PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULTSH 20YRS NEW

NYSE ARCA & MKT

TBT

Price support at a rising 4-week moving average often serves as a launching pad to higher prices.

Looks as if it could run to 30 to 34 just on a normal retracement

Tracking this one. $.95 cent move today. Bonds have fallen $3-4 dollars off highs. Best insurance against Treasury selling.

Research indicates bonds are overbought. Going to scale back out of this long between 24 and 28.

A double bottom with an upside divergence in the MACD is taking shape. might be tad early but TBT is the leveraged ETF on the 20 year Treasury. Bought 10 contracts of the 33.5 puts expiring MAY 24 AT .09C BIT SPECULATIVE WE'LL SEE.

METRICS: Max Loss on Setup: $422 Max Profit on Setup: $178 Break Even Versus Spot: 35.22 versus 35.37 Debit Paid to Spread Width Ratio: 70.3% Delta: 50.2 Theta: .6 Notes: Tomorrow's the last day on which 2018 tax losses can be realized, so I can foresee some additional, last minute dumpage, followed by the Big Dicks buying the dip on Wednesday to position long...

TBT is a good proxy for rate direction. Its falling after a possible retest.

It always amazes me how the technicals always seems to match up beautifully with these economic news days. Suffice to say if this line holds tomorrow rates and the market will will rally. If the line is broken I expect the market to break support as well.

Entering radar for next week. Will look for long in highlighted area.

Daily TBT shows bull flag and seller exhaustion. Weekly bullish cloud ahead. All major EMAs supporting the move higher, which means rates going to explode much higher. Bullish dollar $DXY and bearish gold $XAUUSD and miners $GDXJ $GDX

TBT Broke out of long term consolidation. I have been watching this for a while( See Previous post). Treasuries are falling and yields are rising. This is something very important to watch.

Latest jobs report 9/7 /18 confirms STRONG wage growth at almost 3 % Fed 's credibility is being confirmed by the marketplace. as they are on track to raise rates 2 more times in 2018. Dec.2018 just got priced in as almost a done deal, baring the unforeseen. BUY TBT, 3 X Bear ETF , and look to add to position on any pullback Highly Leveraged play on higher...

... for a 2.62/contract debit. Metrics: Max Profit on Setup: $138/contract Max Loss on Setup: $262/contract Break Even: 35.62 vs. 35.69 spot Debit Paid/Spread Width Ratio: 65.5% Notes: Basically, shorting treasury strength with the inverse instrument ... . Here, I'll look to take profit somewhat quickly, since I've only got one roll opportunity with this setup....

Hold tight for this ride, there's a variety of reasons why bond prices will stagnate or fall. Interest rates should rise and be higher than they are now; "should" certainly isn't a reason for something to happen, but there are scant monetary policy maneuverings available for the Fed to keep interest rates low and by extension, prop the stock market up much...

UBT = Ultra (leveraged) 20 Year bond ProShares ETF TBT = INVERSE Ultra (leveraged) 20 Year bond ProShares ETF

TBT false break lower?

solid potential

Not sure we will see a series of ones and twos like the first 5 wave up. But the long term resistance works pretty well as a support now.