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Brazilian Real Futures (Apr 2018)Brazilian Real Futures (Apr 2018)Brazilian Real Futures (Apr 2018)

Brazilian Real Futures (Apr 2018)

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6LJ2018 trade ideas

PRICE LOVES A PARTY...and the bigger the betterThis is an example of the price dynamic between the giant's doors using the PhiCube PVPC indicator. Price cannot stand still. It forms fractal patterns with different levels of power and potential. The size and relative behavior of the fractals defines trends or consolidations. Between lines is a consolidation. Lines aligned numerically defines a trend. The larger the fractal, the larger is the trend or consolidation. While most novices look at candlestick patterns, PhiCube looks at 1300 to 2600 candles to see giant trends ou consolidations. Price is alwyas looking for a party. The most powerful ones are inside the red giant's or green giant's house. Uf the giants are not partying, price must wander around town. Where he goes and how far he travels depends on the how much help he has. The PhiCube fractals are the key. Study relative positions of the 6 lines on this chart. If you can grasp this concept, you will conquer your first step into total domination of price behavior. Enjoy!
CME:6L1!
by phicube
Is this what the bulls are out to do?-How wonderful, we have the dollar falling. And how is it falling. And it can fall further. 4500, Is this what the bulls are out to do? -Is 4500 the fair balance between the US and Brazilian currency? If it depends on the numbers and the economies involved, the answer is a beautiful and resounding “YES”. -There are many variables that can be put into the magic recipe to make the dollar weaken against the Brazilian currency, but there are three important factors that should be mentioned, as they can help a lot to strengthen the real. 1 – Brazil is a major exporter of commodities. 2 – The real interest (SELIC) detached from the rest of the world (but it can change and the dollar rises again). 3 – Fiscal and tax reforms (not adequate, but evolving) and good companies completely discounted on the Brazilian stock exchange. -I believe that the three factors mentioned above have more than 60% of interference in the fall of the dollar, therefore, maintaining constancy and harmony between these three basic requirements is the ideal formula for success. FWB:LET 's go graph$ -In the long-term bias (consolidated bearish trend), we have prices really looking for the 4500 region. According to the SETUP used, there are support points in two regions; 4739 for the current time. If the declines continue, the second support point is the 4550 region. -In the medium term we have the following price configuration: The loss of the long average strongly contributes to the weakening of the US currency, therefore, it strengthens the thesis of the long-term chart mentioned above, opening up real chances of seeking the region of 4555. -For the short term we have: Prices trying to hold on to the bottom formed at 4767. This will be an arduous task for the bulls, to hold back the momentum of the bears in wanting to bring prices down even further. It is worth remembering that we may have the adjustment of American interest rates by the FED, where, if there is another 25 basis points increase in the rate, it could momentarily help to hold prices at the bottom level formed at 4767. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other graphic reviews!
BMFBOVESPA:WDO1!
by MacD_Bollinger
Let's talk about Dollar vs Brazilian Real!-In the long term we can see that the US dollar is in a consolidated bearish trend. -Given this scenario, we can say that the dollar tends to devalue against the "Tupiniquim" currency due to a basic factor: "there are several securities on the Brazilian stock exchange with their "valuations" completely outdated", mainly companies linked to commodities. -In the medium term we have some factors that could prevent the American currency from depreciating more quickly, but not avoid it, and one of them is the approval of the "break" spending ceiling, where, the tendency for now would be for the FED to continue with its homeopathic doses of increase in interest rates to contain inflation, since public spending also tends to contribute to strengthening inflation, and this contributes to the dollar continuing its saga of remaining valued against the Brazilian currency, which we call it "flight to quality". -In the chart below we can see that the longer "uptrend line" (green line), which was previously an important support for prices, is currently being the newest resistance. We also have a medium-term bearish trend line (red line) just above it, which has joined the bullish cross and is serving as strong resistance. But despite that, we have a bullish pivot formed, but he doesn't have that much strength. -In the short term, we have forces acting on both levels. Bulls and Bears fighting each other, pulling the quotations hourly upwards, hourly downwards, increasing the volatility even more, because as said, there are stocks that are completely discounted, therefore, one and another bulls tend to fill their carts with these companies, strengthening the Brazilian currency momentarily. -In the chart below we have the possibility of a bearish pivot if prices start to work below the 4997 line, but as mentioned before, we have the FED soon, which could prevent the US currency from reaching the 4774 level that the "SETUP used" is indicating. -Also read the graphic analysis below. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other graphic analysis.
BMFBOVESPA:WDO1!
by MacD_Bollinger
DOL dolar usd usdt doli doli dolinhathe US dollar is forming a descending cone pattern and is about to break the lower trendline (LTB) with a target at 6.03. Here's an analysis of the situation: Technical analysis is a method used to study price patterns and trends in financial markets, including forex markets like the US dollar. The mention of a "cone descending" pattern implies a gradual narrowing of price movements, potentially leading to a breakout. If the US dollar is indeed forming a descending cone pattern and approaching a breakout of the lower trendline (LTB), it suggests a potential bearish signal. The breakout of the LTB could indicate a shift in market sentiment and a further decline in the value of the dollar. The mentioned target of 6.03 is likely a specific price level where the analysis expects the US dollar to reach once it breaks the LTB. However, it's important to note that predicting specific price levels in financial markets is highly speculative, and it's difficult to accurately forecast future movements. To assess the validity of this analysis, it's crucial to consider other factors and indicators, such as fundamental analysis and market news. Factors like economic data, geopolitical events, central bank policies, and investor sentiment can all influence currency markets and potentially impact the US dollar's value. It's also worth mentioning that currency markets are highly volatile and subject to various unpredictable factors. Therefore, it's essential to approach any analysis or prediction with caution and use it as just one piece of information when making investment decisions. Overall, while the analysis suggests a descending cone pattern and a potential breakout of the lower trendline, it's important to consider other factors and market conditions to get a more comprehensive understanding of the situation.
BMFBOVESPA:DOL1!Long
by lessandrosantos
More falls? 4999 could be just around the corner!-The outlook for the dollar is to test the median of the channel in the 5059 range in the short term. -A large part of this perspective is due to the approval of the well-dried transition PEC, with a maximum duration of one year, but, in Brazil, everything that is temporary becomes permanent from one hour to the next, and I would not be surprised in the second half of 2023 we have a “beautiful novelty” in relation to the continuity of such PEC (with another name, of course). -The daily chart's bearish pivot shows declines to the 5016 region as the first stage. We have the long average at the moment serving as support and, just below, the median of the channel. -Will we see the dollar losing strength around the world? We have the DXY opening its beak, but it might want to make a reraise (FED)! -The hourly chart made this pivot and failed to advance, setting precedent for a retest at 5132 should prices fail to open above 5176. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
BMFBOVESPA:WDO1!
by MacD_Bollinger
Opportunies ahead on USDBRLHello guys, Long time no see!! I have been away from trading for some time, but decided to go back. On chart, we can see a strong support area close to the 61,8% retracement of the previous uptrend at 4760. We have found support on 4820 level and reversed locally. There is ma200 in this area as well, making a strong support area (shown in green lines). Now globally speaking, we are moving inside a upward channel, but there is a chance of this become a bearish flag (I don't believe so, based on macro scenario surrounding Us Dollar against emerging currencies). While price stays inside the white lines, we are withnessing an accumulation phase. I'm expecting a pivotal movement after 5463 level being conquered by the bulls, but the price must stay inside the channel, otherwise the bear flag would be activated. Also, we need a candle closing above this level for a clear confirmation. The targets can be seen in blue on chart. If you liked the idea, please hit the thumbs up button. Your support is strongly appreciated. Also feel free to write a comment below! I hope you guys have a nice day and good trades! Follow the graphh!!!!!
BMFBOVESPA:WDO1!
by kriegster