It has been almost 20 days since our buy signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) after it hit the bottom of the (diverging) Channel Down (dashed lines): As you see, the price hit our target on the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the previous Channel Down, but yesterday failed to break the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and gor rejected downwards. If it breaks and closes above...
Inflation, inflation, inflation. In China, 15/16 districts have zero Covid cases and all restrictions are set to be cancelled by June. Globally, the disease is under control - Pretty much insuring a very busy summer for travel. So fundamentally - Crude oil has plenty of room to rise in the short-term and mid-term. When we look at the technicals we see :...
WTI Oil (USOIL) has been closely following our recent projections, both the perfect buy entry caught 12 days ago after spotting the Lower Lows bottom fractal similar to September 26, as well as the most recent buy 6 days ago after the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) held as Support: We are again on the 4H time-frame, with the price continuing to replicate the...
Hi dear traders. WTI (Crude OIL) created nice trend channel started from 73.37. Upper border of the channel is 75.60. Although, oil prices is moving between these prices from 16 December, as soon as it will jump to 77.55 level. This is my private opinion and this is good opportunity for buyers. Signal characteristics: WTI will move down firstly, then possibly...
Oil returned to the previous range Look for downtrends and sell positions
On our last WTI Oil (USOIL) analysis 6 days ago we caught the perfect buy entry after spotting the Lower Lows bottom fractal similar to September 26: That chart was on the 1D time-frame and as you see, we got a perfect rebound that, moving into today's analysis on the 4H time-frame, broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We now have a similar pull-back to...
Still on bullish momnetum for 3 days, however I might take profit on 77.00 before making an entry again at 73.50. I might consider a short pullback, if it happen it might end on a strong momentum going up. LEt see what will happen next.
WTI Oil (USOIL) is repeating the September correction pattern, which made a September 26 Low and then rebounded aggressively. A common feature is the symmetrical Lower Lows on the 1D RSI sequences. If that rebounds here next week, we expect Oil to reach, first the top of the June Channel Down (blue circle) and if broken, then move at least to test the 1D MA50...
WTI Oil (USOIL) failed emphatically last week to break the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as it was rejected just below it and made yesterday and today a new market Low. Based on the RSI sequence as well, the rejection seems similar to September 14 that ended up making a new Low on the Lower Lows Zone (since July 14) on the -0.3 Fibonacci extension. This extension is...
The price eventually dived back to the 74.00 Support as the previous Low was compromised. The 4H MA50 is near oversold territory (RSI = 34.019, MACD = -2.320, ADX = 29.655) and since November 10th that has always caused a +5.50% rebound at least but since 73.00 broke, that means more heavy selling to 70.00. Notice the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that is...
In our previous update on West Texas Intermediate crude oil, we updated our price target from long-term to medium-term. Additionally, we stated that this price target could soon become short-term, depending on oil market developments. Today, finally, USOIL hit a new yearly low at 73.62$, further confirming our bearish thesis. Accordingly, we continue to maintain...
Organization of Petroleum Exporters and its Allies (OPEC+) maintained production cuts, keeping production at 2 million barrels per day (bpd) from November to 2023. Oil prices weakened as China's zero-covid policy weighed on demand. However, after the regulation was relaxed in a number of cities including Beijing and Shanghai, oil prices slowly moved up. WTI and...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) materialized the rebound that we called on Monday exactly on the 73.60 bottom: The pull-back since yesterday's High is close to the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) and is similar to the one during September 29/30, which is within the rebound sequence we've been modelling the new rebound from. The Channel Up (green) doesn't need to be as...
I've done a full blown video on the analysis of this trade see my idea links below and the ideas behind the pin bar reversal price action training chart (how to enter the trade). We're in a downtrend so this possible reversal so i recommend a smaller risk trade, Beginners - Take profits on the way up after taking T1, move T1 and T2 your stops to zero (No...
True analysis. Tast's an update. Based on my analysis for OIL on Aug 2. To know about analysis, follow me and contact me if you have any comments or questions. (I will answer whenever I have time).
EMAflow printed a short signal which likely limits the upside for oil - we could see a megaphone like movement before resolve - if we wick in to the overbought zone we could get some nice entries: entry 94-98 tp1 91.93 tp2 87.57 tp3 82.76 tp4 79.60-76.81 sl 103
The oil market has seen a lot of activity, with recent developments mostly easing worries about market tightness. In China, Covid-related restrictions have been reinstalled in major cities, triggering rare protests and consequently reducing outlook for oil consumption, in striking contrast to perceived moves to reopen the economy at the beginning of November. On...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) almost turned oversold on its 1D RSI today and the last time it approached the 30.000 level was on September 26. That was the low of the multi-month downtrend, with Oil making a counter trend rebound to 93.65 in just 10 days! On the short-term, the Resistance that has been intact since November 15 is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). Breaking...