TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) Expands Green Bitcoin MiningTeraWulf Inc. (WULF) is a digital asset technology company focused on sustainable Bitcoin mining powered by zero-carbon energy sources like nuclear, hydro, and solar. By leveraging clean energy partnerships, TeraWulf reduces mining costs and supports environmentally responsible crypto operations. The company’s growth is fueled by rising Bitcoin adoption, the push for greener mining solutions, and its ability to scale operations with a strong ESG focus.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights bullish momentum. The price has entered the momentum zone after breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be placed just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure gains while allowing room for further upside.
X-indicator
XAU OUTLOOK NYXAUUSD TRC Strategy (PRE NY)
Price is overall Looking bullish for gold as per the entire week. Price closed above the Asian High & London High on the 1HR timeframe, expecting continuation BUYS coming into the NY session.
For SELLS:
1) Create a 15M body candle close below the 15M Bullish OB at the3651.64 level.
2) Retest the strong bearish 15M CHOCH level at the 3651.64 level.
3) Create a 3/5M bearish engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3633 level.
For BUYS:
1) Body candle close above the 15M bearish FVG at the 3661.50level.
2) Retest the failed 15M bearish FVG at the 3661.50 level.
3) Create a 3/5M bullish engulfing candle to capitalize on BUYS
towards the 3675 level.
Trade smart, Trade Safe
GBPUSD Resume uptrendwith BOS at 1.3516 level with one single move on 4h was a sharp liquidity grab which is followed by a double bottom has given GBPUSD a very high probability rejection from this lower price. From daily perspective, price is rejecting from daily 10ema upon crossing the previous daily low. A potential confirmation of new higher high formation.
from the current price level 1.3550 expecting a move back to 1.3605 to first impulse + further upside possible move.
Silver (XAGUSD) – Resistance Rejection Ahead?Silver (XAGUSD) is currently trading near the key $41.50 resistance area after a strong bullish rally. Price is showing signs of consolidation at the upper boundary of the rising channel. A rejection from this resistance could trigger a corrective move back towards the $40.00 – $39.50 support zone, with further downside potential towards the $38.00 support level if momentum weakens.
Resistance zone: $41.50 – $42.00
Key support zones: $40.00 – $39.50 / $38.00
Possible scenario: Short-term pullback from resistance after recent bullish structure
This setup highlights a possible reversal opportunity if sellers step in at resistance, but a breakout above $42.00 would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest continuation higher.
EURUSD ENTRY CHARTWe are still BULLISH on this Pair, We had a strong retracement yesterday, and during the ASIAN to LONDON session Opening, we had a shift back in TREND to the UPSIDE, Confirmation seen, waiting to get triggered, You can join us if this matches with your IDEA,Don't forget to apply a good risk management on this IDEA. THANK YOU>
Energy Giant on Fire – GAIL Ready for TakeoffThis is the 4-hour timeframe chart of GAIL India Limited.
The stock is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel and is positioned near its support zone at 165–171.
If this support level sustains, we may witness higher prices in GAIL, with potential targets in the 185–190 range.
Thank you.
GBPUSD Potentially bearish$SGBPUSD Looking at the chart, we can see a clear triple top with price breaking out on the lower side and potentially creating a lower high. With this in play, If the recent high is confirmed as a new high and with a bearish candle as confirmation, this will be a good sell. Until then, fingers crossed.
#GBPUSD
GBP/USD trade setup📉 GBP/USD Short Setup
Entry: 1.35351
Stop Loss: 1.36056
Take Profit: 1.33268
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2.95
This setup is based on ICT concepts:
Price swept liquidity above recent equal highs (liquidity grab).
Bearish order block respected, showing institutional selling.
Clear market structure shift to the downside.
Entry taken at premium levels after displacement.
Targeting the liquidity resting below weekly range lows.
Bias remains bearish unless daily structure is broken above 1.3605.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal view of the market. It is not financial advice. Trading in Forex and CFDs involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
Excellent Profits of current Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: My position: I am constantly using my dip Buying strategy and will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points (excellent Profits by now) Buying Gold from #3,630.80 many times throughout yesterday's session. #3,645.80 is keeping Gold away from touching #3,652.80 benchmark.
I have firstly waited for #3,645.80 and Bought Gold aggressively (#7 orders with #50 Volume) closed all on #3,651.80 and waited for second chance to re-Buy Gold on #3,627.80 reversal which delivered excellent Profits.
My position: As advised many times, do not Sell Gold at all costs as wherever you Buy Gold on this market, you won't be wrong. I have Bought Gold on #3,652.80 and #3,654.80 minutes ago and closed all on #3,657.80 extension. Keep Buying Gold on each dip is my practical suggestion.
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias.
On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers.
From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: $3,645 – $3,650
• Stop Loss: Below $3,610
• Take Profit 1: $3,674
• Take Profit 2: $3,700
• Extended Target: $3,750
________________________________________
Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move.
In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk.
________________________________________
XAUUSD EXPECTATION BEFORE INFLATION DATA RELASE Hi Traders,
Here my Analysis for OANDA:XAUUSD . As we seen the NFP data release last week shown the weak to USD and already achieve on the monthly zone using my own fibonacci retracement. The inflation data would be the main point for this week.
The Daily candle created 9/9/2025 show the seller give a hint to make a push for short, I will looking for the best price for retracement to continue short for a while for this week with the data release and fundamental.
3644 - 3647 is the range price im looking for short entry. and will looking for price action first before execute the entry.
For support level would be on my TP1 zone , which have a demand on H4 timeframe while the best support level would be my TP2.
If you have any comment or ideas very welcome to share it in comment. Thank you and have a good trade!!
Time To Steal Pips? NZD/CHF Bullish Layer StrategyNZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swiss" Bank Heist Plan 🏦💰 - Bullish Swing Play (Layer Entry Strategy)
🎯 The Heist Plan (Trade Setup)
Asset: OANDA:NZDCHF (Kiwi vs Swiss Franc)
Bias: Bullish 🐂
Strategy: "The Thief's Layer" 🎭 - Using multiple limit orders to scale into the position and optimize entry.
🛠️ Entry (The Layered Approach):
"A thief doesn't knock on the front door! 🚪 Use layered limit orders for a better average entry."
Consider layering buy limits at: 0.47400 📈, 0.47300 📈, 0.47200 📈, 0.47100 📈.
You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own capital and risk appetite!
🚨 Stop Loss (Your Escape Route):
Thief's Suggested SL: 0.46800 ❌
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OGs (Ladies & Gents), this is MY plan. You MUST adjust your SL based on your own risk management and strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🎯 Take Profit (Escape With The Loot):
Target: 0.48200 ✅
Why Here? This area acts as a key police barricade 🚧 (resistance), confluence with ATR, overbought signals, and potential bull traps. Secure your stolen profits before then! 💰💨
⚠️ Important Note: Take money at your own risk! You are free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop. This is a suggested target, not financial advice.
🔍 Why This Heist? The Fundamental Blueprint
This isn't a random trade; it's a planned operation based on current data.
📊 Real-Time Data (As of Sep 10, 2025)
Current Rate: 0.4972 (+0.32% today) 💹
🧠 Trader Sentiment
Retail: 🟢 58% Long | 🔴 42% Short (Bullish Bias)
Institutional: 🟢 52% Long | 🔴 48% Short (Neutral-Leaning Bullish)
Overall Mood: Moderately Optimistic 😊
📈 Fear & Greed Index
Level: 55/100 (Greed Zone) - Indicates market optimism is present, supporting risk-on plays like NZD.
📋 Fundamental Score: 62/100 ✅
🟢 NZD Strength: Strong Asian export demand supports the Kiwi.
🔴 CHF Strength: Its safe-haven status due to global uncertainties provides a floor.
⚪ Neutral: Both RBNZ and SNB are on hold with rates; no major shocks expected.
🌍 Macro Score: 58/100 ✅
🟢 Pro-NZD: Global risk-on mood benefits commodity currencies (NZD).
🔴 Pro-CHF: Any US rate cut speculation can briefly strengthen the Swissy.
⚪ Neutral: Stable economic data from both nations.
🐂 Overall Outlook: Neutral to Slightly Bullish
A favourable mix for a potential NZD grind higher, though CHF's safe-haven status will likely prevent a moonshot. This setup aims to steal a chunk of that predicted move.
👮♂️ Risk Management (The Most Important Part)
This is a SWING/DAY TRADE idea, not investment advice.
MANAGE YOUR RISK. Use proper position sizing. Only risk what you can afford to lose.
The "Layer" strategy helps your average entry but requires disciplined capital allocation.
Related Pairs to Watch: OANDA:AUDCHF , OANDA:NZDUSD , OANDA:USDCHF , OANDA:AUDNZD
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NZDCHF #Forex #Trading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Kiwi #ForexAnalysis #FX #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy
Bonds vs Gold: Trading the Fiscal Dominance Divergence The Fed is expected to cut rates next week. Yet, the long-term Treasury yields refuse to come down.
This disconnect signals that markets are no longer taking their cues from monetary policy alone. Heavy government borrowing, record bond issuance, and fading foreign demand are driving yields higher, a case of fiscal pressure overwhelming the Fed.
The 30-year treasury yield this year has been around the levels seen before the 2008 market crash.
Record issuance, foreign retrenchment, and sticky inflation have pushed term premia higher, leaving U.S. debt markets increasingly exposed to the kind of investor pushback, or ‘bond vigilante’ pressure, that has already destabilised markets like the UK.
Globally, the lesson from the 2022 UK gilt crisis highlights how deficits and fiscal experimentation can quickly destabilise “risk-free” treasury assets.
Against this backdrop, gold stands out not only as a symptom of market stress but also as an indicator of systemic uncertainty and a tradeable hedge in an era of stagflation.
In today’s note, we hold the view that Treasuries remain under pressure while gold strengthens, supported by central-bank diversification, led by China.
A Market Drowning in Supply
The traditional easing cycle, where Fed rate cuts pull down yields, seems to be breaking down. With deficits above 6% of GDP in peacetime, Treasury supply now overwhelms demand.
Foreign central banks, which are historically reliable marginal buyers, are now retreating. China has steadily reduced holdings, leaving domestic institutions and private markets to absorb the record issuance.
Auction coverage ratios, or bid-to-cover ratios, a key gauge of investor appetite for Treasury securities, have steadily weakened, with recent 10-year sales drawing among the lowest bids of the amount offered in three years.
The ratio at 2.35 is also 8.20% lower than the average of the past six auctions:
Source: CME TreasuryWatch
Over the past three years, the only instance where the ratio fell further below its six-auction moving average (MA6) was in November 2022, when it was 8.61% lower than the MA6:
Source: MacroMicro
The latest 30-year bond auction also cleared with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.27, well below the 2.43 average seen across the previous ten auctions . The last time it was this low was in November 2023.
Historically, coverage nearer to a little over 2.5x was sustained by foreign central banks.
Source: Thornburg
But with countries like China now reducing holdings, private investors now demand higher yields to absorb issuance. Weak coverage has also amplified intraday swings, underscoring how Treasury volatility is increasingly supply-driven (as against being policy-driven).
The dynamic underscores a structural shift: Treasuries are being increasingly priced as fiscal risk assets, and not merely monetary policy instruments.
The UK Gilt Crisis: A Cautionary Tale
The United States is not alone in testing bond market tolerance. There are other precedents, and not too far in the past.
In late 2022, the UK government announced large unfunded tax cuts and spending plans, a fiscal package which was perceived by the markets to lead to a large deficit, and one that was unsustainable. Gilt yields spiked more than 100 basis points within days, the sharpest move in decades.
Source: BoE
This sudden rise hammered pension funds that had used derivatives to hedge liabilities through “liability-driven investment” (LDI) strategies. As gilt prices collapsed, these funds faced margin calls and were forced to dump assets to raise cash, creating a vicious cycle of selling and further yield spikes.
The chart below shows how different investor groups reacted. LDIs were forced to dump gilts, driving their flows sharply negative. In contrast, others stepped in as buyers, taking advantage of the sell-off to accumulate bonds at higher yields. This highlights how forced selling by one sector can destabilise markets, while opportunistic buyers step in only once prices have fallen enough.
Source: BoE
The turmoil only stopped when the Bank of England stepped in with an emergency bond-buying program (the blue-dashed line), pledging to purchase long-dated gilts to restore order. In effect, the central bank had to act as a buyer simply to prevent a financial-stability crisis, ending at the green-dashed line, following which LDI flows started increasing.
The gilt episode showed how quickly bond markets can punish fiscal missteps. When large deficits collide with skeptical investors, governments can lose the ability to fund themselves smoothly.
That same tension now looms over the United States, where record issuance is testing the limits of bond market tolerance.
Gold as Hedge and Signal
Gold’s surge to a record $3,600/oz also reflects a deeper structural shift in how central banks manage reserves.
As Treasuries lose some of their “risk-free” status in the eyes of investors, gold has re-emerged as a preferred hedge. Its traditional correlation with real yields has weakened; today, deficits, de-dollarisation, and reserve diversification are stronger drivers of the gold narrative.
China is at the centre of this transformation. The People’s Bank of China bought 225 tons of gold in 2023, 44 tons in 2024, and another 21 tons so far in 2025, raising official reserves to around 2,300 tons.
Source: Reuters
Yet this is still well below what analysts view as necessary for an economy of China’s scale. Long-term targets range between 5,000 and 8,000 tons, implying years of sustained demand in the coming years.
The precedent of Russia’s frozen reserves after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine has also reshaped central-bank behaviour. Gold, unlike dollar assets, cannot be sanctioned or seized if held domestically.
For developing economies, where uncertainty has become systemic, this makes gold a uniquely secure store of value.
That institutional bid, layered on top of investor demand, is a structural tailwind likely to support prices well beyond just short-term cycles.
Hypothetical Trade Setup
With U.S. 10Y Treasuries under supply-driven pressure even as the Fed eases, and gold benefiting from diversification flows, traders can express this divergence via a Treasury–Gold spread trade:
Sell CME 10Y Treasury Yield Futures (10YU5)
Buy CME Gold Futures (10ZZ5)
The CME 10-Year Yield future is the benchmark instrument for expressing views on U.S. rate markets, a cleaner vehicle than cash Treasuries in this context because it isolates yield exposure.
The 1-Ounce Gold future offers scalable precision compared to the standard 100-oz gold contract, making it ideal for tactical spread strategies. Together, they provide liquidity, transparency, and efficient margining to trade this macro divergence.
The 10-Year Yield future (10YU5) is quoted in percentage points of yield, with each 0.001 index point worth $1 per contract. At the current level of 4.082%, the contract is effectively valued at about 4,082.
By comparison, the 1-Ounce Gold future (10ZZ5) is quoted in dollars per ounce, currently trading at $3,653. In other words, one Treasury yield contract and one gold contract are already of a similar scale.
Profit at Target
Upside: 895 to 1000 = +105 points
P/L: $429 per spread
Loss at Stop
Downside: 895 to 810 = –85 points
P/L: –$347 to –$427 per spread depending on leg slippage
Reward-to-Risk Ratio
105 / 85 = 1.24×
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Institutional Flow Driving DOGE Upside Liquidity Hunt📊 Report-Based Analysis
Market Structure:
The chart shows multiple “Break of Structure (BOS)” events, indicating that institutional orders are driving the market direction. Frequent upside BOS suggests that the bullish trend is currently dominant.
Liquidity Movements:
Price has repeatedly hunted liquidity around major highs and lows (sharp wicks and sudden moves triggering stop losses) before returning to its intended direction. This behavior reflects strong institutional control over market flow.
Price Action Dynamics:
First, the market expanded upward with strong bullish momentum.
A sharp correction followed, creating volatility.
Afterwards, price entered a consolidation phase, which later broke to the upside.
Despite a recent rejection, the bullish structure remains intact.
Current Situation:
Price is trading around the 0.245 area. A large bullish candle was followed by a quick rejection, but the broader structure continues to lean bullish. Projections on the chart suggest a potential push higher as liquidity targets remain above.
Market Bias:
Short-term bias remains bullish. The consistent BOS and formation of higher lows show that the market is more likely to continue seeking upside liquidity in the near term.
ENS Potential Bullish ABCD Pattern Forming!
Price just tapped the 0.618 golden zone + support trendline 📉💥
We’re at point C, prepping for a potential move toward point D 👀
Pattern: ABCD Harmonic inside a bullish channel 🧠
• Fib levels aligning perfectly ✅
• Weekly structure still intact ✅
🎯 Watching next leg toward D @ 1.569 Fib extension
Stay sharp — this could be the beginning of a strong trend reversal! 📈
DowJones Resistance retest at 45800Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45800
Resistance Level 2: 46000
Resistance Level 3: 46200
Support Level 1: 45190
Support Level 2: 44960
Support Level 3: 44720
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAU/USD Sell Idea | Setup Based on Liquidity & Break of StructuHello fellow traders,
In this analysis, we'll break down a potential short scenario for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe, based on Price Action and Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
The Rationale for the Setup:
Liquidity Hunt: As seen on the chart, the price first engineered a liquidity hunt, grabbing the buy-side liquidity (BSL) at the HUNT zone. This move is often a precursor to a strong reversal.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Following the liquidity grab, we witnessed a powerful downward impulse, resulting in a break of a key low and creating a "Change of Character" (CHoCH). This is a clear indication of a potential short-term shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone: To enter a short position, we are waiting for a price pullback into a premium area of value. This zone, identified using the Fibonacci tool, contains a confluence of a Breaker Block and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence adds significant validation to our entry area.
Trade Details:
Entry: 3,660.364
Stop Loss: 3,676.024 (Placed just above the original high where liquidity was taken)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,646.075 (Recent swing low)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,635.179 (Targeting the area near the Previous Day's Low - PDL)
Risk Management:
This analysis is purely an idea and not a financial signal. Please conduct your own due diligence and apply strict risk management before entering any trade. It's advisable to take partial profits at TP1 and move the stop loss to breakeven.
Good luck and trade safe!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SMC #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdea #PriceAction #SmartMoney
USDCHF SELL TRADE PLANPAIR & DATE: USDCHF – 2025-09-10
PLAN ID: USDCHF_2025-09-10_v2
⸻
PLAN OVERVIEW
• Category: Intra-Day
• Trade type: Intra-Day (H1/H4 triggers, D1 context)
• Direction: SELL (with trend)
• Confidence: 74% (≥70% required)
• Min R:R: 1:3 (to TP2)
• Status: VALID
⸻
MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE (Mandatory)
• Trend: WITH (vs D1/H4 — HTF bearish: lower highs/lows; recent bounce = corrective)
• Macro Bias: Neutral / slight USD-soft (keep targets tactical; no extended hold without momentum)
• Implication: With-trend short is primary; manage normally after TP1, trail by structure.
⸻
LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)
Primary Setup — WITH-Trend SELL
• Entry 01: 0.7995 – 0.8010 (H4 supply / D1 bearish OB from breakdown)
• Entry 02 (Secondary): 0.8028 – 0.8042 (deeper same-bias H4 OB, 50% of impulse leg)
• Stop Loss: 0.8060 (above H4 supply + wick buffer)
• TP1: 0.7950 • TP2: 0.7915 • TP3: 0.7885
• Order: Market after H1 bearish engulf / pin at the zone (no blind limits)
• Session: London / NY
Alternate Setup — Countertrend BUY (optional)
• Entry: 0.7925 – 0.7915 (H4 demand / figure sweep)
• Stop Loss: 0.7895
• TP1: 0.7965 • TP2: 0.7990 • TP3: 0.8010
• Order: Market after H1 bullish engulf / pin
• Session: London / NY
• Bias Tag: Opposite Bias – Countertrend
⸻
EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. News Blackout Gate: 15m pre / 60m post red events.
2. Price must tap the zone during London/NY.
3. Confirmation: H1/H4 Engulf / Pin / BOS at the zone.
4. Execute order type as defined.
5. Partial at TP1 → SL BE → trail by structure.
6. Exit on invalidation breach.
7. Skip if no trigger.
8. Chop filter: flat EMA stack at zone + no trigger ⇒ skip.
⸻
FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS (high-level)
• CB Bias / Rate path: Fed restrictive but data-dependent; SNB cautious.
• Key data (7d): CPI/PPI/claims; Swiss prints light.
• Cross-asset: DXY, UST 2y/10y, VIX; oil/equities for risk tone.
• Positioning: Watch USD options skew & retail positioning near 0.80 figure.
• Macro Lean (one line): No strong macro tailwind — keep tactical unless momentum builds.
⸻
MARKET MAP
• D1/H4 structure: Bearish; last decisive BOS down, current leg = corrective rally into unmitigated H4 supply 0.7995-0.8040.
• Liquidity pools: Above = equal-high clusters/figure 0.8000/0.8050 (sweep risk); Below = 0.7920 (PDL area) then 0.7880.
• OB/FVG: H4 bearish OBs at entries; minor H1 FVGs inside the rally.
• Play type: Continuation (pullback-to-OB).
⸻
RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
• Risk 1–2% max; basket cap 2%.
• Min R:R ≥1:3 to TP2 satisfied.
• ATR/Spread filters OK; trail by swing structure after TP1.
⸻
CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)
74% — Clean H4 pullback into stacked bearish OBs + figure confluence, clear downside liquidity path to 0.7915/0.7885.
⸻
FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE
• Primary trigger: If H1 prints bearish engulf / pin inside 0.7995–0.8010, sell; add (only if clean) at 0.8028–0.8042; partial at 0.7950, move SL→BE, then trail toward 0.7915/0.7885.
• Alternate trigger: Only if price sweeps 0.792x and H1 flips with a strong bull engulf; take quick counter bounce to 0.7965/0.7990; reduced size.
• Stay flat: No H1 confirmation, or red-event window, or R:R < 1:3 after spread/rounding.
• Zone status: Fresh Tap Pending (both).
• No forced trades.
⸻
POST-TRADE JOURNAL
Outcome + lesson: __________
Palladium Market Alert! Strong ATR Resistance Ahead @ 1190🚨 XPD/USD (Palladium) Market Heist Plan: Bullish Swing/DAY Trade Strategy 🚨
Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OG's! 👑💎 The charts are signaling a potential heist opportunity. Here's the plan to target a move toward $1190. Remember, this is my plan; you are the master thief of your own capital. Adjust, execute, and escape with your profits on your own terms.
🎯 The Heist Plan (Technical Setup)
Asset: XPDUSD | Palladium vs US Dollar
Direction: BULLISH 🐂
Entry Method: Thief's Layering Strategy 🎰
Use multiple BUY limit orders to layer into the position as price dips.
Suggested Layers: $1150, $1145, $1140, $1135, $1130
(Increase or decrease layers based on your capital & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Escape Hatch): $1120
This is the Thief's OG SL. Adjust your own escape hatch based on your strategy!
Target (Escape Point): $1190 🎯
Why here? Strong ATR resistance + potential overbought zone + the "police barricade" (key resistance). Take your stolen money and run!
⚠️ Crucial Note: This is not financial advice. Your money, your rules. I am not liable for your trades. Manage your own risk.
🔍 Why This Heist? The Intel Report (Fundamental & Sentiment)
Current Price Intel (10 Sept 2025):
💰 Live Price: ~$1,129
📉 Daily Change: -3.46% (Sale is ON!)
Market Sentiment & Psychology:
😊😟 Retail Sentiment: 52% Long | 48% Short
🏦 Institutional Sentiment: 58% Long | 58% Bullish | 42% Short
⚖️ Fear & Greed Index: 50 (Neutral) - No extreme emotions; perfect for a calm, calculated heist.
Fundamental Score (60/100): 🔍
🚗 Strong Automotive Demand: 80% of Palladium use is in catalytic converters.
🌍 Supply Constraints: Ongoing issues from major producers (Russia/South Africa).
⚡️ Counterpoint: Long-term risk from EV adoption reducing demand.
Macro Score (55/100): 🌐
💵 Weak USD: A weaker dollar supports dollar-denominated commodities like Palladium.
⚠️ Risks: Trade tariffs and potential cuts to EV subsidies could impact auto sector demand.
🎯 Overall Outlook: Neutral with a Slight Bullish Bias. The supply-demand dynamics are resilient, creating a potential bounce play from current levels.
👀 Related Assets to Watch ($)
XPTUSD (Platinum) - Sister metal, often correlated.
XAUUSD (Gold) - Safe-haven flow indicator.
USDINDEX (DXY) - Inverse relationship; weaker DXY = stronger commodities.
GM (General Motors), F (Ford) - Auto sector health.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Palladium #XPDUSD #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Commodities #MetalsTrading #Bullish #Investing #TradingSignals #MarketHeist
BTCUSD TRADE SETUP CHECK NOW📉 BTCUSD TRADE SETUP CHECK NOW
Potential Entry Zone: 111400 – 111100
Invalidation Level (Stop Loss): 110872
Target Zones (TPs):
✔️ TP1 – 112674
✔️ TP2 – 112202
✔️ TP3 – 111882
💡 This is just my personal view based on chart structure & price action. Always manage risk properly.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only.
NVDA gravity is strong....$140NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....