EURGBP – Battleground of Supply and Demand!EURGBP has been trading between clear supply and demand zones ⚖️, respecting both ends of the range.
After rejecting the 0.8750 supply zone, price turned lower, showing that sellers remain in control. Currently, EURGBP is hovering around the 0.8620 – 0.8640 demand zone, where buyers previously stepped in.
This area forms an important decision point 🔑:
- If demand holds, we could see a bounce back toward mid-range levels.
- If broken, a continuation lower would confirm supply’s dominance 📉.
Patience here is key ⏳ — waiting for confirmation at these zones can help filter out false moves and set up a cleaner trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Wave Analysis
WILL THE BEARS CONTINUE TO BREAK THE BULLS' BACKS ???DXY ANALYSIS (Weekly Timeframe) (Chart 2)
Looking at higher times, weekly and monthly. We see that price created a long-term bullish support. We have seen the first several touches of the support line between the 28th of April 2011 and the 29th of August 2011, a total of 10 touches. We have also seen the second touches on the trendline between the 6th of January 2021 and 7nth of May 2021, about 12 touches. We are currently witnessing the third touches on the trendline. Price has already touched once the trendline on the 30th of June 2025. We are still expecting more touches and a breakthrough into the trendline. Should bulls remain weak, we will see price retest and breakaway from the trendline.
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnnalysis
#DXY
WILL THE BEARS CONTINUE TO BREAK THE BULLS' BACKS ???DXY ANALYSIS (Daily Timeframe).
On the 1st of July 2025 price began printing a sideways correction, wherein minute wave (a) terminated on the 1st of August 2025. Price is currently printing a minute wave (b) before a minute wave (c) to complete minor wave 4. Minute wave (c) may not take out the 100.257 levels due to the strength of the Bears.
Looking at higher times, weekly and monthly. We see that price created a long term bullish support. We have seen the first several touches of the support line between the 28th of April 2011 and the 29th of August 2011, a total of 10 touches. We have also seen the second touches on the trendline between the 6th of January 2021 and 7nth of May 2021, about 12 touches. We are currently witnessing the third touches on the trendline. Price has already touched once the trendline on the 30th of June 2025. We are still expecting more touches and a breakthrough into the trendline. Should bulls remain weak, we will see price retest and breakaway from the trendline.
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnnalysis
#DXY
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NEXT MASSIVE MOVE TO HERE - INCOMING!!!!!!!Yello Paradisers! In this video, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis as professional traders using Elliott Wave Theory and other advanced technical indicators and analysis techniques.
On the ultra-high time frame, we have been going through the Elliott Wave price section since 2023. We have taken a look at the Moving Average Trendline Touch, which worked perfectly, the Channel Retest that is incoming, and the Bearish Divergence with Bearish Cross.
On medium and high timeframe charts, I have been sharing with you the completed zigzag and first wave. We are currently in the secondary wave, waiting for it to finish, along with resistances and bullish and bearish divergences.Together with that, there are shooting star patterns, and on a low timeframe, I have been sharing with you the triple top reclaim and the next possible resistances, and what the next resistance and target are from a multiple timeframe perspective.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
#ARB/USDT | ARB Set for Pump After Pullback to Support#ARB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.4950, which represents a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.5083
First target: 0.5158
Second target: 0.5262
Third target: 0.5388
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
EURUSD Buy Signal after Tokyo has been sweepedAfter a sweep of liquidity for Tokyo, this level is expected to be protected, and the price will continue its upward trend to reach higher levels and break the previous peak. It is preferable to enter after the price declines and a 15-minute candle closes with a Wick as a rejection signal.
GOLD- COMPLEX WOLFE WAVE FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed
The chart shows a Complex Wolfe Wave structure with points 1–2–3–4–5 clearly mapped.
Price has reached point 5 near the upper resistance (~3,650–3,670 USD).
Wolfe principle: After point 5, price targets the 1–4 trendline → this is your projected drop zone.
🔹 Current Situation
Current Gold price: ~3,645 USD.
Strong rally completed wave 5.
Chart marks Immediate Target: ~3,300 USD.
🔹 Levels & Targets
Resistance: 3,650–3,670 (pattern top).
Immediate Target Zone: 3,300 (near support + Wolfe line).
Extended Target: 3,200–3,150 (if selling pressure deepens).
Invalidation: Above 3,700 (new highs would negate Wolfe setup).
🔹 Trading Implication
Bias: Bearish after wave 5 completion.
Entry: Short near 3,650–3,670 (with confirmation candle).
Stop Loss: Above 3,700.
Targets:
T1 = 3,450
T2 = 3,350
T3 = 3,300
This gives ~350 point downside vs ~50 point risk → R:R ~1:6 if trade is taken near the top.
✅ Conclusion
Gold has likely completed wave 5 of Wolfe structure near 3,650–3,670.
Short-term expectation is a fall toward 3,300, aligning with Wolfe target zone.
Important NOTE - Risk management is crucial — pattern invalidates above 3,700.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading commodities and derivatives involves substantial risk of capital loss. Please consult your financial advisor before acting on this view.
BTC Breaks Resistance: Eyes on 123KBTC Breaks Resistance: Eyes on 123K
Bitcoin continues its upward momentum, hitting our first target as expected.
Following the release of U.S. PPI data yesterday, BTC broke through the key resistance zone at 113,200—opening the path for further gains.
If the price holds steady at current levels, we could see more upside ahead.
Next key targets: 📍 117K 📍 120K 📍 123K
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buyers Remain in Control
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the $114,300–$113,700 zone (market sell absorption) and continued its upward move.
At the moment, we have broken through the $114,400–$115,500 sell zone (volume zone) and are now testing buyer liquidity around $115,000. The current selling wave shows weakness, so the overall context remains bullish.
We expect further upside movement towards the next sell zones, either from the current price or after a potential retest of the new volume zone at $114,300–$113,500.
Buy Zones:
$114,300–$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
CADJPY: Forecast & Trading Plan
The recent price action on the CADJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD GOLD OUTLOOK CHART ANALYSIS Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook
Gold has been trading within an ascending channel, but recent price action suggests weakening bullish momentum near the resistance level around $3,680 – $3,700.
🔎 Key Insights:
• Price rejected resistance and is showing signs of bearish momentum.
• A breakdown below the channel could open the way to the first support near $3,600.
• If selling pressure continues, the next downside target is $3,500.
📊 Trading Plan:
• Bearish Bias below $3,680.
• Watch for confirmation on the break of $3,600.
• Short-term traders may look for selling opportunities toward $3,500.
• A sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
⚠️ Risk management is key – always use stop losses and adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3650.7
Stop Loss - 3658.4
Take Profit - 3635.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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The dance between the USDZAR and (ZA10Y - US10Y)The chart shows the relationship between the USDZAR and the yield differential between the SA 10-year and the US 10-year (ZA10Y – US10Y).
2025 has been a wild ride for the rand and it has managed to put up a remarkable recovery in the 2Q2025 but where to now for the pair? The pair has not traded below the 200-week MA currently at 17.62, since the March 2022 just before the global rate hiking cycle. The only previous times the pair traded below this moving average was briefly in 2021 before the June/July riots in SA and during the “Ramaphoria” period in 2018.
The 200-week MA also coincides with the 38.2% Fibo retracement from the low in 2021. A brief break below these two support levels will allow the pair to fall onto the 50% Fibo retracement level at 16.62. The yield differential is however suggesting that the rand may not have much room to pull the pair too far below the 200-week MA. The brief break below the 5.00% during December 2024 and January 2025 was a bit of an anomaly given the volatility in the US bond market and I still believe 5.00% is a hard support for the yield differential. A bottom out of the yield differential could see it rise higher towards 7.50% which will be rand negative should the positive correlation hold.
To summarise, the yield differential is suggesting that the rand’s 2Q2025 recovery may be on its last legs but a break below the 200-week MA will allow the rand to pull the pair towards 16.50. I don't see the rand maintaining levels below 16.50 and this level seems like a long-term floor for the pair before another 5-wave impulse to the topside.
Historical trend analysis:
The SA rand is one of the most attractive emerging market currencies due to the carry trade appeal of the currency coupled with SA’s deep and liquid bond market. During periods when there is significant buying pressure on SA bonds, the SA yields will decrease meaning that the yield differential (ZA10Y-US10Y) decreases while in periods when SA bonds are selling off, yields on SA bonds will increase which increases the yield differential, citrus paribus. The USDZAR pair is thus positively correlated with this yield differential.
The chart goes back to 2018 when the USDZAR hit a low of 11.50 following the period dubbed the “Ramaphoria” period. Investor sentiment swinged aggressively positive in this period and the flow of international funds into the SA bond market saw the yield differential drop to a low around 5.00%. The yeld differential has never dropped below this level until early 2025 as indicated on the chart.
The yield differential and the USDZAR pair moved in tandem all the way through to the 1Q2022, maintaining its strong positive correlation. The next period marked the start of the global hiking cycle which saw the US 10-year yield rise from a low of 1.65% in March 2022 to a high of 5.00% in October 2023. This aggressive rise in US 10-year yields marked a period of extensive risk off sentiment and even caused a US banking crises in March 2023. The Fed stepped in and briefly paused their QT to add liquidity to system and provided the US banking system with the bank term funding program to patch up the cracks. The rand sold off due to risk off investor sentiment while the US 10-year yield rose due to the start of the rate hiking cycle which reduced the yield differential. The USDZAR climbed to a high of 19.90 in May 2023 while the yield differential dropped to a low of 7.50%. The yield differential continued to fall until the US 10-year yield topped out at 5.00% in October 2023, after which the positive correlation between the USDZAR and the yield differential was restored.
The next period marked positive sentiment towards SA following the election results and the formation on the government on national unity (GNU). Coupled with the end to the rate hiking cycle, the rand had the wind and risk on investor sentiment in its sails which allowed the rand to pull the pair to a low of 17.03. The optimism of the GNU and the realisation on another Trump presidency however saw the pair bottom out in September 2024. During the last quarter of 2024 the rand experienced sustained selling pressure while the yield differential continued to fall. The break in correlation was largely due to the US10-year yield climbing from 3.60% in September 2024 to a high of 4.80% in January 2025.
This Is Why Spotify Is In The Radar Of Everyone NowThis Is Why Spotify Is In The Radar Of Everyone Now
NYSE:SPOT has been respecting a strong ascending channel, now testing a key resistance (white line) which could be part of a triangle chart pattern.
🔼 Bullish case : A breakout above resistance could trigger strong momentum and drive price to new ATHs. 🚀
🔽 Bearish case: If the channel is lost, price may fall to the main support, opening the door for a more lateral or bearish phase if that support is also lost.
Let’s add the fundamental context:
📈 Strong Revenue Growth
Spotify has been steadily increasing revenue through premium subscriptions and advertising. Ad revenue has been particularly strong, showing resilience in a slowing economy.
🌍 User Base Expansion
MAUs continue to grow globally, with double-digit YoY increases, supporting long-term growth.
💵 Profitability Improvements
After years of heavy investment, Spotify has recently reported positive operating margins, which has been a key driver of the rally.
⚖️ Analyst Consensus
The stock is now trading close to the average Wall Street target price ($719) . This means that while the business is improving, analysts are cautious on valuation, explaining why the price is fighting at current levels.
⚠️ Trading plan idea:
Breakout above resistance → bullish play, but manage risk as upside could be capped by valuation and previous ATH acting as resistance. A 10% rally is very probable after the break.
Breakdown of the channel → wait for lower entry near main support seeking for a pullback to the channel. If you are bearish, then wait for the break of the main support to short it. This is an easy 20% correction.
"XAUUSD Analysis – Price Structure-Liquidity- and Imbalance!"The XAU/USD 4-hour chart continues to reflect a structurally bullish environment, following a major structural shift initiated by a significant order break observed around September 23–24. This marked a transition to a strong upward trend, supported by a series of bullish order blocks and consistent higher swing highs and lows.
Currently, price action has entered a consolidation phase, trading just below the established All-Time High (ATH) at $3,674.80.This pause in momentum suggests temporary market indecision, with both supply and demand zones actively engaged.
Key Technical Zones and Price Areas
All-Time High (ATH): $3,674.80
*Price Rejection Zone: Notable resistance has been observed just beneath the ATH, indicating the presence of supply and possible absorption of buying pressure.
Active Liquidity Zone: $3,615 – 3,645
* This zone currently exhibits high transactional activity, potentially indicating institutional accumulation or distribution.
Immediate Support Level: $3,614.95
* A critical structural support; a confirmed break below this level could imply a shift in short-term order flow.
Price Imbalance Zones (Fair Value Gaps – FVGs)
Upper FVG: $3,507.82
Lower FVG: $3,436.06
These inefficiencies in price represent areas where the market may revisit in search of liquidity should bearish momentum accelerate.
Long-Term Demand Zone
Primary Demand Zone: $3,311.58
* This level has historically served as a strong accumulation area and could provide substantial support in the event of a broader retracement.
Forward Guidance and Price Path Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Outlook:
Should price achieve a decisive breakout and sustained acceptance above the ATH at $3,674.8, it would signal the resumption of bullish momentum. In such a scenario, the market is likely to pursue the following Upside targets:
Target 1: $3,685
Target 2: $3,695
Target 3: $3,700
These levels represent short-term resistance zones where profit-taking or liquidity engagement may occur.
Bearish Correction Outlook:
Conversely, if price fails to hold the immediate support at $3,614.95, the market may initiate a corrective leg to revisit deeper price inefficiencies and liquidity pools. The subsequent Downside targets would include:
Target 1: $3,610
Target 2: $3,600
Target 3: $3,580
A sustained breakdown below these levels could increase the probability of a retest of the fair value gaps or even the demand zone at $3,311.58.
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3651.1
Sl - 3657.8
Tp - 3637.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD Hits Strong Resistances – Bearish Reversal Ahead?NZDUSD ( OANDA:NZDUSD ) is currently trading near the Resistance zone($0.6000-$0.5958) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Resistance lines .
From a classical technical analysis perspective, NZDUSD seems to be completing the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective, NZDUSD seems to have completed the microwave C of the microwave Y of the main wave B . So we should wait for the next bearish waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect NZDUSD to drop to at least $0.5890(First Target) .
Second Target: $0.5865
Third Target: $0.5828
Stop Loss(SL): $0.5983
Note: Today's US data release could cause a shock to NZDUSD, but ultimately, NZDUSD will continue its downward trend (at least to the first target).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
New Zealand Dollar/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (NZDUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DXY at Major Support – Dollar Ready to Rebound?Today, I want to analyze the DXY index ( TVC:DXY ) for you. First, I must say that this week, US indexes can have an impact on the DXY index trend .
US indexes to be released this week:
Core PPI m/m: Tomorrow
PPI m/m: Tomorrow
Core CPI m/m: Thursday
CPI m/m: Thursday
CPI y/y: Thursday
Unemployment Claims: Thursday
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: Friday
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: Friday
The DXY Index is currently moving near the Support zone($97.989-$97.834) , Yearly Support(2) , and the lower line of the descending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the DXY index has managed to complete microwave 5 of the main wave C . The corrective structure is of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) type.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between consecutive valleys .
I expect the DXY index to rise to at least $98.07(First Target) before the US indexes are announced.
Second Target: $98.56
Stop Loss(SL): $96.997
Note: With the DXY index rising, we can expect a correction in Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), and major Forex pairs (dollar strength).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
U.S. Dollar Index Analyze (DXYUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 147.89
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 147.36
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK