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Day 54 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$49 & Lessons on ExecutionRecap & Trades Day 54 — the signals were spot-on today but my execution wasn’t. I started with a bullish bias and kept trying to buy the dip when the structure was clearly bearish. Got stopped out around 6714 for -$540, and the market bounced right after — classic. Even so, the system nailed every call today — five for five accuracy. Lesson & Mindset The lesson is clear — you can have the perfect system, but if you don’t execute it perfectly, you can still lose. Don’t let bias override data. Flexibility beats certainty every time. News & Levels Big headline today: Google announced a major quantum computing breakthrough with its new Willow chip — this could reshape the AI hardware landscape. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6760 bullish, below 6715 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES - October 22nd - Daily Trade PlanOctober 22nd - 6:45am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our overnight high is 6789 and overnight low is 6763. Very tight range that should resolve higher today. Ideally, we can get a pull back to the 6750 area and reclaim 6758, 6763. Any price action below 6763 and a quick reclaim would be bullish. IF, price does clear 6789 we could get to 6797, 6807 as first targets and 6812 being a heavy resistance area. IF, price clears then fall back inside the overnight range, we could then lose the 6770, 6763 level and would not want to see price lose 6738 or we may need to retest 6703 area which has been tested a ton over the week and it is also the bull/bear line, I have been discussing since last week. Key Levels Today: 1. Loss of 6770 and reclaim 2. Loss of 6763 and reclaim (Potentially down to 6758) 3. Loss of 6750 and reclaim Price below 6738 and we will probably need to retest the 6703 level. We have to remain bullish with price above 6695 Key Support Levels - 6770, 6763, 6750, 6738, 6712, 6703, 6695 Key Resistance Levels - 6789, 6797, 6807, 6812, 6815, 6827, 6836, 6851 I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
Day 53 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$59 & Market Still WeirdRecap & Trades Day 53 — started the day catching clean plays off the X7 and DPBuy signals. Made some solid early gains, but later got stopped out after unexpected news from Trump hit the market. Overall, I finished +$59 — small day, but still green. I’ve noticed the market feels a lot more unpredictable since that big Friday crash — tons of chop and odd gamma behavior. Lesson & Mindset The takeaway: stay adaptive and don’t overtrade uncertainty. This isn’t the time to push size — it’s time to stay patient and observe until the structure normalizes. News & Levels Big story today — Gold saw its largest single-day drop in 12 years, down over 5%. That’s massive. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6760 bullish, below 6715 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DiYWALLST
S&P 500 (ES1!): Wait For Valid Buy Setups!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 20-24th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P500 is ranging. More neutral than bullish. But Friday's bullish close indicates potential bullish order flow going into this week. If price can manage to trade above the Monthly Open at 6,725, than buys become valid. I'm not interested in selling this market, unless I see a sure enough bearish BOS. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by RT_Money
ES - October 21st - Daily Trade PlanOctober 21st - 7:30am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our overnight high is 6784 and overnight low is 6763. Very tight range that should resolve higher today. Ideally, we can get a pull back to the 6750 area and reclaim 6758, 6763. Any price action below 6763 and a quick reclaim would be bullish. IF, price does clear 6784 we could get to 6791, 6800 as first targets and 6812 being a heavy resistance area. IF, price clears then fall back inside the overnight range, we could then lose the 6770, 6763 level and would not want to see price lose 6738 or we may need to retest 6703 area which has been tested a ton over the week and it is also the bull/bear line, I have been discussing since last week. Key Levels Today: 1. Loss of 6770 and reclaim 2. Loss of 6763 and reclaim (Potentially down to 6758) 3. Loss of 6750 and reclaim Price below 6738 and we will probably need to retest the 6703 level. We have to remain bullish with price above 6695 Key Support Levels - 6770, 6763, 6750, 6738, 6712, 6703, 6695 Key Resistance Levels - 6784, 6797, 6807, 6812, 6815, 6827, 6836, 6851 I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
Week 11.03 - 11.07 Prep Last Week : Last week we opened on a gap above Value and made a push over Edge top where we found our top and larger sellers for the week. Return to above VAL provided selling back into and eventually under the Edge. Holding under the Edge got us under MAs and changed the trend from uptrend to downtrend on 30m and 1h Time Frames, 2hr and 4hr frames only changed into correction without fully changing into downtrend. Holds under the Edge also provided good sells into lower VAH/Value for the gap fill towards end of the week when we got Month End profit taking but we were not able to fill the gap, instead we ran out of Supply Friday Midday and got end of the week short covering which drove price back out Value without filling the gap or staying in Value. This Week : So far this week we have again opened over Value and have been balancing between VAH and Edge in Globex, right now Edge again provided good sell back towards VAH and it may seem like it can continue selling but this will be the area to be careful at, at least to start the week as we are starting New Month, New week and it would be best to see what order flow we get, of course it is possible that we just continue lower right away but also this could be an area where we will see more covering above the Gap which can keep price over it and eventually once selling slows down could give another rotation towards/into and possible over the Edge. As mentioned last week we are currently inside 915 - 875 +/- Intraday Range with 900 - 890 being its mean and price can stay within this range until it accepts under 870 - 65 areas without popping back over 75 then we know we have accepted in lower Intraday Range of 870 - 830 and can continue through its targets which would be 855 - 845 Mean area and down into/towards 830 - 20s. If we do hold this current range we are in then it is still possible that it will bring more buying as buyers like to start getting in once price holds which could still push us up towards/over the Edge and maybe even back towards above VAL, how far over Edge we get would be determined by order flow IF it happens but this will be the spots to be careful on the long side instead of getting excited for new ATH or continuation over previous one even if we take it out. Our bigger sellers will still be lurking over the Edge and closer to above VAL which means if we see a push out we could either see a quick or after consolidation return back under the Edge. For price to change things back into stability or strength from here we would need a strong push over VAL with Medium/Larger MAs following behind us for support to be able to hold the price in/around new Value to show acceptance in New Hourly Range, unless this happens we have to keep thinking that top is in for now and look for return trips away from it which would make price want to return to previous Value. If we do get strong selling continuation today/tomorrow through 70 - 65 and keep it under then of course we will go with that and keep targeting the Mean/Gap fill and push under the Mean but unless you see clear selling under 70 - 65 careful looking for too much continuation from here early on, it might take few days to decide what we will do and get ready for a good move into lower Value which maybe happen either from above the Edge or once we hold under it long enough and change trend on 2hr and 4hr Frames.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
S&P 500 E-mini: Two Scenarios at Key Support and Resistance ZoneScenario 1 (Bullish): Price holds above the rising channel support near 6,810, supported by an ascending trendline on the 3-hour chart. A bounce from this level could push the market higher toward recent highs around 6,950. Scenario 2 (Bearish): On the 45-minute chart, price is testing the upper boundary of a descending channel. A failure to break above this resistance could trigger a downward move toward the key support zone near 6,810. Watch for confirmation of a breakdown to target lower levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by PropTradingAuthority
$ES_F $SPX $SPY: The song remains the same This song remains the same, at least during Globex. Several bearish weekly candlesticks, including those for $ES_F, SP:SPX , and AMEX:SPY so far, are not hindering the intense chasing buying pressure. The uptrend remains intact as long as the 10-day simple moving average continues to provide support. The recent weekly Doji could indicate a possible pullback if today's closing price falls below 6843. It's important to note that the volume did not support the breakout above the resistance level at 6814 on October 25, resulting in a new ATH. In contrast, there was a higher volume on Thursday and Friday, both of which closed with red candlesticks. Additionally, the average volume over the past two weeks has been decreasing.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by OLIV2020
What is driving the market to the upside?You need to understand what is driving an asset market to the upside → to get a clear read if that driver has persitance & if it could reverse. You want to correctly know why something is happening... Where does CRYPTOCAP:BTC stand - lets dive in! Lets start with an example: What drove the crypto market so sharply higher in November 2024? Did something fundamentally change on a macro level? - no On November 6, Trump was elected — and it wasn’t even traditional markets that reacted, but mainly crypto. Crypto rallied aggressively purely on expectations surrounding the election anticipation of deregulation, potential pro-risk sentiment, “crypto-friendly” narratives, etc. But when Inauguration Day came and nothing specific materialized to further justify that optimism, the rally became unsustainable. The microstructure overheated, while macro fundamentals hadn’t changed at all. That’s exactly why the S&P 500 didn’t rally alongside Bitcoin — it was an expectations trade, not a macro shift. Then the first tariff news hit. That was a real macro shock. Trade relationships changed, growth expectations weakened — and naturally, the S&P started to fade. Bitcoin, which was already sitting on a fragile market structure, followed lower. This time it wasn’t just positioning — it was macro reality catching up: slower growth, tighter liquidity expectations, weaker global trade momentum. The market then crashed further on tariff expectations,until that pressure ended around April 7. From there, everything reverted sharply higher — because we’re still in a powerful credit-cycle expansion. Since then, the S&P has absorbed every piece of news that doesn’t alter the macro picture. Positioning unwinds get bought back quickly, and liquidity remains abundant. So where does all of this leaves crypto right now? Bitcoin currently has no internal reason to sell off aggressively. Macro still points upward — growth, liquidity, credit — all supportive. Only a real macro shift (not just noise) could sustainably push BTC lower, and if that happens, the S&P will fall too. Until then, BTC is likely just waiting for the next catalyst — whether it’s a genuine macro change, another wave of expectations, or simply a market-maker-driven breakout. Either way, as long as the macro backdrop doesn’t turn negative, it’s just a matter of time before Bitcoin resumes higher.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by The-white-goat
7K ES coming soon? Are we heading to a Major Cycle Peak?The market is approaching a technically significant level that aligns both vertical and Horizontal Fibonacci level/cycle, and macro fundamentals, a confluence that deserves attention. On the 3-day chart of S&P 500 Index Futures, price has been steadily climbing inside a long-term rising channel for sometime now. With the recent breakout momentum intact, we’re now eyeing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at approximately 7,206, which also overlaps with the upper boundary of the long-term trend channel. Fibonacci Extension & Key Resistance The 1.618 Fib extension has historically acted as a major exhaustion zone in trending markets, often serving as a reversal or profit-taking area. Price has already surpassed the 1.272 extension (~6,724), confirming strength in this impulsive leg. The zone between 7,000 and 7,200 stands out as a technically significant barrier where risk-reward begins to shift. Fibonacci Time Cycle Confluence Another key element reinforcing this zone is the trend-based Fibonacci time cycle, which also aligns between now to end of the year. Possibly extending to early 2026. When both price and time Fib levels cluster, it often signals a major inflection point—either a powerful continuation if momentum persists or a sharp corrective move if sentiment turns. Macro Fundamentals & Trade Deal Optimism From a macro perspective, if upcoming trade negotiations or agreements work in favor of global growth, this could act as a fundamental tailwind that fuels a final Wave 5 push toward this confluence zone. If such a scenario plays out, we may witness: Bullish continuation toward 7,200 A potential blow-off top structure Larger funds scaling out or hedging at those levels Levels to Watch Level (Fib) Price Importance 1.618 7,206 Major extension + channel resistance 1.272 6,724 Breakout confirmation zone This confluence zone is less about “calling a top” and more about understanding where the probabilities shift. It’s the kind of technical level where: Bulls start tightening stops or taking partial profits Bears begin watching for momentum breaks Long-term investors may rebalance exposure Final Thoughts If both technical structure and fundamentals line up, the 7,000–7,200 zone could become one of the most critical levels of the next market cycle. Whether it becomes a launchpad or ceiling will depend on how price reacts when we get there. Either way, this is not just another number on the chart— It’s a convergence of price, time, and macro narrative.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by polarity
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Wait For Valid Buy Setups!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P500 closed last week at ATHs. I expect more of the same next week. Look for valid dip buying opportunities, my friends. If the market disrespects the +OB, then buys become invalidated. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by RT_Money
1
S%P DROP AND GIVE ME 50....50K PLEASE LOLBias is BEARISH! Hear me out tho lol! First, we never predict; we estimate and wait! Price will tell us where it wants to go. Based on my estimate, we have big news this week that does not look very positive and could negatively affect American businesses and stocks, potentially leading to central sell pressure in the market. That, paired with no significant pullback on the D/HTF's, makes me estimate we should have nice sell ops. 4H Golden zone is around 6,809-50% and 6,801-.618%! (Great buy bounce area) after that we have some IPP'S (important price points) 6,840 If passed and closed above we can see move to even HH's! or If we see a rejection to 6,801 price area we can see a dump taking out session IPP's and pushing to lower FVGs! (what I want lol) so we are going to let the market play, while we wait....and GET PAID!! GDluckThisWeek!
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by TaYbTrading