Could we see a reveral from here?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot, which is an overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 47,416.67
1st Support: 46,601.64
1st Resistance: 48,048.01
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Trade ideas
US30 Day Trader Analysis US30 Day TraderAnalysis - 10 Nov 2025
Dow Jones 30 at 47,171 (4:30 PM UTC+4) — consolidation breakout setup forming.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D accumulation post-October rally; Dow Theory primary uptrend intact with minor pullback; Gann Square-of-9 targets 47,600/46,800.
🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Pulse:
1D: Broadening wedge 46,800-47,500; RSI 61 (mild bearish divergence); Ichimoku cloud support 46,500; bullish pennant nearing breakout.
4H: Rising channel 47,000-47,400; EMA21>EMA50>EMA200 (golden cross); VWAP anchored Oct 1 = 46,950 (buy support).
1H: Cup-and-handle breakout base 47,050; BB expanding; VWAP slope bullish after morning dip test.
30M: Symmetrical triangle 47,100-47,250; hidden bull divergence on RSI; volume contracting pre-expansion.
15M: Bull flag above 47,120; Tenkan>Kijun bullish alignment; stochastic RSI reset ready for next leg.
5M: Falling wedge retest 47,140; hammer candlestick confirms demand; watch false breakout above 47,280.
🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP
Entry: 47,120-47,155 (triangle support + VWAP) — confirm on 15M bullish close >47,180.
Stop Loss: 47,050 (below triangle base).
Target 1: 47,250 (+80-130 pips).
Target 2: 47,400 (+230-280 pips — channel top).
Target 3: 47,550 (+400 pips — harmonic extension).
Confirmation: RSI>55, volume +20%, VWAP support holding.
⚡ MOMENTUM ADD: Scale above 47,400 ONLY if RSI>65 + volume surge; trail stop to 47,350.
🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP
Entry: 47,500-47,600 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence.
Stop Loss: 47,700 (above channel resistance).
Targets: 47,350 → 47,200 → 47,000 (Gann support).
Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection.
🚨 BREAKOUT PROTOCOL:
BULL: 1H close >47,400 confirms wedge breakout; target 47,700; move stop to BE+20.
BEAR: 1H close <47,100 with volume expansion triggers retest 46,800 Gann support.
📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) tightening; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope up; EMA21 acting as trigger line on 1H.
⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat PRZ at 47,600; pennant breakout target aligns 47,550; channel failure <47,120 = Wyckoff spring risk; watch H&S if neckline 47,000 breaks.
📈 TIMING & VOLATILITY: US market close 21:00 UTC; earnings whispers elevate volatility; Gann 90° cycle 20:30 UTC. ATR(14) ≈150 pts expect 1.5% range. Risk ≤1% per setup; lock gains TP1; avoid chasing.
Educational analysis only. Align with your plan, manage risk diligently, adapt to live price action.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 11/10/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 11/10/2025
US30 is still trading within a wide consolidation range as price tests the mid-zone around 47,200–47,400. After last week’s dip toward 46,500, buyers stepped back in to defend structure — but momentum remains mixed. ⚖️
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Price reclaimed 47,000 support after a sharp bounce
🔹 EMAs converging → showing indecision / balance
🔹 Range remains between 46,500 – 47,400, with 48K still acting as the upper ceiling
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance:
47,400–47,410 → intraday supply zone
47,800 → minor reaction area
48,000 → strong psychological cap
🔹 Support:
47,000 → intraday structure
46,520 → range floor
45,550 → major swing low
🧠 Bias:
Neutral with slight bullish tilt 📈
⬆️ Break above 47,400 → opens road to 47,800–48,000
⬇️ Drop below 47,000 → could send price back toward 46,500
DOW JONES recovered and is looking for a High at 48500.Exactly 2 weeks ago (October 22, see chart below), we gave a strong Buy Signal on Dow Jones (DJI), as the index had already initiated the new Bullish Leg of its 6-month Channel Up and quickly hit our 47700 Target:
That trading plan included a 2nd Target as well at 48500, which represented a +7.50% rise from the October 10 Low, which was a Higher Low for the Channel Up on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As Target 1 was on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, the recent pull-back was technically expected as the sequence was similar to those of August 22 - September 02 among others. As you can see, all minor pull-backs that took place within this Channel Up, hit the 4H MA100 (red trend-line) and rebounded. Major ones found support lower on the 1D MA50, as did the October 10 Low.
Since the index hit yesterday its 4H MA100 and is rebounding today, the Bullish Leg remains valid and on the medium-term can reach our final 48500 Target.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Golds overperformance relative to the Dow will be dramatic !!The place to invest during the following decade is gold!!
The Dow Jones is projected to lose 96% relative to gold from now until August 2036!! (if history repeats itself as it did in 1968-1980).
In 12 years time, the DOW to GOLD ratio is expected to reach 0.44.
By 2026, we will be able to sell our gold by buying the Dow with less than half an ounce of gold (currently, it takes 12 ounces of gold to buy the Dow).
We're talking about a 24x outperformance!!
DO NOT ignore the historic break down in the stock market relative to gold which is happening right now !! For those who think that the gold bull is over: it is just about to start !!
This is a ratio graph, so don't get me wrong: the DOW could still hit 100'000 USD but that would imply that Gold would rise above 100'000 USD an ounce !
US30 – Correction Toward 47100 | Next Leg Up Toward 47920US30 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Bullish Bias Above 47100
US30 is showing a mild bearish correction after facing resistance near 47460, but the broader structure remains bullish while price holds above 47100.
🔼 Above 47460: Bullish continuation toward 47750 → 47920 → 48200.
🔽 Below 47100: Bearish correction possible toward 46920 → 46600.
Pivot: 47430
Support: 47100 · 46920 · 46600
Resistance: 47750 · 47920 · 48200
US30 stays bullish while above 47100, but a confirmed close below this level could trigger a short-term bearish correction toward 46920.
Dow Challenges 4-Year ResistanceFrom a monthly perspective, and filtering out short-term noise using the line chart, the Dow’s price action has been contracting since its bullish rebound from the 2020 lows, with overbought momentum previously recorded in November 2024 and April 2021.
This setup highlights the potential for long-term reversal risks near the upper boundary — specifically along the trendline connecting consecutive higher highs from November 2021 through November 2024.
If the trend extends beyond the 48,000 resistance, further advances could target 48,400 and 49,000, with 51,000 seen as an extreme projection before another major correction phase.
Conversely, a confirmed hold below 46,900 would indicate renewed pressure, potentially driving prices toward 46,600 and 46,200, where a technical rebound could occur.
If not, a deeper retracement toward the 45,000 region (previous significant resistance of 2025) may emerge.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
US30 Technical Outlook – Bullish Momentum IntactThe US30 maintained its bullish reaction at key price levels, suggesting continued upward momentum. As November begins, the index futures gained on Monday, supported by optimism around U.S.–China trade relations and stronger demand sentiment.
Currently, the bullish trend remains in play. If price continues to react positively to current support zones, we could see a potential move toward the next major psychological resistance level at 48,220.
However, if price fails to hold above current levels and we see a bearish reaction, a pullback could be triggered toward the support area between 47,030 and 46,520.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
us30Dow Jones on the 4H timeframe is moving in a downtrend in my view. Based on the data on the chart, it’s time for a correction. The price may rise to the highlighted area 1 hour timeframe before continuing the corrective targets shown on the chart, or it may complete the correction around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. It’s unlikely to rise beyond that level."
US 30Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
DowJones strong support retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 47433
Resistance Level 2: 47534
Resistance Level 3: 47636
Support Level 1: 46807
Support Level 2: 46690
Support Level 3: 46545
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