MOSIf the west loves war as much as Biden loves Israel or as much as Trump loves Russia then, this is a buy!
play it with a tight stop, it could just be a big headnshoulders hhh
MOS trade ideas
The Mosaic Company - Ready to shoot?The Mosaic Company comes from a long accumulation period, breaking out from a bearish trendline, doing new highs and now pulling back to the 0.709 Fibonacci level. Great chance to buy now and sell on previous high, or hold for very long term.
$MOS at less than tangoble book value is a buyI think the chart tells the story: NYSE:MOS is trading at the lowest price to book multiple (see lower pane) since the pandemic, which was also the low point over the past 20 years. In addition, there's a buy signal from a AB=CD pattern visible on the chart. The symmetric triangle short play has in fact reached its T1 target and may be played out. In addition, the stock looks poised to break through its longer-term down trend. If that should happen, I think it will accelerate the upside.
The reason for MOS' slump are simple enough: Soybean and corn prices are low, and those are primary uses for Mosaic's fertilizers.
On the plus side, though, MOS has been building financial strength over the past years, and its new and ramping Esterhazy (K3) mine in Saskatachewan, Canada isn't just the largest potash mine in the world, it's also one of the lowest cost ones. Meanwhile, the company has curtailed production at its (higher cost) Colonsay mine, also in Saskatchewan.
I think even without a recovery in fertilizer application (which will undoubtedly come), this setup promises higher margins for Mosaic. NYSE:MOS is cheaper than its fertilizer peers NYSE:CF and NYSE:NTR based on price/book or price/sales, and its forward P/E is in single digits -- far below the market. While I think that historically, the discount to peers was justified by MOS' inferior cost position, I would argue that the company has made strides to catch up.
I plan to enter a long tomorrow. This will be a long-term hold, so no target or stop loss.
MOS - Mosaic Company - longDear Traders,
Mos is getting very oversold (look at daily time frame) it is around key levels, start looking for buying oportunities is good.
best luck,
📈 #MOS Possibly looking for more upsideHey guys, currently NYSE:MOS has formed a great larger degree impulse that was then followed by a deep side ways corrective structure which indicates bullish trend continuation.
We then have lower degree impulse breaking out of the larger degree trend line followed by potentially a Running Flat or an Expanding Flat which also signals more bullish trend continuation.
Watch for the break!
MOS - inverse H&S and breakoutI like the look of the breakout from $NYSE:MOS. Inverse head and shoulders, breaking above a descending wedge, momentum building, and multiple closes above the VWAP anchored to the August high.
MOS testing key resistanceMosaic Company (MOS) presently trading above key resistance, able to absorb weekly selling pressures.
A weekly settlement above this resistance zone would place (MOS) into a buy signal where gains of 20% would be expected over the following 1 - 2 months, and 30% over the following 2 - 3 months.
Inversely, a settlement below a key support level would lead to bearish momentum where losses of 20% would be expected over the following 2 - 3 months.
Stocks pairs trading: AGCO vs MOSIn the agriculture sector, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and The Mosaic Company (MOS) are two significant players with differing growth prospects and performance metrics. Both have their unique merits and challenges, which offer an intriguing opportunity for a pairs trading strategy. The goal here is to capitalize on their differences and aim for a reversion to their historical performance relationship. Specifically, the strategy contemplates going long on AGCO and short on MOS.
Why Go Long on AGCO:
Valuation: AGCO has a P/E ratio of 7.63, which is higher than MOS's P/E of 5.59. However, AGCO's forward P/E remains the same at 7.63, offering stable prospects compared to MOS's forward P/E of 10.25, which signals a potential overvaluation.
Profitability: AGCO has an impressive ROA of 10.45% and a strong ROE of 29.56%. In contrast, MOS's ROA and ROE stand at 9.20% and 17.96%, respectively. AGCO also boasts an EPS this year of 23.36%, which is promising for future profitability.
Performance Metrics: Although AGCO has seen declines recently, it has a positive Perf Year of 5.95%, making it a candidate for a rebound.
Why Short Mosaic Company (MOS):
Valuation: Despite its low P/E of 5.59, MOS's forward P/E rises to 10.25. Coupled with declining performance metrics, this could indicate a potential overvaluation.
Short Interest: MOS has a short float of 1.11%, which is low but not negligible, hinting at some level of negative sentiment that could substantiate a short position.
Profitability: MOS's ROA of 9.20% and ROE of 17.96% are both lower than AGCO's. MOS also has a negative EPS this year of -63.84%, making it less appealing for a long position.
Performance Metrics: MOS has experienced declines across the board in Perf Week, Perf Month, and Perf Quarter, reinforcing the short decision.
Decision:
Long on 1 AGCO
Short on 3 MOS
MOSAIC not yetNothing in this current price action leads me to believe that we have bottomed in Mosaic.
I would consider another wave X in the making. Triangle or a flat.
Triangle is always better because it provides more security in EW counts.
Triangles are "before the last moves" corrective patterns , so X2 triangle would be secured bottom incoming since the triangular price action is the fight between bulls and bears of who is exhausted and who is taking over.
Could be a good spot holdElliottwave is somewhat clean.
Golden zone (0.65) slightly broken in linear scale.
If you like white line, long it.
Just know that the red pattern is also possible.
Double zig zag into a golden zone.
Special dish that EW players like?
$MOS, $CF: Bulls trying to time the aggsNYSE:MOS and NYSE:CF strength recently is noteworthy. It is possibly AMEX:SOYB , AMEX:WEAT or PEPPERSTONE:CORN get an oversold bounce benefiting these companies.
MOS The Mosaic Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MOS The Mosaic Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $40.50 strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-4,
for a premium of approximately $1.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MOS weekly Barchart.com has XLB (materials) as a strong buy, and I agree.
Mosaic (fertilizers, potash), is at a nice support area with a double bottom and sitting just above POC on the weekly.
It has a 17.2 % free cash flow yield (superb), piotroski score of 7 (excellent), 20% return on invested capital (good), 24 % ROE (good). Finbox models have a 43.7% upside.
It may be a little overbought on the daily, and still in the ichimoku cloud, but it is nearing a rip.
First major resistance at 49.31, and from Friday close at 40.22, that is 22.6 % upside.
Long term holdSo apparently even when you make a whole video , you need to type .
Everything Elliottwave wise is clear as a day.
This correction that started mid 2022 seems to be done to me.
So i would expect this asset to go parabolic.
Do you want to invest in something that looks good from EW perspective, well its this.
Log and Lin would give you different perspectives so choose wisely.
MOSLooking for $41.50 if the inverted h&s plays out. Could also be a false breakdown below the 2018 highs as well.
use 40c exp in Aug to trade MOS to $42Mosaic is a $12 billion in sales fertilizer producer that is the world's largest integrated producer of phosphate (11% share), and the third largest global producer of potash (15% share). Mosaic markets its North-American based production throughout the world with distribution assets in 11 countries. The company was created by the October 22, 2004 merger of IMC Global and Cargill Crop Nutrition. Mosaic also has phosphate production JVs in Brazil, China and, most recently, Saudi Arabia.
Quote from BoA on May 8
" Driven by an updated P and K price deck (which includes lower prices mainly for international benchmarks), our 2Q23 EBITDA goes to $784mmn from $1,014mn previously. Our 2023 estimate is now $3,204n from $3,8014mn. However, we now project higher EBITDA next year (~$3.3bn) driven by higher P and K volumes and Fertilizantes earnings. With earnings bottoming, we raise our 2023E EBITDA multiple to 7x from 6.5x. Our PO moves to $60 from $69. We continue to view MOS shares as inexpensive, trading near 5x BofAe EBITDA through 2025. We reiterate Buy!"
MOS - Inverted H&SHead and Shoulders pattern may be a sign of a trend reversal to the side of the bulls.
If price does not recover on the upper line price may dip before the right shoulder fully forms.
Bulls can take control on this timeframe being the daily.
Can MOS reach $28 in June?"Based on 14 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Mosaic Co in the last 3 months. The average price target is $46.32 with a high forecast of $62.00 and a low forecast of $38.00. The average price target represents a 46.07% change from the last price of $31.71."
MOS // Cup handle formation. Resistance breakdown requiredAlthough there is a cup-handle formation on the chart, the targets are determined according to Fibonacci. Let's look for closures where I indicated with X for the formation.
MOS Bullish Buy signal off 11 month Triple Bottom. 3/12X,DailyNYSE:MOS
MOS has an 11 Month Triple Bottom it just bounced off of. This level was also previous Resistance back in 2021. It is crossing up on the 3 EMA above the 12 EMA for a Bullish entry to Buy Calls or the stock.
$MOS with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $MOS after a Positive Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 70%.
