MNQM2026 trade ideas
Nasdaq Echoing December FOMC| NQ1 Short SetupAfter spotting the new day opening gap, I immediately analyzed the charts for a comparable All-Time High NDOG scenario. Sure enough, I found nearly identical price action — unfolding on the same days and with the exact same news catalysts.
I’m planning to short from around 24,600.00, with the expectation that 24,200.00 will get taken out.
Let's see how this plays out⚡
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is bullish. No reason in the world to start looking for shorts! Let the market pullback to Internal Range Liquidity (IRL), a +FVG or +OB, and look for valid long setups on the lower timeframes.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Role of G7 and G20 in World Markets1. Historical Background
1.1 Origins of the G7
The G7 originated in the 1970s oil crisis and currency instability. The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system (1971) and the 1973 oil shock forced leaders of the US, UK, France, West Germany, Italy, and Japan to coordinate policies.
The first meeting took place in 1975 at Rambouillet, France. Canada joined in 1976, making it the G7.
The forum was designed as an informal space for dialogue among advanced economies, free from the rigid bureaucracy of the IMF or UN.
1.2 Expansion into G20
By the late 1990s, globalization had empowered emerging markets like China, India, Brazil, and South Africa.
The Asian Financial Crisis of 1997–98 exposed the limitations of the G7, which could not represent the interests of developing nations.
The G20 was created in 1999, initially as a forum for finance ministers and central bank governors.
Following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the G20 was elevated to a leaders’ summit level, becoming the “premier forum for international economic cooperation.”
2. Membership & Structure
2.1 G7
Members: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the EU (as an observer).
Characteristics: Advanced, high-income democracies with strong global financial markets.
Focus: Monetary policy coordination, financial stability, trade, development aid, sanctions, and geopolitical security.
2.2 G20
Members: 19 countries + European Union. Includes major emerging economies like China, India, Brazil, Russia, South Africa, Mexico, Indonesia, Turkey, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and others.
Coverage: Represents 85% of global GDP, 75% of international trade, and two-thirds of the world’s population.
Focus: Broader economic and financial stability, trade, infrastructure investment, climate change, digital economy, inclusive development.
3. Role in Financial Markets
3.1 Market Stability
The G7 historically acted as a currency stabilizer. For example, the Plaza Accord (1985) coordinated interventions to weaken the US dollar, reshaping forex markets.
The Louvre Accord (1987) similarly stabilized exchange rates. These decisions had immediate effects on bond yields, commodity prices, and stock market sentiment.
The G20, after 2008, coordinated stimulus packages worth trillions of dollars. This joint effort restored investor confidence, stabilized equity markets, and prevented a deeper depression.
3.2 Regulatory Standards
Both groups influence the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, which sets global banking capital requirements.
The G20’s Financial Stability Board (FSB) was established in 2009 to monitor risks, enforce transparency, and reduce systemic threats. This has reshaped financial markets, particularly derivatives and shadow banking oversight.
3.3 Debt Management & Sovereign Risk
G7 finance ministers often negotiate debt relief for low-income countries, working alongside the IMF and World Bank.
The G20 launched the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) in 2020, allowing the poorest nations to defer debt payments during the pandemic—affecting global bond market pricing of sovereign risk.
4. Role in Global Trade
4.1 G7’s Trade Leadership
G7 economies historically dominated WTO negotiations and set the tone for trade liberalization.
The G7 often pushes for open markets, free trade agreements, and intellectual property rights protection.
However, it has also been accused of protectionism—for instance, through agricultural subsidies or technology restrictions.
4.2 G20 and Trade Balancing
The G20 plays a bigger role in mediating between advanced and emerging economies.
After 2008, the G20 pledged to avoid protectionism and keep markets open. This was crucial in preventing a collapse of world trade.
More recently, the G20 has dealt with US-China trade tensions, global supply chain resilience, and reforms of the WTO dispute system.
5. Role in Investment & Infrastructure
5.1 Investment Flows
G7 countries, as capital exporters, dominate foreign direct investment (FDI) and global finance. Their regulatory policies shape global flows.
The G20 promotes inclusive investment frameworks, encouraging capital flows into Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
5.2 Infrastructure Financing
The G20 launched the Global Infrastructure Hub (2014) to connect investors with large-scale infrastructure projects.
The Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII), promoted by G7 in 2022, was designed as a counter to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
6. Role in Crisis Management
6.1 2008 Financial Crisis
G7 alone lacked credibility, as emerging markets were now critical players.
The G20’s emergency summits (2008–2009) led to coordinated fiscal stimulus, global liquidity injections, and bank recapitalizations. This stabilized world stock markets.
6.2 Eurozone Debt Crisis (2010–2012)
G7 central banks coordinated to provide liquidity and backstop the euro.
G20 forums pressured European leaders to balance austerity with growth measures.
6.3 COVID-19 Pandemic (2020–2021)
G20 pledged $5 trillion in economic stimulus, central banks slashed interest rates, and liquidity lines were extended across borders.
G7 coordinated on vaccine financing (COVAX) and kept supply chains for medical goods functioning.
7. Role in Currency & Monetary Policy
G7 historically managed exchange rate diplomacy (e.g., Plaza Accord).
The G20 now addresses global imbalances, such as China’s currency valuation, US trade deficits, and emerging market vulnerabilities.
Both groups’ central banks’ policies (Fed, ECB, BOJ, PBOC, etc.) directly influence capital markets worldwide.
8. Role in Technology & Digital Economy
G7 promotes data governance, cybersecurity standards, AI regulations, and digital taxation frameworks.
G20 addresses digital inclusion, fintech growth, cross-border payment systems, and crypto regulation.
These policies affect stock valuations in the tech sector, investor confidence, and cross-border capital mobility.
9. Future Outlook
The G7 will likely remain a strategic and political coordination forum for Western democracies, focusing on sanctions, technology standards, and security-linked economics.
The G20 will remain the central platform for global economic governance, especially in addressing:
Climate financing
Sustainable debt frameworks
Digital currencies (CBDCs)
AI-driven market disruptions
Geopolitical risks in trade and energy
Their role will be critical as the world transitions into a multipolar economic order where no single power dominates.
10. Conclusion
The G7 and G20 act as twin pillars of global economic governance. While the G7 provides leadership from advanced democracies, the G20 reflects the diversity of the modern global economy. Their combined influence extends across financial markets, trade, investment, crisis management, energy security, and digital governance.
Though criticized for exclusivity, lack of enforcement, or internal divisions, both remain indispensable. In times of global crisis—whether financial collapse, pandemics, or geopolitical shocks—they have demonstrated the capacity to restore market confidence and stabilize the world economy.
Ultimately, the G7 and G20 do not replace institutions like the IMF, World Bank, or WTO, but they provide the political will and high-level coordination necessary to steer the world through uncertainty. In a world of interconnected markets, their role will only deepen in shaping the future of global capitalism.
Dovish Spells or Hawkish Surprises? FOMC Prep for ES, NQ, GCLet’s start with the biggest event this week. Unless, of course, some unexpected headline swoops in and steals the spotlight — because markets love a good plot twist.
Emotions are running high, and volatility is flying around like confetti at a surprise party nobody asked for. But don’t worry, Chair Powell might just play the role of the calm voice in the chaos.
Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed this week. Interestingly, the future path of rate cut expectations has been in the doldrums. Is it a bird or a plane? No, it’s Superman. Likewise here, is it 1 cut or 2 cuts? No, it’s 3 cuts priced at this moment until the end of 2025.
Excuse the humor, but what fun is it if you cannot entertain yourself while analyzing the complexities of markets day in and day out. Execution is boring; risk management is much like dementors sucking out life force when risk is not respected. And analyzing and preparation is where the creativity and fun is.
And as Kurt Angle would say, it is “ True ”.
Index futures including ES futures and NQ futures have all climbed steadily higher since September 2 low. Markets are turning higher in anticipation of a new bull run.
Gold futures are rallying, currently trading above $3700. Since the Jackson Hole dovish pivot, gold has not looked back and has rocketed higher above major resistance.
Our focus is on the Fed meeting. All eyes will be on the forward guidance; risks to inflation, risks for the labor market and FED’s SEP (Summary of Economic Projections). This also includes GDP forecasts and the most anticipated Dot Plot.
Which of the two mandates will the Fed prioritize, labor market weakness or sticky inflation? The interesting thing to note is that despite sticky inflation, markets are anticipating 3 cuts of 25 bps for each of the meetings this year.
Thus far, as we have previously mentioned, the Fed will likely be moving away from their 2% inflation target to an average inflation target in the range of 2% to 3%.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal less inflation are going to fall sharply lower.
Given this, we anticipate gold to continue higher as the US Dollar's purchasing power erodes away, with mounting debt, higher inflation and falling real yields.
The real question we should be asking is:
What if the meeting outcome is hawkish with the Fed delivering just 1 cut in the September meeting and staying on hold for the remainder of the year?
What other risks are there that could pull stocks and indexes lower? And bonds higher?
Tariffs at this point seem like an old talk unless something reinvigorates and puts them on the front and center of market worries.
Based on these thoughts, here are our scenarios:
Base Case:
25 bps cuts and dovish guidance but iterates meeting by meeting approach.
ES & NQ:
Data dependent Fed, that is likely behind the curve and markets may translate this as Fed too slow to react to emerging risks, risks of recession goes higher. In this case, although stocks may push higher with rates coming down initially, in our view, much of this is priced in and this may be ‘sell the fact moment’.
Portfolio adjustment: Sell index futures, Buy Gold and Bonds.
Ultra-Dovish:
Fed’s dot plot confirms 2 additional rate cuts of 25 bps for Oct and Dec meeting and further 4 cuts till end of 2026 to bring terminal rate lower to 250-275.
USD weakens further, real rates sink, reinforcing gold bid.
Portfolio adjustment: Buy everything. Buy the dip.
Hawkish Surprise
Only 25 bps in September, then pause
ES & NQ:
• Sharp pullback as equities reprice for tighter liquidity.
• ES could retrace recent gains, downside risk toward 4,900–5,000 zone.
• NQ likely hit harder due to tech sensitivity to discount rate.
GC:
• Short-term correction as USD firms and yields spike.
• However, downside may be limited if market shifts focus back to debt & long-term inflation risks.
Risk-Off External Shock- Geopolitical event, tariffs
ES & NQ:
• Drop as risk sentiment sours; defensives outperform growth.
• Bonds rally, yields fall, curve steepens if Fed cut expectations accelerate.
GC:
• Strong safe-haven bid, spikes higher regardless of Fed stance.
Comment with your thoughts and let us know how you see the markets shaping up this week
NASDAQ – BIAS LONG📈 Breakout & Acceptance confirmed.
We could see some retracement, but Powell’s speech already tested our demand and the reaction was strong.
For the bias to shift into short, we would need a clear violation of the dealing range low — not just a demand violation.
Until then, structure remains bullish.
NQ Range (09-10-25)NAZ has been nibbling higher for 3 days and stopping at 23,900. Turn Zone above is 24,060, watch O/N Pump/Dump today at Reg Session open. Looking for yellow arrow to play out. Watch the Tweets during the Dead Zone or any Govt issued news (to the Long side). These may be knee jerk head fake longs or stall out set up to the short side. No drop, BTD and FOMO with the crowd.
NQ idea's for 9/1710 drawings that describe the gut wrenching patterns of MarketMeta with 4 candles and 6 types of levels - this is the Science of trading in practice.
Data driven, methodical, if, then statements that guide our thinking through 4 parts that make up Technical Analysis:
- Mental Analysis
- Comparative Analysis
- Risk Analysis
- Procedural Analysis
Last two days boxed in red - high, low and median ranges.
Yellow lines are hourly timeframe levels.
day 3 100 to 1,000,000 Romans 6: 23 for the wages of sin is death, but the free gift of gods grace is eternal life though Jesus Christ. 5m ifvg to the downside, I waited for the pullback proceeded to the one minute chart. Marked all respected gaps then waited for my entry at c.e. of 1:59 gap, I placed my stop just above the gap and t.p. at the 2:21 low.
Nasdaq Pulls Back After Friday’s Rally: Identifying Demand ZoneYesterday, the Nasdaq underwent a pullback following a robust bullish surge on Friday. During this correction, a fresh Daily Demand Zone emerged on the chart, signaling potential support levels. Traders are now eyeing this area as an opportunity to position for a possible new high, should the market retrace further today. The current outlook favors a long setup, with anticipation of a continued upward move contingent on the price respecting the identified demand zone.
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Friday Liquidity Sweep & Reversal Setup – NQNarrative:
Price action on NQ has swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) on the daily timeframe around 24,060 during Thursday’s NY session. After the sweep, price consolidated just below the high, suggesting the potential for a Friday Reversal, in line with ICT’s classic "Reversal Friday" concept.
Today (Friday), I am watching for a potential Judas Swing to the upside during the New York AM session, aiming to lure breakout buyers above yesterday’s highs.
Once that buy-side liquidity is taken, I’ll look for:
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 5M or 3M chart.
Entry on a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or a refined Order Block.
Stop Loss just above the Friday high (above the sweep).
Target 1: Return to the weekly open area or 1H OB.
Target 2: 23,880–23,900 → previous BPR zone and discount level.
Confluences:
✅ Daily BSL swept.
✅ Asian MSS already occurred.
✅ Price is sitting inside premium & consolidating.
🔍 Watching for SMT divergence between NQ and ES (S&P) – if ES breaks high and NQ doesn’t → bearish confirmation.
Execution:
Will wait for price to spike above the current range (Judas), then confirm BOS/MSS and enter short on the retracement.
NQ Range (09-05-25)NAZ in a range of 7 direction changes going into a Friday. Looking Short and gambling with the idea that the F-M Long Play will break down, again. The next direction change would be a move lower. KL's to watch: TLX 24,056 is pop turn zone, 24,600 is Max Pop and Long Term TL retest. TLX 22,662 is lower target after the reject at TLX 24,056 to 24,600 range. I do not see this lifting to max pop (24,600), just using as a Tweet, Magic O/N play should the F-M Play go North today and Monday. White arrow to yellow arrow is the idea here.
NQ! WEEK 2 LEVELSFor the 2nd week of September, I’ve structured my Nasdaq futures charting setup around key pivot levels (weekly and daily). My focus is on identifying price reactions at the central pivot, with clear support (S1, S2, S3) and resistance (R1, R2, R3) zones. These levels serve as my primary reference for intraday bias, potential reversals, and breakout continuations. I’ll be monitoring how price behaves around these pivots to align short-term entries with the broader weekly context.
NQ (Nasdaq Futures) – Tuesday Setup 09/09/2025
🧠 Market Context
Weekly Bias: Buy-side liquidity above Friday’s and Monday’s highs remains intact → a natural draw for price.
Daily Bias: Price is consolidating near these highs, suggesting engineered liquidity.
Tuesday Profile (ICT concept): Often prints the high or low of the week. Expect a Judas Swing in the morning session before the real move develops.
🎯 Trading Idea
I expect New York Open (9:30–10:00 NY) to deliver a pump above Monday/Tuesday highs → running buy stops (BSL).
After this liquidity grab, look for rejection + Market Structure Shift (MSS) on 5m/15m charts.
That would confirm distribution and set up the short.
✅ Execution Plan
Wait for the Sweep:
Levels to watch: 23,890–23,910 (Friday & Monday highs).
Confirmation:
SMT divergence (ES fails to make new high while NQ takes it).
BOS/MSS on 5m → entry on FVG/OB retracement.
Targets:
TP1 → 23,800 (intra-day liquidity).
TP2 → 23,750 (Weekly Open level).
📌 Key Notes
If price continues bullish above 23,910 without rejection, invalidate the short idea → bias shifts to continuation higher (24,000+).
Otherwise, this is a textbook “Tuesday High of the Week” setup.
✍️ Summary:
I’m anticipating a Judas Swing to the upside at NY Open, taking buy-side liquidity, followed by a reversal into sell-side liquidity at 23,750.
From -$450 to +450 to -$450 to +$350. Revenge trading example First 2 trades minus 200. Should have stopped. Wild swings from profit to loss to profit. Bad trading but good result. Lesson not learned.
I'm using fixed range volume profile, overnight highs and lows, 9 and 21 ema's, and VWAP. I trade momentum with breaks and retests of key levels (explained in the video). Bear and bull flags.
I tried to include screenshots of my Ninja execution screen and Apex PnL screen but they didn't come through.