BTCUSDT.P - November 30, 2025The chart shows Bitcoin in a short‑term downtrend on the 15‑minute timeframe, with price consolidating in a tight range after a strong impulsive selloff, indicating corrective structure rather than a confirmed reversal yet. Resistance is clearly defined around 92,600–92,800 where prior selling pressure emerged, while immediate intraday support is clustered near 90,500–90,600, with a deeper support zone just below 90,000 acting as the invalidation area for the projected long setup. A break and 15‑minute close above the mid‑range resistance band around 91,200–91,300 would confirm bullish momentum and open the path for a trend‑continuation push toward the marked profit zone, whereas a failure there followed by a move back under 90,600 would favor another leg lower into the support block before any meaningful bounce.
Trade ideas
SELL-STOP ORDER ON BTCUSD......BTCUSD completed +1,900pips from my yesterdays analysis predictions today we have the price making strong rejections at the VAH on the Volume profile chart am looking forward to see price make a breakout the downside to take out the liquidity to sell down to new lows
Lets take or see your thoughts on this.....
BTCUSDT - What's Next? Bullish is over???BTC Daily & 4H Outlook
Bitcoin is showing mixed signals across the 1D and 4H timeframes. On the daily chart, BTC failed to hold the strong support zone and has now officially flipped it into a resistance. The drop also swept liquidity down to the 80.600 area before rebounding from the daily OB, which gives us a temporary relief bounce. Right now, price is pushing upward and may retest the resistance/supply zone above.
If BTC rejects strongly from that resistance, the market could be in trouble again because the downside target reopens toward the 83k–86k region. This area becomes even more important when we look at the 4H chart, where we still have a key support between 85.650–85.000. This zone must hold—if it breaks, then 83k becomes likely, and a worst-case scenario returns us to the 80k sweep zone.
For BTC to reclaim momentum and shift into a bullish structure, the market needs to break out above the major supply at 93.240. A clean breakout and confirmation would show strength and could trigger the next leg toward 98k–100k. If that happens, we may also see a strong positive impact on altcoins.
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Review🧭 1. Main Market Structure
The chart shows:
A broad downward channel that has been in place since the end of October.
The price bounced off the upper line of the channel, made a local upward impulse (orange trend line), and then broke it, returning back towards the lower regions of the channel.
➡️ This means that the dominant trend is still downward, and upward bounces are corrections.
🧨 2. Current Chart Situation
BTC has broken through:
the local uptrend (orange line)
fell below the 88,500–89,000 zone (green)
is heading towards further support levels
Currently, the price looks like a typical retest of the broken structure and a continuation of the decline.
🟩 3. Key Price Levels (S/R)
Resistance (upper – green):
91,600 – 92,000 – key level, a breakout would negate the local downtrend
95,000 – 97,500 – upper range of the descending channel
Support (lower – red):
85,300 – 85,800 – local support (price is currently reacting here)
83,000 – 83,100 – strong horizontal support
79,800 – strong support, historically strong in this timeframe
76,600
75,000 – lower band of a potential drop + near the lower boundary of the channel
➡️ The most logical downside targets are 83,000 and 79,800.
📉 4. Descending Channel (black) (lines)
The price has rebounded from the upper range of the channel and is heading towards the lower range.
The middle line of the channel has been broken down → a signal of trend continuation.
The lower boundary of the channel indicates a potential low around 75,000–78,000.
🔄 5. Stoch RSI
Currently oversold in the oversold zone, it is starting to curve upwards.
In a downtrend, long signals are weaker, but a short-term rebound is possible.
🧭 6. Scenarios
📉 Bearish scenario (more likely)
Technical rebound to 88,500 – 89,000
Rejection from this zone → continued decline
Targets:
83,000
79,800
Extremes: 76,000 – 75,000
➡️ This scenario is consistent with the trend and a rebound from the upper channel.
Bitcoin still in reactive phaseBitcoin’s relief bounce stalled right at the descending trendline, and the move up couldn’t break through the mid-96k supply zone. Momentum is cooling off again, and volume isn’t supporting a breakout.
Unless price can reclaim that trendline with conviction, the chart still leans corrective. Key areas to watch on the downside remain the mid-80k zone, with stronger support lower in the 70s where demand and volume profile stack up.
For now, BTC is still in a reactive phase. Bulls need a clean close above resistance to shift the structure. Until that happens, caution makes sense.
BTC Major trend Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe is currently resting on four zones starting from March 2020 until now in late November 2025, and this is a strong indication of the strength and stability of the upward trend.
The 125K area is considered important to break with strong trading volume.
For more deep analysis flow me on Clubhouse
This is not financial advice.
How to use statistics and Pine Script to find a real edge.Are patterns really profitable, or are we just connecting random candles with a story?
Most of us started trading by seeing patterns on the chart: double bottoms, pin bars, three green candles, “smart money” footprints… but do we have any evidence they actually works ?
In this idea, I want to talk about the statistical significance of chart patterns, and how you can use simple statistics + Pine Script to move from “I think this works” to “I measured this edge.”
◼ Patterns are opinions until you define them
“Strong bullish candle”, “nice rejection”, “liquidity grab” – these are subjective words.
Statistics don’t work with feelings, they work with clear rules. Before testing anything, a pattern must be converted into something like:
Candle 1: bullish, body size > X% of price
Candle 2: low does not break previous low
Close of Candle 3 > high of Candle 1
Once you can write your pattern as strict conditions (true/false), you can: Count how many times it appeared, measure what happens after it appears, and decide if it’s worth trading or not. That’s where Pine Script becomes a powerful research tool.
◼ What does “statistical edge” actually mean?
A pattern is interesting if, when you look at many occurrences, you see a consistent tendency. For example, choose a simple question like: “When this pattern appears, where is the price on average after 10 bars?”
If you track that over hundreds or thousands of samples, you’ll get:
How often price is higher vs lower (win rate).
The average move (for example, +0.8% after 10 bars).
How volatile or noisy the results are.
This doesn’t magically make a holy grail, but it tells you: Is this pattern better than random? Is it worth building a full strategy around it? Without this step, you’re basically trading based on screenshots and memories.
◼ Using Pine Script as your statistics magic tool.
Even without going deep into code, the logic in Pine Script is simple, here is a simple example that you can do.
A. Detect the pattern Whenever your conditions are true on a bar, mark that bar as a “pattern bar”.
B. Look forward in time For each pattern bar, check the price after N bars (for example 5, 10, or 20 bars later). Calculate the % change between the pattern close and the future close.
C. Aggregate the results Keep a running count: How many patterns triggered (sample size), How many ended positive (wins), The average % move after N bars.
D. Interpret the numbers If you find that your pattern appeared 800 times, and after 10 bars: 62% of the time price was higher, Average move was +0.6%... then you have something much more concrete than “this looks good on the chart.” You don’t need to turn this into a full strategy immediately. Even a simple statistical study like this already filters out a lot of illusions.
◼ Common mistakes when testing patterns
When you start doing this, it’s easy to fool yourself. A few traps to avoid:
Tiny sample size : If your pattern only occurred 15 times and 11 of them were winners, that 73% win rate is probably not reliable. Statistics start to mean something with large samples (hundreds or thousands of events).
Obsession with win rate : A 70% win rate means nothing if your winners are tiny and your losers are huge. You must look at: Average move, Distribution of outcomes (are there huge negative outliers?), How a realistic stop-loss / take-profit would behave. Sometimes a pattern with 52–55% win rate can be excellent if the average reward is larger than the average risk.
Overfitting the past : If you keep changing rules until the backtest looks perfect, you are no longer discovering a pattern – you’re forcing the past to agree with you. A healthier flow is: Start with a simple, logical idea. Define it clearly in rules. Test it on one market / timeframe. Check it on other symbols and timeframes without changing the rules.
If the edge survives in different environments, that’s much more interesting.
Using this approach will save you a lot of time and money in losses, do your research before taking a trade, make sure you have the statistical evidence if you want to trade a pattern.
i will be sharing more ideas on the use of Pinescript to improve your trading in the next days. make sure you follow me.
Bitcoin Price Falls To $86,000; Will It Shake Out Weak Hands?Bitcoin is trading at $86,005, holding just above the $85,204 support level. The asset remains trapped under a persistent downtrend that has lasted more than a month. This would preventing any sustained recovery attempts.
If market conditions worsen or short-term holder selling accelerates, Bitcoin could break below $85,204. A drop through this support would expose the price to $82,503 and potentially deepen losses as fear rises across the market.
However, if buyers step in and support strengthens, Bitcoin could reclaim upward momentum. A bounce from current levels could send BTC toward $89,800. A decisive move above that resistance would be essential for Bitcoin to retest $90,000 and invalidate the bearish thesis.
BTC: Continue Going LongAfter testing the resistance level of 92K, BTC declined again to build up momentum, waiting for the next upward movement. As I have mentioned multiple times, levels below 90K are suitable buying opportunities, and today we continue to go long on BTC.
BTC Trading Strategy for Today:
BTCUSDT buy@86000-87000
TP:90000-92000
All signals for consecutive long positions have been profitable. I will continue to send accurate signals at the opening of the market every day—don’t miss out.
BTCUSDT.PA safe and sound plan has been marked on the chart on 1 day TF.
It might take long time but as soon it will drop to our zone and we see some bullish momentum we are in definitely.
Trading is only patience we cannot just move with moving line.
We need the price to act as we need and once the price starts acting as we decided than it will go where we want to see.
Have a good trading.
Trade once or twice a month is better than trading whole day 24/7.
Make it a peace of mind not stress.
Follow for more.
BTCUSDT sell ✅ 15m overextended to upside OR losing momentum after trend.
✅ 5m divergence in price (highs not holding), rejection candles, slowdown.
✅ 1m structure shift — higher lows break down into lower highs, confirming reversal trigger.
✅ Entry made on 1m lower high after rejection confirmation.
BTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress? - UPDATEBTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress? - UPDATE
Bitcoin has reached a major long-term support zone between 75,100 – 80,800, an area that previously acted as strong support in March 2024 and April 2025 on the monthly timeframe.
Currently, BTC reacted as we expected from our previous analysis and has already reached 92000.
Yesterday, during the European evening, the price broke out of the triangle pattern and started the upward movement.
A small pause is possible before BTC moves further.
I would not be surprised if this is the beginning of another upward wave, at least towards our targets, or if it can retest the all-time high price zone.
The retest of the monthly 75100 - 80800 zone was very important for the bulls to join BTC at a better price.
Key targets:
94150
98000
106500
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Bitcoin short term.Think simple. Basic 5 waves Elliot.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Bitcoin 15-Min Chart – Lower Timeframe Structure of Higher TimefThe higher timeframe ABC correction is being interpreted as a W-X-Y structure on the 15-minute chart, based on internal wave complexity.
Currently in the A wave of the internal ABC within the X leg
Within that A wave, a smaller ABC is unfolding, with the A-B portion nearing completion
Overall structure suggests a complex correction (W-X-Y-X-Z) in progress
At the moment, moving averages are tightly clustered, forming a combined support zone.
➡️ A clean break below this support cluster would strengthen the case for a Wave C move.
btc quick updatehello everyone!
Happy thanksgiving!
Its helpful to zoom out and get a big picture perspective.bitcoin is trading very technically as of right now. It hit the 1.618 prefectly and has since bounced off of the 38% fibonacci level as it retraced the wave 3. The wave 4 characteristics will have us trend sideways for a little while before breaking out. This could present the altcoins with a golden opportunity to gain some massive momentum when the big money realizes btc is going sideways for an extended period of time. This should be the final leg up for btc. If the wave 4 falls below 69k then the bullish count will be invalidated. For now everything seems to be going smoothly. Ethereum is my favorite altcoin as it has so much room to go up according to the chart.
thank you for your time,
Rigo
The Path to an Imminent Bitcoin ReversalBitcoin may be establishing a near-term low.
However, for a confirmed reversal signal and to validate a counter-trend rally targeting the 21-week moving average, the market requires bullish confirmation on higher timeframes.
The primary development to monitor is the potential formation of a bullish divergence on the 12-hour and daily charts, characterized by price action forming a double bottom (or even lower lows) pattern coinciding with rising lows on the RSI and MACD indicators.
No significant buying volume yet.






















