Halloween rallycalling the halloween rally since too early for santa's.
anyways lets take this to olympus, valhalla or any paradise u want moon mars sun.
ASAP ;)
Trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24769.75
- PR Low: 24721.75
- NZ Spread: 107.5
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 9/29)
- Session Open ATR: 273.59
- Volume: 28K
- Open Int: 273K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nq shorts at the momentI took a short position here and am looking to trail it down for a decent RR.
Glory to Christ!
Both Side Movement on NQ on week 29/09 - 03/10I expect price to move higher clearing those highs at 25000 before starting full corse to the downside.
We could see a 6-7% drop the month of October possibly even 10-12%. Opportunity to get into the market cheaper.
Always remember, Caution, Patience and Risk!
GL!
If you like the content give me a follow on X!
Check Bio. Cheers!
NQ: 261st trading session - recapAnother post to ignore basically, nothing worth mentioning here. This is just again a post just for the books
#202539 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral/Slightly bullish above 24800 for at least 25000. I think we have seen the final bull flag and will now get either a new ath or a lower high, you never know in advance. If bears get below 24500 before we go above 24800, I am likely wrong and we could see a bear surprise and lower prices. My assumption for the next weeks is that we will hit at least 23500.
current market cycle: parabolic buy climax very late in the trend - I think we top out very soon or 25027 already was the high
key levels for next week: 24300 - 25100
bull case: Bulls printed a higher low on Friday and are free to now break above 24800 and re-test 25000. Everyone and their dead granny knows that this is overbought and overdone but that does not mean we have to go down. Tops are a process and we don’t even know if we have started it yet.
Invalidation is below 24400
bear case: Anything below 24400 would be amazing for the bears and I do think a bit of a surprise. If they somehow manage to generate much more selling pressure, their biggest target is the bull trend line around 24000. As of now, given Friday’s price action, we can’t expect it though.
Invalidation is above 25100
short term: Neutral but want to lean bullish for a re-test of 25000. Bears would have to surprise big time for me to join them somewhere between 24600 and 24800.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-08-10: 22000 likely to get hit this year gain.
Tale of two tapes. I am watching higher tf. Friday we did see a shift in structure for increased buying. If this continues on a gap up at globex open id suspect we do see another run on buyside. I am also watching that long tailed wick below as that could serve as a magnet on any selling pressure. This also aligns with the daily uptrend line. Holding the weekly FVG is kind of acting like a line in the sand at this point. There is plenty of liquidity below.
Introduction to Positional Trading in Global Markets1. Understanding Positional Trading
1.1 Definition
Positional trading is a strategy where traders take positions based on anticipated price trends over an extended period. Traders using this approach do not react to short-term volatility but focus on the underlying market direction. The objective is to benefit from medium to long-term price trends, maximizing profit while reducing the noise associated with intraday fluctuations.
1.2 Key Features of Positional Trading
Time Horizon: Positions are usually held for multiple days to several months.
Focus on Trends: Decisions are based on identifying upward or downward trends in asset prices.
Lower Transaction Frequency: Fewer trades reduce transaction costs and emotional stress.
Dependence on Analysis: Traders rely heavily on technical indicators and fundamental data.
2. The Global Market Environment
Global markets encompass a variety of asset classes: equities, commodities, currencies, bonds, and derivatives. Positional traders must understand the interconnected nature of these markets to make informed decisions.
2.1 Equities
Global equity markets, including the NYSE, NASDAQ, London Stock Exchange, and emerging markets, are influenced by corporate earnings, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. Positional traders often focus on high-cap stocks or sectoral trends to identify medium-term opportunities.
2.2 Commodities
Commodities like crude oil, gold, silver, and agricultural products are highly sensitive to supply-demand dynamics and global economic conditions. Positional traders exploit medium-term price swings by monitoring inventories, global demand forecasts, and geopolitical tensions.
2.3 Currencies (Forex)
Forex markets are the largest and most liquid in the world. Exchange rates are influenced by interest rates, inflation, political stability, and macroeconomic indicators. Positional trading in forex focuses on trends between currency pairs over weeks or months.
2.4 Bonds
Global bond markets respond to interest rate changes, inflation expectations, and government policies. Positional traders may take long or short positions based on yield curve movements and central bank announcements.
3. Core Principles of Positional Trading
Successful positional trading relies on several core principles:
3.1 Trend Identification
Trend recognition is fundamental. Traders classify trends into:
Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows.
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows.
Sideways/Range-bound: Price fluctuates within a channel.
Technical tools like moving averages, trendlines, and channels help identify trends.
3.2 Support and Resistance Levels
Support is a price level where demand exceeds supply, halting a downtrend. Resistance is a level where supply exceeds demand, halting an uptrend. Positional traders use these levels to set entry, exit, and stop-loss points.
3.3 Risk Management
Managing risk is crucial in positional trading, especially when positions are held over long periods. Key risk management strategies include:
Position Sizing: Limiting capital exposure per trade.
Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically exiting losing positions to minimize losses.
Diversification: Spreading investments across markets or sectors to reduce risk.
3.4 Patience and Discipline
Unlike intraday trading, positional trading requires patience. Traders must avoid emotional reactions to short-term price fluctuations and stick to their predefined strategy.
4. Tools and Techniques for Positional Trading
Positional trading relies heavily on technical and fundamental analysis to make informed decisions.
4.1 Technical Analysis
Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and patterns to forecast future trends. Common tools include:
Moving Averages (SMA, EMA): Helps smooth price data and identify trend direction.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures momentum and identifies overbought/oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Helps spot trend reversals.
Fibonacci Retracements: Identifies potential support and resistance levels.
4.2 Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis focuses on macroeconomic indicators and company-specific metrics. Key elements include:
Economic Data: GDP growth, inflation rates, unemployment, and industrial production.
Corporate Earnings: Revenue, net profit, debt levels, and cash flow.
Geopolitical Events: Trade wars, sanctions, elections, and policy changes.
4.3 Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment plays a significant role in medium-term price movements. Positional traders monitor news, analyst reports, and social sentiment to gauge market psychology.
5. Strategies in Positional Trading
Positional traders can adopt various strategies depending on their risk tolerance and market conditions:
5.1 Trend Following
The most common positional strategy involves following the prevailing market trend. Traders enter positions in the direction of the trend and ride the momentum until signals indicate a reversal.
5.2 Breakout Trading
Breakout traders enter positions when prices break key support or resistance levels. This strategy captures sharp price movements initiated by market volatility.
5.3 Range Trading
In range-bound markets, traders buy at support and sell at resistance. While not as common in global positional trading, it can be effective for certain currencies or commodities.
5.4 News-Based Positional Trading
Major economic announcements, earnings reports, and geopolitical events can create medium-term opportunities. Traders position themselves ahead of expected market moves.
6. Risk Factors in Global Positional Trading
Trading globally exposes traders to several unique risks:
6.1 Market Risk
Price fluctuations due to macroeconomic changes, investor sentiment, or geopolitical events can impact positions.
6.2 Currency Risk
For traders investing in foreign markets, exchange rate fluctuations can affect returns.
6.3 Liquidity Risk
Some global markets or assets may lack sufficient liquidity, making entry and exit difficult.
6.4 Political and Economic Risk
Policy changes, sanctions, or elections can affect market conditions and disrupt trends.
6.5 Interest Rate Risk
Changes in interest rates influence equities, bonds, and currency markets, affecting positional trades.
7. Positional Trading in Different Asset Classes
7.1 Equities
Positional trading in equities involves selecting stocks with strong medium-term potential. Traders analyze:
Price patterns and moving averages
Earnings growth and valuation metrics
Sectoral trends and global economic indicators
7.2 Forex
In forex markets, positional traders focus on:
Currency pairs with strong macroeconomic support
Technical patterns like head and shoulders or trend channels
Central bank policies and interest rate differentials
7.3 Commodities
Positional traders in commodities analyze:
Seasonal demand patterns (e.g., agricultural cycles)
Supply shocks and geopolitical factors
Global inventory and production data
7.4 Bonds and Fixed Income
Traders monitor:
Yield curves
Inflation expectations
Government policy announcements
8. Developing a Positional Trading Plan
A robust trading plan is essential for consistency:
8.1 Setting Objectives
Define profit targets, risk tolerance, and time horizons.
8.2 Market Analysis
Use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to select assets.
8.3 Entry and Exit Rules
Entry: Confirm trend direction using indicators.
Exit: Use stop-loss, profit targets, and trend reversal signals.
8.4 Monitoring Positions
Regularly track positions but avoid reacting to short-term noise.
8.5 Reviewing Performance
Analyze past trades to identify strengths and weaknesses, refining the strategy over time.
9. Advantages of Positional Trading
Reduced Transaction Costs: Fewer trades mean lower brokerage fees.
Less Stress: Traders are not glued to screens all day.
Opportunity to Capture Major Trends: Can generate significant profits by riding strong medium-term trends.
Flexibility: Suitable for both part-time and full-time traders.
10. Challenges in Positional Trading
Exposure to Overnight and Weekend Risk: Price gaps can occur between sessions.
Requires Discipline: Impulsive decisions can erode profits.
Analysis Intensive: Requires continuous monitoring of global trends and indicators.
Slower Feedback: Unlike day trading, success or failure takes longer to materialize.
11. Case Studies in Global Positional Trading
11.1 Stock Market Example
During the post-pandemic recovery, traders who held technology and healthcare stocks for several months captured significant gains due to market trends and sector-specific growth.
11.2 Forex Example
Positional traders holding USD/JPY positions benefited from long-term monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.
11.3 Commodity Example
Gold positional traders who bought during inflation fears in 2021-2022 captured substantial upward trends over several months.
12. Conclusion
Positional trading in global markets is a strategic approach that balances risk, patience, and market insight. By focusing on medium to long-term trends, traders can capitalize on significant price movements while minimizing the stress and noise associated with short-term trading. Successful positional trading requires a combination of technical analysis, fundamental understanding, risk management, and disciplined execution. In an increasingly interconnected global economy, staying informed about macroeconomic developments, geopolitical events, and market sentiment is crucial. Positional trading is not just about predicting price movements—it’s about aligning strategies with global trends and maintaining a disciplined, patient approach to investing.
My past present and Futures with Christ!We have been doing things quite different lately.
One setup is all we do.
It is quite boring.
But it works
and Christ is the center of it all!
Trap or Triumph?Is Ajax, the ''human fortress,'' luring Hector into a trap or is Ajax tiring? The dueling drama continues.
The px is coiling. It will breakout, whether up or down remains to be seen.
Reasons for it to break up.
1.Historical bull market
2.Q2 GDP est. +3.8%
3.Bulls have pushed back hard against the bears with massive volume, defending the vpoc.
4.Bears appear to be tiring - ascending triangle (px coil) and 9/26 10:00 exhaustion candle
5.Bulls have forced a close above 4 strong resistances.
6.Picture perfect double bottom on a one-hour chart
7.Almost too many reasons to list.
There is much financial news due out next week. I refer you to www.marketwatch.com and its U.S. economic calendar. Perhaps they are waiting for some direction from that basket of goodies. Most notably, the jobs report is a market mover. It comes out the first Friday of every month. That will be 10/3 at 08:30. There has been much controversy surrounding their numbers of late. Their numbers were found to be way overinflated. E.J. Antoni has been recently appointed. He is a real sharp guy.
How many bureaucrats does it take to change a light bulb? Seven. One to say everything is under control and six more to file reports saying it was not broken after all.
Whatever happens, we know how to manage margin, and our Trifecta Trading Plan of Breakouts, Dips and Pivots gives profits as we provide liquidity to the markets.
Bloody Battlefield It's not over. 9/26 the bulls, breathing fire and dripping blood from the mighty sword of Monster H&S, breached four heavily fortified entrenchments. Can they hold this ground and advance?
We shall rewrite Greek mythology. Ajax, Greek warrior, 2nd only to Achilles, huge in stature, dueled Hector, Prince of the Trojans, to a draw. In this rematch Ajax, aka Monster H&S, will lose.
MNQ will go higher. If not now - definitely in the future.
Right now, Hector has firm footing. On 9/17 @ 14:00 NY time, with courage and strength, he defended his city, his family and his beloved wife, vpoc, with a mighty hammer blow. Twice more he stuck his foot in the ground and pushed back Ajax. Neigh, thrice. On 9/26 10:00 NY time, Ajax tired, Hector drove hard on him, pushing him back.
These heroes from antiquity battle on. A Pall of Darkness has descended from the heavens. Though we hear the clashes of hammer and sword and shields and their mighty shouts as they cry out, we cannot see them but for the Darkness. We shall take up this narrative when the Pall of Darkness lifts.
NQ Targets (09-22-25)NAZ with Friday-Monday O/N breakdown into Monday Open Drive (looking for Open Dive today). 24,900 is KL, Long above Short Scalp below to drop target test below.
4HR below with Blue YTD open level.
NQ Long I know it may sound a bit unusual to long with too much blood on the streets, but given the current conditions, as long as we are not trading below 24K, taking a long position remains the most logical option for me.
This long setup becomes invalid if price fails to follow the exact path I outlined in the green drawing. If price does not break above the yellow trendline, then a continuation to the downside remains the more likely scenario.
A Bullish Friday for NasdaqNow that support has been reached, I’m anticipating Nasdaq to resume its bull run. During the AM session, I’ll be watching for either a double bottom or an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern to form.
On the daily chart, I’m anticipating a rejection from the 24,600 Daily FVG.
It may be too early to confirm, so I’ll revisit and update this idea in the morning.
Lets go Long⚡
NASDAQ 100 – Potential Liquidity Grab & Bearish Continuation SetHello Billionaires!!
We All know that the Price has swept the New York session high (BSL) and is now showing signs of a potential market structure shift (MSS). If the short-term pullback holds, we may see a deeper retracement toward the demand zone (BPR + Asian range) before another leg down.
🔹Key Levels to Watch:
24,725 – 24,750: Liquidity grab zone (recent NY high)
24,575 – 24,550: Re-test area for possible continuation
24,500 – 24,450: Next downside target if bearish momentum continues
Bias: Short-term retracement followed by potential bearish continuation toward lower liquidity pools (SSL).
📌 This is an educational projection, not financial advice. Trade safe and always manage your risk!
Target areas - NQ price for Market open.9/26/25 These are the target areas - NQ price for Market open depending if price moves up or down. Will look for trades into these areas.
NDX/NQ1 - Morning Full Of Volume, Afternoon Full of TrapsGood Morning,
I hope all is well. Although I have not posted in a while, I am still very active. Having created a new strategy I can now start sharing posts to help you better your swings and day trading activity.
Read the chart for a quick analysis on the Nasdaq market conditions, which I use for my evaluation of the current economic standings on how the market will play out.
We have had quite the significant drop with the NDX over the last two days, This is due to a much needed correction. Right now the Nasdaq has exhausted the drop and traders will have some reprieve today in more favorable market conditions for the morning.
Avoid trading the afternoon today as it could be messy pending pull back is completed and follows through with its bearish wave pattern again.
Good Luck Today!
Nasdaq Pre-Market Long CIB Trade🔱 Here comes the CIB Trade 🔱
Price came down in 5 waves.
The CIB line gives us a heads-up if price breaks through it, and it did!
Now everyone and it's Grandma is long on the breakout.
"...let's scare them out, let's hit their Stop!"
Then we take off upon a test of the CIB-Line, which in essence is the same as a test fo a U-MLH or L-MLH after a break.
We have a nice target with a chance to hit of about 80% at the Centerline, and a fantastic tiny stop below the test at the CIB line.
Let's watch how this unfolds.
NQ - 9/26Alright, I think there is value to keeping the same T.A. as yesterday then updating the T.A. as each day goes so that I'll be more motivated to write out the MarketMeta better.
These are journals but I understand others want to understand the candle science of ranges and the 4 candles and 6 levels they create. It took me a long time to comprehend it as I studied the courses from C0TT0NC4NDYTA.
StudyGuideTA is the simplified version - AKA my personal notes and understanding using his definitions or "Science" of trading.
Yesterday's levels were tested and changed to dotted lines. Thick 2x yellow level Inv.BS evolved its role to a "bridge" - This is like the polarity point where levels is acting as resistance but then will act as support as price crosses and closes above it.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24665.25
- PR Low: 24625.75
- NZ Spread: 88.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 9/26)
- Session Open ATR: 276.26
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Double Bottom on VPOC vs Monster Head & ShouldersWho will win this epic battle? A close above the neckline and then a bounce off it...No matter - I have Breakout Orders every 10 points beneath it and every 5 points above it. Every entry has a 19-point target.
Pros:
1.Historical bull run - The Fourth Indusrial Revolution
2.2nd QTR GDP 3.8%
3.Growth-oriented administration
4.Peace-minded administration
5.Deregulations being slashed
6.Industries are onshoring
7.Terrific tax incentives to buy, build and grow
8.Earnings strong: S&P 500 up 7.7% YOY; 9 consecutive QTRs of gains
Watch carefully PCE report Friday, 08:30 NY time.
If the markets like it, we may easily dance on top of old man's head and then go higher. If they don't - we'll be ready to Buy the Dips and Pivots.
Stay tuned.
