XAG/USD: Analyzing the Corrective Phase within an Ascending StruSilver (XAG/USD) is currently displaying a significant technical pattern on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of aggressive bullish expansion that saw the price breakout from its previous consolidation, the market has entered a corrective phase. The current price action is characterized by a series of tests against the upper and lower boundaries of a broad ascending channel.
Technical Insights:
Trend Context: The primary trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the series of higher highs and higher lows. However, the recent price action near the 120.251 level indicates that the market is currently in a "Price Discovery" phase, attempting to establish a new base for the next impulsive leg.
Projected Corrective Path: As indicated by the black forecast trajectory, we anticipate a multi-wave corrective sequence. This pattern suggests a "lower high" formation, followed by a decline to test the strength of the previous breakout zone.
Key Support Targets:
Primary Objective: 118.000 - 118.500 – This level represents a major previous resistance area and is now expected to act as a significant foundational support floor.
Secondary Objective: 114.833 – A deeper retracement target that aligns with a historical institutional supply zone that has now flipped into a major support area.
Risk Management: The bullish bias is maintained as long as the price trades above the 114.000 region. A decisive close below this level would signal a potential "Fake-out" and shift the outlook toward a more bearish sentiment.
Trading Strategy: The current approach favors "Buying on Dips." Traders should monitor for bullish price action confirmation, such as a strong rejection wick or an engulfing candle at the 118.000 support level, before targeting a continuation toward the 125.000 psychological mark.
Wave Analysis
GBP/USD Testing 61.8 Weekly Fibonacci ExtensionGBP/USD Weekly close will be very important to keep an eye on as the pair is testing its 61.8% fibonacci extension at 1.3760. This level is of great importance as also closely aligns with a descending trend line that has been in place since June 2025.
With clear move above, bulls will eye equal move at 1.48 in coming months.
XAU/USD: Bullish Expansion and Price Discovery Above Key SupplyGold (XAU/USD) has successfully invalidated the previous bearish distribution thesis by delivering a massive bullish breakout on the 15-minute timeframe. The price has surged past the established institutional supply zone near 5,110 - 5,125, signaling a strong continuation of the primary uptrend and entering a phase of price discovery.
Technical Analysis:
Trend Confirmation: The aggressive vertical move has completely bypassed the projected bearish "Lower High" structure. This indicates that buy-side liquidity was significantly stronger than anticipated, leading to a momentum-driven rally.
Support & Resistance Flip: The previous purple resistance zone (now located below current price action) is expected to act as a major structural support floor if a retest occurs.
Current Momentum: Gold is currently trading at a premium level of 5,254, showing no immediate signs of exhaustion. The sharp angle of the ascent suggests institutional participation and a shift in market sentiment toward higher valuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: 5,125 (Previous Supply Zone)
Psychological Target: 5,300
Risk Management: The bullish bias remains firmly in place as long as the price maintains its position above the 5,100 psychological mark. Any pullback toward the breakout point should be monitored for "buy-on-dip" opportunities.
Conclusion: This move confirms a successful "Spring" or accumulation phase that trapped early sellers. The market is now in an impulsive expansion, and the focus remains on the upside until a clear distribution pattern or a break in the intraday market structure occurs.
XAU/USD: Bearish Divergence and Mean Reversion toward Major DemaGold (XAU/USD) is currently exhibiting a textbook corrective structure on the 15-minute timeframe. After an aggressive parabolic move that took the price to extreme premium levels near 5,693, we are now seeing a clear shift in institutional sentiment. The market has entered a distribution phase, characterized by a failure to maintain momentum within the upper supply zone.
Technical Breakdown:
Supply Zone Rejection: The price has tapped into a major overhead supply barrier (top purple box) between 5,650 and 5,693. This area is being heavily defended by sellers, resulting in a series of bearish rejections.
Forecasted Correction Path: As indicated by the black trajectory and the large blue arrow, the market is expected to perform a multi-wave corrective move. We anticipate a "Lower High" formation followed by a sharp impulsive leg lower to hunt for sell-side liquidity.
Key Targets:
Primary Objective: 5,450 – An immediate structural support and minor demand zone where the first major bounce may occur.
Major Objective: 5,250 – This lower purple demand zone represents the ultimate target for this corrective cycle, aligning with the base of the previous accumulation.
Risk Management: The bearish outlook is invalidated if Gold achieves a decisive 15-minute candle close above the 5,693 peak. A break above this level would suggest that the market is entering a new phase of price discovery.
Trading Strategy: The current bias is "Sell on Strength." Traders should monitor the 5,600 region for bearish confirmation signals, such as an engulfing candle or a rejection wick, before targeting the deeper liquidity pools near the 5,250 psychological level.
XAG/USD: Bullish Continuation and Breakout Above Multi-Day ResisSilver (XAG/USD) has invalidated the previous bearish distribution thesis by staging a powerful breakout above its multi-day resistance levels. On the 15-minute timeframe, the price has successfully cleared the upper boundary of the long-term parallel channel, moving into a high-momentum "Price Discovery" phase.
Technical Deep-Dive:
Bullish Breakout & Momentum: The price has decisively breached the 118.000 resistance level, showing no signs of exhaustion. The vertical nature of the current ascent suggests aggressive institutional buying and the triggering of buy-stops above the previous highs.
Trendline Integrity: Silver is now trading well above its primary ascending support lines. The previous resistance rail of the blue channel (near 112.000) is now expected to act as a major foundational support floor if a deep retracement occurs.
Current Valuation: As of the latest print at 120.251, Silver is exhibiting a strong bullish bias. The market has effectively reclaimed the initiative, and the focus has shifted from finding a top to identifying the next extension targets.
Key Levels to Watch:
Primary Support: 118.000 (Previous breakout point).
Major Support Floor: 114.833 (Previous major resistance and invalidation zone).
Psychological Target: 125.000.
Risk Management: The bullish outlook remains firmly in place as long as the price maintains its structural integrity above the 114.000 region. A failure to hold above the previous channel's upper rail would be the first sign of a potential "Fake-out."
Strategy Note: The bias is now "Buy on Dips." Traders should look for corrective pullbacks toward the 118.000 - 118.500 area to join the prevailing trend. This move confirms a successful accumulation phase that has completely overwhelmed the earlier bearish supply.
BTC/USD: Range Consolidation and Anticipated Bullish ExpansionBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently navigating a high-confluence consolidation phase on the 15-minute timeframe. After a successful defense of the lower demand levels, the market is positioning itself for a breakout. The current structure suggests that institutional accumulation is nearing completion, with price action preparing for a move toward premium liquidity.
Technical Deep-Dive:
Major Demand Floor: A solid institutional demand zone is established between $87,000 and $87,500 (lower purple box). This area has served as a critical support floor, effectively halting recent bearish attempts.
Mid-Range Pivot: The price is currently interacting with a mid-range supply barrier near $88,750. This zone is acting as a temporary ceiling, but the lack of aggressive rejection suggests that selling pressure is diminishing.
Forecasted Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path within the green long-position block, we anticipate a "Break and Retest" sequence. The projection indicates a move to reclaim the mid-range highs, followed by a shallow pullback to gather momentum for a final expansion.
Key Upside Targets:
Primary Objective: $89,716 – This target aligns with the next major liquidity pool and recent structural peaks.
Secondary Objective: $90,500 – A psychological milestone located within the upper supply zone (top purple box).
Risk Parameters: The bullish thesis is protected by a stop-loss level at $87,054. A decisive 15-minute candle close below this point would shift the immediate bias to neutral or bearish.
Trading Summary: The current setup favors a bullish outlook based on "Re-Accumulation" principles. Traders should look for a sustained hold above $88,200 as confirmation that the market is ready to target the $89k–$90k expansion zone.
BTC/USD: Structural Re-Accumulation and Bullish Momentum AlignmeBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently displaying a high-confluence bullish setup on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of corrective action that tested the major demand levels, the market has established a solid base and is now showing signs of upward displacement. The current price action suggests that institutional accumulation is transitioning into an expansionary phase.
Technical Deep-Dive:
Institutional Demand Zone: A primary demand floor is firmly established between $87,000 and $87,500 (lower purple box). This zone has acted as a critical support area, successfully absorbing sell-side pressure and providing the foundation for the current recovery.
Mid-Range Consolidation: The price is currently interacting with a mid-range supply barrier near $88,750. While this area has caused some temporary friction, the higher lows being formed indicate that buyers are becoming more aggressive.
Projected Trajectory: As illustrated by the black forecast path, we anticipate a "Break and Retest" sequence. The market is expected to challenge the immediate resistance, followed by a shallow pullback to mitigate any remaining imbalances before a decisive expansion.
Key Upside Objectives:
Primary Target: $89,500 - $89,716 – This level aligns with the next major liquidity pool and recent structural peaks.
Major Objective: $90,500 – A significant psychological milestone located within the upper institutional supply zone (top purple box).
Risk Parameters: The bullish outlook is protected by a structural stop-loss level below $87,054. A decisive 15-minute candle close below the primary demand zone would invalidate this setup and shift the bias back to neutral.
Trading Summary: This setup follows the "Buy the Dip" logic within a prevailing uptrend. Traders should look for a sustained hold above the $88,200 level as a secondary confirmation before targeting the $90k region. The overall market sentiment remains bullish as long as the structural floor holds.
Decade long structure emerging on the Silver chartIt is interesting to study the Production/Accumulation/Distribution/Industrial Demand as well. Silver seems to hit a breaching point where physical prices have a premium about +45% for buying it and +20% for selling pure silver bullion coins. Troy oz./oz. is about 1.10, which should reflect a recomended trading price of 25.4$ per troy oune. Anybody able to buy at these prices?
Another interesting peak that was reached lately is the Gold/Silver Ratio reaching +104 lvl's, an increadable bias for gold if you look at the ratio that existed about 100 years ago, which is 10. . In less then 6 months time this ratio is today +70. This is a technical indicator for a strong bear legg starting a decade long correction for the multi decade long bull market in favour of Gold. This is the first leg down, and there is a lot of space for continued correction, bringing the price to a 'recommended equilibrium'.
Platinum as wel is comming back from an all time low Platinum to gold ratio 0.39 to the 0.6. Interestingly the platinum price is not having a ticker as far as I now that goes back for 100 years, which is the scale that the trend is carrying apparently for multiple precious metals. Chemistry table books presenting value of the pure element refer to a rule of tumb for pricing, that refered to the relative abundance of those elements before the 80's, here the Platinum over Gold ratio is documented to be 2x over multiple years, presumingly a good rule of tumb ratio of price to handle as historical mean.
It's becoming clear that there is some mechanism (or a superposition of multiple mechanisms) enables the overrepresentation of 'exchangeble silver tickets'. And it is difficult to find trustworthy data on the abundance of each element to date. Especially yearly mining reports giving estimeates that are discripant over 10 years, look at a mining report in 1992,2002;2012,2022 and the quality of these estimates seem to be worthless for what the physical reality could represent. Still in search for a good dataset, one could do a basic maximum physical element estimate by taking the continental crust elementary abundance calculation on the earth being a perfect sphere, having about 40% continental crust on it's surface, the maximal depth of a mine is one in south-africa, reaching 4km deep, however the mean depth of a mine will like be less than a km deep. you could go further and eliminate regions that are definetly not minable or mined (sahara, himalaya mountains, ..) but this is in my opinion the best approach to find the global maxima for the elements that are available on our beatiful planet.
Nifty Bank: Monthly Pitchfork Structure & Key Reversal ZonesDescription: "Analyzing the Nifty Bank Monthly structure. The index is perfectly respecting the bullish Pitchfork Channel.
Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Structure: The market is trending upwards within the channel. As long as the structure holds, the bias remains bullish.
2. Key Levels to Watch (As marked on chart):
Structural Demand Zone: The area supported by High Volume Nodes acting as the Primary Support/Reversal Base.
Strong Resistance (Blue Line): This is the Critical Breakout Level. A weekly close above this triggers a rally towards the upper targets.
Reaction Zone (Red Dashed Line): We need to observe price action here for potential rejection or consolidation.
Ultimate Supply (Top Blue Line): If the trend extends, this zone acts as the High Probability Reversal Area.
Verdict: Focus on the breakout above the immediate resistance for the next leg up.
Disclaimer: Analysis for educational purposes only."
Be Vigilant for a Deep Gold Correction
I. Market Background Analysis
The gold market has recently exhibited an unprecedented and robust rally, with intraday prices once again hitting a new all-time high of 5,598 USD/oz. However, this was followed by intense volatility, with intraday swings nearing 180 USD, indicating that market sentiment has entered a state of extreme exuberance and instability.
From a cyclical perspective:
Weekly: The cumulative gain exceeded 610 USD, setting a historical record.
Monthly: The gain has approached 1,290 USD, also a historical record.
This explosive surge has transcended the scope of traditional technical analysis. Its core drivers stem from profound structural shifts:
The global monetary credit system is facing long-term challenges.
The global asset allocation landscape is undergoing a fundamental reshaping.
Changing roles of central banks: shifting from market participants to long-term strategic holders.
II. Key Current Technical Signals and Risk Warnings
Although the long-term structural bull market remains intact, no market moves in one direction indefinitely. Current technical indicators are sending clear signals of overheating and correction warnings:
Extreme Overbought Conditions: On the daily chart, prices have consistently pierced and traded outside the Bollinger Band upper envelope, a classic technical characteristic of the market entering an extreme overbought zone.
Profit-Taking Pressure: Approaching the month-end and weekend, the market is under significant pressure from short-term long position profit-taking.
Correction Risk: From a pure technical analysis perspective, the market is brewing a potential deep correction in the range of 200-400 USD, and the technical conditions for this are gradually maturing.
III. Specific Trading Plan
Based on the above analysis of "long-term bullishness, short-term caution against a correction," the following short-term buy-on-dips strategy is formulated, aiming to capture a technical rebound opportunity at a key support zone.
Trading Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar)
Direction: BUY (Long)
Entry Zone: 5460 - 5470
Stop Loss: 5448
Targets:
Take-Profit 1: 5530
Take-Profit 2: 5560
IV. Strategy Logic Summary
This strategy is a short-term, counter-trend operation seeking a rebound. Its core logic lies in:
In a long-term bull market, the first test of a significant technical support zone (5460-5470) often triggers an effective technical bounce.
Placing the stop loss just below this support zone (5448) aims to speculate on a renewed upward move following a market correction of overbought conditions, with controlled risk.
Target levels are set relatively conservatively, focusing on capturing a swift rebound rather than identifying the starting point of a trend reversal.
Risk Warning:
Current market volatility is extremely high, posing a risk of prices swiftly breaching the stop loss.
Should gold prices enter a deep correction directly, this strategy will be invalid. Traders must adhere to strict discipline and closely monitor the market's reaction to the support zone.
NZDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.464.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.462.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.193.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.197 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 11,885.9.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 11,523.9 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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MIGI is a bet on insidersWho is buying and why?
Endeavor Blockchain LLC (10% owner) is an extremely aggressive buyer in January 2026:
January 26: They bought 60,000 shares at $4.84.
January 16: They bought 140,000 shares at $4.68.
January 9: They bought 160,000 shares at $4.56.
January 7: They bought 100,000 shares at $4.52.
Why? They believe in MIGI’s new model – moving into HPC (High Performance Computing) and AI hosting, not just Bitcoin mining. In addition, the company just announced that it is once again in compliance with Nasdaq requirements.
MIGI is a bet on insiders. They know something we don't (likely a big AI hosting deal coming up). Get in with a small amount if you want to copy Endeavor Blockchain, but keep in mind that this is "Penny Stock" volatility.
NIFTY – Structural Update (Daily)NIFTY remains in a bullish higher-timeframe structure and is currently in corrective consolidation near the highs.
This view is based on daily structure.
Intraday spikes and dips are not treated as structural signals and are considered part of the ongoing consolidation.
Key Levels
Resistance: 26,200–26,300
Support: 24,300–24,350
Structural risk below: 21,740
Continuation: Daily close above 26,300
Invalidation: Daily close below 24,300
Until structure resolves, expect range-bound, volatile price action.
Educational view only. Not a trade recommendation.
#NIFTY #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendAnalysis #EwavesJournal
AUD/NZD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD-NZD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.158 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the AUD-NZD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CAD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
CAD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.567
Target Level: 0.565
Stop Loss: 0.569
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$BTC wave count UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC Wave Count Update
Quick recap from my last updates: We were eyeing that key 87.6K support after the sharp drop from 98K to 86K. It broke, clearing up some ambiguity and signaling potential for a deeper correction.
Here's the latest hint from price action: That 98K-86K dip looks like a clear impulsive wave down, hinting at more downside. The rebound hit the Fib 0.382 level at 90.6K before rolling over and slicing through the thickest volume cluster—despite a 4H RSI divergence. Those high-volume red candles scream weakness: failing at Fib levels, ignoring divergences, and powering through volume stacks.
So, where does this correction end? I'm staying neutral and open to all paths, but history gives us clues. We're likely in the early stages of a fresh parabolic cycle, so I'm watching three possible bottoms:
70K: Fib 0.5 of the 2021-2025 wave. Some say no dip below here thanks to ETF flows and rate cuts—fair point, keeps bulls in play.
60K: Weekly chart's highest volume stack and Fib 0.382. Strong entry zone with multiple confluences.
40K: Deeper like past cycles (e.g., 2018's -70% at Fib 0.236, hitting volume peaks; 2015's -35% below it). Possible, but I'm optimistic for now.
From BTC's wave history (simplified for you to spot patterns yourself):
2018-2021: -70% to Fib 0.236, nailed highest volume.
2015-2017: -35% below 0.236, brief volume break.
2011-2013: -93% way below, missed volume stack.
Patterns show 100% hit Fib 0.236, 66% test volume peaks.
The fresh wave hints: Expect a 5-3-5 zigzag or impulse here—monitor for clues.
My take: Leaning 60K as the sweet spot for now (more buy signals there), but ready to pivot if signs point to 40K or lower. No crystal ball, just probabilities.
What can you do today? Review your charts for these Fib/volume levels—it's easy: Pull up TradingView, overlay Fib retracement from cycle lows/highs, and check volume profile. Spot the patterns yourself, and you'll catch the next move early.
Buckle up, readers—this ride's just starting. Thoughts? Drop them below. #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading
EURUSD, Elliott wave analysis■Outlook of EURUSD on 3Days chart.
In the previous analysis, a long-term outlook for EUR/USD was presented using the 1M chart.
That analysis showed that the internal structure of the higher-degree wave B was unfolding as a W–X–Y corrective pattern, and that this pattern may now be complete.
In this analysis, I have showed the internal structure of wave Y on the chart.
The (a)‑(b)‑(c) sub‑waves of wave Y are shown with solid purple lines, while their internal wave structures are depicted with solid orange lines.
Within wave (c), a five‑wave impulsive sequence has unfolded, and the internal structure of the final fifth wave formed a Diagonal pattern, suggesting that the entire formation may already be complete.
If this interpretation is correct, the market is likely to turn bearish.
■previous analysis, Jan 29, 2026
XAUUSD 1H Analysis Today: Post-Impulse SelloffXAUUSD 1H Analysis Today: Post-Impulse Selloff, Key Demand Zones and High-Probability Reversal Levels
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H chart just printed a classic “distribution to displacement” sequence: a run into a weak high, followed by an aggressive selloff that broke short-term structure (CHoCH/BOS), leaving price to stabilize around 5,157–5,160. From here, today’s edge is not chasing candles, but trading levels: demand below for a reaction, and supply above for a corrective sell.
This is an intraday environment where liquidity + Fibonacci + trendline structure matters more than opinions.
Market Structure Read (1H)
The prior trend was bullish, but the top formed at a weak high (liquidity resting above).
A sharp bearish leg created a structure shift (CHoCH) and confirmed downside momentum.
Current price is consolidating after the dump, which often precedes either:
a corrective retracement into supply (then continuation down), or
a demand reaction bounce (mean reversion) before the next decision.
Key Support and Resistance Levels (XAUUSD Intraday)
Resistance Zones (Sell-Rally Areas)
5,300–5,330: first rebound ceiling (structure pivot after the selloff)
5,390–5,450: major supply block (strong rejection area)
5,520–5,580: weak high liquidity zone (sweep risk, high volatility)
Support Zones (Buy Reaction / Demand)
5,120–5,150: immediate support region (current base behavior)
5,060–5,080: primary demand zone (first “must hold” for bulls)
4,925–4,950: deeper demand (if 5,060 fails)
4,805–4,830: last major shelf (only relevant if momentum turns fully bearish)
Fibonacci Roadmap (Swing High to Swing Low)
Using the most recent major drop (approx. 5,560 → 5,120), the key retracement levels align cleanly with your marked supply:
0.382 retracement: ~5,288
0.5 retracement: ~5,340
0.618 retracement: ~5,392
0.786 retracement: ~5,466
This creates a high-probability sell zone cluster between 5,288–5,466, especially where it overlaps 5,390–5,450 supply.
Trendline + EMA + RSI Filters (Execution Rules)
Trendline
The prior rising trendline has effectively been “stressed” by the dump. Treat any rebound as a corrective pullback until price reclaims structure (higher highs and higher lows).
EMA (20/50/200) Checklist
Bearish continuation favored if price stays below EMA20/EMA50 on 1H.
Bullish recovery improves only if price reclaims EMA50 and holds above it during pullbacks.
RSI Confirmation
Sell setups strengthen when RSI fails below 50 on the retracement.
Buy setups improve when RSI reclaims 50 and holds while price forms higher lows.
High-Probability Trading Plans for Today (XAUUSD)
Plan A: Buy the Demand Reaction (Primary Bounce Setup)
Best used if price taps the demand zone and prints confirmation (rejection wick, bullish engulfing, or a lower-timeframe CHoCH).
Entry zone: 5,060–5,120 (prefer deeper touch with reaction)
Stop loss: below the demand base (below the lowest rejection wick)
Take profit 1: 5,220
Take profit 2: 5,288–5,330 (Fib 0.382 + first resistance)
Invalidation: clean 1H close below 5,060 with follow-through
This is a “buy low at institutional demand” play, not a mid-range chase.
Plan B: Sell the Retracement Into Supply (Highest R:R if It Triggers)
If price rebounds but cannot reclaim structure, look for a sell-rally entry into fib resistance that overlaps supply.
Entry zone: 5,288–5,450
Ideal trigger: bearish rejection candle inside the supply band, RSI failing under 50, or a lower high on 5–15m
Stop loss: above 5,466 (or above the rejection swing high)
Take profit 1: 5,220
Take profit 2: 5,120–5,150
Extension: 5,060 if momentum expands
This is the classic “retracement into supply after BOS” continuation model.
Plan C: Break-and-Reclaim (Confirmation-Only Long)
Only take this if bulls prove they can reclaim the broken structure.
Condition: 1H closes back above 5,288–5,330, then holds on retest
Entry: buy retest support at 5,288–5,330
Stop loss: below the retest swing low
Targets: 5,390–5,450, then 5,520 if trend resumes
This plan avoids guessing and lets structure confirm direction.
What to Watch Next
Today’s key decision is whether price respects 5,060–5,120 demand. If it holds, the market can mean-revert toward 5,220 → 5,330. If it fails, the next magnets are 4,925 and possibly 4,805.






















