The attached chart highlights the S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF Relative To the S&P 500 High Beta ETF where we note the ratio/price emerging from a 12-month base formation following a downward trend that was in place from the March 2020 lows. Why is this chart important? The ratio helps investors identify a leading factor/style which influences sector/style...
Pure Value & Low Vol relative to Pure Growth & High Beta. The rotation away from duration and beta has been very strong the past 2 months. As QT begins and liquidity dries up even more, I’d continue to favor shorter duration & lower beta segments of the market.
Themes: Last night on radio I spoke about the value versus growth theme and also mentioned our custom safe-haven index which has now broken to the upside of the channel in place since July. In terms of value vs growth, I also mentioned on Monday that Q2 & Q3 2020, value over growth & cyclicals over defensives were easier calls than it is now. For e.g. Deere...
Bullish when rising --> Risk-Seeking market Bearish when falling --> Risk-Off market Another ratio that demonstrates non-confirmation as the market lunges to new all-time-highs.
Noticeable Themes - Value in short term upward trend versus growth - Cyclical stocks rolling over versus Defensive stocks - S&P Low Volatility ETFs starting to outperform the S&P 500 on a relative basis - US Small Caps (IWM) neutral vs US Large Caps (SPY) - Emerging Market equities neutral vs Developed Market Equities - Safe-Havens Surging
SPLV has completely confirmed the rising triangle, I bought SPLV Buy : $52.5 Target : $58 , max $62 Stop loss : 6% Wish you good deals!
Big momentum divergence on this low vol ETF relative to the S&P 500.
This chart forms part of a larger research note. None of the information posted here (TV) should be considered financial advice. On a relative basis, safe-havens have out-performed risk assets for the past week. This is highlighted by the relative chart, using our custom Global Safe-Haven Index (SHIX) versus the S&P500 E-mini Futures (as a wide proxy for risk...
Low vol is supposed to be better in times of high vol. (At least that is how a financial advisor explained it to me). So let's see. This March was quite volatile. How did LOW vol do compared to your vanilla $SPY? Turns out this month it did 2% worse.
I believe no comment is needed
Global Safe-Haven Index Relative To Global Equities - Lifting At The Lows | Our custom safe-haven basket has shown signs of reversal as it trades near 7-month lows with a technical bullish RSI divergence guiding the view that it's time for safe-havens to shine once again. I believe this chart is key as you may recall sentiment late on Thursday afternoon, via the...
Our custom Global Safe-Have Index trending lower versus global equities i.e. demand for safe-haven assets have been lost as riskier assets continue to be supported. On a relative basis, the price is approaching a 7-month low where safe-havens may find technical support on a relative basis versus global equities. Also note we have a small bullish divergence...
Defensive vs SP500 as fear barometer proxy ...
Global Safe-Haven Index (SHIX): Our risk indicator has been enhanced with the inclusion of four new factors, which takes the total inputs to eight. They now include: 1. Gold Futures 2. TLT ETF (Bonds) 3. Japanese Currency Index 4. Swiss Currency Index 5. S&P Low Volatilty ETF 6. iShares Emerging Markets ETF (Inverse) 7. USDKRW (US Dollar / Korean Won) -...
I would be very careful buying either one of these right here.
Just sold this out of LT portfolio as well as all individual stocks associated with it. not rational or sustainable at this level.