ES1! trade ideas
May 1st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**May 1st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**
EOD accountability report: +441
Sleep: 7 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Signals were pretty solid today, but there's heavy MM manipulation in the market so be careful trading funded accounts.
Walk away if you get tilted.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
9:51 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
11:31 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal
12:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:47 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5600 = Bullish, Under 5600 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025
📈 5670 5695
📉 5613 5600
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 5555 5580
📉 5500 5475
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
April 30 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: -1310 on a Eval. + 125 on Funded
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
I used a trailing stoploss ATM order by mistake, and got rid of the stoploss, because market zig zagging it up. BAD BAD Idea
Market humbled me by showing me why i should always have stoploss on.
Back to doing manual stoploss and getting rid of trailing stops because they are horrible during chops
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
10:48 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal,
— 2:29 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (triple sell)
3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 (False signal, got cancelled right away)
Next day plan-->
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
S&P 500 - Low Resistance Liquidity Run To $5,600?Over 10 days has been spent trading inside of Wednesday 9th April 2025 daily candle with Friday 25th being the day that we witnessed expansion through buyside liquidity.
I would like to see a continuation further inside of the weekly SIBI of $5,649.75 - $5,532 C.E.
Low hanging fruits going into next week guys!
Tariffs, and Tumult: Wall Street Waits on Super WednesdayHello everyone, it’s April 30, 2025. The TVC:DJI just closed its sixth consecutive green session, with markets clinging to hope as rumors swirl of a first tariff deal—possibly with India—though nothing is confirmed. That tiny breadcrumb of optimism was enough to boost sentiment late in yesterday’s session, even if volatility is dipping below 25% and investor enthusiasm seems to be fading in lockstep.
U.S. macro data continues to paint a picture of “not great, but not terrible.” Consumer confidence and job openings (JOLTS) came in below expectations but not disastrously so, prompting markets to collectively shrug and declare everything “less worse than feared.” It’s a strategy now: ignore bad data as long as it isn’t apocalyptic.
As earnings roll in, companies are split between those who pretend the tariff storm is “manageable” (hello, NASDAQ:COKE ) and those flying blind through economic fog ( NYSE:UPS , Snap, and Super Micro—who might be losing a major client named Nvidia). The overall takeaway? Visibility is garbage, and most companies are bracing rather than building.
All eyes are now on today’s so-called Super Wednesday, packed with economic data (U.S. GDP, PCE, ADP jobs, Chicago PMI) and mega-earnings from NASDAQ:MSFT and NASDAQ:META . But as usual, expectations may outpace reality. Markets often dream of clarity and wake up to more noise.
Meanwhile, China flashed its first big red light: a manufacturing PMI of 49, signaling contraction—the lowest in two years. No shock, considering their ongoing trade war with the U.S., which seems to be giving the global economy the flu.
On the political front, Trump celebrated his 100 days in office with a campaign-style detour to Detroit, throwing shade at Fed Chair Jerome Powell while declaring the economy in perfect health (despite the worst market performance since Nixon’s early days). He promised tax cuts, again, while doubling down on trade threats. Powell, of course, is just trying to survive the week.
Oil briefly dipped under $60 as markets considered the broader implications of economic warfare, gold sits at $3,311, and Bitcoin hovers around $95,000—looking resilient despite the madness.
As for corporate earnings, Starbucks missed on sales due to weak U.S. demand, Pfizer beat on EPS but saw revenue fall, and Visa continues to rake in profits as Americans keep spending like inflation isn’t real. Novartis crushed it but got no love from the market because apparently, +22% net income just isn’t sexy enough.
In short: chaos remains king. Markets seem oddly calm on the surface, but under the hood, it’s still all about tariffs, Trump tweets, and the fantasy that maybe—just maybe—some clarity will come today. Don’t hold your breath.
Enjoy the ride, and see you tomorrow for more market mayhem.
Enter short at level 5540 I will entry short at 5540 because option market and block trades told me that condition are good for a retracement.
I will enter short at this level 5540 stop loss 25 points
target 15 points
after 5/7 points i will protect my position managing my stop loss in order to gain some points and broker's fees.
April 28 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +1228
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Signals were pretty on point today, almost all of them worked out effectively, I mainly use the signals to guide my direction and 20pt stoploss to prevent the position from blowing up.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
— 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (B+ Set up, triple sell)
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
12:35 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Double signal)
— 2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
S&P 500 ... ES1! ... SPY... a Gann review from 2000Basically performed another Gann Box copy-n-Stack technique and have aligned everything exactly on the daily and then switched to the 4hr
Some interesting levels occur and seems like that gap fill at 5566.25 or so or possible run to 5600 would be in the cards...but a lot of levels are smashing all together.
Make sure to expand the chart by using you mouse along the bottom of the scale, pull it left to expand or right to shrink....
Make sure to also click in the bottom right corner, hover you mouse over where price meets the date on the scale and click the "L" Log function to see if anything else comes up that different from my yellow "attention getting" marks.
Well....that's about all I got for doodles for tonight....enjoy.
weekly view to see the stacking and the duration of this run since 2000..thats quick high up eh??
1 hr view with gap highlighted:
5min close up with lower gap highlighted....so green path if good earnings week/economic data, or red path which trends to that gap fill...the choice is the investor's
Weekly Chart Shows Buyers Holding, But Resistance TightensMarket Overview:
Futures are hovering at a crucial zone. In this update, we analyze the evolving trend structure, dissect price action at Fib resistance, and highlight what levels matter most heading into the next session.
Bearish/Bullish Trend Analysis
Trend Condition:
Bullish Trends: 8
Bearish Trends: 6
Overview: The market is currently bullish, with 8 trend lines signaling upward momentum. However, the presence of 6 bearish trends shows that mixed conditions remain across different timeframes.
Price Action and Momentum Zones
Current Price and Change:
Currently, the S&P 500 Futures are at 5,520.25, down by 32.25 points or -0.58%.
Market Behavior:
The weekly chart shows consolidation just below major resistance, with sellers maintaining pressure near the 23.6% retracement zone. Price action remains choppy after several weeks of volatility.
Momentum Zones:
Price is stuck within a corrective zone between the 23.6% and 38.2% retracement levels. In this context, these zones act as countertrend resistance, and bulls need a clean breakout above 5,537 to shift sentiment more decisively.
Fib Retracement Levels
Current Position Relative to Levels:
The market is currently just below the 23.6% retracement level.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
23.6% → 5,537.68
38.2% → 5,148.66
50.0% → 4,834.25
61.8% → 4,519.84
Analysis:
A clear breakout above 5,537.68 would indicate a more meaningful recovery attempt. Failure here could send price back toward the 5,148 or 4,834 retracement levels if momentum fades.
Overall Market Interpretation
While the broader trend is still bullish on this timeframe, the failure to reclaim 5,537 suggests caution. Consolidation below major Fib levels implies that buyers are struggling to regain control. A breakout or breakdown from this range will set the next directional tone.
Summary
The S&P 500 Futures are showing mixed strength early in the week. The broader trend remains bullish overall, but the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level is acting as resistance. This level will likely determine whether consolidation continues or a stronger move higher begins.
Weekly Market Forecast: Buy Stocks! Sell Oil! Buy Gold!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Oil, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of April 28 - May 2nd.
Markets are looking tradeable again.
The indices look bullish, creating +FVGs as they move higher.
Oil has corrected a bearish impulse, so it could be poised to move lower from the Daily and Weekly -FVG.
Gold took a breather last week and could move higher from the Weekly +FVG it just created.
Let's go!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 futures- ES1! - or SPY...interesting price actionComment on the thoughts to the reliability of this and what people think may occur in the next couple days...are we looking to refill the 5332.25 gap fill on the 4Hr chart or maybe a move to 571.46 on SPY and then retreat back?
Seeing how the Stochastic Momentum dipped on a rising price and may loosely be said to be divergent also kinda correlates with that upper 50% channel orange line it is hitting. So if you pulled back to that gap and then ripped to that orange 50% upper channel line again but close above it then you have a chance of hitting the top of that top channel red line.
But...as I always do...try to find indicators that explain actions on a chart since geometry means noting unless you have an underlayment of solid architecture underneath. See how only that one --?-- is the only unexplained level to not correlate.
Again...thoughts on this or anything negative or just "wat'evr bruh" is all welcomed.
Was just in the middle of taking a break from cleaning out my Garage and thought a few minutes of doodling would be a nice relaxer before heading back into that 4 door packed monster. Only to say that due to me not maybe putting as much attention into things as possible, but again this is a doodle and not an actual analysis...
But as my previous idea mentioned...you have until Tuesday to recorrect and then its hunting season for whatever Apple, Microsoft, Meta, and Qualcomm can effect things in that order...So top of the channel if all of those are good and bottom of the channel and breaking that like 5132.25 or something bottom line to move lower.
Just simple considerations-
Amazon said to be putting AI/Data centers on hold contractually along with tariff pressures.
Microsoft same as above but like minus the tariffs
Meta is literally a joke of actual physical production of economy- i mean maybe marketplace...but ad revenue isnt making the world go round when you literally state you will flood your services with AI profiles for more engagement...look it up f you pay them for ads
and Qualcomm...which is being wrecked by China chips ban, even if they get there by proxy...not as much money as before, and even with computers being exempt along with smartphones, their semi business hasn't been selling hardcore since the US consumer is strapped and there apparently isn't much inventory of high end consumer goods flying around.
But to the last one Apple:
Hey, just buy the only thing we sell which have been a cult following since like 2008 and maybe like we may bring a car into the picture...Well China Huawei already made a car and their phone is literally in every metric better- but is banned in the US cause you know national security----but you can sell iPhone in China- how very communist of them to do so...they should try to be more capitalist and ban things like BYD or NIO or Huawei like US lol
Anywho....One of my customers at my farm was one of the tops involved in Amazon and had quarterly meetings face to face with Bezos and the Board....She dumped her stock in the first week of February after her 3 month hold on share sales was over after already leaving the company 6 months prior. And her partner's brother working for Citi said to sell all their equities and go into the top 4 Gold and Silver miners along with owning the two physical metals as well. Phone and consumer electronics...exempt
He is really showing those communists who don't ban US goods from entering their markets who is boss--- while not yet caring about the 1 Trillion dollar defense bill which adds more government spending to the docket and is almost an increase of exactly DODGE's supposed proven savings...
850 bill plus 150 bill saved = 1 Trillion for Pentagon...see math works- its the Transitive Property people, or the conservation of energy for the physics bros amongst us. :) facts///not feelz
S&P futures daily chart review4/27/2024
Daily Chart analysis
Market is All-in-long, but the market tempo would suggest a pause or a pullback
after 4 bull bars. Likely 1 more bar up before a pullback.
Elements to note:
Break of the broad bear channel down, an important component of a possible MTR setup.
Notice the EMA cross and confirmation, usually leading to some sideways, but good foundation
for higher prices.
April 2nd was an outside up bar. There are bulls trapped here,
so sellers above, and this is a price level likely to tested in the near term.
S&P Futures weekly chart review4/27/2025
Outside up bar last week needing continuation. Notice the bear bar of 2 weeks abo triggered
and then reversed, trapping sellers. Buyers below.
Outside up bars are expanding triangles.
Likely we pulllback into the range of the bar, reverse and close above the bar.
Good probability of trend continuation up. Momentum is strong, even though this is a second
leg reversal back to a breakout point.
For the bulls, the best case scenario is an initial selloff, then reversal and back up
to form a 3rd leg of a wedge. But after that, likely to go back down. The bear channel
down was strong, and bears will want a second leg, even if it eventually forms a failed flag.
I view the corrective move down as 17 weeks, so likely 8-9 weeks of sideways to up,
of which we are in week 3. So likely more time of sideways to up.
So - expecting an initial selloff, then higher prices leading to another leg down for the bears.
There are sellers above, and buyers below. Best case for bears is eventual trend resumption.
Best case for bulls is a failed flag formation and back to new highs.
S&P Futures monthly chart review4-27-25 Update
The big April bear bar went too far too fast to be sustainable for the bears
Even if it had closed on it's low, that would have been terrible
for the bears. Stop would have been too far away and would invite
a fade. As it stands, it is a a bad bar for both bulls and bears. Bears see
tremendous buying pressure, forming the large wick. But as is, the bar is a bad buy signal
and bulls would face a similarly large stop. For bears, ideally they get a few days of down
to get back to the mid-point at least, but that is 300-400 points to make it a compelling
bear bar, so unlikely. Bulls can erase the bear bar with 100 pts or so, but probability is that the
bar finishes with a similar appearance. April's bar is a Breakout and pullback in one bar, likely sellers above.
Interestingly, the LT bullish trend line was broken by the wick, which is a typical element of a MTR setup.
However, a MTR setup would likely require the formation of a right shoulder first.
Most likely scenario here is Price falls back into the body of the bar, reverse up, but then
comeback to test the tail of the bar in 2-3 months.