Equity Portfolio Technical View
The share is setting up a potential long term bullish reversal, with it’s 16-month downward trend line breached as per the weekly chart.
New 3 1/2 month high.
Weekly RSI emerging from a neutral regime, shifting to a bullish regime, with a reading of 56.
Weekly RSI also at highest level since July 2019.
Pending MACD bull cross...
IAG has been lagging for a while, but today closed above the 50d MA and made a two month high closing above 5.00 May be riding the banks and financials trend at the moment and could aim above the 200d MA next and over 5.50 as a test.
IAG seems that it has found solid support after being flushed heavily. With Bullish Price Action at Support, a break of the Bearish Trendline with very High Volume and MACD cross with Bullish Divergence makes me confident that we can cautiously buy. My Trading Plan is given below:
TP1 - $5.50 (potential gain 13%)
TP2 - $5.90 (potential gain 21%)
IAG made its lows of $4.30 in the end of September, then it pumped up and made a High of $5.50 in the mid of November, breaking the bearish trendline, with very High Volume. This indicates that the trend may have changed, and since then it had been pulling back and formed Bullish Candles at the 78.6% Fib Retracement Level of $4.55. I think it has already made some...
Bullish trend confirmation indications:
1. Downtrend line broken.
2. Impulsive price action at the break of the trendline with High Volume
3. After the impulsive break, price is correcting and consolidating.
4. I would be a confident buyer within the Buy Zone which is the Fib Retracement Level Zone of
50-61.8 % and support of the trendline. The ideal level zone...
Would I like to own IAG for a premium price?
If I can pick it up for 5.50 that's historically a better than fair price in past months.
However - that's only if the credit leg of options gets exercised in two weeks until expiry = plan B.
Plan A _ book a net credit on Bull Put spread, with protection ( insurance) 1 strike below at 5.25 ( -0.25c)
Due to oversea market over night the market is expected to open lower today, The ASX 200 is near the high of Res and the Vix is showing bullish movement to the upside as well. Next lets look at the financial sector (XFJ) and the Real estate sector (XRE), both are showing a bull shooting star on the Res that could pull back today. Now to Insurance Australia Group...