[RS]Study into sequential probabilitys V0

just some experimentation to check results, putting it out there. :P
odds of the next bar being up or down bar.
Open-source script

In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in a publication is governed by House Rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.


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Want to use this script on a chart?
study(title='[RS]Study into sequential probabilitys V0')
up_bar = close > open
down_bar = close < open

up_sequence = max(0, barssince(up_bar == 0) - 1)
down_sequence = max(0, barssince(down_bar == 0) - 1)

up_bars = cum(up_bar)
down_bars = cum(down_bar)

up_odds = (up_bars/n)*100
down_odds = (down_bars/n)*100

forecast_up_odds = ((up_bars/n) * pow((up_bars/n), up_sequence))*100
forecast_down_odds = ((down_bars/n) * pow((down_bars/n), down_sequence))*100

plot(forecast_up_odds, color=green)
plot(forecast_down_odds, color=maroon)