USDJPY Intraday Support Break and Trend Continuation OutlookThe chart shows USDJPY breaking below a key intraday support area around 154.979, followed by a retest of the same level from below.
This reaction indicates a shift in short-term momentum, with price forming lower highs after the breakdown.
The projected path illustrates a potential continuation of the current downward structure if the market remains below the highlighted zone.
This setup focuses on price behavior, emphasizing how the market responds to major levels within the session.
Wave Analysis
FIL Is Losing Bearish Momentum => Bullish Takeover Soon?📉FIL has been printing a series of progressively weaker bearish impulses, first a big drop, then a smaller one, and now a flat one.
This loss of bearish strength is happening while price is hovering above a major demand zone (orange), a level that previously triggered a massive rally.
📉📈Notice how the bearish swings are curving and flattening (dotted pink curve). This is often an early sign that sellers are exhausting.
⚔️As long as FIL remains above the demand zone, we will be looking for bullish reversal setups, especially if price retests the orange zone one more time and rejects it.
🏹For the bulls to take over entirely, price needs to break above the blue consolidation zone, confirming a shift in momentum.
Do you think FIL is gearing up for a bigger move? Let me know below! 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC reality check! Flat wave C & Oct 26 bottomWe’re back on BTC to drill into my alternate Elliott Wave count and the cyclical roadmap. Cycle work pointed to an October top, which we’ve seen. I remain long-term bullish, but near term I still see a flat correction in play, with wave C unfolding.
Drivers
Elliott Wave structure
The larger uptrend remains intact, but the current phase looks corrective as a flat: wave A as a flat, wave B irregular, and wave C unfolding in five subwaves.
Near term, price action looks like we’re in or finishing wave 4 of C. By alternation, with wave 2 having been deep (around the 61.8% area), wave 4 often resolves shallower (around the 38.2% area). If it stretches closer to 50% and compresses, a triangle into a final wave 5 is plausible before completion of C.
If C remains overlapping and wedge-like, an ending diagonal scenario keeps downside limited. If instead the decline is impulsive, this drop could be only wave 1 of a larger 5-wave move lower.
Momentum-wise, higher-timeframe RSI shows divergence, consistent with a late-stage correction.
Cyclical framework
Bitcoin’s recurring rhythm has often mirrored halving cycles: a bear phase roughly around a year, followed by multi-year bull advances.
Symmetry between bottom→halving and halving→top continues to be informative. With the next halving due in 2028, the cycle window I’m monitoring points to a potential bottom window around Q4 2026 (often cited around October).
This video focuses less on a single trade and more on the timing roadmap: when the corrective structure might complete and when to consider re-engaging for the longer term.
Key zones to watch
If an ending diagonal plays out, a termination near the high-60Ks (around 69k area) would be consistent with “limited downside.”
A more dramatic impulse path could open a wider “magnetic zone” of support roughly spanning the low-70Ks down toward the 50Ks, with deeper stretch risks if the impulse extends.
Confirmation will depend on how wave 4 resolves and whether the next leg proves corrective (ED) or impulsive.
Trade idea
My base lens is structure-first, timing-second. If wave C finishes as an ending diagonal, downside should be limited in the high-60Ks and setting up a bullish continuation in 2026. If instead the drop proves impulsive (5 down), treat bounces (0.5–0.618 retraces) as opportunities to reassess shorts, with a support “magnet” spanning roughly low-70Ks to low-50Ks, and deeper risk if momentum accelerates. Validation hinges on how wave 4 resolves and whether the final leg is overlapping (ED) or cleanly impulsive.
If you want my annotated charts and live invalidation levels, drop a comment. Like and subscribe to catch the mid‑week follow‑up when wave 4/5 signals firm up.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USDJPY 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 155.150 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Starbucks at Support - Time to Brew a Bullish Move?📈SBUX has been moving inside a clean rising channel for years, respecting both the upper and lower bounds with precision.
⚔️Right now, Starbucks is retesting the lower bound of this long-term channel, a zone that has historically acted as a strong support (blue arrows).
As long as this area holds, we will be looking for trend-following longs, aiming for a continuation toward the mid and upper boundaries of the channel.📈
Nothing is confirmed yet, but this is exactly where buyers have stepped in many times before.
If the structure holds, the next bullish swing could already be brewing. ☕️
Do you think SBUX is ready for its next leg up? Share your thoughts below! 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD Keep going longWe've been long on gold consistently this week and locked in profits again. Pullbacks are buying opportunities. Today you can keep buying around 4200-4210 with targets focused on 4260-4280
I send accurate signals every day and we've had two straight weeks of profits dont miss out
ADAUSDT - Technical structure showing potential for a breakoutWith COINBASE:BTCUSD and COINBASE:ETHUSD maintaining strong bullish structure and the broader crypto market showing renewed risk-on sentiment, COINBASE:ADAUSDT is positioned for a potential continuation to the upside from technical point of view and trend continuation setup.
Crypto markets historically perform well when liquidity conditions improve, and with the FED officially ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) and a rising probability of rate cuts, the macro environment is turning supportive for digital assets.
On top of that, ADA’s ecosystem growth, rising network activity, and strong technical structure suggest that ADAUSDT may be preparing for a high-probability move up.
Based on these combined factors, we expect ADAUSDT to push up and potentially target new short-term highs if momentum continues.
Always remember WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
NZDCAD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.805.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.803.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 86,080.52.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 92,932.85.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZDUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.571.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.574 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CADJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 110.878.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 111.337 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
U.S. Crude Oil (WTI) The upside barrier is located at $59.66
U.S. crude Oil continues to post mixed results as we hold within the corrective channel formation.
We have a resistance zone between $59.66 and $59.80.
Price in this area continues to attract the sellers.
We could be analysed as holding within a large Wyckoff accumulation zone. This would have an eventual bias to break to the upside.
A 261.8% extension level is currently located at $58.22. This is close to the base of the range
Conclusion: I would expect continued mixed and volatile trading. I look for rallies to be sold within the resistance zone
USDCAD — Major Channel Breakdown Could Trigger a Larger Correcti📉 USDCAD — Major Channel Breakdown Could Trigger a Larger Correction
USDCAD has finally slipped out of the multi-month ascending channel that has guided price since late summer. This is the first clean break and retest we’ve seen in months — a strong technical signal that bullish momentum may be exhausted.
Price is now rejecting the underside of the broken channel as fresh resistance. As long as the pair holds below the 1.3980–1.4000 zone, downside continuation remains the higher-probability path.
A sustained move lower opens the way toward the 1.3850 region, with deeper targets aligning around 1.3750 if momentum accelerates.
Bearish bias remains valid unless price reclaims the broken structure with a daily close back inside the channel.
#USDCAD #ForexAnalysis #TradingView #FXSetups #PriceAction #ChannelBreak #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexCommunity #SwingTrading
If this analysis helps your trading, feel free to follow and engage — more clean chart breakdowns coming daily.
Precision setups. Smart execution. PulseTradesFX.
1203 Gold (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan for EU/US SessionsHello there,
The bearish butterfly pattern has been confirmed (Point D at 4260). The high liquidity during the London Session amplifies price fluctuations. For the EU/US sessions, focus on short positions when prices face resistance at key levels. Long positions are not recommended. Strictly adhere to pattern rules and stop-loss disciplines.
I. Confirmation of Pattern and Market Environment
1. Core Structure of the Bearish Butterfly Pattern
• The complete X-A-B-C-D structure has been formed. Point D (4260) serves as the pattern's reversal high, meeting the requirements of the 1.618 extension of the XA segment and the 1.618 extension of the CD segment.
• Key Ratio Verification: The AB segment retraces 78.6% of the XA segment, the BC segment retraces 38.2% of the AB segment, and the CD segment precisely reaches the 1.618 extension of the BC segment, indicating high pattern validity.
2. Characteristics of the London Session
• It is currently the post-opening period of the London Session. Market liquidity surges (daily trading volume exceeds 200 billion USD), leading to expanded price volatility and a higher likelihood of rapid stop-loss hunting. However, this also provides clear signals for pattern confirmation.
• The London Session is the "direction-setting phase" for EU/US session trends. Focus on capital game signals at the pattern's key levels.
II. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Combined with Pattern + Fibonacci)
• Core Resistance: 4226-4242 range (0.382-0.5 retracement of the D-C segment, a critical resistance zone for pattern confirmation).
• Primary Support: 4155 (Fibonacci 0.5 + pattern-equivalent support level of Point C).
• Secondary Support: 4128 (Fibonacci 0.618 + 0.618 equivalent of the XA segment, a classic target level for the butterfly pattern).
III. EU/US Session Short Trading Strategy (Sole Direction)
1. London Session Entry (Priority Option)
• Entry Condition: Prices rebound to test the 4226-4235 range, accompanied by bearish signals such as bearish engulfing candlesticks or MACD divergence.
• Entry Price: Enter positions opportunistically within the 4226-4230 range.
• Stop-Loss Setting: 4270 (10 pips above the high of Point D to avoid pattern invalidation risks, in line with butterfly pattern stop-loss rules).
• Target Plan:
• Primary Target: 4155 (reduce 50% of positions upon reaching, and adjust stop-loss to break-even).
• Secondary Target: 4128 (hold the remaining positions; do not exit early without additional signals).
2. London Session Direct Breakdown Entry (Supplementary Option)
• Entry Condition: Immediately after the London Session opens, prices break below 4200 and confirm the trend continuation with a closing bearish candlestick.
• Entry Price: Lightly chase short positions within the 4195-4200 range.
• Stop-Loss Setting: 4215 (pullback resistance level after the breakdown to control stop-loss hunting risks during the London Session).
• Target Plan: Consistent with the priority strategy (4155 → 4128).
3. US Session Entry (Complementary Option)
• Entry Condition: No entry signals appear during the London Session; prices fluctuate between 4200-4226 before the US Session opens, and do not break above 4242 after the release of ADP data.
• Entry Price: Enter positions within the 4215-4220 range.
• Stop-Loss and Targets: Consistent with the priority strategy.
IV. Risk Control and Response to Pattern Invalidation
• Pattern Invalidation Criterion: If prices break above 4270, it indicates that the reversal at Point D is invalid and the butterfly pattern has collapsed. Immediately cease all short-position operations for the day and wait for the pattern to reorganize.
• Data Risk Response: After the release of the evening ADP data, if gold surges and breaks above 4242, strictly exit short positions upon hitting the stop-loss; do not hold positions against the trend.
• London Session Discipline: Avoid aggressive entries within the first 30 minutes after the opening. Wait for 1-2 4-hour candlesticks to confirm the direction and avoid false signals amid high liquidity.
V. Position Management Rules
• Position Control: The size of a single entry should not exceed 10% of total capital to avoid excessive concentration of risks.
• Stop-Loss Execution: Immediately exit positions when the stop-loss level is hit; do not adjust the stop-loss to expand risks.
• Target Adjustment: If the 4155 support holds and triggers a valid rebound, the remaining positions can be held until reaching 4128 without taking profit midway.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!






















