NQ1! trade ideas
MNQ Short @robby.tradez price looking to fill imbalance from yesterdays late New York session
- what inspired the trade?
I run a checklist of confluences when trading this asset, it is either I compare it with CME_MINI:MES1! or DXY
as of now MNQ is below my daily open so it lets me know sellers are in control as well as using the volume profile gives me more confirmation, also pairing it with DXY then we have more reason why I took the trade \\
RR 1:4 I generally aim for 4% on a trade like this because it passes as a high probability trade A SETUP
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/31/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23744.25
- PR Low: 23686.00
- NZ Spread: 130.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
New ATHs through Asian hours
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/31)
- Session Open ATR: 244.46
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 283K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ Long 7.30.25Price had hit a weekly +ob on 7.29.25, and the current day (7.30.25) had not taken the previous day high or low, but looked like it wanted to distribute into the pd wick equilibrium premium level. After 10 AM closed as a bullish candle, signifying higher price, I entered iat 11 AM on the 10 AM candle equilibrium. Price hit the 75% BE and Final TP with 1.28 RR.
Rejection Brewing, is MNQ About to Bleed Below POC? My morning trade wasn't shit but as with any asset price decides no matter the analysis. That said I'm watching MNQ for a potential bearish setup building beneath the Point of Control (23,485.25).
Here’s the game plan:
- Price is hovering just above POC after failing to follow through from the bounce.
- EMA structure is weakening, waiting for a 9/21 EMA bearish crossover below VWAP to confirm momentum shift.
- If we break and reject from POC/VWAP, I’ll be looking for a short opportunity targeting 23,450 → 23,420 (aligned with channel lows and fib levels).
- Give it 30 minutes — Let price confirm the break and structure cleanly before taking the entry.
This entire move would confirm distribution at value and trend continuation into lower range extremes.
If I'm Wrong:
A reclaim and hold above 23,510 with EMAs curling up negates the setup.
Bias:
Bearish Probability: 70%
Waiting on clean confirmation from structure and momentum shift.
VWAP Rejected, POC Respected, Let the Squeeze BeginMNQ just gave us a cheeky little rejection wick right off VWAP and the POC classic London session move. After flushing into prior structure, price left a long lower wick and a tiny body candle, signaLling seller exhaustion. We're also bouncing right off a trend line that’s held since last week, and the 21/9 EMAs are starting to flatten, hinting at a potential shift.
What makes this even more interesting is how cleanly price tapped the POC (23,486), respected it, and then started grinding back up. That kind of level-to-level respect usually means algo eyes are on it and I'm here for it.
I’m long from 23,491 with a stop just below 23,474, targeting a move into 23,544 for TP1, and possibly 23,652 if momentum carries. It's a structured setup, built off VWAP, POC, Fib mid, and ORB timing. Not a moonshot call just a solid base hit play with clean risk defined.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23474.75
- PR Low: 23449.25
- NZ Spread: 57.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
08:30 | GDP
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
AMP temp margins increase anticipating vol spike for economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/30)
- Session Open ATR: 232.98
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on us sinnersare you ready... ?
In the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit. Amen.
Glory to Thee, our God, glory to Thee.
O Heavenly King, O Comforter, the Spirit of Truth, who art in all places and fillest all things; Treasury of good things and Giver of life, come and dwell in us and cleanse us from every stain, and save our souls, O gracious Lord.
Holy God, Holy Mighty, Holy Immortal, have mercy on us.
Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
All-holy Trinity, have mercy on us. Lord, cleanse us from our sins. Master, pardon our iniquities. Holy God, visit and heal our infirmities for Thy name's sake.
Lord, have mercy.
Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
Our Father, who art in the heavens, hallowed be Thy name: Thy kingdom come; Thy will be done on earth, as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread; and forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us; and lead us not into temptation, but deliver us from the evil one.
For Thine is the kingdom, and the power, and the glory, of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
In one, holy, catholic, and apostolic Church
#Nasdaq - #/NQ - #ICT Model AnalysisBased on my analysis, #NQ is likely to raid one of the liquidity lines below before initiating a rally toward one of the FVGs or inverse FVGs above. This move may serve as an accumulation before a potential sell-off begins.
Do your diligence and study more; technical analysis is just the probabilities overview.
NQ: 226th trading session - recapVery interesting price action today. It was really a setup that I look out for: I call it the "push & pull" situation. It basically means that we get a (bullish) push, we see loss of momentum and then we try to look out for the reversal (=pull). This basically just goes off of market theory and fundamental price action: One side gets really excited and buys/ sells a lot, then after the push happened they lack buyers/ sellers - so then the other side takes over.
It's a bit more complicated that that (+ all the technical factors like all time highs and POI's etc.) but it is a cool setup to look out for.
And obviously, I only look for a bullish push followed by a bearish pull - I only sell short.
Why Are Markets Rising Despite the Tariffs?Because of the
1) Set timeline on finalizing the tariff rates and
2) The ongoing negotiations,
They aimed at striking a balanced deal between the U.S. and its trading partners.
The Liberation Day tariffs were announced on 2nd April, and markets initially crashed in response. However, just seven days later, on 9th April, the U.S. postponed the higher tariff increases for most countries by 90 days. Since then, markets have rebounded and even broken above their all-time highs set in December last year.
Now that the dust is settling with the expiration of timeline and ongoing negotiations, the big question is:
Where will the markets head next?
Mirco Nasdaq Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NQ Short (07-28-25)The F-M Long Rig is active with a Gap Up and Pump/Dump play. Just notice KL 486 and how/when the NAZ gets above. In O/N, the Reg Session and previous hits at 23,440 got rejected and is why you are seeing the move in the off session. The BTD/FOMO chase is active, Pump/Dump near Open today for next move.
Tuesday Long Trade for the NASDAQ 7/29I'm feeling ultra bullish on NQ right now. Ideally, I want to see price carve out an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom—either could serve as a springboard to new highs. I took two longs this morning and captured solid gains off the weekly opening gap. Would love to see one final wick into that zone before we blast off.
Long Entry:23,476.75
Target: Break of the Highs | Trailing SL
Today's trades:
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23531.00
- PR Low: 23503.00
- NZ Spread: 62.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
- JOLTs Job Openings
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/29)
- Session Open ATR: 233.38
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bias is still Bullish However its month end Overall bias is still strong bullish, do note that its coming to end of month, either we pull back a bit or continues higher till end of month then pullback. Losing 23350 and 23300, probabilities of moving lower will higher since we had short squeeze move last Friday. Max Pain is 23020 can be use as a guide off futures movement.