BTC LongThis is a reversal trade, so be careful!. When its reversal trade, stick to SL regardless.
The reason for the trade is as simple as higher lows on 4h tf, broke a downtrend line.
Good luck everyone !!
Trade ideas
EcoByG Bitcoin Daily Analysis #4 — Daily BTC Market UpdateWelcome to My Analysis.
Now, let’s break down today’s Bitcoin structure.
On the daily timeframe, the structure remains clearly bearish.
Price is still trading below broken structures and under several major resistance levels.
After the strong drop, Bitcoin is now in a corrective phase within a downtrend.
Price is currently ranging between the two key levels:
83,900 – 93,700
From a price-action perspective:
Candles have formed a Lower High
Price still does not have the strength to create a Higher High
→ This confirms ongoing weakness.
A Demand Zone (red box) has formed around 83–84K, which caused the previous strong recovery.
For now, price is trapped between the descending dynamic trendline and the 84K support.
Volume — the most important factor for me
Low volume at the bottom → indicates uncertainty and lack of decision-making
No strong reversal volume yet
→ Buyers are not showing real commitment.
What’s happening on the 1H timeframe?
There are two major zones:
🔴 Supply Zone — 91,800 to 92,300
This is the top of the previous range
Price entered it multiple times but got rejected
Last entry → sellers immediately took control → drop to the low
Key signal:
Each time price enters this box, we see many upper wicks and rejections
Volume does not increase → meaning no strong buyers attempting a breakout
Result: Range and rejection
🟢 Demand Zone — 88,250 to 88,700
This zone has been extremely clean on the 1H:
First touch → strong reaction + fast rebound
Volume spiked exactly at the touch → showing real buyers
Candles have strong lower wicks
Price has revisited the zone several times without breaking it
Key signal:
As long as this zone holds,
the short-term trend = bearish range with strong support.
What does volume tell us?
🔸 Volume on the drops → high
→ Sellers were serious, intentional.
🔸 Volume during pullbacks → low
→ This confirms the move is corrective, buyer strength is weak,
and continuation of the downtrend is more likely.
🔸 Volume increased inside the demand zone
This is the most important signal of the entire chart:
When price touched 88,300–88,700,
a candle printed with above-average volume.
→ This confirms the demand zone has real buyer interest.
👈 So for now, this bottom is defendable.
Current Market Structure Summary
🔵 Higher TF (Daily): Bearish
🟠 Mid TF (4H–1H): Bearish range
🟢 Low TF (1H): Range with slight bearish bias
Meaning:
Primary trend → Bearish
Current structure → Range-bound
Entry triggers → Breakout of the range
Key Levels That Determine the Next Move
If 88,250 breaks:
Bearish continuation
Target → 83,900
If 92,300 breaks:
Range ends
Structure shifts bullish on higher timeframes
Targets :
93,700
100,565
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
BTCUSDT.P 30min Short Setup: 92,799 Testing Support BreakdownBTCUSDT.P at 92,799 on 30min consolidates near lows (92,610), with SELL signals strong amid tight range post-pullback.
BTC Technical analysis 4H time frame📊 BTCUSDT 4H Analysis
Trend Analysis
BTC is still in a medium-term downtrend because price remains under the 4H EMA ribbon, especially the heavy red EMAs (bearish control).
But short-term trend has flipped bullish, as BTC is reclaiming the lower EMAs and pushing into the resistance cluster at $92,000 – $94,000.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance
4H R1: $92,200
4H R2: $93,000
4H R3 / Major Resistance Zone: $93,500 – $94,000 ← very strong supply
Support:
Major Support: $89,800 – $90,300
Critical Support: $86,000 – $87,000
Local ascending trendline support also aligns with the critical zone — strong confluence.
Candlestick Interpretation
Current candlestick structure shows a series of strong green-bodied candles approaching resistance. No reversal pattern yet.
BTC is attempting a controlled bullish continuation sequence, but confirmation requires a close above $92,300 to validate a trend reversal attempt.
Indicators & Oscillators
MACD crossed bullish
Histogram is increasing
Momentum is rising but still below the zero line → trend reversal not confirmed yet
EMA Ribbon- BTC is fighting the mid-band. A breakout above $93k would flip the ribbon bullish on 4H
Indicators show early bullish strength, not yet full trend reversal.
Volume Analysis
Volume increased on the bounce from $89k, but buying volume approaching resistance is not strong enough yet. For a breakout above $94k, we need volume expansion + long candle body closure
Wave Analysis (Simplified Elliott Structure)
Current move looks like a Wave B upward correction unless $94k breaks. A break above $94k activates Wave 3, targeting $98.2k–$100k. Failure below $92.3k leads into Wave C downward to $88.5k then $86k
Intraday Trading (4H)
Long after confirmed 4H close above $92,300
SL: $91,200
TP1: $93,000
TP2: $93,500–$94,000
OR
Short rejection at $93,500–$94,000
SL: $94,450
TP: $92,200 then $91,500
Swing Trading (Multi-day)
Swing long only after daily close above $94k
SL: $91,800
TP1: $97,500
TP2: $100,000
Swing short if price loses $89,800
SL: $91,300
TP: $87,000 → $85,500
***NOT Fianacial advice, just a technical ananlysis***
88K IncomingA liquidity sweep under 88K is imminent. A lot of buy orders currently are likely to trigger a manipulation and a downtrend seeking the 88K region.
The possibility of btc fallingBTC is testing the upper boundary of an ascending channel near $93,600–$93,700.
Price action shows a potential double-top or rising wedge pattern—often bearish.
Volume is declining, suggesting weakening bullish momentum at resistance.
A brief pump toward $94,000 is possible, but a rejection could trigger a drop to $92,500 or even $91,000.
Break above $94,000 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal further upside
Back in the stress test area againLooking at the 4-hour chart, the liquidity trend is still too strong. Let’s see if it can stay above 93,200 for the next 3 hours. If it holds, we can buy without hesitation. If not, we’ll sell.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Reached Key Resistance
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the important resistance area at $94,000–$97,500 (high-volume zone). At this level, buyer price action weakened noticeably, and cumulative delta shows a clear dominance of sellers — indicating that upward momentum is fading locally.
Given this context, we expect a correction toward the nearest support zones, from which the uptrend may resume with targets above $100,000.
A move back into the $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies) zone from current prices would cast doubt on the strength of the current bullish wave, making this scenario unfavorable for continued growth.
Buy Zones
$91,000–$89,800 (mirror volume zone)
$87,800–$86,400 (volume zone)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
$105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
This publication is not financial advice.
$BTC: Red Box Breakout Awaited! CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still following our plan with no changes. As expected bounced from marked demand area and is still trading within the range. I hope that once red box breaks out, we’ll finally see some good movement in both #alts and $BTC.
BTC SHORTBTCUSDT – Short Position Still Valid
Price continues to respect the bearish structure after the reversal.
We rejected the mitigation zone and stayed below the Alligator EMAs, confirming continuation.
• Short remains active
• Invalidation: Any 2H close above 89,632 – 89,892
• Structure: Lower highs + compression under resistance
• Expectation: Continuation lower after wedge breakdown
Targets:
1. 88,900
2. 87,700
3. 82,160 (main objective)
Still watching for a possible stop-hunt into the red zone, but bias remains bearish unless invalidated.
BTC – Trendline Retest Success | Momentum Reloading for Next LegBitcoin just completed a clean retest of its multi-year rising trendline, a structural level that has guided institutional accumulation since 2023. Price wicked below, tagged liquidity, and closed back above a classic bullish deviation → reclaim.
This type of structure historically marks the end of corrective phases and the beginning of new expansions.
📌 Key Bullish Factors
1. Long-Term Trendline Respect
Your chart shows a trendline starting from late 2023.
Price tapped it perfectly and is now holding above $80,000–$82,000, confirming:
Buyers stepped in where they were supposed to
Smart money defended the bullish structure
Heavy liquidation likely cleared weak longs
2. Weekly Candle Structure Turning
The last 2–3 weekly candles show:
Downward momentum slowing
Smaller bodies
Long wicks → buying from lower levels
A potential swing low forming at the trendline
Bitcoin is showing the early signs of seller exhaustion you typically see before a weekly reversal.
---
👉 The move tends to trap sellers before a strong leg up.
---
📈 Upside Targets (Weekly)
If BTC continues holding above trendline:
1. $98,000 – $102,000
→ First major liquidity pocket / inefficiency
2. $112,000 – $120,000
→ Prior breakdown zone + weekly imbalance
3. $135,000 – $150,000
→ Trend extension target / potential new ATH expansion
These are not promises they are structural destinations based on the weekly map.
---
## **🔻 Downside Invalidation**
The bullish thesis remains valid as long as Bitcoin doesn’t close a weekly candle below $80,000.
Break + close below would open deeper retracement into mid-70Ks.
But right now? The trendline holds strong.
---
🧠 Holistic Trader Insight
Institutional players accumulate on weakness, not strength.
When retail panics, smart money buys structure.
This entire move fits the textbook rules:
Trend intact
Liquidity swept
Structural level reclaimed
Momentum slowing into support
This is what early expansion phases look like.
#BTCUSDT.P 2H ChartPrice previously bounced off a discounted area of demand and left a freshly printed demand zone on its way up. In addition, it recently got rejected off a minor area of supply and it is consolidating showing no major movements. Price is expected to tap into our demand zone where we have placed our limits aiming to break the previous swing high at $94,185.
How to Build a Consistent Execution Checklist on TradingViewMost trading mistakes don’t come from bad strategy, they come from inconsistent execution.
An execution checklist removes guesswork and replaces it with structure.
When your actions follow a routine, your results stabilize.
TradingView gives you everything you need to build a checklist that stays visible, actionable, and tied directly to your chart.
1. Define Your Core Conditions
Before any trade, the bigger picture must be clear.
Start your checklist by answering three questions:
What is the higher-timeframe direction
Where is price relative to key levels
Is price approaching with strength or weakness
Use TradingView’s drawing tools to mark support, resistance, value zones, and session highs and lows.
Add a simple text note on the chart listing your core conditions so they are always visible.
If the market context fails this first screen, the trade is already invalid.
2. Build Confirmation Criteria
Once structure is confirmed, you move to evidence.
Mark confirmation areas directly on your chart:
Liquidity pools
Fair value zones or imbalances
Previous session highs and lows
Asian range or New York open
If your strategy uses indicators, document exact conditions:
Moving average position and slope
Volume behavior
VWAP location
Volatility expansion or contraction
Define rules that don’t change based on emotion.
Confirmation should prove your bias, not justify your urge to trade.
3. Validate Risk Before Execution
Every setup must survive a risk checkpoint before it’s allowed to go live.
Your checklist must answer:
Where is my invalidation level
How much capital am I risking
Does this violate any daily limits
Is the reward worth the risk
Use TradingView’s long or short position tool to visualize risk directly on the chart.
Save it as a template so your risk process stays uniform across all trades.
No trade is valid if risk isn’t clean.
4. Create a Pre-Execution Routine
A checklist only works if you actually follow it.
Add a short pre-trade process directly to your chart notes using checkboxes or bullet points:
Example execution checklist:
Market phase confirmed
Level identified
Confirmation present
Risk valid
Entry condition active
Walk through this list before clicking buy or sell.
If one item fails, the trade fails.
Over time, this routine removes emotional impulse completely.
5. Review and Refine Weekly
Your checklist isn’t static, it evolves.
Every week ask:
Where did I break my rules
What conditions led to losses
Which confirmations work best
What rules saved me from bad trades
Use TradingView’s trade replay and journaling features to review execution quality, not just profit.
Consistency improves when your system evolves with you.
Final Thought
A checklist doesn’t restrict your trading, it frees you from emotion.
When your process is clear, your confidence increases.
When your confidence increases, discipline follows.
Good traders make decisions.
Great traders execute procedures.
Stay Green!
Bitcoin Comes Back to Life! Buyers Return With Full PowerIf I had to name a “warrior rising from the storm” , it would be BTCUSDT right now. After plunging to the 84k region, Bitcoin has just staged an almost 7% rebound back toward 93k, accompanied by news that big money from Wall Street is flowing back into crypto and overall fear in the market is calming down. The USD is no longer overly strong, and Bitcoin is once again being mentioned as a key gauge of market risk appetite .
Looking at the 12H chart, BTC has broken back above the bottom of the long-term descending channel and is now pushing into the Ichimoku cloud. This rebound isn’t a “spike and die” pattern — it’s a sequence of steady bullish candles with shallow pullbacks , showing that buyers are firmly in control. The scenario is becoming clearer: price may pull back to around 90,500 to gather liquidity and retest the cloud edge, before potentially bouncing toward the higher resistance region around 107,300 — the next equilibrium zone of the trend.
With the supportive news flow (institutional money re-entering, market accepting a new price base after the drop) and a technical structure showing BTC has temporarily escaped the free-fall phase , I remain biased toward buy-the-dip setups . The plan is to wait for short pullbacks for entries rather than trying to sell against a recovering bullish wave that’s clearly being “revived”.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #245👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. After the fake move we had yesterday, today Bitcoin has entered a ranging box.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
Yesterday on Bitcoin we had a trigger at the 91447 zone that we could use as a long trigger.
🎯 Before that, we also had a trigger on Bitcoin at 89849 which had been activated, and with the break of 91447 the second trigger was also activated.
🎲 After this trigger was activated, given the trend weakness we had on Bitcoin, the price could not stabilize above 91447, and with that move being faked, it dropped again to 89849.
⛏ The 89849 zone is an important support area on Bitcoin, and the next support we have on Bitcoin is 88890.
✔️ Considering that Bitcoin has faked both the 89849 low and the 91447 high once, we can say currently there is no specific trend in the market, and we can open both short and long positions.
📊 For a long position, again we can enter with the break of 91447 and open our position.
✔️ In case the market drops, we have two short triggers:
the first is 89849 and the second is 88890, and by breaking either of them we can have a trigger for a short.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #243👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to today’s Bitcoin analysis. The market is still ranging because it’s the weekend, but today there is a strong chance of movement.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
After the drop to the 88,890 zone, the market formed a range structure yesterday, and Bitcoin is now preparing for its next move.
✔️ Bitcoin’s volume was very low yesterday (Saturday), and this low volume has continued today as well.
💡 However, since we’ve recently seen New York session volatility on Sundays, today we may also see movement.
💥 With RSI pulling back to the 50 level and failing to stabilize above it, bearish momentum can enter the market.
🧩 If RSI enters the oversold zone, this bearish momentum will increase even more.
🎲 If 88,890 breaks, opening a short position is logical, and the price may move toward 85,818.
⚖️ But today, the market can also give us a long setup.If the 90,022 level breaks, we can look for a long position.
🎯 The next resistance levels for Bitcoin are 91,974 and 93,609.
✨ The most important note for both triggers is VOLUME.The breakout must be supported by increasing volume.
📊 If volume stays this low and doesn’t improve, the probability of fake breakouts increases significantly.
🔭 But if the breakout happens with rising volume, the trend can continue smoothly.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
The Transformation Every Trader Must Make!!!Every trader begins with the same goal: “I want to make money.”
But the traders who last, the ones who grow, evolve, and eventually become consistent, go through a quiet transformation:
They shift from thinking about money...
to thinking about probability, structure, and process.
Here’s the transformation in three stages:
1️⃣From Outcome-Driven → Process-Driven
Beginners measure success by whether a trade wins or loses.
Professionals measure success by whether they followed their plan.
- Because a good trade can lose.
- And a bad trade can win.
- Confusing the two destroys growth.
Your job is not to win every trade!
Your job is to execute with integrity.
2️⃣From Prediction → Preparation
Beginners try to guess where the market will go.
They draw a level… then hope.
Professionals don’t predict, they prepare.
They plan both sides:
- If price does X, I do Y.
- If price breaks Z, I step aside.
- If the structure shifts, I adapt.
Prediction feeds the ego.
Preparation feeds the account.
3️⃣From Emotional → Probabilistic Thinking
Beginners think every trade is “the one.”
Professionals think in sample sizes.
- One trade means nothing.
- Five trades mean nothing.
- Fifty trades reveal the truth.
When you think probabilistically:
- Fear shrinks.
- Confidence grows.
- Discipline becomes natural.
Because now you see the market for what it is:
a place where anything can happen, but certain behaviors win over time.
📚 The Real Lesson
Trading becomes easier when you stop trying to force results and start building a process that produces results over the long run.
The market doesn’t reward intensity.
It rewards consistency, clarity, and adaptability.
Your transformation begins the moment you shift from:
“I need this trade to win”
to
“I need to follow my plan.”
That’s when you stop gambling… and start trading.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin's daily chart on fire
Daily time frame with a medium-term view
1. Market trend:
Downward trend
2. Supports and resistances:
Support levels:
1- 84.646
2- 76.236
3- 67.672
Resistance levels:
1- 100.889
2- 110670
3- 123.410
3. Technical tools and indicators:
The RSI oscillator has reached near the oversold zone again after a short-term rest, and if it enters the oversold zone, it could signal further price declines.
4. Price patterns:
No specific pattern is observed.
5. Trade volume:
The trading volume is increasing in the downward trend.
Market scenarios ahead:
- Price increase scenario (bullish):
For the bullish scenario, we need the price to close above 100889; in that case, the targets of 110670 and 123410 are accessible.
- Price decrease scenario (bearish):
If the candle closes below the price of 84646, we enter the bearish scenario, in which case the targets of 76236 and 67672 are accessible.
Final note:
This view is merely a personal analysis, and the responsibility for trading transactions rests entirely with the trader. Always consider proper and safe risk management.
#Technical_Analysis #Financial_Markets #closetrader
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #242👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. Today is Saturday, and after yesterday’s drop, the market is ranging and resting.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, we saw clear signs of correction and bearish momentum in Bitcoin, and with a sell-off candle, the price dropped to the 89,082 level.
🔭 After reaching this zone, the correction has paused, and Bitcoin is now moving sideways near 89,082.
💥 On the RSI oscillator, we had a descending trendline that RSI respected very well.
✨ Now that this trendline has been broken, RSI is testing the 42.25 resistance level.
⚡️ If RSI breaks above this level, we will have the first signal of bullish momentum returning to Bitcoin.
🎲 If we get that confirmation from RSI, we can then look for a long trigger on the Bitcoin chart itself.
🧩 Once BTC breaks the short-term structure it forms by then, we can open a long position.
🎯 However, since today is Saturday, I personally prefer to wait and avoid opening any trades until the new week starts.
💡 Still, I’ll stay behind the chart, and if the bullish scenario plays out, I will open a long position.
📊 For a short position, we can enter on a break of 89,082, but honestly, many altcoins paired with BTC have much better short triggers right now.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Major Resistance Rejection. Potential Sell BINANCE:BTCUSDT perfectly played out my previous trading idea. Price has broken sharply below the pullback channel after failing to sustain momentum into the 93,000 resistance zone — a heavy confluence of the mid-channel trendline and the broader descending structure. This rejection confirms another lower high, reinforcing the dominant bearish sequence visible since early November. The breakdown signals a shift back into trend continuation mode, with sellers retaking control after a corrective rally.
As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC trades below 90,000–92,000, the downside path points toward the 81,000 support, where the previous bottom formed and where a potential double-bottom setup may emerge. Momentum remains pressured, and liquidity below the recent swing low increases the probability of a sweep toward 81,000, and possibly deeper into the buying zone.
➡️ Primary scenario: continuation lower → targets 81,100.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a breakout above 93,800 would neutralize the bearish outlook.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BITCOIN — THE MARKET IS APPROACHING ITS REAL DECISION POINTTraders,
We dumped. Now Bitcoin is grinding through a controlled recovery. The important question is not simply if we move higher. The real question is where the market will reveal its true intention. The chart is giving us a very clean map and the next major decision point is already forming.
1. The structure so far
Bitcoin sold off aggressively, found real buyers, and reclaimed the breakdown wick. That reclaim shows that the low was bought by spot demand rather than mechanical short covering.
Price is now pushing into a zone where the next expansion will be decided. The recovery itself is not the interesting part. The levels above and below are.
2. The major checkpoint above: 104k to 105k
This zone is extremely important. Two strong pieces of confluence meet here:
The 0.886 of the A to B retracement
The 1.618 extension of the impulse move you marked with the arrows
This creates a clean Potential Reversal Zone.
What this means:
If the market rejects 104k to 105k structurally, the next major destination becomes the lower imbalance cluster around 64k. That would be a true higher timeframe unwind because the entire path down is filled with thin volume and inefficient price action.
If Bitcoin breaks above 105k with flow support, then the next magnets open up immediately.
3. Targets above
If price accepts above the 104k to 105k PRZ:
First target area
Around 116k to 118k where we have a liquidity pocket and HTF inefficiencies.
Second target area
123k to 125k where a swing failure pattern is very likely. This is a weak high with resting liquidity and a natural magnet for price during bullish expansions.
At target two I expect the first serious reaction because of the liquidity sitting above the weak high.
4. Order flow confirms accumulation not distribution
Looking at the CVD grids:
Spot CVD is trending lower while price holds steady. This is a sign of absorption because someone is taking the other side of the selling.
Stablecoin margined CVD continues lower but without price following.
Coin margined CVD is sweeping lows with no breakdown in price.
This creates a hidden bullish divergence across the board.
Open interest also supports this view:
Stablecoin margined OI remains high which means traders did not exit during the dump.
Coin margined OI is slowly building which often appears before directional expansion.
This is not the profile of a market preparing for distribution. It is the profile of a market preparing for a move.
5. CME chart: AVWAP support from the last major swing
On CME, the AVWAP anchored from the previous major swing low to swing high is still holding as support. CME often leads during inflection zones. As long as this AVWAP holds, the market is positioned in a continuation PRZ rather than a breakdown PRZ.
If CME loses this AVWAP, the cascade scenario strengthens. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
6. What happens if we break down instead
if Bitcoin fails to reclaim structure and breaks back down, the following levels become active:
83k to 84k
This is the shallow retrace zone and the first structural catch.
81k to 82k
This area contains the 1.113 extension and a previously unfilled FVG.
79k to 80k
This is the 1.272 level and a strong imbalance pocket.
72k to 73k
This contains the 1.414 extension and the next clean liquidity cluster.
64k
This is the 1.618 extension and the final major downside target. It aligns with the strong HTF imbalance that has never been fully tested.
A rejection from 104k to 105k can eventually lead price through these levels in sequence because the entire zone from 90k down to 70k contains thin volume. There is not much structural support built on the way up.
7. Real time confirmation tools
Watch these signals when we approach the 104k to 105k decision zone:
Spot CVD rising means continuation likelihood increases
Funding staying negative means shorts are still stuck
OI rising with price means momentum is building
CVD stalling or rolling over at 104k to 105k means rejection risk is high
CME AVWAP reclaim or failure will guide direction
If buyers hold flow above 105k, the path to 117k and then 124k is clean.
If buyers fail and we reject 105k with aggressive selling, the path down becomes active.
Final view
Bitcoin is approaching one of the most important technical levels on the chart.
We dumped on real flow.
We recovered on spot demand.
Now the market is converging toward the 104k to 105k PRZ where a true decision will be made.
Break above and the next magnets are 117k and 124k with a likely swing failure at the second target.
Reject and the lower zones activate with 64k as the eventual HTF destination.
This is the map. The levels are clear.
TLDR
BTC is recovering with spot support
104k to 105k is the major PRZ
Break above: targets at 116k to 118k and 123k to 125k
Reject here: downside levels at 83k, 82k, 80k, 73k and 64k
Order flow is showing hidden bullish divergence
CME AVWAP is holding which keeps the bullish narrative alive
The market leaves its footprints long before it shows its direction. Read the sands, follow the flow and stay prepared.
- ThetaNomad
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If you enjoy this style of analysis feel free to leave a like or comment. It lets me know you find value in these deeper structural and flow based breakdowns.
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Uptrend confirmed It's best to operate from confirmations, even when you know you're right
I have all the confirmations I need to confirm the we are in an uptrend on Bitcoin
Daily Bitcoin Trade | Thu(Dec-04-2025) | ShortThu(Dec-04-2025) | Short
LEV: 50x
EN: 92990
SL: 93926
TP: 90489
This is my setup for today. This setup may fail. be careful, because this trade is risky!
This is not an offer to buy or sell.
