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BITCOIN Bitcoin currently faces a major resistance at the 98,750 level, a zone that has repeatedly limited upward momentum. As long as the U.S. Dollar Index fails to decline and geopolitical risks remain elevated, Bitcoin is unlikely to show strong bullish continuation. Despite the lack of immediate strength, the market still provides attractive opportunities. The 80,000 and 70,000 support regions are fundamentally valuable zones, especially if institutional buyers — such as BlackRock through ETF allocations — accumulate positions.
by mahshiddadashzadeh
1
BTC at Crossroads: Consolidation Before the Next Leg Up?BTC at Crossroads: Consolidation Before the Next Leg Up? After Bitcoin came out of the consolidation, the price is reluctant to rise further. The market remains uncertain about the future moves considering that the FED is expected to cut rates at the upcoming meeting. Perhaps the US PPI data today will start the move considering that the market should speculate again regarding the FOMC meeting. On the other hand, BTC is well positioned for an optimistic move. It may correct in this area before moving higher. This is a normal scenario. It is also possible that the price will fall within the pattern even more considering that the markets are still volatile and unclear before we see the optimistic move resume again. Main targets 98900 106300 114500 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
The Hidden Skill Every Great Trader Masters; And It’s Not Chart!Most traders spend years perfecting chart patterns, indicators, and entries… Yet only a handful ever master the real skill that separates professionals from the rest, the art of waiting. 📉 Anyone can draw support and resistance. 📈 But not everyone can wait for price to reach them. The market rewards patience, not predictions. It’s not about catching every move, it’s about being ready when your setup aligns perfectly. That’s when you strike. That’s when probability works for you, not against you. Think of trading like fishing 🎣: You don’t chase the fish, you position your line where it’s most likely to bite, then you wait. So next time you feel the urge to jump in early, remind yourself: You’re not just a trader. You’re a waiter, paid in precision and patience. 📚 Key takeaway: Great traders don’t predict, they prepare. They let the market move first, then respond with clarity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
32
Volumes give clues: What the weekly range structure is showingThis analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method. Hello traders and investors! On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a sideways range. Notice how interestingly the price moved through its boundaries. First, the lower boundary of the range at 89,256 was broken — and this is where a 1.88M volume was accumulated over 8 weeks . Later, the price broke the upper boundary of the range, and the same 1.88M volume was distributed, but this time over just 15 days . This indicates that there were far fewer buyers willing to buy at higher prices — the market needed almost twice as much time to distribute an identical volume. Now the price has returned to the very zone where the first major volume was accumulated. For more details about the 86,000–79,500 zone, see the related post. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
1
Bitcoin Only after breakout chanel resistance bull market again Soon we can expect price broke above channel resistance now it is near 93K$ and after that market will face huge gain only. Step 1: Confirm the Breakout (The "Is It Real?" Check) Don't buy the first tiny wick above the line. Wait for confirmation to avoid a false breakout: Daily Close: Wait for a daily candle close (UTC) decisively above the $93K trendline. Volume Surge: The breakout should be accompanied by significantly higher buying volume than average . This shows conviction. Follow-Through: The price should hold above the trendline and not immediately fall back in. Step 2: The Trade Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Buy on the first strong 4-hour or daily close above $93K. Conservative Entry : Wait for a "retest" of the broken trendline. After breaking out, price often pulls back to touch the former resistance, which should now act as new support. This is a higher-probability, lower-risk entry. Step 3: MY Bullish Targets - A Realistic Roadmap my targets are logical and align with measured moves and previous all-time high extensions. First Target: ~$110,000 This is the first major psychological barrier and would represent a strong resumption of the bull market. Second Target: ~$120,000 - $125,000 This area is a common 1.618 Fibonacci extension from key swing points and represents the next significant resistance zone. Extended Target: ~$140,000+ This is the "blue sky" target that comes into play if the bullish momentum becomes parabolic, likely fueled by a FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) influx of new capital. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
55
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #237👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. The market experienced a strong drop yesterday, and with the start of a new week and a new month, a fresh trend is beginning to form. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, we had a long trigger on Bitcoin at 91,089. After activation, the price moved upward toward 91,813. 🔔 The 91,813 level was our next long trigger, and breaking it could have pushed the price toward the main resistance at 93,555. ✔️ But that didn’t happen. The price was rejected from 91,813, and gradually, selling pressure increased across the market. 📊 Once the price stabilized below 90,421 — which was our short trigger — the main bearish move began. Bitcoin dropped sharply with a large bearish candle all the way down to 85,770. 🔍 The support zones at 89,082 and 87,942 did not hold either, because the move was extremely sharp and the price ignored them entirely. 💥 If you remember, we also had a momentum support on the RSI at 42.11. 💫 Once RSI stabilized below that level, the bullish momentum completely disappeared. Momentum shifted fully to bearish. ⚡️ Right now, RSI is still in the oversold zone and is pulling back toward the 30 level. ⚖️ If RSI starts moving downward again from here, Bitcoin has the potential to drop much further. 💡 Today, opening a position is much riskier than yesterday, but if you missed the move, breaking 85,770 isn’t a bad option for a continuation short. ✨ Just be careful: the market today is far more risky, so take positions with smaller risk and tighter management. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
1
Here's why Bitcoin surged ahead of Thanksgiving The digital asset broke $90,000 on Wednesday afternoon, reflecting strong growth in stocks as well. What's driving Bitcoin's latest rally? Cypherpunks and bearded libertarians used to be the epitome of Bitcoin. But after the approval of the first Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) last year, the new image is more likely that of Wall Street executives in navy suits. The ETF now holds over 1.5 million BTC, representing nearly 7.2% of the total supply. The next largest group of holders is publicly traded companies. This is key, as it likely explains why Bitcoin's $90,000 surge on Wednesday followed closely behind the stock market rally. I'm now watching to see if Bitcoin will break $100,000 again before Christmas! According to Newhedge, the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 climbed to 0.87 on Wednesday. In other words, the two asset classes are actually moving in tandem. Therefore, as stocks rose ahead of Thanksgiving due to increased AI hype, Bitcoin followed suit. Oracle, a major cloud infrastructure player, led a surge in large-cap tech stocks after it struck a $300 billion deal with OpenAI in September. This was largely thanks to Deutsche Bank analyst Brad Zelnick, who highly praised the company's revenue potential from the arrangement. “OpenAI’s backlog of orders represents a solid return on investment business,” Zelnick wrote. “And validates Oracle’s leadership in large-scale deployment of AI cloud infrastructure.” Oracle rose 4%, while the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones rose 0.77%, 0.86%, and 0.80%, respectively. Bitcoin rose 4%, breaking $90,000 for the first time this week, catching Turkey Day. It needs to be clear that Bitcoin is not always closely correlated with stocks; it often diverges. But as institutional money flows into the ecosystem, the cryptocurrency will inevitably succumb to Wall Street and simply reflect the ups and downs of traditional markets. According to Coinmarketcap, Bitcoin rose 4.06% on the day, trading at $89,872.10 at the time of the report. Digital assets also rose 1.21% on the week, fluctuating between $86,171.48 and $90,389.93 in the past 24 hours. Daily trading volume was roughly flat at $65 billion, with a market capitalization of $1.79 trillion. Bitcoin's market dominance rebounded to 58.75%, an increase of 0.41%, as the cryptocurrency regained a small portion of market share from smaller cryptocurrencies. Coinglass data shows that total open interest in Bitcoin futures rose 2.24% to $60.52 billion, after falling to $59 billion on Tuesday. At the time of writing, liquidations remained slightly higher at $119 million. Short sellers saw $80.58 million in margin wiped out, while long investors were largely unaffected, with only $19.61 million liquidated.
Long
by dgfacpe
3
Understanding Discipline in TradingWelcome back everyone to another post. In today’s article we will dive deeper into the 3 keys of Trading success! As attached below. Today we will be reviewing the Key “DISCIPLINE” Just like risk management and Psychology this is also a difficult skill to maintain. In the modern world it’s considered a skill now, because most of society doesn’t have any discipline in any field. Let’s get started. Definition: When it comes to Trading Discipline. Trading Discipline means one user has the mental ability ( strength ) to follow their system. Their Trading Plan, risk management and maintain their psychology regardless of what events happen. Trading Discipline separates profitable traders from the gamblers. (Below I have attached the article Trader or Gambler as it relates to this post, make sure to give it a read!) Discipline ensures that the user makes the right decisions based on strategy and logic instead of FOMO, ego and greed. It is not just about following rules though. Discipline relates to the outside world of cultivating habits, mindsets and self-control too. 1) Understanding Trading Discipline Firstly, you must truly grasp what it actually means. Most individual traders confuse it with stubbornness. They think it’s about holding on to trades or forcing a system. In reality, it’s only about consistency and self-control! Simple right? Example: Imagine, you have a system. A trading plan. It has the 1% rule where you don’t risk more than 1% of your account per trade. Understanding discipline means you must know why that rule is in place. It’s too protected your capital! Not breaking it after a few losses just to catch up. Real Life Analogy: A professional runner trains every day. They do it even when they are sad, tired, unhappy and unmotivated. This is discipline. Discipline drives long term results. Discipline is continuing it no matter what the current situation is. 2) Implementing Trading Discipline The process of implementation is nothing complicated. It’s only turning knowledge into action. Knowing about it won’t do anything, you must maintain the effort of consistently applying it to each step in your system. How to implement it: - Follow your plan: Before each trading day starts, read out your system and tell yourself you will follow it. Even if no set ups appear, you will still succeed because you followed your plan. - Set risk rules: Apply proper risk management and lot management so you don’t cave into fear. Apply the 1:3 Rule or 1:4 Rule. - JOURNAL your TRADES Damn it: Record every trade, your reasoning, and whether you actually followed your rules. Don’t just add a screen shot and nothing else. YOU won’t succeed if you don’t journal your trades properly. Example: A novice trader may plan to place an entry when price is at $50 and exit at $55 with a 2% risk per trade. Even if it dips to price $48, they hold to the stop loss accepting the loss instead of moving it and hoping it “recovers” Real Life analogy: Think of it as budgeting every day, or for a holiday, or your next maccas run. You set a weekly budget plan and stick to it. Even when tempted by special deals, sticking to your budget allows for long term financial health to take place. Just like risk management but with real life. 3) Maintaining Trading Discipline Discipline can’t act overnight, it’s the process of small steps working your way up to solid consistency over time. Even when feelings run high – discipline isn’t one time. It’s daily practice. Some strategies are: - Reviewing your previous trades daily or at the end of each week during a market close. Assess your wins and losses. - Build up emotional awareness, be aware of what fear, greed and overconfident emotions take place. - Reward yourself to the rules of your system, not just profitable outcomes. If you reward yourself for not trading in one day because not a single set up appeared, you were still successful because you didn’t “force” a set up and take a gamble. Example: A trader might experience 3 losses in the first hour of the day, even if they were all A++ set ups. Instead of revenge trading, he sticks to his plan, accepts the L and leaves the charts for the rest of the day to reset mentally and gain a win in another field, eg – Gym. Real-life analogy: By maintaining a healthy lifestyle, you must apply the same approach. You don’t stop exercising after a few days off. Discipline keeps you aligned even when your motivation and mental strength fades. 4) Adapting without breaking your Discipline Long story short, Markets move, Markets change, Markets can and WILL evolve. Traders must adapt. Not just allows their system to adapt, but their psychological mindset of discipline. Adapting can be confusing but it can be done by: - Don’t switch up new strategies, adjust your current system slightly then back test and forward test it on demo accounts. Eg Paper trading. - Update your trading system based on data and monthly results, not emotions. - Avoid making sudden changes right after losses. Example: Let’s say a forex strat no longer works due to low volume and volatility. A strict trader tests adjustments in their demo accounts, then incorporates them into the plan after they have received positive data from tests. Real-life analogy: A chef might change his recipe based on a specific ingredient availability but will not ignore the core cooking principles. It’s about adapting strategically, not impulsively. 5) Reinforcing Discipline Through mindset and daily life. Discipline in the trading field is just amplified by the discipline process outside of trading. It follows the exact same process. Daily habits and mindset directly impact one’s trading performance. To reinforce discipline, you can: - Maintain routines: Wake up at consistent times. Don’t wake up at 3:00am to “grind” if you do that, you’re stupid – you’ll burn yourself out and make the process harder. Plan your day and review goals. Eg do a brain dump every morning, write down or type out all ideas, thoughts and emotions and sort it out. - Practice mental training: People suggest doing personal journaling or meditation. Just go for a walk in the morning for 5 minutes. First thing in the morning, feel the fresh breeze, air, sunlight and nature. You simulate the mind and body in a natural way allowing for you to think clearly and train your mind. - Change your environment: surround yourself with work dogs, people who are strict on routines, self-improvement, self-development, individuals who don’t slack off. Example: Traders who can control their time well, exercise, eat healthy can maintain their stress in trading better than one who does not focus on outside habits. Real-life analogy: A school student who studies consistently every day and night rather than squishing it all in before exams perform better. Just like a trader who can maintain structured habits inside and outside of the market. Conclusion: Trading discipline is more than following rules, it’s a mindset and a lifestyle, it relates to the world outside of trading. Just like psychology, if you can’t master it outside, you won’t master it inside. It's about understanding your own weaknesses and adjusting the system to hold structured rules that will allow it to be more easily achievable for yourself. Remember, trading is not sunshine and rainbows. It’s about building a system and following it. It is the hardest way to make “ easy ” money. To find out what the other 2 keys are, review the 3 posts below where I explain the 3 keys to trading success, and go deeper into each of them!
Education
by King_BennyBag
47
Bitcoin - 66k in 2026 (but first a pump - watch this!)Bitcoin has been going down drastically, as I expected many, many weeks in advance. But this is not the end of the crash! We will see lower prices in 2026, specifically 66k and possibly 50k later in Q3 2026. This is my long-term vision, but in the short term I think Bitcoin should go up to retest the previous long-term trendline and the previous falling wedge pattern at 97k! Usually after a breakout/breakdown, we want to see a retest. These retests are very important because they give us a chance to sell Bitcoin at a better price and also to short Bitcoin on the futures market. Bitcoin did some pretty crazy movements in the past weeks, regardless of the seasonality patterns. Statistically Bitcoin is extremely strong in October and November—but this time it was the opposite. Even though seasonality patterns are helpful, you always need to look for more indicators and fundamentals. Moonboys that were screaming for 200k and 500k got liquidated, and soon they will disappear from the market for good. I have been trading for almost 10 years, and I have experienced many crypto crashes, and the moonboys are always here at the top. When I was bearish at 120k, everyone was screaming in the comment section and even spitting on my bearish predictions. So my plan for the next Bitcoin movements is as follows: First, Bitcoin should retest the 97k level (this will take some time). After that we should see another big leg to the downside to 66k. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
by Xanrox
175
BITCOIN SIGNAL: THIS IS WHERE THE CRASH WILL STOP!!!? (watchout)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! We are discussing a lot of technical stuff—Elliott Wave theory. We are going through multiple time frames, and I'm updating you about the price action, development structure, and important levels, as well as what the highest probability next move is. And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
1
BTC/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE !!BTCUSDT is consolidating within an ascending channel after a sharp bounce from lower levels, and the price is currently retracing towards mid-channel support around 88,000–87,000 USDT. The lower boundary of the channel and horizontal levels at 88,000, 87,013, and 84,584 act as step-down support; as long as candles remain above around 84,500, this will remain a healthy corrective pullback in the short-term uptrend. Below that, key higher-timeframe supports near 80,550, and 76,200 are the next demand zones where a deeper flush could still maintain the larger bullish structure. The price drops towards the lower channel area, finds support, and then rotates higher for another leg up, with the green zone around 94,000–95,000 being the first major resistance on the way back towards the large grey supply above 100,000. DYOR | NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Funds Are Coming Back – Will BTC Surge?Hello traders, wishing you a great day! Let’s take a look at BTCUSDT together. If we had to name one asset that is recovering after a storm and starting to attract capital again, Bitcoin is definitely the leading candidate right now. Expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates are bringing risk appetite back , the USD is cooling down, and part of the capital flow is returning to crypto – therefore BTC has a solid chance to recover after the sharp drop at the end of November. On the 12H chart, BTC remains inside a downward channel , but is moving steadily above the short-term support around 85,700, which is marked as Immediate support . The current pullback is mainly a pause to regain momentum after the first rebound, without breaking the latest lows , and is showing signs of forming a higher low. If price continues to hold above 85,700 and forms an accumulation pattern as projected, the resistance zone 93,900 near the upper boundary of the channel and the Ichimoku cloud will be the next natural target. Given that macro news is gradually supporting risk assets and technical signals show weakening selling pressure, I personally prefer the scenario where BTC continues to recover toward 93–94k , rather than breaking support immediately.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
11
Fasten Your Seatbelts – The Move Toward $75,000 Has Begun🚨 Fasten Your Seatbelts – The Move Toward $75,000 Has Begun In my previous post, I clearly warned that a regression channel breakout could trigger the next major drop in Bitcoin — and as always, the market moved exactly as predicted. From day one, every single scenario I’ve shared on this page has played out perfectly. No guessing, no luck — just precise technical analysis and market structure reading. Now, in the updated chart, Bitcoin has pulled back to the top of the descending channel (marked in blue) and is starting to turn down again. ✅ 94,000 is acting as a confirmed resistance ✅ The regression channel slope remains clearly bearish ✅ The next target is around $75,000 At this stage, any short-term bounce could simply be a retest before the next leg down. 📉 The direction is clear — and if you’ve been following my work, you already know how accurate these calls have been. 🔔 Follow for more — because what I post here doesn’t just sound good… It happens.
Short
by Captain-MM8
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART ANALYSIS. Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is in a corrective phase within a larger bullish structure, currently bouncing off support and heading back towards a large supply zone around 102,000–106,000 USDT. The price was previously rejected from the top resistance band of 123,000–125,000 and sold off sharply, breaking mid-range support and retesting the long-term rising trendline and horizontal support around 80,000–82,000 as a key demand area. The chart highlights a large “critical and key support” zone from around the mid-60,000s to the low-80,000s, where multiple higher-timeframe supports and rounded bases converge, making this a key zone. After marking support, BTC has begun a relief rally towards the broken trendline and gray resistance band near 100,000–105,000; this area could serve as a decision point where either a downward continuation or a resumption of the trend is likely. Bull Case: A strong daily close above the gray zone and reclaimed trendline would signal continuation towards 115,000 and potentially a retest of the 123,000–125,000 highs. Bear Case: A break below 90,000 following rejection from this resistance will likely trigger another leg down towards 80,000–82,000 and, if that fails, another deep sweep into the “Significant and Major Support” region around 60,000 before a larger accumulation base can form. DYOR | NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC: The 15-Year Prophecy (Hosoda Time & The Diagonal)There is a ghost in the machine. For the last few months, amidst the noise of breakouts and new highs, a specific signal has been flashing a warning that defies the rules of a standard Bull Market. It is a "glitch" in the data—a silence where there should be noise. Most are ignoring it. Some are confused by it. Today, we are going to try solving it. Below is the full evolution of the Bitcoin setup, from the Daily traps to the Macro truth, revealing why the "Silence" is actually the loudest signal we have ever seen. Part 1: The Micro Trap (1D Chart) Zooming into the daily timeframe, the structure of the decline is textbook. We are currently navigating Wave (4), but the context provided by the previous move is critical. The "Extended" Wave 3: The drop we just witnessed wasn't a standard correction; it was an impulsive sell-off where Wave 3 was extended. when the third wave extends, it confirming strong momentum in the direction of the trend. The bears are in control. Current Status (Wave 4): We seem to be in the middle of a Wave (4) relief rally, potentially unfolding as an ABC correction. Sub-waves 'a' and 'b' appear complete, with 'b' potentially establishing a local higher low. What's Next: We are likely waiting for Wave 'c' to expand upwards to potentially complete the structure. The Potential Resistance ($99k): If this structure holds, Wave 'c' might push towards the resistance confluence around $99,323. This area could serve as a ceiling for this corrective phase. The Downside Risk ($79k): Traders should remain cautious. If Wave (4) finds resistance near $99k, the Elliott Wave guidelines suggest a Wave (5) decline could follow. If that scenario plays out, the market might target the major support zone near $79,000. Part 2: The Time Anomaly (1W Chart) While the daily chart showed us the immediate price action, the Weekly chart reveals the true scale of the move. As discussed in previous updates, we are navigating a large-scale Irregular Flat Correction, and we are currently at the tail end of Wave (1) of the 5-wave impulse that makes up the larger C-Wave. So, the entire impulsive structure we just analyzed on the Daily chart? That was just the first leg of this Weekly move. ☁️ The Ichimoku Signal: Testing "Senkou Span B" Price action has now entered the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), a critical zone of turbulence. The Level: you can see candles trading inside the cloud. We have already tested the bottom support, specifically the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). The Forecast: Hitting this level signals that Wave (1) is either ending or has already ended. However, the market rarely makes it easy. I am expecting a potential "False Breakout" below the Cloud to trigger panic, followed by a sharp reclamation. That fake-out would likely mark the bottom of Wave (1) and start of Wave (2). ⏳ The Time Anomaly: Why so fast? There is a strange disconnect in the "Time" dimension of this cycle compared to history (see picture). 2021 Cycle: In the previous bull run, the correction for Wave 1 typically took 70 days to cool the RSI down to 37. Current Cycle: We have smashed down to an RSI of 35.8 in just 42 days. The Question: Why is the market correcting nearly twice as fast as before? This "Time Compression" indicates the cycle is moving faster and more violently than we are used to. The "BBWP Mystery" Finally, look at the BBWP (Volatility) in the below picture. This presents a genuine anomaly. Throughout this cycle, we have seen contractions many times, yet the spectrum never reached the extreme 90% expansion levels. Now, at the very end of the cycle, we are seeing another massive BBWP Contractions. Why is this happening? Is it just noise, or is this contraction actually telling us the truth? Part 4: The Truth (6-Month Macro Chart) Why is the market moving so fast? And what is the "BBWP Signal" we mentioned Before? Look at the 6-Month Logarithmic Chart below. The Big Picture: Elliott Wave Supercycle on 6M Log Scale On the logarithmic chart, Bitcoin appears to be wrapping up a massive impulse wave that started from its early days: Wave (I): Peaked around 2013 (~$1,200 high). Wave (II): Bottomed in 2015 (~$200 low). Wave (III): Explosive rally to the 2021 all-time high (~$69,000). Wave (IV): The 2022 bear market low (~$15,500). Wave (V): Ongoing since late 2022, but here's the twist—it's unfolding as an ending diagonal (wedge pattern with overlapping subwaves: 1-2-3-4-5). 2.Applying Hosoda Time Theory (Ichimoku Time Theory indicate potential future market turning point). The vertical lines in the chart are not Fibonacci; they are Hosoda Numbers (9, 13, 17, 21...), 9: Marked the 2023 Bull Run start. 13: Exactly Marked the Jan 2025 Top as end of wave 3, which matches the irregular flat analysis on Weekly chart which states that Cycle top was on Jan 2025. 17 (±1): Matches our projection for the next major pivot—the end of wave IV and the start of the final Wave V run on Jul-2026 or Jan-2027. The "Mystery": The BBWP Anomaly BBWP is contracting sharply now on weekly chart—at what feels like the end of the cycle, not the start. This flips the script on historical behavior. Why? I tie it back to the higher-degree Elliott count: The ending diagonal's converging nature naturally squeezes volatility, compressing Bollinger Bands as momentum fades. Instead of signaling a fresh bull, this late-cycle contraction could be foreshadowing a reversal—think trend exhaustion rather than accumulation. A Possible Explanation: If the macro structure is indeed an Ending Diagonal, then this volatility crunch (BBWP contractions) and the market correcting nearly twice as fast as before makes perfect sense. We would be squeezing into the apex of a 15-year wedge. The market might be running out of "oxygen". The Verdict: With the 6-Month structure potentially squeezing into a corrective Wave IV, the weight of evidence suggests that the path of least resistance is down. Until the market touches the lower boundary of this diagonal (or invalidates the structure), the only logical macro view is bearish.
Short
by TradingProfile001
2
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We are seeing a bearish trend in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 88200, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected. We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend. Entry Price: 88900 First Target: 90000 Second Target: 91123 Third Target: 92300 Remember a simple principle: Money Management. Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal