I have analyzed the entire history of bitcoin price and I can say with certainty we are experiencing a 2x faster cycle than the one we had in 2017.
This will end with a blowoff top in May followed by a 2-3 month bear market.
I've analyzed 100 years of NASDAQ and DJIA charts, and compared them to every tiny mini cycle bitcoin has had, as well as the long term...
I've been both a BitBull and a BitBear recently. I've also been incorrect recently when subjecting my opinion in either direction. Thus, I am going with my most objective BitPig analysis today and providing what appears to be the most likely scenario. Although it is ultimately Bearish, I am not a Bear in this case. Just BitPig with a BitDream is all.
BTC may...
When crypto shills talks about "There Will Never Be Another Alt Season".
These are people who constantly got it wrong about the market, it is something to think and consider.
Market and human natures move in cycle. To say in absolute terms are a joke.
Human emotions and behaviours are usually a contrarian indicator.
Which led me to believe that an alt season...
If wave (b) has really been completed, we are in wave (c). This means that Bitcoin will lose more than 98% of its speculative capital. This would correspond to a price between 900-1000 USD.
Chart:
I saw an analysis' posted on twitter by Rafael Schultz-Kraft and Geert Jan Cap that puts us in the lower end of the bull cycle and felt I should share on here.
Last bull market $BTC was @ $8500 at the current Market cap:Thermo cap level
Price increased 135% to the top in a month
From the current price 135% is $110,000
...
Whale and institutional investors initiate the trend in the Crytpo market while retail investors help pushing that trend to its peak.
Of course, there are many more things to look out for, but you will be staying one step ahead of many ppl just by paying attention to these few things in my chart while avoid becoming bagholder yourself.
Looks like we have a repeating pattern here possibly, or a re-test before continuing up.
I've been learning about Camarilla charting (thank you Gunslinger) and have been trying to add those into my charts without over-powering my own charting. Still a work in progress.
I know there are more sophisticated forecasts but I always believe in the simple. For now Bitcoin is supporting an upward channel but a lower upward trend line remains below as a 'worst case' pullback. Let's see.
![BTC: BTC: Market Cap to Thermo Cap Ratio [Overall Bullish]](https://s3.tradingview.com/k/KwZG6rNH_mid.png "BTC: Market Cap to Thermo Cap Ratio [Overall Bullish]")
