Components
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Components:
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Currently at the top of the short term range.
Components as follows:
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Remains in a downward trend.
The components are as follows:
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Market Sentiment Index: Medium Term (50 Days) = Neutral
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Market Sentiment Index: Short Term (20 Days) = Neutral
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Market Sentiment Index: Short Term (20 Days) = Negative But Ultra Short Term It’s ‘Near Oversold’ The 20-Day Trend (2 Std Deviation Linear Regression Channel) = Down, But Nearing The Lower Boundary of the Channel.
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P...
Applied with 2standard deviation, 20-day linear regression channel
Components
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Components:
- Copper
- High Beta vs Low Beta
- Growth vs Value
- EM Currencies
- AUD/USD
- Consumer Staples vs Consumer Discretionary
- Semiconductors vs S&P 500
- Russell 2000 ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index (Inverse)
Assumption: Discrediting the abnormal wick down in Wave 1 as an outlier that does not affect the overall wave count.
While the overall S&P 500 Index has already reached a 4.236 Extension this cycle (which typically marks the top and end of a Bull run), the S&P 500 Large Cap Value Index has not yet reached such heights.
Wave 3 (ending at the C-19 sell-off crash)...
Global Safe-Haven Index
- Upward trend suggest risk on
- Downward trend suggests risk off
- The index now trading at the upper boundary of it's 200-day linear regression channel (2.5x mean) thus possibly looking stretched.
The Decline in Value
The iShares S&P 500 Value ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of large-capitalization U.S. equities that exhibit value characteristics.
Top 10 Holdings
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC CLASS B 3.12
JOHNSON & JOHNSON 2.36
PROCTER & GAMBLE 2.02
EXXON MOBIL CORP 1.81
WALT DISNEY 1.45
CHEVRON CORP 1.43
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC...
Value, Banks & Dinasaur Juice have been the winning trend the first two weeks of 2022. The market is closed on Monday 1/17/22 for Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. I'm anticipating a fairly volatile gap move from today's close till Tuesday 1/18 market open. The question is what sector/s and/or stocks, will gap up or gap down? There are several plausible scenarios what...
IVW / IVE _ A Growth vs. Value Analysis
Top Holdings:
IVW - iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF : Apple (11%), Microsoft (10%), Amazon (8%), Google (6%), Facebook (3%), Tesla (3%), Nvidia (3%), PayPal (2%), Netflix (2%), Adobe (1%),
IVE - iShares S&P 500 Value ETF : BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC CLASS B (3%), JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (3%), WALT DISNEY (2%), JOHNSON & JOHNSON...
Here is a very important chart: the ratio between growth stocks and value stocks.
Wave 3 could be ending soon as we just touched the ML of the PF and hit the 200% extension of W3 vs W1.
We are seeing an extended 5th within W3 which could top at 1.90 with a daily bearish divergence on the RSI.
If this count proves to be correct, we will see NDX under-perform the...
NYSE Arca
