ES OverNIght Price Action Review 4-9-24Going over the price action ES looking for clues. trying to listen to what the market is saying. take it easy today CPI tomorrow. 01:54by BobbyS8130
Projected upper, lower and close limits for market hoursUpper Price projection: 5,268.02 Lower Price projection: 5,226.36 Close price projection: 5,249.31 However, skews towards larger losses given relative position to 9-day SMA. Shortby DeclanFallon4b1
Quiet day on TuesdayWith the market focusing on the CPI numbers coming out on Wednesday, a quiet day in the S&P 500 is expected for Tuesday.01:03by DanGramza3
Market Recap: 3 Losses!!! What did I do wrong?Today I took 3 losses. It was a really bad trading day. I didn't really follow my plan on the day and took 2 unnecessary losses. The one loss of the 3 I can live with but, I have to do better. There wasn't much give from the market today. Editors' picks04:29by JoeRodTrades3232377
ES Price Action Review 4-8-24Going over the days price action. doji day consolidation. not much to do. days like today tests your patience skill set. 01:49by BobbyS8130
Trading Plan for Monday, April 8th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 8th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish with potential for volatility as CPI data approaches. Important Note: CPI data will be released later this week. Expect outsized moves and potential traps. Prioritize risk management and adaptability. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5246 (major), 5230-34 (major), 5221, 5212, 5207, 5203 (major), and others. Major Supports: 5196, 5191 (major), 5181, 5179 (major), 5172, 5162 (major), 5155, 5144-46 (major), and many more. Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5255 (major), 5263, 5270 (major), 5279, 5287, 5292 (major), and others. Major Resistances: 5302, 5308 (major), 5311, 5316, 5321, 5329-32 (major), and more. Trading Strategy Defending Support: The 5230-34 zone is crucial for bulls. Holding this level signals potential for an upwards move toward 5287-92, with possible profit-taking dips along the way. Long Opportunities: Focus on the 5230-34 zone (if today's high remains unbroken). In case of a breakdown, use extreme caution and target major supports like 5203 and 5191. Look for failed breakdowns and reclaims as potential long entry signals. Shorting with Caution: Shorting into strength within bull markets is inherently risky. If considering shorts, the best area is the 5287-92 zone (red downtrend channel), with another potential reaction at 5270. Bull Case Holding Strong: As long as 5230-34 support holds (ideally with a minor dip promptly bought below 5203), the path is open to 5287-92. Expect another dip there before potentially reaching new all-time highs. Ultra Bullish Scenario: If bulls hold above 5246 and buy any small dips, this signals strength and could lead to potential adds. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: If 5230-34 fails, the bear case activates. Since most breakdowns trap, look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider short entries with level-to-level profit targets. News: Top Stories for April 8th, 2024 Stock Market Outlook S&P 500 hits record highs, strong Q1 performance increases bullish sentiment. Reduced recession fears and potential Fed pivot drive positive outlook. April historically favorable for the S&P 500. Analysts forecast strong earnings growth with significant upside potential. Corporate Earnings Intel's Q1 2024 financial results release set for April 25th. Perion Network updates guidance, increases share buyback. Economic Indicators Q4 GDP growth remains solid despite high interest rates. Bond market signals potential Fed rate cuts as early as June. Trade deficit widens, while manufacturing data shows strength. Technology Sector Modest growth expected in 2024, with IT investment plans. AI, cloud computing, and cybersecurity to drive tech spending. Other Corporate and Market News Nvidia's strong performance continues in AI chip market. Tesla faces challenges in China, automotive growth slows. Boeing impacted by quality control concerns. Upcoming Events Tech conferences including Google Cloud Next and ODSC East. Women in Tech Global Conference highlights industry leaders. Reminder: The CPI release this week will likely cause significant volatility. Adapt your trading accordingly, with an emphasis on reacting to price action and prioritizing risk management.Shortby spytradingpro0
Pre-Markey Prep ES/SPXPre-Market Prep My plan today SPX levels: my main level is 5207. If we open above 5207 and stay above 5207 we can test 5215 with 5222 and 5231 (this is my preferred move at opening, then adjust). If we open below 5207 and stay below 5207 we can test 5198 with 5193 and 5189. Stay Frosty! Long51:39by Beyond_Charts0
Overnight ES Price Action REviewGoing over the over night session looking for clues coming up with a plan for todays price action.01:32by BobbyS8130
ES1! - Stagnation In DeliveryMoney can still be mad eon the intraday timeframes but I would need additional information before formulating my bias. There is a 50/50 chance that buyside or sellside could be taken as ES has been trading around the equilibrium of the daily range from march to current date. If ES respects the daily bearish order block, sellside would be in the cards but as the week progresses, I will keep the analysis updated. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN by LegendSince1
Weekly Price Action REview ES Mar 21- April 5thGoing over the Price action from Mar 21 - April 5. looking for clues to what the market is telling us and how we should position our positions. 05:09by BobbyS8131
Stocks Put A Top In This Week! Further Downside to Come!ES (US 500) Fibs, Hourly: ES is our main index that provides helps us determine trend. You will notice that this week had a change of character. The market had taken the stairs up, but is now taking the elevator down, with sharp moves coming in a few hours to the downside. Expect more of this. ES pattern at the top is more head and shoulders like. And, unlike YM, we got a FULL All the Way Half Way Back Short this week, going back to the 50% line on Friday and selling off from there. Look for a gap up on Sunday night/Monday and a sell into strength of a 2nd test at the 5272.50 level. Our Target is all the way down at the 5158.25 level, over a 100 points away. ####TRADE ALERT#### ES (US 500- S&P500) Call: Short Entry Type: Limit, ideally better than 5262.50 no worse than 5245 SL: 5290 TP1 / TP2: 5158.25 ###################Shortby CeresTrader3
Buyers showed up on FridayBuyers return to the market on Friday in the S&P 500. The challenge is can they follow through on Monday. This is the action that you would be looking for if indeed momentum is building on the buy side.03:02by DanGramza5
ES1! S&P500 PREPARE NEXT WEEK - IMPORTANT PRICE POINTS - DAILYThanks a lot you the likes, really appreciate! It is not financial advice just recreational trading idea sharing ____________________________________________________________________ - 5332.5: price point identified as potential optimal entry for short direction trade. Depends on the velovity of the market when if hitting that price point again. - 5168.75 to 5190.75: probable important zone where the price can pullback up or break with strength. - 4938.25: Possible down important price point as we can only look behind and in prices lower than the actual price. Above the actual price it is not possible to see where the market can go. So market will do what it has to do if evolving above 5332.5 . - Some other zone down there but it is not to analyze yet has there is too many important price points above it. Probably observing what the market does from Monday to Wednesday and see which entries can be done on Thursday/Friday for next week.Shortby Diallo_Charts_Ideas1
current charting of es hourlyi look for break out and break down lines. these are identified by pivot points below a line that support and ultimately a large break out, or pivot points above a line that support followed by ultimate large failures when the line breaks. these lines become resistance and support. note todays plunge on nfp and where it found support. the light blue lines are all break down lines with origin at nov lows. i expect these break down lines are at play now with the two larger selling events.by sunriselmi0
Market Recap: Trading The AntiIn this video, I go over the possible trades in the day. I also discussed why I didn't take some trades and what trades I did take. Spoiler alert, the one I took was an Anti setup. Below are some characteristics on the day Yesterday's monster sell-off, price moved toward and sold off at the 50% retracement of yesterday's sell-off. Slow consolidation in overnight, pre-market action A bullish pullback setup A bearish failure test at or near the 50% retracement. The failure test was followed by 3 strong bearish candles Anti-pattern setup following the 3 bear candles. 03:00by JoeRodTrades1
The Pullback Has BegunFor the first time in 2024 the US Stock Market's S&P 500 has shown TWO bearish signs at once this week. In any given year statistically one can expect 2 or 3 corrections of -5% to -10%. It is now month 4 of 2024 and we are due. In this video I talk about the two signs (False Breakout Monday, Break and Hold Resistance Thursday) that came together to signal the first possible pullback of 2024. Get ready!Short07:47by norok2238
DAy Review ES NFP 4-5-24Going over the price action after the NFP report. looking for clues and how we should have traded the price action. trying to take our emotions out of the process and using our Brain Power. 06:19by BobbyS8130
SPX500 Futures Mastery: Risk On Market, Risk On ManagementHey Traders, When you have equity bulls piling into assets like this, your approach has to change. Taking shorts has further Inherent risk as price is going with momentum. Therefore, everything has to change within your risk strategy. Tech/Fund Analysis included.Short10:14by WillSebastianUpdated 5
Don't Short SupportYTD VPOC held nicely as support... A main LOI we had on watch for today So far price has retraced >61% of yesterday's sell Longby OpinicusTrades0
5204 is a major trend support to watchJob data this morning caused a movement exactly as I anticipated and discussed yesterday. The move lower I suspected came yesterday as I anticipated, so now I'm just looking to see if we can move below this 5204 12hr support line. To date, the 12hr has been the major support level to stop any movement down since November which is why we have not seen a Daily trend change for nearly 6 months. Trends into today; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5248 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 5226 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5226 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 5260 Downtrend (4/2/2024) Higher Low 6Hr - 5250 Downtrend (4/2/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5204 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Higher Low Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High Overall, I will link my video from yesterday if you want an in-depth analysis on why I predicted we would move lower. Major thing I've heard, is people are no discussing only 2 rate cuts this year. So again, we went into the year with 6 rate cuts priced into the market. We dropped to 3 rate cuts even though we never REALLY priced out the 3 extra rate cuts, and now we are discussing only 2 rate cuts this year, and the potential of them not coming in June. Safe trading, and remember your risk management.Short03:57by SemperTraderUpdated 1
Morning Price ACtion Review ES 4-5-24 NFPReviewing the morning Price Action from NFP and looking for clues to what the market is telling us and how we could have managed better.03:11by BobbyS8130
breaker breaker trade love this setup on the daily.. you can take this setup with your stop right above that high and be content with the trade. by jpestano0
Trading Plan for Friday, April 5th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, April 5th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Extreme volatility expected due to the recent selloff and NFP data release. Caution and adaptability are crucial. Important Note: Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) was released at 8:30 AM (EST). Expect outsized moves and volatility. Avoid predictions, and look for failed breakdowns as potential trade entry points. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5203, 5196, 5190, 5181-84 (major), 5177, 5171 (major), 5163, 5155 (major), 5146, 5142 (major), 5136, 5127 (major), 5115, 5102 (major). Major Supports: 5171, 5142 (important for long positions), and 5102 (major). Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5212 (major), 5221 (major), 5230, 5235, 5240 (major), 5250, 5257, 5266 (major), 5274, 5279, 5288 (major), 5294 (major), 5302. Major Resistances: 5257, 5266 (major), 5288 (major), and 5310 (major). Trading Strategy Knife-Catch Mode: Exercise extreme caution and use small position sizes. Longs ONLY at major supports, prioritizing 5181-84, 5171, and especially 5142. Consider longs after a failed breakdown and reclaim. Bullish Reclaims: If bulls regain 5212, watch for acceptance above this level before adding longs. Target level-to-level profits. Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of the 5235-40 zone as potential shorting areas, as it hasn't been fully retested from below. Bull Case Support Holds: Bulls need to reclaim 5241 to maintain control and set the low. Moves towards 5265 and 5288 are possible if this occurs. Short-term, reclaiming 5212 is essential. Downside Magnet: If bulls make a strong move, 5143 is a significant downside target to watch. Bear Case Resistance Rejections: If bulls fail to retake 5212, expect a retest and rejection. This could open up a move towards 5194 for potential short entries (only if a bear flag establishes between 5212-5196). News: Top Stories for April 5th, 2024 U.S. Jobs Report Strong March jobs report with 303,000 positions added. Unemployment rate down to 3.8% shows continued labor market resilience. Impact on Fed's rate decisions uncertain, as wage growth easing. Corporate News Johnson & Johnson's $13.1 billion acquisition of Shockwave Medical announced. Updates on Telecom Italia financing and China Oilfield Services operations. Market Performance S&P 500 hits all-time highs in March, strong Q1. Nasdaq-100 projections point to good performance for 2024, with specific stock highlights. Global Economic Indicators Japan monitors volatile Yen movements. Disappointing German factory data raises slowdown concerns. India's strong economy leads to stable interest rates. Energy Sector Oil dividend stock recommendations for April. Shell's gas output exceeds guidance. Monetary Policy & Inflation Fed remains inflation-focused, considering mid-2024 rate cut. Developed market inflation expected to ease toward 2024 end. Geopolitical Concerns Questions emerge about reliance on U.S. nuclear capabilities. U.S. strategic moves in managing China's growing power. Technology & Disinformation Chinese AI-powered campaigns targeting U.S. voters & Taiwan. Market Outlook J.P. Morgan sees a challenging 2024 ahead due to economic slowdown potential. Overall positive 2024 outlook for U.S. stocks, experts discuss valuations and rate forecasts. Reminder: Expect high volatility tomorrow due to NFP data and the recent sell-off. Adapt your trading size accordingly (1/4 size recommended). Focus on reacting to price action over any predictions.Shortby spytradingpro0