Wave Analysis
EURAUD – Bias Is Bullish, Participation Is NotThis chart is a good example of why direction alone is not enough .
What happened first
Price completed a clear bearish campaign , delivering its ABC sequence fully into C.
That move wasn’t just a pullback — it was a finished leg. Once C was delivered, the bearish narrative was complete.
What changed
After C, price shifted behavior:
Sell-side was absorbed
A strong bullish displacement followed
Structure flipped with intent, not overlap
That transition formed a bullish breaker block — the first sign that control had changed.
Where the market is now
Inside that breaker sits a 30-minute Fair Value Gap , aligned with the WCL of the new bullish sequence.
That zone represents unfinished business , not an automatic entry.
Price expanded aggressively away from it, which confirms bullish bias , but expansion alone does not grant participation.
Why there is still no trade
The PD array inside the breaker remains unrebalanced .
Until price returns to that zone and shows how delivery resumes, there is no reason to act.
This is the phase where most traders chase continuation.
I don’t.
What I’m waiting for
If price comes back into the breaker and re-engages the PD array, I’ll drop to lower timeframes to assess how price behaves there.
If it doesn’t, there is simply no trade.
This chart is about sequence completion, control shift, and unfinished delivery — not prediction, not signals.
Patience is part of the strategy.
Not financial advice. Educational purposes only.
Inverse Cocoa?Keeping a close eye on this one. Whilst everyone tries to catch the bottom on an ever falling Nasdaq and tech stocks, the market has had far better trades to offer. I traded JDEP as my inverse Coffee play, now I bring to your attention one of the world's leading confectionery companies being affected by cocoa prices. This name is beared the brunt of a cocoa bull run, but as supply and demand equilibrium is at a better balance, this stock could outperform to the upside.
Keep an eye on cocoa, if price plummets I expect Barry Callebaut to outperform. There's no rush to buy this, we are sitting at historic level of support. I'd like to see some consolidation here before jumping into a trade.
Not financial advice.
XAUUSD | 4H | Market Structure & SMC AnalysisThe overall market structure on the 4-hour timeframe remains bullish.
Following a clear bullish BOS, price reacted strongly from a key demand zone, confirming buyers’ presence in this area.
As long as price continues to hold above this demand zone, the primary expectation is a continuation toward the higher-timeframe supply zone marked on the chart.
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Bullish Scenario
Demand zone remains valid
Price maintains higher highs and higher lows
Potential continuation toward the highlighted supply area
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Alternative Scenario
A 4H candle close below the demand zone would indicate a CHoCH
This would weaken the bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move toward 4062
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Conclusion
This is a structure-based market analysis, not a trading signal.
Execution, risk management, and position timing should be aligned with each trader’s own strategy.
EURUSD Price Action Entry | Failure Setup After NewsI did an analysis on the EURUSD expectation just before the news. We saw the noise as expected, now we have been presented with a cleaner price action which presented us with a failure entry.
Failure Setup Criteria:
Break of the Previous High (LPH)
Lack of Follow-Through after the break
Bearish close below a Momentum Low (ML) bar
✅ Short trade triggered
This type of price action failure trade offers high-probability entries for traders who have the patience and discipline to wait for confirmation rather than chasing impulsive moves.
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Latest Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy
I. Core Summary
Market Nature: Rally followed by a pullback, with high-level consolidation. Short-term is caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, requiring focus on key resistance and support levels.
Core Logic: A combination of cooling safe-haven demand (fundamental) and technical resistance (Shooting Star pattern, strong resistance zone) is pressuring the gold price, though the medium-term uptrend has not clearly reversed.
Key Levels:
Bull-Bear Pivot: $4335
Upper Resistance: 4330-4340 → 4350 → 4380
Lower Support: 4285 → 4270-4250
II. Fundamental Analysis: Safe-Haven Demand Cools, Focus on Data
Primary Driver: The main reason for gold's rally and subsequent pullback is signs of easing geopolitical tensions (important US-Ukraine talks), leading to a rapid cooling of market safe-haven demand.
Potential Impact: Market focus has shifted to key US employment data this week. The data performance will directly influence market expectations regarding the Fed's future interest rate cut path, thereby determining the US dollar's direction and providing the next directional cue for gold prices.
III. Technical Analysis: Resistance at Highs, Consolidation Phase
Daily Chart - Bearish Signal:
Formation of a Shooting Star candlestick with an extremely long upper shadow, indicating strong selling pressure near the $4350 level, where the bullish advance was halted. This serves as a warning signal for a potential short-term reversal.
4-Hour Chart - Bull-Bear Deadlock:
Although the price holds above the EMA50 moving average, the weak rebound following a large bearish candle shows insufficient bullish momentum.
The $4335-$4345 zone has formed a clear resistance band. Multiple failed attempts to break above confirm significant selling pressure in this area.
The short-term trend favors a corrective consolidation to absorb recent volatility and accumulate new momentum.
IV. Comprehensive Trading Strategy
Core Approach: Use the $4335 bull-bear pivot as a boundary for range trading (buy low, sell high), with breakout follow-through strategies.
Range Trading Strategy (Applicable below $4335):
Sell on Rallies: If the price rallies to the $4330-$4340 resistance zone and shows signs of rejection, consider light short positions. Set stop-loss above $4345. Targets: $4290-$4285, extending to $4270-$4250.
Buy on Dips: If the price first retraces to the $4280-$4290 support zone and shows signs of stabilization, consider light long positions. Set stop-loss below $4270. Target: $4320-$4330.
Breakout Follow-Through Strategy:
Bullish Breakout: If the price strongly breaks and holds above $4335, the short-term correction may be over. Consider following with long positions. Targets: $4345, $4350. A sustained break above $4350 opens the medium-term target towards the previous high near $4380.
Bearish Breakdown: If the price decisively breaks below the key $4280 support, a short-term top pattern may form. Consider following with short positions. Target: $4250-$4270 zone.
V. Risk Warning
Always set reasonable stop-losses, manage position size, and guard against sharp volatility from unexpected news.
This strategy is based on current market information. Conditions change rapidly; please adjust flexibly according to real-time price action.
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Gold Trading Strategy - December 16:
Market Trend Overview
Intraday Performance: Gold declined as anticipated during the U.S. trading session, with a sell signal triggered around 4340.
Core Observation: On the 4-hour chart, prices faced resistance around 4350, retraced slightly after testing the previous pressure zone, and are currently consolidating in a high-range correction pattern.
Short-term Focus: The 4260 support zone has become a key area to monitor.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
4-Hour Chart:
Prices retreated after encountering resistance in the 4350 zone.
The overall trend remains in a high-range consolidation and correction phase.
Technical patterns indicate a temporary slowdown in bullish momentum.
1-Hour Chart:
Prices broke below the short-term narrow consolidation range.
Candlesticks remain under pressure from short-term moving averages, showing a weaker bias.
There is potential for further downside movement in the short term.
Key Price Zones
Upper Resistance: 4350–4360 (core pressure area)
Lower Support:
First Support: 4280–4290
Key Support: 4260–4280 (determines short-term direction)
Core Defense: 4260 (pivot point between bullish and bearish sentiment)
Trading Strategy Plan
Core Approach: Prioritize selling on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary strategy.
Short Position Strategy (Strategy 1):
Entry Zone: 4320–4330 (build positions in batches)
Stop Loss: Above 4335–4340 (or a fixed 8–10 USD stop loss)
Target Zones: First target 4300, second target 4280, with a break below extending to 4260.
Strategy Logic: Utilize technical rebound opportunities to enter short positions near key resistance areas.
Long Position Strategy (Strategy 2):
Entry Zone: 4260–4270 (build positions in batches)
Stop Loss: Below 4260 (or a fixed 8–10 USD stop loss)
Target Zones: First target 4290, second target 4300, with a break above extending to 4310.
Strategy Logic: Enter long positions near key support levels, anticipating a technical rebound.
Risk Control Points
Key Support Test: The strength of the 4260 support zone will determine short-term direction. A break below may open further downside.
Continued Consolidation: Monitor the price action within the 4260–4350 range for signs of sustained correction.
Position Management: Strictly control position sizing, with single trades recommended not to exceed 5% of total capital.
Strict Stop Losses: All trades must include predefined stop losses to avoid emotional trading and holding losing positions.
Special Reminders
The market remains in a high-range consolidation phase. Consider employing a phased entry strategy.
Stay alert to U.S. trading session data releases and shifts in market sentiment.
If prices break above 4360 resistance or below 4260 support, adjust trading strategies promptly.
SPX500 RaceSupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declines hortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
NAS100 ChoppySupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declines hortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal From Demand Zone (30M)Gold is showing signs of bullish continuation after a corrective move into a strong demand zone. Price previously respected this area and is now attempting to push higher, suggesting buyers are stepping back in.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around 4300.70
Stop Loss: Below 4273.20 (below demand structure)
Target: 4426.60 (prior supply / resistance zone)
Rationale:
Price reacting from a well-defined demand zone
Higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact
Previous resistance zones above act as logical profit targets
Favorable risk-to-reward setup
Invalidation:
A strong close below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Always manage risk properly. This is not financial advice.
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#WLD/USDT Pump Anticipated#WLD
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We are seeing a bearish bias in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.520, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected.
We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend.
Entry Price: 0.533
First Target: 0.543
Second Target: 0.554
Third Target: 0.569
Remember a simple principle: Money Management.
Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Live trading on Amazon stock.Live trading on Amazon stock.
Price is at the bottom of its channel and sitting in a strong demand zone.
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
Follow me on TradingView for more analyses and live stock trades.
NASDAQ:AMZN
USD/CHF Bear Flag Breakdown: Fundamentals + Technicals AlignedUSD/CHF remains under pressure as US rates fall, the dollar weakens, and CHF benefits from safe-haven demand. Price failed at the 0.80 level and is consolidating in a clear bear flag. Stochastic RSI is not oversold, suggesting room for another leg lower towards the next support zone unless US data or risk sentiment shifts materially.
$BA breaking out.Boeing's production recovery thesis for 2026 reNYSE:BA breaking out. Still holding large position.
Breaking above resistance after multi-week consolidation.
Target: $223 zone for swing traders
Boeing's production recovery thesis for 2026 remains intact.
This could be the technical confirmation bulls have been waiting for. Let's see.






















