Bullish Hidden Divergence Signals Potential Upside ReversalA bullish hidden divergence is forming on the MACD indicator, suggesting underlying strength despite recent price pullback. This setup often precedes a continuation of the uptrend, with price likely to break above the descending trendline resistance. Key support near 6,690 remains intact, providing a solid base for a potential rally toward recent highs. Traders should watch for confirmation of breakout momentum.
Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures
No trades
Market insights
ES - November 6th - Daily Trade PlanNovember 6th- Daily Trade Plan - 6:25am
*Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
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Since we continue to chop around in this range between 6770-6850, I will not get into too much detail about yesterday's price action as you can take a look at my trade plan from yesterday and read through the notes and what my expectation were and levels, we had to execute the trade plan!
Today we have ADP Employment numbers, PMI & ISM with tomorrow being the Jobs Report!
Our overnight low is 6804 and our high is 6835. As of typing this plan, you can clearly see that we have made lower lows, and lower highs overnight, so far. We are in a tight 30 pt range and bigger picture, I have talked this week about how 6856-60 a big resistance. I have also stated that 6690-95 is our level that needs to hold to keep the bigger picture bull case intact.
I expect a lot of choppy/trapping today and tomorrow. IF price does clear 6870, we should run back to new highs. IF price loses 6750, my expectation is that we test 6719, 6680.
Until we clear 6870, the current trend is for price action to lose 6750 and create a new lower low.
Key Levels Today -
1. Loss of 6807 and reclaim
2. Loss of 6792 and reclaim
3. Loss of 6773 and reclaim
4. Loss of 6749 and reclaim
IF price clears 6835 (Overnight high) prior to 9:30am open, we could see some FOMO and chasing at the open. IF price does fall back into the overnight range, I would be careful as we could head lower.
Key Support Levels - 6823, 6807, 6792, 6773, 6765, 6758, 6750
Key Resistance Levels - 6835, 6843, 6849, 6857, 6867, 6873
Until price creates a higher high, I have to defer to the current micro trend which is the probability of price to continue lower.
I will post an update around 10am EST.
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Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows)
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White Levels are previous days session High/Low
Day 63 — Trading Only S&P Futures +$149.80Recap & Trades
Day 63 — a quiet, disciplined day.
I started late, didn’t see any A+ setups, so I mostly stayed out of the market.
The only positions came from overnight team orders that Bia and Ray placed — and they hit perfectly.
It’s a reminder that sometimes, letting the plan work without forcing it can be the best trade of all.
Lesson & Mindset
Not every day needs to be high action.
The best traders know when to trade — and when to protect their mental and financial capital.
If the market structure doesn’t align, patience is a position.
News & Levels
Futures pushed higher on headlines that Schumer and Jeffries are seeking a deal to end the government shutdown.
It’s keeping sentiment slightly bullish into the next session.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6870 bullish, below 6860 bearish.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Thu (Nov 6)The daily trend has softened following the formation of a lower high. Analysis of the 4-hour chart indicates a bounce that encountered resistance near the 6860–6870 range, subsequently retreating to the 6810 support level. As we look ahead to tomorrow's trading, consider the 6805–6808 range as the key intraday “threshold” while the 6830–6835 zone will serve as the first significant resistance level to watch.
Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1; NY KZ 09:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET)
1. Acceptance long from support
Trigger: 15m holds S1 6805–6808 → 5m reclaim 6823 VWAP → 5m close above 6830.
Entry: 6831–6834 on first 1m HL after the 5m re-close.
SL: 6821 (hard) or 15m trigger-wick −0.25–0.50 pt.
TP1: 6856–6861 (≥2R gate).
TP2: 6870–6873.
TP3: 6890–6895 if squeeze.
Management: No partials before TP1; at TP1 close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trail before TP2.
2. Rejection fade short from resistance
Trigger: Pop into 6856–6861, stall, then 5m full-body re-close back below 6856 with 1m LH.
Entry: 6850–6854.
SL: 6864.25 (hard) or 15m wick +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6830–6832.
TP2: 6823 VWAP.
TP3: 6805–6808.
Note: If 5m re-claims 6861 after entry, exit early; setup invalid.
3. Breakdown continuation short
Trigger: 5m body close below 6805 with retest fail from beneath.
Entry: 6800–6803.
SL: 6810.75 (hard) or 15m wick +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6790–6795.
TP2: 6768–6772.
TP3: 6747–6752.
Note: If reclaim and 5m closes back above 6808, cancel.
4. Breakout continuation long
Trigger: 5m acceptance above 6861 and hold on retest.
Entry: 6862–6865 on first 1m HL.
SL: 6853.25.
TP1: 6870–6873.
TP2: 6885–6890.
TP3: 6905–6912.
Note: If acceptance fails (5m body back under 6861), flip bias back to fade R3.
Event map for Thursday (ET)
FOMC meeting Day 1 (runs Thu–Fri; Fed is not affected).
EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage 10:30.
Most BLS/DOL macro releases (e.g., Productivity & Costs, Weekly Jobless Claims) are suspended during the shutdown. Expect fewer 8:30 prints and thinner liquidity until the cash open.
ES UpdateI didn't trade today because of a hangover, lol.
Seems kinda weird that there was a resistance midday, you typically don't see resistance in the indices. EOD drop kept me from buying anything in the afternoon.
Futures are slightly red, MFI will probably get overbought before open tomorrow. In other words, don't buy the dip tomorrow. Appears Japan is resuming the selloff.
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Understanding MACD as a tool that tracks the convergence and divergence of moving averages
How the MACD line is calculated as the difference between the 12-period and 26-period EMAs
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How the Histogram visualizes the distance between the MACD line and Signal line to show momentum strength
Recognizing bullish and bearish crossovers between the MACD and Signal lines
How to interpret the Zero Line as a momentum baseline — above zero suggests an uptrend, below zero suggests a downtrend
Identifying bullish and bearish divergences between MACD and price to anticipate potential reversals
Why crossovers and divergences should be confirmed with price action and trend structure, not used in isolation
How to add MACD to a TradingView chart via the Indicators menu
Understanding the default settings (12, 26, 9) and how adjusting them changes responsiveness
Practical examples on the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart to illustrate MACD signals in real market conditions
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Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only.
Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
US Equities have this week left... Part IISo, yesterday heads up was given that the US Equities (and pretty much global equities generally) have this week left of bullishness.
This was observed with a TD Bear Setup perfected completion, coming into a stall. What was not mentioned was that the leading indicators of JNK, TIP and TLT were already showing signs of imminent breakdown (to understand about these three leads, refer to the book: Anatomy of the Bear by Russell Napier)
So just wanted to show it more obviously here.
While the US Equities were in a bit of a stall to close slightly positive, the three leads were clearly Bearish in the candlestick patterns with a single wipeout bearish, near marubozu, down candlestick that wiped out at least three days to two weeks of gain.
This like a slap in the morning while we are at the sweetest part of the dream.
Heads up, wake up!
Btw, with this kind of risk-off, crypto would not be spared either.
Short, sharp, sweet...
ES - November 5th - Daily Trade PlanNovember 5th- Daily Trade Plan - 6:30am
*Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
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I wrote yesterday "My general lean today is that we can back test 6843, 6862-65. I will be looking for a pullback to 6801 level and reclaim to grab some points. The only other option will be looking for a base to be built at one of the levels in yellow and create a strong support that provides an opportunity to enter long for a level-to-level move. 6824 resistance is a good spot to long for a move up the levels. It could be a tricky level to engage as it will probably take a few attempts to clear. Once it clears, it should move quickly up the levels to back test 6843, 6862-65."
Institutions were buying at the 6800 level between 8:30am-9:30am and we flushed down to 6786, reclaimed and then went higher and back tested to 6849 and then started to sell off in the afternoon. This is a typical bear market type of price action where price is being sold into strength, and we continue to make lower lows and lower highs. I would get used this type of price action as we could continue to see this over the coming months.
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Overnight low is 6749 and the high is 6807 with 6800 being heavy resistance that needs to clear for us to continue up the levels. IF price does head higher, we should test 6810, 6823. Technically IF price wants to continue higher, we need to clear 6849.
IF price does not clear 6800 and we lose 6749, we will need to see if price can react at 6734 or lose 6719 and reclaim to back test 6750 and potentially try to go higher.
I have said over the past few weeks that we have to remain bullish unless we lose the 6690 level. Last week we closed at the prior week lows and so far, we are trending to potentially do the same this week if price can hold 6690.
Key Levels Today -
1. Loss of 6775 and reclaim (This has been tested as I write this post, so will be weaker on next attempt)
2. Loss of 6765 and reclaim
3. Loss of 6758 and reclaim
4. Loss of 6749 and reclaim (Overnight Low)
5. Loss of 6734 and reclaim
6. Loss of 6719 and reclaim
Below these levels and I don't get very interested until 6690-95.
Key Support Levels - 6775, 6765, 6758, 6749, 6734, 6726, 6719
Key Resistance Levels - 6786, 6800, 6807, 6816, 6823, 6831, 6843, 6849
Until price creates a higher high, I have to defer to the current micro trend which is the probability of price to continue lower.
I will post an update around 10am EST.
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Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows)
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
ES Update - Breakout backtestSorry that I'm fixated on the TACO gap a little too much, I realized that this drop isn't about the TACO drop, it's back testing the breakout, which is pretty typical, it did the same last year on the election news. Especially considering it broke out on fake news, lol.
So market probably open right here at the line and decides whether to tank or go up. Seeing that there's an open gap above for NQ, I'm guessing up.
The back test has to happen during actual market hours, so I'm thinking the market opens up somewhere in this area.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups for Wed (Nov 5th)News & timing (ET): ADP 8:15; ISM Services PMI 10:00; EIA Crude 10:30. Release status: all three are scheduled to run (not shutdown-affected).
Bias & context: Short-term trend remains lower after a sequence of 15m lower-highs/lows and failure to hold 6,793–6,805. Expect dip-buys to be sold unless 6,860+ is reclaimed and defended.
Overnight → NY forecast:
Base path: probe 6,748–6,756 into Asia/London, bounce to 6,793–6,805, then decide at NY open. Lose 6,748 on momentum and the magnet becomes 6,713–6,725.
Alt squeeze: reclaim and hold above 6,852–6,860, push to the 6,900–6,906 “gate”, then 6,940–6,955. Only above 6,955 can 6,968–6,985 and 7,020–7,052 come into play.
Bear extension: clean break and 15m body acceptance below 6,713–6,725 opens 6,660s (deeper extension) before any meaningful bounce.
Key-Zones
Resistance (top→bottom):
7,020–7,052 premium band (W3 major; first touch favors profit-taking)
6,968–6,985 measured-extension / weak-high pocket (W2)
6,940–6,955 prior distribution top / supply shelf (W2)
6,900–6,906 immediate ceiling “gate” (W2 pivotal)
Support (top→bottom):
6,852–6,860 defended floor / quick-reclaim bounce zone (W2)
6,793–6,805 swing-equilibrium magnet (W2)
6,748–6,756 next demand shelf / measured support (W2)
6,713–6,725 extension target and last strong shelf before deeper repricing (W3)
Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1)
Rejection Fade (short): sell 6,852–6,860 or 6,900–6,906 after a 15m rejection close back inside → 5m re-close in your favor; use the 15m wick +0.25–0.50 pts as hard SL. TP1 = next opposing MAJOR level (e.g., 6,805 then 6,756).
Acceptance Continuation (long): only after a full-body 15m close above 6,860 and a 5m pullback that holds; target 6,900–6,906 → 6,940–6,955; invalidate on a 15m close back below 6,852.
Quick-Reclaim Bounce (Tier-2): flush into 6,748–6,756, instant reclaim on 1–5m, enter on first HL; TP1 = 6,793–6,805; invalidate on a 15m close back below the shelf.
Exhaustion Flush (Tier-3): if 6,748 breaks with force and a 15m body holds below, sell the first 1–5m LH; TP1 = 6,713–6,725; runner eyes 6,660s if momentum persists.
Risk & management (use consistently):
Instructions: only take a setup if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick SL.
At TP1: close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; runner aims TP2 at the next major level.
No trailing before TP2. Time-stop 45–60m if neither TP1 nor SL hits. Max 2 attempts per level per session.
Kill-zones (ET): London 02:00–05:00 (optional ½–¾ size); NY AM 09:30–11:00 (primary); NY PM 13:30–16:00 (primary). Manage only 12:00–13:00.
What flips decision:
Bullish: sustained 15m acceptance above 6,860 then above 6,906 turns path toward 6,940–6,955 → 6,968–6,985.
Bearish: 15m acceptance below 6,748 invites 6,713–6,725; losing that level opens 6,660s before any notable bounce.
Day 62 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Burry’s Big ShortRecap & Trades
Day 62 — started red from overnight orders but recovered fast by staying disciplined.
The market opened strong but started fading right at Bia’s resistance, so I shifted my bias and played structure reversals instead of fighting the trend.
By midday, I was back green, ending with a clean +$422 and 5-for-5 signal accuracy.
Lesson & Mindset
When big headlines like “Michael Burry shorting the market” hit, most traders panic.
But in reality, it’s about staying grounded in structure.
Noise doesn’t pay — consistency does.
News & Levels
Futures dropped as Burry’s short position went public and bubble talk resurfaced.
It’s the perfect reminder that sentiment flips fast — and you’ve got to react, not predict.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6890 bullish, below 6865 bearish.
ES bounces off KEY support: levels to watchAfter the sizeable drop in index futures overnight, we have seen dip-buying right where we needed to: at 6789ish, a prior resistance and point of origin of the breakout. This level is key - let's see if index will hold its own above here. Break that and 6750 could be next. A more immediate support is now seen around 6820. In terms of resistance, the area between 6843 to 6851 is key. The index was testing this zone at the time of writing. If we have seen a genuine reversal, or at least a temp top, i would expect the sellers to defend their ground here. Failure to do so could see the index squeeze towards 6875 resistance.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
ES - November 4th - Daily Trade PlanNovember 4th- Daily Trade Plan - 6:20am
*Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
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Yesterday we had some great levels that hit and followed through. I stated in my trade plan that "IF we lose, 6843, we will probably flush pretty quickly lower"
Overnight we saw this and our overnight low is 6785 and high is 6882. That is about a 100pt move overnight. I have mentioned many times that the bigger picture trend is up and that would not change unless we lose 6690. We have to respect the trend and look for prices to move higher. When we get a nice sell off like we have overnight, we need to retest the levels above and see if we can continue higher. Bears are fully in control and until 6918 is retaken, we have to expect selling on any back tests of higher prices.
Key Levels Today -
1.Loss of 6812 and reclaim (Micro level reclaim)
2. Loss of 6785 and reclaim
3. Loss of 6801 and reclaim (IF 6785 is the low for the day, this might be the best spot to grab points before it moves higher)
4. Below the overnight low and 6776 and reclaim is next level lower of interest
5. Loss of 6767 and reclaim
Key Support Levels - 6812, 6801, 6792, 6785, 6776, 6773, 6767
Key Resistance Levels - 6824, 6830, 6837, 6843, 6849, 6862-65
My general lean today is that we can back test 6843, 6862-65. I will be looking for a pullback to 6801 level and reclaim to grab some points. The only other option will be looking for a base to be built at one of the levels in yellow and create a strong support that provides an opportunity to enter long for a level-to-level move. 6824 resistance is a good spot to long for a move up the levels. It could be a tricky level to engage as it will probably take a few attempts to clear. Once it clears, it should move quickly up the levels to back test 6843, 6862-65.
I will post an update around 10am EST.
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Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows)
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
Day 61 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Focused on the Grand CupRecap & Trades
Day 61 — I shifted focus entirely to the Tradeify Grand Cup tourney account.
Instead of trading multiple accounts, I traded larger — up to 2 ES contracts — and kept everything clean and simple.
The morning structure was bearish, so I shorted early and caught 20–30 point moves before flipping at 10:40 for the reversal.
Throughout the day, I played structure and gamma zones just like we do inside the VX Algo system.
Lesson & Mindset
Sometimes, focus beats multitasking.
Trading one account with intention often leads to better results than juggling multiple screens.
And when you scale up, you realize that discipline matters more than direction.
News & Levels
Big takeaway from today — Fed’s Daly said the October rate cut was appropriate and they’ll keep an open mind for December.
That kind of language tells us the Fed is keeping optionality alive.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6910 bullish, below 6893 bearish.
ES QuantSignals V3 Futures 2025-11-03ES QuantSignals V3 Futures 2025-11-03
ES Futures Signal | 2025-11-03
• Direction: NEUTRAL | Confidence: 55%
• Type: Index Futures | Timeframe: 1H
• Volume vs Avg: 1.0×
• Recent Move: +0.00%
⚖️ Compliance: Educational futures commentary for QS Premium. Not financial advice.
🚀 QS V3 ELITE FUTURES ANALYSIS
Generated: 2025-11-03 13:43:52 ET
Instrument: ES ($0.00)
Type: Index Futures
Trend: UNKNOWN
Confidence: 55.0%
Timeframe: 1H
Model: QS + Katy AI
Strictness: MEDIUM
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: NEUTRAL - NO TRADE
Confidence: N/A
Conviction Level: N/A
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: Unavailable - Rate Limited
Technical Analysis: Insufficient data - Current price $0.00 with zero volume/range data prevents meaningful technical analysis. No discernible trend structure or key levels available.
Macro & News: Limited relevance - Eversource Energy earnings news has minimal direct impact on ES futures. No major economic catalysts or session drivers identified.
Flow & Positioning: Incomplete data - Options flow shows neutral bias but all pricing data is $0.00. Volume and open interest cues unavailable for analysis.
Risk Level: EXTREMELY HIGH - Trading with zero pricing data and unavailable AI guidance violates all risk management principles.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Contract: ES
Entry Price: N/A
Take Profit 1: N/A
Take Profit 2: N/A
Stop Loss: N/A
Position Size: 0 contracts
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: No competitive edge possible without valid market data. Trading blind carries unacceptable risk.
Timing Advantage: Current conditions offer no timing advantage due to data unavailability.
Risk Mitigation: Complete avoidance is the only proper risk management when critical data is missing.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
CRITICAL WARNING: All market intelligence data shows $0.00 pricing, zero volume, and unavailable AI analysis. Katy AI is rate-limited,
QS Analyst
APP
— 1:43 PM
removing the primary directional guidance. Trading under these conditions would be purely speculative gambling. Wait for data restoration and Katy AI availability before considering any positions. The VIX at 17.17 suggests normal volatility conditions, but without price context, this information is unusable.
---
QS V3 Futures Strategy System - Professional futures trading with Katy AI intelligence.
QS Analyst
APP
— 3:01 PM
ES QuantSignals V3 Futures 2025-11-03
ES Futures Signal | 2025-11-03
• Direction: SELL | Confidence: 68%
• Type: Index Futures | Timeframe: 1H
• Entry Range: $6891.74
• Target 1: $6729.11
• Stop Loss: $6987.26
• Volume vs Avg: 1.0×
• Recent Move: -1.68%
• ⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
⚖️ Compliance: Educational futures commentary for QS Premium. Not financial advice.
🚀 QS V3 ELITE FUTURES ANALYSIS
Generated: 2025-11-03 15:01:41 ET
Instrument: ES ($6884.00)
Type: Index Futures
Trend: BEARISH
Confidence: 53.4%
Timeframe: 1H
Model: QS + Katy AI
Strictness: MEDIUM
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: SELL
Confidence: 68%
Conviction Level: MEDIUM
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: Bearish with 68.4% confidence, predicting -1.68% decline to $6768.42
Technical Analysis: Price at $6884 with negative recent move of -1.68%. Multi-timeframe conflicts noted with bullish vs SELL bias creating -15.0% confidence penalty. Key resistance at $6987.26 (stop level), support zones at $6729.11 and $6574.22.
Macro & News: Limited immediate catalysts - Eversource Energy earnings analysis (HIGH impact 1h ago) but sector-specific. No major economic releases imminent, allowing clean technical play.
Flow & Positioning: Volume at average levels (1.0x), options flow neutral with unusual activity at $2800 call strike. VIX at normal 17.17 indicating stable volatility environment.
Risk Level: MODERATE - Multi-timeframe conflict poses reversal risk, but Katy's strong bearish signal provides directional clarity.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Contract: ES
Entry Price: $6868.51 - $6914.98
Take Profit 1: $6729.11
Take Profit 2: $6574.22
Stop Loss: $6987.26
Position Size: 2 contracts (moderate conviction with proper risk management)
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Combines Katy AI's high-confidence bearish prediction with clean technical
Image
levels during low-catalyst environment
Timing Advantage: Entry during normal volatility conditions with clear resistance/support framework
Risk Mitigation: Tight stop-loss relative to predicted move (1:2.3 risk/reward ratio), position sizing appropriate for medium conviction
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Monitor for any unexpected market-moving news that could invalidate technical setup. Multi-timeframe conflict requires close watch for reversal signals. Trade benefits from absence of immediate economic releases but remain alert to breaking news.
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: ES
🔀 Direction:
🎯 Strike: 2800.00
💵 Entry Price: 6891.74
🎯 Profit Target: 6729.11
🛑 Stop Loss: 6987.26
📅 Expiry: N/A
📏 Size: N/A
📈 Confidence: 68%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-03 18:01:38 EST
⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
---
QS V3 Futures Strategy System - Professional futures trading with Katy AI intelligence.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Tue (Nov 4th)Bias & context
Range-to-slightly-bearish intraday while price remains capped under 6,900–6,906. A clean 15m body close above that “gate” shifts bias to the upside toward 6,940→6,985. Lose 6,852–6,860 on a 15m body-through and the path opens to 6,805→6,756.
The key levels remain unchanged.
Setups (15m→5m→1m)
Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906: tag and 15m close back below → use the first 5m re-close lower and enter short on the 1m pullback; TP1 = 6,860, TP2 = 6,805, TP3 = 6,756; hard SL = 15m wick high +0.50.
Acceptance Continuation through 6,906: 15m full-body close above → buy the 5m pullback that holds; TP1 = 6,940–6,955, TP2 = 6,968–6,985; invalidation = a 15m close back inside ≤6,900.
Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860: sweep and instant reclaim → long back toward 6,900 “gate”; if the reclaim fails, stand aside and wait for the body-through short.
Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756: only on a fast flush; first-touch responsive long back to 6,793–6,805; invalidate on a decisive 15m body-through below 6,748.
Kill-zones (ET)
NY AM 09:30–11:00 primary execution window; NY PM 13:30–16:00 continuation / reversal window.
Calendar & shutdown check
JOLTS (Sep) is scheduled for Tue, Nov 4 at 10:00 ET, but BLS warns releases may be delayed during the shutdown. Treat this as tentative.
ADP National Employment Report (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 08:15 ET and is unaffected (private release).
ISM Services PMI (Oct) is Wed, Nov 5 at 10:00 ET and is unaffected (private release).
Census/Commerce releases on Tue (Trade Balance, Factory Orders) are on the calendar, but federal data dissemination is paused under the shutdown; expect postponements.
Major earnings Tue, Nov 4 (pre-market) include SHOP, UBER, PFE, SPOT, ETN, RACE, APO, MAR, TRI, ZTS, MPC, MPLX.
Management:
Instruction notes: only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1 close 70% and park 30% at BE; runner aims the next level. No trailing before TP2. Max 2 attempts per level per session.






















