Wave Analysis
Going Long On Gold (XAUUSD)Since yesterday price has turned bullish on the 2 hour timeframe. The lower high of the week has been broken and momentum to the upside has accelerated. With this build of strength I expect price to push toward new highs. I am preparing to open a quick buy trade targeting the next high or a break above that level around the London open.
GOLD Daily Analysis: Short Opportunity After Minor Correction ☄️  Gold Market Outlook 10/ 31 (Based on SMC)  ☄️
📊  Market Structure Overview 
🔤Price recently formed a CHoCH at 4,045, indicating a short-term shift from bullish to bearish intent after liquidity was swept above the prior high.
🔤Following that, we have a BOS to the downside, confirming that bearish order flow is currently in control.
🔤The most recent FVG (Fair Value Gap) between 4,015 – 4,025 acted as a supply zone, where institutional sellers have likely re-entered the market.
🔤Meanwhile, the next demand zone and discount area sit around 3,955 – 3,965, overlapping with another FVG on the lower time frame.
🔤The current price at 3,991 is now trading between supply and demand, which suggests a potential liquidity grab setup coming soon.
💡 Trading Plan 
🔽 Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias) 
🔤 Logic:  BOS confirmed downward; price rejected from 4015–4025 supply.
🔤 Entry:   Sell from 4000–4010 (after lower TF CHoCH confirmation).
🔤 Invalidation:  Break and close above 4045.
🔤 Institutional Narrative:  Smart Money distributes above liquidity to drive price back into discount zones.
🔼 Scenario 2 – Liquidity Grab & Reversal Buy 
🔤 Logic:  Price may sweep liquidity below 3955–3960 before reversing bullish.
🔤 Entry:  Buy from 3955–3960 (wait for CHoCH on M5).
🔤 Invalidation:  Close below 3940.
🔤 Institutional Narrative:  Smart Money hunts liquidity under equal lows before reaccumulation.
🔽 Scenario 3 – Rejection from Premium Zone 
🔤 Logic:  If price retraces to 4015–4030 again, it may form a bearish CHoCH confirming supply control.
🔤 Entry:  Sell after rejection from 4020 zone.
🔤 Invalidation:  Above 4045 (liquidity sweep + structure break).
🔤 Institutional Narrative:  Classic “return to premium imbalance” move to refill unfilled institutional orders.
GBP/USD – Short-Term Recovery Setup Inside the Downtrend ChannelGBP/USD – Short-Term Recovery Setup Inside the Downtrend Channel (October 31, 2025)
The British Pound continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently over the past week. Despite strong selling pressure, GBP/USD is showing early signs of a potential short-term rebound from the lower boundary of the trend channel.
Technical Outlook (H1 timeframe):
Major Trend: Bearish
Immediate Support: 1.3120 – 1.3100
Immediate Resistance: 1.3200 – 1.3250
Upper Channel Resistance: Around 1.3300
After a sharp drop from 1.3290, price has reached the bottom of the channel near 1.3120, where minor bullish reactions can already be observed. A technical correction toward 1.3200–1.3250 is possible before sellers step in again.
If GBP/USD breaks and closes above 1.3250, it could trigger a short-term reversal, targeting the upper trendline near 1.3300. However, failure to hold above 1.3120 would resume the bearish continuation toward 1.3050.
Trading Strategy:
Buy Setup (Countertrend):
Entry: Near 1.3120 – 1.3130 (bottom channel support)
Target: 1.3200 – 1.3250
Stop loss: Below 1.3090
Sell Setup (Trend Continuation):
Wait for rejection near 1.3250 – 1.3300
Target: 1.3120 – 1.3050
Stop loss: Above 1.3330
The RSI and EMA clusters are suggesting a potential short-term rebound, but the broader picture remains bearish unless price reclaims 1.3300 decisively.
Keep an eye on the 1.3120 level — this is the battleground between short-term buyers and long-term sellers.
 Follow for more intraday trading setups and professional market insights.
GBPJPY – Targeting the Green WCL After BC RetracementPrice completed a clean green impulse and started a corrective red sequence.
The plan: wait for a retracement into the red BC zone, which overlaps a bearish order block. If price reacts from that region, I’ll ride the next leg down toward the red C target and the green wave’s Whole Correction Level (WCL).
However, note the  developing bullish flag pattern  — if price breaks above red B, that flag activates and the bearish setup becomes invalid. A breakout there could extend the larger bullish trend.
 Strengths: 
– BC retracement aligns with a strong order block.
– WCL and C-target overlap, creating a high-probability draw on liquidity.
– Clear invalidation above red B protects the setup.
 Weaknesses: 
– GBPJPY volatility could trigger premature sweeps.
– A confirmed flag breakout would fully invalidate this setup.
 Narrative: 
Trading the correction inside a possible flag — shorting structure, not emotion. If the flag fires, I’ll flip bias with it.
NZDCHF SELL?
1.  Overview 
The market has been trading within a prolonged bearish structure, maintaining consistent lower highs and lower lows. Recent price action indicates a temporary corrective phase, suggesting a possible short-term retracement within the broader downtrend.
2.  Technical Analysis 
Daily Timeframe:
Price has retraced toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is acting as a significant resistance area. This aligns with the potential completion of a short-term corrective wave, signaling a possible resumption of bearish momentum if the level holds.
4-Hour Timeframe:
The 4-hour chart shows signs of a potential reversal pattern forming near the current resistance zone. This pattern may indicate exhaustion of the retracement and an early sign of sellers regaining control.
3.  Outlook 
Should the current resistance area remain intact, renewed selling pressure is expected, potentially leading to a continuation of the broader downtrend. However, a confirmed breakout above the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and signal a deeper corrective phase.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Honeywell: Upward?The previously defined Target Zone was clearly breached to the upside, so we have now deactivated and grayed out that zone. The stock is currently in a downward move, which we interpret as a corrective pullback within green wave  . We expect this move to conclude above the resistance level at $250.20. However, if price continues to fall and drops below support at $168.99, our alternative scenario will be triggered. In that case, green wave alt.  would already be complete, and price would be in green wave alt.  (probability: 33%).
OKE 1D Investment Short Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ short impulse
+ T2 level
+ resistance zone
+ biggest volume Ut
+ weak test?
Bought a put
1 to 2 R/R ratio
1M Trend Trade
"+ short impulse
- neutral zone"
1Y CounterTrend Trade
"- long balance
+ biggest volume resistance level
+ volumed reaction bar"
Completely "Bearish" after Fed Hawkish rhetoric...1). No promises on a Dec. rate cute! 2). Tariffs are causing Inflation! 3). Volume is dropping! 4). MACD is dropping! 5). Maxed at 1.5 Fib level. 6). Daily indecisive spinning top candle. 7). Hedges are selling!  8). Banks are selling! 8). Trendline resistance! 9). Could be a massive selloff!
XAUUSD Trend - correction scenarioMarket Correction Assessment 
The anticipated correction from the recent peak has begun to materialize. Price action has reached the primary target level identified on May 19th.
While the overall trend direction remains bullish and I expect the upward momentum to continue, I assess that the current correction depth is insufficient. A deeper retracement is likely required before resuming the primary uptrend.
 Potential Scenario: 
A more substantial correction, similar in magnitude to the pattern illustrated above, has a high probability of occurring before the next leg up.
 Key Technical Observations: 
- ✓ May 19th target achieved
- Current correction: Shallow/Incomplete
- Trend bias: Bullish (continuation expected)
- Next move: Deeper pullback likely before resumption
Gold 2H – Technical Update🟡 Gold 2H – Technical Update
After testing the support zone around $3,930 – $3,950, gold has shown early signs of recovery, forming a short-term reversal pattern above a key demand area.
The recent structure suggests that the market may have completed its corrective phase, and a potential impulsive leg upward could now be developing.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Price has successfully defended the demand zone between $3,930–$3,950, which acted as the base of the previous rally.
A break of the descending trendline confirms an initial bullish shift in short-term momentum.
If momentum holds, the next move could target new local highs in the coming sessions.
🎯 Targets
First target zone: Around $4,050 – $4,100 (initial breakout confirmation).
Second target zone: Around $4,210 – $4,320 (continuation wave area).
Extended target zone: Toward $4,580 – $4,640 if bullish momentum accelerates.
🛡️ Risk Zone
Invalidation level: Below $3,930, where the demand zone would be considered broken and the bullish scenario invalidated.
📈 Summary
Gold remains technically supported above $3,930.
The current structure favors a bullish rebound scenario, with a potential continuation toward $4,640 if the breakout sustains.
Traders should monitor price action around $4,050 for confirmation of bullish strength before any continuation setup.
Take-Two: Momentum Fades, but Recovery ExpectedTake-Two’s upward momentum has faded recently, leading to a noticeable pullback. However, we expect the stock to rebound soon and resume the corrective advance of beige wave b, moving closer to resistance at $292.66. At that point, the stock is likely to reverse course and begin a green downward impulse, which should ultimately finalize the correction of blue wave (II). We have identified a blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46 for this significant bottom.
Bullish? Maybe This Will Change Your Mind About ETHHi guys,
This monthly inverse chart should make things clear to you that the market is about to crash hard!
Everyone is so bullish and Microstrategy just announced another BTC purchase which is a huge RED ALERT for all crypto investors.
Stay safe and let me know what do you guys think about this !
$PLATINUM (WEEKLY): WAVE 3, the MONEY WAVE, exhaustion signsMy first  TVC:PLATINUM  position has been triggered during the current correction in metals — I’m now LONG (x10) from $1,575, as mentioned in my previous update (quoted post).
The 3-month chart I used in that post clearly showed a money wave, and the weekly chart looks just as strong — also in what appears to be its own Wave 3.
Global supply and demand dynamics are perfectly reflected in this chart (see the attached graphic for a summary). Shortages remain a major theme.
After a huge parabolic rise this year, my take-profit targets are based on trend-based Fibonacci extensions, assuming the rally continues toward the falling wedge target at $3,402:
Fib 1.618 → $2,063
Fib 2.618 → $2,829
Fib 3.168 → $3,596
Three levels to make me happy.
Currently, I’m seeing some signs of wave exhaustion, mainly a bearish RSI divergence, so I’m preparing for a possible Wave 4 correction.
In any case, we must not close below the top of Wave 1 ($1,332) — that’s my exit level.
Potential dip-buying between $1,300 and $1,400 makes a lot of sense, as long as no weekly candle closes below $1,330.
This is my strategy — quite a big position, actually — but I’ll be willing to make it even larger if a clean, technical dip sets up.
💙👽
#platinum






















