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Wave Analysis

RLI - Insider BUYS P/E (TTM),~19.1x, GOOD ✅. For a company with their margins, this is a fair price. Forward P/E,~18.2x, Stable expectations for 2026 Free Cash Flow,~$515 million, VERY GOOD ✅. Strong cash generation. ROE,~20.1%, EXCELLENT ✅. Covers your 14.5% criterion. Debt/Equity,~0.14 (14%), PERFECT ✅. Extremely conservative balance. Revenue Growth,~18.5%,"MODERATE ⚠️. PEG Ratio,~1.45,"Shows that it is not ""cheap"", but it is quality." Dividend Yield,~0.75% + Spec. dividends,RLI is known for paying huge special dividends. Cash on Hand,~$3.2 billion (Investments),EXCELLENT ✅. Huge investment portfolio. FCF Margin,~35%,PHENOMENAL ✅. Extremely high efficiency. Quick Ratio,N/A,"Insurers are considered ""Combined Ratio"" (they have ~80%)." Inst. Ownership,~85%,VERY HIGH ✅. A favorite of large funds. Current Ratio,N/A,(Same as Quick Ratio). Analyst DCF,$182.50,UNDERVALUED ✅. Current price ($165) is below fair value. Wall St Target,$188.00,Potential growth of ~14%. Gross Margin,~94.1%,PERFECT ✅. Sales Growth,~18.5%, Altman Z-Score,N/A,Not applicable to financial companies.
NYSE:RLILong
by SimeonNikolaev-invest
Gold (XAUUSD) BuyThe correction is complete. Price formed a textbook "Regular Flat" pattern, flushing the lows to grab liquidity before rejecting hard. The confirmation came with a solid 1H Engulfing candle, signaling that the "Smart Money" has stepped in to defend this level. I am long from the sweep, targeting the imbalance above. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and represents my own view of the market. Trading involves significant risk. Please manage your risk according to your own capital rules.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MustafijurFX
Nifty 2600 point fall coming. 1500 another fast point drop ?So, Nifty is repeating history and is in Bearish Ascending Broadening Wedge formation on top. If you compare it with last ATH where it made same formation with same retracement before the fall starts. Today on 30th January it has completed the setup and now as per Elliot Wave Analysis as well we are getting our wedge break down target of 2600 points down from here. 24050 should be first stop before continuation downside. Invalidation: 1D close above 25950 (GIFTY)
NSEIX:NIFTY1!Short
by rishab55555
$DOGE/USDT QUICK ANALYSIS (1H)BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is currently trading within a clear bearish market structure after a sharp impulsive drop, indicating strong seller control on the 1H timeframe. Price is retracing into a well-defined supply zone, which aligns with the previous breakdown area and acts as a high-probability rejection region. Technically, price remains below the 50-period EMA, which is sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. Additionally, the Supertrend indicator is bearish, confirming sustained selling pressure and favoring trend continuation to the downside. As long as price holds below the supply zone and EMA resistance, the bearish bias remains intact, with downside liquidity resting near the marked targets. ⚠️ Entry Condition: Wait for clear bearish confirmation (rejection candle) from within the supply zone before entering to confirm seller participation and avoid false retracements. 🎯 Selling Zone: $0.11780 – $0.11820 🏹 Target 1: $0.11500 🏹 Target 2: $0.11250 🛑 Stop Loss: $0.11850
Long
by coinpediamarkets
1
AUDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear subscribers, AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 109.05 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 107.35 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
BTC 2025 Roadmap + BTC/Gold Ratio OutlookBTC Chart Idea (until end of 2025) The setup shown with the blue arrow remains my base scenario through year-end. I expect a move down to the 72k zone this year. Before that drop, price can either push first to ~99k (this year’s equilibrium) or head straight to 72k. Once we tag 72k – which is last year’s equilibrium level – I see that as the major low, from where the next impulsive leg toward 140k should begin. BTCUSD/XAUUSD ratio Current ratio is sitting around 21. I’m looking for a pullback toward 16. It can go 25 first and then 16, or drop directly to 16. I don’t expect 16 to hold as a long-term low; the reaction from there should target 25 again as the most probable level, with room for even higher readings beyond that.
by Egncl
2
ADAUSDT - A QUICK SELL SET UP - 30-01-2026ADUSDT - G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only ADAUSDT - still kinda on the "move" and continue DOWN... Done run for 1H already...4H IS NOT FINISHED YET...Search for entry on the LTF. SL "must be", don't get ruined down by big money... Who did enter this trade earlier congratulations! Who missed it... See you next time! ;) Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;) I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money... ;) Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $... PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it.
Short
by G-money2022
Break below 1.18578 → bias shifts to a deeper pullback on EURUSDA confirmed break and sustained hold below the 1.18578 level would signal a shift in market bias, suggesting that EURUSD is transitioning from a corrective phase into a deeper pullback. Such a move would indicate weakening bullish momentum and a potential bearish shift in structure, opening the door for price to retrace toward lower key demand zones and unmitigated liquidity. Until this level is decisively broken, the higher-timeframe context remains corrective; however, acceptance below 1.18578 would significantly increase the probability of further downside.
by Jod_Afnan_FX
AUD/NZD - A QUICK SELL SET UP - 30-01-2026AUD/NZD - G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only AUD/NZD - still kinda on the "move" and continue DOWN... Who did enter this trade earlier congratulations! Who missed it... See you next time! ;) Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;) I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money... ;) Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $... PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it.
Short
by G-money2022
XAG/USD: Analyzing the Corrective Phase within an Ascending StruSilver (XAG/USD) is currently displaying a significant technical pattern on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of aggressive bullish expansion that saw the price breakout from its previous consolidation, the market has entered a corrective phase. The current price action is characterized by a series of tests against the upper and lower boundaries of a broad ascending channel. Technical Insights: Trend Context: The primary trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the series of higher highs and higher lows. However, the recent price action near the 120.251 level indicates that the market is currently in a "Price Discovery" phase, attempting to establish a new base for the next impulsive leg. Projected Corrective Path: As indicated by the black forecast trajectory, we anticipate a multi-wave corrective sequence. This pattern suggests a "lower high" formation, followed by a decline to test the strength of the previous breakout zone. Key Support Targets: Primary Objective: 118.000 - 118.500 – This level represents a major previous resistance area and is now expected to act as a significant foundational support floor. Secondary Objective: 114.833 – A deeper retracement target that aligns with a historical institutional supply zone that has now flipped into a major support area. Risk Management: The bullish bias is maintained as long as the price trades above the 114.000 region. A decisive close below this level would signal a potential "Fake-out" and shift the outlook toward a more bearish sentiment. Trading Strategy: The current approach favors "Buying on Dips." Traders should monitor for bullish price action confirmation, such as a strong rejection wick or an engulfing candle at the 118.000 support level, before targeting a continuation toward the 125.000 psychological mark.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by FX_CAM
XAU/USD: Bullish Expansion and Price Discovery Above Key SupplyGold (XAU/USD) has successfully invalidated the previous bearish distribution thesis by delivering a massive bullish breakout on the 15-minute timeframe. The price has surged past the established institutional supply zone near 5,110 - 5,125, signaling a strong continuation of the primary uptrend and entering a phase of price discovery. Technical Analysis: Trend Confirmation: The aggressive vertical move has completely bypassed the projected bearish "Lower High" structure. This indicates that buy-side liquidity was significantly stronger than anticipated, leading to a momentum-driven rally. Support & Resistance Flip: The previous purple resistance zone (now located below current price action) is expected to act as a major structural support floor if a retest occurs. Current Momentum: Gold is currently trading at a premium level of 5,254, showing no immediate signs of exhaustion. The sharp angle of the ascent suggests institutional participation and a shift in market sentiment toward higher valuation. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: 5,125 (Previous Supply Zone) Psychological Target: 5,300 Risk Management: The bullish bias remains firmly in place as long as the price maintains its position above the 5,100 psychological mark. Any pullback toward the breakout point should be monitored for "buy-on-dip" opportunities. Conclusion: This move confirms a successful "Spring" or accumulation phase that trapped early sellers. The market is now in an impulsive expansion, and the focus remains on the upside until a clear distribution pattern or a break in the intraday market structure occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FX_CAM
2
XAU/USD: Bearish Divergence and Mean Reversion toward Major DemaGold (XAU/USD) is currently exhibiting a textbook corrective structure on the 15-minute timeframe. After an aggressive parabolic move that took the price to extreme premium levels near 5,693, we are now seeing a clear shift in institutional sentiment. The market has entered a distribution phase, characterized by a failure to maintain momentum within the upper supply zone. Technical Breakdown: Supply Zone Rejection: The price has tapped into a major overhead supply barrier (top purple box) between 5,650 and 5,693. This area is being heavily defended by sellers, resulting in a series of bearish rejections. Forecasted Correction Path: As indicated by the black trajectory and the large blue arrow, the market is expected to perform a multi-wave corrective move. We anticipate a "Lower High" formation followed by a sharp impulsive leg lower to hunt for sell-side liquidity. Key Targets: Primary Objective: 5,450 – An immediate structural support and minor demand zone where the first major bounce may occur. Major Objective: 5,250 – This lower purple demand zone represents the ultimate target for this corrective cycle, aligning with the base of the previous accumulation. Risk Management: The bearish outlook is invalidated if Gold achieves a decisive 15-minute candle close above the 5,693 peak. A break above this level would suggest that the market is entering a new phase of price discovery. Trading Strategy: The current bias is "Sell on Strength." Traders should monitor the 5,600 region for bearish confirmation signals, such as an engulfing candle or a rejection wick, before targeting the deeper liquidity pools near the 5,250 psychological level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FX_CAM
XAG/USD: Bullish Continuation and Breakout Above Multi-Day ResisSilver (XAG/USD) has invalidated the previous bearish distribution thesis by staging a powerful breakout above its multi-day resistance levels. On the 15-minute timeframe, the price has successfully cleared the upper boundary of the long-term parallel channel, moving into a high-momentum "Price Discovery" phase. Technical Deep-Dive: Bullish Breakout & Momentum: The price has decisively breached the 118.000 resistance level, showing no signs of exhaustion. The vertical nature of the current ascent suggests aggressive institutional buying and the triggering of buy-stops above the previous highs. Trendline Integrity: Silver is now trading well above its primary ascending support lines. The previous resistance rail of the blue channel (near 112.000) is now expected to act as a major foundational support floor if a deep retracement occurs. Current Valuation: As of the latest print at 120.251, Silver is exhibiting a strong bullish bias. The market has effectively reclaimed the initiative, and the focus has shifted from finding a top to identifying the next extension targets. Key Levels to Watch: Primary Support: 118.000 (Previous breakout point). Major Support Floor: 114.833 (Previous major resistance and invalidation zone). Psychological Target: 125.000. Risk Management: The bullish outlook remains firmly in place as long as the price maintains its structural integrity above the 114.000 region. A failure to hold above the previous channel's upper rail would be the first sign of a potential "Fake-out." Strategy Note: The bias is now "Buy on Dips." Traders should look for corrective pullbacks toward the 118.000 - 118.500 area to join the prevailing trend. This move confirms a successful accumulation phase that has completely overwhelmed the earlier bearish supply.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by FX_CAM
BTC/USD: Range Consolidation and Anticipated Bullish ExpansionBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently navigating a high-confluence consolidation phase on the 15-minute timeframe. After a successful defense of the lower demand levels, the market is positioning itself for a breakout. The current structure suggests that institutional accumulation is nearing completion, with price action preparing for a move toward premium liquidity. Technical Deep-Dive: Major Demand Floor: A solid institutional demand zone is established between $87,000 and $87,500 (lower purple box). This area has served as a critical support floor, effectively halting recent bearish attempts. Mid-Range Pivot: The price is currently interacting with a mid-range supply barrier near $88,750. This zone is acting as a temporary ceiling, but the lack of aggressive rejection suggests that selling pressure is diminishing. Forecasted Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path within the green long-position block, we anticipate a "Break and Retest" sequence. The projection indicates a move to reclaim the mid-range highs, followed by a shallow pullback to gather momentum for a final expansion. Key Upside Targets: Primary Objective: $89,716 – This target aligns with the next major liquidity pool and recent structural peaks. Secondary Objective: $90,500 – A psychological milestone located within the upper supply zone (top purple box). Risk Parameters: The bullish thesis is protected by a stop-loss level at $87,054. A decisive 15-minute candle close below this point would shift the immediate bias to neutral or bearish. Trading Summary: The current setup favors a bullish outlook based on "Re-Accumulation" principles. Traders should look for a sustained hold above $88,200 as confirmation that the market is ready to target the $89k–$90k expansion zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FX_CAM
BTC/USD: Structural Re-Accumulation and Bullish Momentum AlignmeBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently displaying a high-confluence bullish setup on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of corrective action that tested the major demand levels, the market has established a solid base and is now showing signs of upward displacement. The current price action suggests that institutional accumulation is transitioning into an expansionary phase. Technical Deep-Dive: Institutional Demand Zone: A primary demand floor is firmly established between $87,000 and $87,500 (lower purple box). This zone has acted as a critical support area, successfully absorbing sell-side pressure and providing the foundation for the current recovery. Mid-Range Consolidation: The price is currently interacting with a mid-range supply barrier near $88,750. While this area has caused some temporary friction, the higher lows being formed indicate that buyers are becoming more aggressive. Projected Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path, we anticipate a "Break and Retest" sequence. The market is expected to challenge the immediate resistance, followed by a shallow pullback to mitigate any remaining imbalances before a decisive expansion. Key Upside Objectives: Primary Target: $89,500 - $89,716 – This level aligns with the next major liquidity pool and recent structural peaks. Major Objective: $90,500 – A significant psychological milestone located within the upper institutional supply zone (top purple box). Risk Parameters: The bullish outlook is protected by a structural stop-loss level below $87,054. A decisive 15-minute candle close below the primary demand zone would invalidate this setup and shift the bias back to neutral. Trading Summary: This setup follows the "Buy the Dip" logic within a prevailing uptrend. Traders should look for a sustained hold above the $88,200 level as a secondary confirmation before targeting the $90k region. The overall market sentiment remains bullish as long as the structural floor holds.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FX_CAM
Decade long structure emerging on the Silver chartIt is interesting to study the Production/Accumulation/Distribution/Industrial Demand as well. Silver seems to hit a breaching point where physical prices have a premium about +45% for buying it and +20% for selling pure silver bullion coins. Troy oz./oz. is about 1.10, which should reflect a recomended trading price of 25.4$ per troy oune. Anybody able to buy at these prices? Another interesting peak that was reached lately is the Gold/Silver Ratio reaching +104 lvl's, an increadable bias for gold if you look at the ratio that existed about 100 years ago, which is 10. . In less then 6 months time this ratio is today +70. This is a technical indicator for a strong bear legg starting a decade long correction for the multi decade long bull market in favour of Gold. This is the first leg down, and there is a lot of space for continued correction, bringing the price to a 'recommended equilibrium'. Platinum as wel is comming back from an all time low Platinum to gold ratio 0.39 to the 0.6. Interestingly the platinum price is not having a ticker as far as I now that goes back for 100 years, which is the scale that the trend is carrying apparently for multiple precious metals. Chemistry table books presenting value of the pure element refer to a rule of tumb for pricing, that refered to the relative abundance of those elements before the 80's, here the Platinum over Gold ratio is documented to be 2x over multiple years, presumingly a good rule of tumb ratio of price to handle as historical mean. It's becoming clear that there is some mechanism (or a superposition of multiple mechanisms) enables the overrepresentation of 'exchangeble silver tickets'. And it is difficult to find trustworthy data on the abundance of each element to date. Especially yearly mining reports giving estimeates that are discripant over 10 years, look at a mining report in 1992,2002;2012,2022 and the quality of these estimates seem to be worthless for what the physical reality could represent. Still in search for a good dataset, one could do a basic maximum physical element estimate by taking the continental crust elementary abundance calculation on the earth being a perfect sphere, having about 40% continental crust on it's surface, the maximal depth of a mine is one in south-africa, reaching 4km deep, however the mean depth of a mine will like be less than a km deep. you could go further and eliminate regions that are definetly not minable or mined (sahara, himalaya mountains, ..) but this is in my opinion the best approach to find the global maxima for the elements that are available on our beatiful planet.
TVC:SILVERLong
by joachim.snellings
36