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Gold Futures (Dec 2015)Gold Futures (Dec 2015)Gold Futures (Dec 2015)

Gold Futures (Dec 2015)

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GOLD (XAUUSD): bullish-Neutral! Prepare To Buy!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Dec. 8 - 15th. Gold closed last week indecisive. It has been moving sideways inside a bullish FVG, that continues to act as support. Prepare for a short term pullback.... and buy it. Mindful that FOMC is Wednesday, and the USD is weakened with the expectation of a .25 rate cut. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
2
Post-FOMC Context: Policy Divergence & Inventory AdjustmentCOMEX:GC1! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 Analysis 1. Macro Context (The Currency Auction) The structural bid for the USD remains valid due to clear Policy Divergence . * The Fed: The "Hawkish Cut" (25bps) coupled with the signal for a "slower pace" (only one cut projected for 2026) confirms a pivot to a "pause" to verify data. * The ECB: Conversely, Europe is cutting into economic weakness. * Implication: This widening rate spread creates a fundamental floor. The recent drop in DXY displays the characteristics of a Liquidation Break (inventory adjustment) rather than a structural reversal. The market flushed weak, crowded longs, but value has not migrated lower. 2. Gold Auction Analysis (Emotional Structure) The post-FOMC rally in Gold displays the hallmarks of an Emotional Trade . * Structure: The vertical move has left behind Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) and single prints. This indicates the auction was driven by mechanical short covering rather than initiative buying, leaving a "poor" or "thin" structure. * The Test: We are trading into Higher Time Frame (HTF) resistance. * Scenario A: For a credible attempt at ATH, we require New Money (OTF) to step in and backfill these LVNs—converting the thin structure into accepted value. * Scenario B: Without sustained OTF participation, the probability favors a rotation back to value to repair the poor structure. Emotional rallies often fade once the short covering inventory is depleted. 3. ES Context (Liquidity Window) The "Hawkish" pause signal removes the "easy money" narrative for 2026. If 10Y yields break higher, the ES auction is vulnerable to its own liquidation break as participants adjust to the new rate path. Plan & Execution * Gold: Caution on the long side at these highs. The structure is fragile. Monitoring for a fade back to value versus genuine acceptance. * DXY: Expect two-way trade as the liquidation stabilizes and inventory balances. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold Context: Initiative Breakout & The ATH Magnet COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Analysis 1. Market Context (The Transition) The auction has successfully transitioned. What began as mechanical Short Covering has evolved into apparent Initiative Buying . • Structure: The market is facilitating trade at higher prices, signaling that "New Money" (Innovators/Early Adopters) sees value here. • Momentum: This is not just emotional momentum; it is structural. The migration of value suggests confidence in the breakout. 2. The ATH Approach (Nuance Required) With the fundamental backdrop updated (Policy Divergence/Fed Pause) and year-end flows active, the auction is magnetically drawn to the All-Time High . • The Probability: The path of least resistance is higher. We are likely to test the ATH limits soon. • The Caution (Laggards): As we press into record highs, be aware of the "Diffusion of Information." We want to ensure the buying remains dominated by smart money, not Laggards chasing the move late. If the buying quality deteriorates (low volume breakouts), expect a sharp inventory adjustment. Plan & Execution • Bias: Long/Constructive. • Invalidation: We need to hold acceptance above the recent breakout shelf (4300 area). A failure to hold would suggest the current participants were just "renting" the position, not owning it. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026Long
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold Context: Initiative Buying & The Path to ATHCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Analysis 1. Market Context (Transition to Initiative) The Gold auction has evolved significantly. What began as mechanical short covering has transitioned into probable initiative buying (New Money). Structure: The auction is facilitating trade at higher prices, indicating that buyers are aggressive and willing to pay up. The Shift: We have moved away from the "emotional" phase into a more sustainable value migration. The market is now seeking to repair the structure and test the extremes. 2. The Road to ATH (4425) We are now within striking distance of the All-Time High (4425 area) . Key Reference (4300): This level has shifted from a psychological barrier to a potential support shelf. The Setup: If Gold can hold and build acceptance above 4300 , it confirms the breakout. We expect the auction to establish a new balance area here before making the final rotation toward the ATH. Friday Flows: Be mindful of weekend profit-taking, but as long as the structure holds above the breakout point, the medium-term bias remains firmly to the upside. Plan & Execution Focus: Watch for acceptance above 4300. Scenario: If we see a pullback, I am monitoring for responsive buyers to defend the breakout zone (turning old resistance into support). Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026Long
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold Weekly Playbook: Key Levels, Scenarios & Sentiment Triggers1. Macro Update Gold continues to trade within a macro environment defined by shifting rate expectations and evolving recession probabilities. With the Fed maintaining a data-dependent stance, the market remains highly sensitive to inflation and employment prints. Cooling inflation supports the case for rate cuts, pulling real yields lower and creating a constructive backdrop for gold. Conversely, stubborn inflation pushes the narrative toward “higher for longer,” often slowing upside momentum and encouraging more rotational price action. This doesn’t immediately turn GC bearish, but it does cap impulsive continuation as traders reassess forward guidance. Recession sentiment is the second major driver. Rising recession odds tend to benefit gold as investors rotate into safe-haven assets, even without imminent Fed easing. A persistent soft-landing narrative—stable labor markets, steady consumption—can reduce defensive flows and temper gold’s velocity. Overall, the macro backdrop remains cautiously supportive, but still very catalyst-driven. 2. What Has the Market Done? Gold has exhibited constructive price action, with the recent week imbalancing up and out of the 17 Nov weekly balance/value area. Importantly, the market closed at the highs of the week, signaling sustained buyer aggression and broad acceptance of higher prices. Weekly value and Volume point of Control (VPOC) have shifted upward, reinforcing a meaningful change in participant behavior: buyers are willing to transact at progressively higher prices, and sellers have not shown the ability to force price back into prior balance. This upward migration of value marks a firm shift in short-term sentiment. The market is also now at an important structural zone at 4251.3—the 13 Oct weekly VPOC and the 20 Oct weekly Low value area (LVA). How the market reacts at this level—rejecting, stalling, or accepting—will be a telling indicator of whether buyers maintain control or whether sellers can slow the advance. 3. What to Expect in the Coming Week The key level to watch this week: 4254.9 - Previous week/month’s settlement price This level acts as a major pivot for directional conviction. Holding above settlement supports the case for continuation; a sustained move below it increases the likelihood of rotation or deeper testing. Bullish Scenario If the market holds and accepts above 4254.9, upside continuation becomes likely. Target 1: 4378.6 (Weekly 1 Standard Deviation (SD) High) – expect responsive sellers. If market accepts above 4378.6: Target 2: 4436.2 (ATH region) – extended bullish objective. Bearish Scenario If the market fails to hold above 4254.9, expect sellers to target 4195.3 (previous week’s VPOC). Additional downside triggers: If buyers cannot reclaim 4261.3 (previous week’s high), pressure may push price through prior value toward 4136.5. If buyers then fail to reclaim back above 4195.3: Next target: 4131.2 (Weekly 1 SD Low / 17 Nov VPOC / Bid Block 3 midpoint). Continued seller control may extend the move toward 4070/80, aligned with the 2-week composite VAH and upper boundary of Bid Block 2. Neutral Scenario If neither buyers nor sellers show conviction, expect two-way consolidation around previous week’s settlement, 4254.9, between 4316.7 and 4193.1 (10 Nov weekly high / 20 Oct LVA / weekly 0.5 SD high). This remains the most probable balance zone unless a macro catalyst drives breakout behavior. This week’s structure is clean: one major pivot and clearly defined pathways for both sides. Whether GC breaks out or slips back into rotation will hinge on how price behaves around 4254.9. What’s your outlook for Gold this week? Drop a comment and give this post a boost so more traders in the community can join the discussion! Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan with proper risk management.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by EdgeClear
1
How to Use ATR in TradingViewMaster ATR using TradingView's powerful charting tools in this step-by-step tutorial from Optimus Futures. ATR, or Average True Range, is a volatility indicator that helps traders measure market movement, set appropriate stop losses, and adjust position sizing based on current market conditions. What You'll Learn: Understanding ATR as a volatility measurement tool that tracks price movement regardless of direction How ATR calculates the average range between highs and lows over a specified period — typically 14 Why rising ATR signals increasing volatility and larger price swings Why falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility and quieter market conditions Using ATR to set dynamic stop losses that adjust to current volatility rather than arbitrary dollar amounts How to calculate stop distances by multiplying ATR by factors like 2x or 3x Applying ATR for position sizing to maintain consistent risk across different volatility environments Setting profit targets based on ATR multiples to align with actual market movement Filtering trade setups using ATR levels to avoid low-volatility periods or confirm breakout momentum How to add ATR on TradingView via the Indicators menu Understanding the default 14-period setting and how shorter or longer periods affect responsiveness Practical examples using the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart Applying ATR across daily, weekly, and intraday timeframes for risk management and trade planning This tutorial is designed for futures traders, swing traders, and risk-focused analysts who want to integrate volatility-based risk management into their trading approach. The methods discussed may help you set smarter stops, size positions appropriately, and adapt your trading strategy to changing market conditions across multiple markets and timeframes. Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools, not forecasting instruments.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by Optimus Futures
Gold continuation underway?On a 4 hour time frame, looking like we potentially completed a reacc model. Price potentially continuing to retest and blow through highs. Will be looking for entries on day trades in the green highlighted area if we start to squeeze. Ultimate target will be the 1.61 fib of the range. (I use fibs as targets when we are running blue skies. I will want to see us riding the 10EMA on the hour, entries will be made on the 1 min on flag breakouts while above and riding the 10EMA on the 1 min.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by ItsMayo
3
Gold with technical analysis and its key support and resistance Gold with technical analysis and its key support and resistance Gold is in a rising parallel channel on the 3‑hour chart, currently reacting lower from the upper boundary, so short‑term bias is for a pullback within an overall uptrend. Key levels to watch are supports near 129,175–127,120 and resistance around 131,200–131,500 and the channel top. ## Trend structure - Price has been respecting a well‑defined ascending channel since early November, with higher highs and higher lows confirming an uptrend on this timeframe. - The latest swing has reached the upper band of this channel and shows rejection candles, indicating supply pressure and possible short‑term exhaustion of buyers. ## Support zones - Immediate intraday support is near the mid‑channel and prior breakout area around 129,100–129,200; a hold here keeps the uptrend structure intact. - Deeper support sits at 127,100–127,200, aligning with the channel lower boundary and previous demand zone; a sustained break below this area would signal a potential trend change or larger correction towards 125,000 and then 122,000. ## Resistance zones - The first and most important resistance is the recent high and channel top region near 131,200–131,500, where repeated rejections suggest strong sellers. - If price can close firmly above this band, the channel’s upper projection opens room for further upside, with next resistance coming from measured channel extension and recent technical levels around 133,000–133,500. ## Trading view - As long as price stays inside the rising channel and above 127,100–127,200, the primary trend remains bullish and dips into support can be treated as buy‑on‑dip opportunities with tight risk control. - A breakdown below the lower channel with volume would favor a shift to sell‑on‑rise, targeting the lower horizontal supports mentioned, while any fresh breakout above 131,500 would invalidate the short‑term bearish pullback idea and resume the up‑leg.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by ktra_commodities
1