ZN Short — $ZNM26 breaking down through 110.10 support on risingSetup: On the 4h chart ZN has been in a sustained downtrend since the mid-April high near 111.75, making a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent bounce off the ~110.10 low stalled at 110.28-110.33 resistance — the prior intraday base from early May — and price is now rolling back over. The 1h chart shows a clean sequence: the May 6-8 bounce peaked at 111.0, rejection followed with increasing red volume, and today's session broke below the 110.25 consolidation zone on expanding vo
ZN
ZN Short — $ZNM26 breaking down through 111.30 support with rateSetup: On the 4h, ZN has been rangebound between roughly 110.75 and 112.00 since late March, but the current price action sits in the lower half of that range after failing to hold the Apr 17 spike high near 111.80. The 1h shows a clean staircase breakdown from 111.65 to current levels — lower highs and lower closes over the past two sessions with expanding red volume on the drops. The most recent bars (Apr 21 07:00–10:00) show a high-volume flush through the 111.30 shelf with no meaningful bid
Short-Term Outlook: ZN Bonds will decline to 109.16$.I. Bearish Momentum:
The ZN bonds market has recently displayed signs of bearish momentum, with several key indicators pointing towards a potential downturn. One of the most notable factors contributing to this sentiment is the presence of strong seller volume, indicating that there is significant downward pressure on bond prices.
II. Seller Dominance:
Seller dominance can be a powerful indicator of market sentiment. When sellers outnumber buyers, it often leads to downward price movements. In
Huge Volume 08/25/2022, and an important level was brokenMBK method is very interesting, this is an important level that was broken on 08/25/2022, in zn and also in zb. The t bonds markets are tending to go down with this interesting configuration. this level was tested Three times, on 8 July, 11 July, and 21 July.
Elliott Wave View: Ten Year Notes (ZN) Looking to Extend LowerShort term View in Ten Year Notes (ZN) suggests that rally to 120’16 ended wave ((4)). Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Wave A of ((4)) ended at 120’04 and dips in wave B of ((4)) ended at 118’23. Final leg higher wave C ended at 120’16 which completed wave ((4)). Wave ((5)) lower is currently in progress with internal subdivision as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. The Notes still needs to break below previous wave ((3)) low on 6/15/2022 at 114’0
Yields / Fed Funds / Rates / Inflation / 007s / TLT / ZN / ZBYou can't fix silly.
You can't fix stupid.
The Bond Market isn't going to fix anything, it assures ruin.
____________________________________________________
Buy the Dip hasn't quite worked out.
TLT will head to Sub 52.
You were warned long ago exactly what is happening would.
And explained in no uncertain terms exactly why.
DX back to 125?
Yeah... it's how you end up in ruin. Europe first.
TNX Yield times 2.81 - follow along or lose.























