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Wyckoff

MNHLDG CONTINUE MARKING UPThis is a continuation from my previous entry **Refer link Referring to the Red Box, I see it as a Stepping Stone (SS) , a mere temporary stop centre, before continuing marking up from previous Trading Range (Red Arc Line). My hypothesis is that, this box are forming a mini Trading Range , in which the formation of local spring , prompted me to initiate position. The 3 Bars (Or Candlesticks, whatever you prefer), are basically a SpringBoard [/b ] in the form of Absorption. For Non Wyckoffian, this might be confusing. Different POV produce different meaning & context/subcontext. I intiated my position @ 31/7/25, added position today PureWyckoff
MYX:MNHLDGLong
by drsyariz
BTC Bitcoin in Distribution Phase BLOW-OFF TOPI believe Bitcoin BTC is in Wyckoff Distribution Phase B heading for Upthrust After Distribution (New ATH) Sweeping $124,500 price. For me, that would be the BLOW-OFF TOP and the end of this cycles. For this scenario to play out, after taking liquidity above the current ATH, it needs to start reversing and dropping. If it closes above the current ATH, then this idea would be invalidated. There are other factors which would confirm this idea but I am not gonna share it publicly. Good luck and Happy Trading...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by f371321
EUR/USD Buy idea to the upside Weekly EURUSD Analysis My outlook for EU is similar to GU — I’ll be watching for a retracement into demand before looking for buys back to the upside. The key area on my chart is the 9H demand zone, where I’ll be monitoring for signs of accumulation before entering longs. At the same time, I’ve marked a 6H supply zone sitting at a strong premium level. If the bullish scenario doesn’t play out, this would be an ideal area to catch potential sells to the downside. Either way, I’ll be waiting for price to slow down and confirm at one of my POIs before committing. Confluences for EU Buys: - Strong 9H demand zone responsible for the last break of structure. - Overall bullish structure → pro-trend trade idea. - DXY analysis aligns with bullish EU outlook. - Imbalance above + liquidity that still needs to be taken. P.S. If price breaks below the 9H demand zone, I’ll be eyeing the 5H demand zone just beneath, as it’s more discounted and potentially offers an even cleaner long setup. Let’s have a strong week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBP/USD Buys from 1.35000 back up to 1.36000This week’s focus is on the continuation of the bullish trend, with the main opportunity being a retracement back down into the recent demand zone left behind. From there, I’ll be looking for signs of a Wyckoff distribution to confirm an entry. If price decides to push higher without retracing, I’ll instead look for a Wyckoff accumulation to form near the 5H supply zone that I’ve marked above current price. Confluences for GU Buys: - Recent break of structure to the upside confirms bullish intent. - DXY has been bearish, supporting a bullish GU outlook. - A retracement would allow price to re-distribute near the 5H demand zone. - Clear liquidity above that still needs to be taken. P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, it could form a new supply zone — giving earlier sell opportunities. But if nothing confirms, then staying patient and waiting on our hands is also a valid option.
Long
by Hassan_fx
MINIMA - Technical Analysis. Are we entering a bull market?MINIMA - Technical Analysis. Are we entering a bull market? Hello! I am returning to an analysis of MINIMA. This market is remarkably interesting in both its structure and behavior. Today, I will review the latest structure and place it in the broader context, including the history observed on the Wrapped version. Unfortunately, TradingView does not allow overlaying two charts outside their native ranges, so I will refer to data from both Wrapped and MINIMA. Let’s begin. I do not have formal education in this field. I am self-taught and place strong emphasis on Technical Analysis as the core of my decision-making process. While charts are difficult to read, I think they allow one to infer, to a meaningful extent, the hidden intentions of so-called “Smart Money.” The views below are strictly my own and may be incorrect. This publication does not constitute investment or educational advice as defined by any applicable regulations. I will rely solely on Technical Analysis based on the Wyckoff methodology, VSA, and footprint analysis. Background As background, I use the WMINIMA chart supplemented by current MINIMA quotations. WMINIMA data show periods of distribution and accumulation on the higher timeframe. A key observation for me is the strong breakout around March 2024: price surged sharply and then printed a new, deeper low. The downtrend subsequently stalled at a higher low and transitioned into a range. On the charts, I mark accumulation/distribution structures relevant to the analysis. Technical analysis and interpretation For this study I created a composite view to capture the full history. The composite lacks full volume because WMINIMA does not provide it. For context, one of my archived screenshots shows the last visible candle at roughly 1.4 million in volume; based on bar height I estimate the highest volumes to be around 6 million. pbs.twimg.com I annotate events in line with Wyckoff. In Phase A of accumulation, I label the Selling Climax as “Seller’s Exhaustion,” as in my view the bar structure does not fully match a classic Climax Bar known from VSA; however, the message is the same - significant accumulation. I first consider the highest-order, global structure marked in red. I observe rising volume on the advance that builds what I mark as an Upthrust. The next area of elevated volume begins around July 2024 - a demand response to declining price within the price zone that preceded the breakout. Both high-activity zones are in comparable price areas. I then move to the current MINIMA chart. On MINIMA, I see a local volume spike during the formation of the ATL (all-time low). I also note declining volume on the drop from a local top I labeled an Upthrust - this is a lower-order structure than the red one; I mark it in orange. Following this path leads to the area with the highest volume, which I interpret as Phase C of the orange structure. It is characterized by very high volumes(1W ~50kk to 6kk volume from 1W WMINIMA) and minimal spread. In my view, this indicates strong absorption by smart money - behavior consistent with “Bag Holding” in the Williams/VSA framework - similar to the candle that halted the decline at the ATL. To validate this, I zoom in with a 1-month footprint. The 1-month view shows the last two candles with very large volumes. The three most recent candles all have negative delta, and delta represents a significant share of total volume. The buy/sell relation suggests aggressive, dominant selling. However, price does not fall despite repeated attempts to push it lower. I analyze where volume clusters within one standard deviation. The candles have lower wicks- particularly in June - suggesting a Shakeout. Given the negative delta and the price response, I conclude there is a lack of result relative to the effort: aggressive supply has been absorbed, with the largest market orders printing within a narrow price band. In my interpretation, the orange structure is a lower-tier structure functioning as Phase C of the red, global accumulation. Considering the above, I judge it highly probable that these observations confirm ongoing accumulation. I place particular weight on the footprint: the activity occurred at the right place and time. The asset recorded the highest volumes in its history at what I think is Phase C of the global accumulation. Moreover, the market’s failure to decline under heavy selling reinforces this view. At this stage, I consider the possibility of an accumulation spring that could push price once more lower - potentially below the ATL - taking out the structure; I justify this by the still elevated volumes. I also note prior resistance and consider that a potential shakeout low could terminate around 0.0138 USD. All in all, I think this market is worth monitoring. Confirmation of my thesis would be successful supply tests resolved in favor of the bulls, followed by development consistent with Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS) leading to a Sign of Strength (SOS) and a Jump Across the Creek (JAC). Thank you for reading. I wish you good health, effective analyses, and successful trades. CatTheTrader
Long
by CatTheTrader
1
ETH/USDT – Bullish Reversal Potential from Fibonacci Confluence 💡 Idea: Ethereum is showing signs of demand absorption at a critical Fibonacci support cluster (0.5 – 0.618 retracement). VSA patterns confirm that selling pressure is being absorbed, hinting at a possible markup toward previous swing highs. 📍 Trade Setup: Entry: Current levels near 3,551 Target: 3,937 (+10.82%) Stop Loss: 3,338 (below last absorption zone) R:R Ratio: ~1.79:1 📊 Technical Reasoning (VSA) 1. Stopping Volume at Fibonacci Support ETH tested the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone from its prior bullish impulse. Wide spread down-bars on high volume failed to produce significant downside progress, signaling professional buying. 2. No Supply Confirmation Following the stopping volume, the market printed narrow range candles on decreasing volume, indicating supply exhaustion. 3. Demand Emergence The recent push above short-term resistance came with increasing volume and wider up-bar spreads, suggesting the start of an accumulation-to-markup transition. 4. Structure & Fibonacci Confluence Current rally aligns with the Fibonacci golden zone and past structural support. 📌 Trading Plan: Enter on confirmed breakout above minor resistance with volume expansion. Scale out partial profits near 3,800 and let remainder ride toward 3,937. Keep stop below 3,338 to avoid being shaken out by false breakouts.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by coolbouy
3
Simple Psychology Tips Using Volume for Better TradingMany newer traders assume that when someone says "psychology" in trading, they are referring to mindset. It is also widely believed that trading is about the BEST entries. Now, think of it this way. It is not about winning trades, it is actually about managing losses well to allow you to take the winners over and over again. You might think that a 3 to 1 risk-to-reward strategy is boring, you might have gone all in on your favourite crypto project. But what makes the difference between gambling and trading is actually very, very simple. So simple, in fact, many overlook it or simply ignore it. Most seek a silver bullet - high win rates and perfectly timed entries, then they overleverage and move stops on the one "good trade" they are seeking to make. Whilst doing this, they tend to overload the 6 monitors they have purchased to trade with a thousand indicators, which they don't really need. The candlesticks tell a story, volume supports that story. When you learn any technique from Elliott Waves to Wyckoff, they all have a dependence on volume - even if the correlation is not apparent. Look at this first image. Price had moved down since the vertical line, the AD line also moved down - sell-off, in full swing. But then volume starts to shift before the AD line starts to increase. Now, look at what happens next... As we move forward and the new vertical line shows where volume spiked, the AD line starts to decrease as the price continues to rise. This is enough of a story to start your analysis. We then get a move with a lower high formed. As this plays out, the sell-side volume rises, creating momentum for the short position. Look a little closer and you will see, that the volume on the move up just before the drop was also decreasing. Making a divergence to price. You might feel that the market is against you, or that the big players are single-handedly seeking your stops. But the truth is, the psychology in moves such as this one shown is where most retail traders either have greed that markets will only go up for ever or the fear that they are missing out on a market that only goes up forever. It is that herd mentality that generates the liquidity for the professionals. Losing 1% on a trade, is part of the process, risking 80%> on a single move will make you paper rich for about 10 minutes before the real losses set in. This is where the psychology and the basic techniques such as risk management and understanding what candlesticks and volume bars are telling you, will make a world of difference to your results. A/D line and volume are free on @TradingView and to be fair you don't need to overcomplicate it more than that! Stay safe, have a great weekend all!!! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
5
PEKAT CONT MARKING UPThis is a continuation of my prev thesis for Pekat **Refer prev post Since my previous position, Pekat has been always under my radar. (This is a Stepping Stone Zone, Continuation from previous Mark Up Phase) what caught my attention, the formation of BUEC consistenly unfolding in the background of reducing supply (red arrow) With the formation : type #2 schematic of feather's weight (black line) *No springboard here. difficult to see this kind of setup although the entry point, a bit extended comparing to my average price entry, but it was still contained within the limit (not more than 2%) Position intiated as attached PureWyckoff
MYX:PEKATLong
by drsyariz
EURAUD – Incoming Upthrust? Accumulation or Distribution? Chart Context: EURAUD recently completed a sharp markdown after a textbook rising channel break. What’s interesting now is that price has entered what looks like a potential box range between 1.7768 and 1.7885. I'm anticipating a possible upthrust move into the 1.788x zone — and what follows will reveal the true intent. Here’s the internal debate: Are we looking at reaccumulation — smart money trapping shorts before driving higher in line with broader money flow? Or is this a distribution — where the market builds a false sense of support before deeper downside? 🔍 What tips the scale for now is this: >The overall money flow direction (via volume patterns + structure) has leaned bullish, so I’m favoring accumulation with a shakeout scenario. Signs I’m watching: ✅ Absorption volume near the bottom of the range ✅ Higher lows inside the zone ✅ Fake breakout / upthrust into prior structure ❌ Failure to hold above 1.7855 could flip the bias short-term 📉 Expecting one more dip to test demand, followed by range tightening, and if buyers show up strong — the breakout can get explosive. What’s your take? Are we prepping for a markup or will this fakeout and roll over? "I go long or short as close as I can to the danger point, and if the danger becomes real, I close out and take a small loss"
Short
by theeOperator90
BTC Massive SetupConsolidation for months between 91k and 106k - Classic Wyckoff setup as an accumulation/distribution - Price targets of: 121.878 (122k is the popular target) to the upside with 75,827 on the down - Saylor today put out news to be raising another $2 billion to buy BTC. Either he is going to be able to hold the floor or get washed out - Trade can be taken with confirmation of breakout on either side pretty easily as momentum will be so strong that being on the wrong side will most likely be an immediate stop out
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CrashoutCapital
KLCI BULLISH This year, 2025, has been another challenging time in Bursa KLCI. I have been on the sideline most of the time, since August 2024 We initiated our real positions on 14-17/3/2025, following the follow-through day , however some of the positions knocked out n some thriving (e.g ecomate, profit taken) We then resumed our buying on 11/4/2025, as few stocks setting up with low risk entry point. Up until now, our portfolio has been growing up to total ROI of around 14-20%, with the heavy use of Margin. (e.g scgbhd, mnhldg, gamuda, suncon, pekat) Based on our current analysis of KLCI Index, we concluded that : 1/ Market probably has discounting all the possible worst case scenarios -Bottoming process is ongoing to complete . (A complete type 2 #Schematic Accmulation trading range? probably) -Tradingview does not provide the Volume data for KLCI Index, need to refer other sources 2/ Market is going for the markup phase 3/ Market is still in the hard-ringgit environment Our Bottom-Top approach, is purely based on the performance of individual stocks. Meaning, the stock itself dictate our tactics. And as always, my focus would be on the leaders, which granting me further leverage. I need to keep reminding myself, that in bull market, key is not to fight the market but to execute with precision n risk management. And I need to keep reminding myself again, that, it is ok to form an opinion. But always be ready to adapt to the portals of possibility. As.. I am in the 'responding business' . Not 'Predicting business'
FTSEMYX:FBMKLCILong
by drsyariz
BTC – Textbook Pullback. New ATHs. What’s Next?Back in mid-June, I published a BTC update calling for a local correction into HTF demand while most were screaming bear market and waiting for deeper breakdowns. Price action played out exactly as forecasted. BTC swept the $100k swing low, front-ran my first demand zone by $400, and launched into a powerful reversal — just like it did back in April, where it also front-ran the key HTF demand before rallying. That move took us straight into new all-time highs (ATHs) — now trading comfortably around $118k. 🧠 What Happened? ✅ Liquidity sweep of the prior low ✅ Front-run demand zone (perfect HTF structure) ✅ Strong bullish reaction and higher high ✅ Confluence from USDT.D rejection at 5.25% ✅ Alts showing signs of strength as BTC rallies The entire setup aligned perfectly across BTC, USDT.D, TOTAL, and OTHERS.D — all of which I’ve been tracking in tandem. 🔮 What Now? With BTC now in price discovery, I expect continuation higher — but not without the possibility of a short-term pullback. 📉 A potential retest of the $108k zone isn’t off the table. This level aligns with: - Prior breakout structure - Range high retest - Local demand before continuation But even if we go straight up — I remain HTF bullish into the final phase of this cycle, supported by: - USDT.D structure still bearish - BTC.D showing signs of distribution - ETH.D and OTHERS.D gaining momentum - Altseason rotation already starting to pick up 🧭 The Macro Outlook The 4-year cycle projection still points to a Q3 2025 top — likely between August late and September based on historical cycle timing, but this could deviate. That gives us a window of 2–3 months for this final leg to unfold — and it’s already in motion. Stay focused. Stick to your plan. Ride the trend, don’t chase it. Let me know what levels you're watching next, and whether you think we get that $108k retest — or we go vertical from here. 1D: 3D: 4D: 1W: 1M: — Marshy 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy