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KHC ketchup 1H Swing Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + above exhaustion volume + long impulse + expanding T2 + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume 2Sp- - strong test + first bullish bar close level entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + support level - unvolumed T1 level + below 1/2 correction?! + historical volume zone + biggest volume 2Sp- + test - price corrected to 1/2 on 1D CT" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + broken SOS + exhaustion volume + initiative take over" Yearly no context
NASDAQ:KHCLong
by MishaSuvorov
MOEX 5M DayTrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1? + support level + weak approach? + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + below first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to 1H 1 to 2 after test on 1H 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + bar closed above 1D support level + volumed manipulation bar closed above T1" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + SOS level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed interaction bar" 1M Trend "+ long impulse - expanding T2 + support level + volumed 2Sp- + 1/2 correction" 1Y Trend "+ long impulse - weak break + neutral zone"
RUS:MOEXLong
by MishaSuvorov
GBP/USD – VSA Signals Supply Emerging at 4H Resistance💡 Idea: GBP/USD recently tested the 1.37–1.3750 resistance zone and showed clear supply signals in VSA terms. The price is rolling over with wide down-bars on increasing volume, confirming professional selling pressure. The pair is likely entering a markdown phase toward deeper 4H support levels. 📍 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3470–1.3500 (pullback into broken support / minor supply test) Stop Loss: 1.3575 (above last supply zone) Target 1: 1.3340 (next 4H support) Target 2: 1.3180 (major 4H support base) R:R Ratio: ~1:3 📊 VSA & Technical Reasoning Supply Bar at Resistance At 1.37+, wide spread down-bars closed near the lows on ultra-high volume → classical VSA supply bar, confirming professional selling. Upthrust / Trap Move The wick above resistance acted as an Upthrust, luring breakout buyers before reversing sharply — a typical Wyckoff distribution signature. No Demand Rally Recent small up-bars into resistance came with narrow spread + low volume, showing lack of demand and confirming sellers are in control. Lower Highs + Breakdown Market structure has shifted into a downtrend sequence (lower highs & lower lows) aligning with VSA weakness. Volume Confirmation Volume on down-bars remains elevated vs. up-bars, validating that supply > demand. This suggests further downside continuation. 📌 Trading Plan Look to short retracements into 1.3470–1.3500. Expect price to break 1.34 support on increased supply. Trail stop aggressively once 1.3340 is tested, targeting 1.3180 as the larger markdown objective.
Short
by coolbouy
1
MINIMA - Technical Analysis. Are we entering a bull market?MINIMA - Technical Analysis. Are we entering a bull market? Hello! I am returning to an analysis of MINIMA. This market is remarkably interesting in both its structure and behavior. Today, I will review the latest structure and place it in the broader context, including the history observed on the Wrapped version. Unfortunately, TradingView does not allow overlaying two charts outside their native ranges, so I will refer to data from both Wrapped and MINIMA. Let’s begin. I do not have formal education in this field. I am self-taught and place strong emphasis on Technical Analysis as the core of my decision-making process. While charts are difficult to read, I think they allow one to infer, to a meaningful extent, the hidden intentions of so-called “Smart Money.” The views below are strictly my own and may be incorrect. This publication does not constitute investment or educational advice as defined by any applicable regulations. I will rely solely on Technical Analysis based on the Wyckoff methodology, VSA, and footprint analysis. Background As background, I use the WMINIMA chart supplemented by current MINIMA quotations. WMINIMA data show periods of distribution and accumulation on the higher timeframe. A key observation for me is the strong breakout around March 2024: price surged sharply and then printed a new, deeper low. The downtrend subsequently stalled at a higher low and transitioned into a range. On the charts, I mark accumulation/distribution structures relevant to the analysis. Technical analysis and interpretation For this study I created a composite view to capture the full history. The composite lacks full volume because WMINIMA does not provide it. For context, one of my archived screenshots shows the last visible candle at roughly 1.4 million in volume; based on bar height I estimate the highest volumes to be around 6 million. pbs.twimg.com I annotate events in line with Wyckoff. In Phase A of accumulation, I label the Selling Climax as “Seller’s Exhaustion,” as in my view the bar structure does not fully match a classic Climax Bar known from VSA; however, the message is the same - significant accumulation. I first consider the highest-order, global structure marked in red. I observe rising volume on the advance that builds what I mark as an Upthrust. The next area of elevated volume begins around July 2024 - a demand response to declining price within the price zone that preceded the breakout. Both high-activity zones are in comparable price areas. I then move to the current MINIMA chart. On MINIMA, I see a local volume spike during the formation of the ATL (all-time low). I also note declining volume on the drop from a local top I labeled an Upthrust - this is a lower-order structure than the red one; I mark it in orange. Following this path leads to the area with the highest volume, which I interpret as Phase C of the orange structure. It is characterized by very high volumes(1W ~50kk to 6kk volume from 1W WMINIMA) and minimal spread. In my view, this indicates strong absorption by smart money - behavior consistent with “Bag Holding” in the Williams/VSA framework - similar to the candle that halted the decline at the ATL. To validate this, I zoom in with a 1-month footprint. The 1-month view shows the last two candles with very large volumes. The three most recent candles all have negative delta, and delta represents a significant share of total volume. The buy/sell relation suggests aggressive, dominant selling. However, price does not fall despite repeated attempts to push it lower. I analyze where volume clusters within one standard deviation. The candles have lower wicks- particularly in June - suggesting a Shakeout. Given the negative delta and the price response, I conclude there is a lack of result relative to the effort: aggressive supply has been absorbed, with the largest market orders printing within a narrow price band. In my interpretation, the orange structure is a lower-tier structure functioning as Phase C of the red, global accumulation. Considering the above, I judge it highly probable that these observations confirm ongoing accumulation. I place particular weight on the footprint: the activity occurred at the right place and time. The asset recorded the highest volumes in its history at what I think is Phase C of the global accumulation. Moreover, the market’s failure to decline under heavy selling reinforces this view. At this stage, I consider the possibility of an accumulation spring that could push price once more lower - potentially below the ATL - taking out the structure; I justify this by the still elevated volumes. I also note prior resistance and consider that a potential shakeout low could terminate around 0.0138 USD. All in all, I think this market is worth monitoring. Confirmation of my thesis would be successful supply tests resolved in favor of the bulls, followed by development consistent with Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS) leading to a Sign of Strength (SOS) and a Jump Across the Creek (JAC). Thank you for reading. I wish you good health, effective analyses, and successful trades. CatTheTrader
Long
by CatTheTrader
1
ETH/USDT – Bullish Reversal Potential from Fibonacci Confluence 💡 Idea: Ethereum is showing signs of demand absorption at a critical Fibonacci support cluster (0.5 – 0.618 retracement). VSA patterns confirm that selling pressure is being absorbed, hinting at a possible markup toward previous swing highs. 📍 Trade Setup: Entry: Current levels near 3,551 Target: 3,937 (+10.82%) Stop Loss: 3,338 (below last absorption zone) R:R Ratio: ~1.79:1 📊 Technical Reasoning (VSA) 1. Stopping Volume at Fibonacci Support ETH tested the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone from its prior bullish impulse. Wide spread down-bars on high volume failed to produce significant downside progress, signaling professional buying. 2. No Supply Confirmation Following the stopping volume, the market printed narrow range candles on decreasing volume, indicating supply exhaustion. 3. Demand Emergence The recent push above short-term resistance came with increasing volume and wider up-bar spreads, suggesting the start of an accumulation-to-markup transition. 4. Structure & Fibonacci Confluence Current rally aligns with the Fibonacci golden zone and past structural support. 📌 Trading Plan: Enter on confirmed breakout above minor resistance with volume expansion. Scale out partial profits near 3,800 and let remainder ride toward 3,937. Keep stop below 3,338 to avoid being shaken out by false breakouts.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by coolbouy
3
Gold (XAU/USD): A Classic VSA Short Setup in PlayHey Traders, Following up on the general weakness we discussed in Gold, here's a closer look at a specific trade setup that's unfolding right now. This is a textbook example of a high-probability short setup according to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA). Let's break down the story the volume is telling us. 1. The Breakdown: Sellers Show Their Hand First, look at how the price broke down hard through that support level (the grey box). Notice the volume on that sharp drop? It was high. This is our clue that sellers are strong and in control. They had enough power to smash right through a level that was previously holding the price up. 2. The Retest: Buyers Don't Show Up Now, the price is creeping back up to that same exact level. But here's the most important clue: look at the volume on this rally. It's much lower than the volume on the breakdown. This is what VSA calls a "No Demand" rally. It’s like the market is trying to push a car uphill without any gas. It tells us that strong buyers (the "smart money") have no interest in buying at these prices. 3. The Setup: Selling into Weakness This combination creates a classic short setup: Logic: We are looking to sell at a level where old support has flipped into new resistance. Confirmation: The low volume on the retest confirms the rally is weak and likely to fail. How to Potentially Trade It The grey box represents a high-probability entry zone. To time an entry, you could watch for a clear rejection signal right inside this zone. For example: A "rejection candle" (like a pin bar) that pushes into the zone but gets slammed back down. An up-bar with a tiny body and very low volume, showing buyers are completely exhausted. Seeing one of these signs would be the final confirmation that sellers are about to take back control. Conclusion: This is a powerful setup because all the pieces line up: the background is weak, sellers have shown their strength, and buyers are now showing no interest at a key resistance level. Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis using VSA and is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk. Good luck, traders!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by bluewolf_trades
F 5M Long Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar below close entry Calculated affordable stop market T2 5M take profit 1H CounterTrend "- long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance level" 1D CounterTrend "- long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance level" 1M CounterTrend "+ short impulse - exhaustion volume + T2 level + resistance level - unvolumed interaction bar - reaction bar looks to close bullish in 6 days" 1Y CounterTrend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + 1/2 correction + weak test"
NYSE:FShort
by MishaSuvorov
F Investment 1D Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + long impulse - before 1/2 correction + expanding T2 + support level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T2 - resistance level + unvolumed interaction bar" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + 1/2 correction + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
PLUG 1H Long Swing Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + 1/2 correction + volume zone - strong approach + ICE level + support level + volumed Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily Trend "- short impulse + volumed TE / T1 level + support level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + support level + T2 level + biggest volume reaction bar = below 1/2 correction" Yearly CounterTrend - short impulse Will add more after successful test on 1H and / or after test completes on 1D.
NASDAQ:PLUGLong
by MishaSuvorov
OGKB 5M Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 yearly level take profit at 0.459 1H Counter Trend "- short impulse + biggest volume TE / T1 level + support level + volumed 2Sp-" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + JOC level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed manipulation" 1M Trend "+ long impulse (in 1d 4h) + neutral zone" 1Y CounterTrend """- short impulse + 2Sp- + perforated support level"""
RUS:OGKBLong
by MishaSuvorov