For some time now, we held the view that the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil would remain volatile, trapped within a wide range between $70 and $82. Then more recently, we stated that the oil price was likely to break below $70 as the U.S. administration sought to unload more crude oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Today, we would like to...
WTI net buys has been steadily increasing this past few days -- conveying accumulation at the current discounted price range. WTI just touched 1.0 FIB LEVEL -- the most discounted price range you can get. Expect some notable bounce from the present levels. The 70.0 level is a strong solid support which has been tested many times in the last 6 months -- and price...
Structure: Solid power move to the support zone aligned with the 200 MA Strateg Trade: Short - A bounce back expected from this level Risk/Reward: 1:2 Disclaimer: DYOR!
Buying oil with a good risk and reward At the moment, the oil trend is tense and full of risk. Act with caution
WTI Oil (USOIL) has easily hit our short-term target (see chart below) and is now consolidating: This consolidation is being done within a Triangle pattern, which as we saw on Friday it remained valid despite the fact that the price broke marginally above it, as the 4H candle closed eventually back inside it. This suggests that the (currently neutral trend)...
Crude oil prices consolidate around 68 and 77 dollars per barrel, remaining below the heights of March and April. The risk of downside movement is fueled by the slow recovery of China and their slow demand increase, higher interest rates on demand and uncertainty around US economy. On the other hand, if the prices dip too low, the countries of OPEC+ will be fast...
The weak trade and inflation data from China further casts doubt on the ability of fast economical recovery of the country after COVID. This puts a rench in OPEC's forecast that China will drive the demand for crude oil to record high. The technical indicators are also confirming the downtrend, with MACD histogram being below 0 and RSI under 50 neutral...
WTI Crude Oil is trading around the 4H MA50, testing the harmonic HL trendline as on the previous bottom rebound on March 24th. The 4H technicals turned red (RSI = 39.049, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 28.123), which again is consistent with the March pullback. We are adding a new buy here, targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 76.50). Prior idea: ## If you like our free...
We suspect volatility may be on the quiet side with a US inflation report looming, but this provides the opportunity for markets to consolidate and traders plan trades. Should we see the pace of inflation to continue slowing, it could strengthen oil prices for two basic reasons. 1 - A weaker US dollar, as traders bring forward rate cut bets / solidifies bets of...
WTI Oil crossed over the Falling Resistance today and is establishing the price action over the MA50 (4h). On the previous bullish leg to Resistance (1), the price had one last pull back before extending the rise. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the RSI (4h) gets 40.00 again. Targets: 1. 76.00 (the MA50 (4h)). Tips: 1. The ultimate long term Resistance is the MA200...
I don't do a lot of short-term work, but a small scalp in oil with good risk
It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve, which is responsible for managing the US's monetary policy, will raise interest rates again. This could potentially cause the US economy to slow down and enter a recession later this year. In recent weeks, concerns about a banking crisis have affected the oil market. The US government took over First Republic Bank, and...
Perfect execution of our plan last Monday for WTI Oil (USOIL) as the price initially rebounded to the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), got rejected and hit our 74.00 target: That is the top of the Pivot Zone that started back in mid-December. We are now expecting a (near) test of the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) as a Resistance to see if we'll get the rejection for...
The trend on the 1h time-frame is broken, but until the resistance (green line) is bearish because part of the GAP has not yet been completely closed and we can have a rise up to the resistance from which a rejection can follow and then a closing of the gap and barely then a climb with breaking resistance, so I would wait now to see what happens. But I'm looking...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) got, as we expected, heavily rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), starting to fill the gap of March: Our next target is 74.00, just above the Pivot Zone, but on the short-term, with the 4H RSI rebounding after getting oversold (has given a 100% buy signal short-term in the past 4 months), we expect a rise towards the 4H MA50...
WTI OIL (USOIL) broke yesterday below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today upon re-testing it as a Resistance, it is currently being rejected. This is a major sell signal as since December 2022 inside the Resistance Zone, every such break-out was a confirmed sell. All prior 5 cases hit the Support Zone shortly after. Even an oversold 4H RSI doesn't mean a...
WTI Oil (USOIL) has gone a long way since our buy call a month ago, that not only did it hit its target but smashed through the Jan Lower Highs and the 1D MA100: The critical development of the week is that it hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since August 30 2022. Naturally that alone constitutes big news as along with the 83.35 High of...
Oil prices fell to a 15-month low as investors fretted over the potential for a financial meltdown. Whilst that is yet to fully materialise (or if it does at all), investors remain a little on edge - with news of the latest Hindenburg report accusing Block (SQ) of fraudulent activity not likely to quell fears. WTI has manged to lift itself from its 15-month...