VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022
Currently the volatility for this week is around 12.11% , up from expected 8.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 10th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 9.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL :...
VVIX/VIX, 1DAY: The VVIX / VIX aka "The Vol of Vol", is essentially the historical volatility of the VIX , in relation to its own recent history as represented by the VVIX and over the current volatility of options on the SPX as measured by the VIX. It is a way of measuring current volatility against a second order measure of volatility gauging the "rate of...
📍 The theme we have set ourselves here for an expansion in Vol into next week, would usually provide enough material for an entire website, but lack of space compels me to moderate this into a short and snappy post.
I shall only point out the most important notions and events from 2019 and save a deeper examination for later.
The most...
📌 Vix - Volatility
An expansion of volatility is coming; the attempt to step against the flow of Covid chapter II is reckless to say the least. According to my models, we have unfinished business to be done at 85 once more. I will continue to hold longs and look to add on dips for example towards 25, or enjoy a momentum gambit when we see the breakup.
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📍 The main function of the VIX appears to be miles ahead of the relevant flows. In this sense, it itself tends to be mobile. And yet (for it has great vitality!) it is not rare to witness it display considerable activity. Namely:
1️⃣ From the initial ' Swing the Vix into Fed and Q close ' the Vix was prepared .
2️⃣ A certain elasticity, which shows itself in...
A quick update to the Vix chart as we enter into the final important NY session of the year with quadruple witching. For those tracking the previous flows we remain in the same levels with the same targets and the same flows to track:
After we cleared TP1 we ran out of steam and decided to trade the retrace back towards Capitulation territory. This was enough...
Vol completed the grind towards the "Capitulation Waters" as widely anticipated:
We are now tracking the response as cascading takes place. Escalation in range breakouts look likely, I think from here Vix losses are to be limited as market focus shifts back to risk events such as Brexit.I favour tactical long Vol as investors are likely to starting hedging to...
A timely update to the previous Vix chart after clearing single targets:
Upon review a nice sweep of the lows is once again in play via Fed for Q419, a 25bps cut will be enough to bring the Vix back under the infamous 15 again...meaning a healthy sweep of stops at 12 is in play and would trigger a cascade of orders, the perfect environment if you want to...
