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Wyckoff

NIO Stock: Is a Spring Reversal Imminent?I had been shorting NIO stock due to the very apparent downtrend as portrayed by the 50 and 100 EMA. However, I noticed that the swings from high to low were getting narrower, signaling a loss in momentum. Throwing some zones on the chart, you can see a small trading range has formed. I compared the Wyckoff accumulation schematic to the NIO chart. The schematic calls for hard selling followed by strong buying and consolidation. In NIO, there was hard selling in March and May, with strong volume. This indicates that there were large interests selling their shares during this time. However, in November 2022, we saw a selling climax with strong volume. This was followed by a bounce in price called the automatic reaction (AR). This bounce is likely due to institutional investors buying up the supply. The secondary test, which occurred on expectedly lower volume, further supports this theory. The millionaire-making question is whether we have seen an ST in phase B. If we have not, it is likely that the trend will continue lower to the sub-$5 range. However, if we have seen an ST, it is likely that we are seeing a spring. A spring is a shakeout before institutional investors decide to take the stock higher. I think it is important to note the increase in volume during the month of May when the spring started. High volume during a spring suggests that big money is scooping shares for cheap. I believe that this is the perfect time for institutional investors to swoop in and use earnings as an excuse to push the stock higher. What are your thoughts?
NYSE:NIOLong
by Decam9
ENPH looks Doomed if this Wyckoff Distribution Plays OutIve discussed Wyckoff Distributions before on this page. For a simple breakdown of this pattern, I've related this post to a previous post that can be found below. Anyway, I believe we are seeing many of the same distribution cycle elements on this solar stock. I think we are currently in phase D which is usually characterized by a false bullish breakout into a downtrend. I am concerned about the lack of a clear downtrend after creating the false break. Notice the higher lows being created by the wicks in the lower portion of the channel. Long lower wicks with relatively small/avg volume suggest that selling pressure is weak. If that is the case, big money is not yet ready to take this lower. I will be monitoring this price action closely and looking for more false breakouts and retests of the upper channel. I plan to build short positions above $200 if the opportunity presents itself. Price targets to the downside include $95, $60, and $35.
NASDAQ:ENPHShort
by Decam9
13
Someone accumulating SHOP post earnings?Yet another Wyckoff pattern. I believe this pattern matches the Wyckoff schematic shared in the chart. I am making my list and checking it twice... Wyckoff checklist: PS—preliminary support, Done SC—selling climax, Done AR—automatic rally, Done ST—secondary test, Done Spring - optional, Done Test— test, ACTIVE. We are looking for a series of higher lows to confirm the uptrend. We have yet to confirm the first higher low. SOS—sign of strength, LPS—last point of support, BU—“back-up”,
SLong
by Decam9
6
EURUSD - This how a Wyckoff Spring Formation looks likeEvery chart has a story to tell and this is the story of this chart The Story: We are on a heavy down trend Broke Support Level but with a very high PVR This High PVR on the down wave were buyers. How do I know? I do not at that time, but I do know later on because price never broke the low of the down wave Fast move up The confirmation is the down wave with the High SI of 15.0 = HTMD (Hard to Move Done) ...and finally the entry is the up wave breaking the resistance level + more confirmation the PRL signal Result 68 pips and now ranging. Looking for the next entry with the classic text book entry "Exit from Range with Plutus" Enjoy! Learn to Read and Trade any Market
Long
by TradeTheVolumeWaves