Kwrwshmhmdy4 We saw signs of a decline in the US30 chart last week. And this decline was enough to convince retail traders to enter a sell trade and place a stop at the highest peak. And this is exactly the wrong thing to do, because the market will turn around and hit all the stop losses and with the volume that enters the market, the price will flow down. So the market will first go up and eventually fall more sharply.
DJ30.F trade ideas
Dow rolls over, shifting directional risksDirectional risks in the Dow Jones contract appear more balanced following the break of uptrend support earlier this week, a view supported by momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD, which have also rolled over, delivering a neutral signal. More weight should be placed on price action in the near term rather than maintaining a specific bias.
If the price can hold above support at 45,762, longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the record high of 46,723 set earlier this month. Should the uptrend break lead to an extension of the bearish move beneath 45,762, the setup could be flipped, with shorts placed below the level and a stop above for protection. The 50DMA, 45,000 or 44,500 screen as potential targets.
Good luck!
DS
US30 - 2 Day Traders Edge📈Technical:
MARKET BIAS: Neutral-Bullish above PIVOT (holding above HVN level, testing resistance)
PIVOT ZONE: 46,205 (Current HVN magnet)
🥇 Traders Edge - Actionable & Tactical
TRADE SETUPS:
🟧 Risk Warning: Core PCE surprise = 200+ point moves
↕️ Bias Flip: Break below 46,100 (bearish) | above 46,450 (bullish)
🟢BULLISH Potential if PIVOT holds -
• Bounce from Pivot area 46300 | 46450
• Stop Loss: 46,050
🔴BEARISH Potential -
• Look for SHORT Entries: Rejections at 46300 and/or below PIVOT @ 46205
• Take Profit: 45900 | 45500 Extended Breakdown
• Stop Loss: Above 46300
🎯KEY LEVELS:
• Strong Resistance: 46,300 | 46,450 | 46,650
• Strong Support: 46,100 | 45,900 | 45,700 | 45,500
🎯PRICE TARGETS:
• Bullish Path: 46,300 → 46,450 → 46,650 (Extended breakout)
• Bearish Path: 46,100 → 45,900 → 45,500 (Extended breakdown)
🚨HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS (48H): (NY Time Zone)
• Sep 25 | 08:30 Core Durable Goods: -0.1% vs 1.1% → Manufacturing health
• Sep 25 | 08:30 GDP Q2 Final: 3.3% vs -0.5% → Growth = equity bullish
• Sep 26 | 08:30 Core PCE MoM: 0.2% vs 0.3% → RATE REPRICING RISK
• Sep 26 | 08:30 Personal Income: 0.3% vs 0.4% → Corporate earnings proxy
🛑 MASTER RISK EVENT
🟧Friday September 26 | 08:30 (NY Time Zone)
🟧 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) - Forecast: 0.2% vs Previous: 0.3%
🟧 Critical Impact: Fed's preferred inflation gauge determines rate path and USD strength
• Gold: Collapse risk if hot print
• Equities: Rate repricing volatility
• Sectors: Tech rotation sensitivity
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOL
• Reduce position sizes before Friday 08:30 EDT
• USD strength reversals impact Gold heavily
• Tech high beta to rate repricing
• Month-end flows amplify volatility
________________________________________
Analysis based on Session Volume POC clusters and HVN methodology
US30 Resistance Cluster Above!
HI,Traders !
#US30 made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
Which is now a resistance
Cluster round 46329.8 then
Went down and made a local
Pullback on Thursday and
Friday but we are bearish
Biased mid-term so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down this week !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
US30 - Trading Edge TodayDear Friends in Trading,
🎯Trading Edge:
Following USTEC leadership but needs independent breakout above 46,450 for confirmation
Key Level: 46,450 (breakout confirmation)
Pivot: 46,200 – 46,350
Bias: Bullish above pivot
Bull target: 46,500 → 46,700
Bear target: 46,100 → 45,900
Correlation: +88% with USTEC (2–3-Hour lag), +48% with Gold
Risk Assets Alignment:
GOLD🔄USTEC🔄US30
✅Gold + USTEC + US30 all bullish above pivots = Fed dovish trade confirmed
✅Unusual Gold/equity positive correlation suggests monetary policy driving both higher
Assets Overbought:
🔴USTEC - 4HR Overbought Divergence Detected
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US30 DropsUS30 looks bearish on the M30 timeframe with one price target of 46,108.7 and a bias of 46,002.2.
The setup will be invalidated if the price breaches 46,463.5, which is derived from bearish pressure at the H4 to Daily resistance.
The high at 46,363.4 is held by the 46,417 area zone, and the bulls' momentum is also challenged by the bearish highs at 46,353.8. Overall, the sentiment is therefore bearish.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
US 30 Index – Preparing for the End of Q3Historically, September is usually a poor month for US stock indices but, so far at least, this year it’s different. The US 30 index, which opened the month at 45609, is up around 850 points, trading close to new all time highs of 46465 recorded yesterday (time of writing 0800 BST). That’s a monthly gain of 1.8%.
Some of the reasons for this positive performance lie in last Wednesday’s 25bps (0.25%) interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which included in the accompanying statement the potential for another 2 more 25bps cuts into the end of the year, if the incoming US labour market data suggests it is necessary, and the incoming inflation data is subdued enough to permit it. Two potential sticking points when considering whether this move high can continue.
Looking forward on the scheduled events front, traders receive updates on the health of the US economy in the form of the September Manufacturing and Service activity PMI surveys today at 1445 BST. Any reading above 50 = economic expansion, while below 50 = economic contraction. The focus may be the Services print which has been the main driver of US growth in 2025, with traders comparing Septembers performance against expectations (53) and the strong August print (54.5).
Fed Chairman Powell is also due to speak today on the economic outlook at an event in Warwick at 1735 BST. This could hold the attention of traders later in the day and is an important risk event to be negotiated.
Then, on Friday, the US PCE index is released at 1330 BST. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and with traders extremely sensitive to the direction of US inflation and its potential knock-on implications for the viability of future Fed interest rate cuts, this update could create extra volatility for the US 30 index into the weekend.
One final consideration for could be the upcoming end of the third quarter on Tuesday September 30th. Q3 has seen the US 30 index gain an impressive 5.2% from opening levels at 44073 on July 1st to 46420 this morning, leading to the question, Could investors decide to lock in these gains over the next 7 trading days or are they happy to hold positions, preparing for a further rally into the end of 2025?
Technical Update: Uptrend Bias Remains In Force
It’s difficult to ignore an asset that consistently posts new all-time highs, which is the case for the US 30 index. As the chart below shows, Monday registered another new upside extreme of 46465.
It could be argued this pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows materialising since the 36440 April 7th downside extreme reflects positive investor sentiment. Traders currently appear happy to pay a higher price each time a sell-off is seen, with this buying support then able to close above resistance marked by the previous high.
This is of course no guarantee that this price action will extend further over coming sessions, but it could mean that assessing what may be the potential support and resistance levels to monitor in the week ahead could be helpful in case an increase in volatility materialises.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having encountered selling pressure at the 46465 new all-time high on Monday, this level could mark the first resistance focus for the coming week. A closing break above 46465 might well be interpreted by traders as opening scope to maintain the uptrend pattern to higher levels.
Such moves could then see tests of 46986, which is equal to the 100% Fibonacci extension level, and if this gives way, even potentially towards 47674, which is the higher 138.2% extension.
Possible Support Levels:
During the latest phase of the US 30 index advance, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that acted as support to price setbacks, limiting declines and enabling the move to resume upside strength. Therefore, with the average currently standing at 45779, this level could well mark the first support focus.
Closing breaks below 45779, if seen, could lead to the possibility of further price declines, opening potential to test the next support at 45262, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August to September 2025 price strength (see chart above).
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DowJones Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46850
Support Level 1: 45960
Support Level 2: 45840
Support Level 3: 45670
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 4H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
US30 Analysis (Short Bias)I expect US30 to remain bearish this week. Current price action suggests weakness, with momentum favoring sellers. If market conditions hold, we may see a continuation to the downside, and today’s session is also likely to close bearish. A short position looks favorable at this point, but as always, risk management is key.
The last week’s predictions toyed with my analysis, but this week might just be the setup for a stronger sell opportunity.
US30: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
US30
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short US30
Entry Point - 46297
Stop Loss - 46377
Take Profit - 46148
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US30 hits new all-time high amid robust AI fever
US equities rallied to fresh record highs, fueled by the Fed’s rate cut, resilient US economic data, and optimism over progress in US-China trade negotiations. Ongoing enthusiasm for AI also boosted technology stocks.
Nvidia (NVDA) drove the strongest market reaction after announcing a \$5 bln purchase of more than 4% of Intel (INTC). Sentiment was further buoyed by reports that Chinese regulators halted their antitrust probe into Google (GOOGL), ending a long-running investigation into Android’s dominance.
US30 maintained a solid uptrend within the ascending channel, setting a new high. The index holds above both EMAs, indicating the potential continuation of the bullish momentum. If US30 breaches above the 46415 high, the index may gain upward momentum toward the psychological resistance at 47000. Conversely, if US30 breaks below EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound, the index could retreat toward 45000.
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 45,683.56
1st Support: 44,863.66
1st Resistance: 47,367.24
Disclaimer:
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US30 - Bullish Path Toward 48,000The market remains strongly bullish with no clear signs of correction, even in lower timeframes.
Active targets are 46,550, 47,300 (key level), and 47,690, with the next major target at 48,000.
Beyond this, 48,920 has also been identified as a potential extension.
While higher targets exist, they belong to a larger fractal and are not yet confirmed.
The deepest possible correction could reach the 45,300 area, which may provide a good long opportunity.
Short positions are not recommended due to high risk and strong buying pressure.