Wave Analysis
ADAUSDT - Technical structure showing potential for a breakoutWith COINBASE:BTCUSD and COINBASE:ETHUSD maintaining strong bullish structure and the broader crypto market showing renewed risk-on sentiment, COINBASE:ADAUSDT is positioned for a potential continuation to the upside from technical point of view and trend continuation setup.
Crypto markets historically perform well when liquidity conditions improve, and with the FED officially ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) and a rising probability of rate cuts, the macro environment is turning supportive for digital assets.
On top of that, ADA’s ecosystem growth, rising network activity, and strong technical structure suggest that ADAUSDT may be preparing for a high-probability move up.
Based on these combined factors, we expect ADAUSDT to push up and potentially target new short-term highs if momentum continues.
Always remember WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
NZDCAD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.805.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.803.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BITCOIN Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 86,080.52.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 92,932.85.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.571.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.574 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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CADJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 110.878.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 111.337 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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U.S. Crude Oil (WTI) The upside barrier is located at $59.66
U.S. crude Oil continues to post mixed results as we hold within the corrective channel formation.
We have a resistance zone between $59.66 and $59.80.
Price in this area continues to attract the sellers.
We could be analysed as holding within a large Wyckoff accumulation zone. This would have an eventual bias to break to the upside.
A 261.8% extension level is currently located at $58.22. This is close to the base of the range
Conclusion: I would expect continued mixed and volatile trading. I look for rallies to be sold within the resistance zone
USDCAD — Major Channel Breakdown Could Trigger a Larger Correcti📉 USDCAD — Major Channel Breakdown Could Trigger a Larger Correction
USDCAD has finally slipped out of the multi-month ascending channel that has guided price since late summer. This is the first clean break and retest we’ve seen in months — a strong technical signal that bullish momentum may be exhausted.
Price is now rejecting the underside of the broken channel as fresh resistance. As long as the pair holds below the 1.3980–1.4000 zone, downside continuation remains the higher-probability path.
A sustained move lower opens the way toward the 1.3850 region, with deeper targets aligning around 1.3750 if momentum accelerates.
Bearish bias remains valid unless price reclaims the broken structure with a daily close back inside the channel.
#USDCAD #ForexAnalysis #TradingView #FXSetups #PriceAction #ChannelBreak #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexCommunity #SwingTrading
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1203 Gold (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan for EU/US SessionsHello there,
The bearish butterfly pattern has been confirmed (Point D at 4260). The high liquidity during the London Session amplifies price fluctuations. For the EU/US sessions, focus on short positions when prices face resistance at key levels. Long positions are not recommended. Strictly adhere to pattern rules and stop-loss disciplines.
I. Confirmation of Pattern and Market Environment
1. Core Structure of the Bearish Butterfly Pattern
• The complete X-A-B-C-D structure has been formed. Point D (4260) serves as the pattern's reversal high, meeting the requirements of the 1.618 extension of the XA segment and the 1.618 extension of the CD segment.
• Key Ratio Verification: The AB segment retraces 78.6% of the XA segment, the BC segment retraces 38.2% of the AB segment, and the CD segment precisely reaches the 1.618 extension of the BC segment, indicating high pattern validity.
2. Characteristics of the London Session
• It is currently the post-opening period of the London Session. Market liquidity surges (daily trading volume exceeds 200 billion USD), leading to expanded price volatility and a higher likelihood of rapid stop-loss hunting. However, this also provides clear signals for pattern confirmation.
• The London Session is the "direction-setting phase" for EU/US session trends. Focus on capital game signals at the pattern's key levels.
II. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Combined with Pattern + Fibonacci)
• Core Resistance: 4226-4242 range (0.382-0.5 retracement of the D-C segment, a critical resistance zone for pattern confirmation).
• Primary Support: 4155 (Fibonacci 0.5 + pattern-equivalent support level of Point C).
• Secondary Support: 4128 (Fibonacci 0.618 + 0.618 equivalent of the XA segment, a classic target level for the butterfly pattern).
III. EU/US Session Short Trading Strategy (Sole Direction)
1. London Session Entry (Priority Option)
• Entry Condition: Prices rebound to test the 4226-4235 range, accompanied by bearish signals such as bearish engulfing candlesticks or MACD divergence.
• Entry Price: Enter positions opportunistically within the 4226-4230 range.
• Stop-Loss Setting: 4270 (10 pips above the high of Point D to avoid pattern invalidation risks, in line with butterfly pattern stop-loss rules).
• Target Plan:
• Primary Target: 4155 (reduce 50% of positions upon reaching, and adjust stop-loss to break-even).
• Secondary Target: 4128 (hold the remaining positions; do not exit early without additional signals).
2. London Session Direct Breakdown Entry (Supplementary Option)
• Entry Condition: Immediately after the London Session opens, prices break below 4200 and confirm the trend continuation with a closing bearish candlestick.
• Entry Price: Lightly chase short positions within the 4195-4200 range.
• Stop-Loss Setting: 4215 (pullback resistance level after the breakdown to control stop-loss hunting risks during the London Session).
• Target Plan: Consistent with the priority strategy (4155 → 4128).
3. US Session Entry (Complementary Option)
• Entry Condition: No entry signals appear during the London Session; prices fluctuate between 4200-4226 before the US Session opens, and do not break above 4242 after the release of ADP data.
• Entry Price: Enter positions within the 4215-4220 range.
• Stop-Loss and Targets: Consistent with the priority strategy.
IV. Risk Control and Response to Pattern Invalidation
• Pattern Invalidation Criterion: If prices break above 4270, it indicates that the reversal at Point D is invalid and the butterfly pattern has collapsed. Immediately cease all short-position operations for the day and wait for the pattern to reorganize.
• Data Risk Response: After the release of the evening ADP data, if gold surges and breaks above 4242, strictly exit short positions upon hitting the stop-loss; do not hold positions against the trend.
• London Session Discipline: Avoid aggressive entries within the first 30 minutes after the opening. Wait for 1-2 4-hour candlesticks to confirm the direction and avoid false signals amid high liquidity.
V. Position Management Rules
• Position Control: The size of a single entry should not exceed 10% of total capital to avoid excessive concentration of risks.
• Stop-Loss Execution: Immediately exit positions when the stop-loss level is hit; do not adjust the stop-loss to expand risks.
• Target Adjustment: If the 4155 support holds and triggers a valid rebound, the remaining positions can be held until reaching 4128 without taking profit midway.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup – Breakout Target AheadGold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a major intraday support zone after a sharp correction. Price has tapped into the lower liquidity area and is showing early signs of potential bullish reversal.
🔶 Key Levels & Structure
Strong Support Zone: Price is testing a major demand area where previous bullish moves originated.
Breakout Zone: A minor breakout is expected once price breaks above the short-term resistance structure.
Strong Resistance: A bigger bearish liquidity block sits below, but the market is currently respecting the upper demand.
Breakout Target: If bulls gain momentum, price could push toward the 4165–4175 supply area.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the current support and breaks the short-term structural high, we may see a clean bullish continuation toward the upper breakout target zone.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failing to hold current support could drag price back down into the lower liquidity pools before any strong reversal attempt.
📝 Overall Outlook
Market structure favors a bullish recovery, but confirmation is required through a clear breakout of short-term resistance. Traders should wait for strong candle closures to avoid false moves.
🔥 Title Suggestions
Gold Ready for a Bullish Breakout from Key Support
XAUUSD Reversal Setup – Watching the Breakout Levels
Gold Analysis: Strong Support Holding, Breakout Target Ahead
XAUUSD Bulls Preparing for Next Rally
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 5/12/2025
1. Momentum Analysis
D1:
Daily momentum has begun moving into the oversold zone, indicating that the current corrective phase may be nearing completion. We will wait for a bullish daily candle to confirm the reversal.
H4:
H4 momentum is declining, suggesting that price may continue to drop or move sideways to bring momentum into the oversold area.
H1:
H1 momentum is currently rising, so the market may see a short-term upward move or sideways action at this timeframe.
________________________________________
2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1 – Higher-Timeframe Structure
Price remains within the green ABC structure of wave X.
With D1 momentum entering the oversold zone and preparing to reverse, the market may continue upward for 4–5 days.
The upward momentum range on D1 is quite large, meaning wave C could push higher toward the previous top or even exceed it—potentially forming an expanded flat or even initiating a new uptrend. We will continue monitoring to refine the strategy.
________________________________________
H4 – Medium-Term Wave Count
Price is currently forming green wave 4, developing mostly sideways.
A strong bullish candle will likely confirm that wave 4 is complete, allowing the market to begin green wave 5.
Projected target for wave 5 (green): 4329
________________________________________
H1 – Short-Term Structure
Price is fluctuating inside a major liquidity zone:
• Upper liquidity zone: 4184 – 4245
• Lower thin-liquidity zone: 4144 – 4184
This creates two possible scenarios:
________________________________________
Scenario 1 – Black ABC correction
If price closes below 4184, it will break through the thin-liquidity zone.
In this case:
• Wave C (black) targets 4144, where C = A
• If price drops deeper into the green wave 1 area → the current wave count becomes invalid, and a new structure will be updated accordingly
________________________________________
Scenario 2 – Triangle structure for wave 4
If price fails to break below 4184, the triangle pattern for wave 4 remains valid.
The two red trendlines outline this structure, and price may currently be in wave d or e.
We will wait for a strong bullish candle breaking the upper triangle boundary to trigger a breakout entry.
________________________________________
3. Trading Plan
Triangle scenario
• Wait for a bullish breakout above the upper boundary.
ABC correction scenario
• Wait for price to reach 4144 to trigger the buy setup.
________________________________________
✅ Buy Zone: 4146 – 4144
❌ SL: 4124
🎯 TP1: 4184
🎯 TP2: 4245
🎯 TP3: 4329
#Banknifty Directions and Levels for December 5: the higher time-frame structure is still showing a solid bullish bias. So if today’s market turns green, we can expect a minimum of the channel top (short-term target). On the other hand, if the market breaks the current swing bottom, we can expect 100% to 127% extension targets for a minor correction. If we call that structurally a flag pattern, AB=CD pattern, or a C wave, then the implications would align accordingly.
#Nifty Directions and Levels for December 5:Good morning, friends! 🌞
Market Directions and Levels for December 5:
There were no changes in the global or our local market. The Dow Jones indicates a moderately bullish sentiment, while our Indian market indicates a moderately bearish sentiment. However, today the GIFT Nifty indicates a neutral opening.
What to Expect Today?
Today we have a RBI monetary policy announcement. It’s a volatile day, and movement will depend on the event. In my charts, the higher time-frame structure is still showing a solid bullish bias. So if today’s market turns green, we can expect a minimum of the channel top (short-term target). On the other hand, if the market breaks the current swing bottom, we can expect 100% to 127% extension targets for a minor correction. If we call that structurally a flag pattern, AB=CD pattern, or a C wave, then the implications would align accordingly.
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 5, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 5, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🧨 Big inflation catch-up day: A cluster of delayed PCE reports hits at once — this is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and will dictate rate-path expectations into year-end.
🧭 Consumer sentiment & credit: Adds read-through on household stress, spending durability, and recession probability.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
⏰ 8 30 AM — Heavy Macro Drop
• Personal Income (Sept, delayed): 0.3% vs 0.4%
• Personal Spending (Sept, delayed): 0.4% vs 0.3%
• PCE Index (Sept, delayed): 0.3% vs 0.3%
• PCE YoY: 2.9% vs 2.9%
• Core PCE Index (Sept, delayed): 0.2% vs 0.2%
• Core PCE YoY: 2.8% vs 2.7%
⏰ 10 00 AM
• Consumer Sentiment (prelim, Dec): 52.0 vs 51.0
⏰ 3 00 PM
• Consumer Credit (Oct): $10.5B vs $13.1B
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #PCE #inflation #macro #fed #consumer #markets #stocks #trading #investing






















