DAX at a Historical Ceiling (Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?)Price is stuck under a major multi-month resistance zone at 24,600–24,800, while SMA50 acts as support around 23,980.
The market is in a critical decision zone.
Bullish Scenario — if price closes above 24,800:
• Target 1: 25,400
• Target 2: 26,000
• Target 3: 26,500
• Stop-loss: Below 24,600
Bearish Scenario — if price rejects and falls below 24,150:
• Target 1: 23,700
• Target 2: 23,300
• Target 3: 22,800
• Stop-loss: Above 24,400
Short Fundamental Overview
• EU inflation cooling; ECB remains cautious
• German corporates stable but economic growth is soft
• Market needs a clear breakout to confirm direction
X-indicator
APP: The Pause Before The Explosion (Bull Flag Confirmed)APP: The Pause Before The Explosion (Bull Flag Confirmed)
Most traders see a stock that has rallied hard and think, "I missed it." They see it pause, and they think, "It's over."
Then it explodes higher. And they are left watching.
But we know that markets don't move in straight lines. We know that a pause after a strong run is not an end, it's an opportunity to reload.
Look at the chart of NASDAQ:APP I have shared.
The market is taking a breath, and it's forming one of the most reliable continuation patterns in trading.
1. The Psychology of the "Flag"
Do not just look at the lines, look at the story. We have a great Bull Flag . This pattern is powerful for one reason: Consolidation .
The Pole: A massive, strong rally that shows buyers are in complete control.
The Flag: A brief, downward-sloping pause. This isn't selling pressure, it's just the initial buyers taking some profits while new buyers step in to absorb the supply.
This is a healthy reset before the next leg up. Statistically, this setup has a 71% success rate . Those are odds I like to play.
2. The Consequence: The Road to $850
Now that the consolidation is finishing, where does the price go?
We analyze the "measured move" by taking the height of the "Pole" and projecting it upwards from the breakout point. Looking at the Volume Profile on the right, the path above is relatively clear.
The path of least resistance is now UP. The first conservative target is around $770 , but the main technical objective points directly to $850 .
⚔️ My Battle Plan for APP
Now you see the pattern. You see the target. But seeing is not executing.
Executing a good entry is easy, but the exit strategy is 80% of the game . Knowing exactly where to place your Stop Loss to survive the volatility, and where your Take Profits maximize returns, that is the art.
I also apply a specific "Risk-Free Trade" management strategy. While I can't explain the full mechanic in this post, this technique drastically reduces stress and pushes the probability of a successful outcome to over 90% .
Here are the levels to set-and-forget for a Zen Trading experience:
🎯 Take Profit: $770 (Conservative) & $850 (Main Target) | Up to 25% Potential
🛡️ Stop Loss: $607 Zone (Below the flag structure) | ~ 10.7% Risk
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 2.3:1 Ratio (Aiming for more than double the risk)
🎁 Let’s make a simple deal.
I will handle the heavy lifting to find the top 1% of setups like this, and you just HIT the 🚀 Rocket and Follow.
If you scroll past now, the algorithm might ensure we never meet again.
Secure the connection and I promise to keep these high-probability setups coming. Sounds like a fair trade, right?
🤝 Deal?
Platinum Bullish Reaccumulation Next Resistance 1790🌟 XPT/USD | Platinum vs U.S. Dollar – Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day / Swing Trade) 🌟
🔥 Market Outlook & Trade Thesis
Platinum continues to show a renewed bullish intention, with the 4H moving-average pullback confirming upside strength. The structure is gradually shifting into a momentum-supported climb, supported by improving buy-side liquidity and reduced downside pressure.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Confirmation – 4H MA Pullback)
Entry:
You can take buy entries at any suitable level using your own strategy.
However, thief is using layer entries at:
1650
1670
1690
💡 Benefits of Layer Entries (Why Layering Works)
📌 Risk distribution: Reduces exposure instead of entering full size at one price.
📈 Better average fill: Allows improved position cost when price fluctuates.
⚙️ Adapts to volatility: Perfect for metals like platinum that move in waves.
💪 Psychological control: Prevents emotional overcommitment at a single entry.
🎯 Smarter scaling: Adds positions only as the trend confirms itself.
🛑 Stop Loss Setup
This is thief SL → 1620
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your strategy & personal risk.
Note: I am not recommending you set only my SL. It’s your choice. You make money → you take money → at your own risk.
🎯 Target & Exit Plan
Police barricade ahead — strong resistance + overbought conditions + potential trap zones.
Kindly escape with your profits.
Our target → 1790
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending that you set only my TP.
It’s your own choice. Your profits are your responsibility and your reward.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlations & Key Points)
1️⃣ XAU/USD (Gold)
Often moves in sync with platinum during macro risk-off or risk-on cycles.
Strong gold demand typically boosts sentiment across precious metals.
2️⃣ XAG/USD (Silver)
Shares industrial + precious metal characteristics similar to platinum.
Silver spikes often precede delayed reactions in platinum.
3️⃣ PALLADIUM (XPD/USD)
Platinum and palladium are substitutes in automotive catalytic converters.
Rising palladium prices can shift demand toward platinum → bullish correlation.
4️⃣ DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
Precious metals generally rise when the dollar weakens.
Keep an eye on DXY retracements — they often trigger metal surges.
5️⃣ US10Y (U.S. Bond Yields)
Falling yields strengthen metals due to lower opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
Yield drops → platinum tends to react with bullish momentum.
🚀 Final Thoughts
This setup captures a clean bullish structure, strategic layered entries, and risk-adaptive stops.
Manage your risk, respect your plan, and escape at your target when the police barricade hits.
XAUUSD: rise to all-time high🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, gold (XAUUSD), after breaking out of accumulation in a wide triangle, continues to show signs of bullish momentum. Analysis suggests a high probability of a final upward push or even a potential "false breakout" (liquidity capture) to the resistance zone around 4,400 to liquidate early short positions. A downward reversal around 4,400 can be considered if appropriate signals are present.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on the confirmed breakout of the short-term resistance 4,286 (approx. 4294)
🎯 Take Profit: 4,377.47
🔴 Stop Loss: 4,249.74
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Gold Buy around 4247. target 4280 to 4295Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday's gold price movement perfectly matched our expectations. If you review yesterday's blog post, the candlestick chart perfectly mirrored our analysis. We placed buy orders near 4209, 4210, and 4207, achieving a 10-game winning streak. The 4209 level was publicly announced beforehand. Currently, it seems this level might be a new bottom. The Fed's interest rate cuts provide long-term support for gold. Yesterday's Asian session pullback was merely a technical correction, so we maintained our buy stance. Furthermore, the drone attack on Moscow further boosted gold to 4285. Looking at the daily chart, 4300 presents significant resistance, necessitating a technical pullback. Today, Friday, is also the weekly closing date. Avoid chasing the market today; wait for support before buying. Gold's movement yesterday was quite large, and today's Asian session requires some consolidation. Minor support has reached 4247. The current 5-day moving average on the daily chart is around 4234, and yesterday's top was around 4238. Therefore, in the Asian session, we should focus on buying opportunities at these two levels. If it breaks 4204, the outlook will be bearish; if it breaks 4219, the market will likely change direction, and you shouldn't blindly buy then. That's how the market works: if you're right about the direction, you can make money even if you buy randomly; if you're wrong about the direction, it's hard to make money no matter how well you find the right entry point.
Resistance: 4285 and 4299; Support: 4247 and 4234; 4247 is the key level for market strength/weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Fed's interest rate decision was in line with market expectations. The rate cut didn't bring much surprise to the market, except for the official announcement of further rate cuts in 2026, which was somewhat unexpected. In the long term, this will put downward pressure on the dollar and support gold.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold – Buy around 4247, target 4280-4295
VLO | Bearish Continuation | SHORTNYSE:VLO
Technical Summary
Valero (VLO) has shifted from a strong uptrend into a clear corrective downtrend. The chart now shows a completed lower-high and lower-low sequence, repeated failures to reclaim monthly structure, and a breakdown through the key support zone at 171–173.
Price is currently sitting inside a weakening demand area that has been tested multiple times. The most recent daily close shows sellers in full control, with no meaningful reaction from buyers.
Bearish Factors
1. Lower-High Structure
The uptrend has already transitioned into a downtrend. After the last swing high, price printed a clean lower high and failed to recover. This confirms a trend shift and favors continuation lower.
2. Breakdown of Support (171–173)
The 171–173 support has been tested several times. Each bounce became weaker, signaling demand exhaustion. The latest close below this zone indicates that former support is now behaving as resistance.
3. Rejection from the Keltner Basis
Price failed to hold above the Keltner mid-band near 175. This reinforces the bearish bias and suggests momentum is not strong enough to reclaim previous structure.
4. Volume Profile Gap Below
The volume profile shows a thin liquidity pocket from 170 down toward 163. When price enters these low-volume zones, continuation moves tend to be fast until the next high-volume node is reached. The next major value level aligns with the 161.87 zone.
5. Trend Context
The overall structure reflects distribution at the highs and increasing selling pressure. Until VLO can reclaim and close above the 175 area, the market favors continuation to the downside.
Short Scenario:
Breakdown Confirmation:
A daily close below 171 confirms continuation toward the value gap.
Targets:
• First target: 161.87 (major volume node)
• Secondary target: Keltner lower band near 163
Invalidation:
A daily close back above 175, reclaiming the Keltner basis and prior structure, invalidates the short thesis.
Outlook
VLO is displaying a textbook shift in trend from bullish to corrective, with weakening support and a clean liquidity pocket below. Unless price can reclaim key structure, the chart supports a move toward 162 over the coming sessions.
ETH | TRADE ANALYSIS📌 Trade Setup:
* Entry Level: 3,071
* Stop Loss: 3,026
* Target: 3,155
ETH is holding above an important intraday support zone, showing signs of renewed buyer interest. Momentum is gradually shifting upward, and if price sustains above the entry zone, a push toward the target area becomes likely. This setup focuses on short-term strength, with clear levels for controlled risk.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.
Amazon at a Major Decision Point (Breakout or Breakdown?)The chart shows a very important setup:
• A completed Cup & Handle pattern
• A strong ascending trendline still intact
• A long-term descending resistance line
Price is compressing between the trendline and resistance → major decision point.
Bullish Scenario
If AMZN closes above $235:
• Target 1: $245
• Target 2: $255
• Target 3: $268
• Stop-loss: Below $226
Bearish Scenario
A breakdown below $224 triggers:
• Target 1: $215
• Target 2: $205
• Target 3: $195
• Stop-loss: Above $230
Short Fundamental View
• AWS remains Amazon’s growth engine
• Retail recovery in the U.S. supports revenue
• Most analysts maintain Buy ratings
• Risks: rate pressure, AI competition, logistics costs
SUI/BTC Weekly: One of the Cleanest Bullish Bat PatternSUI/BTC has just completed a textbook Bullish Bat harmonic exactly at the 0.886 XA retracement while simultaneously finishing a 7-month falling wedge. This is rare high-timeframe confluence that historically leads to violent altcoin outperformance against Bitcoin — exactly the type of setup that kicks off altseason rotations.Chart Overview (1W SUI/BTC) Multi-month falling wedge since July 2025 high
Price has respected the lower wedge boundary 4 times
Exact completion of a Bullish Bat at the 0.886 retracement (PRZ = 0.0000138–0.0000142)
Current price sitting at ~0.000018 (rejection candle off the PRZ)
Bullish Bat Measurements (all ratios within tolerance) XA: base leg
AB = 0.692 retracement of XA
BC = 0.556 retracement of AB
CD = 1.40 extension of BC
XD = 0.846 (target 0.886 hit with <5% error) → perfect Bat completion
Additional Confluence MACD histogram flipping positive + bullish crossover forming
RSI broke its multi-month downtrend at the exact low
Volume spike at the PRZ + declining volume on the pullback = exhaustion
Pattern sits inside the larger $OTHERS/BTC falling wedge that is also approaching apex
Narrative Fuel (already in motion) Sui TVL exploding past $2.6B
USDS stablecoin (Stripe-backed), wBTC integration, ETF filings
Highest fees & real revenue among new L1s
Institutional products launching (Grayscale Trust, 21Shares/Bitwise filings)
Conclusion
This is not just another altcoin setup — it’s a weekly harmonic reversal inside a multi-month falling wedge with momentum and fundamentals aligning perfectly.
Setups like this have preceded the strongest alt/BTC moves of previous cycles.
SUI is positioned to lead the next leg of altseason when Bitcoin dominance finally cracks.Risk management: Keep invalidation tight, but conviction can be high.
This is the type of structure you look back on and say “that was the bottom.”Position: Long SUI (spot or responsible leverage)
Timeframe: 2–12 weeks for initial move, potential multi-month runner Let the wedge break and the Bat fly.
Gold Bullish breakout supported at 4254The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4254 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4254 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4354 – initial resistance
4380 – psychological and structural level
4403 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4254 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4230 – minor support
4209 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4254. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US500 Price Map. Will Buyers Defend Key Layers Toward 7000?📊 US500/SPX500 Bullish Swing Trade Strategy | Professional Analysis 🚀
Current Price: $6,870.40 | Status: Bullish Momentum Building 🔥
🎯 TRADE OVERVIEW
Asset: US500 / SPX500 Index
Timeframe: DAY/SWING TRADE (Perfect for Active Traders)
Market Condition: BULLISH 📈
Risk Level: Calculated & Managed ✅
💡 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS
The SPX500 is trading near 52-week highs ($6,920.34), with technical indicators showing Strong Buy signals on daily timeframes. Market sentiment remains constructive with potential for mean reversion plays and breakout opportunities. The index has strong institutional support and is consolidating before the next leg up.
🎲 ENTRY STRATEGY: LAYERED APPROACH (THIEF STRATEGY)
Best Practice Approach: Use MULTIPLE LIMIT ORDERS at different price levels for optimal risk management.
Entry Layers - Place These Simultaneously:
Layer 1 - 6,800 (Low Risk Entry)
This is your first position entry at the strong support zone. This layer captures traders looking for early bounces and reduces your average entry cost significantly. Perfect for conservative traders who want maximum confirmation before committing capital.
Layer 2 - 6,825 (Medium Risk Entry)
This second layer adds confirmation as price moves higher. This is where momentum traders jump in. By staggering entries here, you're catching the middle ground between aggressive and conservative positions, giving you excellent risk-reward setup.
Layer 3 - 6,850 (Aggressive Breakout Entry)
This final layer targets breakout traders who wait for price confirmation. Use this only if you have capital left and see strong volume confirmation. This is your most aggressive entry but has the strongest conviction signal.
✅ Pro Tip: You can add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance & account size. Start small, build positions gradually. Never go all-in on one layer!
Why Layering Works 🎯
Layering is the professional way to build positions because it reduces average entry cost, protects against sudden whipsaws, captures multiple entry opportunities, and significantly increases your overall success probability. Instead of being wrong on one entry, you have three chances to be right!
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL): THIEF OG PROTECTION
SL Level: 6,750
Risk Zone: Below support level
This stop loss level protects you from breaking below a critical support zone. If price closes below 6,750, the bullish thesis is broken and you should exit to preserve capital.
📌 IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
⚠️ You are NOT required to use our suggested SL
⚠️ Adjust based on YOUR strategy & risk management rules
⚠️ YOUR MONEY = YOUR RULES | Trade with capital you can afford to lose
SL Management Tips:
Place your stop loss below key support levels that make sense with your trading strategy. Once you're in profit (usually +2% on SPX), consider moving your stop to breakeven so you're trading with house money. After solid confirmation and +3-5% profit, use trailing stops to let winners run. Most importantly, never risk more than 2-3% of your total account on a single trade.
🎁 PROFIT TARGET (TP): RESISTANCE CONFLUENCE
Primary Target: 7,000
Reasoning: Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone + Technical Trap Pattern
The 7,000 level represents a major psychological resistance and technical confluence where multiple indicators suggest profit-taking is likely. This is where smart money typically exits positions. The confluence of strong resistance levels, overbought RSI readings, and technical trap pattern all converge at this critical level, making it the ideal exit point for capturing the full move while protecting profits.
📌 CRITICAL NOTICE:
⚠️ Use YOUR OWN profit targets based on risk/reward ratio
⚠️ This is a SUGGESTED level only
⚠️ Protect Your Profits: Lock in gains before pullbacks
Exit Strategy:
Watch for volume divergence signals where price moves higher but volume decreases - this is a classic warning sign. Monitor RSI levels above 70, which indicate overbought conditions and potential reversals. Track support and resistance breaks throughout the move. Most importantly, don't be greedy. If you've hit your profit target, take it and move on. The best traders know when to say "I'm done for the day."
📍 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION ANALYSIS)
Strong Positive Correlation 🔗
NASDAQ-100 (NQ100/COMP) - Correlation: +0.92
This is your tech-heavy index and moves almost in lockstep with US500. Why watch this? Because tech drives the market. If NASDAQ is weak while SPX is strong, watch out for sector rotation. The NASDAQ-100 currently sits at 25,692. If SPX breaks 7,000, expect NASDAQ targets of 26,500+ based on historical correlation patterns. This pair move confirms the strength of the rally.
DJIA (US30/Dow Jones) - Correlation: +0.89
The Dow Jones is your large-cap indicator. These are the blue-chip stocks. At 47,955, the Dow tends to lag SPX on rallies but confirms the trend strength. If Dow is not participating in SPX strength, it signals rotation OUT of mega-caps into mid-caps. Watch for this divergence as a warning signal.
Russell 2000 (RUT) - Correlation: +0.78
Small-cap participation is crucial. A weak Russell 2000 during SPX strength means only mega-caps are rallying. This is a RED FLAG for sustainability. If Russell is strong with SPX, the rally is broad-based and likely to continue. If Russell is weak, we're in a narrow rally that can reverse quickly.
Inverse Correlation (Risk Hedge) 🛡️
VIX (Volatility Index) - Correlation: -0.85
Currently at 15.41, this low volatility reading screams "risk-on" environment. Traders are comfortable, fear is low. But remember, VIX can spike suddenly. If VIX jumps above 20, consider taking profits and reducing exposure. A VIX spike signals institutional selling and risk-off sentiment.
US DOLLAR (DXY) - Correlation: -0.72
Trading at 98.97, a weak dollar SUPPORTS equities because US companies make more money when the dollar is weak (exports become cheaper). If the dollar strengthens suddenly, expect SPX pressure. Monitor Fed policy announcements that impact currency valuations - they directly impact your equity trades!
Sector Rotations to Track 💼
Tech Giants Matter:
NVIDIA (NVDA) at $182.41 is down -0.53% but still critical. This is THE stock to watch. If NVDA collapses, the entire rally is in question. NVIDIA is your AI barometer.
Meta Platforms (META) at $673.42 is up +1.80% and showing strength. This mega-cap strength confirms institutional confidence in the rally. When META leads, the market is feeling risk-on.
Microsoft (MSFT) at $483.16 is stable at +0.48%. This is your stability indicator. If MSFT can't go higher with SPX, it's a divergence warning.
Apple (AAPL) should be monitored for consumer health signals. Any weakness in AAPL suggests consumer spending concerns ahead.
🔍 TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION CHECKLIST
✅ Daily Chart: STRONG BUY - Moving Averages perfectly aligned in uptrend
✅ Weekly Chart: STRONG BUY - Macro uptrend completely intact, higher lows confirmed
✅ RSI: Not Yet Overbought - Means room to run before pullback expected
✅ MACD: Bullish Crossover Confirmed - Momentum indicator flashing green light
✅ Volume Profile: Good Distribution - Buying happening at higher price levels, not just sharp spikes
✅ Sentiment: Institutional Buying - Big money is flowing into SPX, not retail FOMO
This checklist confirms the setup is solid for the bullish premise. All signals are aligned, which means the probability is in your favor.
⚡ TRADER RULES & DISCLAIMERS
🎯 Golden Rules for This Trade:
Rule 1 - Only Risk What You Can Afford to Lose 💰
Don't use your rent money. Don't risk your emergency fund. Only trade capital that won't hurt your life if you lose it. This removes emotion from decision-making.
Rule 2 - Respect Your Stop Loss
No exceptions. Ever. A stop loss is not a suggestion - it's your insurance policy. Hit it and move on without hesitation. The traders who don't respect stops are the traders who blow up their accounts.
Rule 3 - Scale In and Out
Don't FOMO all-in on one entry. Build positions gradually with the three layers. Exit gradually with the three targets. This removes emotion and improves results dramatically.
Rule 4 - Lock Profits Before Pullbacks
Let winners run but protect gains. Your first 30% profit at 6,900 is EARNED. Take it. You only regret profits you didn't take.
Rule 5 - Track Correlations
Watch related pairs for divergence. If SPX goes up but NASDAQ goes down, something is wrong. Exit first, ask questions later.
Rule 6 - Use Alerts - Don't Stare at Screens 24/7
Set price alerts on TradingView. Let technology do the work. You have a life outside trading. Check alerts a few times per day.
Important Notices ⚠️
📋 This is TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ONLY - Not financial advice
🔒 NOT a recommendation to buy or sell
💡 Use this framework with YOUR OWN analysis - Don't blindly follow
🎓 Paper trade first if you're testing this strategy - Practice before risking real money
📊 Past performance ≠ Future results - Markets change constantly
💪 TRADER PSYCHOLOGY EDGE
Set your entries BEFORE market opens. Don't make emotional decisions when the market is moving fast. Your exit plan matters more than your entry plan. Where you exit determines your profit, not where you enter. Profits are made on discipline, not on aggression. The patient traders dominate the impatient ones.
One good trade beats ten desperate ones. Never try to "make back" losses with revenge trading. The best traders know when to step away from the market and recharge their minds.
🚀 ENGAGEMENT BOOSTERS FOR LIKES & VIEWS
If This Resonates:
👍 Like if you trade US500 index regularly
💬 Comment your entry price and targets
⭐ Bookmark this for your personal watchlist
🔔 Follow for daily swing trade setups and analysis
Share Your Thoughts:
"What's YOUR target on SPX? Comment below! 👇 Are you taking this trade or waiting for confirmation?"
"Have you tried the layered entry method? Tell me your experience in the comments!"
RR - Nearly time to go long on Robotics?I like to make trades at the confluence of a number of factors. I think RR is nearly at some of those points so I'm going to open the idea - and we'll journal this like usual.
** Important: I am not long yet, and don't yet recommend it.
Let's look at the support:
1. The lower trendline. My lower trendline is actually lower than it could be (there are other trendlines that indicate a higher point, but I like to be safe. We need to hold this trendline which is currently about $3
2. The 200 day EMA is at $3.22. Also really good support.
3. The POC is currently at $3.18. Again, really good support.
4. It does also look like that head and shoulders pattern from October is complete.
5. If we don't hold that $3 support the next support is around $2.30. But, that current $3 support would become resistance, and we'd be likely be stuck down there. So we need to hold that $3.
The resistance:
1. That upper trendline has held strong. It's been touched multiple times and each time bounced down with some volume - indicating it's still strong. Before going long here we need to break that trendline.
2. After earnings we found resistance at $4.60. That will be an important level to break. After that breaks and holds, the next resistance is likely the right shoulder and that volume node at about $6
The trade plan goes as follows:
1. Go long if:
1a. We break the upper trendline.
1b. Or we bounce off the 200day or POC.
2. Ideally, we drop a bit more down to about $3.30, then bounce with some momentum and break the trendline.
If 1a happens, I'll likely sell puts, happy to own if they get exercised.
If 1b happens, I'll buy LEAP Calls and potentially play with some synthetic covered calls.
My target price is $5.80 - just before that $6 resistance.
I'll update weekly - or if I got long.
ETH-USDTEthereum has two scenarios here.
One is stabilization above 3190, which is a short-term support 💰💰
In this case, it could rise up to 3450 🔼🚨
This would be the bullish scenario.
The second scenario is a breakthrough and continuation of the correction below 3190,
which could lead to further decline down to 3036 🔽📣
Start of a full-blown uptrend: 2.0-2.1446
Hello, traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
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(SUIUSDT 1M chart)
To continue the uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and hold.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 2.0-2.1446 range and maintain its upward momentum.
If the upward movement fails, we should observe whether the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart moves sideways until it declines near the Fibonacci level of 0.236 (1.3434).
-
(1W chart)
The key question is whether the price can find support and rise near the newly forming DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range (1.4969-1.8396).
Based on the basic trading strategy, the target range is around the 4.2272-4.7328 range.
However, caution is advised when trading, as the price is currently forming below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, I think it's best to start trading after confirming whether the price rises to around 2.0-2.1446 and maintains its strength.
-
(1D Chart)
When analyzing charts, it's best to observe the movements of the 1D chart as a basic trading strategy.
This is because most indicators are derived from the 1D chart.
In this sense, the key is whether the price can find support and rise around the 1.3451-1.5174 range, which is the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range on the 1D chart.
As mentioned earlier, to sustain the uptrend from a long-term perspective, the price must remain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. Therefore, the current price level is not suitable for trading.
A decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range could lead to a step-down trend.
This means that the price is renewing its low, but it can also be considered a time for a split buy.
Therefore, you should consider how to execute a split buy before starting a trade.
If the price rises from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, the HA-High to DOM(60) range will form.
Therefore, if you bought near the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, you should sell near the HA-High to DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it's likely to form a step-up trend, so it's recommended to sell in steps.
As mentioned earlier, a step-up trend, like a step-down trend, means that the price is renewing its high.
Therefore, since a sharp decline is possible at any time, it's advisable to sell in steps at the appropriate time to secure profits.
-
In summary, if you encounter the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicators, you should focus on finding the right time to buy and consider how to execute the split purchase.
Furthermore, if you encounter the DOM(60) or HA-High indicators, you should focus on finding the right time to sell and consider how to execute the split purchase.
This is the basic trading strategy.
If not, and you buy when the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range supports and rises, or sell when the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range resists and falls, it's best to maintain your stop loss.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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#5,100.80 mark aheadTechnical analysis: Gold is following the precise Buyi9ng pattern of the previous Lower High’s Lower zone on Hourly 4 chart. Assuming that #4,252.80 - #4,267.80 was Bottom of previous Neutral leg, the Price-action should now extend towards the #4,427.80 - #4,452.80 level which is first Higher High’s on my chart (before dropping to #4,327.80 once again which poses as an decent stabilization zone for further soaring towards #5,100.80 benchmark). With current Daily chart’s consolidation done and rejection on Upper band of the Ascending Channel completed, Gold repels all Bearish attempts however isn’t as soaring as one could expect taking all circumstances onboard. The last Weekly (#1W) candle closed on decent gains as I foreseen lately that Gold will close the week on gains erasing all losses of previous two (# +2.45%) however the Monthly candle remains on marginal gains (# +2.41%) however sequence will not stay this way as I expect much bigger gains on Gold. This suggests that the rise above #4,300.80 - #4,327.80 once again should be a very quick process especially since Daily chart’s High’s / Low’s remain’s firm. This is translated in slow pace upswing within a Long-term Bullish cycle. Hourly 1 chart is Trading widely above Neutral Rectangle with #4,400.80 psychological benchmark posing as an first obvious Resistance. Regardless of the Resistance break I do Target values way above #4,400.80 benchmark as anything in between gives no firm Intra-day direction however as recent patterns suggest, Buyers are getting most of returns almost on all timeframes.
My position: I am more than satisfied with my Annual Profits as I am taking December very easy. However if you decide to Trade this, just follow my chart as I maintain my #5,100.80 benchmark Target for early #2026 Year.
Bitcoin Weekly BEARISH trigger to watch in the coming weeks
9 SMA Orange
14 SMA Green
50 SMA Red
This is really sinple.
Bitcoin PA has followed a number of previous cycle Fractels to one degree or other and NOW. we seem to be repeating the post 2021 ATH idea.
To recap on aprevious post.
Note how the 2 ATH in 2021 were within the o to 236 Fin entrancement range.
2021 ATH Weekly chart
Also note the day count from a short term recovery after post ATH Drop.
Also notice the Crossover of the 9 and the 50 SMA.
We reached a high, another retrace, then a push higher above all 3 SMA and then Full on BEAR
We seem to be playing a Veyr similar pattern right now.
We are just entering that period were the 50 crosses the 9
The small circle is the approx area of the next high, possibly afyer a dip.
And then, the projected similar day count to where PA drops under that 236 retracement line.
For me THAT will signal the return of a bear market.
If that happens, that is around MARCH 2026
We need to play Close attention here....
Why Gold Could Start Beating Silver AgainThe relationship
• TVC:GOLD and silver move together over the long run, but leadership rotates depending on market conditions.
• The key variable is risk appetite, not the metals themselves.
Risk regimes
• Risk-off / fear-driven markets
Gold outperforms as a defensive, monetary asset.
• Risk-on / growth-driven markets
Silver outperforms due to higher beta and industrial demand.
Why the VIX matters
• The Gold/Silver ratio is a reliable stress indicator.
• The TVC:VIX acts as a proxy for fear in the system:
– Rising or elevated VIX → gold leadership
– Falling or suppressed VIX → silver leadership
What 2025 is telling us
• YTD performance reflects a clear risk-on phase:
– Gold: +63%
– Silver: +108%
• TVC:SILVER has been the clear winner so far.
Looking ahead
• Volatility is starting to rise again.
• The Gold/Silver ratio is back near historically relevant levels.
• If fear becomes established, history suggests gold should regain relative strength versus silver.
Positioning
• Going forward, gold makes sense as a safer asset to hedge against a potential shift toward risk-off conditions.






















