6M #Yield has been struggling lately 1Yr was weak but it's retracing some of those losses 2Yr has been the strongest of the four lately 10Yr Has been stagnant as of late Seeing the 2Yr pump is concerning....... #bonds #stocks #gold #silver
We post a lot of ANALYSIS with ideas & what we're seeing BUT Keep an eye out for the ACTUAL CALLS We called rally in TVC:DXY & #yields, we got that over last month + Recently we stated that #bonds likely found a bottom = yields topping & Stated that TVC:DXY was looking weaker #Dollar cratering & Yields falling This COULD save, at least for now, another wave...
TVC:RUT broke resistance & is trading back under again The only consistent up mover is the NASDAQ:NDX 6Month is at its HIGHEST levels this year 1Yr Struggling here but hit highs 2 & 10Yr nowhere near highs TVC:TNX All #yields look as if they're going to roll over soon Historically, #stocks follow this downside on yields Is this time different?
🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 6 Month #yield is NOW HIGHER than when #silvergate #bank collapsed! #interestrates can stay above 5% for extended periods of time, see charts, BUT the end result has NEVER been good for #stocks 1Yr struggles @ 5% but has been higher than 6% HOWEVER 10Yr TVC:TNX is DIFFERENT! This has been on a long downtrend until 2022! #bonds
Looking @ a few different #yields (Not shown)Weekly 6month and 1Yr easier to notice BEAR FLAG & the pattern is close to being annulled. Daily 2Yr looking good, breaking out of channel. Hard to short dull market but seeing #bond yields climbing is worrisome for short term. TVC:TNX 10Yr looks like 2Yr.
Negative rates are finally here for the US with the 6mo t-bill ticking below -2bps (feed is slightly delayed here). Simply meaning that you will now need to pay the US government for 6mo cash deposits. This is the only way they can continue in the "end game" strategy. It is a well known phenomenon that the US 2's 5's was ringing alarm bells last year , those...