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Wave Analysis

BTCUSD — History Repeating? BTCUSD — History Repeating? Structural Compression Before Expansion Bitcoin’s current structure cannot be analyzed in isolation. Since the 2023 cycle low, BTC has consistently printed higher highs and higher lows, forming a persistent ascending channel that defines the macro trend. Every major advance within this cycle followed the same sequence: Strong impulsive rally Extended consolidation / pullback Structural compression near support Break in structure → trend expansion The current price action fits squarely into this historical rhythm. Fractal Similarity: Aug–Nov 2024 vs Now One of the most compelling aspects of the current setup is its similarity to the August–November 2024 pattern : In Aug 2024 , BTC entered a multi-week corrective range #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #Crypto #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #ATH #BullMarket #DubaiTradersHub Price repeatedly swept liquidity below local lows Momentum remained muted until structure was reclaimed The breakout only occurred after a clear change in character (CHoCH) → This triggered a strong impulsive leg to new highs Today, BTC is showing the same characteristics: Prolonged consolidation Volatility compression Repeated tests of demand No expansion without confirmation This is structural preparation, not weakness. Market Structure: What Needs to Happen At present, Bitcoin is reacting from a high-timeframe demand zone aligned with the lower boundary of the rising channel — a historically reliable area for continuation. However, price does not move higher simply because it is at support. 🔑 The key requirement is a structural break: A break in market structure (BMS) / change of character (CHoCH) Reclaim of prior resistance with acceptance Transition from corrective to impulsive behavior Without this, upside remains potential, not confirmed. Upside Path if Structure Breaks If BTC successfully breaks structure and confirms bullish character: 🎯 Primary Targets Revisit of the All-Time High Expansion toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel Historically, once BTC reclaims structure within a macro uptrend, price accelerates rapidly, leaving late participants behind. Risk & Invalidation Failure to break structure keeps BTC in range-bound consolidation Acceptance below demand would delay the bullish thesis Bias remains conditional and structure-dependent Conclusion Bitcoin is not breaking down — it is compressing. History shows that BTC spends more time building structure than trending, but when structure flips, the move is decisive. This setup mirrors past continuation phases: Same location Same compression Same structural requirement Now, structure will decide direction. 💬 If this idea adds value, support it 🚀 — clean structure beats noise. #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #Crypto #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #ATH #BullMarket #DubaiTradersHub
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DubaiTradersHub
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Relief Rally or Extended C Toward 50k?Hello everyone. BTCUSD on the weekly chart, I read the advance from the 2023 lows as a completed 1–5 impulse. After the top, price action clearly transitioned into an A-B-C corrective structure. Price is currently trading around 89,091, below 0.236 (91,330), suggesting that upside attempts have not yet gained structural acceptance and the market remains in correction mode. My primary roadmap: A appears completed with an initial defense. The rebound that follows can be interpreted as B, typically a relief move rather than trend continuation. The key risk is that if B remains weak, the structure may shift into an extended C wave, leading to a deeper rebalancing phase. Key weekly zones: 91,330 (0.236): First threshold. Reclaiming it supports a developing B rebound. 98,008 (0.382): Major test for rebound strength. 103,405 – 108,801 (0.50 – 0.618): A high-probability exhaustion/supply zone for B. As long as price stays below this band, upside is treated as corrective. Downside risk: Weekly acceptance below 80,537 confirms the transition into C. If C extends, the 50,000 area emerges as a meaningful medium-to-long-term balance / target zone on the weekly timeframe. Bottom line: The dominant weekly structure remains an ABC correction. Upside is possible within B, but a weak B increases the risk of an extended C toward the 50k region.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by arctraded
It's a time for ASANA. 40% potential profit - 18.10 USDThe stock price of Asana Inc. (ASAN) has been trading sideways between $12.80 and $14.00 after an extended downtrend that began in mid-2024. Currently, the price is holding near a key technical support level around $12.80, which previously acted as a reversal zone. This consolidation suggests a possible accumulation phase and an early sign of a potential bullish reversal. Short- and medium-term moving averages are starting to flatten, while the RSI indicator is gradually improving from neutral territory — a combination that often precedes upward momentum. A confirmed breakout above the $13.70–$14.00 resistance area would likely trigger a stronger upward move. The first target for buyers is the $15.80 level, a previous local resistance. The main mid-term target is set at $18.10, representing a potential gain of approximately 40% from the current market price. This projection aligns with previous upward movements observed after long consolidation phases in Asana’s price history. However, a breakdown below $12.60 would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a retest of the $12.00 zone. In summary, Asana’s current chart structure indicates a growing probability of a bullish reversal. Sustaining price action above $12.80 and breaking through $14.00 could pave the way for a rally toward $18.10. Potential TP: 18.10 USD This analysis is intended for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial guidance, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Any investment decisions should be based on your own analysis and, where appropriate, consultation with a licensed financial advisor.
NYSE:ASANLong
by darksignal
USDJPY | Bear Flag at Key SupportMacros: USDJPY is rolling over after another rejection at the top of a developing bear flag, with USD softness starting to show against JPY. Technical Lens: Clear bear flag / descending channel. Rejection at 158.60–158.80 (flag resistance). Price pressing 157.60–157.70 (flag support). RSI ~43 → momentum cooling, room to expand lower. Next demand zone sits around 156.80–157.10. Scenarios: Below 157.60: flag breakdown opens a move toward 156.80–157.10. Back above 158.80: breakdown invalidated, rotation toward 159.00+. Catalyst (brief): USD weakness has tracked softer US rate expectations, while JPY finds support from a firmer BoJ tone and occasional risk-off flows. Takeaway: 157.60 is the decision point—below it favors continuation lower; above 158.80 keeps USDJPY range-bound.
by Alchemy Markets
GBPAUD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPAUD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.974. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.990. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Gold Reaches New ATH as Geopolitical Risks Shift – What’s Next!?This week, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) opened with a significant gap due to rising tensions between Europe and the U.S. over Greenland, as well as threats from Trump regarding new tariffs on European countries. Additionally, the potential escalation of tensions in the Middle East has fueled gold’s bullish trend over the past few days. Recently, at the Davos meeting, Trump stated that there would be no military action regarding Greenland, indicating a potential easing of tensions. This could weaken the fundamental bullish momentum of gold. Over the past few days, gold has been trading within an ascending channel and has been setting new all-time highs almost every day, raising the question of how long this bullish trend can continue. From a technical standpoint, and considering the fundamental developments, any new geopolitical events could impact gold’s bullish momentum. It’s important to note that when an asset sets a new all-time high, technical analysis becomes less reliable since it lacks historical data. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold is completing wave 5, which may end within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect that once gold breaks below the ascending channel’s lower line, it will begin a corrective phase, potentially dropping to around $4,749. First Target: $4,749 Second Target: Support line Stop Loss(SL): $4,984(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves I’d love to hear your thoughts on gold. How long do you think it can maintain this bullish trend? 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
24
I have zero ideas - I simply saw this chart and said Parabolic !I have zero ideas - I simply saw this chart and said Parabolic ! Sooo, then I though .... *** What is the issue with parabolic moves ? they say - to governments ! "you should have been buying US Treasuries", instead, but you did not, and it also says, you are now stuck with *** a heavy metal, expensive to protect, and very heavy to trade. *** *** Meanwhile Bitcoin is better than Gold, the ledger is transparent *** - GOLD, who knows if it is there, in the vaults, did you see it ? I saw gold in a vault once upon a time, it was a large pile behind heavy bars, 5 armed guards at minimum, and I was able to glance it for less than 15 seconds, I have no clue if the numbers matched, maybe they never did ! Get bitcoin, it is all in the ledger... Plus it is the interplanetary currency - a measure and means of accounting - this is what money is - Bitcoin is the new gold.... the old gold is too expensive to protect, too heavy to carry, and too opaque to have papers on it and derivatives as well.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by imcnf5c4ff
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! GOLD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 4,723.13 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GOLD pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by EliteTradingSignals
4
TSLA: Wave 4 Deep Correction – C-Wave Targets 420-400 or Lower?Wave 3 truncated at ATH 498.83. Wave 4 ABC correction is deepening amid negative delivery data and sentiment. Primary Count (60%) : A-wave low ~435.30 (1/2). B-wave weak rebound to 457.80 (short-lived, 1/2). C-wave now in progress, sub-wave 3 accelerating lower. Target: 420-400 (1.0-1.618 × A-wave length). Break below 435 risks extension to 380-400. Timeframe: C-wave completion mid-January. Alternative Count (40%): Break below 380 invalidates impulse, enters larger ABC correction. Target: 346-380 or lower. Key Levels: Resistance: 450-457 (B-top), 470-480, 488-500. Support: 435-450 (short-term), 420-430, 380-400 (final). Trade Idea: Cash position ideal. Wait for reversal signals in 420-400 zone (RSI <30 oversold + volume spike green + engulfing candle) for small entry into potential Wave 5 (550-620). Strict stop below 380. Monitor volume and RSI for bottom confirmation. Patience is key in this volatile correction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by popcornlux
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4760 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
72
BABA – Breakout Follow-Through | Wave 5 In ProgressContext - Weekly and daily timeframes - Multi-year base already completed - Prior impulsive advance followed by a controlled Wave 4 retracement - Breakout confirmed last week What I see - Wave 4 pullback resolved cleanly - Breakout last week confirmed the end of the corrective phase - Price has advanced +20% from the breakout area in the last two weeks - Momentum accelerated after price rejected a pullback toward the breakout zone - Yesterday’s near +4% close and strong pre-market action signal continued demand - Structure is now consistent with an active Wave 5 advance What matters now - The 50-day MA and former breakout area near $156 should now act as support - Holding above this level keeps the impulsive structure intact - Next resistance sits at the prior Wave 3 high around $192 - A clean break above $192 confirms Wave 4 completion beyond doubt Buy / Accumulation zone - Initial breakout already played - Ideal adds come only on controlled pullbacks toward support - Risk remains clearly defined against the recent higher low Targets - Wave 5 target remains the $230 area - This level aligns with the next major upside reference within the broader reversal Portfolio note - NYSE:BABA currently represents ~3% of my portfolio - Comfortable holding this position into 2026 - Acts as a solid diversification hedge versus the US market
NYSE:BABALong
by maratteo
Coinbase in Late Wave C Decline, Eyeing Critical Support ZoneCoinbase (COIN) continues its bearish trend, approaching a key earnings-gap support zone that may signal near-term stabilization. As one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges in the U.S., Coinbase has faced pressure from broader market volatility and regulatory concerns. While the medium-term outlook remains bearish, the earnings-gap support area could present opportunities for traders looking for a technical bounce. Coinbase is continuing its move to the downside, consistent with the bearish wave C pattern we have been tracking. The stock is now showing a pronounced decline, likely extending into the earnings-gap area from May 2025,a zone that could be critical for potential stabilization in the coming weeks. This aligns with the observation that Coinbase appears to be completing a five-wave impulse into wave C from the October 2025 high. Key Levels: Trend: Bearish within wave C Support: 230–208 Resistance: 295–360 (a break above this range would confirm bullish momentum) Note: The earnings-gap zone is crucial for potential near-term stabilization Overall, market participants should watch for signs of stabilization around this critical support zone, which may indicate the end of wave C and the start of a potential recovery.
NASDAQ:COIN
by ew-forecast
BIDU – Wave 3 Progress UpdateThesis NASDAQ:BIDU continues to advance within a developing Wave 3 structure after completing a multi-year corrective phase and confirming a major breakout. Context - Weekly timeframe - Prolonged correction from 2021 into mid-2025 - Transition completed: downtrend → base → breakout What I see - BIDU stood out this week despite a weak and volatile broader market - Higher high printed at the start of the week, followed by another +5% push today - Breakout remains clean, with price holding above former channel resistance - Acceptance above long-term trend support confirms impulsive behavior - Structure remains consistent with an advancing Wave 3 What matters now - Holding above the $155 breakout area is key - A successful hold confirms Intermediate Wave 4 is complete - That opens the path toward the Cycle Wave 3 objective Buy / Accumulation zone - Core accumulation completed earlier between $70–$90 (H1 2025) - Additional buys executed at ~$118 ahead of the breakout - Further adds taken post-breakout after support confirmed outside the channel - Next opportunity comes only on a confirmed higher-degree pullback Targets - Cycle Wave 3 target: 1.618 Fib extension at $225 area - Higher extensions remain possible if momentum persists Execution note - Patience through a 9-month base was rewarded with a +100% move - Recent adds followed rules and structure — discipline is paying off
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by maratteo