Critical USDT.D Test: Altcoin Relief or More Pain?USDT dominance is pushing into its long-term trendline resistance again. If this level rejects, it usually signals fresh money rotating back into altcoins.
But if USDT.D breaks out and holds above the trendline, it could put pressure on alts and slow down their momentum.
This is a key spot for the altcoin market.
DYOR, NFA
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Trade ideas
USDT.D SMT DIVERGENCE WITH TOTALThis points to a new smart money and institutional trend change, coursing through this month to the end of the first half of 2026!
Looking at the crypto market, especially altcoins, now reversing bullishly during this 5-6 months window, before the bear market starts gearing up…going into the second half of 2026!
And trust me smt divergence will signal it again ! ! !
#Crypto #BC400 #BTC
USDT DOMINANCE ANALYSIS (2D)Hello.
I'd like to share my ideas about USDT Dominance today.
When I start to analyze a chart, the first thing I do is look at past events and patterns.
As I can see, around August 2025, USDT completed its double zig-zag corrective move.
Now we're seeing that the entire market is bleeding, and of course this parameter is also moving in the opposite direction of the market.
Due to its nature, it's easy to analyze the entire market by looking at this parameter alone.
We realize that after the first change of character around the market, this parameter began forming a five-wave impulsive movement. October 10th also confirms this idea in a way.
As anyone who knows about Elliott Theory understands, there are many possibilities when a sudden crash appears in the market. That's the reason why I waited patiently to update my thoughts on this chart.
At the moment, I'm almost sure that what we're seeing here is another five-wave impulsive upward pattern.
The good news is that we are about to see this bleeding in the market come to an end.
The reason is simple: volume.
As you can examine on the chart, volume has been decreasing for days now.
Even if it's not the end of wave 5 yet, we are going to see this parameter drop significantly in the coming weeks — possibly with an A-B-C zig-zag or a double zig-zag pattern.
The orange line on the chart represents an ascending channel. When it breaks, it will also confirm a change of character in the entire market. What I expect is that when this happens, we’ll most likely see a drop of around -20% in this parameter. This will allow the market to recover from its ashes once more.
Thanks for reading.
USDT DOMINANCE Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
Considering that trading volume in the crypto market has decreased and the volatility of large-cap coins has slowed, analyses now require more time to play out.
We still believe that Tether dominance will experience a drop; however, the supply orders from the previous analysis have been consumed. The correct zone for orders is marked by the red box.
It is expected that after hitting the identified supply zone, the price will move toward the targets marked on the chart and drop.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT dominance (USDT.D) USDT dominance (USDT.D) remains elevated and is in a major uptrend, indicating that a significant portion of crypto capital is still parked in stablecoins and in a risk-off position.
Current Structure:
USDT.D is around 5-6%, having broken above a long-term descending trendline that had capped dominance since 2022. This is typically a cautionary signal for risk assets when it remains above that breakout level.
From a technical perspective, USDT.D still appears to be in a large corrective pattern, with significant downside support around 4.2% and 3.8%; losing those levels would confirm a new downtrend in dominance and is usually accompanied by a strong rally in BTC and altcoins.
DYOR | NFA,
New update on Tether Dominance (4H)Based on the previous analysis, which you can see in that post (), the price did not move above the defined supply zone and headed downward. We have now analyzed Tether Dominance on the four-hour timeframe.
Now it seems it may have another drop ahead and move toward the green zone. The best area for a rejection is the red zone.
This would make Bitcoin and some altcoins more bullish.
As long as this index has not reached the green zone, look for buy/long positions.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Stable coin dominance leaving accumulation range. Crypto doomed?Stable coin dominance appears to be towards the end of an accumulation range. This could prove to be a signal that CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH and other cryptocurrencies are about to fall even more.
Alternatively, there's a scenario where we could say this is a re-distribution area. I'll post that one below.
So what to expect? Well... if we follow the PA as projected on this chart above, it's bearish for crypto. If we follow PA that resembles the prediction on the chart below, then it would be bullish for crypto.
Best thing would be to wait on the sideline to wait for some confirmation.
USDT Dominance at Decision Zone Rejection or Breakout?USDT Dominance remains the leading macro compass for true market direction, and the weekly structure is now sitting at a very sensitive inflection point. The chart has been oscillating inside a large descending channel since 2021, repeatedly respecting dynamic trendlines and reacting cleanly to both the secondary supply and demand zones.
Price is currently positioned near the upper boundary and trading inside the Strategic Supply Zone, with clear rejection pressure. The bearish path remains valid as long as price holds below the supply ceiling, where any expansion lower would target the mid-channel region around 4.55% first, followed by the deeper liquidity pocket toward 2.56% at the primary demand zone. A breakdown into that area historically aligns with strong upside phases in BTC and the broader altcoin market, as shown in previous cycles.
However, a weekly breakout and acceptance above the supply zone would change the narrative entirely. Continuation strength could propel dominance into the 9.48%–10.36% range, which would typically translate into aggressive liquidity rotation back into stablecoins and increased selling pressure across crypto majors and alts.
This is a pivotal zone. We should monitor the weekly close closely:
• Rejection here = bullish for BTC & altcoins
• Acceptance above = risk-off and likely capital shift into stablecoins
usdt.d + BTCusdt.d + BTC
Capital Reservoir: In the Crypto market, when you sell BTC or ETH, most people don't immediately withdraw to fiat currency (because withdrawals are cumbersome), but instead exchange it for USDT. Seesaw Effect: Bull Market/High Risk Appetite: Traders buy BTC with USDT, $\rightarrow CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D decreases. Bear Market/Strong Risk Aversion: Traders sell BTC and buy back USDT, $\rightarrow CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D increases.
#USDT.D: My expectations and possible scenarios.This metric is very important. It enables us to determine the overall direction of the crypto market.
The higher the USDT.D, the more cash is flowing out of assets.
Conversely, the lower USDT.D is, the more cash is flowing into assets.
My expectations are as follows:
A further decline in USDT.D will cause the entire crypto market to grow, albeit only locally.
However, there is one caveat: technically, the previous high has not been surpassed. We could easily return to that level and remove it, and only then continue the decline in dominance. Moreover, the Fed is meeting soon, and they may make a similar move by then. However, I am optimistic that the market will show local growth and that USDT.D will continue its downward trend.
USDT Dominance#USDT_dominance, after reacting to the 6.07% resistance zone, may continue its corrective move toward the static support near 5.5%. Such a decline would generally support a more bullish environment for the overall crypto market.
Once price reaches this key level, market conditions must be reassessed:
A break below the 5.5% support would signal further downside for USDT dominance and could lead to a stronger and broader market-wide rally across crypto assets.
USDT D. with a range breakout - more carnage to come- complimentary analysis to the recent ones
- Bitcoin is indeed falling hard but there are reasons to believe the fun is just getting started
- with USDT D. (confirmation with a weekly close) breaking out of a multi-month range it is likely it heads higher
- total carnage for crypto going into December
- Bitcoin could go as low as 60k
FireHoseReel | USDT.D : The Next Major Crypto Wave Is Starting🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) market structure.
👀 USDT.D – 4H Overview
After a strong bullish rally, USDT Dominance has fully retraced its entire move and is now losing a key support zone. This is one of those levels you shouldn’t pass without a position — it’s a critical decision area.
🧮 RSI Analysis
The USDT Dominance RSI has formed an oversold zone around the 33 level. A breakdown and sustained move below this zone could trigger mass USDT selling and strong buying pressure in Bitcoin and altcoins.
✍️ Current Scenario for USDT Dominance (Simple Setup)
🟢 Long Scenario for the Crypto Market:
A clear break and candle close below 5.934%, ideally accompanied by RSI breaking below the 33 level, would confirm momentum. In that case, the move is expected to accelerate, and we’ll likely spend less time inside the position due to high volatility.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading becomes no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades and enjoy the process with control and discipline.
End of Trend USDT.DUSDT.D’s rise is nearing its end. This pattern helped me stay out of the market even before October 10. Now I’m seeing similarities that suggest this move is ending — capitulation and fear usually last 2–3 months, and we’ve gotten that. Real capitulation always happens in November–December.
Tether Dominance Tether dominance (`USDT.D`) has been correcting in a Wave 4 pattern, and after a period of sideways movement, it appears to be preparing for the commencement of Wave 5. In this scenario, `USDT.D` may initially retrace to the 5.78 level, which could trigger a short-term upward movement in the broader crypto market. Subsequently, Tether dominance is highly likely to ascend to the 7.77 level. During this potential Wave 5, Bitcoin could potentially reach the $70,000 mark. Finally, a possible correction for `USDT.D` down to 6.74 might occur, followed by a prolonged period of consolidation within that range.
Trading Recommendation: It is advisable to look for suitable short positions at price peaks during bullish rallies. Avoid entering long positions until significant support levels for Tether dominance are firmly established.
Bull or Bear ?Trading Plan – USDT.D (Market Cap Dominance)
We are in a corrective phase forming a potential AB=CD pattern. Price is approaching a key reaction zone.
If USDT.D breaks lower from this area, it confirms risk-on sentiment → bullish continuation for crypto (bull run).
If USDT.D moves higher and holds above resistance, correction extends → bearish pressure on crypto begins.
USDT Domimnance UpdateHello traders,
USDT Dominance has been in a corrective phase after printing a major local top near 6.74%. Each lower high with the descending trendline resistance, confirming bearish structure. Momentum remains weak and price continues to respect downside pressure.
Our bias remains bearish toward the local demand zone around 5.10% – 5.35%
This movement can have some bullish emphasis on the crypto market specially BTC and ETH.
Good Luck!
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