICOUSD – Correlation approximately 0.92 positive. Current pivot at $90.59. WTI typically leads Brent during directional moves. Watch for WTI breaking $90 first – this will front-run the Brent breakdown.
TVC:USOIL – Correlation approximately 0.89 positive. Support level at $91.28. The US benchmark confirms or denies global trend direction.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – Inverse correlation approximately -0.74. Resistance near 97.07. A stronger dollar equals weaker oil prices. If DXY spikes above 97.50, bearish oil momentum accelerates.
AMEX:XLE (Energy Sector ETF) – Correlation approximately 0.81 positive. Sector fund flow serves as a reliable proxy for institutional positioning. Energy stocks often sniff out reversals before futures traders.
$USD/CAD – Inverse correlation approximately -0.68. Support near 1.38. The Canadian dollar is a petro-currency – this pair tells the real story of oil flow economics.
$RBOB (Gasoline Futures) – Correlation approximately 0.78 positive. Resistance at $2.97. Gasoline crack spreads confirm or deny true end-user demand health.
💡 Correlation Playbook: If WTI breaks below $90 before Brent confirms – front-run the Brent move with reduced size. If DXY spikes above 97.50 simultaneously – bearish momentum likely accelerates. Use correlated pairs as confirmation tools, not primary entry signals.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER – The Thief's Code of Honor 🤝
Ladies and Gentlemen, Fellow Thieves of the Financial Underground –
I am NOT your financial advisor. I am not registered with any regulatory body. I am simply a chart-reading degenerate with a WiFi connection and too much screen time. The take-profit at $85 and stop-loss at $98 are MY levels based entirely on MY personal risk tolerance and account size. Your money equals your choice, your responsibility, your freedom.
Take profits when YOU feel rich. Cut losses when YOU feel pain. No one on this platform cares about your account balance more than YOU do. This idea is not a signal service – it is a blueprint drawn from one trader's analysis. Execute with your own brain fully engaged. 🧠
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose completely.
📈 REAL-TIME ECONOMIC MONITOR (What's Moving Markets NOW)
Geopolitics Front and Center: US-Iran ceasefire talks are scheduled to resume this weekend in Pakistan. The White House has expressed "cautious optimism" but multiple previous negotiation breakdowns warrant skepticism. Any positive headlines will pressure oil lower; any collapse of talks sends prices soaring.
Physical Market Reality Check: Dated Brent physical barrels continue commanding a $25-30 premium over futures contracts. This disconnect between paper markets and physical delivery signals that real-world supply tightness persists despite futures market complacency.
Demand Destruction Evidence: The International Energy Agency projects Q2 2026 demand contraction of 1.5 million barrels per day year-over-year – the largest decline since COVID lockdowns crushed consumption. High energy prices are finally killing demand at the margins.
US Supply Response Monitoring: Rig count remains stagnant at 411 active rigs versus 407 pre-war baseline. American producers are NOT rushing to drill new wells despite elevated prices. Capital discipline remains the industry mantra.
China Import Surge: March crude imports surged 27.8% year-over-year. China appears to be stockpiling aggressively ahead of potential future supply disruptions or price spikes.
💭 THIEF TRADER WISDOM – Quotes to Trade By 🎭
"The best entry is the one that makes you uncomfortable. If it feels completely safe, the move is already over and you're late to the party."
"Markets exist to transfer wealth from the impatient to the patient. Your only edge is waiting for the confirmed breakout – NOT trying to predict it beforehand."
"Stop losses aren't punishment for being wrong. They are rent paid for the privilege of staying in the game another day."
"When the herd panics at $90 and pukes positions, the calm thief quietly loads the boat in the opposite direction."
"Fundamentals tell you WHAT to trade. Technicals tell you WHEN to trade. Psychology tells you HOW MUCH to trade. Master all three disciplines or remain a tourist paying admission fees."
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. Respect the trend, but never marry a position that's actively trying to divorce your account."
🚀 FINAL WORDS – The Setup in One Sentence
Wait patiently for the $90 trapdoor to confirm with a clean close below, ride the momentum wave down to $85 where trapped traders capitulate, and NEVER marry a position that is trying to divorce your trading account. 💍❌
📲 Drop a 🛢️ emoji in comments if you're watching this level with me
🔁 Repost this idea to help fellow thieves eat this week
💬 Comment your own entry plan – let's discuss strategy below
This is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose completely. Past performance does not guarantee or predict future results.
Published on TradingView – Current Date: April 16, 2026
Brent Crude Oil / UKOIL – Energies Market Capital Flow Blueprint
BRENT Oil → Bullish Breakout | Capital Flow Confirmed🛢️ BRENT CRUDE OIL (UKOIL) - Energy Market Capital Flow Blueprint ⚡
Swing/Day Trade | Bullish Triangular Breakout Strategy
📊 ASSET OVERVIEW
Asset Ticker: BRENT CRUDE / UKOIL (ICE Futures Europe)
Current Price Zone: $64.12 USD/BBL (As of Jan 26, 2026)
Market Status: 📈 Bullish Formation Testing Resistance
Trading Type: Swing Trade / Day Trade Setup
🎯 TECHNICAL PLAN - BULLISH BREAKDOWN
Primary Bias: BULLISH CONFIRMED ✅
Setup: Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Breakout & Retest Pattern
Structure: Clean impulsive move with shallow corrective pullback
Confirmation: No structural breakdown signals observed
Timeframe: Multiple timeframes (H1, H4, D1 alignment)
💰 ENTRY STRATEGY - "THIEF LAYERING SYSTEM" 🎯
Multi-Level Limit Order Entry (Pyramid Strategy)
The "Thief Method" = Smart accumulation on dips using multiple buy limits
Primary Entry Layers (Build Position Progressively):
🔵 Layer 1: $63.50 (20% Position Size)
🔵 Layer 2: $64.00 (25% Position Size)
🔵 Layer 3: $64.50 (30% Position Size)
🔵 Layer 4: $65.00 (25% Position Size)
💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer density (add $63.75, $64.25, etc.) based on your account size & risk tolerance. This layering approach averages your entry cost and reduces emotional decisions!
Entry Confirmation:
✓ Price bounces from support zone $63.00-$63.50
✓ Volume surge on upside break
✓ TMA bullish crossover
✓ Break above triangular resistance
🎪 PROFIT TARGETS - ESCAPE WITH GAINS! 🚀
Primary Target: $67.50 USD/BBL
Logic: Simple Moving Average (SMA 200) acts as dynamic resistance + Overbought zone + Historical swing high
Risk/Reward: Typically 2.0-2.5:1 depending on entry
Secondary Targets (Pyramid Out):
📍 Target 1: $66.50 (Partial TP - 40% position)
📍 Target 2: $67.00 (Partial TP - 35% position)
📍 Target 3: $67.50 (Full TP - 25% position)
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
These are suggested levels. As traders, YOU have full autonomy on your profit targets. Take profits at your own discretion based on market conditions, risk management, and personal strategy. Never risk more than you can afford to lose! 💪
🛡️ STOP LOSS - PROTECTION FIRST!
Stop Loss Level: $63.00 USD/BBL
Placement: Positioned BELOW the key moving average support
Logic: Clean break below this level = trend invalidation
Position Risk: Typically 1-1.5% of account per trade (strict!)
⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER:
SL placement shown is a GUIDE ONLY. Your risk management is YOUR responsibility. Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, position size, and account protection strategy. Never ignore your stops! 🚨
📈 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH - CORRELATION TRADING 🔗
1️⃣ WTI CRUDE OIL / TVC:USOIL
Correlation: POSITIVE (Brent/WTI typically move together)
Current: ~$61.83/barrel
Key Level: Watch $60.00 support zone
Why Watch: WTI breaks often precede BRENT moves
Strategy Tip: Confirm BRENT signals with WTI chart alignment
2️⃣ US DOLLAR INDEX ( TVC:DXY )
Correlation: DYNAMIC (Recently shifted from inverse to positive)
Current Zone: 98.68-99.38 (Testing resistance)
Key Info: 🔄 Since 2021, rising oil prices = stronger USD (Modern relationship!)
Impact: Stronger DXY = Potential headwind for oil
Watch Level: DXY breakdown below 98.23 = Dollar weakness = Oil support
Why It Matters: Oil priced in USD - dollar strength makes oil more expensive globally
3️⃣ FX:EURUSD 💶
Correlation: INVERSE to Oil (Weaker euro = Oil strength)
Current: Monitor ECB policy signals
Trade Hint: EUR/USD breakdown often coincides with oil strength
Key Level: 1.0700 zone critical
4️⃣ FX:GBPUSD
Correlation: INVERSE (Weaker pound = Oil bullish)
Why: UK oil exports increase when GBP softens
Watch: Bank of England rate decisions
Sweet Spot: GBP/USD dips = BRENT strength likely
5️⃣ COPPER / METALS
Correlation: POSITIVE (Economic growth proxy)
Logic: Rising copper = Industrial demand = Oil demand up
Watch: Copper above $4.00 = Oil tailwind; Below = Headwind
Macro Signal: Copper strength validates risk-on environment
6️⃣ GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) 🏆
Correlation: MIXED (Risk sentiment dependent)
Inverse Risk Indicator: Gold spike = Flight to safety = Oil weakness
Current: Monitor inflation expectations
Edge: Gold spike above $2,100 = Caution for oil shorts
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS - WHAT'S MOVING THE MARKET 🌍
🔴 BEARISH PRESSURES (Short-term headwinds)
1. Global Oil Oversupply⚖️
IEA Projection: 3.8 million bpd surplus forecast for 2026
EIA Outlook: Brent average declining to $56/barrel in 2026 (vs $66+ current)
Driver: OPEC+ restraint + US production records + Guyana scaling + Canadian output
Impact: ⬇️ Price ceiling pressure - Don't expect explosive rallies
2. Abundant Global Inventories 📦
Status: Chinese onshore inventories at RECORD HIGHS
US Data: Crude oil storage volumes climbing above recent lows
Signal: Market well-supplied = Limited upside surprise
3. OPEC+ Production Pause ⏸️
Decision: 8 OPEC+ members pausing output increases Jan-Mar 2026 (Seasonality reasons)
Members: Saudi Arabia, Russia, UAE, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Oman
Next Review: February 1, 2026 - KEY DATE TO WATCH
Context: 1.65 million bpd voluntary cuts could be restored gradually
Implication: No fresh production cuts coming - Supply likely to grow
4. Weak Demand Growth 📉
Global Demand Growth: ~1.2% annually (MODEST)
Context: Not enough to absorb supply growth
Risk: Structural oversupply becomes normalized
🟢 BULLISH CATALYSTS (Support factors)
1. Geopolitical Risk Premium ⚠️
Status: ACTIVE - Iran tensions elevated
Trump Position: Armada deployed toward Iran region
Risk Event: Potential military escalation = Supply disruption fear
Oil Response: Every Iran threat = $0.50-$2.00 premium added
Probability: Remains tail-risk but keeps bids elevated
2. Middle East Supply Disruptions 🔥
Kazakhstan Issue: Tengiz oilfield production still hasn't fully resumed
Impact: Estimated production shortfall present
Status: Repairs ongoing - Completion timeline critical
3. Softer US Dollar Support 💵
Current DXY: Trending down from recent highs (Positive for oil)
US-Europe Tensions: Strains weighing on dollar
Ukraine Uncertainty: Unresolved peace talks = Safe-haven weakness
Implication: Weak dollar = Oil cheaper for foreign buyers = Demand lift
4. China Strategic Reserves Demand 🇨🇳
Estimated Rate: Nearly 1.0 million bpd being added to strategic stockpiles
Duration: Continuing through 2026 (potential support)
Impact: Artificial demand creation = Price floor supporter
Note: Rate decreases ~33% in 2027 - Watch this transition
5. Strong Global Oil Demand Momentum 📊
2025 Achievement: Record oil consumption globally
2026 Projection: OPEC expects +1.4 million bpd growth
OPEC Confidence: Cartel maintaining bullish demand outlook despite IEA skepticism
Key Driver: AI infrastructure energy needs, aviation recovery, industrial activity
📅 CRITICAL DATES & ECONOMIC CALENDAR - WHAT TO MONITOR 🗓️
IMMEDIATE (Next 2 Weeks)
Jan 28-29: US CPI Release - MAJOR (Impacts Fed expectations & dollar)
If hot: USD strength = Oil headwind
If cool: USD weakness = Oil support
Feb 1, 2026: OPEC+ Monthly Meeting - WATCH CLOSELY
Production decision review
Any hints at Q2/Q3 production changes?
Cartel messaging critical
February 2026
Feb 7: US Jobs Report (NFP)
Economic health indicator - impacts oil demand expectations
Feb 14: OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report Release
Updated 2026 demand/supply forecasts
Sentiment gauge
Q1 2026 Focus
ECB Policy: European Central Bank meetings - EUR weakness = Oil strength
Fed Stance: Rate hold expectations - Dollar direction crucial
China Data: Manufacturing PMI, economic activity signals
⚡ TRADE EXECUTION CHECKLIST
BEFORE ENTRY ✅
Confirm TMA breakout on H4/D1 chart
Check volume surge on breakout candle
Verify no negative divergences on MACD
Monitor DXY position (avoid entry if DXY spiking higher)
Check geopolitical news - Any Iran/Middle East developments?
Confirm all 4 layers placed at limits
POSITION MANAGEMENT 🎯
Set 50% TP at $67.00 (secure profits early!)
Move SL to breakeven after 1.5R profit
Pyramid out of position gradually
Trail stops on partial profits
NO holding through FOMC/OPEC meetings without hedges
EXIT SIGNALS 🚨
❌ Break below $63.00 = Stop loss hit (exit 100%)
❌ Close below 200-SMA = Trend invalidation
❌ Major DXY rally begins = Risk/reward deteriorates
❌ Negative gap opens (overnight) = Reassess position
🎓 STRATEGY SUMMARY
Best Case Scenario:
Break above $65.50 → Run to $67.50 TP = 2.5:1 Risk/Reward ✅
Worst Case Scenario:
Rejection at $65.00 → Fall to SL $63.00 = 1:1.5 Risk Loss ✅ (Managed)
Breakeven Trade:
Bounce to $64.50 then reversal = Tighten SL, exit flat
⚠️ FINAL RISK DISCLAIMER
Oil trading involves substantial risk:
Volatility: Brent can swing $1-3/barrel intraday on news
Geopolitical Risk: Unexpected escalations can gap prices overnight
Liquidity Events: Thin volume periods can cause slippage
Leverage Risk: If using leverage, losses amplify quickly
Margin Calls: Futures trading can wipe accounts quickly
YOU are responsible for:
✓ Your position sizing (risk max 1-2% per trade)
✓ Your stops (ALWAYS set them)
✓ Your profits targets (take them!)
✓ Your research (verify all signals yourself)
✓ Your broker selection (regulated, reputable)
Trade with discipline. Trade with a plan. Trade what you can afford to lose. 💪
🚀 ENGAGEMENT BOOST TIPS FOR TRADERS
Share this idea if:
✅ You believe in the bullish breakout thesis
✅ You're tracking geopolitical oil risks
✅ You're using this for swing trade confirmation
✅ You found the layering strategy useful
✅ You're monitoring OPEC+ next move (Feb 1)
Questions? Comments? Drop them below - Let's discuss the setup! 💬
Good luck, fellow traders! May your entries be timely and your stops be tight! 🎯
Should oil continue to be bought long?Regarding oil, another bombshell news broke. The deployment of torpedoes in the Strait of Hormuz, restricting cruise ship access, caused oil prices to rebound, rising from a high of $76 to $89, a gain of $13. Currently, it's trading at $86. The API data also contributed significantly, showing a substantial decrease in the reported value. However, the energy crisis won't last long. The oil premium will eventually be offset by war. Therefore, I believe short-term oil trading should focus on shorting. $86-$88 is a good selling price, with a target of $80-$78.
NYMEX:MCL1! NYMEX:CL1! CFI:WTI PYTH:USOILSPOT
Is Brent Crude Setting Up for a Deeper Pullback?🔥 BRUTAL BRENT (UKOIL) SELL BLUEPRINT — Day & Swing Trade Guide! 🔥
Asset: BRENT “UKOIL” — Energies Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Day / Swing Trade)
Bias: Bearish Plan 📉
📍 Trade Setup Overview
The market is showing a clear downside narrative as liquidity continues shifting away from buyer strength. Volatility pockets + premium zones are forming the ideal backdrop for a controlled bearish play.
🎯 Entry
ANY PRICE LEVEL ENTRY
This setup focuses on structure, not perfection. Price exploration zones offer multiple opportunities to position short as long as the bearish narrative remains intact.
🛡️ Stop Loss
This is the Thief SL @ 62.500
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), adjust your SL based on your own system, risk comfort, and volatility tolerance.
Note: I am not recommending that you set only my SL — your capital, your control, your rules. Manage risk like a professional.
💰 Target
We have strong support, oversold confluence, and visible trap behaviour forming below, so the smart exit is clean and disciplined.
Target @ 59.500
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending that you use only my TP. Make money, take money — at your own execution style & risk preference.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Guide)
1️⃣ WTI Crude Oil — USOIL / CL
Moves closely with Brent (UKOIL).
If WTI weakens, Brent often mirrors the same bearish energy.
Watch for supply-zone rejections & macro oil inventory pressure.
2️⃣ Natural Gas — NGAS / XNGUSD
Energy sector sentiment often overlaps.
When overall energy demand weakens, oil tends to follow with downside momentum.
Good for gauging sentiment shifts.
3️⃣ CAD Pairs — USDCAD, CADJPY
Canada is an oil-exporting economy.
If oil falls, CAD weakens, making USDCAD push upward.
A great indirect correlation filter for confidence.
4️⃣ DXY — US Dollar Index TVC:DXY
A rising dollar = pressure on commodities.
Strong USD typically accelerates bearish moves on Brent.
5️⃣ S&P500 Energy Sector — AMEX:XLE
If energy equities sell off, it often preludes oil weakness.
Good higher-timeframe sentiment indicator.
🧩 Why These Correlations Matter
They help filter noise and add multi-asset confirmation.
When multiple correlated markets align, your trade idea gains more precision, timing, and conviction.
Smart traders don’t look at a single chart — they watch the entire ecosystem.
UKOIL H1 | Potential bearish reversalBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off our sell entry level at 70.87, which is a swing high resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 70.87, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 68.71, an overlap support slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
UKOIL H1 | Bullish Momentum BuildingBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to our buy entry level at 68.29, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 67.28, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 69.90, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
This oil does not show a good outlook...This oil does not show a good outlook???
It may be due to the policies of seizure (you read theft) of oil wells, and after the seizure of oil, we had up to 3 times the price in history, which has become expensive to cover the costs of shameless war by killing children and men and of course women in certain parts of the world.
In the meantime: a number of countries played the role of executioners (they are still killing)
A number of countries played the role of supplying goods for the world after high oil prices (China)
And a number of countries played the role of sellers of expensive oil and small amounts of goods supplied with expensive oil to some people! (Oil well owners)
With the great theft of Venezuelan oil, this behavior will probably be repeated again!
We will have to spend a lot of time on the road to realize this scenario again
We hope for God's justice to eliminate the corrupt and those who participate in corruption, whether on earth or activists and participants in Ep/stein's personal island
Introduce me to your friends so we can build a bigger community together.
UKOIL H4 | Potential Bullish RiseMomentum: Bullish
The price has bounced off the buy entry, which has been identified as a pullback support.
Buy entry: 61.75
Pullback support
Stop loss: 60.59
Pullback support
Take profit: 63.86
Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
ULong
Brent Oil Under Pressure – Key Resistance Zone Holding Strong!🔥 UKOIL / BRENT Energies Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day & Swing Plan) ⚡️
📉 Plan Overview:
Thief is spotting a Bearish Blueprint on UKOIL / Brent — price confirming rejection around the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) zone 📊. A clean pullback and retest structure are forming — time for a layered sell approach to capitalize on energy market volatility ⚙️
🎯 Entry Idea:
Thief enters with multiple limit layers (Layering Strategy) — scaling in smartly with precision entries:
🔹 Sell Limits @ 64.500 / 64.000 / 63.500
(You can increase or adjust the layers based on your own conviction & market timing 🕰️)
🛑 Stop-Loss Guidance:
This is Thief’s SL @ 65.000 💣
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust your stop loss based on your risk appetite and confirmation setups. Risk management is the crown 👑 of consistency.
💰 Target Zone:
Watch out for the Police Barricade Zone @ 60.500 — this level aligns with strong support, potential oversold condition, and a trap + correction scenario 🔦
Escape with profits before liquidity hunts you — take money when you see money 💵
📘 Note to Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending my SL or TP as mandatory levels — it’s your chart, your strategy, your risk, your reward. Trade smart, not emotional 🧠
🧩 Related Market Pairs to Watch:
🔸 WTI Crude (USOIL/USD) – Highly correlated with UKOIL. A bearish structure here often confirms momentum for Brent.
🔸 USD/CAD 💵 – Inverse correlation! A rising USD/CAD often strengthens the bearish sentiment in crude markets.
🔸 XLE (Energy ETF) – Keeps track of energy sector performance; confirmation of trend strength adds confluence to your trade.
📊 Key Market Correlations:
Oil reacts strongly to USD strength, global demand outlook, and OPEC sentiment. Keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) — stronger dollar usually pressures Brent prices lower 💹
🚀 Thief Quote of the Day:
"Patience pays more than panic — layer in silence, exit in profit." 🕶️
#UKOIL #Brent #EnergyMarket #ThiefTrader #BearishSetup #LayeringStrategy #SwingTrade #OilMarket #WTI #USD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis
UKOIL H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 63.40, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 62.64, which is a pullback support that aligns witht he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 66.51, which is a multi swing high resitance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
ULong
UKOIL H1 Bearish Reversal Forming at Key ResistanceUKOIL is rising towards the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 65.05, whic is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 65.77, whic his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 53.84, whic is an overlap support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
UShort
UKOIL H1 | Bearish Momentum BuildingBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level.
Sell entry is at 64.43, whichis a pullback resitance.
Stop loss is at 65.10, whichis an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 62.99, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and serves as a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
UShort
UKOILSPOT H4 | Falling Towards 50% Fibonacci SupportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 63.02, whichis a pullback support that lines up witht the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 61.88, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 65.61, whichis an overlap resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
ULong
UKOIL M30 | Potential Bullish riseUKOIL has bounced off the buy entry aat 60.69, whichis a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 59.83, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 62.94, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ULong
UKOIL H4 | Falling Towards Fibonacci Confluence LevelUKOIL is falling towards the buy entry at 62.35, which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 61.32, which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 64.20, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ULong
UKOIL H1 | Bullish Momentum BuildingBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price reacting off the buy entry, which is a pullback support, and a bounce from this level could lead the price to rise to the upside.
Buy entry is at 65.77, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 64.97, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 67.13, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ULong
UKOIL H1 | Potential Bearish Drop AheadBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from his levle to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 65.70, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 66.69, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 64.03, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
UShort
UKOIL H4 | Bullish Reversal in PlayBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the entry, which is a pullback support that could potentially rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 65.58, which his a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 64.54, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 68.44, which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ULong
UKOIL H4 | Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the upside.
Buy entry is at 68.47, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 67.17, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 70.53, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ULong






















